Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young        13  0  0  456  183  0.095    1  2.377    1  1.441    3  1.119    5 0.6214    5 0.6348    3   1126  1.279  1.229  1.010
Florida               9  1  1  341  170  0.795    2  2.327    2  1.368    2  1.481    1 0.6741    3 0.6474    1   1250  1.227  1.522  1.440
Washington           11  1  0  352  145  0.249    3  2.212    3  1.194    5  1.081    4 0.6396    2 0.6535    4   1099  1.109  0.972  1.190
Oklahoma State       10  2  0  312  148  0.424    4  2.147    4  1.097    8  1.000   17 0.6022    4 0.6359    9    842  0.905  0.653  1.347
Boston College       10  2  0  449  296  0.522    5  2.138    5  1.084   10  0.946    2 0.6649    1 0.6681    2   1173  1.988  2.172 -0.281
South Carolina       10  2  0  371  258  0.393    6  2.117    6  1.054   18  0.754    9 0.6129   17 0.5892    5   1072  1.506  1.185  0.323
Nebraska             10  2  0  387  115  0.445    7  2.095    8  1.021    1  1.497    8 0.6150    9 0.6111    7    966  0.929  1.176  1.817
Auburn                9  4  0  360  254  0.753    8  2.094    7  1.023    7  1.003   11 0.6106   15 0.5939   10    816  1.327  1.178  0.828
Louisiana State       8  3  1  315  226  0.634    9  2.077    9  1.001   13  0.876   15 0.6039   16 0.5907   12    679  1.370  1.110  0.643
Maryland              9  3  0  380  280  0.528   10  2.047   10  0.961   15  0.815    3 0.6407   13 0.5973    8    886  1.668  1.496  0.134
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma              9  2  1  306  164  0.436   11  2.038   11  0.949    9  0.975   12 0.6073    8 0.6112    6    989  1.014  0.752  1.199
Southern Methodist   10  2  0  328  198  0.250   12  2.007   12  0.906   19  0.750    6 0.6166    6 0.6178   11    775  1.200  0.755  0.745
Southern California   9  3  0  220  173  0.383   13  2.000   14  0.897   32  0.506   13 0.6072   12 0.6059   16    510  0.643 -0.109  1.121
Georgia               7  4  1  263  230  0.742   14  1.999   13  0.898   21  0.746   18 0.5974   25 0.5675   23    151  1.103  0.630  0.862
Kentucky              9  3  0  293  221  0.417   15  1.968   15  0.882   29  0.550   16 0.6029   24 0.5681   15    550  1.228  0.592  0.508
Virginia              8  2  2  325  233  0.422   16  1.918   16  0.814   22  0.745    7 0.6153   22 0.5717   13    632  1.346  0.946  0.543
Florida State         7  3  2  406  254  0.669   17  1.882   18  0.768    4  1.096   22 0.5821   29 0.5562   14    590  1.658  1.760  0.432
Tennessee             7  4  1  327  276  0.652   18  1.881   17  0.768   17  0.784   19 0.5961   27 0.5603   26     57  1.450  1.132  0.437
Ohio State            9  3  0  391  200  0.273   19  1.843   19  0.717    6  1.016   24 0.5808   19 0.5785   20    280  1.432  1.338  0.694
West Virginia         8  4  0  259  170  0.425   20  1.821   20  0.688   24  0.726   14 0.6047   20 0.5752   21    279  0.842  0.311  1.141
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Rutgers               7  3  0  213  155  0.407   21  1.814   21  0.678   27  0.578   10 0.6108   11 0.6096   17    440  0.978  0.314  0.842
Miami (Florida)       8  5  0  402  314  0.515   22  1.809   22  0.671   23  0.730   25 0.5806   34 0.5479   19    354  1.470  1.107  0.354
UCLA                  9  3  0  275  248  0.054   23  1.764   23  0.645   48  0.183   28 0.5714   37 0.5411   27     29  1.236  0.236  0.131
Fullerton State      11  1  0  337  211 -0.519   24  1.763   24  0.639   55  0.055   30 0.5682    7 0.6151   29      0  1.238  0.110 -0.000
Texas                 7  4  1  264  261  0.415   25  1.755   25  0.633   37  0.402   27 0.5754   26 0.5622   30      0  1.287  0.522  0.281
Syracuse              6  5  0  151  151  0.595   26  1.740   26  0.614   33  0.464   20 0.5953   21 0.5734   31      0  0.454 -0.319  1.248
Clemson               7  4  0  346  215  0.541   27  1.728   27  0.597   12  0.919   21 0.5848   31 0.5507   25     68  1.495  1.332  0.505
Army                  8  3  1  320  218  0.352   28  1.714   28  0.576   35  0.433   26 0.5762   23 0.5697   18    380  1.126  0.344  0.521
Notre Dame            7  5  0  299  239  0.468   29  1.695   29  0.551   26  0.623   29 0.5694   32 0.5498   32      0  1.249  0.693  0.554
Nevada-Las Vegas     11  2  0  387  255 -0.422   30  1.677   31  0.524   54  0.086   32 0.5620   10 0.6109   33      0  1.483  0.483 -0.310
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State            6  5  0  209  230  0.575   31  1.675   30  0.525   49  0.179   23 0.5817   30 0.5508   34      0  1.005 -0.054  0.412
Georgia Tech          6  4  1  296  201  0.552   32  1.673   32  0.521   16  0.796   31 0.5664   45 0.5240   22    170  1.272  0.896  0.697
Virginia Tech         8  4  0  253  150  0.399   33  1.664   33  0.508   28  0.563   33 0.5562   46 0.5222   24     75  0.635 -0.060  1.185
Arkansas              7  4  1  268  159  0.379   34  1.661   34  0.504   11  0.920   34 0.5555   33 0.5488   35      0  0.796  0.457  1.383
Purdue                7  5  0  286  283  0.315   35  1.640   35  0.477   44  0.241   38 0.5439   47 0.5189   36      0  1.382  0.493 -0.010
Texas Christian       8  4  0  376  280  0.140   36  1.616   37  0.444   40  0.373   36 0.5481   41 0.5285   37      0  1.688  1.085 -0.340
Iowa                  8  4  1  359  201  0.231   37  1.597   39  0.420   14  0.857   35 0.5537   40 0.5343   38      0  1.257  0.937  0.776
Illinois              7  4  0  323  209  0.274   38  1.588   38  0.428   20  0.748   43 0.5363   43 0.5247   39      0  1.352  0.957  0.538
Wisconsin             7  4  1  242  206  0.191   39  1.579   36  0.464   42  0.269   42 0.5378   42 0.5272   40      0  0.972 -0.003  0.541
Air Force             8  4  0  369  198  0.200   40  1.545   40  0.419   25  0.658   44 0.5343   36 0.5421   28     12  1.192  0.653  0.662
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Houston               7  5  0  266  267  0.182   41  1.484   41  0.337   51  0.118   37 0.5457   39 0.5360   41      0  1.200  0.123  0.112
Alabama               5  6  0  226  208  0.551   42  1.459   42  0.304   30  0.548   39 0.5421   51 0.5108   42      0  0.956  0.258  0.839
Michigan              6  6  0  214  200  0.385   43  1.450   43  0.292   41  0.352   48 0.5225   54 0.5060   43      0  0.780 -0.128  0.833
Arizona               7  4  0  272  192  0.059   44  1.437   45  0.272   39  0.398   47 0.5302   50 0.5124   44      0  1.176  0.373  0.424
Vanderbilt            5  6  0  276  277  0.475   45  1.436   44  0.274   38  0.399   46 0.5315   60 0.4825   45      0  1.519  0.849 -0.051
North Carolina        5  5  1  234  274  0.259   46  1.426   46  0.260   56  0.047   40 0.5404   57 0.4926   46      0  1.253  0.122 -0.028
Washington State      6  5  0  317  319  0.162   47  1.413   47  0.241   52  0.116   45 0.5336   38 0.5403   47      0  1.774  0.969 -0.737
Michigan State        6  6  0  193  203  0.151   48  1.351   48  0.156   53  0.092   56 0.5018   65 0.4723   48      0  0.743 -0.425  0.609
Wake Forest           6  5  0  205  232  0.246   49  1.343   49  0.144   63 -0.048   49 0.5177   64 0.4737   49      0  0.986 -0.304  0.207
Hawaii                7  4  0  217  181 -0.213   50  1.340   50  0.138   65 -0.067   54 0.5098   53 0.5085   50      0  0.811 -0.515  0.381
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Stanford              5  6  0  239  279  0.261   51  1.333   51  0.131   57  0.017   53 0.5098   52 0.5093   51      0  1.436  0.345 -0.312
Mississippi           4  6  1  194  203  0.503   52  1.327   52  0.124   36  0.404   62 0.4894   77 0.4386   52      0  1.020  0.189  0.620
Baylor                5  6  0  248  261  0.295   53  1.315   53  0.107   45  0.224   52 0.5098   49 0.5139   53      0  1.320  0.388  0.059
Memphis               5  5  1  201  178  0.151   54  1.308   54  0.096   50  0.142   60 0.4922   81 0.4354   54      0  0.828 -0.288  0.572
Kansas                5  6  0  218  298  0.065   55  1.287   55  0.067   72 -0.266   63 0.4876   63 0.4741   55      0  1.288 -0.145 -0.387
Oregon                6  5  0  241  247 -0.101   56  1.271   56  0.043   67 -0.098   55 0.5021   58 0.4855   56      0  1.282  0.015 -0.212
Navy                  4  6  1  240  254  0.470   57  1.268   57  0.042   59  0.004   58 0.4986   61 0.4781   57      0  1.356  0.219 -0.211
Temple                6  5  0  226  180  0.257   58  1.259   58  0.027   34  0.436   41 0.5379   55 0.5035   58      0  0.821 -0.001  0.873
Mississippi State     4  7  0  198  230  0.396   59  1.242   59  0.005   47  0.202   66 0.4807   80 0.4371   59      0  1.049  0.019  0.384
Texas A&M             6  5  0  245  217 -0.063   60  1.240   60  0.001   60 -0.012   64 0.4856   73 0.4458   60      0  1.168 -0.047  0.024
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Utah                  6  5  1  347  253 -0.034   61  1.218   61 -0.030   46  0.202   67 0.4767   62 0.4760   61      0  1.288  0.324  0.080
Arizona State         5  6  0  297  203  0.177   62  1.178   62 -0.084   31  0.516   65 0.4843   68 0.4600   62      0  1.314  0.673  0.360
Pittsburgh            3  7  1  178  247  0.402   63  1.166   63 -0.099   58  0.013   61 0.4895   71 0.4466   63      0  1.101 -0.106  0.132
Bowling Green State   8  3  0  327  198 -0.734   64  1.164   64 -0.107   68 -0.103   50 0.5131   14 0.5971   64      0  1.463  0.263 -0.470
Tulsa                 6  5  0  261  206 -0.242   65  1.139   66 -0.142   62 -0.047   72 0.4548   44 0.5244   65      0  1.278  0.061 -0.156
Tulane                3  8  0  177  275  0.457   66  1.138   65 -0.141   64 -0.050   68 0.4702   84 0.4250   66      0  1.136 -0.126  0.026
Minnesota             4  7  0  194  316 -0.012   67  1.098   67 -0.199   79 -0.502   71 0.4565   87 0.4203   67      0  1.313 -0.347 -0.656
Wyoming               6  6  0  334  342 -0.176   68  1.083   68 -0.221   75 -0.308   75 0.4510   72 0.4465   68      0  1.689  0.406 -1.021
Toledo                8  3  1  187  164 -0.821   69  1.076   69 -0.232   83 -0.607   51 0.5119   18 0.5848   69      0  0.588 -1.274  0.059
San Jose State        6  5  0  260  225 -0.395   70  1.069   70 -0.240   69 -0.166   70 0.4674   56 0.5022   70      0  1.168 -0.202 -0.131
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Michigan      8  2  1  282  141 -1.004   71  1.039   71 -0.285   73 -0.273   57 0.4992   35 0.5436   71      0  1.031 -0.477 -0.070
Missouri              3  7  1  310  301  0.299   72  1.004   72 -0.329   43  0.248   74 0.4531   83 0.4273   72      0  1.719  1.010 -0.515
Kansas State          3  7  1  185  330  0.104   73  0.926   73 -0.354   78 -0.490   76 0.4479   86 0.4221   73      0  1.177 -0.515 -0.466
Indiana State         9  3  0  332  161 -1.013   74  0.925   74 -0.360   66 -0.094   69 0.4689   48 0.5183   74      0  0.994 -0.341  0.153
Texas Tech            4  7  0  200  212 -0.015   75  0.909   75 -0.378   74 -0.291   80 0.4390   82 0.4288   75      0  0.862 -0.685  0.103
San Diego State       4  7  1  265  250 -0.063   76  0.894   76 -0.399   61 -0.014   77 0.4464   70 0.4547   76      0  1.101 -0.133  0.104
Louisiana-Lafayette   6  5  0  207  198 -0.312   77  0.882   77 -0.417   70 -0.181   59 0.4968   28 0.5589   77      0  1.167 -0.218 -0.145
Southern Mississippi  4  7  0  188  243 -0.021   78  0.835   78 -0.452   76 -0.372   79 0.4421   85 0.4241   78      0  1.158 -0.420 -0.324
Long Beach State      4  7  0  242  301 -0.346   79  0.771   79 -0.543   81 -0.573   82 0.4352   59 0.4827   79      0  1.416 -0.275 -0.871
Duke                  2  9  0  128  301  0.171   80  0.761   80 -0.555   89 -0.698   78 0.4429   95 0.3909   80      0  0.847 -1.108 -0.287
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Fresno State          6  6  0  293  253 -0.554   81  0.757   81 -0.564   77 -0.450   81 0.4378   69 0.4589   81      0  1.277 -0.344 -0.556
Northwestern          2  9  0  138  349  0.091   82  0.736   82 -0.590   95 -0.947   84 0.4250   93 0.4042   82      0  1.200 -0.943 -0.952
Colorado State        3  8  0  230  360 -0.149   83  0.734   83 -0.595   86 -0.636   88 0.4078   92 0.4046   83      0  1.511 -0.198 -1.073
North Carolina State  3  8  0  263  311  0.007   84  0.719   84 -0.617   71 -0.210   73 0.4540   91 0.4049   84      0  1.456  0.146 -0.567
Iowa State            2  7  2  149  263 -0.264   85  0.709   85 -0.631   82 -0.600   90 0.4038   94 0.3940   85      0  0.912 -0.939 -0.260
California            2  9  0  150  264 -0.104   86  0.627   86 -0.751   84 -0.621   91 0.4038   97 0.3878   86      0  0.948 -0.920 -0.322
New Mexico            4  8  0  251  359 -0.553   87  0.622   87 -0.760   94 -0.877   95 0.3889  101 0.3825   87      0  1.406 -0.592 -1.162
Oregon State          2  9  0  158  279  0.014   88  0.589   88 -0.806   80 -0.556   87 0.4144   98 0.3871   88      0  0.857 -0.955 -0.157
Pacific               4  7  0  209  280 -0.683   89  0.566   89 -0.842   99 -1.009  101 0.3717  100 0.3827   89      0  1.229 -0.967 -1.052
Ohio                  4  6  1  134  264 -0.996   90  0.541   90 -0.876  104 -1.428   83 0.4259   67 0.4674   90      0  0.993 -1.675 -1.180
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Cincinnati            2  9  0  198  424 -0.112   91  0.510   91 -0.920   98 -1.009   86 0.4216   99 0.3840   91      0  1.589 -0.452 -1.565
East Carolina         2  9  0  210  309 -0.052   92  0.496   92 -0.942   85 -0.631  103 0.3626  106 0.3318   92      0  1.319 -0.468 -0.794
Miami (Ohio)          4  7  0  175  221 -0.790   93  0.487   93 -0.957   90 -0.755   85 0.4243   66 0.4691   93      0  0.984 -1.013 -0.498
Western Michigan      5  6  0  234  213 -1.077   94  0.464   94 -0.986   96 -0.951   92 0.4001   79 0.4373   94      0  1.316 -0.792 -1.110
Colorado              1 10  0  172  364  0.003   95  0.455   95 -0.993   91 -0.795   96 0.3852  103 0.3552   95      0  1.424 -0.484 -1.106
Illinois State        5  6  0  237  182 -1.052   96  0.454   96 -1.000   87 -0.660   99 0.3750   76 0.4394   96      0  0.872 -1.043 -0.277
Louisville            2  9  0  237  360 -0.204   97  0.414   97 -1.054   92 -0.834   89 0.4062   90 0.4074   97      0  1.611 -0.244 -1.423
Rice                  1 10  0  213  382  0.040   98  0.410   98 -1.058   93 -0.866  102 0.3708  105 0.3327   98      0  1.522 -0.412 -1.320
Kent                  4  7  0  135  199 -1.000   99  0.403   99 -1.073  101 -1.199   94 0.3944   74 0.4404   99      0  0.699 -1.760 -0.638
Northern Illinois     4  6  1  153  188 -1.129  100  0.390  100 -1.103  100 -1.168   93 0.3999   75 0.4395  100      0  0.844 -1.581 -0.754
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas-El Paso         2  9  0  180  374 -0.579  101  0.353  101 -1.153  103 -1.306  106 0.3388  109 0.3137  101      0  1.394 -1.038 -1.574
Utah State            1 10  0  196  390 -0.219  102  0.350  102 -1.155   97 -0.986   98 0.3767   96 0.3902  102      0  1.457 -0.627 -1.345
Ball State            3  8  0  134  275 -1.065  103  0.266  103 -1.287  106 -1.530   97 0.3802   78 0.4375  103      0  1.016 -1.751 -1.309
Eastern Michigan      2  7  2  151  221 -1.151  104  0.223  105 -1.349  102 -1.284  100 0.3743   88 0.4147  104      0  0.961 -1.568 -1.000
Indiana               0 11  0  185  338  0.016  105  0.220  104 -1.348   88 -0.678  104 0.3553  108 0.3139  105      0  1.403 -0.397 -0.958
Drake                 4  7  0  197  260 -1.493  106  0.200  106 -1.386  108 -1.600  107 0.3264  102 0.3734  106      0  1.143 -1.667 -1.534
Southern Illinois     3  8  0  206  279 -1.257  107  0.159  107 -1.436  105 -1.495  110 0.2609  110 0.2846  107      0  1.172 -1.525 -1.465
Wichita State         2  9  0  168  325 -1.118  108  0.056  109 -1.583  107 -1.550  105 0.3411   89 0.4077  108      0  1.133 -1.629 -1.471
West Texas A&M        3  8  0  161  249 -1.413  109  0.049  108 -1.564  109 -1.676  109 0.2918  107 0.3255  109      0  1.052 -1.855 -1.497
New Mexico State      2  9  0  185  336 -1.216  110  0.000  110 -1.624  110 -1.724  108 0.3074  104 0.3387  110      0  1.302 -1.583 -1.864
UNRANKED             29 66  0 1672 2745 -0.591      -1.000      -1.000      -1.136      0.4023      0.4442           0  1.340 -0.943 -1.328


ACC: strength=0.362 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Maryland              9  3  0  380  280  0.528   10  2.047   10  0.961   15  0.815    3 0.6407   13 0.5973    8    886  1.668  1.496  0.134
Virginia              8  2  2  325  233  0.422   16  1.918   16  0.814   22  0.745    7 0.6153   22 0.5717   13    632  1.346  0.946  0.543
Clemson               7  4  0  346  215  0.541   27  1.728   27  0.597   12  0.919   21 0.5848   31 0.5507   25     68  1.495  1.332  0.505
Georgia Tech          6  4  1  296  201  0.552   32  1.673   32  0.521   16  0.796   31 0.5664   45 0.5240   22    170  1.272  0.896  0.697
North Carolina        5  5  1  234  274  0.259   46  1.426   46  0.260   56  0.047   40 0.5404   57 0.4926   46      0  1.253  0.122 -0.028
Wake Forest           6  5  0  205  232  0.246   49  1.343   49  0.144   63 -0.048   49 0.5177   64 0.4737   49      0  0.986 -0.304  0.207
Duke                  2  9  0  128  301  0.171   80  0.761   80 -0.555   89 -0.698   78 0.4429   95 0.3909   80      0  0.847 -1.108 -0.287
North Carolina State  3  8  0  263  311  0.007   84  0.719   84 -0.617   71 -0.210   73 0.4540   91 0.4049   84      0  1.456  0.146 -0.567

Big 8: strength=0.184 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma State       10  2  0  312  148  0.424    4  2.147    4  1.097    8  1.000   17 0.6022    4 0.6359    9    842  0.905  0.653  1.347
Nebraska             10  2  0  387  115  0.445    7  2.095    8  1.021    1  1.497    8 0.6150    9 0.6111    7    966  0.929  1.176  1.817
Oklahoma              9  2  1  306  164  0.436   11  2.038   11  0.949    9  0.975   12 0.6073    8 0.6112    6    989  1.014  0.752  1.199
Kansas                5  6  0  218  298  0.065   55  1.287   55  0.067   72 -0.266   63 0.4876   63 0.4741   55      0  1.288 -0.145 -0.387
Missouri              3  7  1  310  301  0.299   72  1.004   72 -0.329   43  0.248   74 0.4531   83 0.4273   72      0  1.719  1.010 -0.515
Kansas State          3  7  1  185  330  0.104   73  0.926   73 -0.354   78 -0.490   76 0.4479   86 0.4221   73      0  1.177 -0.515 -0.466
Iowa State            2  7  2  149  263 -0.264   85  0.709   85 -0.631   82 -0.600   90 0.4038   94 0.3940   85      0  0.912 -0.939 -0.260
Colorado              1 10  0  172  364  0.003   95  0.455   95 -0.993   91 -0.795   96 0.3852  103 0.3552   95      0  1.424 -0.484 -1.106

Big Ten: strength=0.187 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State            9  3  0  391  200  0.273   19  1.843   19  0.717    6  1.016   24 0.5808   19 0.5785   20    280  1.432  1.338  0.694
Purdue                7  5  0  286  283  0.315   35  1.640   35  0.477   44  0.241   38 0.5439   47 0.5189   36      0  1.382  0.493 -0.010
Iowa                  8  4  1  359  201  0.231   37  1.597   39  0.420   14  0.857   35 0.5537   40 0.5343   38      0  1.257  0.937  0.776
Illinois              7  4  0  323  209  0.274   38  1.588   38  0.428   20  0.748   43 0.5363   43 0.5247   39      0  1.352  0.957  0.538
Wisconsin             7  4  1  242  206  0.191   39  1.579   36  0.464   42  0.269   42 0.5378   42 0.5272   40      0  0.972 -0.003  0.541
Michigan              6  6  0  214  200  0.385   43  1.450   43  0.292   41  0.352   48 0.5225   54 0.5060   43      0  0.780 -0.128  0.833
Michigan State        6  6  0  193  203  0.151   48  1.351   48  0.156   53  0.092   56 0.5018   65 0.4723   48      0  0.743 -0.425  0.609
Minnesota             4  7  0  194  316 -0.012   67  1.098   67 -0.199   79 -0.502   71 0.4565   87 0.4203   67      0  1.313 -0.347 -0.656
Northwestern          2  9  0  138  349  0.091   82  0.736   82 -0.590   95 -0.947   84 0.4250   93 0.4042   82      0  1.200 -0.943 -0.952
Indiana               0 11  0  185  338  0.016  105  0.220  104 -1.348   88 -0.678  104 0.3553  108 0.3139  105      0  1.403 -0.397 -0.958

Independent: strength=0.281 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Boston College       10  2  0  449  296  0.522    5  2.138    5  1.084   10  0.946    2 0.6649    1 0.6681    2   1173  1.988  2.172 -0.281
South Carolina       10  2  0  371  258  0.393    6  2.117    6  1.054   18  0.754    9 0.6129   17 0.5892    5   1072  1.506  1.185  0.323
Florida State         7  3  2  406  254  0.669   17  1.882   18  0.768    4  1.096   22 0.5821   29 0.5562   14    590  1.658  1.760  0.432
West Virginia         8  4  0  259  170  0.425   20  1.821   20  0.688   24  0.726   14 0.6047   20 0.5752   21    279  0.842  0.311  1.141
Rutgers               7  3  0  213  155  0.407   21  1.814   21  0.678   27  0.578   10 0.6108   11 0.6096   17    440  0.978  0.314  0.842
Miami (Florida)       8  5  0  402  314  0.515   22  1.809   22  0.671   23  0.730   25 0.5806   34 0.5479   19    354  1.470  1.107  0.354
Syracuse              6  5  0  151  151  0.595   26  1.740   26  0.614   33  0.464   20 0.5953   21 0.5734   31      0  0.454 -0.319  1.248
Army                  8  3  1  320  218  0.352   28  1.714   28  0.576   35  0.433   26 0.5762   23 0.5697   18    380  1.126  0.344  0.521
Notre Dame            7  5  0  299  239  0.468   29  1.695   29  0.551   26  0.623   29 0.5694   32 0.5498   32      0  1.249  0.693  0.554
Penn State            6  5  0  209  230  0.575   31  1.675   30  0.525   49  0.179   23 0.5817   30 0.5508   34      0  1.005 -0.054  0.412
Virginia Tech         8  4  0  253  150  0.399   33  1.664   33  0.508   28  0.563   33 0.5562   46 0.5222   24     75  0.635 -0.060  1.185
Memphis               5  5  1  201  178  0.151   54  1.308   54  0.096   50  0.142   60 0.4922   81 0.4354   54      0  0.828 -0.288  0.572
Navy                  4  6  1  240  254  0.470   57  1.268   57  0.042   59  0.004   58 0.4986   61 0.4781   57      0  1.356  0.219 -0.211
Temple                6  5  0  226  180  0.257   58  1.259   58  0.027   34  0.436   41 0.5379   55 0.5035   58      0  0.821 -0.001  0.873
Pittsburgh            3  7  1  178  247  0.402   63  1.166   63 -0.099   58  0.013   61 0.4895   71 0.4466   63      0  1.101 -0.106  0.132
Tulane                3  8  0  177  275  0.457   66  1.138   65 -0.141   64 -0.050   68 0.4702   84 0.4250   66      0  1.136 -0.126  0.026
Louisiana-Lafayette   6  5  0  207  198 -0.312   77  0.882   77 -0.417   70 -0.181   59 0.4968   28 0.5589   77      0  1.167 -0.218 -0.145
Southern Mississippi  4  7  0  188  243 -0.021   78  0.835   78 -0.452   76 -0.372   79 0.4421   85 0.4241   78      0  1.158 -0.420 -0.324
Cincinnati            2  9  0  198  424 -0.112   91  0.510   91 -0.920   98 -1.009   86 0.4216   99 0.3840   91      0  1.589 -0.452 -1.565
East Carolina         2  9  0  210  309 -0.052   92  0.496   92 -0.942   85 -0.631  103 0.3626  106 0.3318   92      0  1.319 -0.468 -0.794
Louisville            2  9  0  237  360 -0.204   97  0.414   97 -1.054   92 -0.834   89 0.4062   90 0.4074   97      0  1.611 -0.244 -1.423

MAC: strength=-1.087 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bowling Green State   8  3  0  327  198 -0.734   64  1.164   64 -0.107   68 -0.103   50 0.5131   14 0.5971   64      0  1.463  0.263 -0.470
Toledo                8  3  1  187  164 -0.821   69  1.076   69 -0.232   83 -0.607   51 0.5119   18 0.5848   69      0  0.588 -1.274  0.059
Central Michigan      8  2  1  282  141 -1.004   71  1.039   71 -0.285   73 -0.273   57 0.4992   35 0.5436   71      0  1.031 -0.477 -0.070
Ohio                  4  6  1  134  264 -0.996   90  0.541   90 -0.876  104 -1.428   83 0.4259   67 0.4674   90      0  0.993 -1.675 -1.180
Miami (Ohio)          4  7  0  175  221 -0.790   93  0.487   93 -0.957   90 -0.755   85 0.4243   66 0.4691   93      0  0.984 -1.013 -0.498
Western Michigan      5  6  0  234  213 -1.077   94  0.464   94 -0.986   96 -0.951   92 0.4001   79 0.4373   94      0  1.316 -0.792 -1.110
Kent                  4  7  0  135  199 -1.000   99  0.403   99 -1.073  101 -1.199   94 0.3944   74 0.4404   99      0  0.699 -1.760 -0.638
Northern Illinois     4  6  1  153  188 -1.129  100  0.390  100 -1.103  100 -1.168   93 0.3999   75 0.4395  100      0  0.844 -1.581 -0.754
Ball State            3  8  0  134  275 -1.065  103  0.266  103 -1.287  106 -1.530   97 0.3802   78 0.4375  103      0  1.016 -1.751 -1.309
Eastern Michigan      2  7  2  151  221 -1.151  104  0.223  105 -1.349  102 -1.284  100 0.3743   88 0.4147  104      0  0.961 -1.568 -1.000

MVC: strength=-1.273 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulsa                 6  5  0  261  206 -0.242   65  1.139   66 -0.142   62 -0.047   72 0.4548   44 0.5244   65      0  1.278  0.061 -0.156
Indiana State         9  3  0  332  161 -1.013   74  0.925   74 -0.360   66 -0.094   69 0.4689   48 0.5183   74      0  0.994 -0.341  0.153
Illinois State        5  6  0  237  182 -1.052   96  0.454   96 -1.000   87 -0.660   99 0.3750   76 0.4394   96      0  0.872 -1.043 -0.277
Drake                 4  7  0  197  260 -1.493  106  0.200  106 -1.386  108 -1.600  107 0.3264  102 0.3734  106      0  1.143 -1.667 -1.534
Southern Illinois     3  8  0  206  279 -1.257  107  0.159  107 -1.436  105 -1.495  110 0.2609  110 0.2846  107      0  1.172 -1.525 -1.465
Wichita State         2  9  0  168  325 -1.118  108  0.056  109 -1.583  107 -1.550  105 0.3411   89 0.4077  108      0  1.133 -1.629 -1.471
West Texas A&M        3  8  0  161  249 -1.413  109  0.049  108 -1.564  109 -1.676  109 0.2918  107 0.3255  109      0  1.052 -1.855 -1.497

Pac 10: strength=0.179 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington           11  1  0  352  145  0.249    3  2.212    3  1.194    5  1.081    4 0.6396    2 0.6535    4   1099  1.109  0.972  1.190
Southern California   9  3  0  220  173  0.383   13  2.000   14  0.897   32  0.506   13 0.6072   12 0.6059   16    510  0.643 -0.109  1.121
UCLA                  9  3  0  275  248  0.054   23  1.764   23  0.645   48  0.183   28 0.5714   37 0.5411   27     29  1.236  0.236  0.131
Arizona               7  4  0  272  192  0.059   44  1.437   45  0.272   39  0.398   47 0.5302   50 0.5124   44      0  1.176  0.373  0.424
Washington State      6  5  0  317  319  0.162   47  1.413   47  0.241   52  0.116   45 0.5336   38 0.5403   47      0  1.774  0.969 -0.737
Stanford              5  6  0  239  279  0.261   51  1.333   51  0.131   57  0.017   53 0.5098   52 0.5093   51      0  1.436  0.345 -0.312
Oregon                6  5  0  241  247 -0.101   56  1.271   56  0.043   67 -0.098   55 0.5021   58 0.4855   56      0  1.282  0.015 -0.212
Arizona State         5  6  0  297  203  0.177   62  1.178   62 -0.084   31  0.516   65 0.4843   68 0.4600   62      0  1.314  0.673  0.360
California            2  9  0  150  264 -0.104   86  0.627   86 -0.751   84 -0.621   91 0.4038   97 0.3878   86      0  0.948 -0.920 -0.322
Oregon State          2  9  0  158  279  0.014   88  0.589   88 -0.806   80 -0.556   87 0.4144   98 0.3871   88      0  0.857 -0.955 -0.157

PCAA: strength=-0.662 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Fullerton State      11  1  0  337  211 -0.519   24  1.763   24  0.639   55  0.055   30 0.5682    7 0.6151   29      0  1.238  0.110 -0.000
Nevada-Las Vegas     11  2  0  387  255 -0.422   30  1.677   31  0.524   54  0.086   32 0.5620   10 0.6109   33      0  1.483  0.483 -0.310
San Jose State        6  5  0  260  225 -0.395   70  1.069   70 -0.240   69 -0.166   70 0.4674   56 0.5022   70      0  1.168 -0.202 -0.131
Long Beach State      4  7  0  242  301 -0.346   79  0.771   79 -0.543   81 -0.573   82 0.4352   59 0.4827   79      0  1.416 -0.275 -0.871
Fresno State          6  6  0  293  253 -0.554   81  0.757   81 -0.564   77 -0.450   81 0.4378   69 0.4589   81      0  1.277 -0.344 -0.556
Pacific               4  7  0  209  280 -0.683   89  0.566   89 -0.842   99 -1.009  101 0.3717  100 0.3827   89      0  1.229 -0.967 -1.052
Utah State            1 10  0  196  390 -0.219  102  0.350  102 -1.155   97 -0.986   98 0.3767   96 0.3902  102      0  1.457 -0.627 -1.345
New Mexico State      2  9  0  185  336 -1.216  110  0.000  110 -1.624  110 -1.724  108 0.3074  104 0.3387  110      0  1.302 -1.583 -1.864

SEC: strength=0.796 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida               9  1  1  341  170  0.795    2  2.327    2  1.368    2  1.481    1 0.6741    3 0.6474    1   1250  1.227  1.522  1.440
Auburn                9  4  0  360  254  0.753    8  2.094    7  1.023    7  1.003   11 0.6106   15 0.5939   10    816  1.327  1.178  0.828
Louisiana State       8  3  1  315  226  0.634    9  2.077    9  1.001   13  0.876   15 0.6039   16 0.5907   12    679  1.370  1.110  0.643
Georgia               7  4  1  263  230  0.742   14  1.999   13  0.898   21  0.746   18 0.5974   25 0.5675   23    151  1.103  0.630  0.862
Kentucky              9  3  0  293  221  0.417   15  1.968   15  0.882   29  0.550   16 0.6029   24 0.5681   15    550  1.228  0.592  0.508
Tennessee             7  4  1  327  276  0.652   18  1.881   17  0.768   17  0.784   19 0.5961   27 0.5603   26     57  1.450  1.132  0.437
Alabama               5  6  0  226  208  0.551   42  1.459   42  0.304   30  0.548   39 0.5421   51 0.5108   42      0  0.956  0.258  0.839
Vanderbilt            5  6  0  276  277  0.475   45  1.436   44  0.274   38  0.399   46 0.5315   60 0.4825   45      0  1.519  0.849 -0.051
Mississippi           4  6  1  194  203  0.503   52  1.327   52  0.124   36  0.404   62 0.4894   77 0.4386   52      0  1.020  0.189  0.620
Mississippi State     4  7  0  198  230  0.396   59  1.242   59  0.005   47  0.202   66 0.4807   80 0.4371   59      0  1.049  0.019  0.384

SWC: strength=0.223 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Methodist   10  2  0  328  198  0.250   12  2.007   12  0.906   19  0.750    6 0.6166    6 0.6178   11    775  1.200  0.755  0.745
Texas                 7  4  1  264  261  0.415   25  1.755   25  0.633   37  0.402   27 0.5754   26 0.5622   30      0  1.287  0.522  0.281
Arkansas              7  4  1  268  159  0.379   34  1.661   34  0.504   11  0.920   34 0.5555   33 0.5488   35      0  0.796  0.457  1.383
Texas Christian       8  4  0  376  280  0.140   36  1.616   37  0.444   40  0.373   36 0.5481   41 0.5285   37      0  1.688  1.085 -0.340
Houston               7  5  0  266  267  0.182   41  1.484   41  0.337   51  0.118   37 0.5457   39 0.5360   41      0  1.200  0.123  0.112
Baylor                5  6  0  248  261  0.295   53  1.315   53  0.107   45  0.224   52 0.5098   49 0.5139   53      0  1.320  0.388  0.059
Texas A&M             6  5  0  245  217 -0.063   60  1.240   60  0.001   60 -0.012   64 0.4856   73 0.4458   60      0  1.168 -0.047  0.024
Texas Tech            4  7  0  200  212 -0.015   75  0.909   75 -0.378   74 -0.291   80 0.4390   82 0.4288   75      0  0.862 -0.685  0.103
Rice                  1 10  0  213  382  0.040   98  0.410   98 -1.058   93 -0.866  102 0.3708  105 0.3327   98      0  1.522 -0.412 -1.320

WAC: strength=-0.165 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young        13  0  0  456  183  0.095    1  2.377    1  1.441    3  1.119    5 0.6214    5 0.6348    3   1126  1.279  1.229  1.010
Air Force             8  4  0  369  198  0.200   40  1.545   40  0.419   25  0.658   44 0.5343   36 0.5421   28     12  1.192  0.653  0.662
Hawaii                7  4  0  217  181 -0.213   50  1.340   50  0.138   65 -0.067   54 0.5098   53 0.5085   50      0  0.811 -0.515  0.381
Utah                  6  5  1  347  253 -0.034   61  1.218   61 -0.030   46  0.202   67 0.4767   62 0.4760   61      0  1.288  0.324  0.080
Wyoming               6  6  0  334  342 -0.176   68  1.083   68 -0.221   75 -0.308   75 0.4510   72 0.4465   68      0  1.689  0.406 -1.021
San Diego State       4  7  1  265  250 -0.063   76  0.894   76 -0.399   61 -0.014   77 0.4464   70 0.4547   76      0  1.101 -0.133  0.104
Colorado State        3  8  0  230  360 -0.149   83  0.734   83 -0.595   86 -0.636   88 0.4078   92 0.4046   83      0  1.511 -0.198 -1.073
New Mexico            4  8  0  251  359 -0.553   87  0.622   87 -0.760   94 -0.877   95 0.3889  101 0.3825   87      0  1.406 -0.592 -1.162
Texas-El Paso         2  9  0  180  374 -0.579  101  0.353  101 -1.153  103 -1.306  106 0.3388  109 0.3137  101      0  1.394 -1.038 -1.574

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE    W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
SEC          67  44   5 0.599    1  0.796
ACC          46  40   4 0.533    2  0.362
Independent 122 111   6 0.523    3  0.281
SWC          55  47   2 0.538    4  0.223
Big Ten      56  59   2 0.487    5  0.187
Big 8        43  43   5 0.500    6  0.184
Pac 10       62  51   0 0.549    7  0.179
WAC          53  51   2 0.509    8 -0.165
PCAA         45  47   0 0.489    9 -0.662
MAC          50  55   6 0.477   10 -1.087
MVC          32  46   0 0.410   11 -1.273

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.170 points in main ratings
     0.021 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:12:07 2007

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