Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama                      10   0   0  297   26  1.004    1  2.197    1  1.853    2  2.064    1 0.7072    1 0.7311    1   1228  0.426  2.144  1.985
Washington                   10   1   1  480   59  1.151    2  1.977    2  1.480    4  1.656    9 0.6207    3 0.6860    3   1132  0.635  1.928  1.385
Michigan                      7   1   0  227    3  1.038    3  1.924    3  1.390    1  2.212    6 0.6393   17 0.5973    5   1020 -0.113  1.880  2.544
Dartmouth                     8   0   0  340   29  0.686    4  1.906    4  1.353    3  1.821    4 0.6577    8 0.6466    4   1126  1.219  2.731  0.911
Wisconsin                     6   1   1  131   50  0.789    5  1.831    5  1.210   11  1.062   11 0.6158   27 0.5696   16    481  0.389  1.110  1.015
Missouri                      6   1   1  110   44  0.695    6  1.798    6  1.156   16  0.933    3 0.6601    6 0.6696   14    575  0.435  1.020  0.846
Tulane                        9   0   1  246   32  0.155    7  1.774    7  1.092   10  1.087    5 0.6441   12 0.6259   22    178  0.345  1.097  1.077
Nebraska                      4   2   2   69   27  1.079    8  1.770    8  1.090    6  1.316    8 0.6318    9 0.6374   26     88 -0.352  0.838  1.793
Notre Dame                    7   2   1  200   64  0.703    9  1.654    9  0.951   15  0.961   15 0.6063   19 0.5860   18    381  0.546  1.148  0.774
West Virginia                 8   1   0  175   18  0.617   10  1.648   10  0.938    9  1.137   10 0.6186   14 0.6172   10    815  0.152  0.992  1.282
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pennsylvania                  7   2   0  165   64  0.599   11  1.641   11  0.927   30  0.610   17 0.5933   33 0.5476   15    487  0.046  0.387  0.832
Princeton                     5   1   1  125   44  0.743   12  1.631   12  0.910   14  1.003   13 0.6090   22 0.5816   13    652  0.535  1.180  0.825
Florida                       8   2   0  218   80  0.327   13  1.595   13  0.844   25  0.729   16 0.5935   15 0.6093   24    107  0.820  1.187  0.272
Virginia                      7   1   1  144   31  0.012   14  1.591   14  0.837   37  0.485   22 0.5760   24 0.5808   27     33 -0.117  0.150  0.820
Northwestern                  5   3   0   81   69  0.711   15  1.564   15  0.794   34  0.512   35 0.5490   37 0.5320   25     91  0.561  0.713  0.311
Kansas State                  5   2   1   70   43  0.631   16  1.555   16  0.778   31  0.581   14 0.6075   18 0.5907   30      0 -0.014  0.316  0.847
Southern California          11   2   0  456   55  0.405   17  1.542   17  0.754    5  1.413   28 0.5654   25 0.5803   19    378  0.823  1.873  0.952
Illinois                      5   3   0   98   59  0.942   18  1.538   18  0.751   18  0.866   27 0.5676   38 0.5280   28     13  0.662  1.163  0.569
Georgia Tech                  6   2   1  102   48  0.471   19  1.535   19  0.745   22  0.743   12 0.6112   21 0.5825   31      0 -0.029  0.467  1.019
Pittsburgh                    8   1   0  151   34  0.564   20  1.528   20  0.733    7  1.267    2 0.6720    2 0.6951    8    840  0.406  1.329  1.205
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oregon State                  7   2   0  268   81  0.440   21  1.527   21  0.731   23  0.739   37 0.5469   23 0.5808   29      4  0.812  1.188  0.291
North Carolina                7   1   1  123   20 -0.069   22  1.495   22  0.675   24  0.736   18 0.5906   16 0.5985   32      0 -0.153  0.378  1.093
Yale                          5   2   1  204   76  0.546   23  1.486   23  0.662   12  1.043   29 0.5639   58 0.4771   33      0  1.251  1.992  0.094
Army                          7   2   0  185   71  0.576   24  1.442   24  0.660   29  0.636   38 0.5440   50 0.4979   11    811  0.613  0.886  0.386
Colgate                       7   0   2  219   34  0.801   25  1.437   25  0.650    8  1.164    7 0.6330    5 0.6699    2   1214  0.382  1.205  1.122
Minnesota                     5   2   1  176   85  0.764   26  1.427   26  0.635   20  0.817   30 0.5586   44 0.5124   20    252  1.026  1.498  0.136
Utah State                    6   1   0  111   39 -0.295   27  1.422   28  0.622   53  0.158   25 0.5741   11 0.6274   34      0  0.210  0.058  0.257
Iowa                          5   3   0  121   74  0.672   28  1.421   27  0.625   36  0.503   39 0.5439   47 0.5067   35      0  0.313  0.486  0.520
Drake                         5   3   0   62   41  0.469   29  1.419   29  0.621   28  0.651   20 0.5882   31 0.5514   36      0  0.061  0.440  0.863
Stanford                      7   2   0  231   71  0.940   30  1.418   30  0.618   13  1.022   19 0.5900    7 0.6640    6    972  0.879  1.542  0.502
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                          6   2   0  110   51  0.024   31  1.354   31  0.507   41  0.397   31 0.5561   10 0.6307   37      0  0.309  0.377  0.417
Navy                          5   2   1  134   81  0.535   32  1.352   32  0.504   40  0.411   46 0.5263   53 0.4929   17    464  0.412  0.478  0.344
Cornell                       6   2   0  258   83  0.552   33  1.337   33  0.473   38  0.474   43 0.5335   35 0.5371    7    955  0.989  1.114 -0.165
Texas A&M                     7   1   1  191   25 -0.165   34  1.299   34  0.400   27  0.660   23 0.5744   26 0.5756   38      0 -0.059  0.365  0.956
Oklahoma                      4   3   1   93   44  0.510   35  1.293   35  0.393   26  0.710   26 0.5690   34 0.5393   39      0  0.200  0.602  0.817
Colorado State                9   1   0  228   79 -0.394   36  1.291   36  0.385   32  0.569   21 0.5820    4 0.6707   40      0  0.808  1.013  0.125
Wake Forest                   6   2   1  185   40  0.080   37  1.260   39  0.338   43  0.371   33 0.5529   13 0.6210   41      0  0.155  0.228  0.513
Furman                        7   3   0  116   75 -0.242   38  1.228   38  0.353   61 -0.003   45 0.5267   29 0.5570   42      0  0.277 -0.049  0.043
Texas                         6   2   1  157   51 -0.045   39  1.206   41  0.318   39  0.431   40 0.5420   43 0.5143   43      0  0.477  0.555  0.306
Auburn                        5   3   1   81  114 -0.032   40  1.162   37  0.361   75 -0.307   41 0.5386   36 0.5339   44      0  0.567 -0.100 -0.514
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse                      8   1   1  202   27  0.311   41  1.140   40  0.322   17  0.914   24 0.5742   32 0.5479   21    241  0.190  0.798  1.029
Ohio State                    4   3   1   55   45  0.462   42  1.133   42  0.315   42  0.373   60 0.4947   86 0.3887   45      0 -0.347 -0.102  0.848
Chicago                       3   4   1   44   76  0.563   43  1.120   43  0.314   44  0.361   50 0.5207   70 0.4517   46      0 -0.060  0.064  0.658
Washington & Lee              5   5   0  111  104  0.442   44  1.118   44  0.310   33  0.533   34 0.5519   28 0.5640   47      0  0.674  0.842  0.224
Iowa State                    4   3   1  107   93  0.301   45  1.107   45  0.292   48  0.225   32 0.5539   46 0.5085   48      0  0.916  0.784 -0.334
Georgia                       4   5   0  133   91  0.614   46  1.080   46  0.250   21  0.817   36 0.5471   30 0.5536   49      0  0.605  1.060  0.574
Kentucky                      6   3   0   92   97 -0.284   47  1.077   47  0.242   68 -0.204   44 0.5313   55 0.4899   50      0  0.323 -0.212 -0.195
Carnegie Tech                 5   2   1  161   47  0.314   48  1.068   48  0.225   54  0.148   49 0.5208   60 0.4762   12    737 -0.049 -0.142  0.437
Vanderbilt                    6   3   0  158   63  0.025   49  1.065   49  0.220   45  0.340   42 0.5360   65 0.4666   51      0  0.541  0.522  0.157
Washington & Jefferson        6   2   1  165   50  0.203   50  1.055   51  0.200   51  0.167   51 0.5202   78 0.4195    9    840 -0.223 -0.235  0.569
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State                    4   4   1   67   66  0.575   51  1.053   50  0.203   50  0.200   54 0.5118   63 0.4691   52      0 -0.143 -0.152  0.551
Southern Methodist            5   2   2  148   41 -0.096   52  1.010   52  0.128   57  0.108   47 0.5254   61 0.4717   53      0 -0.006 -0.152  0.367
Montana                       3   4   1  143  128  0.435   53  0.998   53  0.112   49  0.202   70 0.4770   42 0.5183   54      0  1.014  0.869 -0.466
Tennessee                     5   2   1  129   73 -0.221   54  0.983   54  0.085   64 -0.031   52 0.5197   66 0.4603   55      0  0.820  0.426 -0.487
Sewanee                       4   4   1  118   89  0.257   55  0.971   55  0.067   67 -0.113   55 0.5034   57 0.4786   56      0  0.225 -0.201 -0.025
Washington State              3   4   1   67  104  0.455   56  0.961   56  0.051   55  0.122   65 0.4878   40 0.5199   57      0  0.142 -0.030  0.274
Kansas                        2   5   1   30   68  0.354   57  0.959   57  0.049   65 -0.034   58 0.5011   71 0.4503   58      0 -0.330 -0.499  0.431
Brown                         5   4   1  215   80  0.434   58  0.956   58  0.042   47  0.225   75 0.4631   83 0.4049   59      0  0.168  0.092  0.357
Texas Christian               7   1   1  133   54 -0.743   59  0.936   59  0.004   77 -0.331   53 0.5146   48 0.5039   60      0  0.191 -0.446 -0.217
Harvard                       4   3   1  118   88  0.345   60  0.927   60 -0.007   56  0.111   48 0.5236   62 0.4694   61      0  0.039 -0.117  0.339
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wyoming                       6   3   0  147   83 -0.518   61  0.908   61 -0.042   71 -0.225   72 0.4750   39 0.5280   62      0  0.467 -0.109 -0.340
South Carolina                7   3   0  150   27 -0.553   62  0.903   62 -0.051   59  0.055   67 0.4830   59 0.4769   63      0 -0.006 -0.204  0.314
Davidson                      6   2   2  137   33 -0.522   63  0.878   63 -0.090   66 -0.062   61 0.4934   52 0.4955   64      0 -0.365 -0.547  0.423
Louisiana State               5   3   1   90   70 -0.367   64  0.858   64 -0.122   86 -0.473   63 0.4887   68 0.4585   65      0 -0.613 -1.087  0.140
California                    6   3   0  192   49  0.595   65  0.854   65 -0.130   19  0.837   56 0.5029   45 0.5090   66      0  0.547  1.025  0.649
Gonzaga                       7   2   2  203   68 -0.287   66  0.841   66 -0.151   62 -0.022   64 0.4886   49 0.5027   67      0  0.108 -0.199  0.155
Brigham Young                 3   3   0   69   81 -0.474   67  0.832   67 -0.162   88 -0.509   69 0.4793   41 0.5184   68      0  0.654 -0.220 -0.799
Columbia                      6   3   1  288   55  0.379   68  0.797   68 -0.226   35  0.512   73 0.4712   87 0.3870   23    135  0.681  0.828  0.196
Indiana                       3   4   1  102  115  0.237   69  0.788   69 -0.240   69 -0.204   87 0.4230   99 0.3179   69      0  0.333 -0.204 -0.203
William & Mary                7   4   0  235   86 -0.303   70  0.762   70 -0.288   60 -0.002   71 0.4750   74 0.4316   70      0  0.812  0.446 -0.451
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oglethorpe                    8   3   0  119   92 -0.836   71  0.755   71 -0.299   84 -0.429   66 0.4852   72 0.4499   71      0  0.593 -0.197 -0.660
Virginia Tech                 5   3   2   39   52 -0.382   72  0.741   72 -0.316   83 -0.427   57 0.5016   54 0.4929   72      0 -0.758 -1.105  0.252
Colorado                      6   3   0  156   45 -0.388   73  0.736   73 -0.326   46  0.257   59 0.4977   20 0.5851   73      0  0.309  0.237  0.277
Mississippi                   5   5   0  147   87 -0.051   74  0.700   74 -0.383   76 -0.314   88 0.4226  101 0.2945   74      0  0.262 -0.372 -0.256
Virginia Military Institute   5   5   0  153  108 -0.275   75  0.689   75 -0.400   78 -0.347   78 0.4531   75 0.4290   75      0  0.897  0.192 -0.887
Grinnell                      3   3   2   82   69 -0.098   76  0.684   76 -0.408   63 -0.025   68 0.4815   80 0.4114   76      0  0.230 -0.109  0.058
North Carolina State          3   5   1   51   72 -0.311   77  0.677   77 -0.418   80 -0.410   79 0.4516   69 0.4528   77      0 -0.068 -0.712 -0.108
Idaho                         3   5   0   79  153  0.005   78  0.668   78 -0.431   79 -0.399   85 0.4279   81 0.4099   78      0  0.654 -0.109 -0.689
Washington (Missouri)         2   5   1   29   95 -0.029   79  0.635   79 -0.484   89 -0.554   77 0.4531   82 0.4050   79      0 -0.075 -0.861 -0.247
Mississippi State             3   4   1  101   60  0.404   80  0.627   81 -0.501   52  0.161   62 0.4896   64 0.4688   80      0 -0.189 -0.220  0.541
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Citadel                       6   4   0  157   50 -0.625   81  0.616   82 -0.520   74 -0.297   82 0.4364   67 0.4598   81      0  0.195 -0.408 -0.185
Mercer                        4   5   0   89  108 -0.197   82  0.591   80 -0.496   87 -0.488   76 0.4628   56 0.4887   82      0  0.518 -0.326 -0.650
Maryland                      3   5   0   63   89  0.017   83  0.573   83 -0.526   81 -0.410   91 0.4145   91 0.3754   83      0  0.201 -0.517 -0.304
Montana State                 6   5   0  291   84 -0.497   84  0.567   84 -0.539   72 -0.271   94 0.4006   79 0.4147   84      0  0.593 -0.039 -0.502
Newberry                      5   3   0  138   74 -0.856   85  0.558   85 -0.555   85 -0.438   86 0.4252   76 0.4238   85      0  0.964  0.174 -1.050
Arkansas                      4   4   1   95   61 -0.494   86  0.550   86 -0.564   82 -0.420   74 0.4676   73 0.4379   86      0  0.023 -0.659 -0.181
Duke                          4   5   0   58  142 -0.837   87  0.510   87 -0.625  101 -1.343   93 0.4018   90 0.3770   87      0  0.444 -1.248 -1.438
Purdue                        3   4   1  119   39  0.148   88  0.500   88 -0.643   58  0.068   89 0.4207   98 0.3311   88      0 -0.325 -0.394  0.530
Colorado College              5   4   1   99   86 -0.810   89  0.470   89 -0.692   91 -0.647   81 0.4394   51 0.4970   89      0  0.343 -0.639 -0.656
Michigan State                3   5   0  105  106  0.011   90  0.433   90 -0.754   73 -0.284   80 0.4506   85 0.3923   90      0  0.653  0.004 -0.573
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Baylor                        3   5   2   79  115 -0.283   91  0.414   91 -0.786   90 -0.633   83 0.4354   77 0.4234   91      0  0.205 -0.737 -0.529
Rice                          4   4   1   85   79 -0.672   92  0.381   92 -0.795   92 -0.769   84 0.4329   89 0.3777   92      0  0.392 -0.719 -0.818
Western State                 3   4   0   55  112 -1.159   93  0.380   93 -0.796   99 -1.310   96 0.3717   84 0.3930   93      0  0.395 -1.257 -1.362
Hampden-Sydney                3   5   1   84   99 -0.635   94  0.335   94 -0.869   94 -0.928   92 0.4039   88 0.3860   94      0  0.504 -0.779 -1.077
Oregon                        1   5   1   53  108  0.279   95  0.322   95 -0.890   70 -0.208   95 0.3799   97 0.3554   95      0  0.658  0.086 -0.503
Oklahoma State                2   5   1   41  115 -0.481   96  0.321   96 -0.890   93 -0.888   90 0.4179   92 0.3721   96      0  0.576 -0.672 -1.104
Presbyterian                  3   6   0   84  117 -0.830   97  0.273   97 -0.965   96 -1.107   98 0.3634   96 0.3560   97      0  0.517 -0.947 -1.268
Centre                        3   6   0   73  135 -0.759   98  0.185   98 -1.106  100 -1.314  100 0.3531  103 0.2740   98      0  0.217 -1.408 -1.220
Clemson                       1   7   0   18  160 -0.713   99  0.158   99 -1.146  102 -1.568   99 0.3559   95 0.3566   99      0  0.224 -1.656 -1.479
Wofford                       3   7   0  134   76 -0.955  100  0.138  100 -1.240   95 -1.040  103 0.3277  104 0.2735  100      0 -0.212 -1.435 -0.645
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Richmond                      3   6   0   41   81 -1.031  101  0.131  101 -1.251   98 -1.274   97 0.3700  100 0.3110  101      0 -0.338 -1.744 -0.804
Denver                        1   6   0   27  152 -1.221  102  0.056  102 -1.378  104 -1.696  102 0.3306   93 0.3720  102      0  0.363 -1.672 -1.721
Colorado Mines                2   7   0   57  181 -1.204  103  0.032  103 -1.467  103 -1.613  101 0.3324   94 0.3665  103      0  0.736 -1.243 -1.984
Northern Colorado             2   6   1  126  106 -1.315  104  0.000  104 -1.502   97 -1.237  104 0.2884  102 0.2857  104      0  0.637 -0.964 -1.510
UNRANKED                     24 232   9  843 7544 -0.305      -1.000      -1.000      -1.641      0.3884      0.3638           0  0.580 -1.422 -1.861


Independent: strength=0.142 (#4)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dartmouth                     8   0   0  340   29  0.686    4  1.906    4  1.353    3  1.821    4 0.6577    8 0.6466    4   1126  1.219  2.731  0.911
Notre Dame                    7   2   1  200   64  0.703    9  1.654    9  0.951   15  0.961   15 0.6063   19 0.5860   18    381  0.546  1.148  0.774
West Virginia                 8   1   0  175   18  0.617   10  1.648   10  0.938    9  1.137   10 0.6186   14 0.6172   10    815  0.152  0.992  1.282
Pennsylvania                  7   2   0  165   64  0.599   11  1.641   11  0.927   30  0.610   17 0.5933   33 0.5476   15    487  0.046  0.387  0.832
Princeton                     5   1   1  125   44  0.743   12  1.631   12  0.910   14  1.003   13 0.6090   22 0.5816   13    652  0.535  1.180  0.825
Pittsburgh                    8   1   0  151   34  0.564   20  1.528   20  0.733    7  1.267    2 0.6720    2 0.6951    8    840  0.406  1.329  1.205
Yale                          5   2   1  204   76  0.546   23  1.486   23  0.662   12  1.043   29 0.5639   58 0.4771   33      0  1.251  1.992  0.094
Army                          7   2   0  185   71  0.576   24  1.442   24  0.660   29  0.636   38 0.5440   50 0.4979   11    811  0.613  0.886  0.386
Colgate                       7   0   2  219   34  0.801   25  1.437   25  0.650    8  1.164    7 0.6330    5 0.6699    2   1214  0.382  1.205  1.122
Navy                          5   2   1  134   81  0.535   32  1.352   32  0.504   40  0.411   46 0.5263   53 0.4929   17    464  0.412  0.478  0.344
Cornell                       6   2   0  258   83  0.552   33  1.337   33  0.473   38  0.474   43 0.5335   35 0.5371    7    955  0.989  1.114 -0.165
Wake Forest                   6   2   1  185   40  0.080   37  1.260   39  0.338   43  0.371   33 0.5529   13 0.6210   41      0  0.155  0.228  0.513
Furman                        7   3   0  116   75 -0.242   38  1.228   38  0.353   61 -0.003   45 0.5267   29 0.5570   42      0  0.277 -0.049  0.043
Syracuse                      8   1   1  202   27  0.311   41  1.140   40  0.322   17  0.914   24 0.5742   32 0.5479   21    241  0.190  0.798  1.029
Carnegie Tech                 5   2   1  161   47  0.314   48  1.068   48  0.225   54  0.148   49 0.5208   60 0.4762   12    737 -0.049 -0.142  0.437
Washington & Jefferson        6   2   1  165   50  0.203   50  1.055   51  0.200   51  0.167   51 0.5202   78 0.4195    9    840 -0.223 -0.235  0.569
Penn State                    4   4   1   67   66  0.575   51  1.053   50  0.203   50  0.200   54 0.5118   63 0.4691   52      0 -0.143 -0.152  0.551
Brown                         5   4   1  215   80  0.434   58  0.956   58  0.042   47  0.225   75 0.4631   83 0.4049   59      0  0.168  0.092  0.357
Harvard                       4   3   1  118   88  0.345   60  0.927   60 -0.007   56  0.111   48 0.5236   62 0.4694   61      0  0.039 -0.117  0.339
Davidson                      6   2   2  137   33 -0.522   63  0.878   63 -0.090   66 -0.062   61 0.4934   52 0.4955   64      0 -0.365 -0.547  0.423
Gonzaga                       7   2   2  203   68 -0.287   66  0.841   66 -0.151   62 -0.022   64 0.4886   49 0.5027   67      0  0.108 -0.199  0.155
Columbia                      6   3   1  288   55  0.379   68  0.797   68 -0.226   35  0.512   73 0.4712   87 0.3870   23    135  0.681  0.828  0.196
William & Mary                7   4   0  235   86 -0.303   70  0.762   70 -0.288   60 -0.002   71 0.4750   74 0.4316   70      0  0.812  0.446 -0.451
Oglethorpe                    8   3   0  119   92 -0.836   71  0.755   71 -0.299   84 -0.429   66 0.4852   72 0.4499   71      0  0.593 -0.197 -0.660
Citadel                       6   4   0  157   50 -0.625   81  0.616   82 -0.520   74 -0.297   82 0.4364   67 0.4598   81      0  0.195 -0.408 -0.185
Mercer                        4   5   0   89  108 -0.197   82  0.591   80 -0.496   87 -0.488   76 0.4628   56 0.4887   82      0  0.518 -0.326 -0.650
Newberry                      5   3   0  138   74 -0.856   85  0.558   85 -0.555   85 -0.438   86 0.4252   76 0.4238   85      0  0.964  0.174 -1.050
Duke                          4   5   0   58  142 -0.837   87  0.510   87 -0.625  101 -1.343   93 0.4018   90 0.3770   87      0  0.444 -1.248 -1.438
Michigan State                3   5   0  105  106  0.011   90  0.433   90 -0.754   73 -0.284   80 0.4506   85 0.3923   90      0  0.653  0.004 -0.573
Hampden-Sydney                3   5   1   84   99 -0.635   94  0.335   94 -0.869   94 -0.928   92 0.4039   88 0.3860   94      0  0.504 -0.779 -1.077
Presbyterian                  3   6   0   84  117 -0.830   97  0.273   97 -0.965   96 -1.107   98 0.3634   96 0.3560   97      0  0.517 -0.947 -1.268
Centre                        3   6   0   73  135 -0.759   98  0.185   98 -1.106  100 -1.314  100 0.3531  103 0.2740   98      0  0.217 -1.408 -1.220
Wofford                       3   7   0  134   76 -0.955  100  0.138  100 -1.240   95 -1.040  103 0.3277  104 0.2735  100      0 -0.212 -1.435 -0.645
Richmond                      3   6   0   41   81 -1.031  101  0.131  101 -1.251   98 -1.274   97 0.3700  100 0.3110  101      0 -0.338 -1.744 -0.804

MVIAA: strength=0.346 (#3)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Missouri                      6   1   1  110   44  0.695    6  1.798    6  1.156   16  0.933    3 0.6601    6 0.6696   14    575  0.435  1.020  0.846
Nebraska                      4   2   2   69   27  1.079    8  1.770    8  1.090    6  1.316    8 0.6318    9 0.6374   26     88 -0.352  0.838  1.793
Kansas State                  5   2   1   70   43  0.631   16  1.555   16  0.778   31  0.581   14 0.6075   18 0.5907   30      0 -0.014  0.316  0.847
Drake                         5   3   0   62   41  0.469   29  1.419   29  0.621   28  0.651   20 0.5882   31 0.5514   36      0  0.061  0.440  0.863
Oklahoma                      4   3   1   93   44  0.510   35  1.293   35  0.393   26  0.710   26 0.5690   34 0.5393   39      0  0.200  0.602  0.817
Iowa State                    4   3   1  107   93  0.301   45  1.107   45  0.292   48  0.225   32 0.5539   46 0.5085   48      0  0.916  0.784 -0.334
Kansas                        2   5   1   30   68  0.354   57  0.959   57  0.049   65 -0.034   58 0.5011   71 0.4503   58      0 -0.330 -0.499  0.431
Grinnell                      3   3   2   82   69 -0.098   76  0.684   76 -0.408   63 -0.025   68 0.4815   80 0.4114   76      0  0.230 -0.109  0.058
Washington (Missouri)         2   5   1   29   95 -0.029   79  0.635   79 -0.484   89 -0.554   77 0.4531   82 0.4050   79      0 -0.075 -0.861 -0.247
Oklahoma State                2   5   1   41  115 -0.481   96  0.321   96 -0.890   93 -0.888   90 0.4179   92 0.3721   96      0  0.576 -0.672 -1.104

PCC: strength=0.708 (#2)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington                   10   1   1  480   59  1.151    2  1.977    2  1.480    4  1.656    9 0.6207    3 0.6860    3   1132  0.635  1.928  1.385
Southern California          11   2   0  456   55  0.405   17  1.542   17  0.754    5  1.413   28 0.5654   25 0.5803   19    378  0.823  1.873  0.952
Oregon State                  7   2   0  268   81  0.440   21  1.527   21  0.731   23  0.739   37 0.5469   23 0.5808   29      4  0.812  1.188  0.291
Stanford                      7   2   0  231   71  0.940   30  1.418   30  0.618   13  1.022   19 0.5900    7 0.6640    6    972  0.879  1.542  0.502
Montana                       3   4   1  143  128  0.435   53  0.998   53  0.112   49  0.202   70 0.4770   42 0.5183   54      0  1.014  0.869 -0.466
Washington State              3   4   1   67  104  0.455   56  0.961   56  0.051   55  0.122   65 0.4878   40 0.5199   57      0  0.142 -0.030  0.274
California                    6   3   0  192   49  0.595   65  0.854   65 -0.130   19  0.837   56 0.5029   45 0.5090   66      0  0.547  1.025  0.649
Idaho                         3   5   0   79  153  0.005   78  0.668   78 -0.431   79 -0.399   85 0.4279   81 0.4099   78      0  0.654 -0.109 -0.689
Oregon                        1   5   1   53  108  0.279   95  0.322   95 -0.890   70 -0.208   95 0.3799   97 0.3554   95      0  0.658  0.086 -0.503

Rocky Mountain: strength=-0.647 (#7)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah State                    6   1   0  111   39 -0.295   27  1.422   28  0.622   53  0.158   25 0.5741   11 0.6274   34      0  0.210  0.058  0.257
Utah                          6   2   0  110   51  0.024   31  1.354   31  0.507   41  0.397   31 0.5561   10 0.6307   37      0  0.309  0.377  0.417
Colorado State                9   1   0  228   79 -0.394   36  1.291   36  0.385   32  0.569   21 0.5820    4 0.6707   40      0  0.808  1.013  0.125
Wyoming                       6   3   0  147   83 -0.518   61  0.908   61 -0.042   71 -0.225   72 0.4750   39 0.5280   62      0  0.467 -0.109 -0.340
Brigham Young                 3   3   0   69   81 -0.474   67  0.832   67 -0.162   88 -0.509   69 0.4793   41 0.5184   68      0  0.654 -0.220 -0.799
Colorado                      6   3   0  156   45 -0.388   73  0.736   73 -0.326   46  0.257   59 0.4977   20 0.5851   73      0  0.309  0.237  0.277
Montana State                 6   5   0  291   84 -0.497   84  0.567   84 -0.539   72 -0.271   94 0.4006   79 0.4147   84      0  0.593 -0.039 -0.502
Colorado College              5   4   1   99   86 -0.810   89  0.470   89 -0.692   91 -0.647   81 0.4394   51 0.4970   89      0  0.343 -0.639 -0.656
Western State                 3   4   0   55  112 -1.159   93  0.380   93 -0.796   99 -1.310   96 0.3717   84 0.3930   93      0  0.395 -1.257 -1.362
Denver                        1   6   0   27  152 -1.221  102  0.056  102 -1.378  104 -1.696  102 0.3306   93 0.3720  102      0  0.363 -1.672 -1.721
Colorado Mines                2   7   0   57  181 -1.204  103  0.032  103 -1.467  103 -1.613  101 0.3324   94 0.3665  103      0  0.736 -1.243 -1.984
Northern Colorado             2   6   1  126  106 -1.315  104  0.000  104 -1.502   97 -1.237  104 0.2884  102 0.2857  104      0  0.637 -0.964 -1.510

Southern: strength=0.110 (#5)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama                      10   0   0  297   26  1.004    1  2.197    1  1.853    2  2.064    1 0.7072    1 0.7311    1   1228  0.426  2.144  1.985
Tulane                        9   0   1  246   32  0.155    7  1.774    7  1.092   10  1.087    5 0.6441   12 0.6259   22    178  0.345  1.097  1.077
Florida                       8   2   0  218   80  0.327   13  1.595   13  0.844   25  0.729   16 0.5935   15 0.6093   24    107  0.820  1.187  0.272
Virginia                      7   1   1  144   31  0.012   14  1.591   14  0.837   37  0.485   22 0.5760   24 0.5808   27     33 -0.117  0.150  0.820
Georgia Tech                  6   2   1  102   48  0.471   19  1.535   19  0.745   22  0.743   12 0.6112   21 0.5825   31      0 -0.029  0.467  1.019
North Carolina                7   1   1  123   20 -0.069   22  1.495   22  0.675   24  0.736   18 0.5906   16 0.5985   32      0 -0.153  0.378  1.093
Auburn                        5   3   1   81  114 -0.032   40  1.162   37  0.361   75 -0.307   41 0.5386   36 0.5339   44      0  0.567 -0.100 -0.514
Washington & Lee              5   5   0  111  104  0.442   44  1.118   44  0.310   33  0.533   34 0.5519   28 0.5640   47      0  0.674  0.842  0.224
Georgia                       4   5   0  133   91  0.614   46  1.080   46  0.250   21  0.817   36 0.5471   30 0.5536   49      0  0.605  1.060  0.574
Kentucky                      6   3   0   92   97 -0.284   47  1.077   47  0.242   68 -0.204   44 0.5313   55 0.4899   50      0  0.323 -0.212 -0.195
Vanderbilt                    6   3   0  158   63  0.025   49  1.065   49  0.220   45  0.340   42 0.5360   65 0.4666   51      0  0.541  0.522  0.157
Tennessee                     5   2   1  129   73 -0.221   54  0.983   54  0.085   64 -0.031   52 0.5197   66 0.4603   55      0  0.820  0.426 -0.487
Sewanee                       4   4   1  118   89  0.257   55  0.971   55  0.067   67 -0.113   55 0.5034   57 0.4786   56      0  0.225 -0.201 -0.025
South Carolina                7   3   0  150   27 -0.553   62  0.903   62 -0.051   59  0.055   67 0.4830   59 0.4769   63      0 -0.006 -0.204  0.314
Louisiana State               5   3   1   90   70 -0.367   64  0.858   64 -0.122   86 -0.473   63 0.4887   68 0.4585   65      0 -0.613 -1.087  0.140
Virginia Tech                 5   3   2   39   52 -0.382   72  0.741   72 -0.316   83 -0.427   57 0.5016   54 0.4929   72      0 -0.758 -1.105  0.252
Mississippi                   5   5   0  147   87 -0.051   74  0.700   74 -0.383   76 -0.314   88 0.4226  101 0.2945   74      0  0.262 -0.372 -0.256
Virginia Military Institute   5   5   0  153  108 -0.275   75  0.689   75 -0.400   78 -0.347   78 0.4531   75 0.4290   75      0  0.897  0.192 -0.887
North Carolina State          3   5   1   51   72 -0.311   77  0.677   77 -0.418   80 -0.410   79 0.4516   69 0.4528   77      0 -0.068 -0.712 -0.108
Mississippi State             3   4   1  101   60  0.404   80  0.627   81 -0.501   52  0.161   62 0.4896   64 0.4688   80      0 -0.189 -0.220  0.541
Maryland                      3   5   0   63   89  0.017   83  0.573   83 -0.526   81 -0.410   91 0.4145   91 0.3754   83      0  0.201 -0.517 -0.304
Clemson                       1   7   0   18  160 -0.713   99  0.158   99 -1.146  102 -1.568   99 0.3559   95 0.3566   99      0  0.224 -1.656 -1.479

SWC: strength=-0.226 (#6)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M                     7   1   1  191   25 -0.165   34  1.299   34  0.400   27  0.660   23 0.5744   26 0.5756   38      0 -0.059  0.365  0.956
Texas                         6   2   1  157   51 -0.045   39  1.206   41  0.318   39  0.431   40 0.5420   43 0.5143   43      0  0.477  0.555  0.306
Southern Methodist            5   2   2  148   41 -0.096   52  1.010   52  0.128   57  0.108   47 0.5254   61 0.4717   53      0 -0.006 -0.152  0.367
Texas Christian               7   1   1  133   54 -0.743   59  0.936   59  0.004   77 -0.331   53 0.5146   48 0.5039   60      0  0.191 -0.446 -0.217
Arkansas                      4   4   1   95   61 -0.494   86  0.550   86 -0.564   82 -0.420   74 0.4676   73 0.4379   86      0  0.023 -0.659 -0.181
Baylor                        3   5   2   79  115 -0.283   91  0.414   91 -0.786   90 -0.633   83 0.4354   77 0.4234   91      0  0.205 -0.737 -0.529
Rice                          4   4   1   85   79 -0.672   92  0.381   92 -0.795   92 -0.769   84 0.4329   89 0.3777   92      0  0.392 -0.719 -0.818

Western: strength=0.721 (#1)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan                      7   1   0  227    3  1.038    3  1.924    3  1.390    1  2.212    6 0.6393   17 0.5973    5   1020 -0.113  1.880  2.544
Wisconsin                     6   1   1  131   50  0.789    5  1.831    5  1.210   11  1.062   11 0.6158   27 0.5696   16    481  0.389  1.110  1.015
Northwestern                  5   3   0   81   69  0.711   15  1.564   15  0.794   34  0.512   35 0.5490   37 0.5320   25     91  0.561  0.713  0.311
Illinois                      5   3   0   98   59  0.942   18  1.538   18  0.751   18  0.866   27 0.5676   38 0.5280   28     13  0.662  1.163  0.569
Minnesota                     5   2   1  176   85  0.764   26  1.427   26  0.635   20  0.817   30 0.5586   44 0.5124   20    252  1.026  1.498  0.136
Iowa                          5   3   0  121   74  0.672   28  1.421   27  0.625   36  0.503   39 0.5439   47 0.5067   35      0  0.313  0.486  0.520
Ohio State                    4   3   1   55   45  0.462   42  1.133   42  0.315   42  0.373   60 0.4947   86 0.3887   45      0 -0.347 -0.102  0.848
Chicago                       3   4   1   44   76  0.563   43  1.120   43  0.314   44  0.361   50 0.5207   70 0.4517   46      0 -0.060  0.064  0.658
Indiana                       3   4   1  102  115  0.237   69  0.788   69 -0.240   69 -0.204   87 0.4230   99 0.3179   69      0  0.333 -0.204 -0.203
Purdue                        3   4   1  119   39  0.148   88  0.500   88 -0.643   58  0.068   89 0.4207   98 0.3311   88      0 -0.325 -0.394  0.530

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE       W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Western         46  28   6 0.613    1  0.721
PCC             51  28   4 0.639    2  0.708
MVIAA           37  32  11 0.531    3  0.346
Independent    189 102  19 0.640    4  0.142
Southern       119  71  12 0.619    5  0.110
SWC             36  19   9 0.633    6 -0.226
Rocky Mountain  55  45   2 0.549    7 -0.647

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.269 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:13:43 2007

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