Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 5 1 0 165 151  0.274  3.444    1  0.155    1  0.165    6  0.074    1 0.6022    3  1.624    2  0.566   30 -0.417
COLTS      5 1 0 194 116  0.096  2.684    2  0.121    3  0.119    1  0.144    6 0.5369    5  1.506    3  0.453   23 -0.166
49ERS      4 2 0 125 128  0.371  3.767    3  0.119    2  0.121   10  0.056    2 0.5641   26  1.155   25 -0.116    6  0.229
EAGLES     4 2 0 142 143  0.224  3.468    4  0.102    4  0.100   12  0.033    4 0.5500   12  1.351   11  0.120   19 -0.054
RAMS       4 2 0 140 110  0.254  3.310    5  0.098    5  0.092    4  0.112    7 0.5257   27  1.137   22 -0.082    5  0.307
SEAHAWKS   4 2 0 166 117  0.246  3.259    6  0.096    6  0.090    2  0.127    3 0.5546   14  1.288   10  0.127    9  0.126
JAGUARS    4 2 0 139 120  0.198  3.282    7  0.076    7  0.086    8  0.070    5 0.5434   15  1.286   14  0.068   13  0.072
CHARGERS   4 2 0 127 125  0.025  3.000    8  0.066    8  0.070   16  0.004   15 0.5006   22  1.237   20 -0.063   14  0.071
BRONCOS    4 2 0 130  95  0.029  2.719    9  0.056    9  0.058    7  0.073   10 0.5166   30  0.932   30 -0.364    2  0.510
PACKERS    3 1 1 131 102 -0.203  1.939   10  0.041   12  0.038   14  0.024    9 0.5182   21  1.245   18 -0.033   12  0.081 P
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIONS      4 2 0 191 142 -0.125  2.457   11  0.039   10  0.042   11  0.046   11 0.5114    4  1.528    5  0.389   28 -0.298
FALCONS    3 2 0 100 100  0.046  2.572   12  0.036   11  0.041   17  0.003    8 0.5221   29  1.035   28 -0.315    4  0.322 P
BEARS      3 2 0 126 141 -0.016  2.484   13  0.034   13  0.037   19 -0.009   12 0.5081    7  1.438    7  0.201   26 -0.218 P
STEELERS   4 2 0 150 140 -0.206  2.460   14  0.033   14  0.037   21 -0.010   13 0.5072   10  1.415    9  0.168   24 -0.188
PATRIOTS   4 2 0 150 120 -0.220  2.333   15  0.021   15  0.030   15  0.022   17 0.4764   18  1.261   16 -0.014   15  0.058
BILLS      4 2 0 167 137 -0.352  2.034   16 -0.002   16  0.018   18 -0.007   23 0.4379    9  1.420    8  0.176   25 -0.190
CHIEFS     3 3 0 155 124  0.055  2.912   17 -0.015   17  0.005    5  0.075   19 0.4724   19  1.252   15  0.027   10  0.123
PANTHERS   3 3 0 132 146 -0.022  2.953   18 -0.016   18  0.005   22 -0.014   20 0.4565   16  1.278   17 -0.028   18 -0.001
VIKINGS    3 2 0 123  97 -0.363  1.713   19 -0.020   19 -0.004   20 -0.010   14 0.5060   20  1.250   19 -0.060   16  0.040 P
COMMANDERS 3 3 0 158 126 -0.024  2.710   20 -0.022   20 -0.005    9  0.061   16 0.4807   11  1.404    6  0.221   22 -0.100
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TEXANS     2 3 0 108  61  0.258  2.650   21 -0.031   21 -0.013    3  0.121   21 0.4514   32  0.708   31 -0.550    1  0.791 P
BENGALS    3 4 0 136 214 -0.113  3.580   22 -0.037   22 -0.021   31 -0.144   18 0.4757    6  1.445   13  0.076   29 -0.364
COWBOYS    2 3 1 178 184 -0.080  2.820   23 -0.046   23 -0.033   23 -0.020   22 0.4380    1  1.708    1  0.605   32 -0.646
CARDINALS  2 4 0 130 127  0.131  3.196   24 -0.058   24 -0.046   13  0.033   25 0.4186   23  1.211   21 -0.068    8  0.134
RAIDERS    2 4 0 103 149 -0.043  3.137   25 -0.059   25 -0.048   26 -0.072   24 0.4241   28  1.086   29 -0.330    7  0.186
GIANTS     2 4 0 121 144 -0.010  3.069   26 -0.062   26 -0.051   24 -0.039   26 0.4109   25  1.165   26 -0.199   11  0.121
TITANS     1 5 0  83 161  0.263  3.973   27 -0.077   27 -0.065   29 -0.097   27 0.3756   24  1.183   27 -0.235   17  0.040
RAVENS     1 5 0 144 194 -0.040  3.249   28 -0.108   28 -0.105   30 -0.099   30 0.3420    2  1.654    4  0.441   31 -0.638
SAINTS     1 5 0 111 160 -0.035  3.123   29 -0.112   29 -0.110   27 -0.073   29 0.3578   17  1.274   24 -0.091   20 -0.055
DOLPHINS   1 5 0 134 174 -0.088  3.001   30 -0.117   30 -0.117   25 -0.068   31 0.3405    8  1.421   12  0.118   27 -0.254
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BROWNS     1 5 0  82 146 -0.317  2.646   31 -0.139   31 -0.144   32 -0.150   28 0.3695   31  0.865   32 -0.660    3  0.360
JETS       0 6 0 123 170 -0.140  2.881   32 -0.174   32 -0.186   28 -0.093   32 0.3028   13  1.291   23 -0.089   21 -0.097

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   4 2 0 127 125  0.025  3.000    8  0.066    8  0.070   16  0.004   15 0.5006   22  1.237   20 -0.063   14  0.071
BRONCOS    4 2 0 130  95  0.029  2.719    9  0.056    9  0.058    7  0.073   10 0.5166   30  0.932   30 -0.364    2  0.510
CHIEFS     3 3 0 155 124  0.055  2.912   17 -0.015   17  0.005    5  0.075   19 0.4724   19  1.252   15  0.027   10  0.123
RAIDERS    2 4 0 103 149 -0.043  3.137   25 -0.059   25 -0.048   26 -0.072   24 0.4241   28  1.086   29 -0.330    7  0.186

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
COLTS      5 1 0 194 116  0.096  2.684    2  0.121    3  0.119    1  0.144    6 0.5369    5  1.506    3  0.453   23 -0.166
JAGUARS    4 2 0 139 120  0.198  3.282    7  0.076    7  0.086    8  0.070    5 0.5434   15  1.286   14  0.068   13  0.072
TEXANS     2 3 0 108  61  0.258  2.650   21 -0.031   21 -0.013    3  0.121   21 0.4514   32  0.708   31 -0.550    1  0.791 P
TITANS     1 5 0  83 161  0.263  3.973   27 -0.077   27 -0.065   29 -0.097   27 0.3756   24  1.183   27 -0.235   17  0.040

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   4 2 0 150 140 -0.206  2.460   14  0.033   14  0.037   21 -0.010   13 0.5072   10  1.415    9  0.168   24 -0.188
BENGALS    3 4 0 136 214 -0.113  3.580   22 -0.037   22 -0.021   31 -0.144   18 0.4757    6  1.445   13  0.076   29 -0.364
RAVENS     1 5 0 144 194 -0.040  3.249   28 -0.108   28 -0.105   30 -0.099   30 0.3420    2  1.654    4  0.441   31 -0.638
BROWNS     1 5 0  82 146 -0.317  2.646   31 -0.139   31 -0.144   32 -0.150   28 0.3695   31  0.865   32 -0.660    3  0.360

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PATRIOTS   4 2 0 150 120 -0.220  2.333   15  0.021   15  0.030   15  0.022   17 0.4764   18  1.261   16 -0.014   15  0.058
BILLS      4 2 0 167 137 -0.352  2.034   16 -0.002   16  0.018   18 -0.007   23 0.4379    9  1.420    8  0.176   25 -0.190
DOLPHINS   1 5 0 134 174 -0.088  3.001   30 -0.117   30 -0.117   25 -0.068   31 0.3405    8  1.421   12  0.118   27 -0.254
JETS       0 6 0 123 170 -0.140  2.881   32 -0.174   32 -0.186   28 -0.093   32 0.3028   13  1.291   23 -0.089   21 -0.097

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      4 2 0 125 128  0.371  3.767    3  0.119    2  0.121   10  0.056    2 0.5641   26  1.155   25 -0.116    6  0.229
RAMS       4 2 0 140 110  0.254  3.310    5  0.098    5  0.092    4  0.112    7 0.5257   27  1.137   22 -0.082    5  0.307
SEAHAWKS   4 2 0 166 117  0.246  3.259    6  0.096    6  0.090    2  0.127    3 0.5546   14  1.288   10  0.127    9  0.126
CARDINALS  2 4 0 130 127  0.131  3.196   24 -0.058   24 -0.046   13  0.033   25 0.4186   23  1.211   21 -0.068    8  0.134

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 5 1 0 165 151  0.274  3.444    1  0.155    1  0.165    6  0.074    1 0.6022    3  1.624    2  0.566   30 -0.417
FALCONS    3 2 0 100 100  0.046  2.572   12  0.036   11  0.041   17  0.003    8 0.5221   29  1.035   28 -0.315    4  0.322 P
PANTHERS   3 3 0 132 146 -0.022  2.953   18 -0.016   18  0.005   22 -0.014   20 0.4565   16  1.278   17 -0.028   18 -0.001
SAINTS     1 5 0 111 160 -0.035  3.123   29 -0.112   29 -0.110   27 -0.073   29 0.3578   17  1.274   24 -0.091   20 -0.055

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PACKERS    3 1 1 131 102 -0.203  1.939   10  0.041   12  0.038   14  0.024    9 0.5182   21  1.245   18 -0.033   12  0.081 P
LIONS      4 2 0 191 142 -0.125  2.457   11  0.039   10  0.042   11  0.046   11 0.5114    4  1.528    5  0.389   28 -0.298
BEARS      3 2 0 126 141 -0.016  2.484   13  0.034   13  0.037   19 -0.009   12 0.5081    7  1.438    7  0.201   26 -0.218 P
VIKINGS    3 2 0 123  97 -0.363  1.713   19 -0.020   19 -0.004   20 -0.010   14 0.5060   20  1.250   19 -0.060   16  0.040 P

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
EAGLES     4 2 0 142 143  0.224  3.468    4  0.102    4  0.100   12  0.033    4 0.5500   12  1.351   11  0.120   19 -0.054
COMMANDERS 3 3 0 158 126 -0.024  2.710   20 -0.022   20 -0.005    9  0.061   16 0.4807   11  1.404    6  0.221   22 -0.100
COWBOYS    2 3 1 178 184 -0.080  2.820   23 -0.046   23 -0.033   23 -0.020   22 0.4380    1  1.708    1  0.605   32 -0.646
GIANTS     2 4 0 121 144 -0.010  3.069   26 -0.062   26 -0.051   24 -0.039   26 0.4109   25  1.165   26 -0.199   11  0.121

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC WEST   14 10  0 0.583    1  0.469
AFC SOUTH  12 11  0 0.522    2  0.367
AFC WEST   13 11  0 0.542    3  0.103
NFC NORTH  13  7  1 0.643    4  0.044
NFC EAST   11 12  1 0.479    5  0.017
NFC SOUTH  12 11  0 0.522    6 -0.050
AFC EAST    9 15  0 0.375    7 -0.269
AFC NORTH   9 16  0 0.360    8 -0.598

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.024 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Oct 17 05:30:15 2025
games through: Thu Oct 16 2025

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