Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      72 44 580 449 -0.018 56.234    1  0.205    1  0.175    2  0.167    1 0.5273    2  0.695    1  0.369   20 -0.035   29 -0.429
CUBS         67 49 597 479  0.013 57.696    2  0.135    2  0.129    1  0.170    2 0.5203    5  0.650    2  0.328   17  0.013   23 -0.093
BLUE JAYS    68 50 578 535  0.004 58.373    3  0.119    3  0.121    9  0.070    3 0.5187   12  0.528    8  0.113   15  0.028    8  0.117
DODGERS      68 49 607 521 -0.013 56.998    4  0.116    4  0.119    6  0.107    4 0.5181   16  0.465   10  0.092    6  0.122    3  0.384
PHILLIES     67 49 547 459 -0.026 55.889    5  0.093    5  0.105    4  0.115    5 0.5162   28  0.281   19 -0.056    1  0.286    4  0.328
TIGERS       67 51 566 493 -0.009 57.719    6  0.084    6  0.100    7  0.102    6 0.5154   13  0.512    7  0.130   12  0.074   10  0.055
MARINERS     65 53 541 507  0.016 58.978    7  0.064    7  0.088   11  0.057    7 0.5132    3  0.660    5  0.225   23 -0.110   28 -0.364
RED SOX      65 53 591 503  0.008 58.525    8  0.063    8  0.085    5  0.115   10 0.5123    8  0.616    4  0.239   18 -0.010   16 -0.014
ASTROS       65 52 506 458 -0.003 57.577    9  0.059    9  0.083   10  0.067    8 0.5132   21  0.395   17 -0.009    4  0.144   17 -0.032
PADRES       65 52 483 452 -0.006 57.418   10  0.058   10  0.082   13  0.045    9 0.5128   29  0.259   25 -0.145    2  0.234   15 -0.009
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      62 55 595 508  0.019 58.556   11  0.035   11  0.059    3  0.125   11 0.5099    6  0.641    3  0.274   19 -0.024   20 -0.049
METS         63 54 507 476 -0.024 56.636   12  0.024   12  0.046   15  0.023   12 0.5067   24  0.374   21 -0.071    7  0.117   19 -0.036
GUARDIANS    61 55 462 479 -0.003 57.193   13  0.019   13  0.037   20 -0.027   13 0.5064   25  0.353   24 -0.139   10  0.085   14 -0.002
REDS         61 57 525 490 -0.009 57.807   14  0.013   14  0.021   14  0.034   14 0.5028   15  0.474   13  0.027   14  0.041   18 -0.036
RANGERS      60 58 480 419 -0.000 58.176   15  0.011   15  0.014    8  0.073   15 0.5016   18  0.407   16  0.007    5  0.140   30 -0.508
CARDINALS    59 59 515 534  0.013 58.948   16  0.008   16  0.008   18 -0.019   16 0.5015   10  0.586   11  0.078   24 -0.116   24 -0.125
ROYALS       58 59 431 448  0.015 58.560   17  0.006   17  0.003   21 -0.028   17 0.5000   26  0.347   26 -0.146    8  0.089   26 -0.269
GIANTS       59 58 488 469 -0.014 57.143   18  0.005   18 -0.002   16  0.011   18 0.4997   20  0.395   20 -0.065    9  0.087   25 -0.201
RAYS         57 61 528 485  0.017 59.001   19  0.000   19 -0.016   12  0.050   19 0.4969   17  0.445   14  0.017   11  0.082   13  0.015
MARLINS      57 60 504 558  0.001 57.934   20 -0.003   20 -0.021   24 -0.064   20 0.4959    1  0.706    6  0.150   28 -0.277   27 -0.282
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       56 61 510 576  0.019 58.781   21 -0.004   21 -0.022   25 -0.073   21 0.4959   11  0.578   15  0.016   26 -0.163   12  0.022
TWINS        55 61 489 515  0.005 57.563   22 -0.010   22 -0.037   19 -0.024   22 0.4949   23  0.378   23 -0.115   13  0.067    5  0.174
DIAMONDBACKS 56 61 567 572 -0.026 56.624   23 -0.017   23 -0.049   17 -0.018   23 0.4925    9  0.601    9  0.093   25 -0.128    6  0.148
ORIOLES      53 64 503 590  0.008 58.362   24 -0.034   24 -0.068   28 -0.112   24 0.4894   19  0.401   27 -0.183   21 -0.042    2  0.398
ATHLETICS    52 67 529 628  0.015 59.609   25 -0.056   25 -0.089   26 -0.095   25 0.4865    4  0.656   12  0.069   27 -0.259    7  0.135
PIRATES      51 67 418 470  0.019 59.263   26 -0.064   26 -0.094   23 -0.058   26 0.4853   30  0.205   29 -0.290    3  0.174   21 -0.064
BRAVES       50 67 492 516 -0.011 57.376   27 -0.106   27 -0.119   22 -0.055   27 0.4817   14  0.481   18 -0.056   22 -0.055   22 -0.079
NATIONALS    46 70 490 641 -0.013 57.099   28 -0.201   28 -0.169   29 -0.225   28 0.4745    7  0.636   22 -0.080   30 -0.369    9  0.097
WHITE SOX    42 75 446 523  0.022 58.935   29 -0.234   29 -0.206   27 -0.107   29 0.4686   27  0.332   28 -0.236   16  0.022   11  0.046
ROCKIES      30 86 430 752  0.011 58.310   30 -0.389   30 -0.377   30 -0.434   30 0.4416   22  0.386   30 -0.518   29 -0.350    1  0.671
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      68 49 607 521 -0.013 56.998    4  0.116    4  0.119    6  0.107    4 0.5181   16  0.465   10  0.092    6  0.122    3  0.384
PADRES       65 52 483 452 -0.006 57.418   10  0.058   10  0.082   13  0.045    9 0.5128   29  0.259   25 -0.145    2  0.234   15 -0.009
GIANTS       59 58 488 469 -0.014 57.143   18  0.005   18 -0.002   16  0.011   18 0.4997   20  0.395   20 -0.065    9  0.087   25 -0.201
DIAMONDBACKS 56 61 567 572 -0.026 56.624   23 -0.017   23 -0.049   17 -0.018   23 0.4925    9  0.601    9  0.093   25 -0.128    6  0.148
ROCKIES      30 86 430 752  0.011 58.310   30 -0.389   30 -0.377   30 -0.434   30 0.4416   22  0.386   30 -0.518   29 -0.350    1  0.671

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      72 44 580 449 -0.018 56.234    1  0.205    1  0.175    2  0.167    1 0.5273    2  0.695    1  0.369   20 -0.035   29 -0.429
CUBS         67 49 597 479  0.013 57.696    2  0.135    2  0.129    1  0.170    2 0.5203    5  0.650    2  0.328   17  0.013   23 -0.093
REDS         61 57 525 490 -0.009 57.807   14  0.013   14  0.021   14  0.034   14 0.5028   15  0.474   13  0.027   14  0.041   18 -0.036
CARDINALS    59 59 515 534  0.013 58.948   16  0.008   16  0.008   18 -0.019   16 0.5015   10  0.586   11  0.078   24 -0.116   24 -0.125
PIRATES      51 67 418 470  0.019 59.263   26 -0.064   26 -0.094   23 -0.058   26 0.4853   30  0.205   29 -0.290    3  0.174   21 -0.064

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES     67 49 547 459 -0.026 55.889    5  0.093    5  0.105    4  0.115    5 0.5162   28  0.281   19 -0.056    1  0.286    4  0.328
METS         63 54 507 476 -0.024 56.636   12  0.024   12  0.046   15  0.023   12 0.5067   24  0.374   21 -0.071    7  0.117   19 -0.036
MARLINS      57 60 504 558  0.001 57.934   20 -0.003   20 -0.021   24 -0.064   20 0.4959    1  0.706    6  0.150   28 -0.277   27 -0.282
BRAVES       50 67 492 516 -0.011 57.376   27 -0.106   27 -0.119   22 -0.055   27 0.4817   14  0.481   18 -0.056   22 -0.055   22 -0.079
NATIONALS    46 70 490 641 -0.013 57.099   28 -0.201   28 -0.169   29 -0.225   28 0.4745    7  0.636   22 -0.080   30 -0.369    9  0.097

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     65 53 541 507  0.016 58.978    7  0.064    7  0.088   11  0.057    7 0.5132    3  0.660    5  0.225   23 -0.110   28 -0.364
ASTROS       65 52 506 458 -0.003 57.577    9  0.059    9  0.083   10  0.067    8 0.5132   21  0.395   17 -0.009    4  0.144   17 -0.032
RANGERS      60 58 480 419 -0.000 58.176   15  0.011   15  0.014    8  0.073   15 0.5016   18  0.407   16  0.007    5  0.140   30 -0.508
ANGELS       56 61 510 576  0.019 58.781   21 -0.004   21 -0.022   25 -0.073   21 0.4959   11  0.578   15  0.016   26 -0.163   12  0.022
ATHLETICS    52 67 529 628  0.015 59.609   25 -0.056   25 -0.089   26 -0.095   25 0.4865    4  0.656   12  0.069   27 -0.259    7  0.135

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       67 51 566 493 -0.009 57.719    6  0.084    6  0.100    7  0.102    6 0.5154   13  0.512    7  0.130   12  0.074   10  0.055
GUARDIANS    61 55 462 479 -0.003 57.193   13  0.019   13  0.037   20 -0.027   13 0.5064   25  0.353   24 -0.139   10  0.085   14 -0.002
ROYALS       58 59 431 448  0.015 58.560   17  0.006   17  0.003   21 -0.028   17 0.5000   26  0.347   26 -0.146    8  0.089   26 -0.269
TWINS        55 61 489 515  0.005 57.563   22 -0.010   22 -0.037   19 -0.024   22 0.4949   23  0.378   23 -0.115   13  0.067    5  0.174
WHITE SOX    42 75 446 523  0.022 58.935   29 -0.234   29 -0.206   27 -0.107   29 0.4686   27  0.332   28 -0.236   16  0.022   11  0.046

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    68 50 578 535  0.004 58.373    3  0.119    3  0.121    9  0.070    3 0.5187   12  0.528    8  0.113   15  0.028    8  0.117
RED SOX      65 53 591 503  0.008 58.525    8  0.063    8  0.085    5  0.115   10 0.5123    8  0.616    4  0.239   18 -0.010   16 -0.014
YANKEES      62 55 595 508  0.019 58.556   11  0.035   11  0.059    3  0.125   11 0.5099    6  0.641    3  0.274   19 -0.024   20 -0.049
RAYS         57 61 528 485  0.017 59.001   19  0.000   19 -0.016   12  0.050   19 0.4969   17  0.445   14  0.017   11  0.082   13  0.015
ORIOLES      53 64 503 590  0.008 58.362   24 -0.034   24 -0.068   28 -0.112   24 0.4894   19  0.401   27 -0.183   21 -0.042    2  0.398

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 310 276 0.529    1  0.083
AL EAST    305 283 0.519    2  0.070
AL WEST    298 291 0.506    3  0.009
AL CENTRAL 283 301 0.485    4 -0.024
NL EAST    283 300 0.485    5 -0.057
NL WEST    278 306 0.476    6 -0.077

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.075 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Aug 10 05:30:11 2025
games through: Sat Aug  9 2025

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.