Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee         13  0 431 189  4.222    1  5.535    1  5.531    4  4.946    1 0.6978    1 0.7067    1 18.295    9  4.905    8  4.988
Ohio State        11  1 430 144  4.314    2  5.174    2  5.095    2  5.225    2 0.6731    4 0.6692    2 17.919    6  5.213    3  5.237
Texas A&M         11  3 335 214  4.504    3  5.096    3  5.075    7  4.821    7 0.6428    6 0.6594    5 17.633   32  4.233    2  5.409
Florida State     11  2 401 161  4.396    4  5.082    4  5.010    3  5.109    3 0.6729    2 0.6913    4 17.731   13  4.789    1  5.428
Kansas State      11  2 610 197  4.451    5  5.052    5  4.977    1  5.365   10 0.6226    9 0.6409    3 17.806    1  5.520    4  5.209
Wisconsin         11  1 382 143  4.047    6  5.041    6  4.962    5  4.860    5 0.6513    5 0.6686    6 17.557   23  4.516    5  5.204
Arizona           12  1 439 236  3.877    7  5.030    7  4.948   12  4.574    6 0.6449   11 0.6321    7 17.422   17  4.683   15  4.464
UCLA              10  2 476 340  4.217    8  5.020    8  4.913   13  4.541    4 0.6637    3 0.6764    8 17.403    2  5.467   44  3.616
Tulane            12  0 540 295  3.263    9  4.933    9  4.801   26  4.176   12 0.6181   12 0.6314   10 17.170    8  4.980   58  3.371
Florida           10  2 380 165  4.131   10  4.915   10  4.783    9  4.756    8 0.6344    7 0.6552    9 17.288   22  4.537    9  4.975
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas              9  3 437 337  4.243   11  4.877   11  4.738   15  4.534   14 0.6144   10 0.6326   11 17.146    3  5.346   36  3.721
Michigan          10  3 359 235  4.155   12  4.858   12  4.716   14  4.535   13 0.6155   15 0.6266   12 17.133   24  4.502   12  4.567
Penn State         9  3 317 183  4.203   13  4.800   13  4.654   19  4.448   11 0.6187    8 0.6440   13 17.079   37  4.057   10  4.838
Air Force         12  1 468 185  3.490   14  4.738   15  4.580   17  4.519   16 0.6066   13 0.6312   15 17.017   21  4.544   14  4.493
Missouri           8  4 334 236  4.407   15  4.735   14  4.581   11  4.605   20 0.6025   17 0.6139   16 16.972   19  4.616   11  4.594
Georgia Tech      10  2 426 295  3.822   16  4.727   16  4.571   25  4.206    9 0.6258   20 0.6122   18 16.858   10  4.845   46  3.568
Purdue             9  4 444 276  4.249   17  4.701   17  4.545   10  4.720   18 0.6030   14 0.6292   17 16.953    4  5.257   20  4.183
Nebraska           9  4 403 206  4.368   18  4.698   18  4.541    6  4.850   19 0.6025   21 0.6085   14 17.036   18  4.643    7  5.057
Miami (Fla)        9  3 448 298  3.995   19  4.659   19  4.497   23  4.325   23 0.5914   24 0.5937   19 16.800   15  4.761   31  3.889
Notre Dame         9  3 328 248  3.939   20  4.634   20  4.469   28  4.150   22 0.5977   27 0.5888   21 16.721   36  4.069   17  4.232
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia           9  3 358 247  3.955   21  4.617   21  4.450   22  4.339   15 0.6083   18 0.6133   20 16.754   20  4.562   23  4.116
Georgia            9  3 292 222  3.790   22  4.564   22  4.425   34  3.908   17 0.6053   25 0.5922   24 16.596   53  3.623   19  4.193
Arkansas           9  3 390 227  3.939   23  4.532   23  4.390   18  4.490   21 0.5985   22 0.5999   22 16.716   16  4.719   16  4.261
Syracuse           8  4 478 300  4.185   24  4.521   24  4.380   16  4.520   24 0.5850   26 0.5913   23 16.706    5  5.253   33  3.786
Colorado           8  4 302 253  4.021   25  4.472   25  4.328   27  4.165   30 0.5653   33 0.5689   26 16.486   33  4.166   21  4.163
Virginia Tech      9  3 381 149  3.965   26  4.355   26  4.201    8  4.782   26 0.5795   32 0.5708   25 16.515   26  4.396    6  5.167
West Virginia      8  4 410 267  3.984   27  4.301   27  4.192   20  4.404   33 0.5587   40 0.5422   27 16.398   14  4.781   26  4.028
Oregon             8  4 473 328  3.945   28  4.300   28  4.191   24  4.222   27 0.5773   30 0.5769   28 16.390    7  4.996   54  3.449
USC                8  5 346 241  4.082   29  4.269   29  4.158   21  4.344   25 0.5841   29 0.5772   29 16.363   34  4.139   13  4.549
Alabama            7  5 251 287  3.902   30  4.236   30  4.126   45  3.679   29 0.5660   31 0.5723   30 16.113   46  3.727   42  3.630
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami (Ohio)      10  1 317 142  2.804   31  4.168   31  4.041   47  3.619   28 0.5737   19 0.6122   31 16.083   66  3.217   27  4.020
Wyoming            8  3 222 215  3.391   32  4.163   32  4.040   62  3.330   32 0.5601   23 0.5958   37 15.878   85  2.957   37  3.702
Kentucky           7  5 431 375  3.865   33  4.126   33  4.000   37  3.839   34 0.5556   36 0.5551   34 16.026   11  4.822   81  2.857
N Carolina St      7  5 366 352  3.788   34  4.116   34  3.987   39  3.753   35 0.5529   42 0.5415   35 15.981   30  4.333   65  3.172
Mississippi St     8  5 350 256  3.808   35  4.112   35  3.984   31  4.026   36 0.5505   38 0.5443   32 16.062   42  3.829   18  4.223
Marshall          12  1 405 236  2.548   36  4.094   37  3.958   69  3.233   31 0.5611   16 0.6170   41 15.765   61  3.348   68  3.119
Michigan State     6  6 336 294  4.041   37  4.093   36  3.963   29  4.145   38 0.5431   41 0.5417   33 16.042   29  4.354   30  3.936
Colorado State     8  4 345 263  3.563   38  4.044   39  3.909   36  3.866   40 0.5416   34 0.5663   36 15.917   35  4.113   43  3.618
Washington         6  6 303 343  3.961   39  4.043   38  3.910   40  3.733   37 0.5436   39 0.5442   40 15.779   40  3.986   52  3.479
Central Florida    9  2 393 209  2.967   40  4.034   40  3.897   49  3.558   41 0.5344   28 0.5852   39 15.780   44  3.768   61  3.348
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas Tech         7  5 315 255  3.807   41  4.032   41  3.896   35  3.891   42 0.5319   49 0.5187   38 15.851   38  4.050   34  3.733
North Carolina     7  5 288 283  3.592   42  3.909   42  3.771   41  3.722   39 0.5422   44 0.5324   43 15.582   47  3.712   35  3.732
Oklahoma State     5  6 303 296  4.031   43  3.904   43  3.768   33  3.933   48 0.5149   57 0.4968   42 15.645   27  4.366   50  3.500
California         5  6 183 251  3.798   44  3.858   44  3.716   54  3.415   44 0.5222   58 0.4951   48 15.412   82  3.012   32  3.818
Mississippi        7  5 280 274  3.406   45  3.840   46  3.697   61  3.375   45 0.5170   60 0.4871   50 15.361   70  3.161   45  3.590
Oklahoma           5  6 184 229  3.816   46  3.831   47  3.688   51  3.528   49 0.5137   59 0.4920   49 15.382   77  3.084   29  3.972
TCU                7  5 267 235  3.486   47  3.828   45  3.697   43  3.680   46 0.5161   51 0.5048   46 15.471   50  3.692   39  3.668
Minnesota          5  6 229 249  3.888   48  3.817   48  3.687   38  3.830   47 0.5161   55 0.4993   45 15.484   52  3.677   28  3.983
Southern Miss      7  5 384 238  3.635   49  3.801   49  3.668   30  4.046   43 0.5318   35 0.5630   44 15.582   39  4.050   25  4.043
Brigham Young      9  5 402 290  3.315   50  3.781   51  3.648   44  3.679   52 0.5066   43 0.5331   47 15.434   51  3.680   38  3.678
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
San Diego State    7  5 243 244  3.390   51  3.760   50  3.663   59  3.390   53 0.5028   48 0.5214   51 15.343   72  3.132   40  3.649
Oregon State       5  6 286 291  3.743   52  3.693   52  3.594   46  3.643   51 0.5077   61 0.4864   52 15.301   43  3.791   51  3.494
Idaho              9  3 392 317  2.763   53  3.683   53  3.581   73  3.179   55 0.4979   45 0.5324   55 15.083   55  3.536   83  2.821
Arizona State      5  6 333 338  3.733   54  3.664   54  3.563   42  3.692   50 0.5109   62 0.4854   53 15.287   31  4.316   69  3.068
Rutgers            5  6 206 376  3.367   55  3.566   55  3.453   84  2.889   61 0.4885   70 0.4637   63 14.709   86  2.941   82  2.837
Louisville         7  5 473 435  3.188   56  3.550   56  3.434   65  3.320   54 0.5024   50 0.5184   56 14.965   25  4.454   99  2.186
Rice               5  6 235 257  3.552   57  3.526   57  3.411   50  3.538   58 0.4921   52 0.5038   57 14.954   58  3.427   41  3.648
LSU                4  7 337 279  3.877   58  3.489   58  3.370   32  3.943   57 0.4938   63 0.4853   54 15.147   28  4.359   49  3.526
Auburn             3  8 166 235  3.988   59  3.412   59  3.346   48  3.567   60 0.4891   56 0.4974   58 14.878   81  3.017   22  4.117
Kansas             4  7 280 341  3.678   60  3.400   60  3.332   58  3.397   69 0.4659   81 0.4315   61 14.785   45  3.728   71  3.066
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Indiana            4  7 245 305  3.724   61  3.389   61  3.319   60  3.382   56 0.4955   64 0.4839   60 14.816   62  3.323   55  3.442
Utah               7  4 339 227  2.962   62  3.370   62  3.297   52  3.528   66 0.4736   54 0.4997   59 14.830   49  3.695   60  3.360
Boston College     4  7 273 311  3.672   63  3.362   63  3.291   56  3.411   65 0.4737   71 0.4617   62 14.772   56  3.505   62  3.316
East Carolina      6  5 274 297  3.017   64  3.321   64  3.242   77  3.038   63 0.4783   66 0.4779   65 14.536   68  3.203   80  2.873
Louisiana Tech     6  6 493 402  3.252   65  3.257   65  3.169   53  3.480   62 0.4861   46 0.5281   64 14.565   12  4.789  101  2.171
SMU                5  7 225 248  3.389   66  3.253   66  3.166   57  3.402   68 0.4660   68 0.4710   66 14.530   94  2.715   24  4.089
Iowa State         3  8 221 328  3.788   67  3.244   67  3.158   66  3.307   77 0.4516   83 0.4261   68 14.474   59  3.380   64  3.234
Baylor             2  9 195 323  4.034   68  3.230   68  3.144   67  3.304   75 0.4533   88 0.4191   69 14.435   65  3.221   56  3.388
Stanford           3  8 261 365  3.738   69  3.225   69  3.136   55  3.412   67 0.4692   77 0.4420   70 14.430   48  3.701   67  3.123
Tulsa              4  7 222 258  3.437   70  3.223   70  3.134   68  3.245   79 0.4477   76 0.4426   71 14.421   73  3.109   57  3.382
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Fresno State       5  6 265 225  3.242   71  3.221   71  3.131   63  3.326   83 0.4394   73 0.4588   67 14.482   69  3.183   53  3.470
Nevada             6  5 371 316  2.948   72  3.210   72  3.119   70  3.232   81 0.4430   67 0.4726   72 14.390   41  3.871   90  2.594
Toledo             7  5 229 216  2.726   73  3.134   74  3.040   81  2.950   59 0.4913   37 0.5506   73 14.287   98  2.370   48  3.530
Iowa               3  8 172 287  3.599   74  3.133   73  3.043   74  3.076   70 0.4654   75 0.4482   74 14.250   91  2.789   59  3.363
Duke               4  7 229 319  3.237   75  3.093   75  2.997   85  2.885   71 0.4648   82 0.4299   75 14.122   88  2.890   79  2.879
Washington St      3  8 223 349  3.458   76  3.055   76  2.948   80  2.991   74 0.4567   79 0.4359   77 14.073   80  3.044   76  2.939
Illinois           3  8 149 326  3.260   77  2.993   77  2.929   90  2.691   78 0.4482   86 0.4232   83 13.859  103  2.259   66  3.123
Bowling Green      5  6 292 312  2.896   78  2.991   78  2.926   83  2.926   64 0.4738   47 0.5278   76 14.090   64  3.315   92  2.537
Wake Forest        3  8 235 335  3.460   79  2.967   79  2.896   72  3.180   76 0.4522   72 0.4601   78 14.021   63  3.316   72  3.044
Maryland           3  8 202 290  3.418   80  2.928   80  2.887   75  3.068   84 0.4385   91 0.4090   80 13.916   87  2.895   63  3.240
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boise State        6  5 329 350  2.494   81  2.890   81  2.844   94  2.636   90 0.4226   87 0.4191   87 13.773   74  3.096  100  2.176
San Jose State     4  8 274 385  3.103   82  2.884   82  2.839   88  2.758   91 0.4143   80 0.4318   85 13.820   79  3.075   96  2.440
W Michigan         7  4 360 312  2.274   83  2.881   83  2.834   91  2.681   72 0.4643   65 0.4828   84 13.830   54  3.583  111  1.780
Clemson            3  8 218 272  3.476   84  2.870   84  2.825   64  3.325   86 0.4347  101 0.3826   79 13.984   75  3.087   47  3.564
Houston            3  8 254 317  3.403   85  2.866   85  2.821   71  3.195   82 0.4401   78 0.4369   81 13.908   60  3.353   73  3.037
Army               3  8 257 325  3.337   86  2.865   86  2.815   76  3.052   85 0.4368   74 0.4569   82 13.872   67  3.207   78  2.897
Northwestern       3  9 214 337  3.393   87  2.834   87  2.780   78  3.029   87 0.4345   89 0.4183   86 13.799   83  2.992   70  3.067
C Michigan         6  5 229 253  2.342   88  2.821   88  2.761  103  2.354   80 0.4468   69 0.4641   89 13.637  104  2.246   95  2.462
Ohio U             5  6 269 303  2.665   89  2.819   89  2.760   89  2.698   73 0.4570   53 0.5015   88 13.743   89  2.842   91  2.554
Temple             2  9 198 360  3.159   90  2.749   90  2.683   95  2.623   97 0.3936   93 0.4084   91 13.597   93  2.717   93  2.528
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Texas        3  8 173 297  3.079   91  2.731   91  2.663   92  2.669   93 0.4029   95 0.3996   92 13.596  100  2.321   74  3.018
Navy               3  8 255 376  2.983   92  2.711   92  2.642   96  2.603   92 0.4124   98 0.3900   93 13.561   84  2.976   98  2.229
NE Louisiana       5  6 227 322  2.451   93  2.707   93  2.634  101  2.459   88 0.4334   85 0.4234   94 13.509  105  2.234   89  2.684
Texas-El Paso      3  8 226 305  3.091   94  2.687   94  2.616   86  2.841  103 0.3818   97 0.3902   90 13.611   92  2.732   75  2.949
Vanderbilt         2  9 142 369  3.216   95  2.679   95  2.608  102  2.393   89 0.4318   94 0.4058   96 13.424  107  1.973   84  2.813
Pittsburgh         2  9 234 334  3.368   96  2.566   96  2.474   79  2.995   94 0.4019  106 0.3597   95 13.453   78  3.079   77  2.910
Memphis            2  9 226 340  3.216   97  2.560   97  2.467   87  2.781   98 0.3927  104 0.3740   97 13.374   90  2.836   87  2.726
Ala-Birmingham     4  7 237 308  2.551   98  2.555   98  2.457  100  2.466   96 0.3976  103 0.3765   99 13.262  106  2.167   86  2.765
Cincinnati         2  9 259 456  3.095   99  2.551   99  2.455   97  2.558   99 0.3901   99 0.3891  100 13.257   71  3.132  107  1.984
New Mexico St      3  8 331 424  2.813  100  2.502  100  2.398   93  2.646  102 0.3823   96 0.3975   98 13.271   57  3.484  110  1.809
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Utah State         3  8 237 309  2.742  101  2.458  101  2.351   98  2.538  105 0.3651  105 0.3710  101 13.148   99  2.354   88  2.722
Arkansas State     4  8 216 385  2.461  102  2.432  102  2.323  109  1.987  104 0.3717  110 0.3356  104 13.010  108  1.881  103  2.093
Akron              4  7 265 299  2.385  103  2.398  103  2.286  104  2.350  100 0.3900   92 0.4090  102 13.068   95  2.652  106  2.048
New Mexico         3  9 274 397  2.652  104  2.338  104  2.215  105  2.325  109 0.3483  107 0.3584  105 12.959   96  2.533  102  2.116
SW Louisiana       2  9 199 453  2.717  105  2.333  105  2.210  107  2.124  101 0.3854  100 0.3874  106 12.834  101  2.306  108  1.941
South Carolina     1 10 207 330  3.367  106  2.328  106  2.206   82  2.947   95 0.3987  102 0.3810  103 13.064   76  3.086   85  2.808
UNLV               0 11 156 389  3.363  107  2.145  107  1.988   99  2.506  108 0.3504  108 0.3578  107 12.679   97  2.518   94  2.494
E Michigan         3  8 216 309  2.225  108  2.113  108  1.937  106  2.178  106 0.3628   90 0.4152  108 12.613  102  2.265  104  2.091
N Illinois         2  9 160 329  2.361  109  2.008  109  1.820  108  2.060  107 0.3601   84 0.4247  109 12.387  109  1.788   97  2.333
Ball State         1 10 150 343  2.435  110  1.800  110  1.662  110  1.894  110 0.3281  109 0.3415  110 12.107  111  1.710  105  2.079
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Hawaii             0 12 149 422  2.690  111  1.654  111  1.496  111  1.762  112 0.2911  112 0.2925  111 11.815  110  1.712  109  1.812
Kent State         0 11 149 454  2.145  112  1.389  112  1.181  112  1.252  111 0.3005  111 0.3320  112 11.174  112  1.277  112  1.227


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.731 (#6)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida State     11  2 401 161  4.396    4  5.082    4  5.010    3  5.109    3 0.6729    2 0.6913    4 17.731   13  4.789    1  5.428
Georgia Tech      10  2 426 295  3.822   16  4.727   16  4.571   25  4.206    9 0.6258   20 0.6122   18 16.858   10  4.845   46  3.568
Virginia           9  3 358 247  3.955   21  4.617   21  4.450   22  4.339   15 0.6083   18 0.6133   20 16.754   20  4.562   23  4.116
N Carolina St      7  5 366 352  3.788   34  4.116   34  3.987   39  3.753   35 0.5529   42 0.5415   35 15.981   30  4.333   65  3.172
North Carolina     7  5 288 283  3.592   42  3.909   42  3.771   41  3.722   39 0.5422   44 0.5324   43 15.582   47  3.712   35  3.732
Duke               4  7 229 319  3.237   75  3.093   75  2.997   85  2.885   71 0.4648   82 0.4299   75 14.122   88  2.890   79  2.879
Wake Forest        3  8 235 335  3.460   79  2.967   79  2.896   72  3.180   76 0.4522   72 0.4601   78 14.021   63  3.316   72  3.044
Maryland           3  8 202 290  3.418   80  2.928   80  2.887   75  3.068   84 0.4385   91 0.4090   80 13.916   87  2.895   63  3.240
Clemson            3  8 218 272  3.476   84  2.870   84  2.825   64  3.325   86 0.4347  101 0.3826   79 13.984   75  3.087   47  3.564

Big 10 Conf: strength=4.085 (#2)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio State        11  1 430 144  4.314    2  5.174    2  5.095    2  5.225    2 0.6731    4 0.6692    2 17.919    6  5.213    3  5.237
Wisconsin         11  1 382 143  4.047    6  5.041    6  4.962    5  4.860    5 0.6513    5 0.6686    6 17.557   23  4.516    5  5.204
Michigan          10  3 359 235  4.155   12  4.858   12  4.716   14  4.535   13 0.6155   15 0.6266   12 17.133   24  4.502   12  4.567
Penn State         9  3 317 183  4.203   13  4.800   13  4.654   19  4.448   11 0.6187    8 0.6440   13 17.079   37  4.057   10  4.838
Purdue             9  4 444 276  4.249   17  4.701   17  4.545   10  4.720   18 0.6030   14 0.6292   17 16.953    4  5.257   20  4.183
Michigan State     6  6 336 294  4.041   37  4.093   36  3.963   29  4.145   38 0.5431   41 0.5417   33 16.042   29  4.354   30  3.936
Minnesota          5  6 229 249  3.888   48  3.817   48  3.687   38  3.830   47 0.5161   55 0.4993   45 15.484   52  3.677   28  3.983
Indiana            4  7 245 305  3.724   61  3.389   61  3.319   60  3.382   56 0.4955   64 0.4839   60 14.816   62  3.323   55  3.442
Iowa               3  8 172 287  3.599   74  3.133   73  3.043   74  3.076   70 0.4654   75 0.4482   74 14.250   91  2.789   59  3.363
Illinois           3  8 149 326  3.260   77  2.993   77  2.929   90  2.691   78 0.4482   86 0.4232   83 13.859  103  2.259   66  3.123
Northwestern       3  9 214 337  3.393   87  2.834   87  2.780   78  3.029   87 0.4345   89 0.4183   86 13.799   83  2.992   70  3.067

Big 12 Conf: strength=4.253 (#1)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas A&M         11  3 335 214  4.504    3  5.096    3  5.075    7  4.821    7 0.6428    6 0.6594    5 17.633   32  4.233    2  5.409
Kansas State      11  2 610 197  4.451    5  5.052    5  4.977    1  5.365   10 0.6226    9 0.6409    3 17.806    1  5.520    4  5.209
Texas              9  3 437 337  4.243   11  4.877   11  4.738   15  4.534   14 0.6144   10 0.6326   11 17.146    3  5.346   36  3.721
Missouri           8  4 334 236  4.407   15  4.735   14  4.581   11  4.605   20 0.6025   17 0.6139   16 16.972   19  4.616   11  4.594
Nebraska           9  4 403 206  4.368   18  4.698   18  4.541    6  4.850   19 0.6025   21 0.6085   14 17.036   18  4.643    7  5.057
Colorado           8  4 302 253  4.021   25  4.472   25  4.328   27  4.165   30 0.5653   33 0.5689   26 16.486   33  4.166   21  4.163
Texas Tech         7  5 315 255  3.807   41  4.032   41  3.896   35  3.891   42 0.5319   49 0.5187   38 15.851   38  4.050   34  3.733
Oklahoma State     5  6 303 296  4.031   43  3.904   43  3.768   33  3.933   48 0.5149   57 0.4968   42 15.645   27  4.366   50  3.500
Oklahoma           5  6 184 229  3.816   46  3.831   47  3.688   51  3.528   49 0.5137   59 0.4920   49 15.382   77  3.084   29  3.972
Kansas             4  7 280 341  3.678   60  3.400   60  3.332   58  3.397   69 0.4659   81 0.4315   61 14.785   45  3.728   71  3.066
Iowa State         3  8 221 328  3.788   67  3.244   67  3.158   66  3.307   77 0.4516   83 0.4261   68 14.474   59  3.380   64  3.234
Baylor             2  9 195 323  4.034   68  3.230   68  3.144   67  3.304   75 0.4533   88 0.4191   69 14.435   65  3.221   56  3.388

Big East Conf: strength=3.811 (#5)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami (Fla)        9  3 448 298  3.995   19  4.659   19  4.497   23  4.325   23 0.5914   24 0.5937   19 16.800   15  4.761   31  3.889
Syracuse           8  4 478 300  4.185   24  4.521   24  4.380   16  4.520   24 0.5850   26 0.5913   23 16.706    5  5.253   33  3.786
Virginia Tech      9  3 381 149  3.965   26  4.355   26  4.201    8  4.782   26 0.5795   32 0.5708   25 16.515   26  4.396    6  5.167
West Virginia      8  4 410 267  3.984   27  4.301   27  4.192   20  4.404   33 0.5587   40 0.5422   27 16.398   14  4.781   26  4.028
Rutgers            5  6 206 376  3.367   55  3.566   55  3.453   84  2.889   61 0.4885   70 0.4637   63 14.709   86  2.941   82  2.837
Boston College     4  7 273 311  3.672   63  3.362   63  3.291   56  3.411   65 0.4737   71 0.4617   62 14.772   56  3.505   62  3.316
Temple             2  9 198 360  3.159   90  2.749   90  2.683   95  2.623   97 0.3936   93 0.4084   91 13.597   93  2.717   93  2.528
Pittsburgh         2  9 234 334  3.368   96  2.566   96  2.474   79  2.995   94 0.4019  106 0.3597   95 13.453   78  3.079   77  2.910

Big West: strength=2.651 (#10)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Idaho              9  3 392 317  2.763   53  3.683   53  3.581   73  3.179   55 0.4979   45 0.5324   55 15.083   55  3.536   83  2.821
Nevada             6  5 371 316  2.948   72  3.210   72  3.119   70  3.232   81 0.4430   67 0.4726   72 14.390   41  3.871   90  2.594
Boise State        6  5 329 350  2.494   81  2.890   81  2.844   94  2.636   90 0.4226   87 0.4191   87 13.773   74  3.096  100  2.176
North Texas        3  8 173 297  3.079   91  2.731   91  2.663   92  2.669   93 0.4029   95 0.3996   92 13.596  100  2.321   74  3.018
New Mexico St      3  8 331 424  2.813  100  2.502  100  2.398   93  2.646  102 0.3823   96 0.3975   98 13.271   57  3.484  110  1.809
Utah State         3  8 237 309  2.742  101  2.458  101  2.351   98  2.538  105 0.3651  105 0.3710  101 13.148   99  2.354   88  2.722

Conference USA: strength=3.204 (#7)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tulane            12  0 540 295  3.263    9  4.933    9  4.801   26  4.176   12 0.6181   12 0.6314   10 17.170    8  4.980   58  3.371
Southern Miss      7  5 384 238  3.635   49  3.801   49  3.668   30  4.046   43 0.5318   35 0.5630   44 15.582   39  4.050   25  4.043
Louisville         7  5 473 435  3.188   56  3.550   56  3.434   65  3.320   54 0.5024   50 0.5184   56 14.965   25  4.454   99  2.186
East Carolina      6  5 274 297  3.017   64  3.321   64  3.242   77  3.038   63 0.4783   66 0.4779   65 14.536   68  3.203   80  2.873
Houston            3  8 254 317  3.403   85  2.866   85  2.821   71  3.195   82 0.4401   78 0.4369   81 13.908   60  3.353   73  3.037
Army               3  8 257 325  3.337   86  2.865   86  2.815   76  3.052   85 0.4368   74 0.4569   82 13.872   67  3.207   78  2.897
Memphis            2  9 226 340  3.216   97  2.560   97  2.467   87  2.781   98 0.3927  104 0.3740   97 13.374   90  2.836   87  2.726
Cincinnati         2  9 259 456  3.095   99  2.551   99  2.455   97  2.558   99 0.3901   99 0.3891  100 13.257   71  3.132  107  1.984

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.327 (#11)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami (Ohio)      10  1 317 142  2.804   31  4.168   31  4.041   47  3.619   28 0.5737   19 0.6122   31 16.083   66  3.217   27  4.020
Marshall          12  1 405 236  2.548   36  4.094   37  3.958   69  3.233   31 0.5611   16 0.6170   41 15.765   61  3.348   68  3.119
Toledo             7  5 229 216  2.726   73  3.134   74  3.040   81  2.950   59 0.4913   37 0.5506   73 14.287   98  2.370   48  3.530
Bowling Green      5  6 292 312  2.896   78  2.991   78  2.926   83  2.926   64 0.4738   47 0.5278   76 14.090   64  3.315   92  2.537
W Michigan         7  4 360 312  2.274   83  2.881   83  2.834   91  2.681   72 0.4643   65 0.4828   84 13.830   54  3.583  111  1.780
C Michigan         6  5 229 253  2.342   88  2.821   88  2.761  103  2.354   80 0.4468   69 0.4641   89 13.637  104  2.246   95  2.462
Ohio U             5  6 269 303  2.665   89  2.819   89  2.760   89  2.698   73 0.4570   53 0.5015   88 13.743   89  2.842   91  2.554
Akron              4  7 265 299  2.385  103  2.398  103  2.286  104  2.350  100 0.3900   92 0.4090  102 13.068   95  2.652  106  2.048
E Michigan         3  8 216 309  2.225  108  2.113  108  1.937  106  2.178  106 0.3628   90 0.4152  108 12.613  102  2.265  104  2.091
N Illinois         2  9 160 329  2.361  109  2.008  109  1.820  108  2.060  107 0.3601   84 0.4247  109 12.387  109  1.788   97  2.333
Ball State         1 10 150 343  2.435  110  1.800  110  1.662  110  1.894  110 0.3281  109 0.3415  110 12.107  111  1.710  105  2.079
Kent State         0 11 149 454  2.145  112  1.389  112  1.181  112  1.252  111 0.3005  111 0.3320  112 11.174  112  1.277  112  1.227

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.932 (#3)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Arizona           12  1 439 236  3.877    7  5.030    7  4.948   12  4.574    6 0.6449   11 0.6321    7 17.422   17  4.683   15  4.464
UCLA              10  2 476 340  4.217    8  5.020    8  4.913   13  4.541    4 0.6637    3 0.6764    8 17.403    2  5.467   44  3.616
Oregon             8  4 473 328  3.945   28  4.300   28  4.191   24  4.222   27 0.5773   30 0.5769   28 16.390    7  4.996   54  3.449
USC                8  5 346 241  4.082   29  4.269   29  4.158   21  4.344   25 0.5841   29 0.5772   29 16.363   34  4.139   13  4.549
Washington         6  6 303 343  3.961   39  4.043   38  3.910   40  3.733   37 0.5436   39 0.5442   40 15.779   40  3.986   52  3.479
California         5  6 183 251  3.798   44  3.858   44  3.716   54  3.415   44 0.5222   58 0.4951   48 15.412   82  3.012   32  3.818
Oregon State       5  6 286 291  3.743   52  3.693   52  3.594   46  3.643   51 0.5077   61 0.4864   52 15.301   43  3.791   51  3.494
Arizona State      5  6 333 338  3.733   54  3.664   54  3.563   42  3.692   50 0.5109   62 0.4854   53 15.287   31  4.316   69  3.068
Stanford           3  8 261 365  3.738   69  3.225   69  3.136   55  3.412   67 0.4692   77 0.4420   70 14.430   48  3.701   67  3.123
Washington St      3  8 223 349  3.458   76  3.055   76  2.948   80  2.991   74 0.4567   79 0.4359   77 14.073   80  3.044   76  2.939

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.900 (#4)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee         13  0 431 189  4.222    1  5.535    1  5.531    4  4.946    1 0.6978    1 0.7067    1 18.295    9  4.905    8  4.988
Florida           10  2 380 165  4.131   10  4.915   10  4.783    9  4.756    8 0.6344    7 0.6552    9 17.288   22  4.537    9  4.975
Georgia            9  3 292 222  3.790   22  4.564   22  4.425   34  3.908   17 0.6053   25 0.5922   24 16.596   53  3.623   19  4.193
Arkansas           9  3 390 227  3.939   23  4.532   23  4.390   18  4.490   21 0.5985   22 0.5999   22 16.716   16  4.719   16  4.261
Alabama            7  5 251 287  3.902   30  4.236   30  4.126   45  3.679   29 0.5660   31 0.5723   30 16.113   46  3.727   42  3.630
Kentucky           7  5 431 375  3.865   33  4.126   33  4.000   37  3.839   34 0.5556   36 0.5551   34 16.026   11  4.822   81  2.857
Mississippi St     8  5 350 256  3.808   35  4.112   35  3.984   31  4.026   36 0.5505   38 0.5443   32 16.062   42  3.829   18  4.223
Mississippi        7  5 280 274  3.406   45  3.840   46  3.697   61  3.375   45 0.5170   60 0.4871   50 15.361   70  3.161   45  3.590
LSU                4  7 337 279  3.877   58  3.489   58  3.370   32  3.943   57 0.4938   63 0.4853   54 15.147   28  4.359   49  3.526
Auburn             3  8 166 235  3.988   59  3.412   59  3.346   48  3.567   60 0.4891   56 0.4974   58 14.878   81  3.017   22  4.117
Vanderbilt         2  9 142 369  3.216   95  2.679   95  2.608  102  2.393   89 0.4318   94 0.4058   96 13.424  107  1.973   84  2.813
South Carolina     1 10 207 330  3.367  106  2.328  106  2.206   82  2.947   95 0.3987  102 0.3810  103 13.064   76  3.086   85  2.808

Western Athletic Conf: strength=3.202 (#8)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Air Force         12  1 468 185  3.490   14  4.738   15  4.580   17  4.519   16 0.6066   13 0.6312   15 17.017   21  4.544   14  4.493
Wyoming            8  3 222 215  3.391   32  4.163   32  4.040   62  3.330   32 0.5601   23 0.5958   37 15.878   85  2.957   37  3.702
Colorado State     8  4 345 263  3.563   38  4.044   39  3.909   36  3.866   40 0.5416   34 0.5663   36 15.917   35  4.113   43  3.618
TCU                7  5 267 235  3.486   47  3.828   45  3.697   43  3.680   46 0.5161   51 0.5048   46 15.471   50  3.692   39  3.668
Brigham Young      9  5 402 290  3.315   50  3.781   51  3.648   44  3.679   52 0.5066   43 0.5331   47 15.434   51  3.680   38  3.678
San Diego State    7  5 243 244  3.390   51  3.760   50  3.663   59  3.390   53 0.5028   48 0.5214   51 15.343   72  3.132   40  3.649
Rice               5  6 235 257  3.552   57  3.526   57  3.411   50  3.538   58 0.4921   52 0.5038   57 14.954   58  3.427   41  3.648
Utah               7  4 339 227  2.962   62  3.370   62  3.297   52  3.528   66 0.4736   54 0.4997   59 14.830   49  3.695   60  3.360
SMU                5  7 225 248  3.389   66  3.253   66  3.166   57  3.402   68 0.4660   68 0.4710   66 14.530   94  2.715   24  4.089
Tulsa              4  7 222 258  3.437   70  3.223   70  3.134   68  3.245   79 0.4477   76 0.4426   71 14.421   73  3.109   57  3.382
Fresno State       5  6 265 225  3.242   71  3.221   71  3.131   63  3.326   83 0.4394   73 0.4588   67 14.482   69  3.183   53  3.470
San Jose State     4  8 274 385  3.103   82  2.884   82  2.839   88  2.758   91 0.4143   80 0.4318   85 13.820   79  3.075   96  2.440
Texas-El Paso      3  8 226 305  3.091   94  2.687   94  2.616   86  2.841  103 0.3818   97 0.3902   90 13.611   92  2.732   75  2.949
New Mexico         3  9 274 397  2.652  104  2.338  104  2.215  105  2.325  109 0.3483  107 0.3584  105 12.959   96  2.533  102  2.116
UNLV               0 11 156 389  3.363  107  2.145  107  1.988   99  2.506  108 0.3504  108 0.3578  107 12.679   97  2.518   94  2.494
Hawaii             0 12 149 422  2.690  111  1.654  111  1.496  111  1.762  112 0.2911  112 0.2925  111 11.815  110  1.712  109  1.812

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.722 (#9)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame         9  3 328 248  3.939   20  4.634   20  4.469   28  4.150   22 0.5977   27 0.5888   21 16.721   36  4.069   17  4.232
Central Florida    9  2 393 209  2.967   40  4.034   40  3.897   49  3.558   41 0.5344   28 0.5852   39 15.780   44  3.768   61  3.348
Louisiana Tech     6  6 493 402  3.252   65  3.257   65  3.169   53  3.480   62 0.4861   46 0.5281   64 14.565   12  4.789  101  2.171
Navy               3  8 255 376  2.983   92  2.711   92  2.642   96  2.603   92 0.4124   98 0.3900   93 13.561   84  2.976   98  2.229
NE Louisiana       5  6 227 322  2.451   93  2.707   93  2.634  101  2.459   88 0.4334   85 0.4234   94 13.509  105  2.234   89  2.684
Ala-Birmingham     4  7 237 308  2.551   98  2.555   98  2.457  100  2.466   96 0.3976  103 0.3765   99 13.262  106  2.167   86  2.765
Arkansas State     4  8 216 385  2.461  102  2.432  102  2.323  109  1.987  104 0.3717  110 0.3356  104 13.010  108  1.881  103  2.093
SW Louisiana       2  9 199 453  2.717  105  2.333  105  2.210  107  2.124  101 0.3854  100 0.3874  106 12.834  101  2.306  108  1.941

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 12 Conf                                    82  61 0.573    1  4.253
Big 10 Conf                                    74  56 0.569    2  4.085
Pacific 10 Conf                                65  52 0.556    3  3.932
Southeastern Conf                              80  62 0.563    4  3.900
Big East Conf                                  47  45 0.511    5  3.811
Atlantic Coast Conf                            57  48 0.543    6  3.731
Conference USA                                 42  49 0.462    7  3.204
Western Athletic Conf                          87 101 0.463    8  3.202
Division I-A Independents                      42  49 0.462    9  2.722
Big West                                       30  37 0.448   10  2.651
Mid-American Conf                              62  73 0.459   11  2.327

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.173 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:09 2019

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