Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MYSTICS  32 11 3855 3429  0.106 21.703    1  0.671    1  0.597    1  0.702    1 0.5615    1  3.730    1  1.271    5  0.133
SUN      28 14 3438 3300  0.095 21.972    2  0.463    2  0.449    2  0.333    2 0.5438    5  3.617    4  0.401    3  0.264
ACES     23 16 3256 3140  0.073 20.283    3  0.268    3  0.246    3  0.241    4 0.5246    4  3.653    3  0.464    7  0.017
SPARKS   23 15 3013 2951  0.010 19.278    4  0.234    4  0.222    6  0.111    3 0.5258    7  3.587    5  0.048    4  0.174
SKY      21 15 3073 3001  0.011 18.087    5  0.191    5  0.174    4  0.187    5 0.5183    2  3.730    2  0.753   11 -0.380
STORM    19 17 2696 2719 -0.024 18.198    6  0.053    6  0.036    7 -0.115    6 0.5045   10  3.508   10 -0.505    2  0.275
LYNX     18 17 2739 2665 -0.017 17.331    7  0.040    7  0.001    5  0.150    7 0.5016    8  3.565    6 -0.005    1  0.305
MERCURY  15 20 2677 2744 -0.048 17.658    8 -0.151    8 -0.183    9 -0.227    8 0.4808    9  3.559    9 -0.405    8 -0.048
FEVER    13 21 2638 2730 -0.068 16.966    9 -0.272    9 -0.309    8 -0.187    9 0.4688    6  3.587    7 -0.248   10 -0.126
LIBERTY  10 24 2632 2881 -0.064 17.532   10 -0.452   10 -0.472   12 -0.543   11 0.4491    3  3.660    8 -0.291   12 -0.795
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WINGS    10 24 2434 2631 -0.086 17.425   11 -0.469   11 -0.501   10 -0.425   10 0.4494   12  3.486   11 -0.907    6  0.056
DREAM     8 26 2421 2681 -0.064 17.746   12 -0.577   12 -0.620   11 -0.515   12 0.4376   11  3.492   12 -0.970    9 -0.061

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ACES     23 16 3256 3140  0.073 20.283    3  0.268    3  0.246    3  0.241    4 0.5246    4  3.653    3  0.464    7  0.017
SPARKS   23 15 3013 2951  0.010 19.278    4  0.234    4  0.222    6  0.111    3 0.5258    7  3.587    5  0.048    4  0.174
STORM    19 17 2696 2719 -0.024 18.198    6  0.053    6  0.036    7 -0.115    6 0.5045   10  3.508   10 -0.505    2  0.275
LYNX     18 17 2739 2665 -0.017 17.331    7  0.040    7  0.001    5  0.150    7 0.5016    8  3.565    6 -0.005    1  0.305
MERCURY  15 20 2677 2744 -0.048 17.658    8 -0.151    8 -0.183    9 -0.227    8 0.4808    9  3.559    9 -0.405    8 -0.048
WINGS    10 24 2434 2631 -0.086 17.425   11 -0.469   11 -0.501   10 -0.425   10 0.4494   12  3.486   11 -0.907    6  0.056

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MYSTICS  32 11 3855 3429  0.106 21.703    1  0.671    1  0.597    1  0.702    1 0.5615    1  3.730    1  1.271    5  0.133
SUN      28 14 3438 3300  0.095 21.972    2  0.463    2  0.449    2  0.333    2 0.5438    5  3.617    4  0.401    3  0.264
SKY      21 15 3073 3001  0.011 18.087    5  0.191    5  0.174    4  0.187    5 0.5183    2  3.730    2  0.753   11 -0.380
FEVER    13 21 2638 2730 -0.068 16.966    9 -0.272    9 -0.309    8 -0.187    9 0.4688    6  3.587    7 -0.248   10 -0.126
LIBERTY  10 24 2632 2881 -0.064 17.532   10 -0.452   10 -0.472   12 -0.543   11 0.4491    3  3.660    8 -0.291   12 -0.795
DREAM     8 26 2421 2681 -0.064 17.746   12 -0.577   12 -0.620   11 -0.515   12 0.4376   11  3.492   12 -0.970    9 -0.061

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 108 109 0.498    1 -0.030
EASTERN CONFERENCE 112 111 0.502    2 -0.040

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.363 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.030 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Jul 25 18:34:27 2020
games through: Thu Oct 10 2019

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