Dolphin Ratings - Division I Hockey

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems, especially the one used in hockey. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pairwise Ranking. For hockey, this rating is used by the selection committee to select and seed the tournament. The ratings shown for basketball and baseball approximate the real-life selections, but because each individual on a committee considers gives different weights to each factor it is impossible to perfectly predict the selections and seeds.
Pseudo-Poll. A simulated poll with 50 voters. This tends to replicate real-life voted polls quite well, with the (huge) exception that the real-life polls carry a lot of inertia. That is, if two teams win they will almost always remain ranked in the same order. Since this rating is calculated from scratch each time a new rating is produced, it is not possible to mimic that tendency here. So this psuedo-poll is more of an accurate indicator of how people would vote if there were no previous poll.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Home Scoring. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home. Values are nonzero only for baseball, where park effects can be significant.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NORTH DAKOTA           30  8  3 182  90  0.477 16.546    1  3.206    1  1.013    1  1.098    1 0.5994    2 0.5968    2 0.9688    1  3.046  1.101  1.183  1.013  0.000
MAINE                  33  8  3 141  69  0.285 15.348    2  3.059    2  0.897    5  0.863    2 0.5871    1 0.5988    1 1.0000    2  2.886  0.599  0.406  1.320  0.000
BOSTON COLLEGE         29  9  4 143  81  0.381 16.099    3  3.014    3  0.863    4  0.893    3 0.5847    3 0.5950    3 0.9375    3  2.853  0.861  0.701  1.086  0.000
MINNESOTA              27 14  3 178 127  0.549 19.728    4  2.932    4  0.806    3  0.895    4 0.5788    4 0.5790    5 0.8750    4  2.775  1.327  1.272  0.517  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH       28 13  4 185 123  0.486 18.878    5  2.902    5  0.774    2  0.904    5 0.5774    5 0.5736    4 0.9062    5  2.754  1.218  1.137  0.672  0.000
DENVER                 27 12  5 149 120  0.422 18.043    6  2.848    6  0.754    6  0.645    6 0.5726    6 0.5577    6 0.8438    6  2.653  1.056  0.675  0.616  0.000
WISCONSIN              22 13  8 123  93  0.362 16.837    7  2.579    7  0.546    8  0.553    7 0.5556    9 0.5381    8 0.7812    7  2.415  0.654  0.148  0.957  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE       20 16  3 126  98  0.400 15.783    8  2.469    8  0.458    7  0.578    8 0.5456   10 0.5331   12 0.6250    8  2.333  0.958  0.494  0.663  0.000
MICHIGAN               27 14  2 151 104  0.123 13.005    9  2.448    9  0.440    9  0.523    9 0.5448    8 0.5484    7 0.8125    9  2.320  1.057  0.554  0.492  0.000
ST CLOUD STATE         18 16  4 113 118  0.422 16.260   10  2.436   10  0.435   14  0.356   11 0.5421   13 0.5303   15 0.5312   11  2.236  1.102  0.441  0.270  0.000
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
OHIO STATE             26 16  0 134 106  0.177 13.670   11  2.427   11  0.426   11  0.403   10 0.5434    7 0.5564    9 0.7188   10  2.258  1.036  0.409  0.397  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE          20 15  6 138 116  0.254 14.542   12  2.316   12  0.345   10  0.432   12 0.5335   11 0.5327   10 0.6875   12  2.174  1.231  0.681  0.183  0.000
MIAMI OHIO             23 14  4 137 106  0.080 12.041   13  2.229   13  0.284   15  0.327   13 0.5319   12 0.5324   11 0.6562   13  2.082  1.083  0.389  0.264  0.000
PROVIDENCE             16 14  7 106  92  0.274 13.474   14  2.215   14  0.276   12  0.370   14 0.5274   15 0.5256   18 0.4062   14  2.077  0.915  0.237  0.502  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS          17 14  6  93  99  0.217 13.126   15  2.193   15  0.273   22  0.154   16 0.5266   17 0.5227   17 0.5000   16  2.025  0.866 -0.033  0.341  0.000
MICHIGAN ST            23 17  2 136 105  0.123 13.009   16  2.161   16  0.249   13  0.364   17 0.5264   21 0.5148   19 0.4062   15  2.048  0.966  0.288  0.439  0.000
NOTRE DAME             20 15  4 108  99  0.107 12.088   17  2.135   17  0.239   17  0.219   15 0.5270   16 0.5249   13 0.6250   17  2.006  0.908  0.079  0.360  0.000
BOSTON UNIVERSITY      12 17  9 103 108  0.405 16.062   18  2.110   18  0.224   16  0.272   19 0.5195   14 0.5286   16 0.5312   18  1.992  0.996  0.232  0.313  0.000
COLGATE                22 12  5 111  80 -0.114  8.947   19  2.035   20  0.165   19  0.182   18 0.5199   20 0.5155   14 0.5938   19  1.930  0.731 -0.146  0.511  0.000
ALASKA ANCHORAGE       14 23  3 104 140  0.446 18.025   20  2.033   19  0.169   24  0.095   21 0.5149   31 0.5013   34 0.0312   20  1.878  1.044  0.111  0.080  0.000
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NORTHERN MICH          21 16  4 105 113 -0.006 11.262   21  1.976   21  0.123   32 -0.053   20 0.5162   24 0.5075   26 0.2500   25  1.825  0.828 -0.281  0.175  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS-LOWELL   15 18  7 105 116  0.226 14.406   22  1.957   22  0.112   26  0.067   24 0.5097   22 0.5145   22 0.3438   23  1.832  1.032  0.069  0.065  0.000
NORTHEASTERN           11 16  7  92 103  0.287 12.860   23  1.945   23  0.098   20  0.181   27 0.5063   29 0.5026   30 0.1250   21  1.839  1.095  0.258  0.104  0.000
CORNELL                16 10  6  85  62 -0.104  7.467   24  1.929   24  0.082   21  0.161   22 0.5127   26 0.5043   20 0.4062   22  1.835  0.587 -0.307  0.629  0.000
RPI                    22 15  2 116  89 -0.112  9.298   25  1.919   25  0.076   23  0.116   26 0.5093   28 0.5038   28 0.1562   24  1.826  0.845 -0.094  0.325  0.000
HARVARD                18 15  3 104  94 -0.002  9.916   26  1.906   26  0.071   25  0.091   25 0.5097   23 0.5094   23 0.3438   27  1.802  1.040  0.102  0.080  0.000
DARTMOUTH              14 11  9  95  91 -0.009  9.357   27  1.888   27  0.070   30 -0.002   23 0.5107   19 0.5166   24 0.3125   28  1.768  1.033  0.001 -0.005  0.000
BEMIDJI STATE          20 13  3 131  94 -0.166  8.169   28  1.851   28  0.040   18  0.192   28 0.5032   25 0.5070   29 0.1250   26  1.806  1.044  0.208  0.176  0.000
BROWN                  15 11  5  80  62 -0.120  7.276   29  1.806   29  0.006   27  0.060   29 0.5032   34 0.4968   35 0.0312   29  1.721  0.553 -0.440  0.560  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN       17 18  4 123 136  0.029 11.078   30  1.789   30 -0.005   34 -0.094   30 0.5014   27 0.5040   25 0.2812   31  1.662  1.321  0.275 -0.463  0.000
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
CLARKSON UNIV (N.Y.)   18 18  5 121 113 -0.044 10.648   31  1.756   32 -0.029   28  0.013   34 0.4941   33 0.4999   32 0.0938   30  1.670  1.069  0.059 -0.032  0.000
MINNESOTA ST MANKATO   10 24  5 124 179  0.407 17.242   32  1.755   31 -0.026   33 -0.066   32 0.4963   37 0.4810   41 0.0000   34  1.618  1.543  0.619 -0.751  0.000
NIAGARA                21 15  3 124 120 -0.234  8.555   33  1.746   33 -0.039   37 -0.155   33 0.4958   32 0.5006   27 0.2500   32  1.628  1.152 -0.007 -0.303  0.000
ALASKA FAIRBANKS       16 19  1 117 127  0.044 10.420   34  1.718   34 -0.057   29  0.002   31 0.4969   40 0.4773   43 0.0000   33  1.620  1.367  0.433 -0.430  0.000
MERRIMACK              10 20  6  86 110  0.230 13.349   35  1.697   35 -0.071   31 -0.010   38 0.4860   35 0.4880   39 0.0000   35  1.603  1.008 -0.036  0.016  0.000
FERRIS STATE           15 20  3 112 126  0.026 10.955   36  1.619   36 -0.131   36 -0.143   37 0.4881   41 0.4751   33 0.0938   36  1.511  1.212  0.082 -0.368  0.000
BOWLING GREEN          11 18  9  92 112  0.071 11.689   37  1.595   38 -0.148   35 -0.137   36 0.4883   36 0.4835   40 0.0000   37  1.492  0.930 -0.254 -0.021  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH           8 25  5  97 161  0.408 17.311   38  1.593   37 -0.146   39 -0.218   35 0.4902   42 0.4744   44 0.0000   39  1.444  1.225  0.024 -0.460  0.000
UNION (N.Y.)           14 17  5  89 108 -0.116  9.262   39  1.581   39 -0.159   40 -0.284   41 0.4791   43 0.4710   37 0.0312   38  1.450  0.955 -0.372 -0.196  0.000
HOLY CROSS             22 10  4 122  94 -0.664  4.813   40  1.521   40 -0.212   44 -0.350   39 0.4800   18 0.5177   21 0.3438   40  1.430  1.024 -0.358 -0.342  0.000
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
ST LAWRENCE            14 21  6 104 119 -0.038 11.383   41  1.452   41 -0.258   38 -0.191   40 0.4798   38 0.4787   36 0.0312   41  1.363  0.961 -0.272 -0.109  0.000
MERCYHURST             20 14  2 145 122 -0.579  5.251   42  1.394   42 -0.301   42 -0.327   44 0.4672   30 0.5016   31 0.1250   42  1.331  1.489  0.280 -0.933  0.000
YALE                   12 19  0  91 134 -0.092  8.515   43  1.386   43 -0.304   48 -0.519   42 0.4689   45 0.4653   45 0.0000   44  1.239  1.475  0.067 -1.104  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR STATE     9 20  7  72 102  0.014 10.447   44  1.350   44 -0.331   43 -0.330   43 0.4683   47 0.4595   47 0.0000   43  1.247  0.690 -0.700  0.040  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE     11 16  4  92  94 -0.305  6.516   45  1.257   45 -0.407   41 -0.315   46 0.4562   46 0.4646   46 0.0000   45  1.197  1.113 -0.216 -0.414  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA          8 26  5  91 139  0.089 12.554   46  1.231   46 -0.423   45 -0.382   45 0.4575   51 0.4404   51 0.0000   46  1.133  0.980 -0.441 -0.323  0.000
VERMONT                 9 22  4  85 127 -0.041  9.753   47  1.221   47 -0.432   47 -0.452   47 0.4555   50 0.4417   50 0.0000   47  1.117  1.120 -0.344 -0.560  0.000
FINDLAY                11 22  5  95 114 -0.238  9.193   48  1.073   48 -0.550   46 -0.442   49 0.4466   49 0.4483   49 0.0000   48  1.017  0.885 -0.609 -0.276  0.000
QUINNIPIAC             15 14  6  88  88 -0.636  5.603   49  1.057   49 -0.566   49 -0.565   48 0.4498   39 0.4777   42 0.0000   49  1.006  0.701 -0.924 -0.206  0.000
AIR FORCE ACADEMY      14 21  2 101 131 -0.505  6.323   50  0.943   50 -0.649   52 -0.673   51 0.4331   53 0.4335   53 0.0000   50  0.877  1.161 -0.513 -0.833  0.000
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
WAYNE STATE MICH.       9 24  3  85 145 -0.294  8.379   51  0.863   51 -0.693   54 -0.818   53 0.4276   54 0.4269   54 0.0000   53  0.768  1.176 -0.640 -0.996  0.000
SACRED HEART           14 17  5 112 119 -0.669  4.948   52  0.842   53 -0.714   50 -0.649   50 0.4336   44 0.4655   38 0.0312   51  0.839  1.167 -0.482 -0.816  0.000
CONNECTICUT            12 16  7 116 128 -0.685  4.454   53  0.835   52 -0.702   53 -0.747   54 0.4272   48 0.4500   48 0.0000   52  0.810  1.378 -0.299 -1.194  0.000
PRINCETON               5 24  2  62 122 -0.021  8.904   54  0.801   54 -0.723   51 -0.650   52 0.4277   55 0.4172   55 0.0000   54  0.759  1.029 -0.652 -0.648  0.000
CANISIUS               10 16  8  84 107 -0.720  3.963   55  0.754   55 -0.767   55 -0.879   55 0.4181   52 0.4365   52 0.0000   55  0.718  0.918 -1.008 -0.749  0.000
BENTLEY                 9 19  4  79 103 -0.837  3.083   56  0.418   56 -1.068   56 -1.017   56 0.3921   56 0.4095   56 0.0000   56  0.425  0.926 -1.137 -0.897  0.000
ARMY                    8 18  3  64 101 -0.919  2.590   57  0.298   57 -1.144   57 -1.290   57 0.3821   57 0.3935   57 0.0000   57  0.278  0.928 -1.408 -1.172  0.000
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL  5 25  4  72 140 -0.874  3.064   58  0.000   58 -1.408   58 -1.480   58 0.3587   58 0.3630   58 0.0000   58  0.000  1.090 -1.408 -1.551  0.000

ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
HOLY CROSS             22 10  4 122  94 -0.664  4.813   40  1.521   40 -0.212   44 -0.350   39 0.4800   18 0.5177   21 0.3438   40  1.430  1.024 -0.358 -0.342  0.000
MERCYHURST             20 14  2 145 122 -0.579  5.251   42  1.394   42 -0.301   42 -0.327   44 0.4672   30 0.5016   31 0.1250   42  1.331  1.489  0.280 -0.933  0.000
QUINNIPIAC             15 14  6  88  88 -0.636  5.603   49  1.057   49 -0.566   49 -0.565   48 0.4498   39 0.4777   42 0.0000   49  1.006  0.701 -0.924 -0.206  0.000
SACRED HEART           14 17  5 112 119 -0.669  4.948   52  0.842   53 -0.714   50 -0.649   50 0.4336   44 0.4655   38 0.0312   51  0.839  1.167 -0.482 -0.816  0.000
CONNECTICUT            12 16  7 116 128 -0.685  4.454   53  0.835   52 -0.702   53 -0.747   54 0.4272   48 0.4500   48 0.0000   52  0.810  1.378 -0.299 -1.194  0.000
CANISIUS               10 16  8  84 107 -0.720  3.963   55  0.754   55 -0.767   55 -0.879   55 0.4181   52 0.4365   52 0.0000   55  0.718  0.918 -1.008 -0.749  0.000
BENTLEY                 9 19  4  79 103 -0.837  3.083   56  0.418   56 -1.068   56 -1.017   56 0.3921   56 0.4095   56 0.0000   56  0.425  0.926 -1.137 -0.897  0.000
AMERICAN INTERNATIONAL  5 25  4  72 140 -0.874  3.064   58  0.000   58 -1.408   58 -1.480   58 0.3587   58 0.3630   58 0.0000   58  0.000  1.090 -1.408 -1.551  0.000

CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MICHIGAN               27 14  2 151 104  0.123 13.005    9  2.448    9  0.440    9  0.523    9 0.5448    8 0.5484    7 0.8125    9  2.320  1.057  0.554  0.492  0.000
OHIO STATE             26 16  0 134 106  0.177 13.670   11  2.427   11  0.426   11  0.403   10 0.5434    7 0.5564    9 0.7188   10  2.258  1.036  0.409  0.397  0.000
MIAMI OHIO             23 14  4 137 106  0.080 12.041   13  2.229   13  0.284   15  0.327   13 0.5319   12 0.5324   11 0.6562   13  2.082  1.083  0.389  0.264  0.000
MICHIGAN ST            23 17  2 136 105  0.123 13.009   16  2.161   16  0.249   13  0.364   17 0.5264   21 0.5148   19 0.4062   15  2.048  0.966  0.288  0.439  0.000
NOTRE DAME             20 15  4 108  99  0.107 12.088   17  2.135   17  0.239   17  0.219   15 0.5270   16 0.5249   13 0.6250   17  2.006  0.908  0.079  0.360  0.000
NORTHERN MICH          21 16  4 105 113 -0.006 11.262   21  1.976   21  0.123   32 -0.053   20 0.5162   24 0.5075   26 0.2500   25  1.825  0.828 -0.281  0.175  0.000
WESTERN MICHIGAN       17 18  4 123 136  0.029 11.078   30  1.789   30 -0.005   34 -0.094   30 0.5014   27 0.5040   25 0.2812   31  1.662  1.321  0.275 -0.463  0.000
ALASKA FAIRBANKS       16 19  1 117 127  0.044 10.420   34  1.718   34 -0.057   29  0.002   31 0.4969   40 0.4773   43 0.0000   33  1.620  1.367  0.433 -0.430  0.000
FERRIS STATE           15 20  3 112 126  0.026 10.955   36  1.619   36 -0.131   36 -0.143   37 0.4881   41 0.4751   33 0.0938   36  1.511  1.212  0.082 -0.368  0.000
BOWLING GREEN          11 18  9  92 112  0.071 11.689   37  1.595   38 -0.148   35 -0.137   36 0.4883   36 0.4835   40 0.0000   37  1.492  0.930 -0.254 -0.021  0.000
LAKE SUPERIOR STATE     9 20  7  72 102  0.014 10.447   44  1.350   44 -0.331   43 -0.330   43 0.4683   47 0.4595   47 0.0000   43  1.247  0.690 -0.700  0.040  0.000
NEBRASKA-OMAHA          8 26  5  91 139  0.089 12.554   46  1.231   46 -0.423   45 -0.382   45 0.4575   51 0.4404   51 0.0000   46  1.133  0.980 -0.441 -0.323  0.000

COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
BEMIDJI STATE          20 13  3 131  94 -0.166  8.169   28  1.851   28  0.040   18  0.192   28 0.5032   25 0.5070   29 0.1250   26  1.806  1.044  0.208  0.176  0.000
NIAGARA                21 15  3 124 120 -0.234  8.555   33  1.746   33 -0.039   37 -0.155   33 0.4958   32 0.5006   27 0.2500   32  1.628  1.152 -0.007 -0.303  0.000
ALABAMA-HUNTSVILLE     11 16  4  92  94 -0.305  6.516   45  1.257   45 -0.407   41 -0.315   46 0.4562   46 0.4646   46 0.0000   45  1.197  1.113 -0.216 -0.414  0.000
FINDLAY                11 22  5  95 114 -0.238  9.193   48  1.073   48 -0.550   46 -0.442   49 0.4466   49 0.4483   49 0.0000   48  1.017  0.885 -0.609 -0.276  0.000
AIR FORCE ACADEMY      14 21  2 101 131 -0.505  6.323   50  0.943   50 -0.649   52 -0.673   51 0.4331   53 0.4335   53 0.0000   50  0.877  1.161 -0.513 -0.833  0.000
WAYNE STATE MICH.       9 24  3  85 145 -0.294  8.379   51  0.863   51 -0.693   54 -0.818   53 0.4276   54 0.4269   54 0.0000   53  0.768  1.176 -0.640 -0.996  0.000
ARMY                    8 18  3  64 101 -0.919  2.590   57  0.298   57 -1.144   57 -1.290   57 0.3821   57 0.3935   57 0.0000   57  0.278  0.928 -1.408 -1.172  0.000

EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
COLGATE                22 12  5 111  80 -0.114  8.947   19  2.035   20  0.165   19  0.182   18 0.5199   20 0.5155   14 0.5938   19  1.930  0.731 -0.146  0.511  0.000
CORNELL                16 10  6  85  62 -0.104  7.467   24  1.929   24  0.082   21  0.161   22 0.5127   26 0.5043   20 0.4062   22  1.835  0.587 -0.307  0.629  0.000
RPI                    22 15  2 116  89 -0.112  9.298   25  1.919   25  0.076   23  0.116   26 0.5093   28 0.5038   28 0.1562   24  1.826  0.845 -0.094  0.325  0.000
HARVARD                18 15  3 104  94 -0.002  9.916   26  1.906   26  0.071   25  0.091   25 0.5097   23 0.5094   23 0.3438   27  1.802  1.040  0.102  0.080  0.000
DARTMOUTH              14 11  9  95  91 -0.009  9.357   27  1.888   27  0.070   30 -0.002   23 0.5107   19 0.5166   24 0.3125   28  1.768  1.033  0.001 -0.005  0.000
BROWN                  15 11  5  80  62 -0.120  7.276   29  1.806   29  0.006   27  0.060   29 0.5032   34 0.4968   35 0.0312   29  1.721  0.553 -0.440  0.560  0.000
CLARKSON UNIV (N.Y.)   18 18  5 121 113 -0.044 10.648   31  1.756   32 -0.029   28  0.013   34 0.4941   33 0.4999   32 0.0938   30  1.670  1.069  0.059 -0.032  0.000
UNION (N.Y.)           14 17  5  89 108 -0.116  9.262   39  1.581   39 -0.159   40 -0.284   41 0.4791   43 0.4710   37 0.0312   38  1.450  0.955 -0.372 -0.196  0.000
ST LAWRENCE            14 21  6 104 119 -0.038 11.383   41  1.452   41 -0.258   38 -0.191   40 0.4798   38 0.4787   36 0.0312   41  1.363  0.961 -0.272 -0.109  0.000
YALE                   12 19  0  91 134 -0.092  8.515   43  1.386   43 -0.304   48 -0.519   42 0.4689   45 0.4653   45 0.0000   44  1.239  1.475  0.067 -1.104  0.000
VERMONT                 9 22  4  85 127 -0.041  9.753   47  1.221   47 -0.432   47 -0.452   47 0.4555   50 0.4417   50 0.0000   47  1.117  1.120 -0.344 -0.560  0.000
PRINCETON               5 24  2  62 122 -0.021  8.904   54  0.801   54 -0.723   51 -0.650   52 0.4277   55 0.4172   55 0.0000   54  0.759  1.029 -0.652 -0.648  0.000

HOCKEY EAST ASSN.
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
MAINE                  33  8  3 141  69  0.285 15.348    2  3.059    2  0.897    5  0.863    2 0.5871    1 0.5988    1 1.0000    2  2.886  0.599  0.406  1.320  0.000
BOSTON COLLEGE         29  9  4 143  81  0.381 16.099    3  3.014    3  0.863    4  0.893    3 0.5847    3 0.5950    3 0.9375    3  2.853  0.861  0.701  1.086  0.000
NEW HAMPSHIRE          20 15  6 138 116  0.254 14.542   12  2.316   12  0.345   10  0.432   12 0.5335   11 0.5327   10 0.6875   12  2.174  1.231  0.681  0.183  0.000
PROVIDENCE             16 14  7 106  92  0.274 13.474   14  2.215   14  0.276   12  0.370   14 0.5274   15 0.5256   18 0.4062   14  2.077  0.915  0.237  0.502  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS          17 14  6  93  99  0.217 13.126   15  2.193   15  0.273   22  0.154   16 0.5266   17 0.5227   17 0.5000   16  2.025  0.866 -0.033  0.341  0.000
BOSTON UNIVERSITY      12 17  9 103 108  0.405 16.062   18  2.110   18  0.224   16  0.272   19 0.5195   14 0.5286   16 0.5312   18  1.992  0.996  0.232  0.313  0.000
MASSACHUSETTS-LOWELL   15 18  7 105 116  0.226 14.406   22  1.957   22  0.112   26  0.067   24 0.5097   22 0.5145   22 0.3438   23  1.832  1.032  0.069  0.065  0.000
NORTHEASTERN           11 16  7  92 103  0.287 12.860   23  1.945   23  0.098   20  0.181   27 0.5063   29 0.5026   30 0.1250   21  1.839  1.095  0.258  0.104  0.000
MERRIMACK              10 20  6  86 110  0.230 13.349   35  1.697   35 -0.071   31 -0.010   38 0.4860   35 0.4880   39 0.0000   35  1.603  1.008 -0.036  0.016  0.000

WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN.
                                                        STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI       PAIRWISE   PSUEDOPOLL
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF  H-SCR
NORTH DAKOTA           30  8  3 182  90  0.477 16.546    1  3.206    1  1.013    1  1.098    1 0.5994    2 0.5968    2 0.9688    1  3.046  1.101  1.183  1.013  0.000
MINNESOTA              27 14  3 178 127  0.549 19.728    4  2.932    4  0.806    3  0.895    4 0.5788    4 0.5790    5 0.8750    4  2.775  1.327  1.272  0.517  0.000
MINNESOTA-DULUTH       28 13  4 185 123  0.486 18.878    5  2.902    5  0.774    2  0.904    5 0.5774    5 0.5736    4 0.9062    5  2.754  1.218  1.137  0.672  0.000
DENVER                 27 12  5 149 120  0.422 18.043    6  2.848    6  0.754    6  0.645    6 0.5726    6 0.5577    6 0.8438    6  2.653  1.056  0.675  0.616  0.000
WISCONSIN              22 13  8 123  93  0.362 16.837    7  2.579    7  0.546    8  0.553    7 0.5556    9 0.5381    8 0.7812    7  2.415  0.654  0.148  0.957  0.000
COLORADO COLLEGE       20 16  3 126  98  0.400 15.783    8  2.469    8  0.458    7  0.578    8 0.5456   10 0.5331   12 0.6250    8  2.333  0.958  0.494  0.663  0.000
ST CLOUD STATE         18 16  4 113 118  0.422 16.260   10  2.436   10  0.435   14  0.356   11 0.5421   13 0.5303   15 0.5312   11  2.236  1.102  0.441  0.270  0.000
ALASKA ANCHORAGE       14 23  3 104 140  0.446 18.025   20  2.033   19  0.169   24  0.095   21 0.5149   31 0.5013   34 0.0312   20  1.878  1.044  0.111  0.080  0.000
MINNESOTA ST MANKATO   10 24  5 124 179  0.407 17.242   32  1.755   31 -0.026   33 -0.066   32 0.4963   37 0.4810   41 0.0000   34  1.618  1.543  0.619 -0.751  0.000
MICHIGAN TECH           8 25  5  97 161  0.408 17.311   38  1.593   37 -0.146   39 -0.218   35 0.4902   42 0.4744   44 0.0000   39  1.444  1.225  0.024 -0.460  0.000

CONFERENCE                        W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 204 164  43 0.549    1  0.528
HOCKEY EAST ASSN.               163 131  55 0.546    2  0.386
CENTRAL COLLEGIATE HOCKEY ASSN. 216 213  45 0.503    3  0.065
EASTERN COLLEGE ATHLETIC CONF.  179 195  52 0.481    4 -0.128
COLLEGE HOCKEY AMERICA           94 129  23 0.429    5 -0.540
ATLANTIC HOCKEY ASSN.           107 131  40 0.457    6 -0.813

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.126 points in main ratings (0.115 for semineutral)
     0.014 points in improved RPI (0.011 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 31 14:14:31 2007
games through: Sat Apr 10 2004

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