Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX     33  9 3599 3251  0.067 21.483    1  0.687    1  0.648    1  0.543    1 0.5700    6  3.617    1  0.498    2  0.588
SPARKS   32 11 3562 3275  0.078 22.266    2  0.597    2  0.571    2  0.395    2 0.5619   11  3.573    4  0.161    1  0.630
LIBERTY  21 14 2870 2850 -0.039 17.464    3  0.183    3  0.167    9 -0.115    3 0.5197    9  3.599   11 -0.237    7  0.006
SKY      20 19 3342 3362  0.018 20.437    4  0.057    4  0.036    6 -0.039    4 0.5053    1  3.737    2  0.451   11 -0.530
DREAM    18 18 2972 3048 -0.043 18.302    5 -0.017    5 -0.031   10 -0.139    5 0.4968    4  3.653    7 -0.026   10 -0.253
MERCURY  18 21 3314 3295  0.034 20.453    6 -0.039    7 -0.073    3  0.113    6 0.4942    2  3.695    3  0.413    9 -0.187
FEVER    17 18 2814 2838 -0.041 17.653    7 -0.053    6 -0.072    7 -0.048    7 0.4941    8  3.609    8 -0.126    6  0.031
STORM    16 19 2833 2821 -0.007 17.916    8 -0.077    8 -0.105    4  0.097    8 0.4898    7  3.616    6  0.050    3  0.144
SUN      14 20 2821 2868 -0.036 17.284    9 -0.177    9 -0.204    5  0.006    9 0.4770    5  3.652    5  0.114    8 -0.103
MYSTICS  13 21 2745 2795 -0.030 17.370   10 -0.229   10 -0.263    8 -0.060   10 0.4705   10  3.596   10 -0.196    5  0.076
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WINGS    11 23 2810 3000 -0.042 17.749   11 -0.353   11 -0.372   11 -0.442   11 0.4567    3  3.691    9 -0.160   12 -0.725
STARS     7 27 2449 2728 -0.023 18.167   12 -0.580   12 -0.612   12 -0.506   12 0.4315   12  3.480   12 -1.124    4  0.111

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX     33  9 3599 3251  0.067 21.483    1  0.687    1  0.648    1  0.543    1 0.5700    6  3.617    1  0.498    2  0.588
SPARKS   32 11 3562 3275  0.078 22.266    2  0.597    2  0.571    2  0.395    2 0.5619   11  3.573    4  0.161    1  0.630
MERCURY  18 21 3314 3295  0.034 20.453    6 -0.039    7 -0.073    3  0.113    6 0.4942    2  3.695    3  0.413    9 -0.187
STORM    16 19 2833 2821 -0.007 17.916    8 -0.077    8 -0.105    4  0.097    8 0.4898    7  3.616    6  0.050    3  0.144
WINGS    11 23 2810 3000 -0.042 17.749   11 -0.353   11 -0.372   11 -0.442   11 0.4567    3  3.691    9 -0.160   12 -0.725
STARS     7 27 2449 2728 -0.023 18.167   12 -0.580   12 -0.612   12 -0.506   12 0.4315   12  3.480   12 -1.124    4  0.111

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIBERTY  21 14 2870 2850 -0.039 17.464    3  0.183    3  0.167    9 -0.115    3 0.5197    9  3.599   11 -0.237    7  0.006
SKY      20 19 3342 3362  0.018 20.437    4  0.057    4  0.036    6 -0.039    4 0.5053    1  3.737    2  0.451   11 -0.530
DREAM    18 18 2972 3048 -0.043 18.302    5 -0.017    5 -0.031   10 -0.139    5 0.4968    4  3.653    7 -0.026   10 -0.253
FEVER    17 18 2814 2838 -0.041 17.653    7 -0.053    6 -0.072    7 -0.048    7 0.4941    8  3.609    8 -0.126    6  0.031
SUN      14 20 2821 2868 -0.036 17.284    9 -0.177    9 -0.204    5  0.006    9 0.4770    5  3.652    5  0.114    8 -0.103
MYSTICS  13 21 2745 2795 -0.030 17.370   10 -0.229   10 -0.263    8 -0.060   10 0.4705   10  3.596   10 -0.196    5  0.076

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 117 110 0.515    1  0.045
EASTERN CONFERENCE 103 110 0.484    2 -0.100

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.263 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.017 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jul 25 18:34:20 2020
games through: Thu Oct 20 2016

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