Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia Tech         11  0  1  379  186  0.898    1  2.817    1  1.844    4  1.528    1 0.7022    1 0.7043    1   1250  1.327  1.570  1.486
Colorado             11  1  1  399  229  0.974    2  2.778    2  1.786    6  1.470    2 0.6834    3 0.6880    2   1200  1.273  1.439  1.501
Miami (Florida)      10  2  0  447  184  0.925    3  2.590    4  1.502    1  1.930    4 0.6640    2 0.6904    3   1150  1.167  1.761  2.099
Texas                10  2  0  358  227  0.816    4  2.561    3  1.548   13  1.169    5 0.6567    4 0.6666    5   1062  1.218  1.066  1.273
Clemson              10  2  0  333  109  0.796    5  2.443    5  1.358    5  1.492    6 0.6481    6 0.6592    8    911  0.654  0.759  2.226
Washington           10  2  0  440  184  0.753    6  2.427    6  1.332    2  1.749    3 0.6679    7 0.6546    6    980  1.302  1.756  1.742
Florida State        10  2  0  459  206  0.779    7  2.425    7  1.330    8  1.457    8 0.6308    5 0.6655    4   1082  1.551  1.824  1.090
Notre Dame            9  3  0  359  259  0.863    8  2.422    8  1.327   14  1.095    7 0.6472    9 0.6322    7    963  1.521  1.417  0.774
Houston              10  1  0  511  303  0.165    9  2.355    9  1.217   22  0.722   11 0.6216    8 0.6381   10    787  1.948  1.750 -0.306
Penn State            9  3  0  297  179  0.639   10  2.295   10  1.122   15  1.078    9 0.6272   12 0.6257   11    729  1.010  0.719  1.438
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee             9  2  2  465  220  0.591   11  2.260   11  1.073   11  1.266   13 0.6081   15 0.5999    9    814  1.342  1.329  1.204
Florida               9  2  0  387  171  0.539   12  2.235   12  1.053   12  1.266   14 0.6052   13 0.6242   15    598  1.396  1.403  1.128
Michigan              9  3  0  389  198  0.600   13  2.218   13  1.027   10  1.379   10 0.6220   16 0.5992   13    635  1.326  1.420  1.339
Nebraska              9  3  0  434  192  0.645   14  2.177   14  0.966    9  1.453   18 0.5943   20 0.5827   22    242  1.305  1.465  1.442
Iowa                  8  4  0  427  288  0.683   15  2.136   16  0.905   16  0.988   26 0.5745   32 0.5582   14    631  1.672  1.544  0.432
Michigan State        8  3  1  312  223  0.476   16  2.131   15  0.944   23  0.718   19 0.5899   31 0.5631   17    394  1.245  0.650  0.786
Louisville           10  1  1  345  149 -0.061   17  2.105   17  0.902   34  0.449   22 0.5821   14 0.6017   20    287  1.004  0.082  0.816
Illinois              8  4  0  293  246  0.596   18  2.088   18  0.880   29  0.622   20 0.5853   28 0.5710   18    373  1.180  0.469  0.775
Oklahoma              8  3  0  401  174  0.669   19  2.082   19  0.870    7  1.460   21 0.5834   33 0.5563   12    654  1.349  1.532  1.388
Brigham Young        10  3  0  524  350  0.241   20  2.081   20  0.867   20  0.809   17 0.5944   11 0.6259   19    337  1.835  1.638 -0.020
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern California   8  4  1  348  274  0.654   21  2.080   21  0.867   18  0.827   12 0.6127   21 0.5827   21    279  1.294  0.823  0.830
Virginia              8  4  0  464  227  0.798   22  2.055   22  0.834    3  1.574   16 0.5952   23 0.5783   16    533  1.555  1.947  1.201
Auburn                8  3  1  283  216  0.264   23  2.040   23  0.812   38  0.404   27 0.5733   27 0.5712   23    133  1.030  0.068  0.740
California            7  4  1  325  341  0.520   24  2.010   24  0.771   31  0.493   15 0.6003   19 0.5904   27      0  1.602  0.938  0.048
Maryland              6  5  1  237  284  0.698   25  2.000   25  0.759   36  0.430   23 0.5811   22 0.5812   28      0  1.250  0.369  0.491
San Jose State        9  2  1  435  228 -0.023   26  1.923   26  0.641   28  0.624   29 0.5704   10 0.6270   24    120  1.466  0.863  0.384
North Carolina State  7  5  0  298  189  0.713   27  1.914   27  0.631   26  0.670   28 0.5707   29 0.5682   25     67  0.962  0.255  1.086
Texas A&M             9  3  1  465  232  0.277   28  1.903   28  0.612   17  0.976   25 0.5765   17 0.5951   26     39  1.413  1.138  0.813
Virginia Tech         6  5  0  245  227  0.585   29  1.891   29  0.598   30  0.589   32 0.5649   26 0.5735   29      0  1.235  0.508  0.671
North Carolina        6  4  1  227  186  0.436   30  1.883   30  0.585   37  0.417   36 0.5559   41 0.5336   30      0  0.812 -0.160  0.994
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Mississippi           9  3  0  260  226 -0.169   31  1.882   31  0.581   49 -0.002   33 0.5643   40 0.5399   31      0  1.036 -0.332  0.328
Oregon                8  4  0  341  221  0.320   32  1.854   32  0.541   25  0.704   24 0.5788   25 0.5743   32      0  1.013  0.347  1.060
Southern Mississippi  8  4  0  220  172  0.252   33  1.846   33  0.530   33  0.454   31 0.5690   18 0.5931   33      0  0.958  0.034  0.873
Ohio State            7  4  1  349  220  0.329   34  1.831   34  0.510   19  0.823   38 0.5489   50 0.5131   34      0  1.285  0.808  0.839
Baylor                6  4  1  225  202  0.317   35  1.813   35  0.486   41  0.295   43 0.5406   39 0.5409   35      0  0.867 -0.224  0.815
Temple                7  4  0  261  269  0.159   36  1.801   36  0.468   47  0.048   37 0.5532   30 0.5675   36      0  1.502  0.340 -0.244
Stanford              5  6  0  263  284  0.645   37  1.792   37  0.456   32  0.470   34 0.5634   36 0.5501   37      0  1.315  0.495  0.444
UCLA                  5  6  0  305  332  0.558   38  1.779   39  0.435   39  0.374   40 0.5446   51 0.5112   38      0  1.585  0.794 -0.045
Arizona               7  5  0  267  311  0.255   39  1.776   38  0.447   46  0.055   35 0.5631   45 0.5258   39      0  1.324  0.092  0.017
Alabama               7  5  0  260  161  0.303   40  1.744   40  0.404   27  0.628   41 0.5446   38 0.5477   40      0  0.809  0.048  1.208
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse              7  4  2  341  213  0.273   41  1.686   41  0.325   21  0.771   39 0.5488   44 0.5307   41      0  1.052  0.461  1.081
Colorado State        9  4  0  378  302 -0.180   42  1.671   42  0.304   48  0.035   44 0.5332   35 0.5505   42      0  1.468  0.277 -0.208
Minnesota             6  5  0  224  281  0.190   43  1.647   43  0.271   44  0.067   45 0.5203   53 0.4875   43      0  1.223 -0.030  0.164
Wyoming               9  4  0  327  297 -0.237   44  1.645   44  0.266   59 -0.120   42 0.5420   37 0.5482   44      0  1.220 -0.221 -0.019
South Carolina        6  5  0  282  237  0.666   45  1.635   45  0.254   24  0.717   30 0.5692   24 0.5761   45      0  1.318  0.747  0.687
Indiana               6  5  1  329  238  0.143   46  1.576   46  0.170   35  0.440   49 0.5032   64 0.4669   46      0  1.304  0.451  0.429
Louisiana Tech        8  3  1  365  219 -0.326   47  1.527   47  0.098   42  0.131   48 0.5032   42 0.5328   47      0  1.413  0.294 -0.032
San Diego State       6  5  0  459  386  0.074   48  1.515   49  0.083   40  0.306   47 0.5198   47 0.5238   48      0  2.111  1.639 -1.028
Air Force             7  5  0  262  283 -0.117   49  1.487   48  0.087   55 -0.093   46 0.5202   46 0.5250   49      0  1.167 -0.263  0.076
Toledo                9  2  0  284  178 -1.018   50  1.420   50 -0.019   76 -0.455   58 0.4843   34 0.5522   50      0  1.237 -0.534 -0.375
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
East Carolina         5  6  0  254  267  0.070   51  1.393   51 -0.055   50 -0.023   52 0.4944   52 0.5054   51      0  1.302 -0.015 -0.032
Iowa State            4  6  1  270  307  0.204   52  1.388   52 -0.062   51 -0.032   63 0.4759   71 0.4556   52      0  1.475  0.221 -0.284
Mississippi State     5  6  0  207  236  0.011   53  1.386   53 -0.064   63 -0.213   53 0.4900   55 0.4811   53      0  1.138 -0.418 -0.008
Kansas                3  7  1  213  365  0.285   54  1.369   54 -0.089   68 -0.309   62 0.4779   73 0.4534   54      0  1.392 -0.176 -0.442
Arizona State         4  7  0  272  294  0.287   55  1.355   56 -0.111   43  0.112   50 0.5006   61 0.4673   55      0  1.373  0.218  0.006
Fresno State          8  2  1  346  230 -0.906   56  1.345   57 -0.131   66 -0.258   54 0.4884   43 0.5320   56      0  1.276 -0.285 -0.231
Texas Tech            4  7  0  322  356  0.256   57  1.329   58 -0.150   45  0.061   59 0.4795   56 0.4780   57      0  1.687  0.642 -0.520
Texas Christian       5  6  0  292  353 -0.053   58  1.315   55 -0.109   70 -0.323   57 0.4859   72 0.4555   58      0  1.552  0.045 -0.691
Georgia               4  7  0  185  293  0.085   59  1.279   59 -0.161   73 -0.394   51 0.4957   62 0.4672   59      0  1.228 -0.486 -0.303
Duke                  4  7  0  240  295  0.293   60  1.274   60 -0.168   56 -0.113   55 0.4868   70 0.4579   60      0  1.293 -0.118 -0.108
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hawaii                7  5  0  374  257 -0.336   61  1.269   61 -0.179   53 -0.054   60 0.4785   60 0.4720   61      0  1.324 -0.015 -0.092
Louisiana State       5  6  0  183  238 -0.172   62  1.253   62 -0.200   71 -0.340   56 0.4866   63 0.4670   62      0  0.896 -0.828  0.149
Missouri              4  7  0  278  360  0.165   63  1.247   63 -0.208   54 -0.055   66 0.4674   79 0.4317   63      0  1.590  0.371 -0.482
Kansas State          5  6  0  255  293 -0.077   64  1.219   64 -0.220   65 -0.256   71 0.4526   84 0.4130   64      0  1.238 -0.333 -0.179
Rice                  5  6  0  256  258 -0.118   65  1.209   65 -0.236   57 -0.117   64 0.4715   82 0.4242   65      0  1.159 -0.295  0.062
Louisiana-Lafayette   5  6  0  197  242 -0.151   66  1.181   66 -0.276   72 -0.387   74 0.4489   67 0.4619   66      0  1.065 -0.682 -0.091
Oklahoma State        4  7  0  233  309  0.165   67  1.177   67 -0.281   60 -0.157   69 0.4581   80 0.4309   67      0  1.277 -0.183 -0.132
Pittsburgh            3  7  1  240  293  0.135   68  1.164   68 -0.301   52 -0.050   68 0.4583   75 0.4368   68      0  1.345  0.017 -0.117
Boston College        4  7  0  190  288 -0.053   69  1.125   69 -0.310   77 -0.461   65 0.4687   68 0.4582   69      0  1.196 -0.594 -0.329
Northern Illinois     6  5  0  333  260 -0.319   70  1.118   70 -0.323   58 -0.119   75 0.4478   57 0.4776   70      0  1.555  0.254 -0.491
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Central Michigan      8  3  1  283  146 -0.928   71  1.097   71 -0.357   62 -0.200   67 0.4583   48 0.5200   71      0  0.763 -0.828  0.427
Washington State      3  8  0  286  381  0.214   72  1.084   72 -0.369   61 -0.177   61 0.4780   74 0.4449   72      0  1.635  0.321 -0.675
Western Michigan      7  4  0  249  235 -0.954   73  1.042   74 -0.436   84 -0.804   81 0.4396   49 0.5159   73      0  1.337 -0.749 -0.860
Tulane                4  7  0  237  253 -0.180   74  1.040   73 -0.436   64 -0.252   77 0.4412   81 0.4250   74      0  1.307 -0.237 -0.266
Kentucky              4  7  0  228  316 -0.212   75  1.011   75 -0.477   78 -0.517   70 0.4533   87 0.4091   75      0  1.500 -0.227 -0.807
West Virginia         4  7  0  217  238 -0.169   76  0.997   76 -0.499   69 -0.319   80 0.4402   85 0.4107   76      0  1.155 -0.504 -0.135
Utah State            5  5  1  287  310 -0.759   77  0.984   78 -0.521   83 -0.756   72 0.4512   54 0.4836   77      0  1.355 -0.676 -0.836
Utah                  4  7  0  214  348 -0.339   78  0.982   77 -0.518   88 -0.866   73 0.4489   58 0.4731   78      0  1.313 -0.843 -0.889
Long Beach State      6  5  0  249  331 -0.969   79  0.959   79 -0.557   92 -1.076   82 0.4362   66 0.4636   79      0  1.321 -1.043 -1.110
Memphis               4  6  1  212  233 -0.217   80  0.952   81 -0.564   67 -0.302   76 0.4449   78 0.4335   80      0  1.078 -0.582 -0.023
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wake Forest           3  8  0  247  351  0.110   81  0.946   82 -0.572   74 -0.402   79 0.4410   88 0.3981   81      0  1.585  0.017 -0.820
Army                  6  5  0  295  264 -0.676   82  0.916   80 -0.561   87 -0.837   85 0.4214   98 0.3614   82      0  1.461 -0.605 -1.069
Ball State            7  4  0  204  121 -1.084   83  0.885   85 -0.607   80 -0.675   88 0.4061   59 0.4721   83      0  0.675 -1.389  0.038
Arkansas              3  8  0  263  360 -0.068   84  0.882   84 -0.607   75 -0.406   78 0.4410   77 0.4339   84      0  1.559 -0.027 -0.784
Purdue                2  9  0  177  337  0.379   85  0.881   83 -0.606   79 -0.542   83 0.4338   86 0.4094   85      0  1.118 -0.772 -0.312
Navy                  5  6  0  209  294 -0.532   86  0.780   86 -0.776   85 -0.813   84 0.4305   76 0.4339   86      0  1.242 -0.886 -0.741
Rutgers               3  8  0  173  302 -0.270   87  0.765   87 -0.796   90 -0.909   87 0.4065   93 0.3737   87      0  1.098 -1.163 -0.655
Northwestern          2  9  0  210  370 -0.068   88  0.743   88 -0.829   82 -0.738   90 0.3965  101 0.3370   88      0  1.486 -0.469 -1.007
Miami (Ohio)          5  5  1  200  225 -1.092   89  0.729   89 -0.855   95 -1.111   89 0.4048   65 0.4663   89      0  1.094 -1.370 -0.851
Arkansas State        3  7  1  200  313 -0.410   90  0.682   90 -0.921   94 -1.107   94 0.3756   89 0.3933   90      0  1.379 -0.994 -1.221
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas-El Paso         3  8  0  191  342 -0.531   91  0.652   91 -0.965   93 -1.098   93 0.3930   94 0.3706   91      0  1.183 -1.247 -0.949
Tulsa                 3  8  0  183  281 -0.475   92  0.596   93 -1.053   91 -0.997  100 0.3618   99 0.3499   92      0  1.000 -1.368 -0.626
Wisconsin             1 10  0  133  285  0.077   93  0.595   92 -1.051   81 -0.699   92 0.3931   95 0.3686   93      0  0.838 -1.249 -0.148
Pacific               4  7  0  353  411 -0.936   94  0.533   94 -1.160   96 -1.117   97 0.3695   90 0.3881   94      0  1.847 -0.268 -1.965
Akron                 3  7  1  233  263 -0.810   95  0.514   95 -1.189   86 -0.834  101 0.3582   92 0.3749   95      0  1.205 -0.954 -0.713
Nevada-Las Vegas      4  7  0  239  324 -1.042   96  0.471   96 -1.251  100 -1.229   86 0.4104   69 0.4582   96      0  1.281 -1.250 -1.209
New Mexico            2 10  0  279  400 -0.440   97  0.459   97 -1.266   89 -0.889   95 0.3741   96 0.3654   97      0  1.468 -0.647 -1.131
Bowling Green State   3  5  2  138  163 -1.207   98  0.435   98 -1.306   99 -1.227   98 0.3656   83 0.4223   98      0  0.635 -1.978 -0.475
Oregon State          1 10  0  152  371 -0.241   99  0.420   99 -1.326   97 -1.143   91 0.3933  100 0.3389   99      0  1.209 -1.258 -1.028
Vanderbilt            1 10  0  227  457 -0.442  100  0.389  100 -1.376  101 -1.266   99 0.3618  105 0.3015  100      0  1.775 -0.539 -1.993
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern Methodist    1 10  0  197  426 -0.353  101  0.385  101 -1.407   98 -1.210   96 0.3704  102 0.3347  101      0  1.440 -1.009 -1.412
Cincinnati            1 10  0  172  460 -0.653  102  0.330  102 -1.505  103 -1.559  102 0.3532   91 0.3804  102      0  1.581 -1.145 -1.972
Eastern Michigan      2  9  0  179  301 -1.130  103  0.217  103 -1.699  102 -1.534  103 0.3117   97 0.3648  103      0  1.322 -1.500 -1.569
Kent                  2  9  0  177  328 -1.406  104  0.094  105 -1.869  104 -1.984  106 0.2809  104 0.3043  104      0  1.322 -1.948 -2.019
Ohio                  1  9  1  162  342 -1.275  105  0.081  104 -1.868  106 -2.030  107 0.2612  103 0.3129  105      0  1.324 -1.992 -2.067
Fullerton State       1 11  0  223  485 -1.077  106  0.030  106 -1.945  107 -2.050  104 0.2909  106 0.2889  106      0  1.563 -1.665 -2.435
New Mexico State      1 10  0  200  422 -1.254  107  0.000  107 -2.016  105 -2.007  105 0.2836  107 0.2626  107      0  1.458 -1.779 -2.234
UNRANKED             10 57  0 1014 2224 -0.615      -1.000      -1.000      -1.443      0.3662      0.3739           0  1.232 -1.529 -1.357


ACC: strength=0.782 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia Tech         11  0  1  379  186  0.898    1  2.817    1  1.844    4  1.528    1 0.7022    1 0.7043    1   1250  1.327  1.570  1.486
Clemson              10  2  0  333  109  0.796    5  2.443    5  1.358    5  1.492    6 0.6481    6 0.6592    8    911  0.654  0.759  2.226
Virginia              8  4  0  464  227  0.798   22  2.055   22  0.834    3  1.574   16 0.5952   23 0.5783   16    533  1.555  1.947  1.201
Maryland              6  5  1  237  284  0.698   25  2.000   25  0.759   36  0.430   23 0.5811   22 0.5812   28      0  1.250  0.369  0.491
North Carolina State  7  5  0  298  189  0.713   27  1.914   27  0.631   26  0.670   28 0.5707   29 0.5682   25     67  0.962  0.255  1.086
North Carolina        6  4  1  227  186  0.436   30  1.883   30  0.585   37  0.417   36 0.5559   41 0.5336   30      0  0.812 -0.160  0.994
Duke                  4  7  0  240  295  0.293   60  1.274   60 -0.168   56 -0.113   55 0.4868   70 0.4579   60      0  1.293 -0.118 -0.108
Wake Forest           3  8  0  247  351  0.110   81  0.946   82 -0.572   74 -0.402   79 0.4410   88 0.3981   81      0  1.585  0.017 -0.820

Big 8: strength=0.435 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado             11  1  1  399  229  0.974    2  2.778    2  1.786    6  1.470    2 0.6834    3 0.6880    2   1200  1.273  1.439  1.501
Nebraska              9  3  0  434  192  0.645   14  2.177   14  0.966    9  1.453   18 0.5943   20 0.5827   22    242  1.305  1.465  1.442
Oklahoma              8  3  0  401  174  0.669   19  2.082   19  0.870    7  1.460   21 0.5834   33 0.5563   12    654  1.349  1.532  1.388
Iowa State            4  6  1  270  307  0.204   52  1.388   52 -0.062   51 -0.032   63 0.4759   71 0.4556   52      0  1.475  0.221 -0.284
Kansas                3  7  1  213  365  0.285   54  1.369   54 -0.089   68 -0.309   62 0.4779   73 0.4534   54      0  1.392 -0.176 -0.442
Missouri              4  7  0  278  360  0.165   63  1.247   63 -0.208   54 -0.055   66 0.4674   79 0.4317   63      0  1.590  0.371 -0.482
Kansas State          5  6  0  255  293 -0.077   64  1.219   64 -0.220   65 -0.256   71 0.4526   84 0.4130   64      0  1.238 -0.333 -0.179
Oklahoma State        4  7  0  233  309  0.165   67  1.177   67 -0.281   60 -0.157   69 0.4581   80 0.4309   67      0  1.277 -0.183 -0.132

Big Ten: strength=0.363 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan              9  3  0  389  198  0.600   13  2.218   13  1.027   10  1.379   10 0.6220   16 0.5992   13    635  1.326  1.420  1.339
Iowa                  8  4  0  427  288  0.683   15  2.136   16  0.905   16  0.988   26 0.5745   32 0.5582   14    631  1.672  1.544  0.432
Michigan State        8  3  1  312  223  0.476   16  2.131   15  0.944   23  0.718   19 0.5899   31 0.5631   17    394  1.245  0.650  0.786
Illinois              8  4  0  293  246  0.596   18  2.088   18  0.880   29  0.622   20 0.5853   28 0.5710   18    373  1.180  0.469  0.775
Ohio State            7  4  1  349  220  0.329   34  1.831   34  0.510   19  0.823   38 0.5489   50 0.5131   34      0  1.285  0.808  0.839
Minnesota             6  5  0  224  281  0.190   43  1.647   43  0.271   44  0.067   45 0.5203   53 0.4875   43      0  1.223 -0.030  0.164
Indiana               6  5  1  329  238  0.143   46  1.576   46  0.170   35  0.440   49 0.5032   64 0.4669   46      0  1.304  0.451  0.429
Purdue                2  9  0  177  337  0.379   85  0.881   83 -0.606   79 -0.542   83 0.4338   86 0.4094   85      0  1.118 -0.772 -0.312
Northwestern          2  9  0  210  370 -0.068   88  0.743   88 -0.829   82 -0.738   90 0.3965  101 0.3370   88      0  1.486 -0.469 -1.007
Wisconsin             1 10  0  133  285  0.077   93  0.595   92 -1.051   81 -0.699   92 0.3931   95 0.3686   93      0  0.838 -1.249 -0.148

Big West: strength=-1.146 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
San Jose State        9  2  1  435  228 -0.023   26  1.923   26  0.641   28  0.624   29 0.5704   10 0.6270   24    120  1.466  0.863  0.384
Fresno State          8  2  1  346  230 -0.906   56  1.345   57 -0.131   66 -0.258   54 0.4884   43 0.5320   56      0  1.276 -0.285 -0.231
Utah State            5  5  1  287  310 -0.759   77  0.984   78 -0.521   83 -0.756   72 0.4512   54 0.4836   77      0  1.355 -0.676 -0.836
Long Beach State      6  5  0  249  331 -0.969   79  0.959   79 -0.557   92 -1.076   82 0.4362   66 0.4636   79      0  1.321 -1.043 -1.110
Pacific               4  7  0  353  411 -0.936   94  0.533   94 -1.160   96 -1.117   97 0.3695   90 0.3881   94      0  1.847 -0.268 -1.965
Nevada-Las Vegas      4  7  0  239  324 -1.042   96  0.471   96 -1.251  100 -1.229   86 0.4104   69 0.4582   96      0  1.281 -1.250 -1.209
Fullerton State       1 11  0  223  485 -1.077  106  0.030  106 -1.945  107 -2.050  104 0.2909  106 0.2889  106      0  1.563 -1.665 -2.435
New Mexico State      1 10  0  200  422 -1.254  107  0.000  107 -2.016  105 -2.007  105 0.2836  107 0.2626  107      0  1.458 -1.779 -2.234

Independent: strength=-0.049 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami (Florida)      10  2  0  447  184  0.925    3  2.590    4  1.502    1  1.930    4 0.6640    2 0.6904    3   1150  1.167  1.761  2.099
Florida State        10  2  0  459  206  0.779    7  2.425    7  1.330    8  1.457    8 0.6308    5 0.6655    4   1082  1.551  1.824  1.090
Notre Dame            9  3  0  359  259  0.863    8  2.422    8  1.327   14  1.095    7 0.6472    9 0.6322    7    963  1.521  1.417  0.774
Penn State            9  3  0  297  179  0.639   10  2.295   10  1.122   15  1.078    9 0.6272   12 0.6257   11    729  1.010  0.719  1.438
Louisville           10  1  1  345  149 -0.061   17  2.105   17  0.902   34  0.449   22 0.5821   14 0.6017   20    287  1.004  0.082  0.816
Virginia Tech         6  5  0  245  227  0.585   29  1.891   29  0.598   30  0.589   32 0.5649   26 0.5735   29      0  1.235  0.508  0.671
Southern Mississippi  8  4  0  220  172  0.252   33  1.846   33  0.530   33  0.454   31 0.5690   18 0.5931   33      0  0.958  0.034  0.873
Temple                7  4  0  261  269  0.159   36  1.801   36  0.468   47  0.048   37 0.5532   30 0.5675   36      0  1.502  0.340 -0.244
Syracuse              7  4  2  341  213  0.273   41  1.686   41  0.325   21  0.771   39 0.5488   44 0.5307   41      0  1.052  0.461  1.081
South Carolina        6  5  0  282  237  0.666   45  1.635   45  0.254   24  0.717   30 0.5692   24 0.5761   45      0  1.318  0.747  0.687
Louisiana Tech        8  3  1  365  219 -0.326   47  1.527   47  0.098   42  0.131   48 0.5032   42 0.5328   47      0  1.413  0.294 -0.032
East Carolina         5  6  0  254  267  0.070   51  1.393   51 -0.055   50 -0.023   52 0.4944   52 0.5054   51      0  1.302 -0.015 -0.032
Louisiana-Lafayette   5  6  0  197  242 -0.151   66  1.181   66 -0.276   72 -0.387   74 0.4489   67 0.4619   66      0  1.065 -0.682 -0.091
Pittsburgh            3  7  1  240  293  0.135   68  1.164   68 -0.301   52 -0.050   68 0.4583   75 0.4368   68      0  1.345  0.017 -0.117
Boston College        4  7  0  190  288 -0.053   69  1.125   69 -0.310   77 -0.461   65 0.4687   68 0.4582   69      0  1.196 -0.594 -0.329
Northern Illinois     6  5  0  333  260 -0.319   70  1.118   70 -0.323   58 -0.119   75 0.4478   57 0.4776   70      0  1.555  0.254 -0.491
Tulane                4  7  0  237  253 -0.180   74  1.040   73 -0.436   64 -0.252   77 0.4412   81 0.4250   74      0  1.307 -0.237 -0.266
West Virginia         4  7  0  217  238 -0.169   76  0.997   76 -0.499   69 -0.319   80 0.4402   85 0.4107   76      0  1.155 -0.504 -0.135
Memphis               4  6  1  212  233 -0.217   80  0.952   81 -0.564   67 -0.302   76 0.4449   78 0.4335   80      0  1.078 -0.582 -0.023
Army                  6  5  0  295  264 -0.676   82  0.916   80 -0.561   87 -0.837   85 0.4214   98 0.3614   82      0  1.461 -0.605 -1.069
Navy                  5  6  0  209  294 -0.532   86  0.780   86 -0.776   85 -0.813   84 0.4305   76 0.4339   86      0  1.242 -0.886 -0.741
Rutgers               3  8  0  173  302 -0.270   87  0.765   87 -0.796   90 -0.909   87 0.4065   93 0.3737   87      0  1.098 -1.163 -0.655
Arkansas State        3  7  1  200  313 -0.410   90  0.682   90 -0.921   94 -1.107   94 0.3756   89 0.3933   90      0  1.379 -0.994 -1.221
Tulsa                 3  8  0  183  281 -0.475   92  0.596   93 -1.053   91 -0.997  100 0.3618   99 0.3499   92      0  1.000 -1.368 -0.626
Akron                 3  7  1  233  263 -0.810   95  0.514   95 -1.189   86 -0.834  101 0.3582   92 0.3749   95      0  1.205 -0.954 -0.713
Cincinnati            1 10  0  172  460 -0.653  102  0.330  102 -1.505  103 -1.559  102 0.3532   91 0.3804  102      0  1.581 -1.145 -1.972

MAC: strength=-1.235 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Toledo                9  2  0  284  178 -1.018   50  1.420   50 -0.019   76 -0.455   58 0.4843   34 0.5522   50      0  1.237 -0.534 -0.375
Central Michigan      8  3  1  283  146 -0.928   71  1.097   71 -0.357   62 -0.200   67 0.4583   48 0.5200   71      0  0.763 -0.828  0.427
Western Michigan      7  4  0  249  235 -0.954   73  1.042   74 -0.436   84 -0.804   81 0.4396   49 0.5159   73      0  1.337 -0.749 -0.860
Ball State            7  4  0  204  121 -1.084   83  0.885   85 -0.607   80 -0.675   88 0.4061   59 0.4721   83      0  0.675 -1.389  0.038
Miami (Ohio)          5  5  1  200  225 -1.092   89  0.729   89 -0.855   95 -1.111   89 0.4048   65 0.4663   89      0  1.094 -1.370 -0.851
Bowling Green State   3  5  2  138  163 -1.207   98  0.435   98 -1.306   99 -1.227   98 0.3656   83 0.4223   98      0  0.635 -1.978 -0.475
Eastern Michigan      2  9  0  179  301 -1.130  103  0.217  103 -1.699  102 -1.534  103 0.3117   97 0.3648  103      0  1.322 -1.500 -1.569
Kent                  2  9  0  177  328 -1.406  104  0.094  105 -1.869  104 -1.984  106 0.2809  104 0.3043  104      0  1.322 -1.948 -2.019
Ohio                  1  9  1  162  342 -1.275  105  0.081  104 -1.868  106 -2.030  107 0.2612  103 0.3129  105      0  1.324 -1.992 -2.067

Pac 10: strength=0.394 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington           10  2  0  440  184  0.753    6  2.427    6  1.332    2  1.749    3 0.6679    7 0.6546    6    980  1.302  1.756  1.742
Southern California   8  4  1  348  274  0.654   21  2.080   21  0.867   18  0.827   12 0.6127   21 0.5827   21    279  1.294  0.823  0.830
California            7  4  1  325  341  0.520   24  2.010   24  0.771   31  0.493   15 0.6003   19 0.5904   27      0  1.602  0.938  0.048
Oregon                8  4  0  341  221  0.320   32  1.854   32  0.541   25  0.704   24 0.5788   25 0.5743   32      0  1.013  0.347  1.060
Stanford              5  6  0  263  284  0.645   37  1.792   37  0.456   32  0.470   34 0.5634   36 0.5501   37      0  1.315  0.495  0.444
UCLA                  5  6  0  305  332  0.558   38  1.779   39  0.435   39  0.374   40 0.5446   51 0.5112   38      0  1.585  0.794 -0.045
Arizona               7  5  0  267  311  0.255   39  1.776   38  0.447   46  0.055   35 0.5631   45 0.5258   39      0  1.324  0.092  0.017
Arizona State         4  7  0  272  294  0.287   55  1.355   56 -0.111   43  0.112   50 0.5006   61 0.4673   55      0  1.373  0.218  0.006
Washington State      3  8  0  286  381  0.214   72  1.084   72 -0.369   61 -0.177   61 0.4780   74 0.4449   72      0  1.635  0.321 -0.675
Oregon State          1 10  0  152  371 -0.241   99  0.420   99 -1.326   97 -1.143   91 0.3933  100 0.3389   99      0  1.209 -1.258 -1.028

SEC: strength=0.077 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tennessee             9  2  2  465  220  0.591   11  2.260   11  1.073   11  1.266   13 0.6081   15 0.5999    9    814  1.342  1.329  1.204
Florida               9  2  0  387  171  0.539   12  2.235   12  1.053   12  1.266   14 0.6052   13 0.6242   15    598  1.396  1.403  1.128
Auburn                8  3  1  283  216  0.264   23  2.040   23  0.812   38  0.404   27 0.5733   27 0.5712   23    133  1.030  0.068  0.740
Mississippi           9  3  0  260  226 -0.169   31  1.882   31  0.581   49 -0.002   33 0.5643   40 0.5399   31      0  1.036 -0.332  0.328
Alabama               7  5  0  260  161  0.303   40  1.744   40  0.404   27  0.628   41 0.5446   38 0.5477   40      0  0.809  0.048  1.208
Mississippi State     5  6  0  207  236  0.011   53  1.386   53 -0.064   63 -0.213   53 0.4900   55 0.4811   53      0  1.138 -0.418 -0.008
Georgia               4  7  0  185  293  0.085   59  1.279   59 -0.161   73 -0.394   51 0.4957   62 0.4672   59      0  1.228 -0.486 -0.303
Louisiana State       5  6  0  183  238 -0.172   62  1.253   62 -0.200   71 -0.340   56 0.4866   63 0.4670   62      0  0.896 -0.828  0.149
Kentucky              4  7  0  228  316 -0.212   75  1.011   75 -0.477   78 -0.517   70 0.4533   87 0.4091   75      0  1.500 -0.227 -0.807
Vanderbilt            1 10  0  227  457 -0.442  100  0.389  100 -1.376  101 -1.266   99 0.3618  105 0.3015  100      0  1.775 -0.539 -1.993

SWC: strength=0.158 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                10  2  0  358  227  0.816    4  2.561    3  1.548   13  1.169    5 0.6567    4 0.6666    5   1062  1.218  1.066  1.273
Houston              10  1  0  511  303  0.165    9  2.355    9  1.217   22  0.722   11 0.6216    8 0.6381   10    787  1.948  1.750 -0.306
Texas A&M             9  3  1  465  232  0.277   28  1.903   28  0.612   17  0.976   25 0.5765   17 0.5951   26     39  1.413  1.138  0.813
Baylor                6  4  1  225  202  0.317   35  1.813   35  0.486   41  0.295   43 0.5406   39 0.5409   35      0  0.867 -0.224  0.815
Texas Tech            4  7  0  322  356  0.256   57  1.329   58 -0.150   45  0.061   59 0.4795   56 0.4780   57      0  1.687  0.642 -0.520
Texas Christian       5  6  0  292  353 -0.053   58  1.315   55 -0.109   70 -0.323   57 0.4859   72 0.4555   58      0  1.552  0.045 -0.691
Rice                  5  6  0  256  258 -0.118   65  1.209   65 -0.236   57 -0.117   64 0.4715   82 0.4242   65      0  1.159 -0.295  0.062
Arkansas              3  8  0  263  360 -0.068   84  0.882   84 -0.607   75 -0.406   78 0.4410   77 0.4339   84      0  1.559 -0.027 -0.784
Southern Methodist    1 10  0  197  426 -0.353  101  0.385  101 -1.407   98 -1.210   96 0.3704  102 0.3347  101      0  1.440 -1.009 -1.412

WAC: strength=-0.240 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Brigham Young        10  3  0  524  350  0.241   20  2.081   20  0.867   20  0.809   17 0.5944   11 0.6259   19    337  1.835  1.638 -0.020
Colorado State        9  4  0  378  302 -0.180   42  1.671   42  0.304   48  0.035   44 0.5332   35 0.5505   42      0  1.468  0.277 -0.208
Wyoming               9  4  0  327  297 -0.237   44  1.645   44  0.266   59 -0.120   42 0.5420   37 0.5482   44      0  1.220 -0.221 -0.019
San Diego State       6  5  0  459  386  0.074   48  1.515   49  0.083   40  0.306   47 0.5198   47 0.5238   48      0  2.111  1.639 -1.028
Air Force             7  5  0  262  283 -0.117   49  1.487   48  0.087   55 -0.093   46 0.5202   46 0.5250   49      0  1.167 -0.263  0.076
Hawaii                7  5  0  374  257 -0.336   61  1.269   61 -0.179   53 -0.054   60 0.4785   60 0.4720   61      0  1.324 -0.015 -0.092
Utah                  4  7  0  214  348 -0.339   78  0.982   77 -0.518   88 -0.866   73 0.4489   58 0.4731   78      0  1.313 -0.843 -0.889
Texas-El Paso         3  8  0  191  342 -0.531   91  0.652   91 -0.965   93 -1.098   93 0.3930   94 0.3706   91      0  1.183 -1.247 -0.949
New Mexico            2 10  0  279  400 -0.440   97  0.459   97 -1.266   89 -0.889   95 0.3741   96 0.3654   97      0  1.468 -0.647 -1.131

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE    W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
ACC          55  35   3 0.608    1  0.782
Big 8        48  40   3 0.544    2  0.435
Pac 10       58  56   2 0.509    3  0.394
Big Ten      57  56   3 0.504    4  0.363
SWC          53  47   2 0.529    5  0.158
SEC          61  51   3 0.543    6  0.077
Independent 149 138   8 0.519    7 -0.049
WAC          57  51   0 0.528    8 -0.240
Big West     38  49   3 0.439    9 -1.146
MAC          44  50   5 0.470   10 -1.235

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.242 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:11:56 2007

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