Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama              13  0  0  366  122  0.559    1  2.765    1  1.760    2  1.548    1 0.7029    1 0.7082    1   1219  0.915  1.163  1.934
Florida State        11  1  0  446  186  0.878    2  2.692    2  1.645    1  1.674    2 0.6797    2 0.6901    3   1171  1.338  1.814  1.534
Miami (Florida)      11  1  0  369  161  0.805    3  2.654    3  1.612    7  1.303    3 0.6600    3 0.6640    2   1210  1.142  1.184  1.422
Notre Dame           10  1  1  437  181  0.624    4  2.464    4  1.316    3  1.515    4 0.6446    5 0.6407    4   1086  1.365  1.691  1.339
Texas A&M            12  1  0  352  196  0.119    5  2.361    5  1.248   19  0.697    8 0.6251    9 0.6197   12    747  0.995  0.402  0.992
Michigan              9  0  3  431  171  0.638    6  2.339    6  1.218    4  1.453    7 0.6269    7 0.6265    6   1015  1.317  1.563  1.342
Washington            9  3  0  337  186  0.882    7  2.322    7  1.213    6  1.362   10 0.6153   10 0.6186    5   1030  1.203  1.320  1.403
Stanford             10  3  0  320  196  0.722    8  2.297    8  1.203    9  1.111    5 0.6350    6 0.6358    7    948  1.027  0.853  1.369
Syracuse             10  2  0  340  205  0.334    9  2.194    9  1.057   15  0.790   11 0.6146   12 0.6135   10    782  1.179  0.718  0.862
Washington State      9  3  0  337  281  0.547   10  2.162   10  1.013   22  0.575   12 0.6052   15 0.5991    9    783  1.603  1.104  0.047
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia              10  2  0  373  155  0.396   11  2.151   11  0.994    8  1.201    6 0.6285   11 0.6136    8    911  1.191  1.144  1.257
Nebraska              9  3  0  441  199  0.741   12  2.122   12  0.955    5  1.413   17 0.5914   14 0.6107   13    696  1.515  1.807  1.019
Florida               9  4  0  315  284  0.513   13  2.102   13  0.926   21  0.585    9 0.6182    8 0.6232   18    392  1.408  0.823  0.347
Colorado              9  2  1  340  224  0.296   14  2.053   14  0.856   17  0.768   20 0.5841   18 0.5865   16    501  1.286  0.837  0.700
Tennessee             9  3  0  347  196  0.450   15  2.046   15  0.848   11  0.968   13 0.5966   23 0.5736   11    752  1.287  1.038  0.899
North Carolina State  9  3  1  335  211  0.477   16  2.023   17  0.817   13  0.840   14 0.5954   21 0.5785   14    589  1.009  0.561  1.120
North Carolina        9  3  0  289  233  0.322   17  1.995   16  0.833   30  0.428   16 0.5916   22 0.5737   15    533  1.229  0.420  0.435
Ohio State            8  3  1  271  158  0.425   18  1.946   18  0.765   12  0.878   18 0.5894   17 0.5919   17    457  0.896  0.471  1.284
Hawaii               11  2  0  421  317 -0.161   19  1.943   19  0.759   39  0.231   19 0.5853   13 0.6131   21    260  1.552  0.681 -0.219
Mississippi           9  3  0  243  174  0.176   20  1.917   20  0.723   26  0.537   15 0.5935   16 0.5958   23    134  0.882  0.115  0.959
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern California   6  5  1  264  249  0.817   21  1.911   21  0.718   16  0.787   22 0.5762   20 0.5810   24    112  1.193  0.733  0.840
Wake Forest           8  4  0  266  260  0.410   22  1.873   22  0.666   31  0.407   21 0.5771   29 0.5533   22    163  1.250  0.427  0.386
Boston College        8  3  1  330  238  0.228   23  1.871   23  0.662   25  0.540   24 0.5650   27 0.5552   20    302  1.236  0.542  0.538
Bowling Green State  10  2  0  324  235 -0.421   24  1.808   24  0.565   54 -0.022   23 0.5743    4 0.6565   30      0  1.435  0.254 -0.298
Arizona State         6  5  0  235  185  0.638   25  1.793   25  0.547   14  0.803   29 0.5426   33 0.5210   27     11  0.961  0.468  1.137
Virginia              7  4  0  341  229  0.381   26  1.757   26  0.494   20  0.625   27 0.5486   44 0.5081   25     86  1.485  0.974  0.275
Arizona               6  5  1  232  118  0.695   27  1.754   27  0.492   10  1.067   26 0.5544   30 0.5469   19    308  0.384  0.178  1.956
UCLA                  6  5  0  201  228  0.350   28  1.684   28  0.472   46  0.072   32 0.5374   41 0.5131   31      0  1.016 -0.199  0.342
Kansas                8  4  0  373  262  0.154   29  1.667   29  0.447   23  0.565   34 0.5338   35 0.5201   29      4  1.523  0.971  0.159
Fresno State          9  4  0  510  364  0.022   30  1.640   30  0.410   24  0.548   28 0.5455   25 0.5576   28      8  1.887  1.547 -0.450
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Penn State            7  5  0  391  234  0.444   31  1.638   31  0.410   18  0.754   36 0.5262   40 0.5132   26     40  1.384  0.957  0.551
Mississippi State     7  5  0  252  197  0.249   32  1.609   32  0.369   34  0.356   25 0.5584   26 0.5568   32      0  1.001  0.068  0.644
Brigham Young         8  5  0  375  298  0.201   33  1.607   33  0.366   27  0.523   30 0.5408   28 0.5536   33      0  1.351  0.679  0.366
Southern Mississippi  7  4  0  219  195 -0.036   34  1.554   34  0.293   44  0.080   31 0.5394   31 0.5460   34      0  1.019 -0.188  0.348
Oregon                6  6  0  265  222  0.364   35  1.524   35  0.254   32  0.400   33 0.5369   36 0.5181   35      0  1.017  0.131  0.670
Georgia Tech          5  6  0  237  286  0.517   36  1.521   36  0.249   40  0.166   37 0.5203   49 0.4928   36      0  1.279  0.225  0.107
Illinois              6  5  1  228  235 -0.013   37  1.491   37  0.209   50  0.001   46 0.5031   54 0.4885   37      0  0.988 -0.303  0.304
Oklahoma              5  4  2  271  196  0.140   38  1.471   38  0.184   36  0.337   49 0.5014   53 0.4889   38      0  1.064  0.123  0.551
Rutgers               7  4  0  341  245 -0.052   39  1.445   39  0.145   37  0.278   45 0.5046   51 0.4896   39      0  1.552  0.728 -0.172
Baylor                7  5  0  344  278 -0.019   40  1.444   40  0.144   38  0.256   38 0.5196   46 0.5055   40      0  1.494  0.618 -0.106
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
South Carolina        5  6  0  160  240  0.247   41  1.437   41  0.136   61 -0.106   35 0.5305   42 0.5110   41      0  0.934 -0.471  0.259
West Virginia         5  4  2  286  238  0.170   42  1.425   42  0.120   33  0.396   41 0.5138   48 0.5046   42      0  1.292  0.473  0.319
California            4  7  0  284  284  0.577   43  1.398   43  0.084   28  0.470   54 0.4951   65 0.4697   43      0  1.569  0.946 -0.006
San Diego State       5  5  1  334  338  0.056   44  1.396   44  0.079   53 -0.022   43 0.5063   39 0.5143   44      0  1.727  0.705 -0.749
Clemson               5  6  0  261  213  0.366   45  1.382   45  0.061   35  0.353   44 0.5047   61 0.4748   45      0  1.139  0.230  0.476
Texas                 6  5  0  292  282  0.022   46  1.378   46  0.055   55 -0.045   42 0.5118   38 0.5159   46      0  1.497  0.322 -0.413
Louisville            5  6  0  214  243  0.184   47  1.369   47  0.043   51  0.001   51 0.4985   55 0.4877   47      0  1.139 -0.122  0.124
Michigan State        5  6  0  238  261  0.196   48  1.365   48  0.037   45  0.077   52 0.4966   58 0.4821   48      0  1.361  0.247 -0.094
Toledo                8  3  0  269  153 -0.596   49  1.361   50  0.030   59 -0.094   39 0.5173   19 0.5819   49      0  1.011 -0.370  0.183
Auburn                5  5  1  228  205  0.117   50  1.360   49  0.031   56 -0.049   40 0.5142   63 0.4740   50      0  1.106 -0.212  0.115
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Iowa                  5  7  0  243  278  0.288   51  1.348   51  0.014   42  0.146   57 0.4938   59 0.4793   51      0  1.286  0.215  0.077
Memphis               6  5  0  312  181 -0.012   52  1.317   52 -0.030   29  0.459   50 0.5011   50 0.4896   52      0  1.264  0.498  0.421
Utah                  6  6  0  320  289  0.010   53  1.281   54 -0.081   41  0.151   56 0.4945   47 0.5051   53      0  1.301  0.239  0.063
Air Force             7  5  0  229  238 -0.364   54  1.233   53 -0.079   74 -0.433   58 0.4933   57 0.4841   54      0  0.978 -0.748 -0.118
Wisconsin             5  6  0  212  199  0.018   55  1.211   55 -0.108   47  0.066   61 0.4830   69 0.4621   55      0  1.026 -0.194  0.326
Indiana               5  6  0  177  197 -0.020   56  1.194   56 -0.130   57 -0.066   65 0.4727   77 0.4422   56      0  0.802 -0.573  0.440
Texas Tech            5  6  0  287  332 -0.073   57  1.192   57 -0.132   71 -0.285   60 0.4856   68 0.4652   57      0  1.616  0.263 -0.834
Vanderbilt            4  7  0  224  277  0.224   58  1.185   58 -0.142   49  0.012   48 0.5019   66 0.4693   58      0  1.366  0.189 -0.166
San Jose State        7  4  0  330  309 -0.600   59  1.169   59 -0.167   73 -0.431   55 0.4949   43 0.5084   59      0  1.623  0.129 -0.990
Northwestern          3  8  0  170  373  0.297   60  1.156   60 -0.181   89 -0.617   66 0.4721   67 0.4686   60      0  1.417 -0.366 -0.868
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
East Carolina         5  6  0  289  367 -0.213   61  1.153   61 -0.187   82 -0.546   69 0.4698   71 0.4594   61      0  1.735  0.194 -1.285
Western Michigan      7  3  1  197  177 -0.800   62  1.150   62 -0.194   87 -0.592   53 0.4951   24 0.5649   62      0  0.940 -0.950 -0.234
Oklahoma State        4  6  1  161  251 -0.049   63  1.143   63 -0.202   80 -0.535   74 0.4548   81 0.4264   63      0  0.789 -1.055 -0.014
Arkansas              3  7  1  172  209  0.403   64  1.142   64 -0.203   43  0.098   47 0.5022   45 0.5064   64      0  1.025 -0.163  0.358
Rice                  6  5  0  294  261 -0.302   65  1.141   65 -0.205   64 -0.175   63 0.4764   75 0.4479   65      0  1.357 -0.009 -0.340
Miami (Ohio)          6  4  1  210  204 -0.663   66  1.135   66 -0.214   84 -0.560   64 0.4734   37 0.5164   66      0  1.123 -0.702 -0.418
Kentucky              4  7  0  207  280  0.090   67  1.127   67 -0.223   68 -0.251   62 0.4779   76 0.4439   67      0  1.356 -0.088 -0.415
Louisiana Tech        5  6  0  199  167 -0.136   68  1.124   68 -0.226   70 -0.281   67 0.4703   64 0.4740   68      0  0.551 -1.030  0.467
Purdue                4  7  0  211  267  0.103   69  1.123   69 -0.227   62 -0.133   71 0.4616   78 0.4346   69      0  1.223 -0.147 -0.118
Maryland              3  8  0  292  365  0.362   70  1.100   70 -0.258   48  0.030   72 0.4577   82 0.4180   70      0  1.681  0.681 -0.621
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Kansas State          5  6  0  195  233 -0.158   71  1.078   71 -0.294   69 -0.257   77 0.4506   80 0.4297   71      0  0.907 -0.651  0.138
Wyoming               5  7  0  302  341 -0.158   72  1.052   72 -0.330   67 -0.239   70 0.4685   56 0.4874   72      0  1.432  0.033 -0.511
Oregon State          1  9  1  163  363  0.493   73  1.036   73 -0.350   83 -0.557   86 0.4301   91 0.3962   73      0  1.282 -0.494 -0.620
Southern Methodist    5  6  0  212  276 -0.294   74  1.028   74 -0.364   88 -0.594   75 0.4524   79 0.4299   74      0  1.121 -0.739 -0.449
Akron                 7  3  1  218  186 -0.861   75  0.997   75 -0.408   86 -0.575   59 0.4923   32 0.5385   75      0  1.151 -0.683 -0.468
Iowa State            4  7  0  231  242 -0.036   76  0.967   76 -0.445   60 -0.096   82 0.4372   86 0.4104   76      0  1.256 -0.068 -0.124
Missouri              3  8  0  214  269  0.183   77  0.941   77 -0.460   66 -0.236   91 0.4183   92 0.3902   77      0  1.269 -0.190 -0.282
Utah State            5  6  0  300  328 -0.501   78  0.925   79 -0.487   79 -0.526   73 0.4555   62 0.4744   78      0  1.623  0.034 -1.086
New Mexico State      6  5  0  286  330 -0.830   79  0.897   78 -0.483   98 -0.984   78 0.4427   74 0.4536   79      0  1.616 -0.437 -1.532
Houston               4  7  0  378  386 -0.173   80  0.885   80 -0.497   65 -0.196   81 0.4422   85 0.4106   80      0  1.964  0.940 -1.331
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado State        5  7  0  281  334 -0.311   81  0.875   81 -0.512   75 -0.484   76 0.4515   70 0.4601   81      0  1.344 -0.337 -0.631
Nevada-Las Vegas      6  5  0  243  311 -0.941   82  0.835   83 -0.569  100 -1.259   79 0.4426   72 0.4578   82      0  1.294 -1.181 -1.338
Virginia Tech         2  8  1  270  282  0.197   83  0.833   82 -0.568   52 -0.015   92 0.4177   88 0.4050   83      0  1.401  0.212 -0.241
Tulsa                 4  7  0  240  303 -0.281   84  0.831   84 -0.573   85 -0.573   89 0.4199   93 0.3875   84      0  1.418 -0.322 -0.825
Central Michigan      5  6  0  247  170 -0.557   85  0.800   86 -0.619   63 -0.160   83 0.4371   60 0.4782   85      0  1.035 -0.409  0.089
Ball State            5  6  0  171  243 -0.721   86  0.774   85 -0.599   95 -0.876   80 0.4425   52 0.4889   86      0  1.009 -1.155 -0.597
Nevada                7  5  0  318  283 -0.857   87  0.753   87 -0.630   90 -0.648   68 0.4699   34 0.5207   87      0  1.365 -0.472 -0.824
Duke                  2  9  0  265  343  0.230   88  0.744   88 -0.638   58 -0.082   87 0.4296   95 0.3787   88      0  1.527  0.330 -0.494
Cincinnati            3  8  0  199  276 -0.251   89  0.693   89 -0.715   81 -0.537   93 0.4143   90 0.3991   89      0  1.131 -0.670 -0.405
Louisiana State       2  9  0  175  261  0.055   90  0.682   90 -0.730   72 -0.382   84 0.4343   89 0.4019   90      0  1.119 -0.529 -0.235
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Army                  5  6  0  225  251 -0.624   91  0.677   91 -0.742   92 -0.741   85 0.4333   84 0.4132   91      0  1.235 -0.741 -0.742
Minnesota             2  9  0  200  313 -0.026   92  0.664   92 -0.757   76 -0.485   96 0.4018   99 0.3671   92      0  1.309 -0.385 -0.584
Northern Illinois     5  6  0  203  193 -0.614   93  0.649   93 -0.782   77 -0.503   88 0.4275   73 0.4558   93      0  0.998 -0.795 -0.210
Pittsburgh            3  9  0  289  429 -0.264   94  0.643   94 -0.788   91 -0.695   94 0.4105   94 0.3829   94      0  1.614 -0.150 -1.241
Tulane                2  9  0  146  349 -0.177   95  0.616   95 -0.828   97 -0.921   90 0.4196   83 0.4139   95      0  1.197 -0.970 -0.873
New Mexico            3  8  0  247  287 -0.438   96  0.573   97 -0.892   78 -0.519   97 0.3899  100 0.3611   96      0  1.261 -0.485 -0.554
Texas Christian       2  8  1  195  319 -0.336   97  0.566   96 -0.869   94 -0.807   95 0.4075   96 0.3770   97      0  1.244 -0.794 -0.819
Temple                1 10  0  132  383 -0.226   98  0.367   98 -1.187  101 -1.373  100 0.3704  105 0.3454   98      0  1.011 -1.650 -1.096
Pacific               3  8  0  253  287 -0.693   99  0.366   99 -1.191   93 -0.785   98 0.3891   87 0.4051   99      0  1.294 -0.706 -0.865
Texas-El Paso         1 10  0  254  386 -0.420  100  0.327  100 -1.245   96 -0.905  103 0.3488  101 0.3569  100      0  1.561 -0.441 -1.368
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Navy                  1 10  0  131  338 -0.318  101  0.321  101 -1.254   99 -1.186   99 0.3813  104 0.3469  101      0  0.939 -1.544 -0.827
Arkansas State        2  9  0  118  402 -0.866  102  0.234  102 -1.396  107 -1.965  101 0.3610   98 0.3678  102      0  0.980 -2.278 -1.652
Kent                  2  9  0  133  301 -1.006  103  0.200  103 -1.446  104 -1.672  104 0.3412   97 0.3683  103      0  1.057 -1.894 -1.449
Fullerton State       2  9  0  136  333 -0.988  104  0.157  104 -1.510  105 -1.751  102 0.3502  103 0.3536  104      0  0.982 -2.061 -1.440
Louisiana-Lafayette   2  9  0  143  306 -1.118  105  0.090  105 -1.610  103 -1.649  107 0.3082  107 0.2439  105      0  0.972 -1.971 -1.326
Eastern Michigan      1 10  0  117  336 -1.019  106  0.034  106 -1.694  106 -1.764  105 0.3206  106 0.3278  106      0  1.126 -1.902 -1.626
Ohio                  1 10  0  145  253 -0.968  107  0.000  107 -1.775  102 -1.409  106 0.3158  102 0.3542  107      0  0.899 -1.812 -1.006
UNRANKED             12 36  1  761 1453 -0.636      -1.000      -1.000      -1.304      0.4005      0.4269           0  1.252 -1.281 -1.327


ACC: strength=0.538 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Florida State        11  1  0  446  186  0.878    2  2.692    2  1.645    1  1.674    2 0.6797    2 0.6901    3   1171  1.338  1.814  1.534
North Carolina State  9  3  1  335  211  0.477   16  2.023   17  0.817   13  0.840   14 0.5954   21 0.5785   14    589  1.009  0.561  1.120
North Carolina        9  3  0  289  233  0.322   17  1.995   16  0.833   30  0.428   16 0.5916   22 0.5737   15    533  1.229  0.420  0.435
Wake Forest           8  4  0  266  260  0.410   22  1.873   22  0.666   31  0.407   21 0.5771   29 0.5533   22    163  1.250  0.427  0.386
Virginia              7  4  0  341  229  0.381   26  1.757   26  0.494   20  0.625   27 0.5486   44 0.5081   25     86  1.485  0.974  0.275
Georgia Tech          5  6  0  237  286  0.517   36  1.521   36  0.249   40  0.166   37 0.5203   49 0.4928   36      0  1.279  0.225  0.107
Clemson               5  6  0  261  213  0.366   45  1.382   45  0.061   35  0.353   44 0.5047   61 0.4748   45      0  1.139  0.230  0.476
Maryland              3  8  0  292  365  0.362   70  1.100   70 -0.258   48  0.030   72 0.4577   82 0.4180   70      0  1.681  0.681 -0.621
Duke                  2  9  0  265  343  0.230   88  0.744   88 -0.638   58 -0.082   87 0.4296   95 0.3787   88      0  1.527  0.330 -0.494

Big 8: strength=0.255 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Nebraska              9  3  0  441  199  0.741   12  2.122   12  0.955    5  1.413   17 0.5914   14 0.6107   13    696  1.515  1.807  1.019
Colorado              9  2  1  340  224  0.296   14  2.053   14  0.856   17  0.768   20 0.5841   18 0.5865   16    501  1.286  0.837  0.700
Kansas                8  4  0  373  262  0.154   29  1.667   29  0.447   23  0.565   34 0.5338   35 0.5201   29      4  1.523  0.971  0.159
Oklahoma              5  4  2  271  196  0.140   38  1.471   38  0.184   36  0.337   49 0.5014   53 0.4889   38      0  1.064  0.123  0.551
Oklahoma State        4  6  1  161  251 -0.049   63  1.143   63 -0.202   80 -0.535   74 0.4548   81 0.4264   63      0  0.789 -1.055 -0.014
Kansas State          5  6  0  195  233 -0.158   71  1.078   71 -0.294   69 -0.257   77 0.4506   80 0.4297   71      0  0.907 -0.651  0.138
Iowa State            4  7  0  231  242 -0.036   76  0.967   76 -0.445   60 -0.096   82 0.4372   86 0.4104   76      0  1.256 -0.068 -0.124
Missouri              3  8  0  214  269  0.183   77  0.941   77 -0.460   66 -0.236   91 0.4183   92 0.3902   77      0  1.269 -0.190 -0.282

Big East: strength=0.240 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Miami (Florida)      11  1  0  369  161  0.805    3  2.654    3  1.612    7  1.303    3 0.6600    3 0.6640    2   1210  1.142  1.184  1.422
Syracuse             10  2  0  340  205  0.334    9  2.194    9  1.057   15  0.790   11 0.6146   12 0.6135   10    782  1.179  0.718  0.862
Boston College        8  3  1  330  238  0.228   23  1.871   23  0.662   25  0.540   24 0.5650   27 0.5552   20    302  1.236  0.542  0.538
Rutgers               7  4  0  341  245 -0.052   39  1.445   39  0.145   37  0.278   45 0.5046   51 0.4896   39      0  1.552  0.728 -0.172
West Virginia         5  4  2  286  238  0.170   42  1.425   42  0.120   33  0.396   41 0.5138   48 0.5046   42      0  1.292  0.473  0.319
Virginia Tech         2  8  1  270  282  0.197   83  0.833   82 -0.568   52 -0.015   92 0.4177   88 0.4050   83      0  1.401  0.212 -0.241
Pittsburgh            3  9  0  289  429 -0.264   94  0.643   94 -0.788   91 -0.695   94 0.4105   94 0.3829   94      0  1.614 -0.150 -1.241
Temple                1 10  0  132  383 -0.226   98  0.367   98 -1.187  101 -1.373  100 0.3704  105 0.3454   98      0  1.011 -1.650 -1.096

Big Ten: strength=0.111 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Michigan              9  0  3  431  171  0.638    6  2.339    6  1.218    4  1.453    7 0.6269    7 0.6265    6   1015  1.317  1.563  1.342
Ohio State            8  3  1  271  158  0.425   18  1.946   18  0.765   12  0.878   18 0.5894   17 0.5919   17    457  0.896  0.471  1.284
Illinois              6  5  1  228  235 -0.013   37  1.491   37  0.209   50  0.001   46 0.5031   54 0.4885   37      0  0.988 -0.303  0.304
Michigan State        5  6  0  238  261  0.196   48  1.365   48  0.037   45  0.077   52 0.4966   58 0.4821   48      0  1.361  0.247 -0.094
Iowa                  5  7  0  243  278  0.288   51  1.348   51  0.014   42  0.146   57 0.4938   59 0.4793   51      0  1.286  0.215  0.077
Wisconsin             5  6  0  212  199  0.018   55  1.211   55 -0.108   47  0.066   61 0.4830   69 0.4621   55      0  1.026 -0.194  0.326
Indiana               5  6  0  177  197 -0.020   56  1.194   56 -0.130   57 -0.066   65 0.4727   77 0.4422   56      0  0.802 -0.573  0.440
Northwestern          3  8  0  170  373  0.297   60  1.156   60 -0.181   89 -0.617   66 0.4721   67 0.4686   60      0  1.417 -0.366 -0.868
Purdue                4  7  0  211  267  0.103   69  1.123   69 -0.227   62 -0.133   71 0.4616   78 0.4346   69      0  1.223 -0.147 -0.118
Minnesota             2  9  0  200  313 -0.026   92  0.664   92 -0.757   76 -0.485   96 0.4018   99 0.3671   92      0  1.309 -0.385 -0.584

Big West: strength=-1.041 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
San Jose State        7  4  0  330  309 -0.600   59  1.169   59 -0.167   73 -0.431   55 0.4949   43 0.5084   59      0  1.623  0.129 -0.990
Utah State            5  6  0  300  328 -0.501   78  0.925   79 -0.487   79 -0.526   73 0.4555   62 0.4744   78      0  1.623  0.034 -1.086
New Mexico State      6  5  0  286  330 -0.830   79  0.897   78 -0.483   98 -0.984   78 0.4427   74 0.4536   79      0  1.616 -0.437 -1.532
Nevada-Las Vegas      6  5  0  243  311 -0.941   82  0.835   83 -0.569  100 -1.259   79 0.4426   72 0.4578   82      0  1.294 -1.181 -1.338
Nevada                7  5  0  318  283 -0.857   87  0.753   87 -0.630   90 -0.648   68 0.4699   34 0.5207   87      0  1.365 -0.472 -0.824
Pacific               3  8  0  253  287 -0.693   99  0.366   99 -1.191   93 -0.785   98 0.3891   87 0.4051   99      0  1.294 -0.706 -0.865
Fullerton State       2  9  0  136  333 -0.988  104  0.157  104 -1.510  105 -1.751  102 0.3502  103 0.3536  104      0  0.982 -2.061 -1.440

Independent: strength=-0.502 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Notre Dame           10  1  1  437  181  0.624    4  2.464    4  1.316    3  1.515    4 0.6446    5 0.6407    4   1086  1.365  1.691  1.339
Penn State            7  5  0  391  234  0.444   31  1.638   31  0.410   18  0.754   36 0.5262   40 0.5132   26     40  1.384  0.957  0.551
Southern Mississippi  7  4  0  219  195 -0.036   34  1.554   34  0.293   44  0.080   31 0.5394   31 0.5460   34      0  1.019 -0.188  0.348
Louisville            5  6  0  214  243  0.184   47  1.369   47  0.043   51  0.001   51 0.4985   55 0.4877   47      0  1.139 -0.122  0.124
Memphis               6  5  0  312  181 -0.012   52  1.317   52 -0.030   29  0.459   50 0.5011   50 0.4896   52      0  1.264  0.498  0.421
East Carolina         5  6  0  289  367 -0.213   61  1.153   61 -0.187   82 -0.546   69 0.4698   71 0.4594   61      0  1.735  0.194 -1.285
Louisiana Tech        5  6  0  199  167 -0.136   68  1.124   68 -0.226   70 -0.281   67 0.4703   64 0.4740   68      0  0.551 -1.030  0.467
Tulsa                 4  7  0  240  303 -0.281   84  0.831   84 -0.573   85 -0.573   89 0.4199   93 0.3875   84      0  1.418 -0.322 -0.825
Cincinnati            3  8  0  199  276 -0.251   89  0.693   89 -0.715   81 -0.537   93 0.4143   90 0.3991   89      0  1.131 -0.670 -0.405
Army                  5  6  0  225  251 -0.624   91  0.677   91 -0.742   92 -0.741   85 0.4333   84 0.4132   91      0  1.235 -0.741 -0.742
Northern Illinois     5  6  0  203  193 -0.614   93  0.649   93 -0.782   77 -0.503   88 0.4275   73 0.4558   93      0  0.998 -0.795 -0.210
Tulane                2  9  0  146  349 -0.177   95  0.616   95 -0.828   97 -0.921   90 0.4196   83 0.4139   95      0  1.197 -0.970 -0.873
Navy                  1 10  0  131  338 -0.318  101  0.321  101 -1.254   99 -1.186   99 0.3813  104 0.3469  101      0  0.939 -1.544 -0.827
Arkansas State        2  9  0  118  402 -0.866  102  0.234  102 -1.396  107 -1.965  101 0.3610   98 0.3678  102      0  0.980 -2.278 -1.652
Louisiana-Lafayette   2  9  0  143  306 -1.118  105  0.090  105 -1.610  103 -1.649  107 0.3082  107 0.2439  105      0  0.972 -1.971 -1.326

MAC: strength=-0.859 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Bowling Green State  10  2  0  324  235 -0.421   24  1.808   24  0.565   54 -0.022   23 0.5743    4 0.6565   30      0  1.435  0.254 -0.298
Toledo                8  3  0  269  153 -0.596   49  1.361   50  0.030   59 -0.094   39 0.5173   19 0.5819   49      0  1.011 -0.370  0.183
Western Michigan      7  3  1  197  177 -0.800   62  1.150   62 -0.194   87 -0.592   53 0.4951   24 0.5649   62      0  0.940 -0.950 -0.234
Miami (Ohio)          6  4  1  210  204 -0.663   66  1.135   66 -0.214   84 -0.560   64 0.4734   37 0.5164   66      0  1.123 -0.702 -0.418
Akron                 7  3  1  218  186 -0.861   75  0.997   75 -0.408   86 -0.575   59 0.4923   32 0.5385   75      0  1.151 -0.683 -0.468
Central Michigan      5  6  0  247  170 -0.557   85  0.800   86 -0.619   63 -0.160   83 0.4371   60 0.4782   85      0  1.035 -0.409  0.089
Ball State            5  6  0  171  243 -0.721   86  0.774   85 -0.599   95 -0.876   80 0.4425   52 0.4889   86      0  1.009 -1.155 -0.597
Kent                  2  9  0  133  301 -1.006  103  0.200  103 -1.446  104 -1.672  104 0.3412   97 0.3683  103      0  1.057 -1.894 -1.449
Eastern Michigan      1 10  0  117  336 -1.019  106  0.034  106 -1.694  106 -1.764  105 0.3206  106 0.3278  106      0  1.126 -1.902 -1.626
Ohio                  1 10  0  145  253 -0.968  107  0.000  107 -1.775  102 -1.409  106 0.3158  102 0.3542  107      0  0.899 -1.812 -1.006

Pac 10: strength=0.719 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Washington            9  3  0  337  186  0.882    7  2.322    7  1.213    6  1.362   10 0.6153   10 0.6186    5   1030  1.203  1.320  1.403
Stanford             10  3  0  320  196  0.722    8  2.297    8  1.203    9  1.111    5 0.6350    6 0.6358    7    948  1.027  0.853  1.369
Washington State      9  3  0  337  281  0.547   10  2.162   10  1.013   22  0.575   12 0.6052   15 0.5991    9    783  1.603  1.104  0.047
Southern California   6  5  1  264  249  0.817   21  1.911   21  0.718   16  0.787   22 0.5762   20 0.5810   24    112  1.193  0.733  0.840
Arizona State         6  5  0  235  185  0.638   25  1.793   25  0.547   14  0.803   29 0.5426   33 0.5210   27     11  0.961  0.468  1.137
Arizona               6  5  1  232  118  0.695   27  1.754   27  0.492   10  1.067   26 0.5544   30 0.5469   19    308  0.384  0.178  1.956
UCLA                  6  5  0  201  228  0.350   28  1.684   28  0.472   46  0.072   32 0.5374   41 0.5131   31      0  1.016 -0.199  0.342
Oregon                6  6  0  265  222  0.364   35  1.524   35  0.254   32  0.400   33 0.5369   36 0.5181   35      0  1.017  0.131  0.670
California            4  7  0  284  284  0.577   43  1.398   43  0.084   28  0.470   54 0.4951   65 0.4697   43      0  1.569  0.946 -0.006
Oregon State          1  9  1  163  363  0.493   73  1.036   73 -0.350   83 -0.557   86 0.4301   91 0.3962   73      0  1.282 -0.494 -0.620

SEC: strength=0.403 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama              13  0  0  366  122  0.559    1  2.765    1  1.760    2  1.548    1 0.7029    1 0.7082    1   1219  0.915  1.163  1.934
Georgia              10  2  0  373  155  0.396   11  2.151   11  0.994    8  1.201    6 0.6285   11 0.6136    8    911  1.191  1.144  1.257
Florida               9  4  0  315  284  0.513   13  2.102   13  0.926   21  0.585    9 0.6182    8 0.6232   18    392  1.408  0.823  0.347
Tennessee             9  3  0  347  196  0.450   15  2.046   15  0.848   11  0.968   13 0.5966   23 0.5736   11    752  1.287  1.038  0.899
Mississippi           9  3  0  243  174  0.176   20  1.917   20  0.723   26  0.537   15 0.5935   16 0.5958   23    134  0.882  0.115  0.959
Mississippi State     7  5  0  252  197  0.249   32  1.609   32  0.369   34  0.356   25 0.5584   26 0.5568   32      0  1.001  0.068  0.644
South Carolina        5  6  0  160  240  0.247   41  1.437   41  0.136   61 -0.106   35 0.5305   42 0.5110   41      0  0.934 -0.471  0.259
Auburn                5  5  1  228  205  0.117   50  1.360   49  0.031   56 -0.049   40 0.5142   63 0.4740   50      0  1.106 -0.212  0.115
Vanderbilt            4  7  0  224  277  0.224   58  1.185   58 -0.142   49  0.012   48 0.5019   66 0.4693   58      0  1.366  0.189 -0.166
Arkansas              3  7  1  172  209  0.403   64  1.142   64 -0.203   43  0.098   47 0.5022   45 0.5064   64      0  1.025 -0.163  0.358
Kentucky              4  7  0  207  280  0.090   67  1.127   67 -0.223   68 -0.251   62 0.4779   76 0.4439   67      0  1.356 -0.088 -0.415
Louisiana State       2  9  0  175  261  0.055   90  0.682   90 -0.730   72 -0.382   84 0.4343   89 0.4019   90      0  1.119 -0.529 -0.235

SWC: strength=-0.170 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas A&M            12  1  0  352  196  0.119    5  2.361    5  1.248   19  0.697    8 0.6251    9 0.6197   12    747  0.995  0.402  0.992
Baylor                7  5  0  344  278 -0.019   40  1.444   40  0.144   38  0.256   38 0.5196   46 0.5055   40      0  1.494  0.618 -0.106
Texas                 6  5  0  292  282  0.022   46  1.378   46  0.055   55 -0.045   42 0.5118   38 0.5159   46      0  1.497  0.322 -0.413
Texas Tech            5  6  0  287  332 -0.073   57  1.192   57 -0.132   71 -0.285   60 0.4856   68 0.4652   57      0  1.616  0.263 -0.834
Rice                  6  5  0  294  261 -0.302   65  1.141   65 -0.205   64 -0.175   63 0.4764   75 0.4479   65      0  1.357 -0.009 -0.340
Southern Methodist    5  6  0  212  276 -0.294   74  1.028   74 -0.364   88 -0.594   75 0.4524   79 0.4299   74      0  1.121 -0.739 -0.449
Houston               4  7  0  378  386 -0.173   80  0.885   80 -0.497   65 -0.196   81 0.4422   85 0.4106   80      0  1.964  0.940 -1.331
Texas Christian       2  8  1  195  319 -0.336   97  0.566   96 -0.869   94 -0.807   95 0.4075   96 0.3770   97      0  1.244 -0.794 -0.819

WAC: strength=-0.129 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                  W  L  T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Hawaii               11  2  0  421  317 -0.161   19  1.943   19  0.759   39  0.231   19 0.5853   13 0.6131   21    260  1.552  0.681 -0.219
Fresno State          9  4  0  510  364  0.022   30  1.640   30  0.410   24  0.548   28 0.5455   25 0.5576   28      8  1.887  1.547 -0.450
Brigham Young         8  5  0  375  298  0.201   33  1.607   33  0.366   27  0.523   30 0.5408   28 0.5536   33      0  1.351  0.679  0.366
San Diego State       5  5  1  334  338  0.056   44  1.396   44  0.079   53 -0.022   43 0.5063   39 0.5143   44      0  1.727  0.705 -0.749
Utah                  6  6  0  320  289  0.010   53  1.281   54 -0.081   41  0.151   56 0.4945   47 0.5051   53      0  1.301  0.239  0.063
Air Force             7  5  0  229  238 -0.364   54  1.233   53 -0.079   74 -0.433   58 0.4933   57 0.4841   54      0  0.978 -0.748 -0.118
Wyoming               5  7  0  302  341 -0.158   72  1.052   72 -0.330   67 -0.239   70 0.4685   56 0.4874   72      0  1.432  0.033 -0.511
Colorado State        5  7  0  281  334 -0.311   81  0.875   81 -0.512   75 -0.484   76 0.4515   70 0.4601   81      0  1.344 -0.337 -0.631
New Mexico            3  8  0  247  287 -0.438   96  0.573   97 -0.892   78 -0.519   97 0.3899  100 0.3611   96      0  1.261 -0.485 -0.554
Texas-El Paso         1 10  0  254  386 -0.420  100  0.327  100 -1.245   96 -0.905  103 0.3488  101 0.3569  100      0  1.561 -0.441 -1.368

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE   W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
Pac 10      63 51  3 0.551    1  0.719
ACC         59 44  1 0.572    2  0.538
SEC         80 58  2 0.579    3  0.403
Big 8       47 40  4 0.538    4  0.255
Big East    47 41  4 0.533    5  0.240
Big Ten     52 57  5 0.478    6  0.111
WAC         60 59  1 0.504    7 -0.129
SWC         47 43  1 0.522    8 -0.170
Independent 69 97  1 0.416    9 -0.502
MAC         52 56  3 0.482   10 -0.859
Big West    36 42  0 0.462   11 -1.041

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.295 points in main ratings
     0.028 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:11:53 2007

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