Dolphin Ratings - National Hockey League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             58 26 284 195  0.001 41.450    1  0.305    1  0.321    1  0.319    1 0.5456   29  0.921   10  0.149    1  0.490
MAPLE LEAFS      54 30 277 235 -0.000 41.752    2  0.237    2  0.238    9  0.133    2 0.5344   16  1.083    9  0.151   12  0.115
CAPITALS         52 31 291 234 -0.005 41.009    3  0.215    3  0.206    4  0.188    3 0.5300   10  1.140    2  0.277   14  0.100
STARS            51 33 282 232 -0.003 41.541    4  0.187    4  0.176    5  0.185    5 0.5253   14  1.091    6  0.212    8  0.157
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   51 33 281 226 -0.006 41.404    5  0.187    5  0.175    3  0.215    4 0.5256   17  1.070    5  0.219    4  0.212
AVALANCHE        50 34 285 239  0.005 41.874    6  0.169    6  0.161    7  0.158    6 0.5234    7  1.147    3  0.256   15  0.060
KINGS            49 34 256 211 -0.008 40.939    7  0.147    7  0.142    6  0.162    7 0.5209   31  0.920   17 -0.010    2  0.333
HURRICANES       49 35 273 235  0.002 41.812    8  0.143    8  0.140    8  0.138    8 0.5198   15  1.083    8  0.156   11  0.119
PANTHERS         48 35 258 225  0.008 41.552    9  0.136    9  0.135   10  0.111    9 0.5194   26  0.983   14  0.011    5  0.210
OILERS           48 35 264 242 -0.002 41.293   10  0.127   10  0.130   12  0.067   10 0.5184   13  1.091   12  0.095   16  0.038
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIGHTNING        47 36 296 225  0.002 41.113   11  0.106   11  0.109    2  0.260   11 0.5164   11  1.136    1  0.343    7  0.176
WILD             46 38 235 245  0.008 42.328   12  0.072   12  0.086   17 -0.030   12 0.5121   28  0.944   26 -0.175   13  0.115
SENATORS         45 39 247 243  0.006 42.134   13  0.048   13  0.062   14  0.030   13 0.5094   27  0.972   20 -0.083    9  0.143
BLUES            44 40 258 240  0.014 42.299   14  0.036   14  0.048   11  0.072   14 0.5072   22  1.020   13  0.016   10  0.129
DEVILS           42 42 244 229  0.007 42.119   15  0.003   15  0.002   13  0.065   15 0.5008   30  0.921   23 -0.105    3  0.236
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.011 40.703   16 -0.004   16 -0.006   18 -0.034   16 0.4987   32  0.885   29 -0.245    6  0.177
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268  0.000 41.012   17 -0.013   17 -0.020   16 -0.009   17 0.4971    2  1.226    7  0.189   27 -0.207
CANADIENS        40 43 247 268  0.006 41.764   18 -0.018   18 -0.025   20 -0.042   18 0.4967   12  1.096   16 -0.007   22 -0.076
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.004 41.256   19 -0.028   19 -0.038   22 -0.074   19 0.4946   18  1.058   21 -0.085   20 -0.063
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.002 40.879   20 -0.029   20 -0.042   15  0.028   20 0.4939    8  1.142   11  0.119   21 -0.064
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.001 41.108   21 -0.046   21 -0.060   19 -0.039   21 0.4913   21  1.036   19 -0.077   18 -0.001
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.011 40.742   22 -0.054   22 -0.067   21 -0.053   22 0.4899   23  1.013   24 -0.118   17  0.011
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.002 41.048   23 -0.094   23 -0.102   23 -0.084   23 0.4853    1  1.323    4  0.244   31 -0.412
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.002 41.342   24 -0.118   24 -0.120   27 -0.162   24 0.4826   24  0.996   30 -0.247   23 -0.077
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.004 41.062   25 -0.121   25 -0.123   25 -0.126   25 0.4820   25  0.995   28 -0.213   19 -0.040
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.007 40.942   26 -0.126   26 -0.128   24 -0.104   26 0.4816    6  1.148   15 -0.006   26 -0.203
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.000 41.278   27 -0.147   27 -0.142   29 -0.197   27 0.4792    3  1.195   18 -0.039   29 -0.355
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.007 41.468   28 -0.165   28 -0.159   26 -0.157   28 0.4772   19  1.038   27 -0.193   24 -0.121
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.002 41.246   29 -0.171   29 -0.163   28 -0.194   29 0.4763    9  1.142   22 -0.103   28 -0.285
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.003 41.505   30 -0.228   30 -0.221   30 -0.235   30 0.4679   20  1.037   32 -0.272   25 -0.198
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.003 41.315   31 -0.311   31 -0.327   31 -0.256   31 0.4528    4  1.172   25 -0.126   30 -0.385
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.004 41.489   32 -0.445   32 -0.435   32 -0.377   32 0.4380    5  1.154   31 -0.271   32 -0.483

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GOLDEN KNIGHTS   51 33 281 226 -0.006 41.404    5  0.187    5  0.175    3  0.215    4 0.5256   17  1.070    5  0.219    4  0.212
KINGS            49 34 256 211 -0.008 40.939    7  0.147    7  0.142    6  0.162    7 0.5209   31  0.920   17 -0.010    2  0.333
OILERS           48 35 264 242 -0.002 41.293   10  0.127   10  0.130   12  0.067   10 0.5184   13  1.091   12  0.095   16  0.038
FLAMES           41 41 225 238 -0.011 40.703   16 -0.004   16 -0.006   18 -0.034   16 0.4987   32  0.885   29 -0.245    6  0.177
CANUCKS          38 44 236 253 -0.011 40.742   22 -0.054   22 -0.067   21 -0.053   22 0.4899   23  1.013   24 -0.118   17  0.011
DUCKS            35 47 221 263  0.002 41.342   24 -0.118   24 -0.120   27 -0.162   24 0.4826   24  0.996   30 -0.247   23 -0.077
KRAKEN           35 47 247 265 -0.007 40.942   26 -0.126   26 -0.128   24 -0.104   26 0.4816    6  1.148   15 -0.006   26 -0.203
SHARKS           20 62 210 315 -0.004 41.489   32 -0.445   32 -0.435   32 -0.377   32 0.4380    5  1.154   31 -0.271   32 -0.483

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JETS             58 26 284 195  0.001 41.450    1  0.305    1  0.321    1  0.319    1 0.5456   29  0.921   10  0.149    1  0.490
STARS            51 33 282 232 -0.003 41.541    4  0.187    4  0.176    5  0.185    5 0.5253   14  1.091    6  0.212    8  0.157
AVALANCHE        50 34 285 239  0.005 41.874    6  0.169    6  0.161    7  0.158    6 0.5234    7  1.147    3  0.256   15  0.060
WILD             46 38 235 245  0.008 42.328   12  0.072   12  0.086   17 -0.030   12 0.5121   28  0.944   26 -0.175   13  0.115
BLUES            44 40 258 240  0.014 42.299   14  0.036   14  0.048   11  0.072   14 0.5072   22  1.020   13  0.016   10  0.129
UTAH HOCKEY CLUB 38 44 241 251  0.001 41.108   21 -0.046   21 -0.060   19 -0.039   21 0.4913   21  1.036   19 -0.077   18 -0.001
PREDATORS        30 52 214 274  0.003 41.505   30 -0.228   30 -0.221   30 -0.235   30 0.4679   20  1.037   32 -0.272   25 -0.198
BLACKHAWKS       25 57 226 296 -0.003 41.315   31 -0.311   31 -0.327   31 -0.256   31 0.4528    4  1.172   25 -0.126   30 -0.385

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CAPITALS         52 31 291 234 -0.005 41.009    3  0.215    3  0.206    4  0.188    3 0.5300   10  1.140    2  0.277   14  0.100
HURRICANES       49 35 273 235  0.002 41.812    8  0.143    8  0.140    8  0.138    8 0.5198   15  1.083    8  0.156   11  0.119
DEVILS           42 42 244 229  0.007 42.119   15  0.003   15  0.002   13  0.065   15 0.5008   30  0.921   23 -0.105    3  0.236
BLUE JACKETS     40 42 273 268  0.000 41.012   17 -0.013   17 -0.020   16 -0.009   17 0.4971    2  1.226    7  0.189   27 -0.207
RANGERS          39 43 256 255 -0.002 40.879   20 -0.029   20 -0.042   15  0.028   20 0.4939    8  1.142   11  0.119   21 -0.064
ISLANDERS        35 47 224 260 -0.004 41.062   25 -0.121   25 -0.123   25 -0.126   25 0.4820   25  0.995   28 -0.213   19 -0.040
PENGUINS         34 48 243 293 -0.000 41.278   27 -0.147   27 -0.142   29 -0.197   27 0.4792    3  1.195   18 -0.039   29 -0.355
FLYERS           33 49 238 286 -0.002 41.246   29 -0.171   29 -0.163   28 -0.194   29 0.4763    9  1.142   22 -0.103   28 -0.285

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM              W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MAPLE LEAFS      54 30 277 235 -0.000 41.752    2  0.237    2  0.238    9  0.133    2 0.5344   16  1.083    9  0.151   12  0.115
PANTHERS         48 35 258 225  0.008 41.552    9  0.136    9  0.135   10  0.111    9 0.5194   26  0.983   14  0.011    5  0.210
LIGHTNING        47 36 296 225  0.002 41.113   11  0.106   11  0.109    2  0.260   11 0.5164   11  1.136    1  0.343    7  0.176
SENATORS         45 39 247 243  0.006 42.134   13  0.048   13  0.062   14  0.030   13 0.5094   27  0.972   20 -0.083    9  0.143
CANADIENS        40 43 247 268  0.006 41.764   18 -0.018   18 -0.025   20 -0.042   18 0.4967   12  1.096   16 -0.007   22 -0.076
RED WINGS        39 43 238 259  0.004 41.256   19 -0.028   19 -0.038   22 -0.074   19 0.4946   18  1.058   21 -0.085   20 -0.063
SABRES           36 46 269 289 -0.002 41.048   23 -0.094   23 -0.102   23 -0.084   23 0.4853    1  1.323    4  0.244   31 -0.412
BRUINS           33 49 222 272  0.007 41.468   28 -0.165   28 -0.159   26 -0.157   28 0.4772   19  1.038   27 -0.193   24 -0.121

DIVISION                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
ATLANTIC DIVISION     342 321 0.516    1  0.029
CENTRAL DIVISION      342 324 0.514    2  0.029
METROPOLITAN DIVISION 324 337 0.490    3 -0.018
PACIFIC DIVISION      317 343 0.480    4 -0.047

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.136 points in main ratings (0.079 for semineutral)
     0.015 points in improved RPI (0.008 for semineutral)
Average of 1.00 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Apr 23 05:30:09 2025
games through: Tue Apr 22 2025

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