Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern California          10   1   0  363   52  1.799    1  2.930    1  2.463    1  3.087    1 0.7532    1 0.7291    1   1250  1.039  3.779  2.394
Tulane                       11   1   0  350   56  1.287    2  2.697    2  2.136    2  2.176    3 0.6812    4 0.6623    3   1129  0.576  2.387  1.964
Georgia                       8   2   0  201  118  1.155    3  2.471    3  1.782    7  1.516    5 0.6636    7 0.6517    8    822  0.791  1.940  1.093
Tennessee                     9   0   1  243   15  0.917    4  2.456    4  1.754    5  1.881    6 0.6635    3 0.6987    2   1199  0.008  1.628  2.134
Notre Dame                    6   2   1  215   40  1.456    5  2.328    8  1.523    3  2.095   12 0.6230   19 0.6048   12    686  0.282  2.050  2.141
Northwestern                  7   1   1  138   40  0.857    6  2.298    5  1.628   10  1.376   10 0.6324   12 0.6179   16    518  0.291  1.338  1.415
Pittsburgh                    8   1   0  280   37  1.055    7  2.254    7  1.539    4  1.974   13 0.6191   16 0.6136   10    812  0.850  2.459  1.489
California                    8   2   0  106   41  1.132    8  2.253    6  1.540   13  1.298    4 0.6695   13 0.6172    6    987 -0.321  0.835  1.762
Alabama                       9   1   0  370   57  0.801    9  2.232    9  1.494    6  1.684    9 0.6334    9 0.6438    9    813  0.936  2.262  1.106
Army                          8   2   1  296   72  0.975   10  2.135   10  1.309   12  1.363   21 0.5918   24 0.5936    7    950  0.435  1.447  1.280
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
St. Mary's                    8   2   0  119   65  1.189   11  2.100   12  1.251   11  1.373    2 0.6956    2 0.7136    4   1117  0.297  1.340  1.407
Southern Methodist            9   1   1  160   48  0.497   12  2.091   11  1.303   22  0.987   11 0.6235    8 0.6487   19    322  0.224  0.895  1.079
Harvard                       7   1   0  149   29  0.578   13  2.053   13  1.232   25  0.967   17 0.5956   28 0.5649    5   1017  0.204  0.859  1.075
Purdue                        9   1   0  192   39  0.289   14  2.028   14  1.180   20  1.060   22 0.5892   34 0.5615   15    554  0.482  1.186  0.935
Washington State              6   4   0  123  111  1.082   15  1.992   15  1.120   23  0.986   15 0.6156   26 0.5726   28      0  0.443  1.077  0.895
Washington                    5   3   1  166   83  1.070   16  1.986   16  1.071   18  1.099   14 0.6182   38 0.5494   29      0  0.318  1.083  1.116
Nebraska                      8   2   0  136   82  0.144   17  1.965   17  1.027   43  0.452   20 0.5918   10 0.6344   30      0  0.170  0.318  0.586
New York University           6   3   1  212   47  1.105   18  1.939   21  0.983   14  1.287   25 0.5873   22 0.5976   22    191 -0.001  1.028  1.547
Colgate                       8   1   0  227   34  0.421   19  1.901   18  1.019   29  0.893   26 0.5869   23 0.5967   13    685  0.576  1.105  0.682
Oregon State                  6   3   1  198   62  1.133   20  1.886   20  0.996   15  1.204   18 0.5949   18 0.6083   17    491 -0.078  0.892  1.516
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oregon                        6   2   2   90   87  1.203   21  1.877   19  1.005   21  1.035    7 0.6615    6 0.6606   11    719 -0.004  0.773  1.297
Vanderbilt                    5   4   0  192  103  1.199   22  1.854   22  0.968   16  1.198   19 0.5923   20 0.6048   31      0  0.818  1.650  0.747
Yale                          5   1   2  198   79  0.636   23  1.834   23  0.930   28  0.896   31 0.5639   47 0.5256   18    382  0.945  1.484  0.308
Stanford                      7   2   2  160   44  1.195   24  1.791   24  0.859    9  1.387    8 0.6353   21 0.5980   14    640  0.028  1.148  1.627
Ohio State                    6   3   0  194   74  0.700   25  1.785   26  0.850   19  1.070   32 0.5618   43 0.5400   32      0  0.750  1.451  0.688
Michigan                      8   1   1  181   27  0.136   26  1.757   25  0.856   26  0.920   40 0.5529   58 0.4888   33      0 -0.204  0.527  1.314
Syracuse                      7   1   1  238   56  0.244   27  1.748   27  0.841   35  0.632   33 0.5606   37 0.5496   20    305  0.609  0.875  0.390
Cornell                       7   1   0  239   20  0.245   28  1.735   28  0.812   27  0.903   34 0.5593   44 0.5393   21    273 -0.208  0.507  1.299
Columbia                      7   1   1  223   26  0.296   29  1.692   30  0.778   31  0.769   35 0.5582   39 0.5491   24    100 -0.082  0.453  1.084
Minnesota                     7   3   0  191   72  0.715   30  1.691   29  0.779   24  0.970   30 0.5666   27 0.5656   27      3  0.595  1.199  0.740
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M                     7   3   0  137   34  0.505   31  1.667   31  0.736   30  0.815   29 0.5682   33 0.5631   34      0 -0.308  0.359  1.271
Maryland                      8   1   1  194   98 -0.309   32  1.619   32  0.643   50  0.115   36 0.5574   35 0.5580   35      0  0.978  0.739 -0.509
Temple                        8   1   1  158   42 -0.176   33  1.607   33  0.623   44  0.449   37 0.5569   30 0.5636   36      0  0.239  0.368  0.529
Dartmouth                     5   3   1  216  110  0.893   34  1.587   34  0.592   32  0.712   46 0.5290   48 0.5246   25     95  1.242  1.647 -0.222
Utah                          7   2   0  301   31  0.389   35  1.583   35  0.577    8  1.429   39 0.5549   15 0.6154   37      0  0.697  1.758  1.101
Texas Christian               9   2   1  159   41  0.186   36  1.578   36  0.570   41  0.508   23 0.5884   17 0.6098   38      0 -0.614 -0.110  1.125
Marquette                     8   1   0  172   25 -0.506   37  1.570   37  0.552   47  0.234   27 0.5850   14 0.6168   39      0  0.133  0.071  0.396
Kentucky                      5   2   2  130   48  0.217   38  1.562   38  0.543   39  0.580   42 0.5507   25 0.5782   40      0  0.202  0.471  0.690
Bucknell                      6   0   3  148   47  0.238   39  1.554   39  0.529   40  0.522   16 0.6081    5 0.6613   23    182 -0.141  0.169  0.876
Fordham                       6   1   2  205   36  0.426   40  1.501   40  0.390   17  1.155   24 0.5881   11 0.6207   26      8  0.728  1.514  0.796
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kansas State                  8   2   0  164   39 -0.202   41  1.483   41  0.359   38  0.588   44 0.5403   42 0.5405   41      0  0.118  0.415  0.762
Texas                         6   4   0  131   58  0.315   42  1.477   42  0.352   37  0.620   47 0.5268   51 0.5131   42      0  0.092  0.427  0.813
Auburn                        5   3   1  114   78  0.394   43  1.471   43  0.343   42  0.507   41 0.5514   41 0.5431   43      0  0.162  0.367  0.648
Michigan State                5   3   1  291   61  0.506   44  1.436   44  0.281   33  0.663   55 0.4974   65 0.4675   44      0  0.696  0.990  0.336
Idaho                         3   4   0   75  106  0.597   45  1.420   45  0.256   53  0.036   45 0.5359   67 0.4631   45      0  0.745  0.412 -0.340
Wisconsin                     5   4   1  105  110  0.208   46  1.413   46  0.240   59 -0.087   54 0.4987   66 0.4674   46      0  0.425 -0.012 -0.162
Detroit Mercy                 7   2   1  112   71 -0.048   47  1.379   47  0.185   46  0.235   28 0.5747   29 0.5639   47      0  0.293  0.198  0.271
Sewanee                       6   3   1   70   98  0.030   48  1.349   48  0.137   61 -0.209   43 0.5491   36 0.5539   48      0 -0.373 -0.702  0.284
Rice                          6   4   0  178   66  0.115   49  1.333   49  0.113   45  0.448   56 0.4972   57 0.4900   49      0  0.652  0.732  0.164
North Carolina                4   3   3  114   92 -0.009   50  1.327   50  0.104   51  0.074   48 0.5204   49 0.5215   50      0  0.356  0.090  0.058
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pennsylvania                  6   3   0  121   94 -0.156   51  1.315   51  0.078   66 -0.270   58 0.4912   86 0.3955   51      0  0.514 -0.116 -0.425
Louisiana State               5   4   0  137   90  0.086   52  1.293   52  0.040   48  0.230   49 0.5202   56 0.4911   52      0  0.560  0.427  0.034
UCLA                          3   4   1   83   57  0.916   53  1.264   53 -0.007   36  0.630   38 0.5563   52 0.5105   53      0  0.091  0.436  0.823
Oklahoma State                8   2   1  183   61 -0.438   54  1.257   54 -0.026   52  0.045   50 0.5192   31 0.5635   54      0  0.154 -0.101  0.192
Utah State                    6   2   0  147   72 -0.933   55  1.243   55 -0.050   74 -0.533   62 0.4739   46 0.5333   55      0  0.316 -0.551 -0.516
Iowa State                    5   3   0   72   74 -0.359   56  1.225   56 -0.080   72 -0.469   52 0.5092   50 0.5155   56      0  0.244 -0.546 -0.393
Carnegie Tech                 3   5   1   82   76  0.825   57  1.206   57 -0.109   34  0.639   57 0.4930   64 0.4693   57      0  0.207  0.533  0.745
Washington & Jefferson        6   4   0  112   89  0.040   58  1.172   58 -0.111   58 -0.036   53 0.5043   54 0.5048   58      0  0.472  0.081 -0.153
Duke                          5   3   2   74   46 -0.290   59  1.161   59 -0.127   57 -0.019   51 0.5112   45 0.5375   59      0 -0.594 -0.627  0.588
Villanova                     4   3   2  131   62 -0.060   60  1.133   60 -0.134   62 -0.217   67 0.4666   68 0.4618   60      0  0.201 -0.327 -0.106
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida                       2   6   2   73  168  0.298   61  1.116   61 -0.156   67 -0.299   60 0.4764   69 0.4536   61      0  0.468 -0.186 -0.411
Colorado                      5   3   0  111   94 -0.825   62  1.088   62 -0.213   78 -0.605   64 0.4685   53 0.5068   62      0  0.425 -0.530 -0.680
Indiana                       2   5   1   51   98  0.507   63  1.069   63 -0.245   56  0.007   74 0.4517   74 0.4336   63      0  0.281 -0.040  0.053
Navy                          5   5   1   78   95  0.294   64  1.030   64 -0.318   55  0.007   59 0.4854   61 0.4867   64      0 -0.389 -0.495  0.509
Brown                         7   3   0  184  100 -0.394   65  1.027   66 -0.327   60 -0.105   73 0.4588   85 0.3992   65      0  0.656  0.183 -0.394
Georgia Tech                  2   7   1   98  207  0.319   66  1.024   65 -0.325   64 -0.241   65 0.4682   91 0.3848   66      0  0.976  0.380 -0.863
Colorado State                5   4   0  137  138 -0.538   67  1.023   67 -0.331   70 -0.357   61 0.4753   32 0.5635   67      0  1.087  0.391 -1.105
Centenary                     5   5   0  145  102 -0.199   68  0.958   68 -0.443   73 -0.486   83 0.4255   98 0.3633   68      0  0.373 -0.456 -0.516
West Virginia                 4   6   0   91  122 -0.018   69  0.936   69 -0.479   63 -0.221   78 0.4379   88 0.3913   69      0  0.404 -0.165 -0.278
South Carolina                5   4   1  146   79 -0.313   70  0.932   71 -0.486   54  0.021   63 0.4715   73 0.4345   70      0  0.526  0.186 -0.144
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa                          1   6   1    7  131  0.460   71  0.930   70 -0.484   80 -0.691   81 0.4351   81 0.4204   71      0 -0.803 -1.392  0.010
Georgetown                    4   5   1   78   86  0.008   72  0.910   72 -0.525   65 -0.256   69 0.4660   79 0.4253   72      0 -0.141 -0.610  0.098
Arkansas                      3   5   1   82  126 -0.139   73  0.904   73 -0.532   77 -0.585   86 0.4155   93 0.3802   73      0  0.640 -0.312 -0.858
Baylor                        3   6   0  100  134  0.028   74  0.903   74 -0.561   75 -0.554   84 0.4206   96 0.3736   74      0  0.790 -0.132 -0.976
Arizona State                 6   2   0  169   66 -1.414   75  0.887   75 -0.598   76 -0.566   72 0.4595   60 0.4868   75      0  0.672 -0.263 -0.870
Kansas                        5   5   0  112   54 -0.506   76  0.817   76 -0.708   68 -0.350   76 0.4410   72 0.4391   76      0 -0.008 -0.615 -0.086
Oklahoma                      4   7   1   88  108 -0.197   77  0.812   77 -0.739   69 -0.356   80 0.4368   80 0.4236   77      0 -0.116 -0.694 -0.019
Gonzaga                       3   4   0  116   59  0.073   78  0.806   78 -0.748   49  0.216   75 0.4481  101 0.3366   78      0  0.327  0.208  0.225
Colorado College              4   4   0   71  123 -1.210   79  0.801   79 -0.758   99 -1.240   90 0.4070   71 0.4410   79      0  0.405 -1.183 -1.297
Wyoming                       6   4   0  170   75 -1.119   80  0.786   80 -0.788   83 -0.839   82 0.4339   55 0.4967   80      0  0.571 -0.632 -1.046
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Grinnell                      5   3   0   94   57 -1.438   81  0.775   81 -0.805   92 -1.070   92 0.3980  104 0.3287   81      0 -0.199 -1.461 -0.680
Wake Forest                   4   4   0   45  138 -0.829   82  0.766   82 -0.818   97 -1.227   68 0.4664   40 0.5456   82      0  0.387 -1.185 -1.269
Washington & Lee              4   5   1   69   90 -0.742   83  0.764   83 -0.820   85 -0.905   85 0.4157   94 0.3783   83      0 -0.077 -1.217 -0.593
Virginia Tech                 3   4   2   76  104 -0.674   84  0.749   84 -0.825   84 -0.886   77 0.4398   77 0.4296   84      0  0.118 -1.059 -0.712
Mississippi                   2   6   1   73  210 -0.198   85  0.740   85 -0.840   82 -0.837   70 0.4642   75 0.4336   85      0  0.692 -0.514 -1.161
Illinois                      2   6   0   58  140 -0.102   86  0.707   86 -0.901   81 -0.801   99 0.3839   99 0.3401   86      0  0.318 -0.817 -0.785
Brigham Young                 4   4   0   69  104 -1.100   87  0.706   87 -0.907   89 -1.018   96 0.3905   70 0.4509   87      0  0.102 -1.204 -0.833
Davidson                      4   4   2   54   72 -0.946   88  0.701   88 -0.915   91 -1.069   87 0.4155   82 0.4180   88      0 -0.190 -1.454 -0.684
Drake                         5   6   0  130  226 -0.923   89  0.693   89 -0.925   94 -1.073   66 0.4675   62 0.4813   89      0  0.977 -0.450 -1.696
New Mexico State              6   4   0  149   90 -1.283   90  0.684   90 -0.940   90 -1.031   94 0.3941   92 0.3834   90      0  0.550 -0.843 -1.218
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Chicago                       2   6   1   64  124 -0.259   91  0.642   91 -1.003   79 -0.687   97 0.3879  100 0.3392   91      0  0.612 -0.441 -0.933
Missouri                      2   8   0   72  193 -0.285   92  0.611   92 -1.050   87 -0.976   88 0.4125   78 0.4287   92      0  0.834 -0.508 -1.445
Montana                       1   6   0   56  155  0.192   93  0.592   93 -1.090   71 -0.425   71 0.4632   90 0.3873   93      0  0.549 -0.238 -0.612
North Carolina State          3   6   0   60  104 -0.887   94  0.558   94 -1.160   93 -1.071   89 0.4097   87 0.3916   94      0  0.524 -0.907 -1.234
Creighton                     4   5   0   83  107 -1.093   95  0.550   95 -1.174   95 -1.076   79 0.4374   59 0.4882   95      0  0.010 -1.328 -0.824
New Mexico                    3   3   1   80   70 -1.491   96  0.522   97 -1.220  100 -1.260  104 0.3612  105 0.3199   96      0  0.307 -1.286 -1.234
Arizona                       3   5   1   72  149 -1.089   97  0.502   96 -1.207  106 -1.653  101 0.3719   89 0.3911   97      0  0.620 -1.400 -1.906
Virginia Military Institute   3   6   1   82  123 -0.758   98  0.483   98 -1.234   88 -0.993   93 0.3978   84 0.4016   98      0  0.853 -0.505 -1.481
Denver                        4   6   0  104  143 -1.199   99  0.481   99 -1.238  102 -1.346  103 0.3670   83 0.4159   99      0  0.388 -1.303 -1.389
Mississippi State             2   6   0   47  187 -0.694  100  0.461  100 -1.272  104 -1.401   95 0.3931  102 0.3334  100      0  0.465 -1.291 -1.512
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northern Arizona              3   5   0   94  125 -1.257  101  0.428  101 -1.329  101 -1.312  100 0.3775   63 0.4737  101      0  0.766 -0.914 -1.710
Virginia                      1   7   2   40  112 -0.565  102  0.375  102 -1.410   96 -1.104  102 0.3699  103 0.3305  102      0 -0.289 -1.548 -0.659
Penn State                    2   8   0   69  167 -0.147  103  0.358  103 -1.438   86 -0.937   98 0.3845   95 0.3775  103      0  0.268 -0.995 -0.880
Clemson                       1   6   2   19  164 -0.674  104  0.339  104 -1.469   98 -1.231   91 0.4062   76 0.4335  104      0 -0.106 -1.562 -0.899
Montana State                 1   5   1   45  141 -1.013  105  0.302  105 -1.530  107 -1.864  107 0.3100  109 0.2345  105      0  0.917 -1.307 -2.421
Princeton                     1   7   0   55  164 -0.519  106  0.283  106 -1.562  103 -1.362  105 0.3352  107 0.2730  106      0  0.619 -1.109 -1.614
Northern Colorado             2   4   1   50   69 -1.575  107  0.204  107 -1.715  105 -1.538  106 0.3260   97 0.3684  107      0  0.061 -1.753 -1.322
Washington (Missouri)         2   7   0   26  194 -1.493  108  0.138  108 -1.824  110 -2.817  108 0.2924  110 0.2084  108      0  0.184 -2.940 -2.694
Colorado Mines                1   5   1   26  150 -1.898  109  0.055  109 -1.963  109 -2.639  110 0.2532  108 0.2445  109      0  0.475 -2.520 -2.758
Western State                 1   6   0   55  127 -1.781  110  0.000  110 -2.179  108 -2.152  109 0.2659  106 0.2832  110      0  0.865 -1.650 -2.653
UNRANKED                     46 211  18 1488 6185 -0.501      -1.000      -1.000      -1.335      0.4054      0.4005           0  0.662 -1.040 -1.629


Big 6: strength=-0.212 (#6)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska                      8   2   0  136   82  0.144   17  1.965   17  1.027   43  0.452   20 0.5918   10 0.6344   30      0  0.170  0.318  0.586
Kansas State                  8   2   0  164   39 -0.202   41  1.483   41  0.359   38  0.588   44 0.5403   42 0.5405   41      0  0.118  0.415  0.762
Iowa State                    5   3   0   72   74 -0.359   56  1.225   56 -0.080   72 -0.469   52 0.5092   50 0.5155   56      0  0.244 -0.546 -0.393
Kansas                        5   5   0  112   54 -0.506   76  0.817   76 -0.708   68 -0.350   76 0.4410   72 0.4391   76      0 -0.008 -0.615 -0.086
Oklahoma                      4   7   1   88  108 -0.197   77  0.812   77 -0.739   69 -0.356   80 0.4368   80 0.4236   77      0 -0.116 -0.694 -0.019
Missouri                      2   8   0   72  193 -0.285   92  0.611   92 -1.050   87 -0.976   88 0.4125   78 0.4287   92      0  0.834 -0.508 -1.445

Border: strength=-1.383 (#9)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona State                 6   2   0  169   66 -1.414   75  0.887   75 -0.598   76 -0.566   72 0.4595   60 0.4868   75      0  0.672 -0.263 -0.870
New Mexico State              6   4   0  149   90 -1.283   90  0.684   90 -0.940   90 -1.031   94 0.3941   92 0.3834   90      0  0.550 -0.843 -1.218
New Mexico                    3   3   1   80   70 -1.491   96  0.522   97 -1.220  100 -1.260  104 0.3612  105 0.3199   96      0  0.307 -1.286 -1.234
Arizona                       3   5   1   72  149 -1.089   97  0.502   96 -1.207  106 -1.653  101 0.3719   89 0.3911   97      0  0.620 -1.400 -1.906
Northern Arizona              3   5   0   94  125 -1.257  101  0.428  101 -1.329  101 -1.312  100 0.3775   63 0.4737  101      0  0.766 -0.914 -1.710

Independent: strength=0.436 (#2)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame                    6   2   1  215   40  1.456    5  2.328    8  1.523    3  2.095   12 0.6230   19 0.6048   12    686  0.282  2.050  2.141
Pittsburgh                    8   1   0  280   37  1.055    7  2.254    7  1.539    4  1.974   13 0.6191   16 0.6136   10    812  0.850  2.459  1.489
Army                          8   2   1  296   72  0.975   10  2.135   10  1.309   12  1.363   21 0.5918   24 0.5936    7    950  0.435  1.447  1.280
St. Mary's                    8   2   0  119   65  1.189   11  2.100   12  1.251   11  1.373    2 0.6956    2 0.7136    4   1117  0.297  1.340  1.407
Harvard                       7   1   0  149   29  0.578   13  2.053   13  1.232   25  0.967   17 0.5956   28 0.5649    5   1017  0.204  0.859  1.075
New York University           6   3   1  212   47  1.105   18  1.939   21  0.983   14  1.287   25 0.5873   22 0.5976   22    191 -0.001  1.028  1.547
Colgate                       8   1   0  227   34  0.421   19  1.901   18  1.019   29  0.893   26 0.5869   23 0.5967   13    685  0.576  1.105  0.682
Yale                          5   1   2  198   79  0.636   23  1.834   23  0.930   28  0.896   31 0.5639   47 0.5256   18    382  0.945  1.484  0.308
Syracuse                      7   1   1  238   56  0.244   27  1.748   27  0.841   35  0.632   33 0.5606   37 0.5496   20    305  0.609  0.875  0.390
Cornell                       7   1   0  239   20  0.245   28  1.735   28  0.812   27  0.903   34 0.5593   44 0.5393   21    273 -0.208  0.507  1.299
Columbia                      7   1   1  223   26  0.296   29  1.692   30  0.778   31  0.769   35 0.5582   39 0.5491   24    100 -0.082  0.453  1.084
Temple                        8   1   1  158   42 -0.176   33  1.607   33  0.623   44  0.449   37 0.5569   30 0.5636   36      0  0.239  0.368  0.529
Dartmouth                     5   3   1  216  110  0.893   34  1.587   34  0.592   32  0.712   46 0.5290   48 0.5246   25     95  1.242  1.647 -0.222
Marquette                     8   1   0  172   25 -0.506   37  1.570   37  0.552   47  0.234   27 0.5850   14 0.6168   39      0  0.133  0.071  0.396
Bucknell                      6   0   3  148   47  0.238   39  1.554   39  0.529   40  0.522   16 0.6081    5 0.6613   23    182 -0.141  0.169  0.876
Fordham                       6   1   2  205   36  0.426   40  1.501   40  0.390   17  1.155   24 0.5881   11 0.6207   26      8  0.728  1.514  0.796
Michigan State                5   3   1  291   61  0.506   44  1.436   44  0.281   33  0.663   55 0.4974   65 0.4675   44      0  0.696  0.990  0.336
Detroit Mercy                 7   2   1  112   71 -0.048   47  1.379   47  0.185   46  0.235   28 0.5747   29 0.5639   47      0  0.293  0.198  0.271
Pennsylvania                  6   3   0  121   94 -0.156   51  1.315   51  0.078   66 -0.270   58 0.4912   86 0.3955   51      0  0.514 -0.116 -0.425
Carnegie Tech                 3   5   1   82   76  0.825   57  1.206   57 -0.109   34  0.639   57 0.4930   64 0.4693   57      0  0.207  0.533  0.745
Washington & Jefferson        6   4   0  112   89  0.040   58  1.172   58 -0.111   58 -0.036   53 0.5043   54 0.5048   58      0  0.472  0.081 -0.153
Villanova                     4   3   2  131   62 -0.060   60  1.133   60 -0.134   62 -0.217   67 0.4666   68 0.4618   60      0  0.201 -0.327 -0.106
Navy                          5   5   1   78   95  0.294   64  1.030   64 -0.318   55  0.007   59 0.4854   61 0.4867   64      0 -0.389 -0.495  0.509
Brown                         7   3   0  184  100 -0.394   65  1.027   66 -0.327   60 -0.105   73 0.4588   85 0.3992   65      0  0.656  0.183 -0.394
Centenary                     5   5   0  145  102 -0.199   68  0.958   68 -0.443   73 -0.486   83 0.4255   98 0.3633   68      0  0.373 -0.456 -0.516
West Virginia                 4   6   0   91  122 -0.018   69  0.936   69 -0.479   63 -0.221   78 0.4379   88 0.3913   69      0  0.404 -0.165 -0.278
Georgetown                    4   5   1   78   86  0.008   72  0.910   72 -0.525   65 -0.256   69 0.4660   79 0.4253   72      0 -0.141 -0.610  0.098
Gonzaga                       3   4   0  116   59  0.073   78  0.806   78 -0.748   49  0.216   75 0.4481  101 0.3366   78      0  0.327  0.208  0.225
Wake Forest                   4   4   0   45  138 -0.829   82  0.766   82 -0.818   97 -1.227   68 0.4664   40 0.5456   82      0  0.387 -1.185 -1.269
Davidson                      4   4   2   54   72 -0.946   88  0.701   88 -0.915   91 -1.069   87 0.4155   82 0.4180   88      0 -0.190 -1.454 -0.684
Penn State                    2   8   0   69  167 -0.147  103  0.358  103 -1.438   86 -0.937   98 0.3845   95 0.3775  103      0  0.268 -0.995 -0.880
Princeton                     1   7   0   55  164 -0.519  106  0.283  106 -1.562  103 -1.362  105 0.3352  107 0.2730  106      0  0.619 -1.109 -1.614

MVC: strength=-1.283 (#7)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma State                8   2   1  183   61 -0.438   54  1.257   54 -0.026   52  0.045   50 0.5192   31 0.5635   54      0  0.154 -0.101  0.192
Grinnell                      5   3   0   94   57 -1.438   81  0.775   81 -0.805   92 -1.070   92 0.3980  104 0.3287   81      0 -0.199 -1.461 -0.680
Drake                         5   6   0  130  226 -0.923   89  0.693   89 -0.925   94 -1.073   66 0.4675   62 0.4813   89      0  0.977 -0.450 -1.696
Creighton                     4   5   0   83  107 -1.093   95  0.550   95 -1.174   95 -1.076   79 0.4374   59 0.4882   95      0  0.010 -1.328 -0.824
Washington (Missouri)         2   7   0   26  194 -1.493  108  0.138  108 -1.824  110 -2.817  108 0.2924  110 0.2084  108      0  0.184 -2.940 -2.694

PCC: strength=1.108 (#1)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern California          10   1   0  363   52  1.799    1  2.930    1  2.463    1  3.087    1 0.7532    1 0.7291    1   1250  1.039  3.779  2.394
California                    8   2   0  106   41  1.132    8  2.253    6  1.540   13  1.298    4 0.6695   13 0.6172    6    987 -0.321  0.835  1.762
Washington State              6   4   0  123  111  1.082   15  1.992   15  1.120   23  0.986   15 0.6156   26 0.5726   28      0  0.443  1.077  0.895
Washington                    5   3   1  166   83  1.070   16  1.986   16  1.071   18  1.099   14 0.6182   38 0.5494   29      0  0.318  1.083  1.116
Oregon State                  6   3   1  198   62  1.133   20  1.886   20  0.996   15  1.204   18 0.5949   18 0.6083   17    491 -0.078  0.892  1.516
Oregon                        6   2   2   90   87  1.203   21  1.877   19  1.005   21  1.035    7 0.6615    6 0.6606   11    719 -0.004  0.773  1.297
Stanford                      7   2   2  160   44  1.195   24  1.791   24  0.859    9  1.387    8 0.6353   21 0.5980   14    640  0.028  1.148  1.627
Idaho                         3   4   0   75  106  0.597   45  1.420   45  0.256   53  0.036   45 0.5359   67 0.4631   45      0  0.745  0.412 -0.340
UCLA                          3   4   1   83   57  0.916   53  1.264   53 -0.007   36  0.630   38 0.5563   52 0.5105   53      0  0.091  0.436  0.823
Montana                       1   6   0   56  155  0.192   93  0.592   93 -1.090   71 -0.425   71 0.4632   90 0.3873   93      0  0.549 -0.238 -0.612

Rocky Mountain: strength=-1.287 (#8)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                          7   2   0  301   31  0.389   35  1.583   35  0.577    8  1.429   39 0.5549   15 0.6154   37      0  0.697  1.758  1.101
Utah State                    6   2   0  147   72 -0.933   55  1.243   55 -0.050   74 -0.533   62 0.4739   46 0.5333   55      0  0.316 -0.551 -0.516
Colorado                      5   3   0  111   94 -0.825   62  1.088   62 -0.213   78 -0.605   64 0.4685   53 0.5068   62      0  0.425 -0.530 -0.680
Colorado State                5   4   0  137  138 -0.538   67  1.023   67 -0.331   70 -0.357   61 0.4753   32 0.5635   67      0  1.087  0.391 -1.105
Colorado College              4   4   0   71  123 -1.210   79  0.801   79 -0.758   99 -1.240   90 0.4070   71 0.4410   79      0  0.405 -1.183 -1.297
Wyoming                       6   4   0  170   75 -1.119   80  0.786   80 -0.788   83 -0.839   82 0.4339   55 0.4967   80      0  0.571 -0.632 -1.046
Brigham Young                 4   4   0   69  104 -1.100   87  0.706   87 -0.907   89 -1.018   96 0.3905   70 0.4509   87      0  0.102 -1.204 -0.833
Denver                        4   6   0  104  143 -1.199   99  0.481   99 -1.238  102 -1.346  103 0.3670   83 0.4159   99      0  0.388 -1.303 -1.389
Montana State                 1   5   1   45  141 -1.013  105  0.302  105 -1.530  107 -1.864  107 0.3100  109 0.2345  105      0  0.917 -1.307 -2.421
Northern Colorado             2   4   1   50   69 -1.575  107  0.204  107 -1.715  105 -1.538  106 0.3260   97 0.3684  107      0  0.061 -1.753 -1.322
Colorado Mines                1   5   1   26  150 -1.898  109  0.055  109 -1.963  109 -2.639  110 0.2532  108 0.2445  109      0  0.475 -2.520 -2.758
Western State                 1   6   0   55  127 -1.781  110  0.000  110 -2.179  108 -2.152  109 0.2659  106 0.2832  110      0  0.865 -1.650 -2.653

Southern: strength=-0.067 (#5)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulane                       11   1   0  350   56  1.287    2  2.697    2  2.136    2  2.176    3 0.6812    4 0.6623    3   1129  0.576  2.387  1.964
Georgia                       8   2   0  201  118  1.155    3  2.471    3  1.782    7  1.516    5 0.6636    7 0.6517    8    822  0.791  1.940  1.093
Tennessee                     9   0   1  243   15  0.917    4  2.456    4  1.754    5  1.881    6 0.6635    3 0.6987    2   1199  0.008  1.628  2.134
Alabama                       9   1   0  370   57  0.801    9  2.232    9  1.494    6  1.684    9 0.6334    9 0.6438    9    813  0.936  2.262  1.106
Vanderbilt                    5   4   0  192  103  1.199   22  1.854   22  0.968   16  1.198   19 0.5923   20 0.6048   31      0  0.818  1.650  0.747
Maryland                      8   1   1  194   98 -0.309   32  1.619   32  0.643   50  0.115   36 0.5574   35 0.5580   35      0  0.978  0.739 -0.509
Kentucky                      5   2   2  130   48  0.217   38  1.562   38  0.543   39  0.580   42 0.5507   25 0.5782   40      0  0.202  0.471  0.690
Auburn                        5   3   1  114   78  0.394   43  1.471   43  0.343   42  0.507   41 0.5514   41 0.5431   43      0  0.162  0.367  0.648
Sewanee                       6   3   1   70   98  0.030   48  1.349   48  0.137   61 -0.209   43 0.5491   36 0.5539   48      0 -0.373 -0.702  0.284
North Carolina                4   3   3  114   92 -0.009   50  1.327   50  0.104   51  0.074   48 0.5204   49 0.5215   50      0  0.356  0.090  0.058
Louisiana State               5   4   0  137   90  0.086   52  1.293   52  0.040   48  0.230   49 0.5202   56 0.4911   52      0  0.560  0.427  0.034
Duke                          5   3   2   74   46 -0.290   59  1.161   59 -0.127   57 -0.019   51 0.5112   45 0.5375   59      0 -0.594 -0.627  0.588
Florida                       2   6   2   73  168  0.298   61  1.116   61 -0.156   67 -0.299   60 0.4764   69 0.4536   61      0  0.468 -0.186 -0.411
Georgia Tech                  2   7   1   98  207  0.319   66  1.024   65 -0.325   64 -0.241   65 0.4682   91 0.3848   66      0  0.976  0.380 -0.863
South Carolina                5   4   1  146   79 -0.313   70  0.932   71 -0.486   54  0.021   63 0.4715   73 0.4345   70      0  0.526  0.186 -0.144
Washington & Lee              4   5   1   69   90 -0.742   83  0.764   83 -0.820   85 -0.905   85 0.4157   94 0.3783   83      0 -0.077 -1.217 -0.593
Virginia Tech                 3   4   2   76  104 -0.674   84  0.749   84 -0.825   84 -0.886   77 0.4398   77 0.4296   84      0  0.118 -1.059 -0.712
Mississippi                   2   6   1   73  210 -0.198   85  0.740   85 -0.840   82 -0.837   70 0.4642   75 0.4336   85      0  0.692 -0.514 -1.161
North Carolina State          3   6   0   60  104 -0.887   94  0.558   94 -1.160   93 -1.071   89 0.4097   87 0.3916   94      0  0.524 -0.907 -1.234
Virginia Military Institute   3   6   1   82  123 -0.758   98  0.483   98 -1.234   88 -0.993   93 0.3978   84 0.4016   98      0  0.853 -0.505 -1.481
Mississippi State             2   6   0   47  187 -0.694  100  0.461  100 -1.272  104 -1.401   95 0.3931  102 0.3334  100      0  0.465 -1.291 -1.512
Virginia                      1   7   2   40  112 -0.565  102  0.375  102 -1.410   96 -1.104  102 0.3699  103 0.3305  102      0 -0.289 -1.548 -0.659
Clemson                       1   6   2   19  164 -0.674  104  0.339  104 -1.469   98 -1.231   91 0.4062   76 0.4335  104      0 -0.106 -1.562 -0.899

SWC: strength=0.378 (#3)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Methodist            9   1   1  160   48  0.497   12  2.091   11  1.303   22  0.987   11 0.6235    8 0.6487   19    322  0.224  0.895  1.079
Texas A&M                     7   3   0  137   34  0.505   31  1.667   31  0.736   30  0.815   29 0.5682   33 0.5631   34      0 -0.308  0.359  1.271
Texas Christian               9   2   1  159   41  0.186   36  1.578   36  0.570   41  0.508   23 0.5884   17 0.6098   38      0 -0.614 -0.110  1.125
Texas                         6   4   0  131   58  0.315   42  1.477   42  0.352   37  0.620   47 0.5268   51 0.5131   42      0  0.092  0.427  0.813
Rice                          6   4   0  178   66  0.115   49  1.333   49  0.113   45  0.448   56 0.4972   57 0.4900   49      0  0.652  0.732  0.164
Arkansas                      3   5   1   82  126 -0.139   73  0.904   73 -0.532   77 -0.585   86 0.4155   93 0.3802   73      0  0.640 -0.312 -0.858
Baylor                        3   6   0  100  134  0.028   74  0.903   74 -0.561   75 -0.554   84 0.4206   96 0.3736   74      0  0.790 -0.132 -0.976

Western: strength=0.366 (#4)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northwestern                  7   1   1  138   40  0.857    6  2.298    5  1.628   10  1.376   10 0.6324   12 0.6179   16    518  0.291  1.338  1.415
Purdue                        9   1   0  192   39  0.289   14  2.028   14  1.180   20  1.060   22 0.5892   34 0.5615   15    554  0.482  1.186  0.935
Ohio State                    6   3   0  194   74  0.700   25  1.785   26  0.850   19  1.070   32 0.5618   43 0.5400   32      0  0.750  1.451  0.688
Michigan                      8   1   1  181   27  0.136   26  1.757   25  0.856   26  0.920   40 0.5529   58 0.4888   33      0 -0.204  0.527  1.314
Minnesota                     7   3   0  191   72  0.715   30  1.691   29  0.779   24  0.970   30 0.5666   27 0.5656   27      3  0.595  1.199  0.740
Wisconsin                     5   4   1  105  110  0.208   46  1.413   46  0.240   59 -0.087   54 0.4987   66 0.4674   46      0  0.425 -0.012 -0.162
Indiana                       2   5   1   51   98  0.507   63  1.069   63 -0.245   56  0.007   74 0.4517   74 0.4336   63      0  0.281 -0.040  0.053
Iowa                          1   6   1    7  131  0.460   71  0.930   70 -0.484   80 -0.691   81 0.4351   81 0.4204   71      0 -0.803 -1.392  0.010
Illinois                      2   6   0   58  140 -0.102   86  0.707   86 -0.901   81 -0.801   99 0.3839   99 0.3401   86      0  0.318 -0.817 -0.785
Chicago                       2   6   1   64  124 -0.259   91  0.642   91 -1.003   79 -0.687   97 0.3879  100 0.3392   91      0  0.612 -0.441 -0.933

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE       W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
PCC             55  31   7 0.629    1  1.108
Independent    180  93  23 0.647    2  0.436
SWC             43  25   3 0.627    3  0.378
Western         49  36   6 0.571    4  0.366
Southern       108  90  24 0.541    5 -0.067
Big 6           32  27   1 0.542    6 -0.212
MVC             24  23   1 0.510    7 -1.283
Rocky Mountain  46  49   3 0.485    8 -1.287
Border          21  19   2 0.524    9 -1.383

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.254 points in main ratings
     0.023 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:13:37 2007

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