Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama                     11  0  0  297   25  1.023    1  3.212    1  2.283    2  2.380    2 0.7038    3 0.6750    1   1250  0.207  1.841  2.919
Louisiana State             10  1  0  259   57  1.205    2  3.088    2  2.054    4  2.144    1 0.7055    2 0.6884    3   1152  0.530  1.875  2.413
Texas                       10  1  0  303   66  1.159    3  2.980    3  1.872    3  2.157    4 0.6864    6 0.6327    2   1198  0.727  2.078  2.236
Mississippi                  9  2  0  333   52  1.472    4  2.939    4  1.779    1  2.414    6 0.6645    4 0.6556    5   1057  0.613  2.223  2.605
Ohio State                   8  0  1  221   83  0.796    5  2.860    5  1.639    6  1.557    3 0.6947    5 0.6444    4   1093  0.833  1.589  1.525
Minnesota                    8  2  0  161   78  0.960    6  2.778    6  1.507    9  1.418    5 0.6702    8 0.6234    6   1000  0.435  1.063  1.772
Arkansas                     8  3  0  183   97  1.136    7  2.768    7  1.492   10  1.316    9 0.6390   14 0.5972    8    897  0.367  0.904  1.727
Michigan State               7  2  0  192   50  1.024    8  2.728    8  1.422    5  1.721    7 0.6495   10 0.6172    7    950  0.346  1.292  2.151
Colorado                     9  2  0  184  104  0.670    9  2.698    9  1.371   15  1.083    8 0.6423    9 0.6217    9    848  0.720  0.998  1.169
Rice                         7  4  0  183  158  1.062   10  2.655   10  1.307   16  1.082   11 0.6306   20 0.5817   15    522  0.976  1.273  0.892
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan                     6  3  0  212  163  1.000   11  2.604   11  1.225   11  1.176   10 0.6372   19 0.5854   12    677  1.443  1.963  0.389
Georgia Tech                 7  4  0  177   80  1.148   12  2.586   12  1.197    7  1.551   12 0.6251   17 0.5921   16    461  0.243  1.040  2.063
Wisconsin                    6  3  0  179  158  0.804   13  2.555   13  1.146   25  0.803   13 0.6186   23 0.5777   18    393  1.249  1.328  0.279
Purdue                       6  3  0  146   87  0.926   14  2.494   14  1.046   13  1.139   15 0.6114   27 0.5677   11    745  0.583  0.919  1.359
Duke                         7  3  0  183  106  0.663   15  2.481   15  1.023   17  1.010   14 0.6179   15 0.5948   23    230  0.660  0.864  1.157
Penn State                   8  3  0  261  143  0.537   16  2.446   16  0.969   14  1.094   17 0.6002   13 0.6060   13    622  1.178  1.527  0.661
Missouri                     7  2  1  124   57  0.580   17  2.445   17  0.967   22  0.940   16 0.6091   22 0.5795   10    803 -0.053  0.219  1.660
Kansas                       7  3  1  269   88  0.662   18  2.415   20  0.871    8  1.529   18 0.5975   26 0.5718   17    444  0.860  1.590  1.468
Wyoming                      6  1  2  171   74  0.246   19  2.380   18  0.965   30  0.708   29 0.5713   12 0.6121   20    257  0.462  0.378  1.038
Tennessee                    6  4  0  221  149  1.002   20  2.342   19  0.904   12  1.158   28 0.5713   43 0.5212   14    574  1.313  1.766  0.550
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse                     8  3  0  268  131  0.404   21  2.317   21  0.861   19  0.980   20 0.5914    7 0.6279   25    101  1.080  1.293  0.667
Auburn                       6  4  0  174  137  0.796   22  2.297   22  0.831   24  0.811   23 0.5784   39 0.5339   22    235  0.940  0.960  0.661
Iowa                         5  4  0  215  162  0.891   23  2.296   23  0.831   18  1.004   19 0.5947   35 0.5399   28      0  1.299  1.593  0.414
Navy                         7  3  0  201  136  0.370   24  2.295   24  0.829   33  0.598   27 0.5715   16 0.5926   19    290  0.884  0.685  0.511
Utah State                   9  1  1  396  102 -0.030   25  2.293   25  0.823   20  0.958   34 0.5568   25 0.5767   24    129  0.875  1.035  0.882
Rutgers                      9  0  0  246  102 -0.943   26  2.272   26  0.769   61 -0.135   38 0.5436    1 0.7027   29      0  1.036  0.125 -0.395
Miami (Florida)              7  4  0  146   85  0.569   27  2.267   27  0.768   23  0.936   22 0.5847   38 0.5351   26     51  0.275  0.449  1.422
Mississippi State            5  5  0  111  135  0.976   28  2.256   28  0.752   32  0.613   24 0.5729   28 0.5674   30      0  0.326  0.167  1.059
Notre Dame                   5  5  0  175  182  0.852   29  2.241   29  0.729   27  0.794   26 0.5715   31 0.5476   31      0  1.155  1.199  0.389
Texas Christian              3  5  2  113  194  0.871   30  2.216   30  0.695   40  0.352   31 0.5637   47 0.5117   32      0  0.976  0.542  0.162
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona                      8  1  1  288  131 -0.290   31  2.198   31  0.663   43  0.285   37 0.5438   18 0.5902   21    255  1.184  0.726 -0.156
Maryland                     7  3  0  156  141  0.203   32  2.191   32  0.653   41  0.322   21 0.5873   29 0.5663   27     16  0.874  0.398  0.247
UCLA                         7  4  0  185  142  0.322   33  2.154   33  0.597   35  0.534   25 0.5728   46 0.5174   33      0  0.762  0.491  0.577
Baylor                       6  5  0  212  173  0.618   34  2.144   34  0.584   28  0.746   30 0.5652   44 0.5190   34      0  1.116  1.102  0.390
Oklahoma                     5  5  0  122  141  0.622   35  2.121   35  0.550   36  0.476   36 0.5516   42 0.5260   35      0  0.714  0.384  0.569
North Carolina               5  5  0  121  141  0.577   36  2.100   36  0.518   38  0.393   32 0.5611   41 0.5296   36      0  0.586  0.176  0.610
Northwestern                 4  5  0  131  105  0.775   37  2.055   37  0.446   29  0.746   35 0.5525   54 0.4988   37      0  0.611  0.552  0.939
Texas A&M                    4  5  1  184  118  0.948   38  2.053   38  0.442   21  0.945   33 0.5574   52 0.5011   38      0  0.713  0.852  1.038
Houston                      5  4  1  144  138  0.339   39  2.002   39  0.437   37  0.452   42 0.5329   49 0.5110   39      0  0.826  0.476  0.428
Kentucky                     5  5  0  138  123  0.584   40  1.975   40  0.395   31  0.675   40 0.5345   63 0.4886   40      0  0.705  0.574  0.777
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                         6  4  0  176  134  0.091   41  1.958   41  0.366   46  0.194   43 0.5261   30 0.5481   41      0  0.809  0.200  0.188
Florida                      4  5  1   97  146  0.571   42  1.942   42  0.343   45  0.262   39 0.5419   61 0.4900   42      0  0.571  0.030  0.494
Clemson                      5  5  0  199  126  0.361   43  1.891   43  0.214   26  0.802   41 0.5341   53 0.5003   43      0  1.083  1.118  0.486
Army                         6  4  0  224  118  0.003   44  1.873   44  0.185   39  0.356   47 0.5124   55 0.4980   44      0  0.736  0.286  0.426
Texas Tech                   4  6  0   94  201  0.359   45  1.853   45  0.155   62 -0.162   44 0.5196   79 0.4389   45      0  0.677 -0.290 -0.033
Holy Cross                   7  3  0  207  152 -0.373   46  1.821   46  0.097   67 -0.231   51 0.5016   33 0.5430   46      0  1.091  0.095 -0.557
Washington                   5  4  1  119   98  0.000   47  1.816   47  0.090   48  0.145   50 0.5040   80 0.4352   47      0  0.305 -0.318  0.607
Iowa State                   5  5  0  151  133  0.163   48  1.776   49  0.030   47  0.159   53 0.5012   68 0.4678   48      0  0.876  0.237  0.080
South Carolina               4  6  0  128  187  0.276   49  1.769   52  0.022   56 -0.045   48 0.5110   70 0.4643   49      0  0.961  0.128 -0.218
Wake Forest                  4  6  0  103  159  0.215   50  1.756   48  0.040   66 -0.207   49 0.5096   66 0.4772   50      0  0.573 -0.436  0.023
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona State                7  3  0  287  163 -0.472   51  1.748   51  0.024   49  0.123   52 0.5015   34 0.5424   51      0  1.298  0.711 -0.465
Southern California          4  5  1  150  167  0.141   52  1.747   50  0.024   55 -0.000   56 0.4953   93 0.4075   52      0  0.913  0.119 -0.119
Villanova                    8  2  0  239   89 -0.590   53  1.746   53  0.017   58 -0.071   45 0.5175   11 0.6127   53      0  0.625 -0.251  0.109
Oregon State                 5  5  0  165  137  0.058   54  1.734   54  0.004   50  0.108   55 0.4960   60 0.4944   54      0  0.697 -0.002  0.217
Pittsburgh                   3  7  0  145  209  0.507   55  1.726   55 -0.005   52  0.077   63 0.4793   76 0.4458   55      0  1.143  0.466 -0.313
North Carolina State         4  6  0  129  149  0.462   56  1.723   56 -0.012   42  0.292   46 0.5163   51 0.5027   56      0  0.852  0.345  0.240
Georgia                      3  7  0   84  177  0.431   57  1.688   57 -0.067   60 -0.132   58 0.4884   84 0.4209   57      0  0.764 -0.174 -0.091
Memphis                      8  2  0  332   75 -0.656   58  1.656   59 -0.129   34  0.544   64 0.4767   73 0.4522   58      0  1.040  0.809  0.279
Oklahoma State               4  6  0  154  166  0.190   59  1.655   58 -0.122   53  0.070   60 0.4870   75 0.4493   59      0  0.956  0.237 -0.097
Wichita State                8  3  0  230  189 -0.749   60  1.611   61 -0.141   78 -0.567   61 0.4866   40 0.5307   60      0  1.206 -0.098 -1.036
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska                     3  6  1  119  135  0.387   61  1.608   60 -0.140   54  0.015   66 0.4748   67 0.4713   61      0  0.489 -0.291  0.321
New Mexico                   7  4  0  215  197 -0.576   62  1.601   62 -0.155   71 -0.427   67 0.4738   56 0.4980   62      0  1.065 -0.133 -0.721
Oregon                       4  6  0  152  112  0.184   63  1.560   63 -0.217   44  0.269   57 0.4946   50 0.5082   63      0  0.489 -0.038  0.575
Southern Methodist           2  7  1   92  191  0.365   64  1.553   64 -0.227   68 -0.256   62 0.4834   92 0.4080   64      0  0.686 -0.376 -0.135
Citadel                      7  3  0  133  155 -0.980   65  1.540   65 -0.256   95 -1.028   59 0.4874   37 0.5358   65      0  0.741 -1.093 -0.964
Stanford                     4  6  0  105  163 -0.094   66  1.528   66 -0.271   73 -0.438   71 0.4667   86 0.4193   66      0  0.674 -0.570 -0.307
Indiana                      2  7  0   96  162  0.555   67  1.502   68 -0.310   51  0.087   69 0.4731   82 0.4277   67      0  0.660 -0.059  0.233
West Virginia                4  6  0  134  145 -0.046   68  1.491   67 -0.305   57 -0.067   77 0.4535   77 0.4442   68      0  0.736 -0.137  0.003
Furman                       7  3  0  174  132 -0.868   69  1.485   69 -0.320   82 -0.740   79 0.4516   65 0.4852   69      0  0.687 -0.859 -0.620
Boston College               4  6  0  117  189 -0.156   70  1.480   70 -0.322   77 -0.543   70 0.4682   69 0.4650   70      0  0.827 -0.517 -0.568
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State                4  5  1   93  128 -0.172   71  1.437   71 -0.390   69 -0.261   54 0.4982   48 0.5113   71      0  0.301 -0.726  0.205
Detroit Mercy                5  4  0  181  173 -0.511   72  1.431   73 -0.400   72 -0.430   74 0.4626   59 0.4967   72      0  1.330  0.201 -1.061
Virginia                     4  6  0  123  190 -0.294   73  1.430   72 -0.399   79 -0.693   68 0.4734   78 0.4401   73      0  0.941 -0.543 -0.844
Washington State             3  7  0  163  213  0.132   74  1.393   74 -0.457   59 -0.111   76 0.4588   72 0.4596   74      0  1.285  0.460 -0.683
Vanderbilt                   2  8  0   95  220  0.354   75  1.379   76 -0.479   65 -0.206   80 0.4506   96 0.3896   75      0  0.801 -0.208 -0.204
Tulane                       2  8  0   60  225  0.333   76  1.378   75 -0.470   70 -0.403   72 0.4661   91 0.4089   76      0  0.496 -0.703 -0.103
Dartmouth                    6  3  0  197  104 -0.977   77  1.370   77 -0.492   75 -0.470   91 0.4049   36 0.5392   77      0  0.927 -0.336 -0.605
West Texas A&M               6  4  0  309  221 -0.630   78  1.367   78 -0.495   63 -0.164   75 0.4624   62 0.4895   78      0  1.548  0.773 -1.102
California                   1  8  1  118  268  0.278   79  1.360   79 -0.502   74 -0.446   81 0.4382   97 0.3893   79      0  1.245  0.073 -0.965
Richmond                     5  5  0  143  194 -0.705   80  1.330   80 -0.554   81 -0.716   73 0.4638   64 0.4883   80      0  0.945 -0.562 -0.871
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kansas State                 2  8  0   58  232  0.110   81  1.312   81 -0.578   89 -0.934   83 0.4343   98 0.3867   81      0  0.666 -1.074 -0.793
San Jose State               6  4  0  183  185 -0.899   82  1.295   82 -0.612   83 -0.752   65 0.4749   32 0.5452   82      0  0.979 -0.558 -0.946
Virginia Military Institute  6  4  0  134  105 -0.976   83  1.289   83 -0.621   90 -0.948   78 0.4528   58 0.4978   83      0  0.170 -1.514 -0.382
Columbia                     6  3  0  240  117 -0.935   84  1.262   84 -0.664   64 -0.187   85 0.4312   24 0.5776   84      0  1.299  0.404 -0.777
Virginia Tech                4  5  0   93  112 -0.672   85  1.242   85 -0.694   85 -0.757   82 0.4357   81 0.4304   85      0  0.486 -1.066 -0.448
Boston University            4  5  0  100  142 -0.427   86  1.212   86 -0.740   84 -0.756   88 0.4226   90 0.4109   86      0  0.525 -1.030 -0.483
Colgate                      5  4  0  116  145 -1.003   87  1.206   87 -0.752   91 -0.982   86 0.4283   21 0.5796   87      0  0.787 -0.999 -0.965
Harvard                      6  3  0  160   97 -1.308   88  1.155   88 -0.816   86 -0.801   93 0.4027   45 0.5177   88      0  0.692 -0.915 -0.687
Xavier                       6  4  0   86   86 -1.091   89  1.148   89 -0.827   92 -0.987   89 0.4187   83 0.4219   89      0  0.141 -1.575 -0.399
Air Force                    3  7  0   87  173 -0.460   90  1.139   90 -0.836   88 -0.908   87 0.4243   99 0.3840   90      0  0.522 -1.184 -0.631
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Princeton                    5  4  0  173  128 -1.241   91  1.128   91 -0.859   93 -1.016   97 0.3749   57 0.4980   91      0  1.044 -0.747 -1.285
New Mexico State             5  4  1  341  195 -1.017   92  1.048   92 -0.988   76 -0.536   90 0.4088   71 0.4618   92      0  1.572  0.437 -1.508
North Texas                  5  4  1  162  206 -1.317   93  0.948   93 -1.000  102 -1.397   92 0.4046   88 0.4145   93      0  1.041 -1.131 -1.663
Pacific                      5  4  0  200  187 -1.270   94  0.905   95 -1.066   98 -1.253   96 0.3870   74 0.4500   94      0  1.270 -0.701 -1.806
Idaho                        2  7  0   65  351 -0.832   95  0.861   94 -1.052  108 -2.130   94 0.3956   89 0.4132   95      0  0.933 -1.989 -2.271
Davidson                     4  4  0  138  163 -1.271   96  0.850   96 -1.077  106 -1.705   99 0.3731   95 0.4028   96      0  1.200 -1.245 -2.166
George Washington            3  6  0  143  121 -0.805   97  0.816   97 -1.129   80 -0.711   95 0.3910   94 0.4037   97      0  0.956 -0.543 -0.879
Illinois                     0  9  0   53  289  0.559   98  0.811   98 -1.130   87 -0.902   84 0.4340  102 0.3678   98      0  0.865 -0.835 -0.968
Yale                         4  5  0   99  105 -1.455   99  0.735   99 -1.305  103 -1.420  108 0.3087   87 0.4189   99      0  0.384 -1.817 -1.022
Texas-El Paso                3  7  0  176  283 -0.931  100  0.726  100 -1.318  100 -1.338  103 0.3406  101 0.3803  100      0  1.318 -0.723 -1.954
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulsa                        2  8  0   91  205 -0.587  101  0.717  101 -1.331   94 -1.024   98 0.3741  108 0.3283  101      0  0.536 -1.288 -0.760
Brigham Young                2  8  0  130  289 -0.748  102  0.712  102 -1.340  101 -1.392  101 0.3710  100 0.3832  102      0  1.218 -0.907 -1.876
Cincinnati                   3  7  0   97  142 -1.094  103  0.638  103 -1.466   99 -1.330  102 0.3649  107 0.3365  103      0  0.562 -1.570 -1.090
Cornell                      3  6  0  143  137 -1.175  104  0.631  104 -1.476   96 -1.086  107 0.3158   85 0.4201  104      0  0.882 -1.001 -1.170
Montana                      2  6  0  109  167 -0.957  105  0.622  105 -1.493   97 -1.152  100 0.3723  103 0.3595  105      0  1.008 -0.924 -1.379
Dayton                       2  8  0   98  245 -1.131  106  0.435  106 -1.806  107 -1.794  104 0.3352  104 0.3444  106      0  0.863 -1.730 -1.859
William & Mary               1  9  0  125  279 -1.016  107  0.380  107 -1.892  105 -1.656  105 0.3301  109 0.3236  107      0  1.287 -1.083 -2.230
Pennsylvania                 2  7  0   42  194 -1.846  108  0.375  108 -1.904  109 -2.535  110 0.2436  105 0.3439  108      0  0.241 -3.048 -2.022
Colorado State               0 10  0   74  249 -0.594  109  0.320  109 -2.004  104 -1.515  106 0.3245  106 0.3397  109      0  0.638 -1.682 -1.348
Hardin-Simmons               0 10  0   43  377 -1.286  110  0.110  110 -2.466  110 -2.777  109 0.2793  111 0.2913  110      0  0.419 -3.144 -2.409
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brown                        0  9  0   24  245 -1.842  111  0.000  111 -2.696  111 -2.988  111 0.2021  110 0.3083  111      0  0.240 -3.502 -2.474
UNRANKED                    20 63  0  949 1912 -0.977      -1.000      -1.000      -1.560      0.3646      0.4198           0  0.942 -1.408 -1.712


AAWU: strength=-0.044 (#6)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
UCLA                         7  4  0  185  142  0.322   33  2.154   33  0.597   35  0.534   25 0.5728   46 0.5174   33      0  0.762  0.491  0.577
Washington                   5  4  1  119   98  0.000   47  1.816   47  0.090   48  0.145   50 0.5040   80 0.4352   47      0  0.305 -0.318  0.607
Southern California          4  5  1  150  167  0.141   52  1.747   50  0.024   55 -0.000   56 0.4953   93 0.4075   52      0  0.913  0.119 -0.119
Stanford                     4  6  0  105  163 -0.094   66  1.528   66 -0.271   73 -0.438   71 0.4667   86 0.4193   66      0  0.674 -0.570 -0.307
California                   1  8  1  118  268  0.278   79  1.360   79 -0.502   74 -0.446   81 0.4382   97 0.3893   79      0  1.245  0.073 -0.965

ACC: strength=0.267 (#5)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Duke                         7  3  0  183  106  0.663   15  2.481   15  1.023   17  1.010   14 0.6179   15 0.5948   23    230  0.660  0.864  1.157
Maryland                     7  3  0  156  141  0.203   32  2.191   32  0.653   41  0.322   21 0.5873   29 0.5663   27     16  0.874  0.398  0.247
North Carolina               5  5  0  121  141  0.577   36  2.100   36  0.518   38  0.393   32 0.5611   41 0.5296   36      0  0.586  0.176  0.610
Clemson                      5  5  0  199  126  0.361   43  1.891   43  0.214   26  0.802   41 0.5341   53 0.5003   43      0  1.083  1.118  0.486
South Carolina               4  6  0  128  187  0.276   49  1.769   52  0.022   56 -0.045   48 0.5110   70 0.4643   49      0  0.961  0.128 -0.218
Wake Forest                  4  6  0  103  159  0.215   50  1.756   48  0.040   66 -0.207   49 0.5096   66 0.4772   50      0  0.573 -0.436  0.023
North Carolina State         4  6  0  129  149  0.462   56  1.723   56 -0.012   42  0.292   46 0.5163   51 0.5027   56      0  0.852  0.345  0.240
Virginia                     4  6  0  123  190 -0.294   73  1.430   72 -0.399   79 -0.693   68 0.4734   78 0.4401   73      0  0.941 -0.543 -0.844

Big 8: strength=0.473 (#4)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado                     9  2  0  184  104  0.670    9  2.698    9  1.371   15  1.083    8 0.6423    9 0.6217    9    848  0.720  0.998  1.169
Missouri                     7  2  1  124   57  0.580   17  2.445   17  0.967   22  0.940   16 0.6091   22 0.5795   10    803 -0.053  0.219  1.660
Kansas                       7  3  1  269   88  0.662   18  2.415   20  0.871    8  1.529   18 0.5975   26 0.5718   17    444  0.860  1.590  1.468
Oklahoma                     5  5  0  122  141  0.622   35  2.121   35  0.550   36  0.476   36 0.5516   42 0.5260   35      0  0.714  0.384  0.569
Iowa State                   5  5  0  151  133  0.163   48  1.776   49  0.030   47  0.159   53 0.5012   68 0.4678   48      0  0.876  0.237  0.080
Oklahoma State               4  6  0  154  166  0.190   59  1.655   58 -0.122   53  0.070   60 0.4870   75 0.4493   59      0  0.956  0.237 -0.097
Nebraska                     3  6  1  119  135  0.387   61  1.608   60 -0.140   54  0.015   66 0.4748   67 0.4713   61      0  0.489 -0.291  0.321
Kansas State                 2  8  0   58  232  0.110   81  1.312   81 -0.578   89 -0.934   83 0.4343   98 0.3867   81      0  0.666 -1.074 -0.793

Big Ten: strength=1.049 (#1)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State                   8  0  1  221   83  0.796    5  2.860    5  1.639    6  1.557    3 0.6947    5 0.6444    4   1093  0.833  1.589  1.525
Minnesota                    8  2  0  161   78  0.960    6  2.778    6  1.507    9  1.418    5 0.6702    8 0.6234    6   1000  0.435  1.063  1.772
Michigan State               7  2  0  192   50  1.024    8  2.728    8  1.422    5  1.721    7 0.6495   10 0.6172    7    950  0.346  1.292  2.151
Michigan                     6  3  0  212  163  1.000   11  2.604   11  1.225   11  1.176   10 0.6372   19 0.5854   12    677  1.443  1.963  0.389
Wisconsin                    6  3  0  179  158  0.804   13  2.555   13  1.146   25  0.803   13 0.6186   23 0.5777   18    393  1.249  1.328  0.279
Purdue                       6  3  0  146   87  0.926   14  2.494   14  1.046   13  1.139   15 0.6114   27 0.5677   11    745  0.583  0.919  1.359
Iowa                         5  4  0  215  162  0.891   23  2.296   23  0.831   18  1.004   19 0.5947   35 0.5399   28      0  1.299  1.593  0.414
Northwestern                 4  5  0  131  105  0.775   37  2.055   37  0.446   29  0.746   35 0.5525   54 0.4988   37      0  0.611  0.552  0.939
Indiana                      2  7  0   96  162  0.555   67  1.502   68 -0.310   51  0.087   69 0.4731   82 0.4277   67      0  0.660 -0.059  0.233
Illinois                     0  9  0   53  289  0.559   98  0.811   98 -1.130   87 -0.902   84 0.4340  102 0.3678   98      0  0.865 -0.835 -0.968

Border: strength=-0.869 (#9)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Arizona State                7  3  0  287  163 -0.472   51  1.748   51  0.024   49  0.123   52 0.5015   34 0.5424   51      0  1.298  0.711 -0.465
West Texas A&M               6  4  0  309  221 -0.630   78  1.367   78 -0.495   63 -0.164   75 0.4624   62 0.4895   78      0  1.548  0.773 -1.102
New Mexico State             5  4  1  341  195 -1.017   92  1.048   92 -0.988   76 -0.536   90 0.4088   71 0.4618   92      0  1.572  0.437 -1.508
Texas-El Paso                3  7  0  176  283 -0.931  100  0.726  100 -1.318  100 -1.338  103 0.3406  101 0.3803  100      0  1.318 -0.723 -1.954
Hardin-Simmons               0 10  0   43  377 -1.286  110  0.110  110 -2.466  110 -2.777  109 0.2793  111 0.2913  110      0  0.419 -3.144 -2.409

Independent: strength=-0.159 (#7)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State                   8  3  0  261  143  0.537   16  2.446   16  0.969   14  1.094   17 0.6002   13 0.6060   13    622  1.178  1.527  0.661
Syracuse                     8  3  0  268  131  0.404   21  2.317   21  0.861   19  0.980   20 0.5914    7 0.6279   25    101  1.080  1.293  0.667
Navy                         7  3  0  201  136  0.370   24  2.295   24  0.829   33  0.598   27 0.5715   16 0.5926   19    290  0.884  0.685  0.511
Rutgers                      9  0  0  246  102 -0.943   26  2.272   26  0.769   61 -0.135   38 0.5436    1 0.7027   29      0  1.036  0.125 -0.395
Miami (Florida)              7  4  0  146   85  0.569   27  2.267   27  0.768   23  0.936   22 0.5847   38 0.5351   26     51  0.275  0.449  1.422
Notre Dame                   5  5  0  175  182  0.852   29  2.241   29  0.729   27  0.794   26 0.5715   31 0.5476   31      0  1.155  1.199  0.389
Arizona                      8  1  1  288  131 -0.290   31  2.198   31  0.663   43  0.285   37 0.5438   18 0.5902   21    255  1.184  0.726 -0.156
Houston                      5  4  1  144  138  0.339   39  2.002   39  0.437   37  0.452   42 0.5329   49 0.5110   39      0  0.826  0.476  0.428
Army                         6  4  0  224  118  0.003   44  1.873   44  0.185   39  0.356   47 0.5124   55 0.4980   44      0  0.736  0.286  0.426
Holy Cross                   7  3  0  207  152 -0.373   46  1.821   46  0.097   67 -0.231   51 0.5016   33 0.5430   46      0  1.091  0.095 -0.557
Villanova                    8  2  0  239   89 -0.590   53  1.746   53  0.017   58 -0.071   45 0.5175   11 0.6127   53      0  0.625 -0.251  0.109
Oregon State                 5  5  0  165  137  0.058   54  1.734   54  0.004   50  0.108   55 0.4960   60 0.4944   54      0  0.697 -0.002  0.217
Pittsburgh                   3  7  0  145  209  0.507   55  1.726   55 -0.005   52  0.077   63 0.4793   76 0.4458   55      0  1.143  0.466 -0.313
Memphis                      8  2  0  332   75 -0.656   58  1.656   59 -0.129   34  0.544   64 0.4767   73 0.4522   58      0  1.040  0.809  0.279
Oregon                       4  6  0  152  112  0.184   63  1.560   63 -0.217   44  0.269   57 0.4946   50 0.5082   63      0  0.489 -0.038  0.575
Boston College               4  6  0  117  189 -0.156   70  1.480   70 -0.322   77 -0.543   70 0.4682   69 0.4650   70      0  0.827 -0.517 -0.568
Florida State                4  5  1   93  128 -0.172   71  1.437   71 -0.390   69 -0.261   54 0.4982   48 0.5113   71      0  0.301 -0.726  0.205
Detroit Mercy                5  4  0  181  173 -0.511   72  1.431   73 -0.400   72 -0.430   74 0.4626   59 0.4967   72      0  1.330  0.201 -1.061
Washington State             3  7  0  163  213  0.132   74  1.393   74 -0.457   59 -0.111   76 0.4588   72 0.4596   74      0  1.285  0.460 -0.683
San Jose State               6  4  0  183  185 -0.899   82  1.295   82 -0.612   83 -0.752   65 0.4749   32 0.5452   82      0  0.979 -0.558 -0.946
Boston University            4  5  0  100  142 -0.427   86  1.212   86 -0.740   84 -0.756   88 0.4226   90 0.4109   86      0  0.525 -1.030 -0.483
Colgate                      5  4  0  116  145 -1.003   87  1.206   87 -0.752   91 -0.982   86 0.4283   21 0.5796   87      0  0.787 -0.999 -0.965
Xavier                       6  4  0   86   86 -1.091   89  1.148   89 -0.827   92 -0.987   89 0.4187   83 0.4219   89      0  0.141 -1.575 -0.399
Air Force                    3  7  0   87  173 -0.460   90  1.139   90 -0.836   88 -0.908   87 0.4243   99 0.3840   90      0  0.522 -1.184 -0.631
Pacific                      5  4  0  200  187 -1.270   94  0.905   95 -1.066   98 -1.253   96 0.3870   74 0.4500   94      0  1.270 -0.701 -1.806
Idaho                        2  7  0   65  351 -0.832   95  0.861   94 -1.052  108 -2.130   94 0.3956   89 0.4132   95      0  0.933 -1.989 -2.271
Dayton                       2  8  0   98  245 -1.131  106  0.435  106 -1.806  107 -1.794  104 0.3352  104 0.3444  106      0  0.863 -1.730 -1.859

Ivy: strength=-1.358 (#12)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Dartmouth                    6  3  0  197  104 -0.977   77  1.370   77 -0.492   75 -0.470   91 0.4049   36 0.5392   77      0  0.927 -0.336 -0.605
Columbia                     6  3  0  240  117 -0.935   84  1.262   84 -0.664   64 -0.187   85 0.4312   24 0.5776   84      0  1.299  0.404 -0.777
Harvard                      6  3  0  160   97 -1.308   88  1.155   88 -0.816   86 -0.801   93 0.4027   45 0.5177   88      0  0.692 -0.915 -0.687
Princeton                    5  4  0  173  128 -1.241   91  1.128   91 -0.859   93 -1.016   97 0.3749   57 0.4980   91      0  1.044 -0.747 -1.285
Yale                         4  5  0   99  105 -1.455   99  0.735   99 -1.305  103 -1.420  108 0.3087   87 0.4189   99      0  0.384 -1.817 -1.022
Cornell                      3  6  0  143  137 -1.175  104  0.631  104 -1.476   96 -1.086  107 0.3158   85 0.4201  104      0  0.882 -1.001 -1.170
Pennsylvania                 2  7  0   42  194 -1.846  108  0.375  108 -1.904  109 -2.535  110 0.2436  105 0.3439  108      0  0.241 -3.048 -2.022
Brown                        0  9  0   24  245 -1.842  111  0.000  111 -2.696  111 -2.988  111 0.2021  110 0.3083  111      0  0.240 -3.502 -2.474

MVC: strength=-1.191 (#11)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wichita State                8  3  0  230  189 -0.749   60  1.611   61 -0.141   78 -0.567   61 0.4866   40 0.5307   60      0  1.206 -0.098 -1.036
North Texas                  5  4  1  162  206 -1.317   93  0.948   93 -1.000  102 -1.397   92 0.4046   88 0.4145   93      0  1.041 -1.131 -1.663
Tulsa                        2  8  0   91  205 -0.587  101  0.717  101 -1.331   94 -1.024   98 0.3741  108 0.3283  101      0  0.536 -1.288 -0.760
Cincinnati                   3  7  0   97  142 -1.094  103  0.638  103 -1.466   99 -1.330  102 0.3649  107 0.3365  103      0  0.562 -1.570 -1.090

SEC: strength=0.982 (#2)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama                     11  0  0  297   25  1.023    1  3.212    1  2.283    2  2.380    2 0.7038    3 0.6750    1   1250  0.207  1.841  2.919
Louisiana State             10  1  0  259   57  1.205    2  3.088    2  2.054    4  2.144    1 0.7055    2 0.6884    3   1152  0.530  1.875  2.413
Mississippi                  9  2  0  333   52  1.472    4  2.939    4  1.779    1  2.414    6 0.6645    4 0.6556    5   1057  0.613  2.223  2.605
Georgia Tech                 7  4  0  177   80  1.148   12  2.586   12  1.197    7  1.551   12 0.6251   17 0.5921   16    461  0.243  1.040  2.063
Tennessee                    6  4  0  221  149  1.002   20  2.342   19  0.904   12  1.158   28 0.5713   43 0.5212   14    574  1.313  1.766  0.550
Auburn                       6  4  0  174  137  0.796   22  2.297   22  0.831   24  0.811   23 0.5784   39 0.5339   22    235  0.940  0.960  0.661
Mississippi State            5  5  0  111  135  0.976   28  2.256   28  0.752   32  0.613   24 0.5729   28 0.5674   30      0  0.326  0.167  1.059
Kentucky                     5  5  0  138  123  0.584   40  1.975   40  0.395   31  0.675   40 0.5345   63 0.4886   40      0  0.705  0.574  0.777
Florida                      4  5  1   97  146  0.571   42  1.942   42  0.343   45  0.262   39 0.5419   61 0.4900   42      0  0.571  0.030  0.494
Georgia                      3  7  0   84  177  0.431   57  1.688   57 -0.067   60 -0.132   58 0.4884   84 0.4209   57      0  0.764 -0.174 -0.091
Vanderbilt                   2  8  0   95  220  0.354   75  1.379   76 -0.479   65 -0.206   80 0.4506   96 0.3896   75      0  0.801 -0.208 -0.204
Tulane                       2  8  0   60  225  0.333   76  1.378   75 -0.470   70 -0.403   72 0.4661   91 0.4089   76      0  0.496 -0.703 -0.103

Skyline: strength=-0.439 (#8)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wyoming                      6  1  2  171   74  0.246   19  2.380   18  0.965   30  0.708   29 0.5713   12 0.6121   20    257  0.462  0.378  1.038
Utah State                   9  1  1  396  102 -0.030   25  2.293   25  0.823   20  0.958   34 0.5568   25 0.5767   24    129  0.875  1.035  0.882
Utah                         6  4  0  176  134  0.091   41  1.958   41  0.366   46  0.194   43 0.5261   30 0.5481   41      0  0.809  0.200  0.188
New Mexico                   7  4  0  215  197 -0.576   62  1.601   62 -0.155   71 -0.427   67 0.4738   56 0.4980   62      0  1.065 -0.133 -0.721
Brigham Young                2  8  0  130  289 -0.748  102  0.712  102 -1.340  101 -1.392  101 0.3710  100 0.3832  102      0  1.218 -0.907 -1.876
Montana                      2  6  0  109  167 -0.957  105  0.622  105 -1.493   97 -1.152  100 0.3723  103 0.3595  105      0  1.008 -0.924 -1.379
Colorado State               0 10  0   74  249 -0.594  109  0.320  109 -2.004  104 -1.515  106 0.3245  106 0.3397  109      0  0.638 -1.682 -1.348

Southern: strength=-1.022 (#10)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Citadel                      7  3  0  133  155 -0.980   65  1.540   65 -0.256   95 -1.028   59 0.4874   37 0.5358   65      0  0.741 -1.093 -0.964
West Virginia                4  6  0  134  145 -0.046   68  1.491   67 -0.305   57 -0.067   77 0.4535   77 0.4442   68      0  0.736 -0.137  0.003
Furman                       7  3  0  174  132 -0.868   69  1.485   69 -0.320   82 -0.740   79 0.4516   65 0.4852   69      0  0.687 -0.859 -0.620
Richmond                     5  5  0  143  194 -0.705   80  1.330   80 -0.554   81 -0.716   73 0.4638   64 0.4883   80      0  0.945 -0.562 -0.871
Virginia Military Institute  6  4  0  134  105 -0.976   83  1.289   83 -0.621   90 -0.948   78 0.4528   58 0.4978   83      0  0.170 -1.514 -0.382
Virginia Tech                4  5  0   93  112 -0.672   85  1.242   85 -0.694   85 -0.757   82 0.4357   81 0.4304   85      0  0.486 -1.066 -0.448
Davidson                     4  4  0  138  163 -1.271   96  0.850   96 -1.077  106 -1.705   99 0.3731   95 0.4028   96      0  1.200 -1.245 -2.166
George Washington            3  6  0  143  121 -0.805   97  0.816   97 -1.129   80 -0.711   95 0.3910   94 0.4037   97      0  0.956 -0.543 -0.879
William & Mary               1  9  0  125  279 -1.016  107  0.380  107 -1.892  105 -1.656  105 0.3301  109 0.3236  107      0  1.287 -1.083 -2.230

SWC: strength=0.829 (#3)
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                         W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                       10  1  0  303   66  1.159    3  2.980    3  1.872    3  2.157    4 0.6864    6 0.6327    2   1198  0.727  2.078  2.236
Arkansas                     8  3  0  183   97  1.136    7  2.768    7  1.492   10  1.316    9 0.6390   14 0.5972    8    897  0.367  0.904  1.727
Rice                         7  4  0  183  158  1.062   10  2.655   10  1.307   16  1.082   11 0.6306   20 0.5817   15    522  0.976  1.273  0.892
Texas Christian              3  5  2  113  194  0.871   30  2.216   30  0.695   40  0.352   31 0.5637   47 0.5117   32      0  0.976  0.542  0.162
Baylor                       6  5  0  212  173  0.618   34  2.144   34  0.584   28  0.746   30 0.5652   44 0.5190   34      0  1.116  1.102  0.390
Texas A&M                    4  5  1  184  118  0.948   38  2.053   38  0.442   21  0.945   33 0.5574   52 0.5011   38      0  0.713  0.852  1.038
Texas Tech                   4  6  0   94  201  0.359   45  1.853   45  0.155   62 -0.162   44 0.5196   79 0.4389   45      0  0.677 -0.290 -0.033
Southern Methodist           2  7  1   92  191  0.365   64  1.553   64 -0.227   68 -0.256   62 0.4834   92 0.4080   64      0  0.686 -0.376 -0.135

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE    W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Big Ten      52  38   1 0.577    1  1.049
SEC          70  53   1 0.569    2  0.982
SWC          44  36   4 0.548    3  0.829
Big 8        42  37   3 0.530    4  0.473
ACC          40  40   0 0.500    5  0.267
AAWU         21  27   3 0.441    6 -0.044
Independent 147 117   3 0.556    7 -0.159
Skyline      32  34   3 0.486    8 -0.439
Border       21  28   1 0.430    9 -0.869
Southern     41  45   0 0.477   10 -1.022
MVC          18  22   1 0.451   11 -1.191
Ivy          32  40   0 0.444   12 -1.358

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.190 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:12:52 2007

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