Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      4 1 19  3  0.119  2.714    1  0.032    1  0.026    1  0.057    1 0.5527   30 -0.387   30 -0.520    1  0.634    7  0.003 P
DODGERS      4 1 22 13 -0.063  2.357    2  0.028    2  0.022    3  0.035    2 0.5494   24  0.175   23 -0.174    4  0.245   28 -0.211 P
RANGERS      4 1 29 19 -0.038  2.433    3  0.025    3  0.018    7  0.015    3 0.5415    9  0.596    9  0.166   22 -0.137    9  0.003 P
BREWERS      4 1 37 15 -0.238  1.969    4  0.022    4  0.014    2  0.041    4 0.5319   19  0.347   17 -0.031   10  0.112   23 -0.082 P
BLUE JAYS    4 1 26 26 -0.276  1.950    5  0.019    5  0.012   12 -0.001    7 0.5183    6  0.718    6  0.269   25 -0.272    4  0.218 P
ASTROS       4 2 39 28 -0.078  2.814    6  0.016    6  0.010    4  0.020    6 0.5192    5  0.772    5  0.345   26 -0.306    3  0.264 P
MARLINS      4 1 23 18 -0.385  1.752    7  0.012    8  0.004   23 -0.021   11 0.5087   21  0.303   22 -0.129   11  0.087   25 -0.115 P
GUARDIANS    3 3 18 28  0.252  3.693    8  0.011    7  0.006   18 -0.015    5 0.5219   12  0.445   13 -0.002   18 -0.028   18  0.003 P
METS         3 2 22 18 -0.076  2.366    9  0.008   11  0.001   10  0.002    9 0.5138   29 -0.022   29 -0.351    2  0.355    1  0.292 P
CARDINALS    3 2 27 27 -0.014  2.506   10  0.007    9  0.002   15 -0.004   10 0.5112    8  0.650    8  0.199   23 -0.207    5  0.162 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    3 2 33 22  0.072  2.684   11  0.006   10  0.002   13 -0.002   12 0.5068    2  0.867    2  0.424   29 -0.427   15  0.003 P
BRAVES       3 2 19 11 -0.179  2.130   12  0.005   13 -0.001    5  0.017   14 0.5043   22  0.292   20 -0.100    9  0.135   26 -0.123 P
ANGELS       3 3 29 29  0.201  3.546   13  0.004   12 -0.000   11 -0.001   13 0.5050   18  0.375   19 -0.049   14  0.047   19  0.003 P
MARINERS     3 3 24 19  0.051  3.133   14  0.003   14 -0.002    6  0.017    8 0.5161   17  0.385   16 -0.023   13  0.057   22 -0.051 P
REDS         3 2 14 18 -0.204  2.122   15  0.002   16 -0.004   24 -0.022   19 0.4963   25  0.175   26 -0.232    7  0.188   29 -0.211 P
ROYALS       2 2  9 14  0.116  2.240   16  0.001   15 -0.003   20 -0.017   18 0.4965   26  0.170   25 -0.231    6  0.197   27 -0.174 P
RAYS         2 3 28 30  0.200  2.949   17 -0.001   17 -0.006    9  0.002   15 0.5042    4  0.791    4  0.347   27 -0.342   16  0.003 P
DIAMONDBACKS 2 3 24 27  0.169  2.889   18 -0.003   19 -0.008   14 -0.003   17 0.4988    3  0.804    3  0.356   28 -0.361    2  0.285 P
GIANTS       2 3 13 18  0.182  2.931   19 -0.003   18 -0.008   17 -0.013   20 0.4918   14  0.442   14 -0.003   16 -0.023   30 -0.228 P
PHILLIES     2 3 17 31  0.032  2.617   20 -0.004   20 -0.010   19 -0.015   16 0.5017   13  0.443   15 -0.005   17 -0.026   20 -0.006 P
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         2 3 24 22 -0.026  2.470   21 -0.007   21 -0.013    8  0.006   22 0.4890   15  0.436   12  0.011   15  0.001   21 -0.011 P
TIGERS       2 3 24 23 -0.036  2.463   22 -0.010   23 -0.015   16 -0.010   24 0.4737   11  0.501   10  0.053   20 -0.072   14  0.003 P
PIRATES      2 3 21 23  0.026  2.610   23 -0.010   22 -0.015   22 -0.021   21 0.4904    7  0.672    7  0.204   24 -0.246   11  0.003 P
ORIOLES      2 3 18 24 -0.073  2.404   24 -0.011   24 -0.016   26 -0.023   23 0.4782   10  0.506   11  0.044   21 -0.091    6  0.044 P
TWINS        1 3 12 14 -0.075  1.913   25 -0.020   25 -0.024   21 -0.017   28 0.4648   27  0.147   27 -0.248    5  0.214   13  0.003 P
RED SOX      1 4 13 26  0.036  2.637   26 -0.023   26 -0.027   25 -0.023   25 0.4706   23  0.238   24 -0.184    8  0.138   12  0.003 P
ATHLETICS    1 4 16 22  0.123  2.826   27 -0.025   28 -0.028   28 -0.030   27 0.4654   28  0.045   28 -0.336    3  0.277   17  0.003 P
WHITE SOX    1 4 21 42  0.171  2.973   28 -0.025   27 -0.028   30 -0.057   26 0.4681    1  1.116    1  0.650   30 -0.765    8  0.003 P
PADRES       1 4 12 25 -0.120  2.305   29 -0.027   29 -0.032   27 -0.026   30 0.4486   20  0.330   21 -0.113   12  0.060   24 -0.094 P
ROCKIES      1 4 22 20 -0.021  2.531   30 -0.034   30 -0.037   29 -0.042   29 0.4568   16  0.424   18 -0.048   19 -0.036   10  0.003 P

NL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      4 1 22 13 -0.063  2.357    2  0.028    2  0.022    3  0.035    2 0.5494   24  0.175   23 -0.174    4  0.245   28 -0.211 P
DIAMONDBACKS 2 3 24 27  0.169  2.889   18 -0.003   19 -0.008   14 -0.003   17 0.4988    3  0.804    3  0.356   28 -0.361    2  0.285 P
GIANTS       2 3 13 18  0.182  2.931   19 -0.003   18 -0.008   17 -0.013   20 0.4918   14  0.442   14 -0.003   16 -0.023   30 -0.228 P
PADRES       1 4 12 25 -0.120  2.305   29 -0.027   29 -0.032   27 -0.026   30 0.4486   20  0.330   21 -0.113   12  0.060   24 -0.094 P
ROCKIES      1 4 22 20 -0.021  2.531   30 -0.034   30 -0.037   29 -0.042   29 0.4568   16  0.424   18 -0.048   19 -0.036   10  0.003 P

NL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      4 1 37 15 -0.238  1.969    4  0.022    4  0.014    2  0.041    4 0.5319   19  0.347   17 -0.031   10  0.112   23 -0.082 P
CARDINALS    3 2 27 27 -0.014  2.506   10  0.007    9  0.002   15 -0.004   10 0.5112    8  0.650    8  0.199   23 -0.207    5  0.162 P
REDS         3 2 14 18 -0.204  2.122   15  0.002   16 -0.004   24 -0.022   19 0.4963   25  0.175   26 -0.232    7  0.188   29 -0.211 P
CUBS         2 3 24 22 -0.026  2.470   21 -0.007   21 -0.013    8  0.006   22 0.4890   15  0.436   12  0.011   15  0.001   21 -0.011 P
PIRATES      2 3 21 23  0.026  2.610   23 -0.010   22 -0.015   22 -0.021   21 0.4904    7  0.672    7  0.204   24 -0.246   11  0.003 P

NL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      4 1 23 18 -0.385  1.752    7  0.012    8  0.004   23 -0.021   11 0.5087   21  0.303   22 -0.129   11  0.087   25 -0.115 P
METS         3 2 22 18 -0.076  2.366    9  0.008   11  0.001   10  0.002    9 0.5138   29 -0.022   29 -0.351    2  0.355    1  0.292 P
NATIONALS    3 2 33 22  0.072  2.684   11  0.006   10  0.002   13 -0.002   12 0.5068    2  0.867    2  0.424   29 -0.427   15  0.003 P
BRAVES       3 2 19 11 -0.179  2.130   12  0.005   13 -0.001    5  0.017   14 0.5043   22  0.292   20 -0.100    9  0.135   26 -0.123 P
PHILLIES     2 3 17 31  0.032  2.617   20 -0.004   20 -0.010   19 -0.015   16 0.5017   13  0.443   15 -0.005   17 -0.026   20 -0.006 P

AL WEST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      4 1 29 19 -0.038  2.433    3  0.025    3  0.018    7  0.015    3 0.5415    9  0.596    9  0.166   22 -0.137    9  0.003 P
ASTROS       4 2 39 28 -0.078  2.814    6  0.016    6  0.010    4  0.020    6 0.5192    5  0.772    5  0.345   26 -0.306    3  0.264 P
ANGELS       3 3 29 29  0.201  3.546   13  0.004   12 -0.000   11 -0.001   13 0.5050   18  0.375   19 -0.049   14  0.047   19  0.003 P
MARINERS     3 3 24 19  0.051  3.133   14  0.003   14 -0.002    6  0.017    8 0.5161   17  0.385   16 -0.023   13  0.057   22 -0.051 P
ATHLETICS    1 4 16 22  0.123  2.826   27 -0.025   28 -0.028   28 -0.030   27 0.4654   28  0.045   28 -0.336    3  0.277   17  0.003 P

AL CENTRAL
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    3 3 18 28  0.252  3.693    8  0.011    7  0.006   18 -0.015    5 0.5219   12  0.445   13 -0.002   18 -0.028   18  0.003 P
ROYALS       2 2  9 14  0.116  2.240   16  0.001   15 -0.003   20 -0.017   18 0.4965   26  0.170   25 -0.231    6  0.197   27 -0.174 P
TIGERS       2 3 24 23 -0.036  2.463   22 -0.010   23 -0.015   16 -0.010   24 0.4737   11  0.501   10  0.053   20 -0.072   14  0.003 P
TWINS        1 3 12 14 -0.075  1.913   25 -0.020   25 -0.024   21 -0.017   28 0.4648   27  0.147   27 -0.248    5  0.214   13  0.003 P
WHITE SOX    1 4 21 42  0.171  2.973   28 -0.025   27 -0.028   30 -0.057   26 0.4681    1  1.116    1  0.650   30 -0.765    8  0.003 P

AL EAST
                                       STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM         W L PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      4 1 19  3  0.119  2.714    1  0.032    1  0.026    1  0.057    1 0.5527   30 -0.387   30 -0.520    1  0.634    7  0.003 P
BLUE JAYS    4 1 26 26 -0.276  1.950    5  0.019    5  0.012   12 -0.001    7 0.5183    6  0.718    6  0.269   25 -0.272    4  0.218 P
RAYS         2 3 28 30  0.200  2.949   17 -0.001   17 -0.006    9  0.002   15 0.5042    4  0.791    4  0.347   27 -0.342   16  0.003 P
ORIOLES      2 3 18 24 -0.073  2.404   24 -0.011   24 -0.016   26 -0.023   23 0.4782   10  0.506   11  0.044   21 -0.091    6  0.044 P
RED SOX      1 4 13 26  0.036  2.637   26 -0.023   26 -0.027   25 -0.023   25 0.4706   23  0.238   24 -0.184    8  0.138   12  0.003 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL WEST    15 13 0.536    1  0.067
AL EAST    13 12 0.520    2  0.049
NL CENTRAL 14 11 0.560    3  0.033
NL EAST    15 10 0.600    4  0.006
NL WEST    10 15 0.400    5 -0.043
AL CENTRAL  9 15 0.375    6 -0.148

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.066 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Apr  1 05:30:05 2026
games through: Tue Mar 31 2026

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