Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska          12  0  0 638 174  4.867    1  6.164    1  5.912    1  6.209    1 0.7059    1 0.7168    1 19.027    1  6.714    1  5.705
Florida           12  1  0 558 263  4.776    2  5.939    2  5.695    3  5.570    4 0.6782    2 0.6940    2 18.487    2  6.181    7  4.959
Tennessee         11  1  0 431 228  4.495    3  5.721    3  5.460    6  5.257    5 0.6779    4 0.6852    4 18.050    5  5.623    9  4.891
Ohio State        11  2  0 475 220  4.791    4  5.721    4  5.427    2  5.664    3 0.6834    7 0.6568    3 18.150    4  5.924    3  5.404
Northwestern      10  2  0 311 181  4.695    5  5.608    5  5.308    5  5.270    2 0.6890    5 0.6757    5 17.826   11  5.031    2  5.510
Colorado          10  2  0 444 240  4.495    6  5.455    6  5.135    9  5.119    6 0.6534    6 0.6710    6 17.584    6  5.602   15  4.636
Notre Dame         9  3  0 392 247  4.702    7  5.425    7  5.101    8  5.176    8 0.6409    8 0.6532    8 17.489    7  5.570   12  4.783
Penn. State        9  3  0 399 259  4.625    8  5.390    8  5.063   10  4.978    7 0.6475   12 0.6258    9 17.363    8  5.325   16  4.631
Florida State     10  2  0 563 246  4.478    9  5.382   10  5.053    4  5.359   12 0.6196    9 0.6518    7 17.543    3  6.164   19  4.554
Kansas State      10  2  0 456 166  4.403   10  5.298   11  4.945    7  5.245   11 0.6227   11 0.6325   10 17.356   10  5.178    4  5.313
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas            10  2  0 345 261  4.069   11  5.276    9  5.063   27  4.320    9 0.6355   10 0.6424   11 17.096   29  4.499   34  4.140
Michigan           9  4  0 338 223  4.580   12  5.127   12  4.892   11  4.946   10 0.6307   15 0.6120   12 17.026   14  4.917    6  4.975
Southern Calif.    9  2  1 355 212  4.218   13  5.063   13  4.826   12  4.732   14 0.6099   17 0.6028   13 16.887   17  4.771   13  4.693
Virginia Tech     10  2  0 349 165  4.079   14  5.037   14  4.796   13  4.725   16 0.6033   14 0.6125   14 16.854   27  4.544    8  4.906
Texas             10  2  1 390 255  4.050   15  4.941   15  4.727   20  4.483   15 0.6088   13 0.6191   15 16.632   18  4.751   31  4.215
Toledo            11  0  1 411 264  3.142   16  4.894   16  4.667   59  3.725   13 0.6103    3 0.6940   23 16.378   37  4.221   71  3.228
Texas A&M          9  3  0 327 168  4.122   17  4.868   17  4.639   17  4.595   22 0.5856   18 0.6008   16 16.546   33  4.365   11  4.825
Iowa               8  4  0 368 259  4.393   18  4.857   18  4.628   14  4.707   17 0.6013   31 0.5723   17 16.532   13  4.965   22  4.449
Oregon             9  3  0 326 272  4.036   19  4.854   19  4.625   33  4.194   18 0.5989   20 0.5947   21 16.399   30  4.457   43  3.932
East Carolina      9  3  0 274 226  3.935   20  4.828   20  4.596   38  4.075   20 0.5865   19 0.5980   24 16.334   50  3.976   32  4.174
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami (Fla.)       8  3  0 294 201  4.082   21  4.823   21  4.593   26  4.336   28 0.5735   27 0.5824   22 16.395   36  4.230   23  4.443
Washington         7  4  1 312 280  4.379   22  4.820   22  4.590   21  4.461   19 0.5903   22 0.5925   19 16.403   20  4.698   30  4.225
Virginia           9  4  0 378 270  4.175   23  4.805   23  4.575   18  4.533   26 0.5769   21 0.5942   18 16.410   16  4.804   29  4.263
Syracuse           9  3  0 375 213  4.014   24  4.752   24  4.517   15  4.697   23 0.5845   23 0.5893   20 16.401   15  4.826   18  4.569
Alabama            8  3  0 260 188  4.028   25  4.749   25  4.514   25  4.352   24 0.5832   24 0.5871   25 16.307   40  4.120   17  4.584
Michigan State     6  5  1 287 338  4.470   26  4.742   26  4.508   32  4.251   25 0.5817   41 0.5499   26 16.225   23  4.681   48  3.821
Texas Tech         9  3  0 385 247  3.820   27  4.658   27  4.415   29  4.292   29 0.5733   25 0.5870   28 16.165   19  4.703   45  3.880
Auburn             8  4  0 438 283  4.145   28  4.646   28  4.402   19  4.522   32 0.5671   26 0.5870   27 16.196    9  5.218   47  3.825
Illinois           5  5  1 193 198  4.497   29  4.604   29  4.359   22  4.449   21 0.5864   38 0.5585   30 16.084   48  4.009   10  4.889
Wisconsin          4  5  2 235 253  4.572   30  4.574   30  4.339   24  4.367   30 0.5701   47 0.5361   31 16.011   38  4.213   20  4.520
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisiana State    7  4  1 324 186  4.213   31  4.547   31  4.310   16  4.664   33 0.5600   36 0.5610   29 16.111   34  4.336    5  4.991
Clemson            8  4  0 303 219  3.937   32  4.540   32  4.302   35  4.175   39 0.5400   39 0.5569   32 15.930   59  3.875   21  4.475
UCLA               7  5  0 338 300  4.121   33  4.487   34  4.245   30  4.287   31 0.5688   29 0.5772   34 15.896   22  4.681   44  3.893
Stanford           7  4  1 344 307  4.008   34  4.486   33  4.274   36  4.124   34 0.5586   40 0.5547   35 15.845   24  4.657   59  3.591
Miami (Ohio)       8  2  1 326 165  3.612   35  4.458   35  4.241   34  4.180   27 0.5736   16 0.6118   33 15.921   46  4.024   25  4.336
Arkansas           8  5  0 284 283  3.960   36  4.421   36  4.200   45  3.926   35 0.5546   37 0.5596   37 15.685   61  3.842   39  4.009
Purdue             4  6  1 282 269  4.524   37  4.346   37  4.124   23  4.400   36 0.5518   50 0.5214   36 15.685   21  4.689   36  4.112
Arizona State      6  5  0 308 330  4.023   38  4.345   38  4.122   44  3.933   38 0.5450   43 0.5473   41 15.537   28  4.503   68  3.363
Colorado State     8  4  0 339 254  3.741   39  4.319   40  4.094   39  4.060   42 0.5377   30 0.5752   38 15.598   41  4.114   40  4.006
Air Force          8  5  0 401 358  3.835   40  4.311   39  4.111   41  3.963   41 0.5379   32 0.5667   39 15.546   26  4.591   69  3.335
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgia            6  6  0 260 281  4.143   41  4.285   41  4.085   40  4.044   43 0.5370   42 0.5476   44 15.505   49  3.990   37  4.097
North Carolina     7  5  0 284 220  3.928   42  4.266   42  4.064   37  4.119   48 0.5214   45 0.5380   43 15.512   55  3.912   26  4.327
Baylor             7  4  0 273 166  3.807   43  4.238   43  4.033   28  4.293   45 0.5327   48 0.5320   40 15.540   53  3.935   14  4.651
Cincinnati         6  5  0 252 197  4.029   44  4.233   44  4.030   31  4.285   37 0.5489   28 0.5787   42 15.537   39  4.138   24  4.432
Arizona            6  5  0 207 199  3.932   45  4.222   45  4.018   47  3.903   47 0.5265   52 0.5126   46 15.372   70  3.528   27  4.277
Utah               7  4  0 296 230  3.682   46  4.204   47  3.996   43  3.951   44 0.5337   34 0.5653   45 15.395   54  3.934   41  3.968
Brigham Young      7  4  0 307 268  3.667   47  4.187   46  4.010   55  3.810   40 0.5399   33 0.5658   47 15.364   47  4.015   58  3.605
Mississippi        6  5  0 209 208  3.794   48  4.105   49  3.919   57  3.782   50 0.5148   55 0.5064   48 15.200   73  3.434   35  4.130
Oklahoma           5  5  1 233 275  3.784   49  4.098   50  3.911   62  3.622   46 0.5318   46 0.5363   51 15.154   71  3.469   51  3.776
Georgia Tech       6  5  0 260 243  3.790   50  4.083   51  3.894   53  3.821   53 0.5035   56 0.5058   50 15.173   62  3.794   46  3.848
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Maryland           6  5  0 210 251  3.738   51  4.065   48  3.921   64  3.523   57 0.4945   57 0.5039   53 15.047   78  3.345   54  3.701
San Diego State    8  4  0 401 283  3.432   52  3.995   52  3.846   48  3.887   49 0.5182   44 0.5441   49 15.182   35  4.307   64  3.466
Louisville         7  4  0 283 165  3.462   53  3.915   54  3.758   42  3.961   59 0.4932   60 0.4943   52 15.074   66  3.651   28  4.271
Kentucky           4  7  0 223 269  4.151   54  3.900   53  3.763   46  3.922   60 0.4924   63 0.4770   55 14.939   58  3.901   42  3.942
Southern Miss.     6  5  0 284 241  3.673   55  3.893   55  3.753   51  3.856   55 0.4999   53 0.5123   54 14.945   44  4.068   56  3.643
Texas Christian    6  5  0 217 246  3.539   56  3.880   56  3.737   68  3.461   52 0.5045   58 0.4950   58 14.787   76  3.385   62  3.538
Boston College     4  8  0 207 322  4.132   57  3.860   57  3.716   60  3.709   62 0.4841   65 0.4726   56 14.796   69  3.612   50  3.806
South Carolina     4  6  1 401 393  3.876   58  3.820   58  3.671   56  3.789   63 0.4840   62 0.4789   57 14.792   12  5.029   88  2.550
Nevada             9  3  0 521 375  2.865   59  3.806   59  3.652   70  3.401   51 0.5063   35 0.5616   62 14.714   31  4.429   93  2.373
Minnesota          3  8  0 272 368  4.329   60  3.800   60  3.651   49  3.873   54 0.5026   61 0.4847   60 14.746   25  4.597   73  3.149
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Wyoming            6  5  0 322 264  3.544   61  3.799   61  3.647   58  3.749   58 0.4936   51 0.5158   59 14.768   45  4.061   66  3.437
West Virginia      5  6  0 253 210  3.806   62  3.781   62  3.629   52  3.848   64 0.4804   66 0.4680   61 14.745   63  3.681   38  4.015
Ball State         7  4  0 204 187  2.994   63  3.703   63  3.535   77  3.172   56 0.4971   49 0.5290   63 14.457   97  2.660   55  3.684
Army               5  5  1 325 211  3.547   64  3.602   65  3.419   54  3.810   74 0.4404   76 0.4364   64 14.436   60  3.870   53  3.750
Rutgers            4  7  0 304 412  3.700   65  3.602   64  3.420   72  3.331   73 0.4428   80 0.4269   67 14.292   32  4.378   95  2.284
Washington State   3  8  0 236 274  4.047   66  3.594   67  3.411   50  3.866   69 0.4542   89 0.4146   65 14.429   56  3.912   49  3.820
Indiana            2  9  0 159 326  4.304   67  3.593   66  3.412   66  3.513   65 0.4801   71 0.4480   66 14.308   75  3.416   57  3.611
Western Michigan   7  4  0 253 190  2.835   68  3.485   68  3.335   80  3.158   61 0.4868   54 0.5094   69 14.219   90  2.833   63  3.483
Navy               5  6  0 223 189  3.455   69  3.452   69  3.297   61  3.657   79 0.4279   94 0.3930   68 14.254   83  3.165   33  4.149
Mississippi State  3  8  0 261 357  3.884   70  3.379   70  3.288   67  3.484   72 0.4449   74 0.4398   70 14.190   42  4.082   78  2.885
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
No. Carolina St.   3  8  0 260 354  3.820   71  3.349   71  3.254   69  3.410   77 0.4324   86 0.4182   72 14.109   52  3.957   79  2.864
Oklahoma State     4  8  0 250 345  3.704   72  3.331   72  3.230   65  3.522   66 0.4746   64 0.4766   71 14.135   67  3.637   67  3.408
Duke               3  8  0 282 386  3.726   73  3.296   73  3.192   71  3.342   87 0.4104   88 0.4166   74 14.001   43  4.075   87  2.609
California         3  8  0 243 286  3.741   74  3.259   74  3.148   63  3.551   81 0.4269   87 0.4167   73 14.023   65  3.654   65  3.449
Eastern Michigan   6  5  0 363 335  2.837   75  3.234   75  3.116   84  3.036   67 0.4618   59 0.4946   76 13.895   51  3.967   96  2.105
Fresno State       5  7  0 371 387  3.258   76  3.230   76  3.113   74  3.208   76 0.4329   72 0.4424   75 13.907   57  3.905   90  2.512
Tulsa              4  7  0 233 300  3.314   77  3.228   77  3.112   85  3.030   75 0.4358   78 0.4318   80 13.792   81  3.208   80  2.852
New Mexico         4  7  0 256 303  3.373   78  3.226   78  3.110   75  3.184   83 0.4243   77 0.4358   77 13.884   79  3.306   75  3.063
Vanderbilt         2  9  0 122 281  3.874   79  3.212   79  3.097   78  3.167   71 0.4464   73 0.4416   78 13.824   99  2.574   52  3.760
Memphis            3  8  0 150 240  3.589   80  3.201   80  3.084   81  3.127   84 0.4223   83 0.4225   79 13.816   96  2.680   61  3.574
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pittsburgh         2  9  0 217 329  3.848   81  3.159   81  3.036   73  3.303   85 0.4186   92 0.4053   81 13.749   74  3.421   72  3.186
SW Louisiana       6  5  0 351 275  2.811   82  3.130   82  2.998   76  3.176   82 0.4265   67 0.4544   82 13.721   68  3.622   83  2.730
Iowa State         3  8  0 264 409  3.455   83  3.118   83  2.987   83  3.050   68 0.4551   69 0.4514   83 13.619   64  3.666   91  2.435
Missouri           3  8  0 186 311  3.394   84  3.077   84  2.906   86  3.025   70 0.4481   68 0.4521   84 13.550   94  2.750   70  3.299
Houston            2  9  0 188 360  3.668   85  3.061   85  2.888   87  3.021   78 0.4310   75 0.4371   85 13.517   84  3.137   77  2.904
Hawaii             4  8  0 285 401  3.039   86  3.037   86  2.859   96  2.598   88 0.4104   90 0.4100   88 13.379   88  2.910   94  2.285
Louisiana Tech     5  6  0 320 371  2.766   87  3.014   87  2.828   94  2.670   86 0.4122   81 0.4265   87 13.400   77  3.364   99  1.977
Rice               2  8  1 215 284  3.429   88  2.989   88  2.802   79  3.159   93 0.3873   99 0.3828   86 13.471   82  3.170   74  3.149
Bowling Green      5  6  0 226 228  2.663   89  2.959   89  2.765   95  2.667   80 0.4273   70 0.4494   89 13.321  100  2.541   82  2.793
Temple             1 10  0 187 358  3.803   90  2.874   90  2.668   82  3.114   90 0.3971   97 0.3875   90 13.299   80  3.292   76  2.936
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SMU                1 10  0 132 352  3.600   91  2.863   91  2.655   97  2.568   95 0.3822  101 0.3659   93 13.072  101  2.527   86  2.609
Pacific            3  8  0 240 439  2.982   92  2.859   92  2.647   99  2.353   94 0.3866   91 0.4061   95 13.045   89  2.845  102  1.860
Tulane             2  9  0 187 303  3.288   93  2.812   93  2.598   92  2.711  105 0.3450  105 0.3365   94 13.064   93  2.771   85  2.651
Utah State         4  7  0 293 287  2.835   94  2.778   97  2.559   88  2.984   97 0.3797   79 0.4293   91 13.199   85  3.118   81  2.849
New Mexico State   4  7  0 349 389  2.765   95  2.766   94  2.591   91  2.713   96 0.3805   93 0.3970   92 13.097   72  3.464  100  1.963
Arkansas State     6  5  0 265 270  2.192   96  2.763   95  2.587  100  2.339   92 0.3880   96 0.3888   96 12.927  104  2.164   89  2.514
Northern Illinois  3  8  0 220 420  2.830   97  2.751   96  2.586  101  2.318   91 0.3889   85 0.4193   97 12.899   95  2.685  101  1.951
Central Michigan   4  7  0 255 276  2.695   98  2.638   98  2.486   93  2.685   89 0.4043   82 0.4241   98 12.889   87  2.943   92  2.426
Wake Forest        1 10  0 190 360  3.459   99  2.585   99  2.458   90  2.845  102 0.3504  103 0.3511   99 12.826   86  3.027   84  2.664
San Jose State     3  8  0 271 378  2.728  100  2.527  100  2.388   98  2.426   98 0.3644   98 0.3860  100 12.696   91  2.813   98  2.040
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas-El Paso      2 10  0 263 486  2.932  101  2.461  101  2.314  102  2.224  103 0.3485  104 0.3467  102 12.518   92  2.781  104  1.666
Oregon State       1 10  0 136 237  3.406  102  2.415  102  2.260   89  2.957  101 0.3544  108 0.3084  101 12.604  103  2.330   60  3.585
NE Louisiana       2  9  0 233 413  2.741  103  2.400  103  2.240  103  2.193  106 0.3398   95 0.3912  103 12.401   98  2.595  103  1.790
North Texas        2  9  0 200 424  2.543  104  2.213  104  2.037  105  1.942  104 0.3453  102 0.3549  105 12.075  102  2.485  107  1.399
Ohio University    2  8  1 161 320  2.455  105  2.209  105  2.034  104  1.972   99 0.3635  100 0.3759  104 12.113  105  1.856   97  2.089
Akron              2  9  0 141 428  2.337  106  2.158  106  1.970  106  1.649  100 0.3602   84 0.4216  106 11.946  107  1.682  105  1.617
Nevada-Las Vegas   2  9  0 222 520  2.305  107  2.026  107  1.895  108  1.160  108 0.2998  107 0.3093  107 11.720  106  1.758  108  0.561
Kent State         1  9  1 128 390  2.252  108  1.916  108  1.761  107  1.398  107 0.3150  106 0.3116  108 11.629  108  1.263  106  1.532


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.885 (#6)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida State     10  2  0 563 246  4.478    9  5.382   10  5.053    4  5.359   12 0.6196    9 0.6518    7 17.543    3  6.164   19  4.554
Virginia           9  4  0 378 270  4.175   23  4.805   23  4.575   18  4.533   26 0.5769   21 0.5942   18 16.410   16  4.804   29  4.263
Clemson            8  4  0 303 219  3.937   32  4.540   32  4.302   35  4.175   39 0.5400   39 0.5569   32 15.930   59  3.875   21  4.475
North Carolina     7  5  0 284 220  3.928   42  4.266   42  4.064   37  4.119   48 0.5214   45 0.5380   43 15.512   55  3.912   26  4.327
Georgia Tech       6  5  0 260 243  3.790   50  4.083   51  3.894   53  3.821   53 0.5035   56 0.5058   50 15.173   62  3.794   46  3.848
Maryland           6  5  0 210 251  3.738   51  4.065   48  3.921   64  3.523   57 0.4945   57 0.5039   53 15.047   78  3.345   54  3.701
No. Carolina St.   3  8  0 260 354  3.820   71  3.349   71  3.254   69  3.410   77 0.4324   86 0.4182   72 14.109   52  3.957   79  2.864
Duke               3  8  0 282 386  3.726   73  3.296   73  3.192   71  3.342   87 0.4104   88 0.4166   74 14.001   43  4.075   87  2.609
Wake Forest        1 10  0 190 360  3.459   99  2.585   99  2.458   90  2.845  102 0.3504  103 0.3511   99 12.826   86  3.027   84  2.664

Big 12 Conf: strength=4.221 (#3)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska          12  0  0 638 174  4.867    1  6.164    1  5.912    1  6.209    1 0.7059    1 0.7168    1 19.027    1  6.714    1  5.705
Colorado          10  2  0 444 240  4.495    6  5.455    6  5.135    9  5.119    6 0.6534    6 0.6710    6 17.584    6  5.602   15  4.636
Kansas State      10  2  0 456 166  4.403   10  5.298   11  4.945    7  5.245   11 0.6227   11 0.6325   10 17.356   10  5.178    4  5.313
Kansas            10  2  0 345 261  4.069   11  5.276    9  5.063   27  4.320    9 0.6355   10 0.6424   11 17.096   29  4.499   34  4.140
Oklahoma           5  5  1 233 275  3.784   49  4.098   50  3.911   62  3.622   46 0.5318   46 0.5363   51 15.154   71  3.469   51  3.776
Oklahoma State     4  8  0 250 345  3.704   72  3.331   72  3.230   65  3.522   66 0.4746   64 0.4766   71 14.135   67  3.637   67  3.408
Iowa State         3  8  0 264 409  3.455   83  3.118   83  2.987   83  3.050   68 0.4551   69 0.4514   83 13.619   64  3.666   91  2.435
Missouri           3  8  0 186 311  3.394   84  3.077   84  2.906   86  3.025   70 0.4481   68 0.4521   84 13.550   94  2.750   70  3.299

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.672 (#1)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio State        11  2  0 475 220  4.791    4  5.721    4  5.427    2  5.664    3 0.6834    7 0.6568    3 18.150    4  5.924    3  5.404
Northwestern      10  2  0 311 181  4.695    5  5.608    5  5.308    5  5.270    2 0.6890    5 0.6757    5 17.826   11  5.031    2  5.510
Penn. State        9  3  0 399 259  4.625    8  5.390    8  5.063   10  4.978    7 0.6475   12 0.6258    9 17.363    8  5.325   16  4.631
Michigan           9  4  0 338 223  4.580   12  5.127   12  4.892   11  4.946   10 0.6307   15 0.6120   12 17.026   14  4.917    6  4.975
Iowa               8  4  0 368 259  4.393   18  4.857   18  4.628   14  4.707   17 0.6013   31 0.5723   17 16.532   13  4.965   22  4.449
Michigan State     6  5  1 287 338  4.470   26  4.742   26  4.508   32  4.251   25 0.5817   41 0.5499   26 16.225   23  4.681   48  3.821
Illinois           5  5  1 193 198  4.497   29  4.604   29  4.359   22  4.449   21 0.5864   38 0.5585   30 16.084   48  4.009   10  4.889
Wisconsin          4  5  2 235 253  4.572   30  4.574   30  4.339   24  4.367   30 0.5701   47 0.5361   31 16.011   38  4.213   20  4.520
Purdue             4  6  1 282 269  4.524   37  4.346   37  4.124   23  4.400   36 0.5518   50 0.5214   36 15.685   21  4.689   36  4.112
Minnesota          3  8  0 272 368  4.329   60  3.800   60  3.651   49  3.873   54 0.5026   61 0.4847   60 14.746   25  4.597   73  3.149
Indiana            2  9  0 159 326  4.304   67  3.593   66  3.412   66  3.513   65 0.4801   71 0.4480   66 14.308   75  3.416   57  3.611

Big East Conf: strength=3.888 (#5)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia Tech     10  2  0 349 165  4.079   14  5.037   14  4.796   13  4.725   16 0.6033   14 0.6125   14 16.854   27  4.544    8  4.906
Miami (Fla.)       8  3  0 294 201  4.082   21  4.823   21  4.593   26  4.336   28 0.5735   27 0.5824   22 16.395   36  4.230   23  4.443
Syracuse           9  3  0 375 213  4.014   24  4.752   24  4.517   15  4.697   23 0.5845   23 0.5893   20 16.401   15  4.826   18  4.569
Boston College     4  8  0 207 322  4.132   57  3.860   57  3.716   60  3.709   62 0.4841   65 0.4726   56 14.796   69  3.612   50  3.806
West Virginia      5  6  0 253 210  3.806   62  3.781   62  3.629   52  3.848   64 0.4804   66 0.4680   61 14.745   63  3.681   38  4.015
Rutgers            4  7  0 304 412  3.700   65  3.602   64  3.420   72  3.331   73 0.4428   80 0.4269   67 14.292   32  4.378   95  2.284
Pittsburgh         2  9  0 217 329  3.848   81  3.159   81  3.036   73  3.303   85 0.4186   92 0.4053   81 13.749   74  3.421   72  3.186
Temple             1 10  0 187 358  3.803   90  2.874   90  2.668   82  3.114   90 0.3971   97 0.3875   90 13.299   80  3.292   76  2.936

Big West: strength=2.458 (#11)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nevada             9  3  0 521 375  2.865   59  3.806   59  3.652   70  3.401   51 0.5063   35 0.5616   62 14.714   31  4.429   93  2.373
SW Louisiana       6  5  0 351 275  2.811   82  3.130   82  2.998   76  3.176   82 0.4265   67 0.4544   82 13.721   68  3.622   83  2.730
Louisiana Tech     5  6  0 320 371  2.766   87  3.014   87  2.828   94  2.670   86 0.4122   81 0.4265   87 13.400   77  3.364   99  1.977
Pacific            3  8  0 240 439  2.982   92  2.859   92  2.647   99  2.353   94 0.3866   91 0.4061   95 13.045   89  2.845  102  1.860
Utah State         4  7  0 293 287  2.835   94  2.778   97  2.559   88  2.984   97 0.3797   79 0.4293   91 13.199   85  3.118   81  2.849
New Mexico State   4  7  0 349 389  2.765   95  2.766   94  2.591   91  2.713   96 0.3805   93 0.3970   92 13.097   72  3.464  100  1.963
Arkansas State     6  5  0 265 270  2.192   96  2.763   95  2.587  100  2.339   92 0.3880   96 0.3888   96 12.927  104  2.164   89  2.514
Northern Illinois  3  8  0 220 420  2.830   97  2.751   96  2.586  101  2.318   91 0.3889   85 0.4193   97 12.899   95  2.685  101  1.951
San Jose State     3  8  0 271 378  2.728  100  2.527  100  2.388   98  2.426   98 0.3644   98 0.3860  100 12.696   91  2.813   98  2.040
Nevada-Las Vegas   2  9  0 222 520  2.305  107  2.026  107  1.895  108  1.160  108 0.2998  107 0.3093  107 11.720  106  1.758  108  0.561

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.676 (#10)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Toledo            11  0  1 411 264  3.142   16  4.894   16  4.667   59  3.725   13 0.6103    3 0.6940   23 16.378   37  4.221   71  3.228
Miami (Ohio)       8  2  1 326 165  3.612   35  4.458   35  4.241   34  4.180   27 0.5736   16 0.6118   33 15.921   46  4.024   25  4.336
Ball State         7  4  0 204 187  2.994   63  3.703   63  3.535   77  3.172   56 0.4971   49 0.5290   63 14.457   97  2.660   55  3.684
Western Michigan   7  4  0 253 190  2.835   68  3.485   68  3.335   80  3.158   61 0.4868   54 0.5094   69 14.219   90  2.833   63  3.483
Eastern Michigan   6  5  0 363 335  2.837   75  3.234   75  3.116   84  3.036   67 0.4618   59 0.4946   76 13.895   51  3.967   96  2.105
Bowling Green      5  6  0 226 228  2.663   89  2.959   89  2.765   95  2.667   80 0.4273   70 0.4494   89 13.321  100  2.541   82  2.793
Central Michigan   4  7  0 255 276  2.695   98  2.638   98  2.486   93  2.685   89 0.4043   82 0.4241   98 12.889   87  2.943   92  2.426
Ohio University    2  8  1 161 320  2.455  105  2.209  105  2.034  104  1.972   99 0.3635  100 0.3759  104 12.113  105  1.856   97  2.089
Akron              2  9  0 141 428  2.337  106  2.158  106  1.970  106  1.649  100 0.3602   84 0.4216  106 11.946  107  1.682  105  1.617
Kent State         1  9  1 128 390  2.252  108  1.916  108  1.761  107  1.398  107 0.3150  106 0.3116  108 11.629  108  1.263  106  1.532

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=4.044 (#4)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Calif.    9  2  1 355 212  4.218   13  5.063   13  4.826   12  4.732   14 0.6099   17 0.6028   13 16.887   17  4.771   13  4.693
Oregon             9  3  0 326 272  4.036   19  4.854   19  4.625   33  4.194   18 0.5989   20 0.5947   21 16.399   30  4.457   43  3.932
Washington         7  4  1 312 280  4.379   22  4.820   22  4.590   21  4.461   19 0.5903   22 0.5925   19 16.403   20  4.698   30  4.225
UCLA               7  5  0 338 300  4.121   33  4.487   34  4.245   30  4.287   31 0.5688   29 0.5772   34 15.896   22  4.681   44  3.893
Stanford           7  4  1 344 307  4.008   34  4.486   33  4.274   36  4.124   34 0.5586   40 0.5547   35 15.845   24  4.657   59  3.591
Arizona State      6  5  0 308 330  4.023   38  4.345   38  4.122   44  3.933   38 0.5450   43 0.5473   41 15.537   28  4.503   68  3.363
Arizona            6  5  0 207 199  3.932   45  4.222   45  4.018   47  3.903   47 0.5265   52 0.5126   46 15.372   70  3.528   27  4.277
Washington State   3  8  0 236 274  4.047   66  3.594   67  3.411   50  3.866   69 0.4542   89 0.4146   65 14.429   56  3.912   49  3.820
California         3  8  0 243 286  3.741   74  3.259   74  3.148   63  3.551   81 0.4269   87 0.4167   73 14.023   65  3.654   65  3.449
Oregon State       1 10  0 136 237  3.406  102  2.415  102  2.260   89  2.957  101 0.3544  108 0.3084  101 12.604  103  2.330   60  3.585

Southeastern Conf: strength=4.223 (#2)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida           12  1  0 558 263  4.776    2  5.939    2  5.695    3  5.570    4 0.6782    2 0.6940    2 18.487    2  6.181    7  4.959
Tennessee         11  1  0 431 228  4.495    3  5.721    3  5.460    6  5.257    5 0.6779    4 0.6852    4 18.050    5  5.623    9  4.891
Alabama            8  3  0 260 188  4.028   25  4.749   25  4.514   25  4.352   24 0.5832   24 0.5871   25 16.307   40  4.120   17  4.584
Auburn             8  4  0 438 283  4.145   28  4.646   28  4.402   19  4.522   32 0.5671   26 0.5870   27 16.196    9  5.218   47  3.825
Louisiana State    7  4  1 324 186  4.213   31  4.547   31  4.310   16  4.664   33 0.5600   36 0.5610   29 16.111   34  4.336    5  4.991
Arkansas           8  5  0 284 283  3.960   36  4.421   36  4.200   45  3.926   35 0.5546   37 0.5596   37 15.685   61  3.842   39  4.009
Georgia            6  6  0 260 281  4.143   41  4.285   41  4.085   40  4.044   43 0.5370   42 0.5476   44 15.505   49  3.990   37  4.097
Mississippi        6  5  0 209 208  3.794   48  4.105   49  3.919   57  3.782   50 0.5148   55 0.5064   48 15.200   73  3.434   35  4.130
Kentucky           4  7  0 223 269  4.151   54  3.900   53  3.763   46  3.922   60 0.4924   63 0.4770   55 14.939   58  3.901   42  3.942
South Carolina     4  6  1 401 393  3.876   58  3.820   58  3.671   56  3.789   63 0.4840   62 0.4789   57 14.792   12  5.029   88  2.550
Mississippi State  3  8  0 261 357  3.884   70  3.379   70  3.288   67  3.484   72 0.4449   74 0.4398   70 14.190   42  4.082   78  2.885
Vanderbilt         2  9  0 122 281  3.874   79  3.212   79  3.097   78  3.167   71 0.4464   73 0.4416   78 13.824   99  2.574   52  3.760

Southwest Conf: strength=3.754 (#7)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas             10  2  1 390 255  4.050   15  4.941   15  4.727   20  4.483   15 0.6088   13 0.6191   15 16.632   18  4.751   31  4.215
Texas A&M          9  3  0 327 168  4.122   17  4.868   17  4.639   17  4.595   22 0.5856   18 0.6008   16 16.546   33  4.365   11  4.825
Texas Tech         9  3  0 385 247  3.820   27  4.658   27  4.415   29  4.292   29 0.5733   25 0.5870   28 16.165   19  4.703   45  3.880
Baylor             7  4  0 273 166  3.807   43  4.238   43  4.033   28  4.293   45 0.5327   48 0.5320   40 15.540   53  3.935   14  4.651
Texas Christian    6  5  0 217 246  3.539   56  3.880   56  3.737   68  3.461   52 0.5045   58 0.4950   58 14.787   76  3.385   62  3.538
Houston            2  9  0 188 360  3.668   85  3.061   85  2.888   87  3.021   78 0.4310   75 0.4371   85 13.517   84  3.137   77  2.904
Rice               2  8  1 215 284  3.429   88  2.989   88  2.802   79  3.159   93 0.3873   99 0.3828   86 13.471   82  3.170   74  3.149
SMU                1 10  0 132 352  3.600   91  2.863   91  2.655   97  2.568   95 0.3822  101 0.3659   93 13.072  101  2.527   86  2.609

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.479 (#9)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Colorado State     8  4  0 339 254  3.741   39  4.319   40  4.094   39  4.060   42 0.5377   30 0.5752   38 15.598   41  4.114   40  4.006
Air Force          8  5  0 401 358  3.835   40  4.311   39  4.111   41  3.963   41 0.5379   32 0.5667   39 15.546   26  4.591   69  3.335
Utah               7  4  0 296 230  3.682   46  4.204   47  3.996   43  3.951   44 0.5337   34 0.5653   45 15.395   54  3.934   41  3.968
Brigham Young      7  4  0 307 268  3.667   47  4.187   46  4.010   55  3.810   40 0.5399   33 0.5658   47 15.364   47  4.015   58  3.605
San Diego State    8  4  0 401 283  3.432   52  3.995   52  3.846   48  3.887   49 0.5182   44 0.5441   49 15.182   35  4.307   64  3.466
Wyoming            6  5  0 322 264  3.544   61  3.799   61  3.647   58  3.749   58 0.4936   51 0.5158   59 14.768   45  4.061   66  3.437
Fresno State       5  7  0 371 387  3.258   76  3.230   76  3.113   74  3.208   76 0.4329   72 0.4424   75 13.907   57  3.905   90  2.512
New Mexico         4  7  0 256 303  3.373   78  3.226   78  3.110   75  3.184   83 0.4243   77 0.4358   77 13.884   79  3.306   75  3.063
Hawaii             4  8  0 285 401  3.039   86  3.037   86  2.859   96  2.598   88 0.4104   90 0.4100   88 13.379   88  2.910   94  2.285
Texas-El Paso      2 10  0 263 486  2.932  101  2.461  101  2.314  102  2.224  103 0.3485  104 0.3467  102 12.518   92  2.781  104  1.666

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.480 (#8)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame         9  3  0 392 247  4.702    7  5.425    7  5.101    8  5.176    8 0.6409    8 0.6532    8 17.489    7  5.570   12  4.783
East Carolina      9  3  0 274 226  3.935   20  4.828   20  4.596   38  4.075   20 0.5865   19 0.5980   24 16.334   50  3.976   32  4.174
Cincinnati         6  5  0 252 197  4.029   44  4.233   44  4.030   31  4.285   37 0.5489   28 0.5787   42 15.537   39  4.138   24  4.432
Louisville         7  4  0 283 165  3.462   53  3.915   54  3.758   42  3.961   59 0.4932   60 0.4943   52 15.074   66  3.651   28  4.271
Southern Miss.     6  5  0 284 241  3.673   55  3.893   55  3.753   51  3.856   55 0.4999   53 0.5123   54 14.945   44  4.068   56  3.643
Army               5  5  1 325 211  3.547   64  3.602   65  3.419   54  3.810   74 0.4404   76 0.4364   64 14.436   60  3.870   53  3.750
Navy               5  6  0 223 189  3.455   69  3.452   69  3.297   61  3.657   79 0.4279   94 0.3930   68 14.254   83  3.165   33  4.149
Tulsa              4  7  0 233 300  3.314   77  3.228   77  3.112   85  3.030   75 0.4358   78 0.4318   80 13.792   81  3.208   80  2.852
Memphis            3  8  0 150 240  3.589   80  3.201   80  3.084   81  3.127   84 0.4223   83 0.4225   79 13.816   96  2.680   61  3.574
Tulane             2  9  0 187 303  3.288   93  2.812   93  2.598   92  2.711  105 0.3450  105 0.3365   94 13.064   93  2.771   85  2.651
NE Louisiana       2  9  0 233 413  2.741  103  2.400  103  2.240  103  2.193  106 0.3398   95 0.3912  103 12.401   98  2.595  103  1.790
North Texas        2  9  0 200 424  2.543  104  2.213  104  2.037  105  1.942  104 0.3453  102 0.3549  105 12.075  102  2.485  107  1.399

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                             W    L    T   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 10 Conf                           71   53    5 0.570    1  4.672
Southeastern Conf                     79   59    2 0.571    2  4.223
Big 12 Conf                           57   35    1 0.618    3  4.221
Pacific 10 Conf                       58   54    3 0.517    4  4.044
Big East Conf                         43   48    0 0.473    5  3.888
Atlantic Coast Conf                   53   51    0 0.510    6  3.885
Southwest Conf                        46   44    2 0.511    7  3.754
Division I-A Independents             60   73    1 0.451    8  3.480
Western Athletic Conf                 59   58    0 0.504    9  3.479
Mid-American Conf                     53   54    4 0.495   10  2.676
Big West                              45   66    0 0.405   11  2.458

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.191 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:36:58 2019

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