Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       37 18 289 186 -0.011 27.389    1  0.179    1  0.159    2  0.196    2 0.5402   11  0.564    3  0.279   10  0.113   29 -0.406
RAYS         34 18 244 211  0.030 26.868    2  0.165    2  0.150    5  0.095    1 0.5413   15  0.462   13  0.084   11  0.106   19 -0.080
BREWERS      32 20 257 180  0.050 27.225    3  0.130    3  0.123    3  0.186    3 0.5333   24  0.329   14  0.061    2  0.311   12  0.088
DODGERS      35 20 294 177 -0.023 27.043    4  0.126    4  0.119    1  0.207    4 0.5316   21  0.380    8  0.125    3  0.289   17 -0.045
YANKEES      33 22 273 191 -0.041 26.774    5  0.065    5  0.078    4  0.135    5 0.5177   26  0.252   20 -0.053    1  0.324    3  0.367
CARDINALS    29 24 234 243  0.031 27.554    6  0.039    7  0.055   17 -0.009    6 0.5145   14  0.473   15 -0.010   18 -0.008   11  0.114
GUARDIANS    32 25 237 225 -0.012 28.595    7  0.038    6  0.055   10  0.015    8 0.5137   16  0.426   17 -0.027   14  0.057   26 -0.306
PADRES       31 23 214 212 -0.050 26.298    8  0.035    8  0.050   16 -0.009   10 0.5120   17  0.425   19 -0.052   16  0.035   23 -0.221
DIAMONDBACKS 30 24 252 239 -0.017 26.947    9  0.032    9  0.045    8  0.029   12 0.5106    5  0.677    4  0.221   22 -0.162   21 -0.166
NATIONALS    29 27 304 307  0.072 29.966   10  0.030   10  0.045    7  0.032    9 0.5133    2  0.796    2  0.344   27 -0.280    5  0.300
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         29 26 255 247  0.036 28.653   11  0.026   11  0.039    9  0.025    7 0.5140    1  0.817    1  0.358   29 -0.309   28 -0.386
PIRATES      29 26 270 236 -0.019 27.401   12  0.014   12  0.019    6  0.052   11 0.5114   20  0.394   16 -0.018    8  0.123    8  0.251
REDS         29 25 243 267 -0.043 26.519   13  0.008   13  0.019   22 -0.052   13 0.5057   10  0.639   11  0.102   25 -0.205   14  0.023
PHILLIES     28 27 220 240 -0.015 27.620   14 -0.002   14  0.003   20 -0.038   14 0.5037   27  0.249   27 -0.228    6  0.152    9  0.205
WHITE SOX    27 27 241 258 -0.027 26.844   15 -0.010   15 -0.010   18 -0.032   15 0.4970    9  0.642    9  0.125   24 -0.190   22 -0.190
BLUE JAYS    26 29 224 229  0.035 28.665   16 -0.011   16 -0.012   11  0.008   17 0.4951   29  0.210   26 -0.213    5  0.230    7  0.272
TWINS        27 28 254 250 -0.015 27.548   17 -0.012   17 -0.014   12  0.008   18 0.4949    8  0.643    7  0.166   21 -0.150   20 -0.102
MARLINS      26 30 240 252  0.043 29.369   18 -0.014   18 -0.017   14 -0.004   16 0.4969    7  0.665    6  0.175   23 -0.184   25 -0.270
ATHLETICS    27 28 235 252 -0.034 27.202   19 -0.017   19 -0.021   21 -0.051   19 0.4936   22  0.338   25 -0.169   13  0.066    1  0.512
MARINERS     27 29 231 215 -0.039 27.519   20 -0.020   20 -0.031   13  0.004   20 0.4913   23  0.334   23 -0.117    7  0.126   16 -0.014
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      25 29 211 211 -0.012 27.117   21 -0.027   21 -0.038   15 -0.007   22 0.4883   18  0.403   21 -0.069   15  0.056   30 -0.465
ORIOLES      25 30 243 293  0.010 28.228   22 -0.030   22 -0.039   25 -0.078   21 0.4892    6  0.667   10  0.104   26 -0.260   15 -0.004
RED SOX      22 31 200 217  0.012 27.178   23 -0.060   23 -0.073   19 -0.034   24 0.4795   19  0.399   22 -0.100   17  0.031   24 -0.254
GIANTS       22 33 202 255  0.038 28.881   24 -0.066   24 -0.078   28 -0.098   23 0.4836   28  0.222   29 -0.309    9  0.113    6  0.291
ASTROS       24 32 249 291 -0.035 27.733   25 -0.068   25 -0.080   26 -0.094   25 0.4766    4  0.682   12  0.102   28 -0.290   13  0.026
ROYALS       22 33 211 251  0.008 28.176   26 -0.082   26 -0.090   24 -0.071   27 0.4737   25  0.275   28 -0.240   12  0.098   10  0.189
METS         22 33 210 241 -0.018 27.630   27 -0.097   27 -0.100   27 -0.094   26 0.4745   30  0.073   30 -0.419    4  0.230    2  0.368
ANGELS       21 34 227 285  0.006 28.164   28 -0.110   28 -0.109   29 -0.108   28 0.4705    3  0.796    5  0.204   30 -0.420   27 -0.376
TIGERS       21 34 213 242 -0.009 27.776   29 -0.116   29 -0.113   23 -0.059   29 0.4687   12  0.494   18 -0.041   19 -0.078   18 -0.077
ROCKIES      20 36 228 302  0.016 28.984   30 -0.143   30 -0.129   30 -0.142   30 0.4683   13  0.480   24 -0.137   20 -0.147    4  0.352

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      35 20 294 177 -0.023 27.043    4  0.126    4  0.119    1  0.207    4 0.5316   21  0.380    8  0.125    3  0.289   17 -0.045
PADRES       31 23 214 212 -0.050 26.298    8  0.035    8  0.050   16 -0.009   10 0.5120   17  0.425   19 -0.052   16  0.035   23 -0.221
DIAMONDBACKS 30 24 252 239 -0.017 26.947    9  0.032    9  0.045    8  0.029   12 0.5106    5  0.677    4  0.221   22 -0.162   21 -0.166
GIANTS       22 33 202 255  0.038 28.881   24 -0.066   24 -0.078   28 -0.098   23 0.4836   28  0.222   29 -0.309    9  0.113    6  0.291
ROCKIES      20 36 228 302  0.016 28.984   30 -0.143   30 -0.129   30 -0.142   30 0.4683   13  0.480   24 -0.137   20 -0.147    4  0.352

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      32 20 257 180  0.050 27.225    3  0.130    3  0.123    3  0.186    3 0.5333   24  0.329   14  0.061    2  0.311   12  0.088
CARDINALS    29 24 234 243  0.031 27.554    6  0.039    7  0.055   17 -0.009    6 0.5145   14  0.473   15 -0.010   18 -0.008   11  0.114
CUBS         29 26 255 247  0.036 28.653   11  0.026   11  0.039    9  0.025    7 0.5140    1  0.817    1  0.358   29 -0.309   28 -0.386
PIRATES      29 26 270 236 -0.019 27.401   12  0.014   12  0.019    6  0.052   11 0.5114   20  0.394   16 -0.018    8  0.123    8  0.251
REDS         29 25 243 267 -0.043 26.519   13  0.008   13  0.019   22 -0.052   13 0.5057   10  0.639   11  0.102   25 -0.205   14  0.023

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       37 18 289 186 -0.011 27.389    1  0.179    1  0.159    2  0.196    2 0.5402   11  0.564    3  0.279   10  0.113   29 -0.406
NATIONALS    29 27 304 307  0.072 29.966   10  0.030   10  0.045    7  0.032    9 0.5133    2  0.796    2  0.344   27 -0.280    5  0.300
PHILLIES     28 27 220 240 -0.015 27.620   14 -0.002   14  0.003   20 -0.038   14 0.5037   27  0.249   27 -0.228    6  0.152    9  0.205
MARLINS      26 30 240 252  0.043 29.369   18 -0.014   18 -0.017   14 -0.004   16 0.4969    7  0.665    6  0.175   23 -0.184   25 -0.270
METS         22 33 210 241 -0.018 27.630   27 -0.097   27 -0.100   27 -0.094   26 0.4745   30  0.073   30 -0.419    4  0.230    2  0.368

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    27 28 235 252 -0.034 27.202   19 -0.017   19 -0.021   21 -0.051   19 0.4936   22  0.338   25 -0.169   13  0.066    1  0.512
MARINERS     27 29 231 215 -0.039 27.519   20 -0.020   20 -0.031   13  0.004   20 0.4913   23  0.334   23 -0.117    7  0.126   16 -0.014
RANGERS      25 29 211 211 -0.012 27.117   21 -0.027   21 -0.038   15 -0.007   22 0.4883   18  0.403   21 -0.069   15  0.056   30 -0.465
ASTROS       24 32 249 291 -0.035 27.733   25 -0.068   25 -0.080   26 -0.094   25 0.4766    4  0.682   12  0.102   28 -0.290   13  0.026
ANGELS       21 34 227 285  0.006 28.164   28 -0.110   28 -0.109   29 -0.108   28 0.4705    3  0.796    5  0.204   30 -0.420   27 -0.376

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    32 25 237 225 -0.012 28.595    7  0.038    6  0.055   10  0.015    8 0.5137   16  0.426   17 -0.027   14  0.057   26 -0.306
WHITE SOX    27 27 241 258 -0.027 26.844   15 -0.010   15 -0.010   18 -0.032   15 0.4970    9  0.642    9  0.125   24 -0.190   22 -0.190
TWINS        27 28 254 250 -0.015 27.548   17 -0.012   17 -0.014   12  0.008   18 0.4949    8  0.643    7  0.166   21 -0.150   20 -0.102
ROYALS       22 33 211 251  0.008 28.176   26 -0.082   26 -0.090   24 -0.071   27 0.4737   25  0.275   28 -0.240   12  0.098   10  0.189
TIGERS       21 34 213 242 -0.009 27.776   29 -0.116   29 -0.113   23 -0.059   29 0.4687   12  0.494   18 -0.041   19 -0.078   18 -0.077

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         34 18 244 211  0.030 26.868    2  0.165    2  0.150    5  0.095    1 0.5413   15  0.462   13  0.084   11  0.106   19 -0.080
YANKEES      33 22 273 191 -0.041 26.774    5  0.065    5  0.078    4  0.135    5 0.5177   26  0.252   20 -0.053    1  0.324    3  0.367
BLUE JAYS    26 29 224 229  0.035 28.665   16 -0.011   16 -0.012   11  0.008   17 0.4951   29  0.210   26 -0.213    5  0.230    7  0.272
ORIOLES      25 30 243 293  0.010 28.228   22 -0.030   22 -0.039   25 -0.078   21 0.4892    6  0.667   10  0.104   26 -0.260   15 -0.004
RED SOX      22 31 200 217  0.012 27.178   23 -0.060   23 -0.073   19 -0.034   24 0.4795   19  0.399   22 -0.100   17  0.031   24 -0.254

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 148 121 0.550    1  0.085
AL EAST    140 130 0.519    2  0.053
NL EAST    142 135 0.513    3  0.036
NL WEST    138 136 0.504    4 -0.007
AL CENTRAL 129 147 0.467    5 -0.059
AL WEST    124 152 0.449    6 -0.107

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.051 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed May 27 05:30:08 2026
games through: Tue May 26 2026

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