Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma       13  0 555 161 -0.355    1  1.290    1  1.065    1  0.912    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.148    2  0.814    2  1.010
Georgetown, Ky.   13  1 710 234 -0.638    2  0.629    2  0.406    2  0.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.022    1  0.977    3  0.136
S. Oregon          7  2 297 199 -0.055    3  0.586    3  0.359    5  0.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.681    6  0.255    5  0.003
Mary              11  2 460 117 -0.365    4  0.528    4  0.284    3  0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.721    7 -0.252    1  1.158
Azusa Pacific      9  3 429 384 -0.319    5  0.467    5  0.207    7 -0.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.284    3  0.707   18 -1.164
Rocky Mountain     9  3 502 215 -0.520    6  0.099    6 -0.197    4  0.174    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.562    4  0.501    6 -0.154
Hastings          11  1 519 149 -1.286    7  0.018    7 -0.222    6 -0.106    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.560    9 -0.280    4  0.067
McKendree          9  2 369 204 -1.018    8 -0.116    8 -0.294    9 -0.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.251   11 -0.439    7 -0.422
Taylor            10  2 308 240 -1.439    9 -0.200    9 -0.403   20 -1.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.780   31 -1.473   14 -0.998
St. Francis, Ind.  8  3 366 277 -0.993   10 -0.236   10 -0.446   13 -0.792    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.838   10 -0.291   22 -1.293
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lambuth            8  4 504 312 -0.672   11 -0.360   11 -0.557    8 -0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.856    5  0.424   17 -1.107
Dickinson St.      7  3 353 205 -0.950   12 -0.545   12 -0.755   11 -0.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.390    8 -0.277   10 -0.710
Benedict           5  5 269 211 -0.615   13 -0.658   13 -0.856   10 -0.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.235   12 -0.442    8 -0.543
Clinch Valley      6  3 301 161 -1.003   14 -0.665   14 -0.867   12 -0.642    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.216   15 -0.664    9 -0.620
Geneva             8  3 312 254 -1.392   15 -0.665   15 -0.869   16 -1.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.773   19 -1.051   16 -1.105
Montana Tech       7  4 329 229 -1.058   16 -0.696   16 -0.909   14 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.781   22 -1.109   11 -0.727
Valley City St.    7  2 240 174 -1.785   17 -0.698   17 -0.915   25 -1.471    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.573   39 -1.661   21 -1.281
Walsh OH           7  3 268 237 -1.454   18 -0.810   18 -0.959   24 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.564   24 -1.194   28 -1.615
Doane              7  3 266 189 -1.506   19 -0.883   19 -1.058   18 -1.197    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.236   30 -1.461   12 -0.933
Missouri Val.      9  3 351 343 -1.893   20 -0.889   20 -1.066   40 -1.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.069   29 -1.415   48 -2.316
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll, Mont.     5  6 351 359 -0.978   21 -0.955   21 -1.148   22 -1.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.027   13 -0.514   43 -2.097
Olivet Nazarene    6  4 270 221 -1.356   22 -0.991   22 -1.195   17 -1.099    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.004   23 -1.182   15 -1.016
Huron              8  3 412 226 -1.628   23 -0.995   23 -1.202   15 -0.936    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.132   16 -0.698   19 -1.174
Tri-State IN       6  4 279 232 -1.429   24 -1.045   24 -1.265   19 -1.209    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.707   20 -1.053   24 -1.365
Sioux Falls        6  3 251 169 -1.657   25 -1.077   25 -1.310   23 -1.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.575   33 -1.497   23 -1.300
Evangel            7  2 307 195 -2.023   26 -1.084   26 -1.321   26 -1.500    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.563   26 -1.322   31 -1.679
Belhaven           7  4 273 284 -1.847   27 -1.128   27 -1.376   38 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.258   42 -1.762   37 -1.953
North Greenville   5  5 222 349 -1.624   28 -1.132   28 -1.378   42 -1.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.160   40 -1.728   42 -2.047
Bethany, Kan.      8  2 435 249 -2.284   29 -1.139   29 -1.390   34 -1.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.469   17 -0.844   59 -2.619
Southwestern, KS   8  3 276 231 -2.128   30 -1.162   30 -1.394   45 -1.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.280   55 -2.228   33 -1.697
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern, IA   5  4 211 237 -1.663   31 -1.212   31 -1.458   44 -1.937    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.125   46 -1.892   39 -1.983
Concordia, Neb.    5  4 227 227 -1.687   32 -1.341   32 -1.560   37 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.054   37 -1.628   36 -1.915
Mid-Am Nazarene    7  4 397 271 -1.985   33 -1.456   33 -1.700   28 -1.543    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  5.982   21 -1.079   41 -2.007
Tiffin             5  6 351 265 -1.452   34 -1.463   34 -1.705   21 -1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  5.961   18 -0.915   32 -1.686
Langston           4  4 219 231 -1.549   35 -1.469   35 -1.717   27 -1.518    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.890   28 -1.402   29 -1.635
Malone             4  6 137 171 -1.513   36 -1.544   36 -1.783   39 -1.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.741   63 -2.726   13 -0.995
St. Xavier         4  6 204 243 -1.499   37 -1.549   37 -1.788   35 -1.739    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.733   48 -1.949   26 -1.528
Baker              6  4 190 176 -2.119   38 -1.556   38 -1.799   50 -2.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.721   62 -2.722   25 -1.401
Mount Senario      7  3 351 178 -2.285   39 -1.571   39 -1.818   31 -1.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.811   38 -1.660   27 -1.610
Black Hills St.    5  5 274 306 -1.832   40 -1.577   40 -1.825   41 -1.884    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.604   35 -1.522   46 -2.246
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St. Ambrose        4  6 254 279 -1.511   41 -1.604   41 -1.860   30 -1.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.628   27 -1.365   35 -1.866
Minot St.          3  5 135 212 -1.661   42 -1.618   42 -1.879   48 -2.007    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.453   56 -2.265   34 -1.749
St. Francis, Ill.  3  7 215 342 -1.433   43 -1.645   43 -1.911   49 -2.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.457   34 -1.500   56 -2.540
Midland Lutheran   4  6 218 315 -1.737   44 -1.702   44 -1.931   54 -2.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.374   49 -1.978   55 -2.458
William Jewell     5  4 249 232 -2.122   45 -1.721   45 -1.956   46 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.450   45 -1.861   44 -2.112
Ottawa, Kan.       6  3 414 265 -2.438   46 -1.789   48 -2.050   33 -1.727    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.436   14 -0.564   68 -2.890
McPherson          7  3 350 215 -2.634   47 -1.837   46 -2.039   53 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.357   53 -2.053   49 -2.350
Nebraska Weslyn    4  6 207 199 -1.730   48 -1.852   49 -2.056   29 -1.604    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.321   50 -2.014   20 -1.195
Dana               4  6 237 361 -1.910   49 -1.893   47 -2.044   56 -2.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.898   44 -1.796   64 -2.767
Lindenwood         5  5 304 211 -1.991   50 -1.905   50 -2.060   32 -1.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.418   43 -1.778   30 -1.663
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Benedictine,Kan.   5  5 340 254 -2.109   51 -2.134   51 -2.169   36 -1.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.144   25 -1.305   45 -2.228
Peru St.           3  7 254 328 -1.572   52 -2.140   52 -2.173   43 -1.924    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.997   32 -1.475   51 -2.373
Dakota St.         5  5 249 291 -2.367   53 -2.192   53 -2.247   58 -2.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.463   57 -2.334   61 -2.659
Montana St.-North  3  7 145 375 -1.986   54 -2.287   54 -2.273   63 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.259   69 -2.856   52 -2.414
Graceland          4  6 319 368 -2.330   55 -2.455   55 -2.493   59 -2.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.158   36 -1.559   74 -3.487
Mayville St.       2  7 179 253 -1.701   56 -2.467   56 -2.506   47 -1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.177   52 -2.034   38 -1.963
Sterling           5  5 273 234 -2.705   57 -2.552   57 -2.554   64 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.033   61 -2.639   60 -2.631
Friends            4  6 189 226 -2.438   58 -2.583   58 -2.593   60 -2.528    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.041   70 -3.067   40 -1.989
Trinity, Ill.      1  9 205 349 -1.422   59 -2.587   59 -2.593   51 -2.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  3.981   47 -1.899   53 -2.419
Cumberland, Ky.    3  8 147 331 -2.191   60 -2.651   60 -2.644   67 -2.743    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  3.597   72 -3.209   47 -2.276
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lincoln MO         0  3  37 132 -1.417   61 -2.688   61 -2.691   62 -2.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  3.555   58 -2.349   69 -2.891
Cumberland, Tenn.  2  8 207 369 -1.834   62 -2.701   62 -2.712   55 -2.265    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  3.690   54 -2.081   54 -2.449
Campbellsville     2  8 229 335 -1.819   63 -2.706   63 -2.718   52 -2.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  3.677   51 -2.031   50 -2.361
Iowa Weslyn        1  9 158 377 -1.564   64 -2.717   64 -2.730   61 -2.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.499   59 -2.371   62 -2.709
Urbana             1 10 149 385 -1.542   65 -2.788   65 -2.780   66 -2.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.408   68 -2.813   57 -2.581
W. Montana         1  8 129 371 -1.733   66 -2.798   66 -2.796   65 -2.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.358   65 -2.794   58 -2.583
Jamestown          1  8 189 333 -1.737   67 -2.864   67 -2.890   57 -2.290    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.382   41 -1.748   66 -2.831
S. Dakota Mines    2  8 211 359 -2.379   68 -3.039   68 -3.097   69 -2.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  2.942   60 -2.474   73 -3.208
Union, Ky.         1 10 154 467 -2.133   69 -3.165   69 -3.252   73 -3.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  2.652   71 -3.161   71 -3.077
Bethel, Kan.       3  7 261 259 -2.771   70 -3.266   70 -3.313   68 -2.806    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  2.802   64 -2.769   67 -2.844
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas Weslyn      2  7 174 228 -2.779   71 -3.300   71 -3.363   74 -3.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  2.659   75 -3.696   63 -2.733
Culver-Stockton    1  9 208 328 -2.355   72 -3.404   72 -3.506   70 -2.901    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  2.463   66 -2.801   70 -3.001
Bethel, Tenn.      2  7 129 286 -3.293   73 -3.471   73 -3.613   75 -3.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  1.981   77 -4.136   75 -3.512
Northwestern, MN   3  7 217 228 -3.237   74 -3.528   74 -3.700   72 -3.071    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  2.227   73 -3.333   65 -2.809
Haskell Indian     2  2  69 116 -4.686   75 -3.533   75 -3.712   78 -4.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  1.819   78 -4.465   77 -4.068
Dakota Weslyn      0 10 185 365 -2.151   76 -3.589   76 -3.784   71 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  1.979   67 -2.803   72 -3.100
Cent. Methodist    0 10 141 490 -2.464   77 -3.720   77 -3.901   76 -3.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  1.623   76 -3.854   76 -4.032
Tabor              0 10  78 627 -4.096   78 -4.315   78 -4.839   80 -5.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  0.137   79 -5.254   80 -5.283
SW Assem Of God    1  8  84 336 -4.479   79 -4.329   79 -4.859   79 -5.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  0.174   80 -5.511   78 -4.540
Crown              0  9 204 391 -3.864   80 -4.465   80 -5.072   77 -4.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  0.149   74 -3.553   79 -4.906


Frontier Conf: strength=-1.408 (#2)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Rocky Mountain     9  3 502 215 -0.520    6  0.099    6 -0.197    4  0.174    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.562    4  0.501    6 -0.154
Montana Tech       7  4 329 229 -1.058   16 -0.696   16 -0.909   14 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.781   22 -1.109   11 -0.727
Carroll, Mont.     5  6 351 359 -0.978   21 -0.955   21 -1.148   22 -1.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.027   13 -0.514   43 -2.097
Montana St.-North  3  7 145 375 -1.986   54 -2.287   54 -2.273   63 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.259   69 -2.856   52 -2.414
W. Montana         1  8 129 371 -1.733   66 -2.798   66 -2.796   65 -2.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.358   65 -2.794   58 -2.583

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-2.125 (#8)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Missouri Val.      9  3 351 343 -1.893   20 -0.889   20 -1.066   40 -1.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.069   29 -1.415   48 -2.316
Evangel            7  2 307 195 -2.023   26 -1.084   26 -1.321   26 -1.500    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.563   26 -1.322   31 -1.679
Mid-Am Nazarene    7  4 397 271 -1.985   33 -1.456   33 -1.700   28 -1.543    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  5.982   21 -1.079   41 -2.007
Baker              6  4 190 176 -2.119   38 -1.556   38 -1.799   50 -2.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.721   62 -2.722   25 -1.401
William Jewell     5  4 249 232 -2.122   45 -1.721   45 -1.956   46 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.450   45 -1.861   44 -2.112
Lindenwood         5  5 304 211 -1.991   50 -1.905   50 -2.060   32 -1.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.418   43 -1.778   30 -1.663
Benedictine,Kan.   5  5 340 254 -2.109   51 -2.134   51 -2.169   36 -1.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.144   25 -1.305   45 -2.228
Graceland          4  6 319 368 -2.330   55 -2.455   55 -2.493   59 -2.523    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.158   36 -1.559   74 -3.487
Culver-Stockton    1  9 208 328 -2.355   72 -3.404   72 -3.506   70 -2.901    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  2.463   66 -2.801   70 -3.001
Cent. Methodist    0 10 141 490 -2.464   77 -3.720   77 -3.901   76 -3.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  1.623   76 -3.854   76 -4.032

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.586 (#9)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethany, Kan.      8  2 435 249 -2.284   29 -1.139   29 -1.390   34 -1.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.469   17 -0.844   59 -2.619
Southwestern, KS   8  3 276 231 -2.128   30 -1.162   30 -1.394   45 -1.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.280   55 -2.228   33 -1.697
Ottawa, Kan.       6  3 414 265 -2.438   46 -1.789   48 -2.050   33 -1.727    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.436   14 -0.564   68 -2.890
McPherson          7  3 350 215 -2.634   47 -1.837   46 -2.039   53 -2.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.357   53 -2.053   49 -2.350
Sterling           5  5 273 234 -2.705   57 -2.552   57 -2.554   64 -2.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.033   61 -2.639   60 -2.631
Friends            4  6 189 226 -2.438   58 -2.583   58 -2.593   60 -2.528    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.041   70 -3.067   40 -1.989
Bethel, Kan.       3  7 261 259 -2.771   70 -3.266   70 -3.313   68 -2.806    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  2.802   64 -2.769   67 -2.844
Kansas Weslyn      2  7 174 228 -2.779   71 -3.300   71 -3.363   74 -3.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  2.659   75 -3.696   63 -2.733
Tabor              0 10  78 627 -4.096   78 -4.315   78 -4.839   80 -5.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  0.137   79 -5.254   80 -5.283

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.937 (#5)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown, Ky.   13  1 710 234 -0.638    2  0.629    2  0.406    2  0.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.022    1  0.977    3  0.136
Lambuth            8  4 504 312 -0.672   11 -0.360   11 -0.557    8 -0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.856    5  0.424   17 -1.107
Belhaven           7  4 273 284 -1.847   27 -1.128   27 -1.376   38 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.258   42 -1.762   37 -1.953
North Greenville   5  5 222 349 -1.624   28 -1.132   28 -1.378   42 -1.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.160   40 -1.728   42 -2.047
Cumberland, Ky.    3  8 147 331 -2.191   60 -2.651   60 -2.644   67 -2.743    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  3.597   72 -3.209   47 -2.276
Cumberland, Tenn.  2  8 207 369 -1.834   62 -2.701   62 -2.712   55 -2.265    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  3.690   54 -2.081   54 -2.449
Campbellsville     2  8 229 335 -1.819   63 -2.706   63 -2.718   52 -2.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  3.677   51 -2.031   50 -2.361
Union, Ky.         1 10 154 467 -2.133   69 -3.165   69 -3.252   73 -3.119    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  2.652   71 -3.161   71 -3.077

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.433 (#3)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
McKendree          9  2 369 204 -1.018    8 -0.116    8 -0.294    9 -0.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.251   11 -0.439    7 -0.422
Taylor            10  2 308 240 -1.439    9 -0.200    9 -0.403   20 -1.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.780   31 -1.473   14 -0.998
St. Francis, Ind.  8  3 366 277 -0.993   10 -0.236   10 -0.446   13 -0.792    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.838   10 -0.291   22 -1.293
Geneva             8  3 312 254 -1.392   15 -0.665   15 -0.869   16 -1.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.773   19 -1.051   16 -1.105
Walsh OH           7  3 268 237 -1.454   18 -0.810   18 -0.959   24 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.564   24 -1.194   28 -1.615
Olivet Nazarene    6  4 270 221 -1.356   22 -0.991   22 -1.195   17 -1.099    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.004   23 -1.182   15 -1.016
Tri-State IN       6  4 279 232 -1.429   24 -1.045   24 -1.265   19 -1.209    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.707   20 -1.053   24 -1.365
Tiffin             5  6 351 265 -1.452   34 -1.463   34 -1.705   21 -1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  5.961   18 -0.915   32 -1.686
Malone             4  6 137 171 -1.513   36 -1.544   36 -1.783   39 -1.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.741   63 -2.726   13 -0.995
St. Xavier         4  6 204 243 -1.499   37 -1.549   37 -1.788   35 -1.739    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.733   48 -1.949   26 -1.528
St. Ambrose        4  6 254 279 -1.511   41 -1.604   41 -1.860   30 -1.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.628   27 -1.365   35 -1.866
Trinity, Ill.      1  9 205 349 -1.422   59 -2.587   59 -2.593   51 -2.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  3.981   47 -1.899   53 -2.419
Iowa Weslyn        1  9 158 377 -1.564   64 -2.717   64 -2.730   61 -2.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.499   59 -2.371   62 -2.709
Urbana             1 10 149 385 -1.542   65 -2.788   65 -2.780   66 -2.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.408   68 -2.813   57 -2.581

North Dakota Athl Conf: strength=-1.402 (#1)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mary              11  2 460 117 -0.365    4  0.528    4  0.284    3  0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.721    7 -0.252    1  1.158
Dickinson St.      7  3 353 205 -0.950   12 -0.545   12 -0.755   11 -0.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.390    8 -0.277   10 -0.710
Valley City St.    7  2 240 174 -1.785   17 -0.698   17 -0.915   25 -1.471    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.573   39 -1.661   21 -1.281
Minot St.          3  5 135 212 -1.661   42 -1.618   42 -1.879   48 -2.007    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.453   56 -2.265   34 -1.749
Mayville St.       2  7 179 253 -1.701   56 -2.467   56 -2.506   47 -1.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.177   52 -2.034   38 -1.963
Jamestown          1  8 189 333 -1.737   67 -2.864   67 -2.890   57 -2.290    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.382   41 -1.748   66 -2.831

Nebraska-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.612 (#4)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Hastings          11  1 519 149 -1.286    7  0.018    7 -0.222    6 -0.106    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.560    9 -0.280    4  0.067
Doane              7  3 266 189 -1.506   19 -0.883   19 -1.058   18 -1.197    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.236   30 -1.461   12 -0.933
Northwestern, IA   5  4 211 237 -1.663   31 -1.212   31 -1.458   44 -1.937    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.125   46 -1.892   39 -1.983
Concordia, Neb.    5  4 227 227 -1.687   32 -1.341   32 -1.560   37 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.054   37 -1.628   36 -1.915
Midland Lutheran   4  6 218 315 -1.737   44 -1.702   44 -1.931   54 -2.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.374   49 -1.978   55 -2.458
Nebraska Weslyn    4  6 207 199 -1.730   48 -1.852   49 -2.056   29 -1.604    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.321   50 -2.014   20 -1.195
Dana               4  6 237 361 -1.910   49 -1.893   47 -2.044   56 -2.282    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.898   44 -1.796   64 -2.767

South Dakota-Iowa Conf: strength=-2.122 (#7)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Huron              8  3 412 226 -1.628   23 -0.995   23 -1.202   15 -0.936    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.132   16 -0.698   19 -1.174
Sioux Falls        6  3 251 169 -1.657   25 -1.077   25 -1.310   23 -1.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.575   33 -1.497   23 -1.300
Black Hills St.    5  5 274 306 -1.832   40 -1.577   40 -1.825   41 -1.884    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.604   35 -1.522   46 -2.246
Dakota St.         5  5 249 291 -2.367   53 -2.192   53 -2.247   58 -2.496    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.463   57 -2.334   61 -2.659
S. Dakota Mines    2  8 211 359 -2.379   68 -3.039   68 -3.097   69 -2.841    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  2.942   60 -2.474   73 -3.208
Dakota Weslyn      0 10 185 365 -2.151   76 -3.589   76 -3.784   71 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  1.979   67 -2.803   72 -3.100

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.965 (#6)
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM               W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma       13  0 555 161 -0.355    1  1.290    1  1.065    1  0.912    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.148    2  0.814    2  1.010
S. Oregon          7  2 297 199 -0.055    3  0.586    3  0.359    5  0.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.681    6  0.255    5  0.003
Azusa Pacific      9  3 429 384 -0.319    5  0.467    5  0.207    7 -0.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.284    3  0.707   18 -1.164
Benedict           5  5 269 211 -0.615   13 -0.658   13 -0.856   10 -0.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.235   12 -0.442    8 -0.543
Clinch Valley      6  3 301 161 -1.003   14 -0.665   14 -0.867   12 -0.642    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.216   15 -0.664    9 -0.620
Langston           4  4 219 231 -1.549   35 -1.469   35 -1.717   27 -1.518    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.890   28 -1.402   29 -1.635
Mount Senario      7  3 351 178 -2.285   39 -1.571   39 -1.818   31 -1.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.811   38 -1.660   27 -1.610
St. Francis, Ill.  3  7 215 342 -1.433   43 -1.645   43 -1.911   49 -2.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.457   34 -1.500   56 -2.540
Peru St.           3  7 254 328 -1.572   52 -2.140   52 -2.173   43 -1.924    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.997   32 -1.475   51 -2.373
Lincoln MO         0  3  37 132 -1.417   61 -2.688   61 -2.691   62 -2.620    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  3.555   58 -2.349   69 -2.891
Bethel, Tenn.      2  7 129 286 -3.293   73 -3.471   73 -3.613   75 -3.824    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  1.981   77 -4.136   75 -3.512
Northwestern, MN   3  7 217 228 -3.237   74 -3.528   74 -3.700   72 -3.071    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  2.227   73 -3.333   65 -2.809
Haskell Indian     2  2  69 116 -4.686   75 -3.533   75 -3.712   78 -4.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  1.819   78 -4.465   77 -4.068
SW Assem Of God    1  8  84 336 -4.479   79 -4.329   79 -4.859   79 -5.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  0.174   80 -5.511   78 -4.540
Crown              0  9 204 391 -3.864   80 -4.465   80 -5.072   77 -4.229    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  0.149   74 -3.553   79 -4.906

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
North Dakota Athl Conf                        31 27 0.534    1 -1.402
Frontier Conf                                 25 28 0.472    2 -1.408
Mid-States Football Assn                      74 73 0.503    3 -1.433
Nebraska-Iowa Conf                            40 30 0.571    4 -1.612
Mid-South Conf                                41 48 0.461    5 -1.937
NAIA Independents                             65 70 0.481    6 -1.965
South Dakota-Iowa Conf                        26 34 0.433    7 -2.122
Heart of America Athletic Conf                49 52 0.485    8 -2.125
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                   43 46 0.483    9 -2.586

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.191 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:12 2019

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