Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MERCURY  36  6 3533 3103  0.001 21.054    1  0.718    1  0.690    1  0.666    1 0.5849    4  3.613    1  0.865    1  0.468
LYNX     28 11 3189 3055  0.078 20.995    2  0.454    2  0.452    2  0.240    2 0.5572    2  3.631    2  0.517    7 -0.036
DREAM    20 17 2989 2914 -0.093 17.995    3  0.020    3 -0.003    3  0.008    3 0.5014    3  3.627    4  0.266   11 -0.250
SPARKS   16 20 2772 2807  0.074 19.958    4 -0.037    4 -0.061    4  0.005    4 0.4958    8  3.561    6 -0.018    6  0.029
STARS    16 20 2818 2887  0.042 19.739    5 -0.049    5 -0.068    6 -0.077    5 0.4937    5  3.607    5  0.093   10 -0.246
FEVER    19 20 2903 2934 -0.082 19.436    6 -0.062    6 -0.082    7 -0.096    6 0.4890    9  3.495    9 -0.394    4  0.201
SKY      19 24 3278 3399  0.010 23.171    7 -0.089    7 -0.101   10 -0.152    7 0.4877    6  3.582    7 -0.089    9 -0.215
MYSTICS  16 20 2674 2669 -0.081 17.842    8 -0.135    9 -0.164    5 -0.032    8 0.4797   11  3.474   10 -0.412    2  0.348
LIBERTY  15 19 2453 2557 -0.062 17.433    9 -0.138    8 -0.143   11 -0.224    9 0.4792   10  3.485   11 -0.561    5  0.113
SHOCK    12 22 2760 2831  0.027 18.457   10 -0.222   11 -0.244    8 -0.116   11 0.4712    1  3.692    3  0.428   12 -0.659
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STORM    12 22 2410 2561  0.040 18.939   11 -0.224   10 -0.230   12 -0.225   10 0.4720   12  3.445   12 -0.723    3  0.272
SUN      13 21 2573 2635 -0.069 17.207   12 -0.236   12 -0.253    9 -0.122   12 0.4664    7  3.573    8 -0.096    8 -0.148

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MERCURY  36  6 3533 3103  0.001 21.054    1  0.718    1  0.690    1  0.666    1 0.5849    4  3.613    1  0.865    1  0.468
LYNX     28 11 3189 3055  0.078 20.995    2  0.454    2  0.452    2  0.240    2 0.5572    2  3.631    2  0.517    7 -0.036
SPARKS   16 20 2772 2807  0.074 19.958    4 -0.037    4 -0.061    4  0.005    4 0.4958    8  3.561    6 -0.018    6  0.029
STARS    16 20 2818 2887  0.042 19.739    5 -0.049    5 -0.068    6 -0.077    5 0.4937    5  3.607    5  0.093   10 -0.246
SHOCK    12 22 2760 2831  0.027 18.457   10 -0.222   11 -0.244    8 -0.116   11 0.4712    1  3.692    3  0.428   12 -0.659
STORM    12 22 2410 2561  0.040 18.939   11 -0.224   10 -0.230   12 -0.225   10 0.4720   12  3.445   12 -0.723    3  0.272

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DREAM    20 17 2989 2914 -0.093 17.995    3  0.020    3 -0.003    3  0.008    3 0.5014    3  3.627    4  0.266   11 -0.250
FEVER    19 20 2903 2934 -0.082 19.436    6 -0.062    6 -0.082    7 -0.096    6 0.4890    9  3.495    9 -0.394    4  0.201
SKY      19 24 3278 3399  0.010 23.171    7 -0.089    7 -0.101   10 -0.152    7 0.4877    6  3.582    7 -0.089    9 -0.215
MYSTICS  16 20 2674 2669 -0.081 17.842    8 -0.135    9 -0.164    5 -0.032    8 0.4797   11  3.474   10 -0.412    2  0.348
LIBERTY  15 19 2453 2557 -0.062 17.433    9 -0.138    8 -0.143   11 -0.224    9 0.4792   10  3.485   11 -0.561    5  0.113
SUN      13 21 2573 2635 -0.069 17.207   12 -0.236   12 -0.253    9 -0.122   12 0.4664    7  3.573    8 -0.096    8 -0.148

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 120 101 0.543    1  0.107
EASTERN CONFERENCE 102 121 0.457    2 -0.148

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.258 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.022 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jan  4 12:48:31 2020
games through: Fri Sep 12 2014

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