Biggest Surprise: Syracuse to Final Four (1.60%)

Syracuse's tournament run was the result of several unlikely occurances. At the start of the tournament, they had a 1.60% chance of winning the region. What happened?

  1. The favorite in their region (Michigan State) was upset in the first round by Middle Tennessee (a 4.7% probability). This increased Syracuse's odds of making the final four to 11.6%, which increased to 13.0% after no upsets of significance in the second round.
  2. Syracuse and Gonzaga in the sweet sixteen were a near-even match. My ratings favored Gonzaga slightly (59%), but Syracuse won and increased their chance of reaching the final four to 25.8%.
  3. Syracuse was a heavy underdog to Virginia in the elite eight (25.8% chance of winning) but came back from 16 points down to win.

Number of Upsets

Are there more upsets in the NCAA tournament than if these were just regular season games? For this analysis, "upset" is defined by a team with less than 50% chance (as calculated below) winning its game (generally the same as the betting underdog) rather than based on committee seeding. (Counting by seeds, there would have been two additional upsets than the numbers below report.)

  1. First Four: 1.6 predicted, 1 actual
  2. First Round: 7.9 predicted, 10 actual
  3. Second Round: 5.3 predicted, 4 actual
  4. Sweet Sixteen: 3.2 predicted, 2 actual
  5. Elite Eight: 1.4 predicted, 2 actual
  6. Final Four: 0.7 predicted, 0 actual
  7. Championship: 0.5 predicted, 0 actual
  8. Grand Total: 20.6 predicted, 19 actual
For this tournament, the number of upsets was less than the expected number of upsets by 1.6, which translates to a 0.4-sigma result (36th percentile on a bell curve).


Odds of Advancing to Round, April 3

Champion
*54.22% VILLANOVA
 45.78% NORTH CAROLINA


Odds of Advancing to Round, March 28

Finals Champion
*72.05% NORTH CAROLINA
*58.91% VILLANOVA
 41.09% OKLAHOMA
 27.95% SYRACUSE
 39.18% NORTH CAROLINA
*32.68% VILLANOVA
 19.23% OKLAHOMA
  8.91% SYRACUSE


Odds of Advancing to Round, March 26

Final Four Finals Champion
*77.95% NORTH CAROLINA
 74.22% VIRGINIA
 55.11% KANSAS
*51.46% OKLAHOMA
 48.54% OREGON
*44.89% VILLANOVA
*25.78% SYRACUSE
 22.05% NOTRE DAME
*43.01% NORTH CAROLINA
 42.47% VIRGINIA
 35.82% KANSAS
*27.00% VILLANOVA
 19.49% OKLAHOMA
 17.70% OREGON
  8.54% SYRACUSE
  5.98% NOTRE DAME
 22.98% VIRGINIA
 22.80% NORTH CAROLINA
 20.44% KANSAS
*14.07% VILLANOVA
  8.36% OKLAHOMA
  7.35% OREGON
  2.52% SYRACUSE
  1.48% NOTRE DAME


Odds of Advancing to Round, March 21

Elite Eight Final Four Finals Champion
*72.95% KANSAS
*68.67% VIRGINIA
*61.81% VILLANOVA
*59.14% NORTH CAROLINA
 58.64% GONZAGA
*53.62% OREGON
 52.93% WISCONSIN
*51.23% OKLAHOMA
 48.77% TEXAS A&M
*47.07% NOTRE DAME
 46.38% DUKE
*41.36% SYRACUSE
 40.86% INDIANA
 38.19% MIAMI (FL)
 31.33% IOWA STATE
 27.05% MARYLAND
 47.82% VIRGINIA
*45.06% NORTH CAROLINA
 44.37% KANSAS
*30.88% VILLANOVA
 27.99% INDIANA
*27.17% OKLAHOMA
 26.41% OREGON
 25.27% TEXAS A&M
 23.11% GONZAGA
 21.16% DUKE
 16.04% IOWA STATE
 14.87% WISCONSIN
 14.73% MIAMI (FL)
*13.03% SYRACUSE
 12.09% NOTRE DAME
 10.02% MARYLAND
 29.53% KANSAS
 29.19% VIRGINIA
*26.35% NORTH CAROLINA
*18.66% VILLANOVA
 13.89% INDIANA
 11.41% OKLAHOMA
 10.75% OREGON
 10.37% GONZAGA
 10.32% TEXAS A&M
  7.89% DUKE
  7.15% MIAMI (FL)
  6.84% IOWA STATE
  4.90% WISCONSIN
  4.79% SYRACUSE
  4.28% MARYLAND
  3.67% NOTRE DAME
 17.91% KANSAS
 16.88% VIRGINIA
 14.84% NORTH CAROLINA
*10.16% VILLANOVA
  6.57% INDIANA
  5.24% OKLAHOMA
  4.80% OREGON
  4.61% TEXAS A&M
  4.28% GONZAGA
  3.25% DUKE
  3.07% MIAMI (FL)
  2.67% IOWA STATE
  1.60% MARYLAND
  1.59% SYRACUSE
  1.50% WISCONSIN
  1.04% NOTRE DAME


Odds of Advancing to Round, March 19

Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Finals Champion
*80.73% NORTH CAROLINA
*78.06% SYRACUSE
*77.82% TEXAS A&M
*75.08% VIRGINIA
*72.93% KANSAS
*70.16% OREGON
*68.35% IOWA STATE
*67.43% MARYLAND
*67.42% OKLAHOMA
*66.89% VILLANOVA
*66.81% DUKE
 61.23% XAVIER
 57.29% KENTUCKY
 55.11% WICHITA ST
 53.91% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
*52.92% GONZAGA
 47.08% UTAH
*46.09% NOTRE DAME
*44.89% MIAMI (FL)
*42.71% INDIANA
*38.77% WISCONSIN
 33.19% YALE
 33.11% IOWA
 32.58% VCU
 32.57% HAWAII
 31.65% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
 29.84% SAINT JOSEPH'S
 27.07% CONNECTICUT
 24.92% BUTLER
 22.18% NORTHERN IOWA
 21.94% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
 19.27% PROVIDENCE
*56.37% KANSAS
*55.84% VIRGINIA
*44.35% NORTH CAROLINA
 42.87% TEXAS A&M
*42.12% OREGON
*39.12% VILLANOVA
*38.25% OKLAHOMA
 37.33% XAVIER
 34.42% DUKE
*33.91% SYRACUSE
 33.61% GONZAGA
 31.05% KENTUCKY
 28.66% UTAH
 27.27% WICHITA ST
 25.03% IOWA STATE
 24.34% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
 22.24% MARYLAND
 20.18% INDIANA
 19.96% MIAMI (FL)
 19.28% WISCONSIN
*19.04% NOTRE DAME
 15.16% CONNECTICUT
 13.65% IOWA
 12.94% VCU
 12.39% BUTLER
 11.82% SAINT JOSEPH'S
 11.63% YALE
  6.73% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  6.23% HAWAII
  5.93% NORTHERN IOWA
  4.42% PROVIDENCE
  3.82% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
 40.90% VIRGINIA
 35.94% KANSAS
*31.63% NORTH CAROLINA
 24.36% TEXAS A&M
 22.40% OREGON
*21.96% OKLAHOMA
 21.66% KENTUCKY
*20.97% VILLANOVA
 16.75% DUKE
 14.38% XAVIER
 13.93% GONZAGA
 13.58% IOWA STATE
 13.01% WICHITA ST
 12.74% INDIANA
*11.62% SYRACUSE
 11.11% UTAH
  8.84% MARYLAND
  8.57% MIAMI (FL)
  7.33% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  6.07% CONNECTICUT
  5.96% BUTLER
  5.47% WISCONSIN
  5.17% VCU
  5.11% IOWA
  5.11% NOTRE DAME
  3.92% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  3.76% YALE
  2.41% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  1.70% PROVIDENCE
  1.67% NORTHERN IOWA
  1.49% HAWAII
  0.49% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
 24.92% VIRGINIA
 24.33% KANSAS
*19.38% NORTH CAROLINA
 12.90% KENTUCKY
*12.68% VILLANOVA
 11.20% TEXAS A&M
 10.23% OKLAHOMA
 10.21% OREGON
  7.08% WICHITA ST
  6.89% DUKE
  6.71% INDIANA
  6.68% XAVIER
  5.79% GONZAGA
  5.57% IOWA STATE
  4.31% UTAH
  4.23% MIAMI (FL)
  3.98% SYRACUSE
  3.90% MARYLAND
  2.77% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  2.70% CONNECTICUT
  2.22% IOWA
  2.10% BUTLER
  1.96% WISCONSIN
  1.75% NOTRE DAME
  1.55% VCU
  1.05% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  0.98% YALE
  0.59% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.50% PROVIDENCE
  0.41% HAWAII
  0.34% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.06% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
 15.00% VIRGINIA
 14.99% KANSAS
 11.23% NORTH CAROLINA
  7.25% KENTUCKY
 *6.88% VILLANOVA
  5.32% TEXAS A&M
  4.92% OKLAHOMA
  4.81% OREGON
  3.41% WICHITA ST
  3.29% INDIANA
  2.94% DUKE
  2.86% XAVIER
  2.36% GONZAGA
  2.24% IOWA STATE
  1.83% MIAMI (FL)
  1.64% UTAH
  1.49% MARYLAND
  1.33% SYRACUSE
  1.04% CONNECTICUT
  0.95% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  0.84% IOWA
  0.72% BUTLER
  0.63% WISCONSIN
  0.54% NOTRE DAME
  0.49% VCU
  0.29% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  0.27% YALE
  0.14% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.13% PROVIDENCE
  0.10% HAWAII
  0.07% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.01% MIDDLE TENNESSEE


Odds of Advancing to Round, March 16

Second Round Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Finals Champion
*98.83% VIRGINIA
*98.60% KANSAS
*98.18% OREGON
*96.72% NORTH CAROLINA
 95.39% MICHIGAN STATE
*90.60% VILLANOVA
*88.74% XAVIER
*88.71% MIAMI (FL)
*88.68% KENTUCKY
*88.16% TEXAS A&M
*87.35% OKLAHOMA
*86.34% INDIANA
 80.00% PURDUE
*79.82% DUKE
*78.93% IOWA STATE
*78.26% UTAH
*78.00% MARYLAND
*75.89% IOWA
 75.15% WEST VIRGINIA
 70.54% CALIFORNIA
 68.85% TEXAS
 65.23% BAYLOR
*64.19% CONNECTICUT
*59.55% VCU
 57.44% CINCINNATI
*56.54% SYRACUSE
*55.78% BUTLER
 53.77% ARIZONA
 52.24% USC
*51.87% GONZAGA
*50.68% NOTRE DAME
 50.14% PITTSBURGH
*49.86% WISCONSIN
 49.32% MICHIGAN
 48.13% SETON HALL
*47.76% PROVIDENCE
*46.23% WICHITA ST
 44.22% TEXAS TECH
 43.46% DAYTON
*42.56% SAINT JOSEPH'S
 40.45% OREGON STATE
 35.81% COLORADO
*34.77% YALE
*31.15% NORTHERN IOWA
*29.46% HAWAII
*24.85% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
 24.11% TEMPLE
 22.00% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
 21.74% FRESNO STATE
 21.07% IONA
 20.18% UNC WILMINGTON
*20.00% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
 13.66% CHATTANOOGA
 12.65% CSU BAKERSFIELD
 11.84% GREEN BAY
 11.32% STONY BROOK
 11.29% BUFFALO
 11.26% WEBER STATE
  9.40% UNC ASHEVILLE
* 4.61% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  3.28% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  1.82% HOLY CROSS
  1.40% AUSTIN PEAY
  1.17% HAMPTON
 78.70% MICHIGAN STATE
*78.38% NORTH CAROLINA
*77.17% KANSAS
*76.18% VIRGINIA
*63.98% OREGON
*63.12% OKLAHOMA
*62.28% VILLANOVA
*58.84% TEXAS A&M
 57.36% WEST VIRGINIA
 54.04% KENTUCKY
 53.84% XAVIER
 53.16% PURDUE
*47.12% DUKE
*44.39% MIAMI (FL)
*44.11% MARYLAND
*41.71% INDIANA
 39.69% UTAH
 39.27% CALIFORNIA
*35.74% IOWA STATE
 34.15% BAYLOR
 31.05% IOWA
 30.10% ARIZONA
 30.01% TEXAS
*29.21% GONZAGA
 26.25% SETON HALL
 24.23% WICHITA ST
 22.31% CINCINNATI
 22.20% PITTSBURGH
*22.01% WISCONSIN
 21.68% VCU
 16.89% CONNECTICUT
*15.27% NOTRE DAME
 14.59% MICHIGAN
 14.32% BUTLER
 13.63% SAINT JOSEPH'S
 13.13% YALE
 12.78% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
*12.49% SYRACUSE
 11.50% OREGON STATE
 11.39% USC
 10.47% HAWAII
  9.69% PROVIDENCE
  9.42% TEXAS TECH
  8.36% NORTHERN IOWA
  7.76% DAYTON
  7.08% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  6.16% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  5.82% COLORADO
  5.59% UNC WILMINGTON
  4.85% FRESNO STATE
  4.59% TEMPLE
  4.02% IONA
  3.70% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  2.79% GREEN BAY
  2.24% STONY BROOK
  2.08% UNC ASHEVILLE
  2.01% CHATTANOOGA
  1.95% WEBER STATE
  1.28% BUFFALO
  1.05% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.55% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.12% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.08% HOLY CROSS
  0.08% HAMPTON
 59.60% MICHIGAN STATE
*58.95% KANSAS
*49.02% VIRGINIA
*46.38% NORTH CAROLINA
 39.71% WEST VIRGINIA
*37.98% OKLAHOMA
*37.05% OREGON
*36.40% VILLANOVA
 32.57% TEXAS A&M
 28.15% KENTUCKY
 26.30% PURDUE
 25.46% XAVIER
 24.91% DUKE
 21.71% MIAMI (FL)
 19.22% INDIANA
 16.76% BAYLOR
 15.22% ARIZONA
 14.55% MARYLAND
 13.93% IOWA
 13.89% IOWA STATE
 13.31% TEXAS
 13.16% UTAH
 12.78% CALIFORNIA
 11.37% WICHITA ST
 10.23% CINCINNATI
  9.74% GONZAGA
  8.93% VCU
  8.93% CONNECTICUT
  8.34% SETON HALL
  8.31% PITTSBURGH
  8.21% WISCONSIN
* 6.46% NOTRE DAME
  6.08% MICHIGAN
  5.55% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  5.54% BUTLER
* 5.46% SYRACUSE
  5.28% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  4.49% YALE
  3.74% OREGON STATE
  3.16% TEXAS TECH
  3.13% USC
  2.90% DAYTON
  2.49% PROVIDENCE
  2.27% NORTHERN IOWA
  2.26% COLORADO
  1.77% HAWAII
  1.48% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  1.27% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.94% TEMPLE
  0.75% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.74% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.61% FRESNO STATE
  0.60% IONA
  0.46% GREEN BAY
  0.32% STONY BROOK
  0.29% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.27% CHATTANOOGA
  0.22% WEBER STATE
  0.18% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.15% BUFFALO
  0.03% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.01% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
 39.60% KANSAS
 36.92% MICHIGAN STATE
*30.15% NORTH CAROLINA
 27.68% VIRGINIA
*22.48% OKLAHOMA
 20.97% WEST VIRGINIA
 19.68% OREGON
 18.19% TEXAS A&M
*18.08% VILLANOVA
 17.02% KENTUCKY
 13.06% PURDUE
 12.61% DUKE
 10.45% INDIANA
  9.81% XAVIER
  9.15% MIAMI (FL)
  7.86% BAYLOR
  6.65% ARIZONA
  6.25% MARYLAND
  5.91% TEXAS
  5.45% IOWA STATE
  5.43% CALIFORNIA
  5.15% IOWA
  4.86% UTAH
  4.58% WICHITA ST
  4.21% CINCINNATI
  3.72% CONNECTICUT
  3.61% GONZAGA
  3.56% VCU
  2.95% SETON HALL
  2.41% PITTSBURGH
  2.37% WISCONSIN
  1.81% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  1.77% BUTLER
  1.73% NOTRE DAME
* 1.62% SYRACUSE
  1.59% MICHIGAN
  1.54% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  1.45% YALE
  1.16% OREGON STATE
  1.04% USC
  0.86% TEXAS TECH
  0.78% PROVIDENCE
  0.71% DAYTON
  0.65% COLORADO
  0.61% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.42% HAWAII
  0.32% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.27% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.15% TEMPLE
  0.14% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.13% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.09% IONA
  0.09% FRESNO STATE
  0.07% GREEN BAY
  0.06% STONY BROOK
  0.05% CHATTANOOGA
  0.03% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.02% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.02% WEBER STATE
  0.01% BUFFALO
  0.00% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.00% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
  0.00% HAMPTON
 27.77% KANSAS
 22.85% MICHIGAN STATE
*16.37% NORTH CAROLINA
 15.89% VIRGINIA
 10.80% WEST VIRGINIA
*10.76% VILLANOVA
 10.67% OKLAHOMA
  8.59% OREGON
  8.41% KENTUCKY
  8.03% TEXAS A&M
  6.57% PURDUE
  5.20% DUKE
  4.73% MIAMI (FL)
  4.52% INDIANA
  3.68% XAVIER
  3.55% ARIZONA
  2.96% BAYLOR
  2.90% MARYLAND
  2.49% CALIFORNIA
  2.38% IOWA
  2.27% WICHITA ST
  2.15% IOWA STATE
  1.98% TEXAS
  1.78% UTAH
  1.68% CONNECTICUT
  1.36% CINCINNATI
  1.33% GONZAGA
  1.05% VCU
  1.04% SETON HALL
  0.68% PITTSBURGH
  0.67% WISCONSIN
  0.56% BUTLER
  0.48% SYRACUSE
  0.47% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  0.45% NOTRE DAME
  0.41% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  0.41% MICHIGAN
  0.36% YALE
  0.25% OREGON STATE
  0.25% USC
  0.23% TEXAS TECH
  0.20% COLORADO
  0.17% PROVIDENCE
  0.17% DAYTON
  0.11% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.11% HAWAII
  0.07% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.04% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.03% TEMPLE
  0.03% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.02% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.01% IONA
  0.01% FRESNO STATE
  0.01% STONY BROOK
  0.01% GREEN BAY
  0.01% CHATTANOOGA
  0.00% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.00% BUFFALO
  0.00% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.00% WEBER STATE
  0.00% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.00% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
 16.27% KANSAS
 14.45% MICHIGAN STATE
  9.65% NORTH CAROLINA
  9.34% VIRGINIA
  6.08% WEST VIRGINIA
 *5.09% VILLANOVA
  4.74% OKLAHOMA
  4.56% KENTUCKY
  3.49% OREGON
  3.41% PURDUE
  3.30% TEXAS A&M
  2.17% INDIANA
  1.99% DUKE
  1.87% MIAMI (FL)
  1.55% XAVIER
  1.46% ARIZONA
  1.03% BAYLOR
  1.00% MARYLAND
  0.88% IOWA STATE
  0.86% WICHITA ST
  0.85% CALIFORNIA
  0.82% IOWA
  0.68% UTAH
  0.60% TEXAS
  0.56% CONNECTICUT
  0.51% GONZAGA
  0.40% CINCINNATI
  0.38% SETON HALL
  0.28% VCU
  0.22% PITTSBURGH
  0.21% WISCONSIN
  0.19% BUTLER
  0.15% SYRACUSE
  0.13% NOTRE DAME
  0.13% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  0.12% MICHIGAN
  0.11% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  0.08% YALE
  0.07% USC
  0.07% TEXAS TECH
  0.05% OREGON STATE
  0.04% PROVIDENCE
  0.04% COLORADO
  0.04% DAYTON
  0.02% HAWAII
  0.02% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.01% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.01% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.00% TEMPLE
  0.00% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.00% IONA
  0.00% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.00% FRESNO STATE
  0.00% STONY BROOK
  0.00% CHATTANOOGA
  0.00% GREEN BAY
  0.00% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.00% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.00% BUFFALO
  0.00% WEBER STATE
  0.00% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.00% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS


Odds of Advancing to Round, March 14

First Round Second Round Sweet Sixteen Elite Eight Final Four Finals Champion
*72.13% FLORIDA GULF COAST
 59.10% SOUTHERN
*58.42% MICHIGAN
*51.28% WICHITA ST
 48.72% VANDERBILT
 41.58% TULSA
*40.90% HOLY CROSS
 27.87% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
*98.82% VIRGINIA
*98.59% KANSAS
*97.44% OREGON
*97.36% NORTH CAROLINA
 95.35% MICHIGAN STATE
*90.44% VILLANOVA
*88.68% KENTUCKY
*88.67% XAVIER
*88.55% MIAMI (FL)
*88.02% TEXAS A&M
*87.45% OKLAHOMA
*86.32% INDIANA
 79.95% PURDUE
*79.79% DUKE
*78.91% IOWA STATE
*78.58% UTAH
*77.79% MARYLAND
*75.71% IOWA
 75.10% WEST VIRGINIA
 70.69% CALIFORNIA
 68.86% TEXAS
 65.17% BAYLOR
*64.38% CONNECTICUT
*59.78% VCU
 57.41% CINCINNATI
*56.05% SYRACUSE
*55.60% BUTLER
 54.44% ARIZONA
*54.05% NOTRE DAME
 52.51% USC
*52.28% GONZAGA
*50.01% WISCONSIN
 49.99% PITTSBURGH
 47.72% SETON HALL
*47.49% PROVIDENCE
 44.40% TEXAS TECH
 43.95% DAYTON
*42.59% SAINT JOSEPH'S
 40.22% OREGON STATE
 35.62% COLORADO
*34.83% YALE
*31.14% NORTHERN IOWA
*29.31% HAWAII
 28.88% MICHIGAN
*24.90% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
 24.29% TEMPLE
*23.68% WICHITA ST
 22.21% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
 21.88% VANDERBILT
 21.42% FRESNO STATE
 21.09% IONA
 20.21% UNC WILMINGTON
*20.05% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
 17.07% TULSA
 13.68% CHATTANOOGA
 12.55% CSU BAKERSFIELD
 11.98% GREEN BAY
 11.45% BUFFALO
 11.33% WEBER STATE
 11.32% STONY BROOK
  9.56% UNC ASHEVILLE
* 4.65% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  2.42% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  1.82% SOUTHERN
  1.41% AUSTIN PEAY
  1.18% HAMPTON
  0.73% HOLY CROSS
  0.22% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
*78.89% NORTH CAROLINA
 78.60% MICHIGAN STATE
*77.00% KANSAS
*76.15% VIRGINIA
*63.33% OREGON
*63.02% OKLAHOMA
*62.06% VILLANOVA
*58.66% TEXAS A&M
 58.12% WEST VIRGINIA
 54.00% KENTUCKY
 53.74% XAVIER
 53.09% PURDUE
*47.03% DUKE
*44.36% MIAMI (FL)
*43.91% MARYLAND
*41.75% INDIANA
 39.94% UTAH
 39.44% CALIFORNIA
*35.77% IOWA STATE
 34.18% BAYLOR
 31.13% IOWA
 30.61% ARIZONA
 30.11% TEXAS
*29.46% GONZAGA
 25.87% SETON HALL
 22.62% CINCINNATI
*22.15% WISCONSIN
 22.14% PITTSBURGH
 21.91% VCU
 17.08% CONNECTICUT
*16.23% NOTRE DAME
 14.26% BUTLER
 13.89% SAINT JOSEPH'S
 13.20% YALE
 13.19% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
 12.46% WICHITA ST
*12.36% SYRACUSE
 11.45% OREGON STATE
 11.28% USC
 11.25% VANDERBILT
 10.40% HAWAII
  9.52% TEXAS TECH
  9.40% PROVIDENCE
  8.54% MICHIGAN
  8.39% NORTHERN IOWA
  7.97% DAYTON
  7.10% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  6.25% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  5.81% COLORADO
  5.59% UNC WILMINGTON
  4.73% FRESNO STATE
  4.69% TEMPLE
  4.04% IONA
  3.92% TULSA
  3.63% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  2.84% GREEN BAY
  2.24% STONY BROOK
  2.13% UNC ASHEVILLE
  2.01% CHATTANOOGA
  1.97% WEBER STATE
  1.32% BUFFALO
  1.06% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.41% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.13% SOUTHERN
  0.12% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.08% HAMPTON
  0.03% HOLY CROSS
  0.01% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
 59.47% MICHIGAN STATE
*58.82% KANSAS
*48.91% VIRGINIA
*46.65% NORTH CAROLINA
 40.30% WEST VIRGINIA
*37.96% OKLAHOMA
*36.80% OREGON
*36.27% VILLANOVA
 32.39% TEXAS A&M
 28.04% KENTUCKY
 26.34% PURDUE
 25.40% XAVIER
 24.78% DUKE
 21.71% MIAMI (FL)
 19.18% INDIANA
 16.74% BAYLOR
 15.54% ARIZONA
 14.47% MARYLAND
 14.01% IOWA
 13.96% IOWA STATE
 13.33% TEXAS
 13.30% UTAH
 12.86% CALIFORNIA
 10.46% CINCINNATI
  9.88% GONZAGA
  9.11% VCU
  9.07% CONNECTICUT
  8.29% WISCONSIN
  8.28% PITTSBURGH
  8.19% SETON HALL
* 6.87% NOTRE DAME
  5.87% WICHITA ST
  5.75% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  5.50% BUTLER
  5.43% SAINT JOSEPH'S
* 5.38% SYRACUSE
  5.16% VANDERBILT
  4.51% YALE
  3.74% OREGON STATE
  3.57% MICHIGAN
  3.19% TEXAS TECH
  3.11% USC
  3.01% DAYTON
  2.40% PROVIDENCE
  2.28% NORTHERN IOWA
  2.26% COLORADO
  1.75% HAWAII
  1.49% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  1.33% TULSA
  1.27% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.97% TEMPLE
  0.77% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.72% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.61% IONA
  0.59% FRESNO STATE
  0.47% GREEN BAY
  0.32% STONY BROOK
  0.30% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.27% CHATTANOOGA
  0.23% WEBER STATE
  0.18% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.16% BUFFALO
  0.03% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.01% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.01% SOUTHERN
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
  0.00% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
 39.60% KANSAS
 36.87% MICHIGAN STATE
*30.30% NORTH CAROLINA
 27.57% VIRGINIA
*22.47% OKLAHOMA
 21.26% WEST VIRGINIA
 19.60% OREGON
 18.06% TEXAS A&M
*17.96% VILLANOVA
 16.94% KENTUCKY
 13.08% PURDUE
 12.53% DUKE
 10.44% INDIANA
  9.75% XAVIER
  9.12% MIAMI (FL)
  7.85% BAYLOR
  6.81% ARIZONA
  6.24% MARYLAND
  5.92% TEXAS
  5.49% CALIFORNIA
  5.48% IOWA STATE
  5.19% IOWA
  4.93% UTAH
  4.33% CINCINNATI
  3.82% CONNECTICUT
  3.69% GONZAGA
  3.66% VCU
  2.89% SETON HALL
  2.39% WISCONSIN
  2.39% PITTSBURGH
  2.37% WICHITA ST
  2.02% VANDERBILT
  1.88% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  1.83% NOTRE DAME
  1.75% BUTLER
* 1.60% SYRACUSE
  1.59% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  1.46% YALE
  1.16% OREGON STATE
  1.04% USC
  0.93% MICHIGAN
  0.87% TEXAS TECH
  0.75% PROVIDENCE
  0.75% DAYTON
  0.65% COLORADO
  0.61% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.41% HAWAII
  0.32% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.27% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.27% TULSA
  0.16% TEMPLE
  0.14% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.13% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.09% IONA
  0.08% FRESNO STATE
  0.07% GREEN BAY
  0.06% STONY BROOK
  0.05% CHATTANOOGA
  0.03% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.02% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.02% WEBER STATE
  0.01% BUFFALO
  0.00% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.00% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% SOUTHERN
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
  0.00% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
 27.79% KANSAS
 22.79% MICHIGAN STATE
*16.46% NORTH CAROLINA
 15.78% VIRGINIA
 10.97% WEST VIRGINIA
 10.68% OKLAHOMA
*10.67% VILLANOVA
  8.59% OREGON
  8.39% KENTUCKY
  7.97% TEXAS A&M
  6.58% PURDUE
  5.16% DUKE
  4.70% MIAMI (FL)
  4.53% INDIANA
  3.65% XAVIER
  3.64% ARIZONA
  2.96% BAYLOR
  2.89% MARYLAND
  2.52% CALIFORNIA
  2.39% IOWA
  2.16% IOWA STATE
  1.98% TEXAS
  1.81% UTAH
  1.73% CONNECTICUT
  1.41% CINCINNATI
  1.37% GONZAGA
  1.18% WICHITA ST
  1.09% VCU
  1.01% SETON HALL
  0.98% VANDERBILT
  0.67% WISCONSIN
  0.67% PITTSBURGH
  0.55% BUTLER
  0.50% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  0.48% NOTRE DAME
  0.47% SYRACUSE
  0.43% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  0.36% YALE
  0.26% OREGON STATE
  0.25% USC
  0.24% MICHIGAN
  0.23% TEXAS TECH
  0.21% COLORADO
  0.18% DAYTON
  0.17% PROVIDENCE
  0.11% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.11% HAWAII
  0.07% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.05% TULSA
  0.04% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.03% TEMPLE
  0.03% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.02% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.01% IONA
  0.01% FRESNO STATE
  0.01% GREEN BAY
  0.01% STONY BROOK
  0.01% CHATTANOOGA
  0.00% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.00% BUFFALO
  0.00% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.00% WEBER STATE
  0.00% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.00% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% SOUTHERN
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
  0.00% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
 16.29% KANSAS
 14.41% MICHIGAN STATE
  9.70% NORTH CAROLINA
  9.27% VIRGINIA
  6.17% WEST VIRGINIA
 *5.04% VILLANOVA
  4.75% OKLAHOMA
  4.55% KENTUCKY
  3.50% OREGON
  3.41% PURDUE
  3.27% TEXAS A&M
  2.18% INDIANA
  1.97% DUKE
  1.86% MIAMI (FL)
  1.53% XAVIER
  1.50% ARIZONA
  1.03% BAYLOR
  1.00% MARYLAND
  0.89% IOWA STATE
  0.86% CALIFORNIA
  0.82% IOWA
  0.69% UTAH
  0.61% TEXAS
  0.58% CONNECTICUT
  0.53% GONZAGA
  0.44% WICHITA ST
  0.42% CINCINNATI
  0.37% SETON HALL
  0.36% VANDERBILT
  0.29% VCU
  0.22% WISCONSIN
  0.22% PITTSBURGH
  0.18% BUTLER
  0.14% SYRACUSE
  0.14% NOTRE DAME
  0.13% STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
  0.12% SAINT JOSEPH'S
  0.08% YALE
  0.07% MICHIGAN
  0.07% USC
  0.07% TEXAS TECH
  0.05% OREGON STATE
  0.05% DAYTON
  0.04% COLORADO
  0.04% PROVIDENCE
  0.02% HAWAII
  0.02% NORTHERN IOWA
  0.01% ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
  0.01% TULSA
  0.01% UNC WILMINGTON
  0.00% TEMPLE
  0.00% SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  0.00% IONA
  0.00% CSU BAKERSFIELD
  0.00% FRESNO STATE
  0.00% STONY BROOK
  0.00% CHATTANOOGA
  0.00% GREEN BAY
  0.00% UNC ASHEVILLE
  0.00% MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  0.00% BUFFALO
  0.00% WEBER STATE
  0.00% FLORIDA GULF COAST
  0.00% AUSTIN PEAY
  0.00% SOUTHERN
  0.00% HAMPTON
  0.00% HOLY CROSS
  0.00% FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON


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copyright ©2016 Andrew Dolphin