Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State           11  1  0  275  153  0.609    1  2.443    1  1.623   14  1.104    4 0.6614    6 0.6594    6    994  0.975  0.829  1.378
Michigan             10  1  1  342   98  0.979    2  2.405    2  1.564    1  1.973    1 0.6777    1 0.6871    2   1214  0.605  1.316  2.630
Oklahoma             11  1  0  371  103  0.679    3  2.392    3  1.545    2  1.677    3 0.6647    4 0.6641    3   1127  0.836  1.249  2.106
Miami (Florida)      10  2  0  406  195  0.835    4  2.332    4  1.454    4  1.438    7 0.6472   12 0.6295    5   1083  1.334  1.615  1.261
Tennessee             9  1  2  325  140  0.868    5  2.320    5  1.412    3  1.515    6 0.6520   11 0.6303    4   1084  0.970  1.235  1.796
Air Force            12  1  0  470  179  0.381    6  2.311    7  1.394    6  1.405   12 0.6207    9 0.6408   10    809  1.159  1.351  1.458
UCLA                  9  2  1  363  214  0.862    7  2.310    6  1.396    9  1.311   10 0.6313    3 0.6663    7    935  1.414  1.600  1.022
Alabama               9  2  1  318  181  0.888    8  2.303    8  1.386    7  1.353    5 0.6609    2 0.6701    8    922  1.236  1.398  1.307
Florida               9  1  1  286  162  0.848    9  2.300    9  1.381   12  1.227    2 0.6734    5 0.6622    1   1230  1.108  1.111  1.344
Iowa                 10  2  0  440  187  0.678   10  2.239   10  1.291    5  1.434    9 0.6400    8 0.6523    9    837  1.386  1.684  1.183
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M            10  2  0  375  196  0.469   11  2.150   11  1.149   16  1.009    8 0.6469    7 0.6551   11    733  1.260  1.086  0.932
Ohio State            9  3  0  325  212  0.644   12  2.085   13  1.054   17  1.007   13 0.6200   15 0.6189   12    711  1.266  1.092  0.921
Maryland              9  3  0  326  192  0.617   13  2.079   14  1.044   13  1.116   17 0.6070   18 0.6016   19    379  1.256  1.188  1.043
Auburn                8  4  0  344  208  0.868   14  2.070   15  1.033   11  1.228   15 0.6135   17 0.6044   15    546  1.295  1.352  1.104
Georgia Tech          9  2  1  252  132  0.527   15  2.056   12  1.055   18  0.974   19 0.5982   26 0.5688   13    637  0.638  0.347  1.600
Florida State         9  3  0  402  258  0.574   16  2.040   16  1.031   21  0.893   18 0.6042   19 0.6013   16    494  1.548  1.381  0.406
Louisiana State       9  2  1  227  134  0.316   17  2.023   17  1.006   24  0.696   16 0.6129   24 0.5761   22    237  0.542 -0.018  1.410
Arkansas             10  2  0  323  146  0.261   18  2.008   18  0.982   20  0.914   11 0.6241   13 0.6241   14    565  0.871  0.523  1.304
Baylor                9  3  0  293  152  0.464   19  1.967   19  0.935   19  0.922   14 0.6163   14 0.6195   17    493  0.885  0.547  1.297
Nebraska              9  3  0  421  163  0.618   20  1.925   20  0.869    8  1.350   21 0.5886   23 0.5827   21    249  1.204  1.354  1.347
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young        11  3  0  442  186  0.384   21  1.913   21  0.850   10  1.270   24 0.5797   20 0.5999   18    407  1.025  1.053  1.487
Texas                 8  4  0  270  259  0.297   22  1.854   22  0.768   41  0.295   22 0.5875   22 0.5908   24     86  1.197  0.290  0.299
Georgia               7  3  2  297  171  0.618   23  1.845   23  0.757   15  1.012   20 0.5939   28 0.5642   20    263  1.064  0.842  1.182
Fresno State         11  0  1  481  209 -0.695   24  1.769   27  0.636   33  0.403   25 0.5708   16 0.6180   28      0  1.577  0.934 -0.127
Bowling Green State  11  1  0  355  223 -0.610   25  1.753   24  0.663   51  0.075   23 0.5867   10 0.6394   29      0  1.427  0.384 -0.233
Arizona               8  3  1  252  146  0.207   26  1.737   25  0.643   26  0.633   30 0.5573   34 0.5483   23    127  0.706  0.073  1.194
Arizona State         8  4  0  285  168  0.395   27  1.736   26  0.639   22  0.834   27 0.5601   25 0.5699   26      9  0.900  0.476  1.193
Illinois              6  5  1  304  334  0.453   28  1.726   28  0.626   38  0.308   33 0.5503   38 0.5349   30      0  1.551  0.799 -0.183
Michigan State        7  5  0  258  219  0.542   29  1.725   29  0.607   25  0.635   26 0.5694   30 0.5531   31      0  1.090  0.496  0.774
West Virginia         7  3  1  189  158  0.173   30  1.709   30  0.584   44  0.230   31 0.5565   32 0.5495   32      0  0.601 -0.431  0.890
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame            5  6  0  230  234  0.834   31  1.657   32  0.510   23  0.772   28 0.5596   36 0.5422   33      0  1.240  0.824  0.721
Army                  9  3  0  396  232  0.136   32  1.641   31  0.520   28  0.477   38 0.5345   44 0.5040   25     78  1.366  0.699  0.256
Minnesota             7  5  0  293  240  0.449   33  1.626   33  0.501   31  0.449   32 0.5564   37 0.5412   34      0  1.142  0.374  0.523
Utah                  8  4  0  405  343  0.118   34  1.604   34  0.466   42  0.280   42 0.5162   31 0.5519   35      0  1.813  1.193 -0.633
Oklahoma State        8  4  0  255  188  0.160   35  1.586   35  0.438   35  0.349   29 0.5588   27 0.5648   27      1  0.999  0.102  0.597
Southern California   6  6  0  223  187  0.475   36  1.544   36  0.382   30  0.454   39 0.5332   42 0.5243   36      0  0.659 -0.152  1.060
Colorado              7  5  0  228  174  0.245   37  1.530   37  0.361   32  0.422   37 0.5383   39 0.5327   37      0  0.716 -0.130  0.973
Washington            7  5  0  238  225  0.262   38  1.520   38  0.343   39  0.296   36 0.5396   40 0.5290   38      0  1.023  0.077  0.515
Syracuse              7  5  0  284  195  0.226   39  1.497   39  0.313   27  0.531   41 0.5188   51 0.4918   39      0  1.012  0.298  0.763
Southern Methodist    6  5  0  280  211  0.325   40  1.480   40  0.288   29  0.461   34 0.5500   35 0.5474   40      0  1.261  0.539  0.382
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Clemson               6  6  0  244  222  0.268   41  1.424   41  0.206   40  0.296   48 0.5065   56 0.4735   41      0  1.088  0.154  0.437
Purdue                5  6  0  287  306  0.398   42  1.419   42  0.200   43  0.277   40 0.5271   45 0.5009   42      0  1.579  0.812 -0.257
Virginia              6  5  0  262  217  0.205   43  1.418   43  0.198   37  0.330   52 0.5012   53 0.4783   43      0  1.320  0.488  0.172
Pittsburgh            5  5  1  202  187  0.186   44  1.391   44  0.160   50  0.144   49 0.5033   59 0.4687   44      0  0.883 -0.234  0.522
Mississippi State     5  6  0  257  288  0.396   45  1.370   45  0.131   47  0.207   47 0.5084   60 0.4667   45      0  1.621  0.807 -0.393
Southern Mississippi  7  4  0  255  159  0.006   46  1.357   46  0.110   34  0.359   51 0.5020   57 0.4732   46      0  0.947  0.053  0.665
Mississippi           4  6  1  210  276  0.417   47  1.329   47  0.070   52  0.030   50 0.5032   55 0.4743   47      0  1.295  0.154 -0.095
Miami (Ohio)          8  2  1  266  211 -0.730   48  1.313   48  0.040   70 -0.391   35 0.5419   21 0.5963   48      0  1.322 -0.230 -0.553
Colorado State        5  7  0  251  330  0.202   49  1.304   49  0.032   61 -0.198   56 0.4813   46 0.5008   49      0  1.364  0.022 -0.418
North Carolina        5  6  0  224  223  0.256   50  1.302   50  0.029   54  0.016   55 0.4844   68 0.4573   50      0  1.107 -0.101  0.134
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wisconsin             5  6  0  231  263  0.049   51  1.257   51 -0.037   55 -0.059   45 0.5094   48 0.4985   51      0  1.295  0.066 -0.184
Oregon                5  6  0  273  300  0.031   52  1.254   52 -0.041   58 -0.136   59 0.4752   65 0.4608   52      0  1.550  0.353 -0.626
Virginia Tech         6  5  0  274  219  0.073   53  1.250   53 -0.048   45  0.217   43 0.5151   43 0.5050   53      0  1.358  0.428  0.005
Kentucky              5  6  0  194  211  0.167   54  1.242   55 -0.059   53  0.018   46 0.5087   66 0.4601   54      0  0.979 -0.252  0.288
Cincinnati            5  6  0  199  261  0.115   55  1.220   54 -0.054   66 -0.277   54 0.4953   52 0.4893   55      0  0.992 -0.532 -0.022
Tulsa                 6  5  0  274  328 -0.402   56  1.187   56 -0.105   74 -0.537   44 0.5102   41 0.5286   56      0  1.525 -0.085 -0.990
Boston College        4  8  0  222  307  0.427   57  1.182   57 -0.109   56 -0.073   61 0.4742   63 0.4621   57      0  1.337  0.109 -0.254
San Diego State       5  6  1  342  317  0.068   58  1.180   58 -0.114   48  0.163   62 0.4738   47 0.5008   58      0  1.449  0.503 -0.176
Washington State      4  7  0  313  282  0.420   59  1.164   59 -0.135   36  0.334   63 0.4701   54 0.4782   59      0  1.565  0.848 -0.179
South Carolina        5  6  0  269  290  0.083   60  1.139   60 -0.173   60 -0.155   70 0.4588   86 0.4163   60      0  1.514  0.281 -0.591
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Navy                  4  7  0  253  239  0.310   61  1.128   61 -0.218   46  0.210   71 0.4573   75 0.4367   61      0  1.253  0.278  0.141
Kansas                6  6  0  294  281 -0.176   62  1.126   62 -0.223   59 -0.152   58 0.4759   70 0.4529   62      0  1.301 -0.020 -0.284
Stanford              4  7  0  245  313  0.002   63  1.092   63 -0.271   67 -0.344   68 0.4607   76 0.4362   63      0  1.512  0.088 -0.776
Central Michigan      7  3  0  194  143 -0.936   64  1.076   64 -0.301   73 -0.515   53 0.4981   33 0.5492   64      0  0.842 -0.936 -0.093
Temple                4  7  0  233  223  0.219   65  1.041   67 -0.348   49  0.162   69 0.4594   72 0.4456   65      0  1.334  0.340 -0.016
Rutgers               2  8  1  149  266  0.397   66  1.020   65 -0.320   69 -0.384   84 0.4270   93 0.4008   66      0  1.021 -0.605 -0.163
Indiana               4  7  0  251  340 -0.065   67  1.007   66 -0.341   68 -0.377   66 0.4654   88 0.4121   67      0  1.492  0.025 -0.779
Hawaii                4  6  2  269  262 -0.193   68  0.996   68 -0.357   57 -0.121   79 0.4370   71 0.4516   68      0  1.100 -0.247  0.006
Vanderbilt            3  7  1  166  308 -0.038   69  0.991   69 -0.364   81 -0.683   72 0.4549   90 0.4090   69      0  1.328 -0.514 -0.852
Duke                  4  7  0  193  252 -0.126   70  0.985   70 -0.371   71 -0.450   78 0.4418   91 0.4070   70      0  1.123 -0.548 -0.353
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
California            4  7  0  233  265 -0.039   71  0.984   71 -0.372   65 -0.217   75 0.4437   83 0.4226   71      0  1.286 -0.105 -0.330
Wake Forest           4  7  0  212  249  0.122   72  0.940   72 -0.438   64 -0.216   89 0.4145  103 0.3565   72      0  1.217 -0.194 -0.237
Houston               4  7  0  253  339 -0.193   73  0.934   73 -0.447   72 -0.514   57 0.4811   64 0.4611   73      0  1.555 -0.016 -1.012
Iowa State            5  6  0  155  318 -0.647   74  0.923   74 -0.466   92 -0.996   65 0.4667   81 0.4285   74      0  1.101 -1.121 -0.870
Rice                  3  8  0  233  404  0.070   75  0.908   75 -0.485   78 -0.600   64 0.4675   69 0.4573   75      0  1.658  0.059 -1.259
Northwestern          3  8  0  170  332 -0.085   76  0.891   76 -0.511   84 -0.837   77 0.4423   87 0.4162   76      0  1.145 -0.908 -0.766
Texas Tech            4  7  0  249  240 -0.079   77  0.887   77 -0.519   63 -0.199   67 0.4650   73 0.4418   77      0  1.142 -0.274 -0.124
Oregon State          3  8  0  160  362  0.010   78  0.885   78 -0.521   96 -1.084   83 0.4305   74 0.4371   78      0  1.156 -1.142 -1.026
West Texas A&M        6  3  1  258  245 -1.090   79  0.873   79 -0.542   86 -0.840   60 0.4748   29 0.5638   79      0  1.670 -0.163 -1.517
Memphis               2  7  2  180  243  0.156   80  0.835   80 -0.592   62 -0.199   76 0.4434   85 0.4173   80      0  0.984 -0.463  0.065
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
North Carolina State  3  8  0  186  305 -0.011   81  0.834   81 -0.593   75 -0.548   87 0.4201   97 0.3842   81      0  1.307 -0.407 -0.688
Illinois State        6  3  2  206  156 -1.092   82  0.818   82 -0.619   82 -0.685   73 0.4460   50 0.4931   82      0  0.677 -1.274 -0.095
Wyoming               3  8  0  211  371 -0.320   83  0.741   84 -0.726   87 -0.845   90 0.4115   89 0.4116   83      0  1.372 -0.614 -1.076
Fullerton State       6  5  0  230  281 -0.985   84  0.735   83 -0.696  100 -1.133   74 0.4451   49 0.4949   84      0  1.339 -0.949 -1.318
Long Beach State      6  6  0  320  307 -0.802   85  0.731   85 -0.729   79 -0.636   86 0.4239   67 0.4593   85      0  1.553 -0.142 -1.130
New Mexico            3  8  0  289  415 -0.267   86  0.714   86 -0.752   80 -0.651   94 0.3954   94 0.4000   86      0  1.793  0.228 -1.531
Nevada-Las Vegas      5  5  1  189  210 -0.958   87  0.685   88 -0.798   89 -0.855   85 0.4249   61 0.4664   87      0  0.748 -1.374 -0.336
Louisiana-Lafayette   4  7  0  162  306 -0.647   88  0.675   87 -0.797   98 -1.125   82 0.4328   84 0.4202   88      0  1.159 -1.178 -1.071
Western Michigan      4  6  1  182  212 -0.757   89  0.671   89 -0.802   83 -0.769   80 0.4347   62 0.4658   89      0  0.903 -1.125 -0.413
Texas Christian       3  8  0  150  383 -0.586   90  0.627   90 -0.866  108 -1.483   88 0.4195  100 0.3805   90      0  1.265 -1.398 -1.567
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Pacific               5  7  0  292  301 -0.783   91  0.626   91 -0.870   85 -0.838   97 0.3862   82 0.4262   91      0  1.371 -0.609 -1.067
East Carolina         2  9  0  161  281 -0.038   92  0.602   92 -0.902   77 -0.589   92 0.4060   98 0.3826   92      0  1.044 -0.784 -0.395
Northern Illinois     4  7  0  174  259 -0.727   93  0.601   93 -0.906   90 -0.872   81 0.4337   58 0.4691   93      0  1.068 -1.038 -0.706
Indiana State         4  6  0  230  268 -0.907   94  0.555   94 -0.973   91 -0.961  101 0.3739   96 0.3950   94      0  1.476 -0.583 -1.340
Utah State            3  8  0  177  319 -0.755   95  0.495   95 -1.060  104 -1.264   96 0.3877   80 0.4334   95      0  1.130 -1.354 -1.174
Ball State            4  7  0  203  283 -0.956   96  0.483   96 -1.078  102 -1.222   93 0.4020   79 0.4341   96      0  1.269 -1.133 -1.311
Southern Illinois     4  7  0  327  256 -0.801   97  0.465   99 -1.103   76 -0.549  107 0.3509  104 0.3402   97      0  1.546 -0.066 -1.033
Drake                 4  7  0  196  255 -0.896   98  0.452   97 -1.092   94 -1.064   98 0.3818   92 0.4016   98      0  0.977 -1.336 -0.792
Eastern Michigan      4  7  0  188  252 -0.984   99  0.448   98 -1.098  103 -1.252   95 0.3947   77 0.4361   99      0  1.173 -1.288 -1.217
Toledo                4  7  0  135  187 -0.981  100  0.445  100 -1.105   99 -1.131   91 0.4068   78 0.4358  100      0  0.590 -1.802 -0.461
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Louisville            2  9  0  199  429 -0.368  101  0.407  101 -1.160  105 -1.440  103 0.3672  108 0.3214  101      0  1.548 -0.953 -1.927
Texas-El Paso         1 10  0  196  376 -0.507  102  0.327  102 -1.284   95 -1.082  109 0.3310  109 0.3170  102      0  1.348 -0.886 -1.279
San Jose State        2  8  1  212  339 -0.810  103  0.322  103 -1.292  101 -1.192  105 0.3583  102 0.3613  103      0  1.344 -1.001 -1.384
Wichita State         3  8  0  175  317 -1.040  104  0.306  104 -1.317  107 -1.463   99 0.3786   95 0.3954  104      0  1.286 -1.350 -1.576
Kent                  3  8  0  212  277 -0.965  105  0.285  105 -1.347   97 -1.086  100 0.3765   99 0.3821  105      0  1.367 -0.862 -1.309
Tulane                1 10  0  166  334 -0.347  106  0.271  106 -1.365   93 -0.999  102 0.3730  110 0.3047  106      0  1.258 -0.924 -1.073
Missouri              1 10  0  206  342 -0.386  107  0.224  107 -1.446   88 -0.851  104 0.3652  105 0.3383  107      0  1.516 -0.413 -1.290
Ohio                  2  9  0  181  305 -1.002  108  0.168  108 -1.535  106 -1.450  108 0.3491  101 0.3764  108      0  1.357 -1.240 -1.659
Kansas State          1 10  0  101  295 -0.913  109  0.030  109 -1.747  109 -1.540  106 0.3547  107 0.3367  109      0  0.781 -2.026 -1.055
New Mexico State      1 10  0  190  369 -1.014  110  0.000  110 -1.794  110 -1.660  110 0.3018  106 0.3380  110      0  1.335 -1.482 -1.838
UNRANKED             28 62  2 1666 2442 -0.547      -1.000      -1.000      -0.938      0.3976      0.4168           0  1.216 -0.918 -0.957


ACC: strength=0.201 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Maryland              9  3  0  326  192  0.617   13  2.079   14  1.044   13  1.116   17 0.6070   18 0.6016   19    379  1.256  1.188  1.043
Georgia Tech          9  2  1  252  132  0.527   15  2.056   12  1.055   18  0.974   19 0.5982   26 0.5688   13    637  0.638  0.347  1.600
Clemson               6  6  0  244  222  0.268   41  1.424   41  0.206   40  0.296   48 0.5065   56 0.4735   41      0  1.088  0.154  0.437
Virginia              6  5  0  262  217  0.205   43  1.418   43  0.198   37  0.330   52 0.5012   53 0.4783   43      0  1.320  0.488  0.172
North Carolina        5  6  0  224  223  0.256   50  1.302   50  0.029   54  0.016   55 0.4844   68 0.4573   50      0  1.107 -0.101  0.134
Duke                  4  7  0  193  252 -0.126   70  0.985   70 -0.371   71 -0.450   78 0.4418   91 0.4070   70      0  1.123 -0.548 -0.353
Wake Forest           4  7  0  212  249  0.122   72  0.940   72 -0.438   64 -0.216   89 0.4145  103 0.3565   72      0  1.217 -0.194 -0.237
North Carolina State  3  8  0  186  305 -0.011   81  0.834   81 -0.593   75 -0.548   87 0.4201   97 0.3842   81      0  1.307 -0.407 -0.688

Big 8: strength=0.011 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma             11  1  0  371  103  0.679    3  2.392    3  1.545    2  1.677    3 0.6647    4 0.6641    3   1127  0.836  1.249  2.106
Nebraska              9  3  0  421  163  0.618   20  1.925   20  0.869    8  1.350   21 0.5886   23 0.5827   21    249  1.204  1.354  1.347
Oklahoma State        8  4  0  255  188  0.160   35  1.586   35  0.438   35  0.349   29 0.5588   27 0.5648   27      1  0.999  0.102  0.597
Colorado              7  5  0  228  174  0.245   37  1.530   37  0.361   32  0.422   37 0.5383   39 0.5327   37      0  0.716 -0.130  0.973
Kansas                6  6  0  294  281 -0.176   62  1.126   62 -0.223   59 -0.152   58 0.4759   70 0.4529   62      0  1.301 -0.020 -0.284
Iowa State            5  6  0  155  318 -0.647   74  0.923   74 -0.466   92 -0.996   65 0.4667   81 0.4285   74      0  1.101 -1.121 -0.870
Missouri              1 10  0  206  342 -0.386  107  0.224  107 -1.446   88 -0.851  104 0.3652  105 0.3383  107      0  1.516 -0.413 -1.290
Kansas State          1 10  0  101  295 -0.913  109  0.030  109 -1.747  109 -1.540  106 0.3547  107 0.3367  109      0  0.781 -2.026 -1.055

Big Ten: strength=0.515 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan             10  1  1  342   98  0.979    2  2.405    2  1.564    1  1.973    1 0.6777    1 0.6871    2   1214  0.605  1.316  2.630
Iowa                 10  2  0  440  187  0.678   10  2.239   10  1.291    5  1.434    9 0.6400    8 0.6523    9    837  1.386  1.684  1.183
Ohio State            9  3  0  325  212  0.644   12  2.085   13  1.054   17  1.007   13 0.6200   15 0.6189   12    711  1.266  1.092  0.921
Illinois              6  5  1  304  334  0.453   28  1.726   28  0.626   38  0.308   33 0.5503   38 0.5349   30      0  1.551  0.799 -0.183
Michigan State        7  5  0  258  219  0.542   29  1.725   29  0.607   25  0.635   26 0.5694   30 0.5531   31      0  1.090  0.496  0.774
Minnesota             7  5  0  293  240  0.449   33  1.626   33  0.501   31  0.449   32 0.5564   37 0.5412   34      0  1.142  0.374  0.523
Purdue                5  6  0  287  306  0.398   42  1.419   42  0.200   43  0.277   40 0.5271   45 0.5009   42      0  1.579  0.812 -0.257
Wisconsin             5  6  0  231  263  0.049   51  1.257   51 -0.037   55 -0.059   45 0.5094   48 0.4985   51      0  1.295  0.066 -0.184
Indiana               4  7  0  251  340 -0.065   67  1.007   66 -0.341   68 -0.377   66 0.4654   88 0.4121   67      0  1.492  0.025 -0.779
Northwestern          3  8  0  170  332 -0.085   76  0.891   76 -0.511   84 -0.837   77 0.4423   87 0.4162   76      0  1.145 -0.908 -0.766

Independent: strength=0.090 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State           11  1  0  275  153  0.609    1  2.443    1  1.623   14  1.104    4 0.6614    6 0.6594    6    994  0.975  0.829  1.378
Miami (Florida)      10  2  0  406  195  0.835    4  2.332    4  1.454    4  1.438    7 0.6472   12 0.6295    5   1083  1.334  1.615  1.261
Florida State         9  3  0  402  258  0.574   16  2.040   16  1.031   21  0.893   18 0.6042   19 0.6013   16    494  1.548  1.381  0.406
West Virginia         7  3  1  189  158  0.173   30  1.709   30  0.584   44  0.230   31 0.5565   32 0.5495   32      0  0.601 -0.431  0.890
Notre Dame            5  6  0  230  234  0.834   31  1.657   32  0.510   23  0.772   28 0.5596   36 0.5422   33      0  1.240  0.824  0.721
Army                  9  3  0  396  232  0.136   32  1.641   31  0.520   28  0.477   38 0.5345   44 0.5040   25     78  1.366  0.699  0.256
Syracuse              7  5  0  284  195  0.226   39  1.497   39  0.313   27  0.531   41 0.5188   51 0.4918   39      0  1.012  0.298  0.763
Pittsburgh            5  5  1  202  187  0.186   44  1.391   44  0.160   50  0.144   49 0.5033   59 0.4687   44      0  0.883 -0.234  0.522
Southern Mississippi  7  4  0  255  159  0.006   46  1.357   46  0.110   34  0.359   51 0.5020   57 0.4732   46      0  0.947  0.053  0.665
Virginia Tech         6  5  0  274  219  0.073   53  1.250   53 -0.048   45  0.217   43 0.5151   43 0.5050   53      0  1.358  0.428  0.005
Cincinnati            5  6  0  199  261  0.115   55  1.220   54 -0.054   66 -0.277   54 0.4953   52 0.4893   55      0  0.992 -0.532 -0.022
Boston College        4  8  0  222  307  0.427   57  1.182   57 -0.109   56 -0.073   61 0.4742   63 0.4621   57      0  1.337  0.109 -0.254
South Carolina        5  6  0  269  290  0.083   60  1.139   60 -0.173   60 -0.155   70 0.4588   86 0.4163   60      0  1.514  0.281 -0.591
Navy                  4  7  0  253  239  0.310   61  1.128   61 -0.218   46  0.210   71 0.4573   75 0.4367   61      0  1.253  0.278  0.141
Temple                4  7  0  233  223  0.219   65  1.041   67 -0.348   49  0.162   69 0.4594   72 0.4456   65      0  1.334  0.340 -0.016
Rutgers               2  8  1  149  266  0.397   66  1.020   65 -0.320   69 -0.384   84 0.4270   93 0.4008   66      0  1.021 -0.605 -0.163
Memphis               2  7  2  180  243  0.156   80  0.835   80 -0.592   62 -0.199   76 0.4434   85 0.4173   80      0  0.984 -0.463  0.065
Louisiana-Lafayette   4  7  0  162  306 -0.647   88  0.675   87 -0.797   98 -1.125   82 0.4328   84 0.4202   88      0  1.159 -1.178 -1.071
East Carolina         2  9  0  161  281 -0.038   92  0.602   92 -0.902   77 -0.589   92 0.4060   98 0.3826   92      0  1.044 -0.784 -0.395
Louisville            2  9  0  199  429 -0.368  101  0.407  101 -1.160  105 -1.440  103 0.3672  108 0.3214  101      0  1.548 -0.953 -1.927
Tulane                1 10  0  166  334 -0.347  106  0.271  106 -1.365   93 -0.999  102 0.3730  110 0.3047  106      0  1.258 -0.924 -1.073

MAC: strength=-0.981 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bowling Green State  11  1  0  355  223 -0.610   25  1.753   24  0.663   51  0.075   23 0.5867   10 0.6394   29      0  1.427  0.384 -0.233
Miami (Ohio)          8  2  1  266  211 -0.730   48  1.313   48  0.040   70 -0.391   35 0.5419   21 0.5963   48      0  1.322 -0.230 -0.553
Central Michigan      7  3  0  194  143 -0.936   64  1.076   64 -0.301   73 -0.515   53 0.4981   33 0.5492   64      0  0.842 -0.936 -0.093
Western Michigan      4  6  1  182  212 -0.757   89  0.671   89 -0.802   83 -0.769   80 0.4347   62 0.4658   89      0  0.903 -1.125 -0.413
Northern Illinois     4  7  0  174  259 -0.727   93  0.601   93 -0.906   90 -0.872   81 0.4337   58 0.4691   93      0  1.068 -1.038 -0.706
Ball State            4  7  0  203  283 -0.956   96  0.483   96 -1.078  102 -1.222   93 0.4020   79 0.4341   96      0  1.269 -1.133 -1.311
Eastern Michigan      4  7  0  188  252 -0.984   99  0.448   98 -1.098  103 -1.252   95 0.3947   77 0.4361   99      0  1.173 -1.288 -1.217
Toledo                4  7  0  135  187 -0.981  100  0.445  100 -1.105   99 -1.131   91 0.4068   78 0.4358  100      0  0.590 -1.802 -0.461
Kent                  3  8  0  212  277 -0.965  105  0.285  105 -1.347   97 -1.086  100 0.3765   99 0.3821  105      0  1.367 -0.862 -1.309
Ohio                  2  9  0  181  305 -1.002  108  0.168  108 -1.535  106 -1.450  108 0.3491  101 0.3764  108      0  1.357 -1.240 -1.659

MVC: strength=-1.008 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tulsa                 6  5  0  274  328 -0.402   56  1.187   56 -0.105   74 -0.537   44 0.5102   41 0.5286   56      0  1.525 -0.085 -0.990
West Texas A&M        6  3  1  258  245 -1.090   79  0.873   79 -0.542   86 -0.840   60 0.4748   29 0.5638   79      0  1.670 -0.163 -1.517
Illinois State        6  3  2  206  156 -1.092   82  0.818   82 -0.619   82 -0.685   73 0.4460   50 0.4931   82      0  0.677 -1.274 -0.095
Indiana State         4  6  0  230  268 -0.907   94  0.555   94 -0.973   91 -0.961  101 0.3739   96 0.3950   94      0  1.476 -0.583 -1.340
Southern Illinois     4  7  0  327  256 -0.801   97  0.465   99 -1.103   76 -0.549  107 0.3509  104 0.3402   97      0  1.546 -0.066 -1.033
Drake                 4  7  0  196  255 -0.896   98  0.452   97 -1.092   94 -1.064   98 0.3818   92 0.4016   98      0  0.977 -1.336 -0.792
Wichita State         3  8  0  175  317 -1.040  104  0.306  104 -1.317  107 -1.463   99 0.3786   95 0.3954  104      0  1.286 -1.350 -1.576

Pac 10: strength=0.250 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
UCLA                  9  2  1  363  214  0.862    7  2.310    6  1.396    9  1.311   10 0.6313    3 0.6663    7    935  1.414  1.600  1.022
Arizona               8  3  1  252  146  0.207   26  1.737   25  0.643   26  0.633   30 0.5573   34 0.5483   23    127  0.706  0.073  1.194
Arizona State         8  4  0  285  168  0.395   27  1.736   26  0.639   22  0.834   27 0.5601   25 0.5699   26      9  0.900  0.476  1.193
Southern California   6  6  0  223  187  0.475   36  1.544   36  0.382   30  0.454   39 0.5332   42 0.5243   36      0  0.659 -0.152  1.060
Washington            7  5  0  238  225  0.262   38  1.520   38  0.343   39  0.296   36 0.5396   40 0.5290   38      0  1.023  0.077  0.515
Oregon                5  6  0  273  300  0.031   52  1.254   52 -0.041   58 -0.136   59 0.4752   65 0.4608   52      0  1.550  0.353 -0.626
Washington State      4  7  0  313  282  0.420   59  1.164   59 -0.135   36  0.334   63 0.4701   54 0.4782   59      0  1.565  0.848 -0.179
Stanford              4  7  0  245  313  0.002   63  1.092   63 -0.271   67 -0.344   68 0.4607   76 0.4362   63      0  1.512  0.088 -0.776
California            4  7  0  233  265 -0.039   71  0.984   71 -0.372   65 -0.217   75 0.4437   83 0.4226   71      0  1.286 -0.105 -0.330
Oregon State          3  8  0  160  362  0.010   78  0.885   78 -0.521   96 -1.084   83 0.4305   74 0.4371   78      0  1.156 -1.142 -1.026

PCAA: strength=-1.052 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Fresno State         11  0  1  481  209 -0.695   24  1.769   27  0.636   33  0.403   25 0.5708   16 0.6180   28      0  1.577  0.934 -0.127
Fullerton State       6  5  0  230  281 -0.985   84  0.735   83 -0.696  100 -1.133   74 0.4451   49 0.4949   84      0  1.339 -0.949 -1.318
Long Beach State      6  6  0  320  307 -0.802   85  0.731   85 -0.729   79 -0.636   86 0.4239   67 0.4593   85      0  1.553 -0.142 -1.130
Nevada-Las Vegas      5  5  1  189  210 -0.958   87  0.685   88 -0.798   89 -0.855   85 0.4249   61 0.4664   87      0  0.748 -1.374 -0.336
Pacific               5  7  0  292  301 -0.783   91  0.626   91 -0.870   85 -0.838   97 0.3862   82 0.4262   91      0  1.371 -0.609 -1.067
Utah State            3  8  0  177  319 -0.755   95  0.495   95 -1.060  104 -1.264   96 0.3877   80 0.4334   95      0  1.130 -1.354 -1.174
San Jose State        2  8  1  212  339 -0.810  103  0.322  103 -1.292  101 -1.192  105 0.3583  102 0.3613  103      0  1.344 -1.001 -1.384
New Mexico State      1 10  0  190  369 -1.014  110  0.000  110 -1.794  110 -1.660  110 0.3018  106 0.3380  110      0  1.335 -1.482 -1.838

SEC: strength=0.773 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee             9  1  2  325  140  0.868    5  2.320    5  1.412    3  1.515    6 0.6520   11 0.6303    4   1084  0.970  1.235  1.796
Alabama               9  2  1  318  181  0.888    8  2.303    8  1.386    7  1.353    5 0.6609    2 0.6701    8    922  1.236  1.398  1.307
Florida               9  1  1  286  162  0.848    9  2.300    9  1.381   12  1.227    2 0.6734    5 0.6622    1   1230  1.108  1.111  1.344
Auburn                8  4  0  344  208  0.868   14  2.070   15  1.033   11  1.228   15 0.6135   17 0.6044   15    546  1.295  1.352  1.104
Louisiana State       9  2  1  227  134  0.316   17  2.023   17  1.006   24  0.696   16 0.6129   24 0.5761   22    237  0.542 -0.018  1.410
Georgia               7  3  2  297  171  0.618   23  1.845   23  0.757   15  1.012   20 0.5939   28 0.5642   20    263  1.064  0.842  1.182
Mississippi State     5  6  0  257  288  0.396   45  1.370   45  0.131   47  0.207   47 0.5084   60 0.4667   45      0  1.621  0.807 -0.393
Mississippi           4  6  1  210  276  0.417   47  1.329   47  0.070   52  0.030   50 0.5032   55 0.4743   47      0  1.295  0.154 -0.095
Kentucky              5  6  0  194  211  0.167   54  1.242   55 -0.059   53  0.018   46 0.5087   66 0.4601   54      0  0.979 -0.252  0.288
Vanderbilt            3  7  1  166  308 -0.038   69  0.991   69 -0.364   81 -0.683   72 0.4549   90 0.4090   69      0  1.328 -0.514 -0.852

SWC: strength=0.152 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M            10  2  0  375  196  0.469   11  2.150   11  1.149   16  1.009    8 0.6469    7 0.6551   11    733  1.260  1.086  0.932
Arkansas             10  2  0  323  146  0.261   18  2.008   18  0.982   20  0.914   11 0.6241   13 0.6241   14    565  0.871  0.523  1.304
Baylor                9  3  0  293  152  0.464   19  1.967   19  0.935   19  0.922   14 0.6163   14 0.6195   17    493  0.885  0.547  1.297
Texas                 8  4  0  270  259  0.297   22  1.854   22  0.768   41  0.295   22 0.5875   22 0.5908   24     86  1.197  0.290  0.299
Southern Methodist    6  5  0  280  211  0.325   40  1.480   40  0.288   29  0.461   34 0.5500   35 0.5474   40      0  1.261  0.539  0.382
Houston               4  7  0  253  339 -0.193   73  0.934   73 -0.447   72 -0.514   57 0.4811   64 0.4611   73      0  1.555 -0.016 -1.012
Rice                  3  8  0  233  404  0.070   75  0.908   75 -0.485   78 -0.600   64 0.4675   69 0.4573   75      0  1.658  0.059 -1.259
Texas Tech            4  7  0  249  240 -0.079   77  0.887   77 -0.519   63 -0.199   67 0.4650   73 0.4418   77      0  1.142 -0.274 -0.124
Texas Christian       3  8  0  150  383 -0.586   90  0.627   90 -0.866  108 -1.483   88 0.4195  100 0.3805   90      0  1.265 -1.398 -1.567

WAC: strength=-0.022 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Air Force            12  1  0  470  179  0.381    6  2.311    7  1.394    6  1.405   12 0.6207    9 0.6408   10    809  1.159  1.351  1.458
Brigham Young        11  3  0  442  186  0.384   21  1.913   21  0.850   10  1.270   24 0.5797   20 0.5999   18    407  1.025  1.053  1.487
Utah                  8  4  0  405  343  0.118   34  1.604   34  0.466   42  0.280   42 0.5162   31 0.5519   35      0  1.813  1.193 -0.633
Colorado State        5  7  0  251  330  0.202   49  1.304   49  0.032   61 -0.198   56 0.4813   46 0.5008   49      0  1.364  0.022 -0.418
San Diego State       5  6  1  342  317  0.068   58  1.180   58 -0.114   48  0.163   62 0.4738   47 0.5008   58      0  1.449  0.503 -0.176
Hawaii                4  6  2  269  262 -0.193   68  0.996   68 -0.357   57 -0.121   79 0.4370   71 0.4516   68      0  1.100 -0.247  0.006
Wyoming               3  8  0  211  371 -0.320   83  0.741   84 -0.726   87 -0.845   90 0.4115   89 0.4116   83      0  1.372 -0.614 -1.076
New Mexico            3  8  0  289  415 -0.267   86  0.714   86 -0.752   80 -0.651   94 0.3954   94 0.4000   86      0  1.793  0.228 -1.531
Texas-El Paso         1 10  0  196  376 -0.507  102  0.327  102 -1.284   95 -1.082  109 0.3310  109 0.3170  102      0  1.348 -0.886 -1.279

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE    W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
SEC          68  38   9 0.630    1  0.773
Big Ten      66  48   2 0.578    2  0.515
Pac 10       58  55   2 0.513    3  0.250
ACC          46  44   1 0.511    4  0.201
SWC          57  46   0 0.553    5  0.152
Independent 111 121   5 0.479    6  0.090
Big 8        48  45   0 0.516    7  0.011
WAC          52  53   3 0.495    8 -0.022
MAC          51  57   2 0.473    9 -0.981
MVC          33  39   3 0.460   10 -1.008
PCAA         39  49   3 0.445   11 -1.052

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.286 points in main ratings
     0.022 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:12:05 2007

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