Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STORM    24  4 2484 2138  0.099 13.870    1  0.987    1  0.897    1  1.016    1 0.5877    8  3.640    1  0.996    1  1.036
ACES     21  9 2545 2429  0.146 15.987    2  0.612    2  0.597    2  0.326    2 0.5523    6  3.673    2  0.452    5  0.200
SPARKS   15  8 1927 1840 -0.002 11.130    3  0.350    3  0.328    5  0.184    3 0.5311    9  3.625    6  0.098    3  0.270
LYNX     15 11 2173 2121  0.112 13.651    4  0.273    4  0.241    4  0.207    4 0.5242    7  3.645    5  0.211    4  0.203
MERCURY  14 10 2059 2015 -0.019 11.713    5  0.178    5  0.159    6  0.090    5 0.5153    3  3.694    4  0.310    7 -0.131
SUN      14 15 2312 2261  0.076 15.057    6  0.034    7 -0.000    3  0.230    6 0.5022   12  3.540    8 -0.216    2  0.676
SKY      12 11 1989 1944 -0.011 11.232    7  0.022    6  0.000    7  0.053    7 0.5011    1  3.722    3  0.399    8 -0.293
MYSTICS   9 14 1844 1879 -0.043 11.439    8 -0.247    8 -0.268    8 -0.157    8 0.4716   10  3.583   11 -0.420    6  0.106
WINGS     8 14 1835 1913 -0.059 11.006    9 -0.327    9 -0.357    9 -0.282    9 0.4646    4  3.686    7 -0.096    9 -0.467
DREAM     7 15 1781 1928 -0.080 11.192   10 -0.419   10 -0.441   10 -0.462   10 0.4542    5  3.677   10 -0.318   10 -0.605
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FEVER     6 16 1797 1970 -0.087 11.265   11 -0.500   11 -0.526   11 -0.598   11 0.4438    2  3.718    9 -0.268   12 -0.928
LIBERTY   2 20 1581 1889 -0.096 11.538   12 -0.962   12 -1.037   12 -1.041   12 0.4021   11  3.549   12 -1.450   11 -0.632

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STORM    24  4 2484 2138  0.099 13.870    1  0.987    1  0.897    1  1.016    1 0.5877    8  3.640    1  0.996    1  1.036
ACES     21  9 2545 2429  0.146 15.987    2  0.612    2  0.597    2  0.326    2 0.5523    6  3.673    2  0.452    5  0.200
SPARKS   15  8 1927 1840 -0.002 11.130    3  0.350    3  0.328    5  0.184    3 0.5311    9  3.625    6  0.098    3  0.270
LYNX     15 11 2173 2121  0.112 13.651    4  0.273    4  0.241    4  0.207    4 0.5242    7  3.645    5  0.211    4  0.203
MERCURY  14 10 2059 2015 -0.019 11.713    5  0.178    5  0.159    6  0.090    5 0.5153    3  3.694    4  0.310    7 -0.131
WINGS     8 14 1835 1913 -0.059 11.006    9 -0.327    9 -0.357    9 -0.282    9 0.4646    4  3.686    7 -0.096    9 -0.467

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SUN      14 15 2312 2261  0.076 15.057    6  0.034    7 -0.000    3  0.230    6 0.5022   12  3.540    8 -0.216    2  0.676
SKY      12 11 1989 1944 -0.011 11.232    7  0.022    6  0.000    7  0.053    7 0.5011    1  3.722    3  0.399    8 -0.293
MYSTICS   9 14 1844 1879 -0.043 11.439    8 -0.247    8 -0.268    8 -0.157    8 0.4716   10  3.583   11 -0.420    6  0.106
DREAM     7 15 1781 1928 -0.080 11.192   10 -0.419   10 -0.441   10 -0.462   10 0.4542    5  3.677   10 -0.318   10 -0.605
FEVER     6 16 1797 1970 -0.087 11.265   11 -0.500   11 -0.526   11 -0.598   11 0.4438    2  3.718    9 -0.268   12 -0.928
LIBERTY   2 20 1581 1889 -0.096 11.538   12 -0.962   12 -1.037   12 -1.041   12 0.4021   11  3.549   12 -1.450   11 -0.632

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 97 56 0.634    1  0.300
EASTERN CONFERENCE 50 91 0.355    2 -0.387

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.333 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.033 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Jan 13 19:42:39 2021
games through: Tue Oct  6 2020

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