Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX      13  4 1556 1354  0.139  8.529    2  0.571    2  0.566    1  0.844    2 0.5644    7  3.692    1  0.895    1  0.793
DREAM     12  4 1447 1333  0.200  8.642    1  0.582    1  0.617    2  0.569    1 0.5715    8  3.686    3  0.596    3  0.542
WINGS     11  6 1519 1443  0.170  9.151    4  0.407    4  0.388    3  0.382    4 0.5440    5  3.706    5  0.495    4  0.268
VALKYRIES 10  7 1424 1349  0.098  8.757    5  0.254    6  0.218    4  0.339    7 0.5214   15  3.590    9 -0.056    2  0.734
LIBERTY   12  6 1601 1495 -0.116  7.908    6  0.253    5  0.222    5  0.287    5 0.5344    6  3.692    6  0.338    5  0.236
ACES      12  5 1517 1458  0.069  8.706    3  0.444    3  0.463    6  0.261    3 0.5493    4  3.738    4  0.522    8  0.001
FEVER     10  7 1565 1512  0.017  8.421    7  0.191    7  0.174    7  0.207    6 0.5244    2  3.774    2  0.635    9 -0.221
MERCURY    5 13 1479 1547  0.091  9.994   12 -0.391   12 -0.393    8 -0.174   12 0.4568   12  3.629   10 -0.398    7  0.050
SPARKS     8  8 1414 1461 -0.034  8.124    9 -0.018    9 -0.014    9 -0.188    9 0.5016    3  3.750    8  0.127   14 -0.503
MYSTICS    8  7 1235 1283 -0.044  7.603    8  0.054    8  0.072   10 -0.189    8 0.5062   14  3.600   13 -0.542    6  0.163
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TEMPO      8  9 1520 1560 -0.212  7.528   11 -0.203   11 -0.198   11 -0.294   11 0.4789    1  3.784    7  0.181   15 -0.768
FIRE       8  9 1398 1497 -0.032  8.932   10 -0.048   10 -0.029   12 -0.371   10 0.4936   10  3.665   11 -0.437   11 -0.305
SKY        4 12 1318 1422  0.042  8.951   13 -0.428   13 -0.412   13 -0.395   13 0.4478    9  3.666   12 -0.461   12 -0.330
STORM      3 15 1418 1546 -0.191  8.540   14 -0.811   14 -0.827   14 -0.593   14 0.4097   13  3.603   15 -0.929   10 -0.257
SUN        3 15 1438 1589 -0.243  8.153   15 -0.857   15 -0.850   15 -0.650   15 0.4090   11  3.634   14 -0.854   13 -0.446

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX      13  4 1556 1354  0.139  8.529    2  0.571    2  0.566    1  0.844    2 0.5644    7  3.692    1  0.895    1  0.793
WINGS     11  6 1519 1443  0.170  9.151    4  0.407    4  0.388    3  0.382    4 0.5440    5  3.706    5  0.495    4  0.268
VALKYRIES 10  7 1424 1349  0.098  8.757    5  0.254    6  0.218    4  0.339    7 0.5214   15  3.590    9 -0.056    2  0.734
ACES      12  5 1517 1458  0.069  8.706    3  0.444    3  0.463    6  0.261    3 0.5493    4  3.738    4  0.522    8  0.001
MERCURY    5 13 1479 1547  0.091  9.994   12 -0.391   12 -0.393    8 -0.174   12 0.4568   12  3.629   10 -0.398    7  0.050
SPARKS     8  8 1414 1461 -0.034  8.124    9 -0.018    9 -0.014    9 -0.188    9 0.5016    3  3.750    8  0.127   14 -0.503
FIRE       8  9 1398 1497 -0.032  8.932   10 -0.048   10 -0.029   12 -0.371   10 0.4936   10  3.665   11 -0.437   11 -0.305
STORM      3 15 1418 1546 -0.191  8.540   14 -0.811   14 -0.827   14 -0.593   14 0.4097   13  3.603   15 -0.929   10 -0.257

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                          STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DREAM     12  4 1447 1333  0.200  8.642    1  0.582    1  0.617    2  0.569    1 0.5715    8  3.686    3  0.596    3  0.542
LIBERTY   12  6 1601 1495 -0.116  7.908    6  0.253    5  0.222    5  0.287    5 0.5344    6  3.692    6  0.338    5  0.236
FEVER     10  7 1565 1512  0.017  8.421    7  0.191    7  0.174    7  0.207    6 0.5244    2  3.774    2  0.635    9 -0.221
MYSTICS    8  7 1235 1283 -0.044  7.603    8  0.054    8  0.072   10 -0.189    8 0.5062   14  3.600   13 -0.542    6  0.163
TEMPO      8  9 1520 1560 -0.212  7.528   11 -0.203   11 -0.198   11 -0.294   11 0.4789    1  3.784    7  0.181   15 -0.768
SKY        4 12 1318 1422  0.042  8.951   13 -0.428   13 -0.412   13 -0.395   13 0.4478    9  3.666   12 -0.461   12 -0.330
SUN        3 15 1438 1589 -0.243  8.153   15 -0.857   15 -0.850   15 -0.650   15 0.4090   11  3.634   14 -0.854   13 -0.446

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
WESTERN CONFERENCE 70 67 0.511    1  0.078
EASTERN CONFERENCE 57 60 0.487    2 -0.092

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.333 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.033 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Jun 24 05:30:07 2026
games through: Tue Jun 23 2026

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