Dolphin Ratings - Major League Soccer

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LOS ANGELES    21  5 11 50 30  0.020 18.360    1  0.201    1  0.190    1  0.196    1 0.5514   18 -0.190   14 -0.089    1  0.481
SEATTLE        20  7  9 61 39 -0.002 17.640    2  0.161    2  0.154    2  0.151    2 0.5410    4  0.372    1  0.282    8  0.021
HOUSTON        14  9 13 47 41  0.013 18.113    3  0.069    3  0.072    5  0.044    5 0.5167   13  0.160    7  0.003    5  0.085
KANSAS CITY    15 10 11 53 41  0.010 17.957    4  0.060    4  0.058    3  0.101    4 0.5175    7  0.273    4  0.149    7  0.052
REAL SALT LAKE 16 12  8 48 39  0.046 18.445    5  0.059    5  0.056    4  0.099    3 0.5176   15  0.094    6  0.009    2  0.190
FC DALLAS      15 12  7 42 39 -0.005 16.907    6  0.038    6  0.036    7  0.026    6 0.5097   16  0.079   11 -0.075    4  0.128
COLORADO       13 11 13 45 45 -0.006 18.483    7  0.011    7  0.006   10 -0.010    7 0.5055   14  0.121   13 -0.081    6  0.060
NEW YORK       10 11 17 53 51  0.035 19.481    8  0.003    8 -0.006    6  0.039    9 0.5011    3  0.379    3  0.176   13 -0.098
PHILADELPHIA   11 10 16 45 39 -0.016 18.243    9  0.003    9 -0.006    8  0.023    8 0.5016   17  0.003   17 -0.133    3  0.178
CHICAGO         9  9 16 46 45 -0.006 16.940   10 -0.000   10 -0.008    9  0.006   10 0.4992    5  0.344    5  0.113   14 -0.101
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLUMBUS       12 13  8 41 44 -0.023 16.310   11 -0.022   11 -0.030   11 -0.035   11 0.4943    8  0.225    8 -0.025   11 -0.045
PORTLAND       11 14  8 38 46  0.009 16.809   12 -0.024   12 -0.031   15 -0.060   12 0.4901   10  0.202   10 -0.068   12 -0.052
SAN JOSE        8 12 14 40 44  0.010 17.301   13 -0.046   13 -0.059   13 -0.049   13 0.4876   12  0.160   15 -0.090   10 -0.009
DC UNITED       8 13 12 47 52 -0.016 16.457   14 -0.063   14 -0.074   14 -0.054   14 0.4809    1  0.565    2  0.248   18 -0.355
CHIVAS USA      8 14 12 41 43 -0.009 17.015   15 -0.069   15 -0.081   12 -0.040   15 0.4784   11  0.161   12 -0.080    9  0.000
TORONTO FC      6 13 14 34 57 -0.024 16.689   16 -0.094   16 -0.097   18 -0.190   16 0.4737    6  0.333   16 -0.092   16 -0.288
NEW ENGLAND     5 16 13 37 57 -0.021 17.183   17 -0.142   17 -0.143   17 -0.181   17 0.4606    2  0.383    9 -0.041   17 -0.321
VANCOUVER       6 17 10 35 51 -0.021 16.675   18 -0.146   18 -0.147   16 -0.165   18 0.4593    9  0.213   18 -0.164   15 -0.166
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LOS ANGELES    21  5 11 50 30  0.020 18.360    1  0.201    1  0.190    1  0.196    1 0.5514   18 -0.190   14 -0.089    1  0.481
SEATTLE        20  7  9 61 39 -0.002 17.640    2  0.161    2  0.154    2  0.151    2 0.5410    4  0.372    1  0.282    8  0.021
REAL SALT LAKE 16 12  8 48 39  0.046 18.445    5  0.059    5  0.056    4  0.099    3 0.5176   15  0.094    6  0.009    2  0.190
FC DALLAS      15 12  7 42 39 -0.005 16.907    6  0.038    6  0.036    7  0.026    6 0.5097   16  0.079   11 -0.075    4  0.128
COLORADO       13 11 13 45 45 -0.006 18.483    7  0.011    7  0.006   10 -0.010    7 0.5055   14  0.121   13 -0.081    6  0.060
PORTLAND       11 14  8 38 46  0.009 16.809   12 -0.024   12 -0.031   15 -0.060   12 0.4901   10  0.202   10 -0.068   12 -0.052
SAN JOSE        8 12 14 40 44  0.010 17.301   13 -0.046   13 -0.059   13 -0.049   13 0.4876   12  0.160   15 -0.090   10 -0.009
CHIVAS USA      8 14 12 41 43 -0.009 17.015   15 -0.069   15 -0.081   12 -0.040   15 0.4784   11  0.161   12 -0.080    9  0.000
VANCOUVER       6 17 10 35 51 -0.021 16.675   18 -0.146   18 -0.147   16 -0.165   18 0.4593    9  0.213   18 -0.164   15 -0.166

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM            W  L  T PF PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HOUSTON        14  9 13 47 41  0.013 18.113    3  0.069    3  0.072    5  0.044    5 0.5167   13  0.160    7  0.003    5  0.085
KANSAS CITY    15 10 11 53 41  0.010 17.957    4  0.060    4  0.058    3  0.101    4 0.5175    7  0.273    4  0.149    7  0.052
NEW YORK       10 11 17 53 51  0.035 19.481    8  0.003    8 -0.006    6  0.039    9 0.5011    3  0.379    3  0.176   13 -0.098
PHILADELPHIA   11 10 16 45 39 -0.016 18.243    9  0.003    9 -0.006    8  0.023    8 0.5016   17  0.003   17 -0.133    3  0.178
CHICAGO         9  9 16 46 45 -0.006 16.940   10 -0.000   10 -0.008    9  0.006   10 0.4992    5  0.344    5  0.113   14 -0.101
COLUMBUS       12 13  8 41 44 -0.023 16.310   11 -0.022   11 -0.030   11 -0.035   11 0.4943    8  0.225    8 -0.025   11 -0.045
DC UNITED       8 13 12 47 52 -0.016 16.457   14 -0.063   14 -0.074   14 -0.054   14 0.4809    1  0.565    2  0.248   18 -0.355
TORONTO FC      6 13 14 34 57 -0.024 16.689   16 -0.094   16 -0.097   18 -0.190   16 0.4737    6  0.333   16 -0.092   16 -0.288
NEW ENGLAND     5 16 13 37 57 -0.021 17.183   17 -0.142   17 -0.143   17 -0.181   17 0.4606    2  0.383    9 -0.041   17 -0.321

DIVISION             W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 118 104  92 0.522    1  0.039
EASTERN CONFERENCE  90 104 120 0.478    2 -0.053

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.299 points in main ratings (0.205 for semineutral)
     0.029 points in improved RPI (0.020 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jan  4 12:47:44 2020
games through: Sun Nov 20 2011

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