Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SACRAMENTO  32 10 2899 2618  0.056 20.897    1  0.622    1  0.579    1  0.511    1 0.5624   11  3.371    4  0.270    1  0.752
CONNECTICUT 31 11 3028 2775  0.054 20.971    2  0.555    2  0.516    2  0.433    2 0.5583    2  3.516    1  0.765    4  0.101
INDIANA     23 15 2426 2384  0.005 19.113    3  0.225    3  0.217    5  0.110    3 0.5243   13  3.289   11 -0.437    2  0.656
SEATTLE     21 16 2695 2616 -0.026 18.101    4  0.114    4  0.099    4  0.127    4 0.5114    1  3.574    2  0.702   12 -0.448
HOUSTON     21 18 2652 2607  0.029 19.934    5  0.094    5  0.078    3  0.132    5 0.5099    8  3.418    6  0.070    3  0.193
NEW YORK    18 18 2417 2406 -0.022 17.925    6 -0.005    6 -0.019    7 -0.040    6 0.4989    5  3.433    7 -0.042    7 -0.038
LOS ANGELES 17 19 2461 2501  0.029 18.801    7 -0.025    7 -0.034    8 -0.096    7 0.4963    4  3.499    5  0.165   11 -0.358
PHOENIX     16 18 2361 2354 -0.019 16.959    8 -0.063    9 -0.083    6  0.044    9 0.4905    3  3.512    3  0.358   10 -0.270
WASHINGTON  16 18 2263 2305 -0.033 17.033    9 -0.066    8 -0.081   10 -0.139    8 0.4909    6  3.428    8 -0.161    8 -0.118
DETROIT     16 20 2376 2435 -0.004 18.471   10 -0.091   10 -0.107    9 -0.113   10 0.4881    9  3.412    9 -0.195    5 -0.031
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MINNESOTA   14 20 2211 2288 -0.006 17.551   11 -0.155   11 -0.173   11 -0.204   11 0.4791   10  3.389   10 -0.376    6 -0.032
SAN ANTONIO  7 27 2141 2401 -0.017 18.101   12 -0.563   12 -0.595   13 -0.538   12 0.4322    7  3.424   12 -0.574   13 -0.502
CHARLOTTE    6 28 2095 2335 -0.037 17.806   13 -0.642   13 -0.681   12 -0.442   13 0.4252   12  3.367   13 -0.697    9 -0.187

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SACRAMENTO  32 10 2899 2618  0.056 20.897    1  0.622    1  0.579    1  0.511    1 0.5624   11  3.371    4  0.270    1  0.752
SEATTLE     21 16 2695 2616 -0.026 18.101    4  0.114    4  0.099    4  0.127    4 0.5114    1  3.574    2  0.702   12 -0.448
HOUSTON     21 18 2652 2607  0.029 19.934    5  0.094    5  0.078    3  0.132    5 0.5099    8  3.418    6  0.070    3  0.193
LOS ANGELES 17 19 2461 2501  0.029 18.801    7 -0.025    7 -0.034    8 -0.096    7 0.4963    4  3.499    5  0.165   11 -0.358
PHOENIX     16 18 2361 2354 -0.019 16.959    8 -0.063    9 -0.083    6  0.044    9 0.4905    3  3.512    3  0.358   10 -0.270
MINNESOTA   14 20 2211 2288 -0.006 17.551   11 -0.155   11 -0.173   11 -0.204   11 0.4791   10  3.389   10 -0.376    6 -0.032
SAN ANTONIO  7 27 2141 2401 -0.017 18.101   12 -0.563   12 -0.595   13 -0.538   12 0.4322    7  3.424   12 -0.574   13 -0.502

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM         W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CONNECTICUT 31 11 3028 2775  0.054 20.971    2  0.555    2  0.516    2  0.433    2 0.5583    2  3.516    1  0.765    4  0.101
INDIANA     23 15 2426 2384  0.005 19.113    3  0.225    3  0.217    5  0.110    3 0.5243   13  3.289   11 -0.437    2  0.656
NEW YORK    18 18 2417 2406 -0.022 17.925    6 -0.005    6 -0.019    7 -0.040    6 0.4989    5  3.433    7 -0.042    7 -0.038
WASHINGTON  16 18 2263 2305 -0.033 17.033    9 -0.066    8 -0.081   10 -0.139    8 0.4909    6  3.428    8 -0.161    8 -0.118
DETROIT     16 20 2376 2435 -0.004 18.471   10 -0.091   10 -0.107    9 -0.113   10 0.4881    9  3.412    9 -0.195    5 -0.031
CHARLOTTE    6 28 2095 2335 -0.037 17.806   13 -0.642   13 -0.681   12 -0.442   13 0.4252   12  3.367   13 -0.697    9 -0.187

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 128 128 0.500    1 -0.004
EASTERN CONFERENCE 110 110 0.500    2 -0.045

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.344 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.034 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Dec 28 14:01:59 2024
games through: Thu Sep 22 2005

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