Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MIAMI         82 23 10670  9877  0.030 52.592    1  0.749    1  0.721    1  0.549    1 0.5676   14  3.817    4  0.586    3  0.512
SAN ANTONIO   73 30 10555  9883  0.124 55.417    2  0.625    2  0.597    3  0.509    2 0.5595   13  3.817    5  0.547    4  0.471
OKLAHOMA CITY 65 28  9752  8982  0.081 48.233    3  0.560    3  0.525    2  0.544    3 0.5508    6  3.858    3  0.779    6  0.309
MEMPHIS       64 33  9079  8730  0.123 52.708    4  0.499    4  0.476    4  0.362    4 0.5463   30  3.668   21 -0.286    1  1.010
DENVER        59 29  9322  8930  0.050 45.592    5  0.462    5  0.435    6  0.306    5 0.5437    2  3.912    2  0.804   19 -0.192
LA CLIPPERS   58 30  8857  8361  0.057 45.409    6  0.431    6  0.402    5  0.324    6 0.5409   11  3.823    6  0.387    7  0.260
NEW YORK      60 34  9259  8880 -0.012 46.656    7  0.323    7  0.306    8  0.245    7 0.5305   18  3.808   10  0.238    8  0.251
INDIANA       60 40  9418  9089  0.020 50.978    8  0.268    8  0.244    7  0.245    8 0.5254   29  3.701   20 -0.257    2  0.747
GOLDEN STATE  53 41  9528  9453  0.082 50.689    9  0.242    9  0.217   10  0.161    9 0.5222    7  3.856    7  0.383   15 -0.061
BROOKLYN      52 37  8640  8480 -0.055 43.369   10  0.169   10  0.146   11  0.087   10 0.5152   23  3.780   14 -0.052    9  0.226
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HOUSTON       47 41  9288  9038  0.070 46.585   11  0.155   11  0.129    9  0.220   11 0.5122    1  3.932    1  0.820   25 -0.379
LA LAKERS     45 41  8722  8702  0.037 45.151   12  0.094   12  0.079   14 -0.004   13 0.5083    4  3.877    8  0.324   23 -0.331
CHICAGO       50 44  8744  8798 -0.003 48.275   13  0.081   13  0.070   17 -0.090   12 0.5086   28  3.715   29 -0.529    5  0.349
UTAH          43 39  8038  8045  0.009 42.295   14  0.079   14  0.064   12  0.005   14 0.5058   20  3.801   13 -0.036   12  0.046
ATLANTA       46 42  8568  8566 -0.039 43.881   15  0.034   15  0.017   15 -0.065   15 0.5017   17  3.811   15 -0.057   17 -0.074
DALLAS        41 41  8293  8342  0.002 42.293   16  0.018   16 -0.003   13  0.004   16 0.4997    5  3.861    9  0.250   20 -0.242
BOSTON        43 44  8312  8362 -0.033 43.743   17 -0.018   17 -0.043   16 -0.076   17 0.4963   26  3.747   22 -0.369   10  0.217
MILWAUKEE     38 48  8449  8631 -0.038 43.536   18 -0.147   18 -0.162   21 -0.194   18 0.4845    9  3.847   12 -0.016   24 -0.373
PORTLAND      33 49  7995  8255  0.005 43.017   19 -0.195   19 -0.210   23 -0.226   19 0.4778   10  3.823   17 -0.162   22 -0.290
PHILADELPHIA  34 48  7640  7914 -0.064 41.000   20 -0.228   20 -0.246   24 -0.227   20 0.4752   25  3.759   27 -0.464   13  0.010
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TORONTO       34 48  7971  8092 -0.075 40.185   21 -0.237   21 -0.262   18 -0.113   21 0.4729   19  3.802   16 -0.146   18 -0.080
MINNESOTA     31 51  7851  8045  0.002 42.724   22 -0.251   22 -0.276   20 -0.144   22 0.4716   22  3.793   19 -0.221   16 -0.066
SACRAMENTO    28 54  8219  8619 -0.011 42.971   23 -0.358   23 -0.379   22 -0.222   23 0.4633    3  3.900   11  0.217   29 -0.660
NEW ORLEANS   27 55  7714  8031  0.008 43.308   24 -0.362   24 -0.386   25 -0.239   24 0.4611   24  3.769   25 -0.431   14 -0.046
WASHINGTON    29 53  7644  7852 -0.066 40.806   25 -0.369   25 -0.394   19 -0.143   25 0.4602   27  3.743   26 -0.452   11  0.167
DETROIT       29 53  7778  8105 -0.087 40.520   26 -0.394   26 -0.416   26 -0.339   26 0.4586   21  3.797   24 -0.398   21 -0.280
PHOENIX       25 57  7805  8335 -0.016 43.175   27 -0.434   27 -0.455   28 -0.421   27 0.4540   15  3.815   23 -0.394   26 -0.448
CLEVELAND     24 58  7913  8297 -0.079 40.879   28 -0.513   28 -0.546   27 -0.355   28 0.4452    8  3.847   18 -0.175   27 -0.536
CHARLOTTE     21 61  7661  8418 -0.101 41.188   29 -0.637   29 -0.659   30 -0.618   29 0.4358   12  3.821   30 -0.563   30 -0.673
ORLANDO       20 62  7718  8291 -0.091 41.044   30 -0.646   30 -0.677   29 -0.531   30 0.4331   16  3.814   28 -0.509   28 -0.552
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LA CLIPPERS   58 30  8857  8361  0.057 45.409    6  0.431    6  0.402    5  0.324    6 0.5409   11  3.823    6  0.387    7  0.260
GOLDEN STATE  53 41  9528  9453  0.082 50.689    9  0.242    9  0.217   10  0.161    9 0.5222    7  3.856    7  0.383   15 -0.061
LA LAKERS     45 41  8722  8702  0.037 45.151   12  0.094   12  0.079   14 -0.004   13 0.5083    4  3.877    8  0.324   23 -0.331
SACRAMENTO    28 54  8219  8619 -0.011 42.971   23 -0.358   23 -0.379   22 -0.222   23 0.4633    3  3.900   11  0.217   29 -0.660
PHOENIX       25 57  7805  8335 -0.016 43.175   27 -0.434   27 -0.455   28 -0.421   27 0.4540   15  3.815   23 -0.394   26 -0.448

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OKLAHOMA CITY 65 28  9752  8982  0.081 48.233    3  0.560    3  0.525    2  0.544    3 0.5508    6  3.858    3  0.779    6  0.309
DENVER        59 29  9322  8930  0.050 45.592    5  0.462    5  0.435    6  0.306    5 0.5437    2  3.912    2  0.804   19 -0.192
UTAH          43 39  8038  8045  0.009 42.295   14  0.079   14  0.064   12  0.005   14 0.5058   20  3.801   13 -0.036   12  0.046
PORTLAND      33 49  7995  8255  0.005 43.017   19 -0.195   19 -0.210   23 -0.226   19 0.4778   10  3.823   17 -0.162   22 -0.290
MINNESOTA     31 51  7851  8045  0.002 42.724   22 -0.251   22 -0.276   20 -0.144   22 0.4716   22  3.793   19 -0.221   16 -0.066

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SAN ANTONIO   73 30 10555  9883  0.124 55.417    2  0.625    2  0.597    3  0.509    2 0.5595   13  3.817    5  0.547    4  0.471
MEMPHIS       64 33  9079  8730  0.123 52.708    4  0.499    4  0.476    4  0.362    4 0.5463   30  3.668   21 -0.286    1  1.010
HOUSTON       47 41  9288  9038  0.070 46.585   11  0.155   11  0.129    9  0.220   11 0.5122    1  3.932    1  0.820   25 -0.379
DALLAS        41 41  8293  8342  0.002 42.293   16  0.018   16 -0.003   13  0.004   16 0.4997    5  3.861    9  0.250   20 -0.242
NEW ORLEANS   27 55  7714  8031  0.008 43.308   24 -0.362   24 -0.386   25 -0.239   24 0.4611   24  3.769   25 -0.431   14 -0.046

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
INDIANA       60 40  9418  9089  0.020 50.978    8  0.268    8  0.244    7  0.245    8 0.5254   29  3.701   20 -0.257    2  0.747
CHICAGO       50 44  8744  8798 -0.003 48.275   13  0.081   13  0.070   17 -0.090   12 0.5086   28  3.715   29 -0.529    5  0.349
MILWAUKEE     38 48  8449  8631 -0.038 43.536   18 -0.147   18 -0.162   21 -0.194   18 0.4845    9  3.847   12 -0.016   24 -0.373
DETROIT       29 53  7778  8105 -0.087 40.520   26 -0.394   26 -0.416   26 -0.339   26 0.4586   21  3.797   24 -0.398   21 -0.280
CLEVELAND     24 58  7913  8297 -0.079 40.879   28 -0.513   28 -0.546   27 -0.355   28 0.4452    8  3.847   18 -0.175   27 -0.536

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MIAMI         82 23 10670  9877  0.030 52.592    1  0.749    1  0.721    1  0.549    1 0.5676   14  3.817    4  0.586    3  0.512
ATLANTA       46 42  8568  8566 -0.039 43.881   15  0.034   15  0.017   15 -0.065   15 0.5017   17  3.811   15 -0.057   17 -0.074
WASHINGTON    29 53  7644  7852 -0.066 40.806   25 -0.369   25 -0.394   19 -0.143   25 0.4602   27  3.743   26 -0.452   11  0.167
CHARLOTTE     21 61  7661  8418 -0.101 41.188   29 -0.637   29 -0.659   30 -0.618   29 0.4358   12  3.821   30 -0.563   30 -0.673
ORLANDO       20 62  7718  8291 -0.091 41.044   30 -0.646   30 -0.677   29 -0.531   30 0.4331   16  3.814   28 -0.509   28 -0.552

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                                STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L    PF    PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NEW YORK      60 34  9259  8880 -0.012 46.656    7  0.323    7  0.306    8  0.245    7 0.5305   18  3.808   10  0.238    8  0.251
BROOKLYN      52 37  8640  8480 -0.055 43.369   10  0.169   10  0.146   11  0.087   10 0.5152   23  3.780   14 -0.052    9  0.226
BOSTON        43 44  8312  8362 -0.033 43.743   17 -0.018   17 -0.043   16 -0.076   17 0.4963   26  3.747   22 -0.369   10  0.217
PHILADELPHIA  34 48  7640  7914 -0.064 41.000   20 -0.228   20 -0.246   24 -0.227   20 0.4752   25  3.759   27 -0.464   13  0.010
TORONTO       34 48  7971  8092 -0.075 40.185   21 -0.237   21 -0.262   18 -0.113   21 0.4729   19  3.802   16 -0.146   18 -0.080

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 252 200 0.558    1  0.192
NORTHWEST DIVISION 231 196 0.541    2  0.132
PACIFIC DIVISION   209 223 0.484    3 -0.036
ATLANTIC DIVISION  223 211 0.514    4 -0.037
CENTRAL DIVISION   201 243 0.453    5 -0.162
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 198 241 0.451    6 -0.237

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.275 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.028 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Dec 28 14:04:30 2024
games through: Thu Jun 20 2013

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.