Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma             13  0 481 194  4.344    1  5.518    1  5.585    3  4.984    3 0.6866    2 0.7158    1 18.760    5  4.991    2  4.977
Miami(FL)            11  1 506 190  4.263    2  5.114    2  5.052    2  5.175    2 0.6869    1 0.7272    2 18.209    1  5.406    3  4.944
Washington           11  1 387 270  3.968    3  4.979    3  4.959   11  4.331    1 0.7025    3 0.7116    4 17.971   10  4.729   22  3.934
VirginiaTech         11  1 484 269  3.866    4  4.892    4  4.849    8  4.495    5 0.6721    4 0.7078    5 17.938    3  5.157   25  3.833
FloridaState         11  2 511 136  4.351    5  4.857    5  4.806    1  5.221    6 0.6647    5 0.6904    3 18.009    7  4.911    1  5.531
OregonState          11  1 400 212  3.786    6  4.826    6  4.764    5  4.620    4 0.6821    6 0.6840    6 17.787    8  4.842    6  4.398
Nebraska             10  2 522 230  4.093    7  4.723    7  4.635    4  4.854    8 0.6404    9 0.6610    7 17.759    2  5.316    7  4.393
Florida              10  3 468 273  4.135    8  4.674    8  4.578    6  4.600    9 0.6328    7 0.6765    8 17.602    4  5.114   17  4.086
Oregon               10  2 351 249  3.796    9  4.664    9  4.566   18  4.056    7 0.6584    8 0.6672   10 17.418   37  3.801    8  4.311
KansasState          11  3 549 261  4.029   10  4.634   10  4.531    7  4.587   11 0.6108   10 0.6207    9 17.552    6  4.919   11  4.254
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NotreDame             9  3 353 267  3.722   11  4.388   11  4.248   23  3.885   10 0.6218   11 0.6155   12 16.995   26  4.017   30  3.753
Michigan              9  3 404 229  3.719   12  4.315   12  4.165   12  4.330   12 0.5958   15 0.6032   11 17.015   14  4.499   16  4.161
IowaState             9  3 343 322  3.492   13  4.305   13  4.154   41  3.578   16 0.5871   25 0.5780   18 16.741   25  4.026   57  3.130
GeorgiaTech           9  3 386 237  3.648   14  4.292   14  4.140   15  4.085   13 0.5947   16 0.5957   14 16.898   15  4.403   28  3.767
Clemson               9  3 416 253  3.610   15  4.251   16  4.120   22  3.913   14 0.5936   17 0.5939   16 16.851   17  4.232   36  3.593
Auburn                9  4 316 266  3.658   16  4.251   15  4.120   31  3.728   22 0.5744   19 0.5893   17 16.753   51  3.453   19  4.003
Texas                 9  3 455 232  3.715   17  4.248   17  4.117    9  4.363   25 0.5731   34 0.5640   13 16.945    9  4.760   21  3.967
Toledo               10  1 400 125  3.024   18  4.207   18  4.060   16  4.085   21 0.5763   13 0.6109   15 16.859   32  3.905    9  4.264
Northwestern          8  4 441 400  3.705   19  4.185   19  4.036   33  3.691   24 0.5732   26 0.5752   23 16.642   12  4.579   78  2.802
Tennessee             8  4 380 247  3.740   20  4.181   20  4.032   19  3.979   33 0.5565   35 0.5608   19 16.710   18  4.189   27  3.769
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ColoradoState        10  2 363 225  3.135   21  4.164   22  4.008   40  3.610   17 0.5833   14 0.6089   28 16.533   38  3.733   44  3.488
SouthCarolina         8  4 283 181  3.754   22  4.157   23  4.002   14  4.121   30 0.5630   33 0.5643   20 16.701   46  3.576    5  4.666
OhioState             8  4 331 222  3.718   23  4.122   24  3.974   20  3.948   19 0.5776   29 0.5722   22 16.665   23  4.048   24  3.848
Wisconsin             9  4 328 265  3.612   24  4.113   21  4.010   25  3.819   15 0.5911   22 0.5835   26 16.585   54  3.443   13  4.195
Purdue                8  4 381 266  3.671   25  4.101   25  3.971   24  3.840   18 0.5791   21 0.5849   25 16.594   24  4.031   34  3.648
MississippiState      8  4 390 306  3.687   26  4.092   26  3.960   21  3.940   23 0.5740   18 0.5906   24 16.619   11  4.630   52  3.250
Georgia               8  4 331 212  3.665   27  4.052   27  3.917   17  4.064   20 0.5766   31 0.5654   27 16.544   34  3.871   10  4.258
TCU                  10  2 431 134  3.184   28  4.029   28  3.889   10  4.344   31 0.5581   27 0.5744   21 16.674   27  3.971    4  4.716
TexasA&M              7  5 348 239  3.885   29  4.014   29  3.875   13  4.138   32 0.5575   36 0.5578   29 16.502   19  4.105   14  4.171
LSU                   8  4 320 235  3.529   30  4.000   30  3.859   30  3.753   28 0.5636   28 0.5741   30 16.336   65  3.276   12  4.230
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisville            9  3 405 268  3.142   31  3.969   31  3.822   43  3.539   29 0.5630   20 0.5857   31 16.257   36  3.853   54  3.224
UTEP                  8  4 378 336  3.271   32  3.899   32  3.733   47  3.424   47 0.5382   23 0.5821   36 16.137   31  3.920   70  2.927
UCLA                  6  6 353 368  3.811   33  3.889   33  3.724   34  3.682   27 0.5645   43 0.5333   33 16.155   16  4.401   67  2.964
WestVirginia          7  5 356 363  3.538   34  3.881   34  3.713   45  3.484   26 0.5696   32 0.5650   37 16.103   20  4.099   74  2.870
SouthernMiss          8  4 314 203  3.405   35  3.880   35  3.712   27  3.780   36 0.5508   24 0.5784   32 16.250   48  3.535   18  4.024
NorthCarolinaState    8  4 379 338  3.250   36  3.871   36  3.703   57  3.348   39 0.5449   50 0.5269   38 16.063   35  3.861   76  2.834
BoiseState           10  2 532 274  2.799   37  3.843   37  3.667   26  3.794   34 0.5540   30 0.5685   34 16.147   13  4.527   65  3.060
EastCarolina          8  4 370 256  3.348   38  3.839   38  3.665   32  3.716   37 0.5477   38 0.5549   35 16.138   28  3.966   46  3.466
AirForce              9  3 421 312  2.976   39  3.811   39  3.634   54  3.358   44 0.5416   39 0.5537   41 15.947   21  4.060   81  2.657
Stanford              5  6 261 294  3.762   40  3.759   40  3.581   42  3.566   35 0.5518   52 0.5223   45 15.797   45  3.581   40  3.551
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BostonCollege         7  5 378 277  3.510   41  3.743   41  3.561   28  3.766   46 0.5388   45 0.5317   40 15.975   29  3.947   37  3.585
Syracuse              6  5 294 212  3.546   42  3.716   42  3.551   38  3.639   43 0.5423   41 0.5434   42 15.925   56  3.407   23  3.872
Pittsburgh            7  5 296 247  3.428   43  3.691   43  3.534   39  3.638   41 0.5434   42 0.5376   43 15.882   50  3.511   29  3.766
WesternMichigan       9  3 359 139  3.099   44  3.683   45  3.523   29  3.756   42 0.5424   12 0.6140   39 15.980   59  3.346   15  4.166
Mississippi           7  5 352 329  3.323   45  3.682   44  3.523   55  3.358   49 0.5229   62 0.5072   47 15.688   39  3.674   66  3.043
Arizona               5  6 254 237  3.766   46  3.678   46  3.521   35  3.680   38 0.5457   56 0.5196   44 15.880   57  3.367   20  3.994
ArizonaState          6  6 313 303  3.564   47  3.665   47  3.508   44  3.526   40 0.5437   57 0.5193   46 15.707   63  3.312   32  3.741
Arkansas              6  6 278 289  3.477   48  3.661   48  3.504   60  3.263   56 0.5090   54 0.5205   49 15.633   53  3.448   63  3.078
TexasTech             7  6 330 278  3.504   49  3.618   49  3.451   36  3.672   59 0.5059   65 0.4982   48 15.682   47  3.570   26  3.773
MichiganState         5  6 197 233  3.563   50  3.594   50  3.423   58  3.337   50 0.5202   63 0.5033   51 15.533   81  2.980   33  3.695
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ala-Birmingham        7  4 238 192  2.996   51  3.572   51  3.399   63  3.252   53 0.5096   48 0.5276   52 15.491   87  2.758   31  3.745
FresnoState           7  5 317 251  3.235   52  3.570   52  3.398   46  3.469   55 0.5093   51 0.5246   50 15.559   58  3.363   38  3.575
NorthCarolina         6  5 269 284  3.253   53  3.561   53  3.387   61  3.261   48 0.5298   53 0.5217   53 15.474   55  3.430   62  3.092
Virginia              6  6 242 292  3.335   54  3.543   54  3.357   68  3.183   45 0.5396   58 0.5169   56 15.395   82  2.834   42  3.533
USC                   5  7 309 337  3.599   55  3.542   55  3.356   53  3.362   51 0.5193   70 0.4759   54 15.450   42  3.624   61  3.100
SanJoseState          7  5 374 357  3.048   56  3.494   56  3.338   75  3.015   57 0.5088   61 0.5130   57 15.362   40  3.667   88  2.363
UNLV                  8  5 370 275  3.036   57  3.463   57  3.304   56  3.353   58 0.5076   44 0.5319   55 15.407   61  3.327   49  3.379
Marshall              8  5 367 297  2.873   58  3.442   59  3.280   72  3.064   62 0.4995   37 0.5561   60 15.257   68  3.258   75  2.870
Cincinnati            7  5 289 285  3.020   59  3.436   58  3.287   73  3.064   54 0.5095   46 0.5306   61 15.246   73  3.166   68  2.961
Minnesota             6  6 375 318  3.303   60  3.421   60  3.271   49  3.397   64 0.4932   73 0.4715   58 15.362   33  3.893   73  2.901
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BrighamYoung          6  6 280 310  3.252   61  3.419   61  3.269   66  3.196   60 0.5056   59 0.5154   62 15.236   70  3.209   55  3.183
WashingtonState       4  7 281 354  3.607   62  3.389   62  3.236   65  3.220   52 0.5137   64 0.5031   65 15.208   49  3.521   71  2.920
Illinois              5  6 294 286  3.400   63  3.380   64  3.224   52  3.368   69 0.4857   78 0.4530   59 15.287   44  3.613   58  3.122
PennState             5  7 264 293  3.430   64  3.366   63  3.225   64  3.232   70 0.4818   80 0.4499   66 15.185   75  3.075   48  3.388
CentralFlorida        7  4 333 221  2.873   65  3.356   65  3.211   62  3.255   63 0.4950   60 0.5142   63 15.218   71  3.182   51  3.328
Colorado              3  8 252 284  3.828   66  3.311   66  3.160   37  3.642   71 0.4817   69 0.4807   64 15.216   41  3.641   35  3.642
Maryland              5  6 247 284  3.237   67  3.299   67  3.144   69  3.146   61 0.5045   68 0.4827   67 15.070   76  3.066   53  3.227
OhioU                 7  4 343 208  2.730   68  3.233   68  3.064   67  3.190   65 0.4932   55 0.5201   69 15.038   67  3.263   60  3.117
Kansas                4  7 261 359  3.414   69  3.228   70  3.062   70  3.081   72 0.4753   74 0.4670   72 14.919   52  3.452   80  2.710
California            3  8 246 295  3.686   70  3.227   69  3.062   48  3.418   68 0.4875   77 0.4544   71 14.996   62  3.323   43  3.514
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Alabama               3  8 228 246  3.667   71  3.207   71  3.039   51  3.380   77 0.4626   79 0.4529   70 15.005   64  3.285   45  3.475
NorthernIllinois      6  5 409 280  3.078   72  3.195   72  3.023   50  3.383   67 0.4898   47 0.5284   68 15.047   22  4.049   79  2.716
Iowa                  3  9 203 330  3.614   73  3.159   73  2.982   74  3.052   79 0.4602   83 0.4442   73 14.792   86  2.767   50  3.338
NewMexico             5  7 229 249  3.109   74  3.122   74  2.934   76  3.004   78 0.4607   71 0.4758   74 14.739   93  2.618   47  3.389
Tulane                6  5 329 346  2.673   75  3.112   75  2.921   84  2.791   74 0.4642   72 0.4723   75 14.666   43  3.620  104  1.961
Idaho                 5  6 321 377  2.858   76  3.091   76  2.898   89  2.648   66 0.4902   40 0.5492   77 14.577   74  3.138   96  2.157
Indiana               3  8 337 427  3.393   77  3.027   77  2.826   77  2.980   83 0.4459   93 0.4028   76 14.586   30  3.935  101  2.025
MiddleTennessee       6  5 350 316  2.531   78  3.022   78  2.817   82  2.829   80 0.4595   76 0.4600   80 14.483   72  3.166   85  2.493
Temple                4  7 224 269  3.100   79  3.001   79  2.792   79  2.889   76 0.4633   84 0.4410   79 14.508   91  2.715   64  3.063
Miami(OH)             6  5 272 286  2.489   80  2.986   80  2.772   93  2.484   75 0.4635   66 0.4917   81 14.408   90  2.716   94  2.253
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Utah                  4  7 234 207  3.091   81  2.975   81  2.761   59  3.278   86 0.4415   85 0.4354   78 14.550   79  3.005   41  3.551
SanDiegoState         3  8 170 273  3.229   82  2.892   82  2.732   83  2.814   87 0.4400   81 0.4483   83 14.365   95  2.511   59  3.117
Missouri              3  8 255 348  3.315   83  2.868   83  2.703   71  3.073   82 0.4488   92 0.4054   82 14.389   60  3.335   77  2.812
OklahomaState         3  8 202 303  3.225   84  2.763   84  2.675   81  2.861   88 0.4355   90 0.4085   84 14.299   83  2.812   72  2.910
BallState             5  6 212 349  2.413   85  2.753   85  2.659  100  2.286   73 0.4642   49 0.5270   90 14.139  100  2.239   89  2.334
Vanderbilt            3  8 193 273  3.191   86  2.727   86  2.631   78  2.970   90 0.4249   94 0.3997   86 14.264   88  2.757   56  3.183
Akron                 6  5 333 295  2.493   87  2.718   87  2.617   85  2.786   81 0.4571   67 0.4829   85 14.280   69  3.253   91  2.319
UtahState             5  6 292 356  2.587   88  2.708   88  2.608   92  2.501   84 0.4440   75 0.4656   91 14.111   80  2.996  102  2.006
Tulsa                 5  7 240 283  2.704   89  2.707   89  2.607   87  2.710   91 0.4197   89 0.4108   89 14.180   96  2.476   69  2.943
Memphis               4  7 176 199  2.872   90  2.704   90  2.605   86  2.762   92 0.4186   88 0.4135   87 14.230  106  1.965   39  3.558
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kentucky              2  9 254 383  3.440   91  2.670   91  2.566   80  2.866   89 0.4254  100 0.3846   88 14.189   66  3.275   86  2.458
Houston               3  8 211 370  2.907   92  2.628   92  2.512   95  2.367   93 0.4156   86 0.4161   92 13.960   97  2.449   93  2.285
Rutgers               3  8 233 399  2.882   93  2.604   93  2.480   94  2.440   85 0.4439   87 0.4151   93 13.932   92  2.628   95  2.253
Baylor                2  9 139 397  2.965   94  2.505   94  2.365  106  2.085   95 0.4141   97 0.3896   96 13.649  107  1.872   92  2.298
Rice                  3  8 237 322  2.871   95  2.476   95  2.326   88  2.690   94 0.4149   91 0.4066   94 13.817   89  2.733   82  2.647
NewMexicoState        3  8 295 357  2.728   96  2.415   96  2.253   90  2.547   98 0.3898   98 0.3875   95 13.664   78  3.019   98  2.075
SMU                   3  9 181 352  2.647   97  2.389   97  2.220  104  2.091   99 0.3837  106 0.3641   97 13.487  108  1.745   87  2.438
EasternMichigan       3  8 209 350  2.441   98  2.367   98  2.193  103  2.106   97 0.3905   95 0.3964   98 13.446   98  2.373  107  1.839
WakeForest            2  9 181 362  2.811   99  2.334   99  2.154   97  2.331   96 0.4058  101 0.3800  100 13.409   99  2.340   90  2.321
Hawaii                3  9 294 399  2.630  100  2.287  100  2.094   91  2.517  100 0.3803  104 0.3726   99 13.413   77  3.046  103  1.987
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nevada                2 10 207 464  2.687  101  2.197  101  2.053  109  1.778  101 0.3775   99 0.3859  101 13.186  103  2.097  112  1.460
CentralMichigan       2  9 137 376  2.327  102  2.084  102  1.959  110  1.735  103 0.3716  103 0.3771  103 13.028  112  1.405   99  2.066
NorthTexas            3  8 162 300  2.208  103  2.051  103  1.918  107  2.015  104 0.3705  107 0.3595  102 13.056  111  1.478   84  2.552
Navy                  1 10 182 391  2.800  104  2.003  104  1.858  105  2.090  106 0.3656  109 0.3569  105 12.975  102  2.154  100  2.027
Army                  1 10 224 372  2.761  105  1.959  105  1.803  101  2.226  112 0.3419  114 0.3277  106 12.974   94  2.512  105  1.941
BowlingGreen          2  9 174 289  2.510  106  1.957  106  1.798   98  2.320  107 0.3649  102 0.3771  104 12.993  104  2.022   83  2.617
Duke                  0 11 155 430  3.128  107  1.912  107  1.746  102  2.170  102 0.3761  110 0.3457  108 12.822  101  2.192   97  2.147
ArkansasState         1 10 247 410  2.730  108  1.893  108  1.713   99  2.307  108 0.3644  105 0.3670  107 12.874   85  2.793  108  1.821
Wyoming               1 10 170 393  2.561  109  1.876  109  1.691  108  1.848  110 0.3530  112 0.3354  110 12.714  105  2.006  109  1.691
LouisianaTech         3  9 317 396  2.316  110  1.855  110  1.658   96  2.346  105 0.3698   96 0.3950  109 12.794   84  2.799  106  1.893
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Connecticut           3  8 220 368  1.746  111  1.800  112  1.585  111  1.406  109 0.3623   82 0.4445  111 12.547  109  1.651  114  1.161
Buffalo               2  9 177 452  1.949  112  1.774  111  1.586  113  1.373  111 0.3426  113 0.3345  112 12.494  110  1.641  115  1.106
KentState             1 10 128 359  2.137  113  1.560  113  1.397  112  1.406  113 0.3321  108 0.3579  113 12.302  113  1.120  110  1.691
UL-Monroe             1 10  96 415  1.402  114  1.174  114  0.984  115  0.726  114 0.2973  115 0.2819  115 11.286  115  0.223  113  1.229
UL-Lafayette          1 10 171 355  1.613  115  1.108  115  0.895  114  1.310  115 0.2947  111 0.3436  114 11.395  114  1.105  111  1.515


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.388 (#6)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FloridaState         11  2 511 136  4.351    5  4.857    5  4.806    1  5.221    6 0.6647    5 0.6904    3 18.009    7  4.911    1  5.531
GeorgiaTech           9  3 386 237  3.648   14  4.292   14  4.140   15  4.085   13 0.5947   16 0.5957   14 16.898   15  4.403   28  3.767
Clemson               9  3 416 253  3.610   15  4.251   16  4.120   22  3.913   14 0.5936   17 0.5939   16 16.851   17  4.232   36  3.593
NorthCarolinaState    8  4 379 338  3.250   36  3.871   36  3.703   57  3.348   39 0.5449   50 0.5269   38 16.063   35  3.861   76  2.834
NorthCarolina         6  5 269 284  3.253   53  3.561   53  3.387   61  3.261   48 0.5298   53 0.5217   53 15.474   55  3.430   62  3.092
Virginia              6  6 242 292  3.335   54  3.543   54  3.357   68  3.183   45 0.5396   58 0.5169   56 15.395   82  2.834   42  3.533
Maryland              5  6 247 284  3.237   67  3.299   67  3.144   69  3.146   61 0.5045   68 0.4827   67 15.070   76  3.066   53  3.227
WakeForest            2  9 181 362  2.811   99  2.334   99  2.154   97  2.331   96 0.4058  101 0.3800  100 13.409   99  2.340   90  2.321
Duke                  0 11 155 430  3.128  107  1.912  107  1.746  102  2.170  102 0.3761  110 0.3457  108 12.822  101  2.192   97  2.147

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.627 (#5)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Michigan              9  3 404 229  3.719   12  4.315   12  4.165   12  4.330   12 0.5958   15 0.6032   11 17.015   14  4.499   16  4.161
Northwestern          8  4 441 400  3.705   19  4.185   19  4.036   33  3.691   24 0.5732   26 0.5752   23 16.642   12  4.579   78  2.802
OhioState             8  4 331 222  3.718   23  4.122   24  3.974   20  3.948   19 0.5776   29 0.5722   22 16.665   23  4.048   24  3.848
Wisconsin             9  4 328 265  3.612   24  4.113   21  4.010   25  3.819   15 0.5911   22 0.5835   26 16.585   54  3.443   13  4.195
Purdue                8  4 381 266  3.671   25  4.101   25  3.971   24  3.840   18 0.5791   21 0.5849   25 16.594   24  4.031   34  3.648
MichiganState         5  6 197 233  3.563   50  3.594   50  3.423   58  3.337   50 0.5202   63 0.5033   51 15.533   81  2.980   33  3.695
Minnesota             6  6 375 318  3.303   60  3.421   60  3.271   49  3.397   64 0.4932   73 0.4715   58 15.362   33  3.893   73  2.901
Illinois              5  6 294 286  3.400   63  3.380   64  3.224   52  3.368   69 0.4857   78 0.4530   59 15.287   44  3.613   58  3.122
PennState             5  7 264 293  3.430   64  3.366   63  3.225   64  3.232   70 0.4818   80 0.4499   66 15.185   75  3.075   48  3.388
Iowa                  3  9 203 330  3.614   73  3.159   73  2.982   74  3.052   79 0.4602   83 0.4442   73 14.792   86  2.767   50  3.338
Indiana               3  8 337 427  3.393   77  3.027   77  2.826   77  2.980   83 0.4459   93 0.4028   76 14.586   30  3.935  101  2.025

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.823 (#1)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma             13  0 481 194  4.344    1  5.518    1  5.585    3  4.984    3 0.6866    2 0.7158    1 18.760    5  4.991    2  4.977
Nebraska             10  2 522 230  4.093    7  4.723    7  4.635    4  4.854    8 0.6404    9 0.6610    7 17.759    2  5.316    7  4.393
KansasState          11  3 549 261  4.029   10  4.634   10  4.531    7  4.587   11 0.6108   10 0.6207    9 17.552    6  4.919   11  4.254
IowaState             9  3 343 322  3.492   13  4.305   13  4.154   41  3.578   16 0.5871   25 0.5780   18 16.741   25  4.026   57  3.130
Texas                 9  3 455 232  3.715   17  4.248   17  4.117    9  4.363   25 0.5731   34 0.5640   13 16.945    9  4.760   21  3.967
TexasA&M              7  5 348 239  3.885   29  4.014   29  3.875   13  4.138   32 0.5575   36 0.5578   29 16.502   19  4.105   14  4.171
TexasTech             7  6 330 278  3.504   49  3.618   49  3.451   36  3.672   59 0.5059   65 0.4982   48 15.682   47  3.570   26  3.773
Colorado              3  8 252 284  3.828   66  3.311   66  3.160   37  3.642   71 0.4817   69 0.4807   64 15.216   41  3.641   35  3.642
Kansas                4  7 261 359  3.414   69  3.228   70  3.062   70  3.081   72 0.4753   74 0.4670   72 14.919   52  3.452   80  2.710
Missouri              3  8 255 348  3.315   83  2.868   83  2.703   71  3.073   82 0.4488   92 0.4054   82 14.389   60  3.335   77  2.812
OklahomaState         3  8 202 303  3.225   84  2.763   84  2.675   81  2.861   88 0.4355   90 0.4085   84 14.299   83  2.812   72  2.910
Baylor                2  9 139 397  2.965   94  2.505   94  2.365  106  2.085   95 0.4141   97 0.3896   96 13.649  107  1.872   92  2.298

Big East Conf: strength=3.736 (#4)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami(FL)            11  1 506 190  4.263    2  5.114    2  5.052    2  5.175    2 0.6869    1 0.7272    2 18.209    1  5.406    3  4.944
VirginiaTech         11  1 484 269  3.866    4  4.892    4  4.849    8  4.495    5 0.6721    4 0.7078    5 17.938    3  5.157   25  3.833
WestVirginia          7  5 356 363  3.538   34  3.881   34  3.713   45  3.484   26 0.5696   32 0.5650   37 16.103   20  4.099   74  2.870
BostonCollege         7  5 378 277  3.510   41  3.743   41  3.561   28  3.766   46 0.5388   45 0.5317   40 15.975   29  3.947   37  3.585
Syracuse              6  5 294 212  3.546   42  3.716   42  3.551   38  3.639   43 0.5423   41 0.5434   42 15.925   56  3.407   23  3.872
Pittsburgh            7  5 296 247  3.428   43  3.691   43  3.534   39  3.638   41 0.5434   42 0.5376   43 15.882   50  3.511   29  3.766
Temple                4  7 224 269  3.100   79  3.001   79  2.792   79  2.889   76 0.4633   84 0.4410   79 14.508   91  2.715   64  3.063
Rutgers               3  8 233 399  2.882   93  2.604   93  2.480   94  2.440   85 0.4439   87 0.4151   93 13.932   92  2.628   95  2.253

Big West: strength=2.480 (#10)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BoiseState           10  2 532 274  2.799   37  3.843   37  3.667   26  3.794   34 0.5540   30 0.5685   34 16.147   13  4.527   65  3.060
Idaho                 5  6 321 377  2.858   76  3.091   76  2.898   89  2.648   66 0.4902   40 0.5492   77 14.577   74  3.138   96  2.157
UtahState             5  6 292 356  2.587   88  2.708   88  2.608   92  2.501   84 0.4440   75 0.4656   91 14.111   80  2.996  102  2.006
NewMexicoState        3  8 295 357  2.728   96  2.415   96  2.253   90  2.547   98 0.3898   98 0.3875   95 13.664   78  3.019   98  2.075
NorthTexas            3  8 162 300  2.208  103  2.051  103  1.918  107  2.015  104 0.3705  107 0.3595  102 13.056  111  1.478   84  2.552
ArkansasState         1 10 247 410  2.730  108  1.893  108  1.713   99  2.307  108 0.3644  105 0.3670  107 12.874   85  2.793  108  1.821

Conference USA: strength=3.018 (#8)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisville            9  3 405 268  3.142   31  3.969   31  3.822   43  3.539   29 0.5630   20 0.5857   31 16.257   36  3.853   54  3.224
SouthernMiss          8  4 314 203  3.405   35  3.880   35  3.712   27  3.780   36 0.5508   24 0.5784   32 16.250   48  3.535   18  4.024
EastCarolina          8  4 370 256  3.348   38  3.839   38  3.665   32  3.716   37 0.5477   38 0.5549   35 16.138   28  3.966   46  3.466
Ala-Birmingham        7  4 238 192  2.996   51  3.572   51  3.399   63  3.252   53 0.5096   48 0.5276   52 15.491   87  2.758   31  3.745
Cincinnati            7  5 289 285  3.020   59  3.436   58  3.287   73  3.064   54 0.5095   46 0.5306   61 15.246   73  3.166   68  2.961
Tulane                6  5 329 346  2.673   75  3.112   75  2.921   84  2.791   74 0.4642   72 0.4723   75 14.666   43  3.620  104  1.961
Memphis               4  7 176 199  2.872   90  2.704   90  2.605   86  2.762   92 0.4186   88 0.4135   87 14.230  106  1.965   39  3.558
Houston               3  8 211 370  2.907   92  2.628   92  2.512   95  2.367   93 0.4156   86 0.4161   92 13.960   97  2.449   93  2.285
Army                  1 10 224 372  2.761  105  1.959  105  1.803  101  2.226  112 0.3419  114 0.3277  106 12.974   94  2.512  105  1.941

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.473 (#11)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Toledo               10  1 400 125  3.024   18  4.207   18  4.060   16  4.085   21 0.5763   13 0.6109   15 16.859   32  3.905    9  4.264
WesternMichigan       9  3 359 139  3.099   44  3.683   45  3.523   29  3.756   42 0.5424   12 0.6140   39 15.980   59  3.346   15  4.166
Marshall              8  5 367 297  2.873   58  3.442   59  3.280   72  3.064   62 0.4995   37 0.5561   60 15.257   68  3.258   75  2.870
OhioU                 7  4 343 208  2.730   68  3.233   68  3.064   67  3.190   65 0.4932   55 0.5201   69 15.038   67  3.263   60  3.117
NorthernIllinois      6  5 409 280  3.078   72  3.195   72  3.023   50  3.383   67 0.4898   47 0.5284   68 15.047   22  4.049   79  2.716
Miami(OH)             6  5 272 286  2.489   80  2.986   80  2.772   93  2.484   75 0.4635   66 0.4917   81 14.408   90  2.716   94  2.253
BallState             5  6 212 349  2.413   85  2.753   85  2.659  100  2.286   73 0.4642   49 0.5270   90 14.139  100  2.239   89  2.334
Akron                 6  5 333 295  2.493   87  2.718   87  2.617   85  2.786   81 0.4571   67 0.4829   85 14.280   69  3.253   91  2.319
EasternMichigan       3  8 209 350  2.441   98  2.367   98  2.193  103  2.106   97 0.3905   95 0.3964   98 13.446   98  2.373  107  1.839
CentralMichigan       2  9 137 376  2.327  102  2.084  102  1.959  110  1.735  103 0.3716  103 0.3771  103 13.028  112  1.405   99  2.066
BowlingGreen          2  9 174 289  2.510  106  1.957  106  1.798   98  2.320  107 0.3649  102 0.3771  104 12.993  104  2.022   83  2.617
Buffalo               2  9 177 452  1.949  112  1.774  111  1.586  113  1.373  111 0.3426  113 0.3345  112 12.494  110  1.641  115  1.106
KentState             1 10 128 359  2.137  113  1.560  113  1.397  112  1.406  113 0.3321  108 0.3579  113 12.302  113  1.120  110  1.691

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.052 (#7)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ColoradoState        10  2 363 225  3.135   21  4.164   22  4.008   40  3.610   17 0.5833   14 0.6089   28 16.533   38  3.733   44  3.488
AirForce              9  3 421 312  2.976   39  3.811   39  3.634   54  3.358   44 0.5416   39 0.5537   41 15.947   21  4.060   81  2.657
UNLV                  8  5 370 275  3.036   57  3.463   57  3.304   56  3.353   58 0.5076   44 0.5319   55 15.407   61  3.327   49  3.379
BrighamYoung          6  6 280 310  3.252   61  3.419   61  3.269   66  3.196   60 0.5056   59 0.5154   62 15.236   70  3.209   55  3.183
NewMexico             5  7 229 249  3.109   74  3.122   74  2.934   76  3.004   78 0.4607   71 0.4758   74 14.739   93  2.618   47  3.389
Utah                  4  7 234 207  3.091   81  2.975   81  2.761   59  3.278   86 0.4415   85 0.4354   78 14.550   79  3.005   41  3.551
SanDiegoState         3  8 170 273  3.229   82  2.892   82  2.732   83  2.814   87 0.4400   81 0.4483   83 14.365   95  2.511   59  3.117
Wyoming               1 10 170 393  2.561  109  1.876  109  1.691  108  1.848  110 0.3530  112 0.3354  110 12.714  105  2.006  109  1.691

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.820 (#2)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Washington           11  1 387 270  3.968    3  4.979    3  4.959   11  4.331    1 0.7025    3 0.7116    4 17.971   10  4.729   22  3.934
OregonState          11  1 400 212  3.786    6  4.826    6  4.764    5  4.620    4 0.6821    6 0.6840    6 17.787    8  4.842    6  4.398
Oregon               10  2 351 249  3.796    9  4.664    9  4.566   18  4.056    7 0.6584    8 0.6672   10 17.418   37  3.801    8  4.311
UCLA                  6  6 353 368  3.811   33  3.889   33  3.724   34  3.682   27 0.5645   43 0.5333   33 16.155   16  4.401   67  2.964
Stanford              5  6 261 294  3.762   40  3.759   40  3.581   42  3.566   35 0.5518   52 0.5223   45 15.797   45  3.581   40  3.551
Arizona               5  6 254 237  3.766   46  3.678   46  3.521   35  3.680   38 0.5457   56 0.5196   44 15.880   57  3.367   20  3.994
ArizonaState          6  6 313 303  3.564   47  3.665   47  3.508   44  3.526   40 0.5437   57 0.5193   46 15.707   63  3.312   32  3.741
USC                   5  7 309 337  3.599   55  3.542   55  3.356   53  3.362   51 0.5193   70 0.4759   54 15.450   42  3.624   61  3.100
WashingtonState       4  7 281 354  3.607   62  3.389   62  3.236   65  3.220   52 0.5137   64 0.5031   65 15.208   49  3.521   71  2.920
California            3  8 246 295  3.686   70  3.227   69  3.062   48  3.418   68 0.4875   77 0.4544   71 14.996   62  3.323   43  3.514

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.746 (#3)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Florida              10  3 468 273  4.135    8  4.674    8  4.578    6  4.600    9 0.6328    7 0.6765    8 17.602    4  5.114   17  4.086
Auburn                9  4 316 266  3.658   16  4.251   15  4.120   31  3.728   22 0.5744   19 0.5893   17 16.753   51  3.453   19  4.003
Tennessee             8  4 380 247  3.740   20  4.181   20  4.032   19  3.979   33 0.5565   35 0.5608   19 16.710   18  4.189   27  3.769
SouthCarolina         8  4 283 181  3.754   22  4.157   23  4.002   14  4.121   30 0.5630   33 0.5643   20 16.701   46  3.576    5  4.666
MississippiState      8  4 390 306  3.687   26  4.092   26  3.960   21  3.940   23 0.5740   18 0.5906   24 16.619   11  4.630   52  3.250
Georgia               8  4 331 212  3.665   27  4.052   27  3.917   17  4.064   20 0.5766   31 0.5654   27 16.544   34  3.871   10  4.258
LSU                   8  4 320 235  3.529   30  4.000   30  3.859   30  3.753   28 0.5636   28 0.5741   30 16.336   65  3.276   12  4.230
Mississippi           7  5 352 329  3.323   45  3.682   44  3.523   55  3.358   49 0.5229   62 0.5072   47 15.688   39  3.674   66  3.043
Arkansas              6  6 278 289  3.477   48  3.661   48  3.504   60  3.263   56 0.5090   54 0.5205   49 15.633   53  3.448   63  3.078
Alabama               3  8 228 246  3.667   71  3.207   71  3.039   51  3.380   77 0.4626   79 0.4529   70 15.005   64  3.285   45  3.475
Vanderbilt            3  8 193 273  3.191   86  2.727   86  2.631   78  2.970   90 0.4249   94 0.3997   86 14.264   88  2.757   56  3.183
Kentucky              2  9 254 383  3.440   91  2.670   91  2.566   80  2.866   89 0.4254  100 0.3846   88 14.189   66  3.275   86  2.458

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.800 (#9)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TCU                  10  2 431 134  3.184   28  4.029   28  3.889   10  4.344   31 0.5581   27 0.5744   21 16.674   27  3.971    4  4.716
UTEP                  8  4 378 336  3.271   32  3.899   32  3.733   47  3.424   47 0.5382   23 0.5821   36 16.137   31  3.920   70  2.927
FresnoState           7  5 317 251  3.235   52  3.570   52  3.398   46  3.469   55 0.5093   51 0.5246   50 15.559   58  3.363   38  3.575
SanJoseState          7  5 374 357  3.048   56  3.494   56  3.338   75  3.015   57 0.5088   61 0.5130   57 15.362   40  3.667   88  2.363
Tulsa                 5  7 240 283  2.704   89  2.707   89  2.607   87  2.710   91 0.4197   89 0.4108   89 14.180   96  2.476   69  2.943
Rice                  3  8 237 322  2.871   95  2.476   95  2.326   88  2.690   94 0.4149   91 0.4066   94 13.817   89  2.733   82  2.647
SMU                   3  9 181 352  2.647   97  2.389   97  2.220  104  2.091   99 0.3837  106 0.3641   97 13.487  108  1.745   87  2.438
Hawaii                3  9 294 399  2.630  100  2.287  100  2.094   91  2.517  100 0.3803  104 0.3726   99 13.413   77  3.046  103  1.987
Nevada                2 10 207 464  2.687  101  2.197  101  2.053  109  1.778  101 0.3775   99 0.3859  101 13.186  103  2.097  112  1.460

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.004 (#12)
                                            STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                  W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NotreDame             9  3 353 267  3.722   11  4.388   11  4.248   23  3.885   10 0.6218   11 0.6155   12 16.995   26  4.017   30  3.753
CentralFlorida        7  4 333 221  2.873   65  3.356   65  3.211   62  3.255   63 0.4950   60 0.5142   63 15.218   71  3.182   51  3.328
MiddleTennessee       6  5 350 316  2.531   78  3.022   78  2.817   82  2.829   80 0.4595   76 0.4600   80 14.483   72  3.166   85  2.493
Navy                  1 10 182 391  2.800  104  2.003  104  1.858  105  2.090  106 0.3656  109 0.3569  105 12.975  102  2.154  100  2.027
LouisianaTech         3  9 317 396  2.316  110  1.855  110  1.658   96  2.346  105 0.3698   96 0.3950  109 12.794   84  2.799  106  1.893
Connecticut           3  8 220 368  1.746  111  1.800  112  1.585  111  1.406  109 0.3623   82 0.4445  111 12.547  109  1.651  114  1.161
UL-Monroe             1 10  96 415  1.402  114  1.174  114  0.984  115  0.726  114 0.2973  115 0.2819  115 11.286  115  0.223  113  1.229
UL-Lafayette          1 10 171 355  1.613  115  1.108  115  0.895  114  1.310  115 0.2947  111 0.3436  114 11.395  114  1.105  111  1.515

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 12 Conf                                    81  62 0.566    1  3.823
Pacific 10 Conf                                66  50 0.569    2  3.820
Southeastern Conf                              80  63 0.559    3  3.746
Big East Conf                                  56  37 0.602    4  3.736
Big 10 Conf                                    69  61 0.531    5  3.627
Atlantic Coast Conf                            56  49 0.533    6  3.388
Mountain West Conf                             46  48 0.489    7  3.052
Conference USA                                 53  50 0.515    8  3.018
Western Athletic Conf                          48  59 0.449    9  2.800
Big West                                       27  40 0.403   10  2.480
Mid-American Conf                              67  79 0.459   11  2.473
Division I-A Independents                      31  59 0.344   12  2.004

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.231 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:16 2019

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