Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Auburn               11  1  0  311  186  1.060    1  2.737    1  1.871    2  1.511    1 0.7308    1 0.7228    1   1250  1.183  1.494  1.529
Miami (Florida)      11  1  0  313  136  0.892    2  2.664    2  1.759    3  1.495    3 0.6820    2 0.6895    2   1200  0.692  0.926  2.064
Nebraska             12  1  0  654  217  0.778    3  2.591    3  1.590    1  1.986    4 0.6654    6 0.6640    3   1150  1.726  2.759  1.212
Georgia              10  1  1  274  158  0.727    4  2.536    4  1.506    6  1.161    2 0.6886    4 0.6742    5   1052  0.931  0.842  1.479
Texas                11  1  0  289  114  0.467    5  2.468    5  1.412    9  1.073    7 0.6403    7 0.6610    4   1087  0.771  0.583  1.563
Florida               9  2  1  304  156  0.912    6  2.399    6  1.310    4  1.481    5 0.6644    5 0.6697    6   1011  1.019  1.262  1.699
Brigham Young        11  1  0  505  247  0.220    7  2.316    7  1.184    7  1.125   11 0.6289    3 0.6811    9    832  1.739  1.919  0.331
Clemson               9  1  1  338  200  0.429    8  2.304    8  1.168   18  0.899   10 0.6309   12 0.6223   11    793  1.347  1.100  0.699
Illinois             10  2  0  347  213  0.335    9  2.262    9  1.105   25  0.737    6 0.6426   11 0.6246    7    908  1.274  0.839  0.636
West Virginia         9  3  0  322  189  0.592   10  2.202   10  1.018   12  0.971   13 0.6208    9 0.6377   12    736  1.230  1.014  0.929
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
East Carolina         8  3  0  271  179  0.696   11  2.152   11  0.943   22  0.862   23 0.5882   16 0.6096   10    806  1.070  0.704  1.019
Michigan              9  3  0  355  160  0.532   12  2.143   12  0.930    8  1.082    8 0.6365   10 0.6289   14    612  1.010  0.853  1.310
Pittsburgh            8  3  1  288  165  0.622   13  2.139   14  0.923   11  1.003   15 0.6091   19 0.5931   17    444  0.891  0.640  1.366
Alabama               8  4  0  366  229  0.739   14  2.136   15  0.920    5  1.289   14 0.6110   21 0.5866   18    353  1.482  1.683  0.895
Tennessee             9  3  0  282  165  0.539   15  2.121   13  0.924   14  0.918   16 0.6067   32 0.5558   13    621  0.910  0.575  1.261
Iowa                  9  3  0  380  189  0.467   16  2.117   16  0.919   17  0.903    9 0.6332   13 0.6191   15    546  1.151  0.845  0.961
Penn State            8  4  1  320  312  0.662   17  2.068   17  0.901   34  0.552   18 0.5988   24 0.5835   20    331  1.476  0.936  0.168
Ohio State            9  3  0  410  206  0.435   18  2.048   18  0.873   13  0.951   12 0.6221   14 0.6186   16    527  1.421  1.256  0.647
Maryland              8  4  0  316  253  0.609   19  2.033   19  0.851   19  0.894   17 0.6000   23 0.5843   24    126  1.386  1.150  0.639
Florida State         7  5  0  381  312  0.853   20  2.011   20  0.822   10  1.012   22 0.5887   20 0.5875   22    159  1.809  1.922  0.101
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
UCLA                  7  4  1  309  265  0.662   21  1.997   21  0.803   23  0.766   24 0.5846   15 0.6185   26     50  1.379  1.011  0.521
Boston College        9  3  0  351  190  0.460   22  1.996   22  0.800   26  0.714   20 0.5910   25 0.5786    8    866  1.230  0.758  0.671
Southern Methodist   10  2  0  274  137  0.012   23  1.975   23  0.766   35  0.513   30 0.5644   35 0.5539   21    190  0.809  0.061  0.964
Oklahoma              8  4  0  312  222  0.434   24  1.949   24  0.728   28  0.682   26 0.5682   28 0.5684   28      0  1.184  0.667  0.698
Air Force            10  2  0  367  221 -0.158   25  1.935   25  0.705   36  0.435   25 0.5684   27 0.5726   25     85  1.359  0.652  0.218
Virginia Tech         9  2  0  301   91  0.130   26  1.929   26  0.697   16  0.903   29 0.5653   39 0.5268   19    342  0.608  0.253  1.552
Missouri              7  5  0  292  202  0.609   27  1.868   27  0.610   15  0.914   27 0.5663   29 0.5595   29      0  0.959  0.626  1.202
North Carolina        8  4  0  337  216  0.280   28  1.833   28  0.561   30  0.654   32 0.5544   38 0.5294   30      0  1.156  0.602  0.706
Oklahoma State        8  4  0  271  162  0.418   29  1.810   29  0.529   21  0.865   31 0.5548   30 0.5581   27     45  0.791  0.395  1.334
Northern Illinois    10  2  0  314  203 -0.417   30  1.807   30  0.522   43  0.136   19 0.5911    8 0.6404   31      0  1.202  0.143  0.129
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington            8  4  0  285  178  0.200   31  1.790   31  0.499   32  0.622   39 0.5425   42 0.5230   32      0  0.973  0.350  0.893
Washington State      7  4  0  237  211  0.276   32  1.777   32  0.494   39  0.333   41 0.5348   34 0.5546   33      0  1.212  0.354  0.313
Southern Mississippi  7  4  0  235  128  0.446   33  1.775   33  0.491   24  0.764   37 0.5491   47 0.5180   23    128  0.664  0.167  1.360
Kentucky              6  5  1  228  237  0.450   34  1.742   34  0.443   38  0.368   28 0.5658   44 0.5215   34      0  1.085  0.229  0.507
Wisconsin             7  4  0  359  242  0.260   35  1.737   35  0.435   31  0.644   21 0.5903   33 0.5554   35      0  1.543  1.129  0.160
Mississippi           6  6  0  179  264  0.435   36  1.731   36  0.429   54  0.002   42 0.5335   49 0.5145   36      0  0.989 -0.251  0.255
Southern Illinois    13  1  0  448  178 -0.809   37  1.727   37  0.416   52  0.025   49 0.4991   17 0.6092   37      0  1.125 -0.066  0.116
Notre Dame            7  5  0  316  177  0.391   38  1.679   38  0.351   20  0.892   35 0.5508   40 0.5259   38      0  1.073  0.739  1.046
Syracuse              6  5  0  178  200  0.196   39  1.655   39  0.318   44  0.120   40 0.5389   53 0.5001   39      0  0.718 -0.424  0.664
Arizona               7  3  1  343  188  0.052   40  1.649   40  0.307   29  0.679   43 0.5265   37 0.5323   40      0  1.415  0.975  0.382
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Memphis               6  4  1  274  205  0.445   41  1.635   41  0.290   27  0.700   36 0.5500   41 0.5232   41      0  1.358  0.915  0.484
Baylor                7  4  1  339  266  0.054   42  1.630   42  0.282   40  0.263   44 0.5161   46 0.5180   42      0  1.591  0.820 -0.295
Arizona State         6  4  1  320  200  0.114   43  1.600   43  0.241   33  0.601   56 0.4881   62 0.4746   43      0  1.248  0.667  0.534
Toledo                9  2  0  278  157 -0.776   44  1.552   44  0.166   63 -0.187   34 0.5521   26 0.5781   44      0  1.044 -0.376  0.001
Tulsa                 8  3  0  297  185 -0.448   45  1.541   45  0.150   55 -0.000   61 0.4751   36 0.5393   45      0  1.205  0.011 -0.011
Bowling Green State   8  3  0  277  242 -0.573   46  1.535   46  0.141   72 -0.304   33 0.5532   18 0.6014   46      0  1.420  0.000 -0.608
Virginia              6  5  0  252  280  0.101   47  1.521   47  0.122   64 -0.194   55 0.4895   66 0.4593   47      0  1.386  0.060 -0.449
South Carolina        5  6  0  231  237  0.306   48  1.517   48  0.118   41  0.219   50 0.4952   76 0.4471   48      0  1.154  0.165  0.273
Southern California   4  6  1  210  238  0.270   49  1.496   49  0.112   47  0.065   65 0.4698   73 0.4512   49      0  1.127 -0.023  0.153
Tulane                4  7  0  192  241  0.361   50  1.439   50  0.035   50  0.044   63 0.4719   85 0.4275   50      0  1.096 -0.082  0.171
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Michigan      8  3  0  257  138 -0.520   51  1.432   51  0.020   51  0.043   38 0.5461   22 0.5848   51      0  0.905 -0.304  0.391
Mississippi State     3  8  0  196  279  0.697   52  1.419   52  0.007   42  0.194   47 0.5028   63 0.4729   52      0  1.278  0.302  0.087
Arkansas              6  5  0  204  172 -0.092   53  1.416   53 -0.001   45  0.076   53 0.4898   50 0.5089   53      0  0.885 -0.294  0.446
Louisiana State       4  7  0  251  253  0.459   54  1.411   54 -0.006   37  0.394   58 0.4849   83 0.4301   54      0  1.386  0.649  0.140
Cincinnati            4  6  1  208  234  0.281   55  1.390   55 -0.036   46  0.067   51 0.4931   60 0.4777   55      0  1.064 -0.098  0.232
Wyoming               7  5  0  331  327 -0.204   56  1.387   56 -0.042   62 -0.179   52 0.4926   43 0.5223   56      0  1.445  0.160 -0.518
California            5  5  1  242  227 -0.076   57  1.386   57 -0.043   56 -0.051   73 0.4611   65 0.4633   57      0  1.234 -0.003 -0.099
Temple                4  7  0  170  241  0.335   58  1.342   58 -0.103   58 -0.087   48 0.4992   59 0.4792   58      0  1.021 -0.303  0.129
Texas A&M             5  5  1  218  174 -0.076   59  1.329   59 -0.123   53  0.005   74 0.4590   70 0.4551   59      0  0.979 -0.260  0.270
Indiana State         9  4  0  291  209 -0.626   60  1.308   61 -0.156   71 -0.290   83 0.4419   51 0.5079   60      0  1.110 -0.399 -0.181
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan State        4  6  1  162  233 -0.082   61  1.307   60 -0.153   75 -0.404   45 0.5152   58 0.4809   61      0  0.748 -0.918  0.109
Nevada-Las Vegas      7  4  0  255  192 -0.497   62  1.299   62 -0.167   59 -0.091   62 0.4746   54 0.4985   62      0  1.134 -0.170 -0.012
Kansas                4  6  1  296  320  0.091   63  1.292   63 -0.174   48  0.058   67 0.4685   71 0.4545   63      0  1.575  0.592 -0.475
Fullerton State       7  5  0  199  251 -0.341   64  1.285   64 -0.186   80 -0.506   54 0.4896   31 0.5569   64      0  1.043 -0.695 -0.316
Long Beach State      8  4  0  261  188 -0.614   65  1.245   65 -0.235   74 -0.378   59 0.4829   55 0.4939   65      0  0.892 -0.740 -0.016
Utah State            5  6  0  193  214 -0.156   66  1.196   66 -0.308   66 -0.212   77 0.4528   57 0.4859   66      0  0.994 -0.460  0.036
Utah                  5  6  0  296  289 -0.232   67  1.180   67 -0.317   67 -0.238   70 0.4656   56 0.4928   67      0  1.513  0.202 -0.678
Colorado              4  7  0  252  342 -0.025   68  1.179   68 -0.317   70 -0.287   72 0.4615   87 0.4266   68      0  1.535  0.185 -0.759
Vanderbilt            2  9  0  183  274  0.591   69  1.158   70 -0.347   49  0.052   69 0.4664   81 0.4320   69      0  1.202  0.059  0.045
Iowa State            4  7  0  248  385 -0.084   70  1.122   69 -0.337   82 -0.518   71 0.4626   84 0.4290   70      0  1.609  0.067 -1.104
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Duke                  3  8  0  246  350  0.225   71  1.111   71 -0.351   68 -0.239   75 0.4552   89 0.4190   71      0  1.599  0.332 -0.810
Georgia Tech          3  8  0  222  313  0.402   72  1.094   72 -0.379   57 -0.085   57 0.4853   69 0.4571   72      0  1.402  0.193 -0.364
Oregon                4  6  1  152  224 -0.227   73  1.088   73 -0.390   81 -0.517   82 0.4433   77 0.4400   73      0  0.747 -1.032 -0.002
Purdue                3  7  1  251  366 -0.013   74  1.086   74 -0.392   77 -0.453   46 0.5057   61 0.4767   74      0  1.623  0.156 -1.061
Louisville            3  8  0  157  351  0.061   75  1.085   75 -0.393   94 -0.863   79 0.4495   93 0.4083   75      0  1.219 -0.835 -0.891
New Mexico            6  6  0  239  233 -0.319   76  1.083   76 -0.399   61 -0.157   60 0.4778   45 0.5210   76      0  1.008 -0.389  0.074
Hawaii                5  5  1  251  236 -0.436   77  1.067   77 -0.421   69 -0.257   76 0.4531   75 0.4489   77      0  1.262 -0.172 -0.343
Kansas State          3  8  0  186  343 -0.029   78  1.064   78 -0.423   89 -0.639   85 0.4370   92 0.4103   78      0  1.301 -0.501 -0.777
Colorado State        5  7  0  222  340 -0.365   79  1.051   79 -0.443   97 -0.920   84 0.4411   72 0.4527   79      0  1.122 -1.014 -0.826
William & Mary        6  5  0  259  320 -0.570   80  1.050   80 -0.446   93 -0.851   91 0.4160  107 0.3425   80      0  1.710 -0.104 -1.599
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wake Forest           4  7  0  257  281  0.027   81  1.043   81 -0.454   60 -0.120   81 0.4440   88 0.4191   81      0  1.510  0.315 -0.556
San Jose State        5  6  0  256  253 -0.411   82  1.027   83 -0.476   73 -0.369   88 0.4257   80 0.4347   82      0  1.469  0.006 -0.743
Fresno State          6  5  0  242  214 -0.567   83  1.003   82 -0.476   84 -0.543   92 0.4132   74 0.4503   83      0  1.159 -0.591 -0.494
Houston               4  7  0  225  294 -0.191   84  0.994   84 -0.486   86 -0.571   87 0.4294   78 0.4357   84      0  1.456 -0.216 -0.926
Ball State            6  5  0  247  302 -0.820   85  0.989   85 -0.495   98 -1.024   68 0.4680   48 0.5167   85      0  1.457 -0.667 -1.381
Western Michigan      6  5  0  179  208 -0.804   86  0.972   86 -0.519   95 -0.887   66 0.4687   52 0.5059   86      0  0.928 -1.210 -0.564
Texas Tech            3  7  1  160  253 -0.207   87  0.952   87 -0.544   85 -0.556   89 0.4215   82 0.4308   87      0  1.049 -0.739 -0.372
North Carolina State  3  8  0  236  246  0.180   88  0.926   88 -0.581   65 -0.205   94 0.4054   98 0.3711   88      0  1.160 -0.251 -0.159
Illinois State        6  4  1  303  226 -0.793   89  0.889   89 -0.637   76 -0.451   96 0.3932   64 0.4648   89      0  1.501 -0.030 -0.873
Navy                  3  8  0  202  272  0.006   90  0.871   90 -0.660   83 -0.541   95 0.3995  103 0.3514   90      0  1.218 -0.513 -0.568
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami (Ohio)          4  7  0  152  189 -0.502   91  0.840   91 -0.707   88 -0.630   80 0.4446   67 0.4593   91      0  0.735 -1.157 -0.103
Indiana               3  8  0  201  360 -0.299   92  0.820   92 -0.735   91 -0.782   64 0.4709   95 0.4001   92      0  1.350 -0.577 -0.987
Oregon State          2  8  1  171  332 -0.206   93  0.795   93 -0.771   99 -1.110  103 0.3678  104 0.3456   93      0  1.159 -1.158 -1.062
Rutgers               3  8  0  195  258 -0.085   94  0.791   94 -0.778   79 -0.497   93 0.4097  101 0.3587   94      0  1.156 -0.548 -0.445
Louisiana-Lafayette   4  6  0  194  212 -0.329   95  0.782   95 -0.793   78 -0.480   98 0.3889   96 0.3881   95      0  1.195 -0.483 -0.478
San Diego State       2  9  1  221  352 -0.274   96  0.738   96 -0.852   92 -0.836   97 0.3899   86 0.4267   96      0  1.329 -0.660 -1.011
Northwestern          2  9  0  101  398 -0.425   97  0.729   97 -0.866  109 -1.496   78 0.4513   91 0.4105   97      0  0.929 -1.818 -1.175
New Mexico State      5  6  0  211  292 -1.015   98  0.714   98 -0.892  101 -1.158   99 0.3854   79 0.4354   98      0  1.340 -0.967 -1.349
Texas Christian       1  8  2  174  252 -0.279   99  0.688   99 -0.925   87 -0.601  101 0.3729  100 0.3590   99      0  1.093 -0.730 -0.472
Ohio                  4  7  0  163  270 -0.883  100  0.679  100 -0.940  103 -1.193   86 0.4350   68 0.4580  100      0  1.084 -1.333 -1.052
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Stanford              1 10  0  159  293 -0.027  101  0.645  101 -0.988   90 -0.681  104 0.3634  106 0.3437  101      0  1.124 -0.773 -0.590
Pacific               3  9  0  211  347 -0.545  102  0.570  102 -1.099  100 -1.148  102 0.3724   94 0.4047  102      0  1.363 -0.925 -1.371
Wichita State         3  8  0  257  341 -0.747  103  0.494  103 -1.206   96 -0.891  105 0.3576   90 0.4178  103      0  1.541 -0.410 -1.372
Richmond              3  8  0  169  287 -0.820  104  0.480  104 -1.226  107 -1.468  108 0.3389  111 0.2939  104      0  0.868 -1.857 -1.080
Army                  2  9  0  140  304 -0.460  105  0.435  105 -1.290  104 -1.227  100 0.3797  108 0.3312  105      0  1.144 -1.294 -1.160
Minnesota             1 10  0  181  518 -0.569  106  0.395  106 -1.353  108 -1.486   90 0.4164   97 0.3801  106      0  1.616 -0.889 -2.083
Texas-El Paso         2 10  0  210  359 -0.569  107  0.394  107 -1.356  102 -1.183  107 0.3483  102 0.3560  107      0  1.203 -1.176 -1.191
Rice                  1 10  0  105  333 -0.638  108  0.347  108 -1.427  110 -1.584  109 0.3310  110 0.2943  108      0  0.908 -1.929 -1.239
Kent                  1 10  0  157  260 -0.856  109  0.165  109 -1.730  105 -1.263  106 0.3555   99 0.3623  109      0  1.141 -1.333 -1.193
Eastern Michigan      1 10  0  124  276 -0.920  110  0.120  110 -1.746  111 -1.624  110 0.3269  105 0.3445  110      0  1.131 -1.707 -1.541
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Drake                 1 10  0  136  342 -1.103  111  0.041  111 -1.866  112 -1.921  111 0.2680  109 0.3230  111      0  1.168 -1.957 -1.885
West Texas A&M        0 10  1  162  297 -1.087  112  0.000  112 -1.973  106 -1.354  112 0.2445  112 0.2900  112      0  1.385 -1.100 -1.608
UNRANKED             32 81  1 1894 2937 -0.724      -1.000      -1.000      -1.195      0.3684      0.3948           0  1.153 -1.250 -1.140


ACC: strength=0.215 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Clemson               9  1  1  338  200  0.429    8  2.304    8  1.168   18  0.899   10 0.6309   12 0.6223   11    793  1.347  1.100  0.699
Maryland              8  4  0  316  253  0.609   19  2.033   19  0.851   19  0.894   17 0.6000   23 0.5843   24    126  1.386  1.150  0.639
North Carolina        8  4  0  337  216  0.280   28  1.833   28  0.561   30  0.654   32 0.5544   38 0.5294   30      0  1.156  0.602  0.706
Virginia              6  5  0  252  280  0.101   47  1.521   47  0.122   64 -0.194   55 0.4895   66 0.4593   47      0  1.386  0.060 -0.449
Duke                  3  8  0  246  350  0.225   71  1.111   71 -0.351   68 -0.239   75 0.4552   89 0.4190   71      0  1.599  0.332 -0.810
Georgia Tech          3  8  0  222  313  0.402   72  1.094   72 -0.379   57 -0.085   57 0.4853   69 0.4571   72      0  1.402  0.193 -0.364
Wake Forest           4  7  0  257  281  0.027   81  1.043   81 -0.454   60 -0.120   81 0.4440   88 0.4191   81      0  1.510  0.315 -0.556
North Carolina State  3  8  0  236  246  0.180   88  0.926   88 -0.581   65 -0.205   94 0.4054   98 0.3711   88      0  1.160 -0.251 -0.159

Big 8: strength=0.386 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska             12  1  0  654  217  0.778    3  2.591    3  1.590    1  1.986    4 0.6654    6 0.6640    3   1150  1.726  2.759  1.212
Oklahoma              8  4  0  312  222  0.434   24  1.949   24  0.728   28  0.682   26 0.5682   28 0.5684   28      0  1.184  0.667  0.698
Missouri              7  5  0  292  202  0.609   27  1.868   27  0.610   15  0.914   27 0.5663   29 0.5595   29      0  0.959  0.626  1.202
Oklahoma State        8  4  0  271  162  0.418   29  1.810   29  0.529   21  0.865   31 0.5548   30 0.5581   27     45  0.791  0.395  1.334
Kansas                4  6  1  296  320  0.091   63  1.292   63 -0.174   48  0.058   67 0.4685   71 0.4545   63      0  1.575  0.592 -0.475
Colorado              4  7  0  252  342 -0.025   68  1.179   68 -0.317   70 -0.287   72 0.4615   87 0.4266   68      0  1.535  0.185 -0.759
Iowa State            4  7  0  248  385 -0.084   70  1.122   69 -0.337   82 -0.518   71 0.4626   84 0.4290   70      0  1.609  0.067 -1.104
Kansas State          3  8  0  186  343 -0.029   78  1.064   78 -0.423   89 -0.639   85 0.4370   92 0.4103   78      0  1.301 -0.501 -0.777

Big Ten: strength=0.029 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Illinois             10  2  0  347  213  0.335    9  2.262    9  1.105   25  0.737    6 0.6426   11 0.6246    7    908  1.274  0.839  0.636
Michigan              9  3  0  355  160  0.532   12  2.143   12  0.930    8  1.082    8 0.6365   10 0.6289   14    612  1.010  0.853  1.310
Iowa                  9  3  0  380  189  0.467   16  2.117   16  0.919   17  0.903    9 0.6332   13 0.6191   15    546  1.151  0.845  0.961
Ohio State            9  3  0  410  206  0.435   18  2.048   18  0.873   13  0.951   12 0.6221   14 0.6186   16    527  1.421  1.256  0.647
Wisconsin             7  4  0  359  242  0.260   35  1.737   35  0.435   31  0.644   21 0.5903   33 0.5554   35      0  1.543  1.129  0.160
Michigan State        4  6  1  162  233 -0.082   61  1.307   60 -0.153   75 -0.404   45 0.5152   58 0.4809   61      0  0.748 -0.918  0.109
Purdue                3  7  1  251  366 -0.013   74  1.086   74 -0.392   77 -0.453   46 0.5057   61 0.4767   74      0  1.623  0.156 -1.061
Indiana               3  8  0  201  360 -0.299   92  0.820   92 -0.735   91 -0.782   64 0.4709   95 0.4001   92      0  1.350 -0.577 -0.987
Northwestern          2  9  0  101  398 -0.425   97  0.729   97 -0.866  109 -1.496   78 0.4513   91 0.4105   97      0  0.929 -1.818 -1.175
Minnesota             1 10  0  181  518 -0.569  106  0.395  106 -1.353  108 -1.486   90 0.4164   97 0.3801  106      0  1.616 -0.889 -2.083

Independent: strength=0.257 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami (Florida)      11  1  0  313  136  0.892    2  2.664    2  1.759    3  1.495    3 0.6820    2 0.6895    2   1200  0.692  0.926  2.064
West Virginia         9  3  0  322  189  0.592   10  2.202   10  1.018   12  0.971   13 0.6208    9 0.6377   12    736  1.230  1.014  0.929
East Carolina         8  3  0  271  179  0.696   11  2.152   11  0.943   22  0.862   23 0.5882   16 0.6096   10    806  1.070  0.704  1.019
Pittsburgh            8  3  1  288  165  0.622   13  2.139   14  0.923   11  1.003   15 0.6091   19 0.5931   17    444  0.891  0.640  1.366
Penn State            8  4  1  320  312  0.662   17  2.068   17  0.901   34  0.552   18 0.5988   24 0.5835   20    331  1.476  0.936  0.168
Florida State         7  5  0  381  312  0.853   20  2.011   20  0.822   10  1.012   22 0.5887   20 0.5875   22    159  1.809  1.922  0.101
Boston College        9  3  0  351  190  0.460   22  1.996   22  0.800   26  0.714   20 0.5910   25 0.5786    8    866  1.230  0.758  0.671
Virginia Tech         9  2  0  301   91  0.130   26  1.929   26  0.697   16  0.903   29 0.5653   39 0.5268   19    342  0.608  0.253  1.552
Southern Mississippi  7  4  0  235  128  0.446   33  1.775   33  0.491   24  0.764   37 0.5491   47 0.5180   23    128  0.664  0.167  1.360
Notre Dame            7  5  0  316  177  0.391   38  1.679   38  0.351   20  0.892   35 0.5508   40 0.5259   38      0  1.073  0.739  1.046
Syracuse              6  5  0  178  200  0.196   39  1.655   39  0.318   44  0.120   40 0.5389   53 0.5001   39      0  0.718 -0.424  0.664
Memphis               6  4  1  274  205  0.445   41  1.635   41  0.290   27  0.700   36 0.5500   41 0.5232   41      0  1.358  0.915  0.484
South Carolina        5  6  0  231  237  0.306   48  1.517   48  0.118   41  0.219   50 0.4952   76 0.4471   48      0  1.154  0.165  0.273
Tulane                4  7  0  192  241  0.361   50  1.439   50  0.035   50  0.044   63 0.4719   85 0.4275   50      0  1.096 -0.082  0.171
Cincinnati            4  6  1  208  234  0.281   55  1.390   55 -0.036   46  0.067   51 0.4931   60 0.4777   55      0  1.064 -0.098  0.232
Temple                4  7  0  170  241  0.335   58  1.342   58 -0.103   58 -0.087   48 0.4992   59 0.4792   58      0  1.021 -0.303  0.129
Louisville            3  8  0  157  351  0.061   75  1.085   75 -0.393   94 -0.863   79 0.4495   93 0.4083   75      0  1.219 -0.835 -0.891
William & Mary        6  5  0  259  320 -0.570   80  1.050   80 -0.446   93 -0.851   91 0.4160  107 0.3425   80      0  1.710 -0.104 -1.599
Navy                  3  8  0  202  272  0.006   90  0.871   90 -0.660   83 -0.541   95 0.3995  103 0.3514   90      0  1.218 -0.513 -0.568
Rutgers               3  8  0  195  258 -0.085   94  0.791   94 -0.778   79 -0.497   93 0.4097  101 0.3587   94      0  1.156 -0.548 -0.445
Louisiana-Lafayette   4  6  0  194  212 -0.329   95  0.782   95 -0.793   78 -0.480   98 0.3889   96 0.3881   95      0  1.195 -0.483 -0.478
Richmond              3  8  0  169  287 -0.820  104  0.480  104 -1.226  107 -1.468  108 0.3389  111 0.2939  104      0  0.868 -1.857 -1.080
Army                  2  9  0  140  304 -0.460  105  0.435  105 -1.290  104 -1.227  100 0.3797  108 0.3312  105      0  1.144 -1.294 -1.160

MAC: strength=-0.789 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Northern Illinois    10  2  0  314  203 -0.417   30  1.807   30  0.522   43  0.136   19 0.5911    8 0.6404   31      0  1.202  0.143  0.129
Toledo                9  2  0  278  157 -0.776   44  1.552   44  0.166   63 -0.187   34 0.5521   26 0.5781   44      0  1.044 -0.376  0.001
Bowling Green State   8  3  0  277  242 -0.573   46  1.535   46  0.141   72 -0.304   33 0.5532   18 0.6014   46      0  1.420  0.000 -0.608
Central Michigan      8  3  0  257  138 -0.520   51  1.432   51  0.020   51  0.043   38 0.5461   22 0.5848   51      0  0.905 -0.304  0.391
Ball State            6  5  0  247  302 -0.820   85  0.989   85 -0.495   98 -1.024   68 0.4680   48 0.5167   85      0  1.457 -0.667 -1.381
Western Michigan      6  5  0  179  208 -0.804   86  0.972   86 -0.519   95 -0.887   66 0.4687   52 0.5059   86      0  0.928 -1.210 -0.564
Miami (Ohio)          4  7  0  152  189 -0.502   91  0.840   91 -0.707   88 -0.630   80 0.4446   67 0.4593   91      0  0.735 -1.157 -0.103
Ohio                  4  7  0  163  270 -0.883  100  0.679  100 -0.940  103 -1.193   86 0.4350   68 0.4580  100      0  1.084 -1.333 -1.052
Kent                  1 10  0  157  260 -0.856  109  0.165  109 -1.730  105 -1.263  106 0.3555   99 0.3623  109      0  1.141 -1.333 -1.193
Eastern Michigan      1 10  0  124  276 -0.920  110  0.120  110 -1.746  111 -1.624  110 0.3269  105 0.3445  110      0  1.131 -1.707 -1.541

MVC: strength=-0.862 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Illinois    13  1  0  448  178 -0.809   37  1.727   37  0.416   52  0.025   49 0.4991   17 0.6092   37      0  1.125 -0.066  0.116
Tulsa                 8  3  0  297  185 -0.448   45  1.541   45  0.150   55 -0.000   61 0.4751   36 0.5393   45      0  1.205  0.011 -0.011
Indiana State         9  4  0  291  209 -0.626   60  1.308   61 -0.156   71 -0.290   83 0.4419   51 0.5079   60      0  1.110 -0.399 -0.181
Illinois State        6  4  1  303  226 -0.793   89  0.889   89 -0.637   76 -0.451   96 0.3932   64 0.4648   89      0  1.501 -0.030 -0.873
New Mexico State      5  6  0  211  292 -1.015   98  0.714   98 -0.892  101 -1.158   99 0.3854   79 0.4354   98      0  1.340 -0.967 -1.349
Wichita State         3  8  0  257  341 -0.747  103  0.494  103 -1.206   96 -0.891  105 0.3576   90 0.4178  103      0  1.541 -0.410 -1.372
Drake                 1 10  0  136  342 -1.103  111  0.041  111 -1.866  112 -1.921  111 0.2680  109 0.3230  111      0  1.168 -1.957 -1.885
West Texas A&M        0 10  1  162  297 -1.087  112  0.000  112 -1.973  106 -1.354  112 0.2445  112 0.2900  112      0  1.385 -1.100 -1.608

Pac 10: strength=0.115 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
UCLA                  7  4  1  309  265  0.662   21  1.997   21  0.803   23  0.766   24 0.5846   15 0.6185   26     50  1.379  1.011  0.521
Washington            8  4  0  285  178  0.200   31  1.790   31  0.499   32  0.622   39 0.5425   42 0.5230   32      0  0.973  0.350  0.893
Washington State      7  4  0  237  211  0.276   32  1.777   32  0.494   39  0.333   41 0.5348   34 0.5546   33      0  1.212  0.354  0.313
Arizona               7  3  1  343  188  0.052   40  1.649   40  0.307   29  0.679   43 0.5265   37 0.5323   40      0  1.415  0.975  0.382
Arizona State         6  4  1  320  200  0.114   43  1.600   43  0.241   33  0.601   56 0.4881   62 0.4746   43      0  1.248  0.667  0.534
Southern California   4  6  1  210  238  0.270   49  1.496   49  0.112   47  0.065   65 0.4698   73 0.4512   49      0  1.127 -0.023  0.153
California            5  5  1  242  227 -0.076   57  1.386   57 -0.043   56 -0.051   73 0.4611   65 0.4633   57      0  1.234 -0.003 -0.099
Oregon                4  6  1  152  224 -0.227   73  1.088   73 -0.390   81 -0.517   82 0.4433   77 0.4400   73      0  0.747 -1.032 -0.002
Oregon State          2  8  1  171  332 -0.206   93  0.795   93 -0.771   99 -1.110  103 0.3678  104 0.3456   93      0  1.159 -1.158 -1.062
Stanford              1 10  0  159  293 -0.027  101  0.645  101 -0.988   90 -0.681  104 0.3634  106 0.3437  101      0  1.124 -0.773 -0.590

PCAA: strength=-0.523 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nevada-Las Vegas      7  4  0  255  192 -0.497   62  1.299   62 -0.167   59 -0.091   62 0.4746   54 0.4985   62      0  1.134 -0.170 -0.012
Fullerton State       7  5  0  199  251 -0.341   64  1.285   64 -0.186   80 -0.506   54 0.4896   31 0.5569   64      0  1.043 -0.695 -0.316
Long Beach State      8  4  0  261  188 -0.614   65  1.245   65 -0.235   74 -0.378   59 0.4829   55 0.4939   65      0  0.892 -0.740 -0.016
Utah State            5  6  0  193  214 -0.156   66  1.196   66 -0.308   66 -0.212   77 0.4528   57 0.4859   66      0  0.994 -0.460  0.036
San Jose State        5  6  0  256  253 -0.411   82  1.027   83 -0.476   73 -0.369   88 0.4257   80 0.4347   82      0  1.469  0.006 -0.743
Fresno State          6  5  0  242  214 -0.567   83  1.003   82 -0.476   84 -0.543   92 0.4132   74 0.4503   83      0  1.159 -0.591 -0.494
Pacific               3  9  0  211  347 -0.545  102  0.570  102 -1.099  100 -1.148  102 0.3724   94 0.4047  102      0  1.363 -0.925 -1.371

SEC: strength=0.829 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Auburn               11  1  0  311  186  1.060    1  2.737    1  1.871    2  1.511    1 0.7308    1 0.7228    1   1250  1.183  1.494  1.529
Georgia              10  1  1  274  158  0.727    4  2.536    4  1.506    6  1.161    2 0.6886    4 0.6742    5   1052  0.931  0.842  1.479
Florida               9  2  1  304  156  0.912    6  2.399    6  1.310    4  1.481    5 0.6644    5 0.6697    6   1011  1.019  1.262  1.699
Alabama               8  4  0  366  229  0.739   14  2.136   15  0.920    5  1.289   14 0.6110   21 0.5866   18    353  1.482  1.683  0.895
Tennessee             9  3  0  282  165  0.539   15  2.121   13  0.924   14  0.918   16 0.6067   32 0.5558   13    621  0.910  0.575  1.261
Kentucky              6  5  1  228  237  0.450   34  1.742   34  0.443   38  0.368   28 0.5658   44 0.5215   34      0  1.085  0.229  0.507
Mississippi           6  6  0  179  264  0.435   36  1.731   36  0.429   54  0.002   42 0.5335   49 0.5145   36      0  0.989 -0.251  0.255
Mississippi State     3  8  0  196  279  0.697   52  1.419   52  0.007   42  0.194   47 0.5028   63 0.4729   52      0  1.278  0.302  0.087
Louisiana State       4  7  0  251  253  0.459   54  1.411   54 -0.006   37  0.394   58 0.4849   83 0.4301   54      0  1.386  0.649  0.140
Vanderbilt            2  9  0  183  274  0.591   69  1.158   70 -0.347   49  0.052   69 0.4664   81 0.4320   69      0  1.202  0.059  0.045

SWC: strength=-0.153 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                11  1  0  289  114  0.467    5  2.468    5  1.412    9  1.073    7 0.6403    7 0.6610    4   1087  0.771  0.583  1.563
Southern Methodist   10  2  0  274  137  0.012   23  1.975   23  0.766   35  0.513   30 0.5644   35 0.5539   21    190  0.809  0.061  0.964
Baylor                7  4  1  339  266  0.054   42  1.630   42  0.282   40  0.263   44 0.5161   46 0.5180   42      0  1.591  0.820 -0.295
Arkansas              6  5  0  204  172 -0.092   53  1.416   53 -0.001   45  0.076   53 0.4898   50 0.5089   53      0  0.885 -0.294  0.446
Texas A&M             5  5  1  218  174 -0.076   59  1.329   59 -0.123   53  0.005   74 0.4590   70 0.4551   59      0  0.979 -0.260  0.270
Houston               4  7  0  225  294 -0.191   84  0.994   84 -0.486   86 -0.571   87 0.4294   78 0.4357   84      0  1.456 -0.216 -0.926
Texas Tech            3  7  1  160  253 -0.207   87  0.952   87 -0.544   85 -0.556   89 0.4215   82 0.4308   87      0  1.049 -0.739 -0.372
Texas Christian       1  8  2  174  252 -0.279   99  0.688   99 -0.925   87 -0.601  101 0.3729  100 0.3590   99      0  1.093 -0.730 -0.472
Rice                  1 10  0  105  333 -0.638  108  0.347  108 -1.427  110 -1.584  109 0.3310  110 0.2943  108      0  0.908 -1.929 -1.239

WAC: strength=-0.307 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young        11  1  0  505  247  0.220    7  2.316    7  1.184    7  1.125   11 0.6289    3 0.6811    9    832  1.739  1.919  0.331
Air Force            10  2  0  367  221 -0.158   25  1.935   25  0.705   36  0.435   25 0.5684   27 0.5726   25     85  1.359  0.652  0.218
Wyoming               7  5  0  331  327 -0.204   56  1.387   56 -0.042   62 -0.179   52 0.4926   43 0.5223   56      0  1.445  0.160 -0.518
Utah                  5  6  0  296  289 -0.232   67  1.180   67 -0.317   67 -0.238   70 0.4656   56 0.4928   67      0  1.513  0.202 -0.678
New Mexico            6  6  0  239  233 -0.319   76  1.083   76 -0.399   61 -0.157   60 0.4778   45 0.5210   76      0  1.008 -0.389  0.074
Hawaii                5  5  1  251  236 -0.436   77  1.067   77 -0.421   69 -0.257   76 0.4531   75 0.4489   77      0  1.262 -0.172 -0.343
Colorado State        5  7  0  222  340 -0.365   79  1.051   79 -0.443   97 -0.920   84 0.4411   72 0.4527   79      0  1.122 -1.014 -0.826
San Diego State       2  9  1  221  352 -0.274   96  0.738   96 -0.852   92 -0.836   97 0.3899   86 0.4267   96      0  1.329 -0.660 -1.011
Texas-El Paso         2 10  0  210  359 -0.569  107  0.394  107 -1.356  102 -1.183  107 0.3483  102 0.3560  107      0  1.203 -1.176 -1.191

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE    W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
SEC          68  46   3 0.594    1  0.829
Big 8        50  42   1 0.543    2  0.386
Independent 136 120   4 0.531    3  0.257
ACC          44  45   1 0.494    4  0.215
Pac 10       51  54   7 0.487    5  0.115
Big Ten      57  55   2 0.509    6  0.029
SWC          48  49   5 0.495    7 -0.153
WAC          53  51   2 0.509    8 -0.307
PCAA         41  39   0 0.512    9 -0.523
MAC          57  54   0 0.514   10 -0.789
MVC          45  46   2 0.495   11 -0.862

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.160 points in main ratings
     0.020 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:12:08 2007

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