Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami FL               12  0 512 117  4.402    1  5.516    1  5.403    1  5.635    1 0.6999    1 0.7306    1 18.360    1  5.435    1  5.835
Tennessee              11  2 400 251  4.132    2  5.012    2  4.822    5  4.572    3 0.6735    2 0.6723    2 17.300    7  4.701    8  4.443
Oregon                 11  1 412 256  3.832    3  4.971    3  4.776    7  4.373    2 0.6803    3 0.6719    5 17.212   11  4.562   14  4.184
Nebraska               11  2 463 226  4.067    4  4.899    4  4.692    4  4.652    5 0.6470    4 0.6715    4 17.239    5  4.808    6  4.495
Florida                10  2 538 178  4.122    5  4.816    6  4.602    2  5.179    4 0.6507    6 0.6583    3 17.261    2  5.398    2  4.960
Oklahoma               11  2 397 169  3.960    6  4.816    7  4.601    6  4.497   11 0.6278   14 0.6314    7 17.035   22  4.153    3  4.840
Syracuse               10  3 334 247  4.031    7  4.812    8  4.598   10  4.326   13 0.6211    8 0.6450    8 16.905   18  4.224    9  4.429
Texas                  11  2 517 207  3.922    8  4.784    9  4.567    3  4.756    7 0.6433    9 0.6449    6 17.093    3  4.886    4  4.627
Colorado               10  3 412 318  4.025    9  4.708    5  4.602   13  4.166    6 0.6458    7 0.6547    9 16.883    8  4.600   39  3.732
Maryland               10  2 413 266  3.737   10  4.630   10  4.513   19  4.057   14 0.6134   15 0.6267   10 16.763   15  4.342   35  3.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Illinois               10  2 390 285  3.713   11  4.587   11  4.461   20  4.056    8 0.6356   10 0.6404   11 16.682   13  4.455   43  3.656
LSU                    10  3 418 302  3.868   12  4.558   12  4.408   11  4.240    9 0.6320   12 0.6357   12 16.665   14  4.440   21  4.040
Washington St          10  2 420 269  3.616   13  4.533   13  4.382   25  3.951   10 0.6319   13 0.6321   13 16.578   21  4.159   37  3.744
Stanford                9  3 422 339  3.794   14  4.443   14  4.309   33  3.879   12 0.6274   16 0.6142   15 16.462   10  4.574   60  3.185
Florida State           8  4 403 304  4.109   15  4.423   15  4.289    9  4.359   18 0.6017   18 0.6100   14 16.538    4  4.861   31  3.857
South Carolina          9  3 310 230  3.738   16  4.414   16  4.278   32  3.888   17 0.6037   22 0.5960   16 16.403   45  3.687   17  4.088
Washington              8  4 353 370  3.849   17  4.375   17  4.235   38  3.741   15 0.6074   21 0.6037   19 16.249   23  4.125   53  3.357
Louisville             11  2 394 223  3.302   18  4.307   18  4.158   27  3.938   22 0.5889   11 0.6377   17 16.275   49  3.656   13  4.221
Brigham Young          12  2 618 424  3.175   19  4.258   19  4.135   48  3.590   20 0.5909   17 0.6101   20 16.165    6  4.724   89  2.456
Texas A&M               8  4 248 213  3.747   20  4.249   20  4.129   35  3.797   23 0.5796   30 0.5792   23 16.106   66  3.365   11  4.230
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Michigan                8  4 320 237  3.869   21  4.241   21  4.120   18  4.057   19 0.5984   20 0.6047   18 16.269   35  3.933   15  4.182
UCLA                    7  4 317 225  3.889   22  4.181   22  4.059   23  3.963   16 0.6040   25 0.5931   22 16.114   36  3.927   23  4.000
Marshall               11  2 512 369  3.009   23  4.176   23  4.051   54  3.478   25 0.5730    5 0.6606   28 15.908   25  4.103   76  2.853
Boston College          8  4 337 227  3.790   24  4.160   24  4.035   17  4.064   30 0.5583   34 0.5577   24 16.089   27  4.048   18  4.080
Georgia                 8  4 331 228  3.721   25  4.133   25  4.035   22  3.968   27 0.5694   36 0.5528   25 15.996   39  3.858   19  4.077
Fresno State           11  3 560 344  3.327   26  4.097   26  3.994   31  3.893   21 0.5897   19 0.6075   26 15.982   12  4.490   56  3.297
Virginia Tech           8  4 376 177  3.899   27  4.084   28  3.981    8  4.371   32 0.5546   33 0.5617   21 16.149   20  4.173    5  4.569
North Carolina          8  5 337 271  3.841   28  4.084   27  3.981   28  3.912   24 0.5770   27 0.5863   27 15.933   42  3.799   22  4.025
Arkansas                7  5 294 279  3.755   29  4.011   30  3.907   41  3.690   28 0.5673   29 0.5806   29 15.715   59  3.466   28  3.914
Auburn                  7  5 254 281  3.658   30  4.000   29  3.918   56  3.446   26 0.5723   31 0.5732   34 15.558   78  3.114   34  3.778
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgia Tech            8  5 405 281  3.659   31  3.886   31  3.806   29  3.907   34 0.5521   39 0.5480   35 15.535   37  3.888   27  3.926
Alabama                 7  5 318 232  3.728   32  3.875   32  3.795   21  3.998   29 0.5629   40 0.5478   33 15.625   31  3.949   20  4.046
Iowa                    7  5 391 258  3.732   33  3.869   33  3.789   15  4.118   38 0.5452   45 0.5393   30 15.706   16  4.331   30  3.906
Texas Tech              7  5 402 281  3.882   34  3.853   34  3.787   14  4.159   35 0.5516   41 0.5465   32 15.662    9  4.592   40  3.725
Ohio State              7  5 312 244  3.685   35  3.852   35  3.786   30  3.895   36 0.5505   50 0.5335   37 15.477   40  3.838   26  3.951
Utah                    8  4 329 210  3.507   36  3.849   36  3.783   26  3.940   31 0.5550   23 0.5957   36 15.521   48  3.656   12  4.224
Michigan State          7  5 374 311  3.632   37  3.820   37  3.753   34  3.842   44 0.5371   60 0.5140   38 15.399   17  4.267   49  3.417
Kansas State            6  6 330 205  4.043   38  3.810   38  3.744   12  4.236   33 0.5523   37 0.5518   31 15.696   28  3.984    7  4.488
Pittsburgh              7  5 296 245  3.663   39  3.808   39  3.740   24  3.957   46 0.5331   43 0.5438   39 15.392   30  3.957   25  3.957
Clemson                 7  5 369 339  3.546   40  3.787   40  3.718   49  3.548   41 0.5432   38 0.5489   43 15.252   38  3.865   58  3.230
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Toledo                 10  2 407 297  2.777   41  3.777   41  3.705   72  3.153   40 0.5438   24 0.5939   44 15.229   47  3.674   84  2.633
Iowa State              7  5 309 245  3.597   42  3.763   42  3.692   36  3.781   39 0.5452   59 0.5154   40 15.307   52  3.651   29  3.912
Penn State              5  6 248 281  3.885   43  3.758   43  3.688   43  3.649   49 0.5313   56 0.5186   45 15.222   55  3.618   41  3.680
North Carolina St       7  5 319 257  3.535   44  3.743   44  3.672   40  3.696   45 0.5337   58 0.5173   42 15.274   51  3.651   38  3.742
Southern Cal            6  6 298 207  3.795   45  3.702   46  3.631   16  4.066   42 0.5422   62 0.5112   41 15.299   43  3.738   10  4.394
Notre Dame              5  6 214 215  3.867   46  3.694   45  3.646   39  3.717   53 0.5259   65 0.5039   46 15.206   70  3.320   16  4.114
Purdue                  6  6 250 278  3.654   47  3.634   47  3.628   59  3.411   52 0.5282   57 0.5183   49 15.056   81  3.070   36  3.753
Mississippi             7  4 391 310  3.256   48  3.612   48  3.604   58  3.427   48 0.5315   55 0.5213   47 15.089   34  3.935   73  2.918
Wake Forest             6  5 292 311  3.428   49  3.577   49  3.569   62  3.327   47 0.5323   54 0.5252   51 14.938   57  3.572   64  3.082
Indiana                 5  6 305 298  3.747   50  3.574   50  3.567   42  3.685   55 0.5140   69 0.4919   48 15.071   29  3.980   52  3.390
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bowling Green           8  3 333 215  2.989   51  3.534   51  3.522   44  3.628   43 0.5389   26 0.5868   50 15.018   54  3.625   44  3.630
Wisconsin               5  7 313 346  3.760   52  3.505   52  3.493   47  3.591   57 0.5131   68 0.4920   52 14.918   33  3.944   57  3.238
Colorado State          7  5 298 274  3.309   53  3.497   53  3.483   55  3.456   51 0.5286   35 0.5539   54 14.869   64  3.384   46  3.527
Hawai'i                 9  3 483 318  2.861   54  3.485   54  3.469   52  3.525   37 0.5474   44 0.5412   53 14.901   24  4.125   72  2.925
Boise State             8  4 411 280  3.019   55  3.470   55  3.433   50  3.547   54 0.5231   42 0.5448   55 14.851   46  3.680   50  3.415
Oregon State            5  6 287 259  3.613   56  3.418   56  3.375   37  3.774   50 0.5296   63 0.5085   56 14.777   44  3.702   32  3.846
Virginia                5  7 249 331  3.522   57  3.413   57  3.371   71  3.179   66 0.4901   79 0.4614   61 14.549   76  3.162   59  3.196
Troy State              7  4 246 269  2.687   58  3.396   58  3.348   81  2.886   61 0.5019   28 0.5862   67 14.337   98  2.638   62  3.134
Rice                    8  4 333 335  2.685   59  3.392   59  3.342   86  2.782   59 0.5048   52 0.5304   65 14.419   87  2.830   81  2.734
Miami OH                7  5 319 309  3.078   60  3.387   60  3.339   70  3.187   58 0.5111   32 0.5686   59 14.596   67  3.364   66  3.010
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Florida           8  3 387 231  2.633   61  3.384   61  3.335   69  3.191   72 0.4751   53 0.5271   60 14.573   62  3.406   69  2.975
Southern Miss           6  5 278 186  3.295   62  3.373   62  3.323   45  3.598   69 0.4816   67 0.4927   57 14.720   72  3.212   24  3.984
Arizona                 5  6 320 377  3.384   63  3.360   63  3.310   67  3.225   60 0.5045   76 0.4714   64 14.433   41  3.809   82  2.642
Oklahoma St             4  7 242 281  3.616   64  3.328   65  3.276   53  3.503   65 0.4929   73 0.4837   62 14.524   69  3.345   42  3.660
Louisiana Tech          7  5 406 390  3.033   65  3.322   64  3.309   77  3.039   56 0.5133   48 0.5363   63 14.471   50  3.652   91  2.426
East Carolina           6  6 421 360  3.341   66  3.290   66  3.276   51  3.528   62 0.4999   51 0.5333   58 14.600   26  4.070   68  2.985
Middle Tennessee St     8  3 408 286  2.547   67  3.269   67  3.248   76  3.063   63 0.4967   49 0.5357   66 14.390   53  3.644   87  2.482
Ala-Birmingham          6  5 265 206  3.095   68  3.234   68  3.209   66  3.233   78 0.4687   72 0.4870   69 14.229   86  2.839   45  3.627
Northwestern            4  7 320 378  3.563   69  3.230   69  3.206   65  3.254   77 0.4699   85 0.4490   70 14.217   32  3.948   86  2.560
Missouri                4  7 240 330  3.407   70  3.189   70  3.161   79  2.936   68 0.4824   77 0.4714   74 14.025   84  2.885   67  2.987
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
New Mexico              6  5 304 243  3.065   71  3.174   71  3.142   57  3.441   70 0.4797   74 0.4809   71 14.181   58  3.481   51  3.400
Cincinnati              7  5 336 290  2.828   72  3.163   72  3.131   78  3.023   75 0.4707   66 0.4939   73 14.053   73  3.194   78  2.852
Central Florida         6  5 333 204  3.184   73  3.153   73  3.120   46  3.592   76 0.4706   64 0.5055   68 14.275   63  3.385   33  3.799
TCU                     6  6 289 285  3.103   74  3.139   74  3.105   73  3.152   71 0.4771   47 0.5363   72 14.056   74  3.194   63  3.110
Air Force               6  6 337 386  2.948   75  3.131   75  3.097   82  2.853   79 0.4670   78 0.4650   77 13.941   65  3.378   96  2.328
Minnesota               4  7 308 299  3.451   76  3.098   76  3.063   61  3.402   81 0.4597   93 0.4303   76 14.008   60  3.451   54  3.353
Kent State              6  5 248 281  2.771   77  3.092   77  3.054   84  2.818   73 0.4738   61 0.5136   79 13.823   90  2.783   77  2.853
Kansas                  3  8 182 398  3.266   78  3.071   78  3.033   95  2.533   80 0.4664   88 0.4452   82 13.717  102  2.454   85  2.612
Northern Illinois       6  5 303 292  2.815   79  3.069   80  3.028   80  2.914   64 0.4937   46 0.5373   78 13.877   80  3.078   80  2.751
Arizona State           4  7 374 361  3.492   80  3.068   79  3.029   60  3.406   67 0.4847   89 0.4374   75 14.010   19  4.175   83  2.638
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Memphis                 5  6 294 281  3.050   81  3.016   81  2.967   74  3.147   83 0.4474   82 0.4595   80 13.811   68  3.352   70  2.943
Temple                  4  7 198 311  3.068   82  3.003   82  2.953   85  2.808   82 0.4517   83 0.4522   84 13.657  100  2.577   65  3.039
Mississippi St          3  8 196 288  3.517   83  2.988   83  2.935   75  3.141   74 0.4726   84 0.4518   81 13.762   85  2.841   47  3.442
UNLV                    4  7 284 270  3.170   84  2.915   84  2.833   63  3.316   88 0.4440   87 0.4462   83 13.671   71  3.305   55  3.327
Western Michigan        5  6 277 266  2.825   85  2.881   85  2.794   83  2.849   85 0.4448   71 0.4887   86 13.624   89  2.803   74  2.894
Utah State              4  7 316 421  2.883   86  2.832   86  2.738   96  2.525   86 0.4445   75 0.4726   88 13.419   75  3.173  109  1.877
West Virginia           3  8 235 268  3.485   87  2.830   87  2.738   64  3.293   87 0.4443   95 0.4212   85 13.636   77  3.155   48  3.431
Baylor                  3  8 205 357  3.087   88  2.814   88  2.717   91  2.603   94 0.4250   98 0.4005   89 13.369   94  2.741   88  2.466
Kentucky                2  9 259 367  3.589   89  2.805   89  2.707   68  3.208   84 0.4458   91 0.4311   87 13.522   56  3.594   79  2.822
Akron                   4  7 281 360  2.832   90  2.764   90  2.655   93  2.595   96 0.4242   80 0.4600   90 13.327   88  2.814   93  2.376
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
New Mexico State        5  7 286 400  2.580   91  2.731   91  2.617  100  2.357   91 0.4292   86 0.4479   92 13.161   95  2.703  104  2.011
San Diego St            3  8 184 290  3.012   92  2.665   92  2.603   88  2.679   99 0.4143  101 0.3870   93 13.160  107  2.210   61  3.147
Ball State              5  6 268 296  2.513   93  2.646   93  2.581   94  2.575   89 0.4403   70 0.4891   94 13.132   91  2.761   92  2.389
North Texas             5  7 275 293  2.683   94  2.635   94  2.569   87  2.736   93 0.4261   81 0.4595   91 13.243   99  2.587   75  2.886
SMU                     4  7 226 295  2.739   95  2.631   95  2.567   89  2.678   92 0.4286   92 0.4308   95 13.124  104  2.425   71  2.932
Nevada                  3  8 286 431  2.867   96  2.565   96  2.491   98  2.404   97 0.4204   90 0.4340   96 12.978   83  2.915  108  1.893
Vanderbilt              2  9 226 402  3.208   97  2.538   97  2.462   90  2.635   98 0.4204   99 0.3975   97 12.963   82  2.918   95  2.352
Tulane                  3  9 344 495  2.931   98  2.512   98  2.430   97  2.474  100 0.3933   97 0.4072   98 12.897   61  3.437  116  1.511
San Jose St             3  9 295 461  2.863   99  2.502   99  2.419   99  2.369   95 0.4245   96 0.4117   99 12.838   93  2.750  105  1.989
California              1 10 201 431  3.408  100  2.420  100  2.346   92  2.599   90 0.4358   94 0.4273  100 12.757   92  2.752   90  2.446
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Wyoming                 2  9 229 368  2.983  101  2.402  101  2.321  101  2.357  101 0.3873  104 0.3688  101 12.679   97  2.639  102  2.075
Army                    3  8 229 365  2.561  102  2.321  102  2.219  105  2.202  105 0.3570  108 0.3462  102 12.516  105  2.313  100  2.091
Central Michigan        3  8 251 346  2.482  103  2.240  103  2.129  103  2.269  102 0.3781  100 0.3901  103 12.418  101  2.552  106  1.986
Rutgers                 2  9 119 397  2.490  104  2.169  104  2.047  114  1.752  103 0.3669  109 0.3438  105 12.121  114  1.404   99  2.100
UL-Lafayette            3  8 234 365  2.185  105  2.075  105  1.930  110  1.936  111 0.3393  116 0.3116  106 12.060  109  2.102  111  1.770
Ohio U.                 1 10 198 323  2.858  106  2.059  106  1.914  102  2.280  106 0.3484  102 0.3770  104 12.145  108  2.205   94  2.355
Buffalo                 3  8 205 286  2.180  107  2.027  107  1.872  107  2.138  107 0.3453  105 0.3638  107 12.032  111  1.977   97  2.298
Duke                    0 11 212 491  3.190  108  2.011  108  1.858  104  2.211  104 0.3616  110 0.3384  108 11.970   96  2.672  112  1.750
UL-Monroe               2  9 148 351  2.235  109  1.955  109  1.781  115  1.703  109 0.3432  103 0.3733  110 11.785  115  1.294   98  2.112
UTEP                    2  9 235 414  2.227  110  1.944  110  1.769  111  1.815  110 0.3410  114 0.3223  109 11.823  110  2.069  115  1.561
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Connecticut             2  9 192 370  2.172  111  1.881  111  1.680  112  1.813  114 0.3287  106 0.3568  112 11.646  112  1.814  110  1.813
Houston                 0 11 190 432  2.944  112  1.871  112  1.676  108  2.090  113 0.3293  107 0.3550  111 11.711  103  2.436  113  1.743
Idaho                   1 10 313 495  2.415  113  1.771  113  1.556  109  2.016  108 0.3437  113 0.3270  113 11.543   79  3.090  117  0.942
Tulsa                   1 10 191 387  2.304  114  1.739  114  1.515  113  1.782  112 0.3353  111 0.3328  115 11.431  113  1.651  107  1.913
Arkansas State          2  9 177 357  1.863  115  1.704  115  1.469  117  1.406  116 0.3090  115 0.3205  116 11.314  117  1.179  114  1.634
Navy                    0 10 183 344  2.626  116  1.692  116  1.457  106  2.178  117 0.3051  117 0.2918  114 11.455  106  2.305  103  2.051
Eastern Michigan        2  9 197 356  1.817  117  1.648  117  1.395  116  1.659  115 0.3096  112 0.3290  117 11.250  116  1.235  101  2.083


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.683 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Maryland               10  2 413 266  3.737   10  4.630   10  4.513   19  4.057   14 0.6134   15 0.6267   10 16.763   15  4.342   35  3.772
Florida State           8  4 403 304  4.109   15  4.423   15  4.289    9  4.359   18 0.6017   18 0.6100   14 16.538    4  4.861   31  3.857
North Carolina          8  5 337 271  3.841   28  4.084   27  3.981   28  3.912   24 0.5770   27 0.5863   27 15.933   42  3.799   22  4.025
Georgia Tech            8  5 405 281  3.659   31  3.886   31  3.806   29  3.907   34 0.5521   39 0.5480   35 15.535   37  3.888   27  3.926
Clemson                 7  5 369 339  3.546   40  3.787   40  3.718   49  3.548   41 0.5432   38 0.5489   43 15.252   38  3.865   58  3.230
North Carolina St       7  5 319 257  3.535   44  3.743   44  3.672   40  3.696   45 0.5337   58 0.5173   42 15.274   51  3.651   38  3.742
Wake Forest             6  5 292 311  3.428   49  3.577   49  3.569   62  3.327   47 0.5323   54 0.5252   51 14.938   57  3.572   64  3.082
Virginia                5  7 249 331  3.522   57  3.413   57  3.371   71  3.179   66 0.4901   79 0.4614   61 14.549   76  3.162   59  3.196
Duke                    0 11 212 491  3.190  108  2.011  108  1.858  104  2.211  104 0.3616  110 0.3384  108 11.970   96  2.672  112  1.750

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.804 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Illinois               10  2 390 285  3.713   11  4.587   11  4.461   20  4.056    8 0.6356   10 0.6404   11 16.682   13  4.455   43  3.656
Michigan                8  4 320 237  3.869   21  4.241   21  4.120   18  4.057   19 0.5984   20 0.6047   18 16.269   35  3.933   15  4.182
Iowa                    7  5 391 258  3.732   33  3.869   33  3.789   15  4.118   38 0.5452   45 0.5393   30 15.706   16  4.331   30  3.906
Ohio State              7  5 312 244  3.685   35  3.852   35  3.786   30  3.895   36 0.5505   50 0.5335   37 15.477   40  3.838   26  3.951
Michigan State          7  5 374 311  3.632   37  3.820   37  3.753   34  3.842   44 0.5371   60 0.5140   38 15.399   17  4.267   49  3.417
Penn State              5  6 248 281  3.885   43  3.758   43  3.688   43  3.649   49 0.5313   56 0.5186   45 15.222   55  3.618   41  3.680
Purdue                  6  6 250 278  3.654   47  3.634   47  3.628   59  3.411   52 0.5282   57 0.5183   49 15.056   81  3.070   36  3.753
Indiana                 5  6 305 298  3.747   50  3.574   50  3.567   42  3.685   55 0.5140   69 0.4919   48 15.071   29  3.980   52  3.390
Wisconsin               5  7 313 346  3.760   52  3.505   52  3.493   47  3.591   57 0.5131   68 0.4920   52 14.918   33  3.944   57  3.238
Northwestern            4  7 320 378  3.563   69  3.230   69  3.206   65  3.254   77 0.4699   85 0.4490   70 14.217   32  3.948   86  2.560
Minnesota               4  7 308 299  3.451   76  3.098   76  3.063   61  3.402   81 0.4597   93 0.4303   76 14.008   60  3.451   54  3.353

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.954 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska               11  2 463 226  4.067    4  4.899    4  4.692    4  4.652    5 0.6470    4 0.6715    4 17.239    5  4.808    6  4.495
Oklahoma               11  2 397 169  3.960    6  4.816    7  4.601    6  4.497   11 0.6278   14 0.6314    7 17.035   22  4.153    3  4.840
Texas                  11  2 517 207  3.922    8  4.784    9  4.567    3  4.756    7 0.6433    9 0.6449    6 17.093    3  4.886    4  4.627
Colorado               10  3 412 318  4.025    9  4.708    5  4.602   13  4.166    6 0.6458    7 0.6547    9 16.883    8  4.600   39  3.732
Texas A&M               8  4 248 213  3.747   20  4.249   20  4.129   35  3.797   23 0.5796   30 0.5792   23 16.106   66  3.365   11  4.230
Texas Tech              7  5 402 281  3.882   34  3.853   34  3.787   14  4.159   35 0.5516   41 0.5465   32 15.662    9  4.592   40  3.725
Kansas State            6  6 330 205  4.043   38  3.810   38  3.744   12  4.236   33 0.5523   37 0.5518   31 15.696   28  3.984    7  4.488
Iowa State              7  5 309 245  3.597   42  3.763   42  3.692   36  3.781   39 0.5452   59 0.5154   40 15.307   52  3.651   29  3.912
Oklahoma St             4  7 242 281  3.616   64  3.328   65  3.276   53  3.503   65 0.4929   73 0.4837   62 14.524   69  3.345   42  3.660
Missouri                4  7 240 330  3.407   70  3.189   70  3.161   79  2.936   68 0.4824   77 0.4714   74 14.025   84  2.885   67  2.987
Kansas                  3  8 182 398  3.266   78  3.071   78  3.033   95  2.533   80 0.4664   88 0.4452   82 13.717  102  2.454   85  2.612
Baylor                  3  8 205 357  3.087   88  2.814   88  2.717   91  2.603   94 0.4250   98 0.4005   89 13.369   94  2.741   88  2.466

Big East Conf: strength=3.862 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami FL               12  0 512 117  4.402    1  5.516    1  5.403    1  5.635    1 0.6999    1 0.7306    1 18.360    1  5.435    1  5.835
Syracuse               10  3 334 247  4.031    7  4.812    8  4.598   10  4.326   13 0.6211    8 0.6450    8 16.905   18  4.224    9  4.429
Boston College          8  4 337 227  3.790   24  4.160   24  4.035   17  4.064   30 0.5583   34 0.5577   24 16.089   27  4.048   18  4.080
Virginia Tech           8  4 376 177  3.899   27  4.084   28  3.981    8  4.371   32 0.5546   33 0.5617   21 16.149   20  4.173    5  4.569
Pittsburgh              7  5 296 245  3.663   39  3.808   39  3.740   24  3.957   46 0.5331   43 0.5438   39 15.392   30  3.957   25  3.957
Temple                  4  7 198 311  3.068   82  3.003   82  2.953   85  2.808   82 0.4517   83 0.4522   84 13.657  100  2.577   65  3.039
West Virginia           3  8 235 268  3.485   87  2.830   87  2.738   64  3.293   87 0.4443   95 0.4212   85 13.636   77  3.155   48  3.431
Rutgers                 2  9 119 397  2.490  104  2.169  104  2.047  114  1.752  103 0.3669  109 0.3438  105 12.121  114  1.404   99  2.100

Conference USA: strength=3.010 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisville             11  2 394 223  3.302   18  4.307   18  4.158   27  3.938   22 0.5889   11 0.6377   17 16.275   49  3.656   13  4.221
Southern Miss           6  5 278 186  3.295   62  3.373   62  3.323   45  3.598   69 0.4816   67 0.4927   57 14.720   72  3.212   24  3.984
East Carolina           6  6 421 360  3.341   66  3.290   66  3.276   51  3.528   62 0.4999   51 0.5333   58 14.600   26  4.070   68  2.985
Ala-Birmingham          6  5 265 206  3.095   68  3.234   68  3.209   66  3.233   78 0.4687   72 0.4870   69 14.229   86  2.839   45  3.627
Cincinnati              7  5 336 290  2.828   72  3.163   72  3.131   78  3.023   75 0.4707   66 0.4939   73 14.053   73  3.194   78  2.852
TCU                     6  6 289 285  3.103   74  3.139   74  3.105   73  3.152   71 0.4771   47 0.5363   72 14.056   74  3.194   63  3.110
Memphis                 5  6 294 281  3.050   81  3.016   81  2.967   74  3.147   83 0.4474   82 0.4595   80 13.811   68  3.352   70  2.943
Tulane                  3  9 344 495  2.931   98  2.512   98  2.430   97  2.474  100 0.3933   97 0.4072   98 12.897   61  3.437  116  1.511
Army                    3  8 229 365  2.561  102  2.321  102  2.219  105  2.202  105 0.3570  108 0.3462  102 12.516  105  2.313  100  2.091
Houston                 0 11 190 432  2.944  112  1.871  112  1.676  108  2.090  113 0.3293  107 0.3550  111 11.711  103  2.436  113  1.743

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.622 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marshall               11  2 512 369  3.009   23  4.176   23  4.051   54  3.478   25 0.5730    5 0.6606   28 15.908   25  4.103   76  2.853
Toledo                 10  2 407 297  2.777   41  3.777   41  3.705   72  3.153   40 0.5438   24 0.5939   44 15.229   47  3.674   84  2.633
Bowling Green           8  3 333 215  2.989   51  3.534   51  3.522   44  3.628   43 0.5389   26 0.5868   50 15.018   54  3.625   44  3.630
Miami OH                7  5 319 309  3.078   60  3.387   60  3.339   70  3.187   58 0.5111   32 0.5686   59 14.596   67  3.364   66  3.010
Kent State              6  5 248 281  2.771   77  3.092   77  3.054   84  2.818   73 0.4738   61 0.5136   79 13.823   90  2.783   77  2.853
Northern Illinois       6  5 303 292  2.815   79  3.069   80  3.028   80  2.914   64 0.4937   46 0.5373   78 13.877   80  3.078   80  2.751
Western Michigan        5  6 277 266  2.825   85  2.881   85  2.794   83  2.849   85 0.4448   71 0.4887   86 13.624   89  2.803   74  2.894
Akron                   4  7 281 360  2.832   90  2.764   90  2.655   93  2.595   96 0.4242   80 0.4600   90 13.327   88  2.814   93  2.376
Ball State              5  6 268 296  2.513   93  2.646   93  2.581   94  2.575   89 0.4403   70 0.4891   94 13.132   91  2.761   92  2.389
Central Michigan        3  8 251 346  2.482  103  2.240  103  2.129  103  2.269  102 0.3781  100 0.3901  103 12.418  101  2.552  106  1.986
Ohio U.                 1 10 198 323  2.858  106  2.059  106  1.914  102  2.280  106 0.3484  102 0.3770  104 12.145  108  2.205   94  2.355
Buffalo                 3  8 205 286  2.180  107  2.027  107  1.872  107  2.138  107 0.3453  105 0.3638  107 12.032  111  1.977   97  2.298
Eastern Michigan        2  9 197 356  1.817  117  1.648  117  1.395  116  1.659  115 0.3096  112 0.3290  117 11.250  116  1.235  101  2.083

Mountain West Conf: strength=3.179 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Brigham Young          12  2 618 424  3.175   19  4.258   19  4.135   48  3.590   20 0.5909   17 0.6101   20 16.165    6  4.724   89  2.456
Utah                    8  4 329 210  3.507   36  3.849   36  3.783   26  3.940   31 0.5550   23 0.5957   36 15.521   48  3.656   12  4.224
Colorado State          7  5 298 274  3.309   53  3.497   53  3.483   55  3.456   51 0.5286   35 0.5539   54 14.869   64  3.384   46  3.527
New Mexico              6  5 304 243  3.065   71  3.174   71  3.142   57  3.441   70 0.4797   74 0.4809   71 14.181   58  3.481   51  3.400
Air Force               6  6 337 386  2.948   75  3.131   75  3.097   82  2.853   79 0.4670   78 0.4650   77 13.941   65  3.378   96  2.328
UNLV                    4  7 284 270  3.170   84  2.915   84  2.833   63  3.316   88 0.4440   87 0.4462   83 13.671   71  3.305   55  3.327
San Diego St            3  8 184 290  3.012   92  2.665   92  2.603   88  2.679   99 0.4143  101 0.3870   93 13.160  107  2.210   61  3.147
Wyoming                 2  9 229 368  2.983  101  2.402  101  2.321  101  2.357  101 0.3873  104 0.3688  101 12.679   97  2.639  102  2.075

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.805 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oregon                 11  1 412 256  3.832    3  4.971    3  4.776    7  4.373    2 0.6803    3 0.6719    5 17.212   11  4.562   14  4.184
Washington St          10  2 420 269  3.616   13  4.533   13  4.382   25  3.951   10 0.6319   13 0.6321   13 16.578   21  4.159   37  3.744
Stanford                9  3 422 339  3.794   14  4.443   14  4.309   33  3.879   12 0.6274   16 0.6142   15 16.462   10  4.574   60  3.185
Washington              8  4 353 370  3.849   17  4.375   17  4.235   38  3.741   15 0.6074   21 0.6037   19 16.249   23  4.125   53  3.357
UCLA                    7  4 317 225  3.889   22  4.181   22  4.059   23  3.963   16 0.6040   25 0.5931   22 16.114   36  3.927   23  4.000
Southern Cal            6  6 298 207  3.795   45  3.702   46  3.631   16  4.066   42 0.5422   62 0.5112   41 15.299   43  3.738   10  4.394
Oregon State            5  6 287 259  3.613   56  3.418   56  3.375   37  3.774   50 0.5296   63 0.5085   56 14.777   44  3.702   32  3.846
Arizona                 5  6 320 377  3.384   63  3.360   63  3.310   67  3.225   60 0.5045   76 0.4714   64 14.433   41  3.809   82  2.642
Arizona State           4  7 374 361  3.492   80  3.068   79  3.029   60  3.406   67 0.4847   89 0.4374   75 14.010   19  4.175   83  2.638
California              1 10 201 431  3.408  100  2.420  100  2.346   92  2.599   90 0.4358   94 0.4273  100 12.757   92  2.752   90  2.446

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.827 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee              11  2 400 251  4.132    2  5.012    2  4.822    5  4.572    3 0.6735    2 0.6723    2 17.300    7  4.701    8  4.443
Florida                10  2 538 178  4.122    5  4.816    6  4.602    2  5.179    4 0.6507    6 0.6583    3 17.261    2  5.398    2  4.960
LSU                    10  3 418 302  3.868   12  4.558   12  4.408   11  4.240    9 0.6320   12 0.6357   12 16.665   14  4.440   21  4.040
South Carolina          9  3 310 230  3.738   16  4.414   16  4.278   32  3.888   17 0.6037   22 0.5960   16 16.403   45  3.687   17  4.088
Georgia                 8  4 331 228  3.721   25  4.133   25  4.035   22  3.968   27 0.5694   36 0.5528   25 15.996   39  3.858   19  4.077
Arkansas                7  5 294 279  3.755   29  4.011   30  3.907   41  3.690   28 0.5673   29 0.5806   29 15.715   59  3.466   28  3.914
Auburn                  7  5 254 281  3.658   30  4.000   29  3.918   56  3.446   26 0.5723   31 0.5732   34 15.558   78  3.114   34  3.778
Alabama                 7  5 318 232  3.728   32  3.875   32  3.795   21  3.998   29 0.5629   40 0.5478   33 15.625   31  3.949   20  4.046
Mississippi             7  4 391 310  3.256   48  3.612   48  3.604   58  3.427   48 0.5315   55 0.5213   47 15.089   34  3.935   73  2.918
Mississippi St          3  8 196 288  3.517   83  2.988   83  2.935   75  3.141   74 0.4726   84 0.4518   81 13.762   85  2.841   47  3.442
Kentucky                2  9 259 367  3.589   89  2.805   89  2.707   68  3.208   84 0.4458   91 0.4311   87 13.522   56  3.594   79  2.822
Vanderbilt              2  9 226 402  3.208   97  2.538   97  2.462   90  2.635   98 0.4204   99 0.3975   97 12.963   82  2.918   95  2.352

Sun Belt Conf: strength=1.968 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Middle Tennessee St     8  3 408 286  2.547   67  3.269   67  3.248   76  3.063   63 0.4967   49 0.5357   66 14.390   53  3.644   87  2.482
New Mexico State        5  7 286 400  2.580   91  2.731   91  2.617  100  2.357   91 0.4292   86 0.4479   92 13.161   95  2.703  104  2.011
North Texas             5  7 275 293  2.683   94  2.635   94  2.569   87  2.736   93 0.4261   81 0.4595   91 13.243   99  2.587   75  2.886
UL-Lafayette            3  8 234 365  2.185  105  2.075  105  1.930  110  1.936  111 0.3393  116 0.3116  106 12.060  109  2.102  111  1.770
UL-Monroe               2  9 148 351  2.235  109  1.955  109  1.781  115  1.703  109 0.3432  103 0.3733  110 11.785  115  1.294   98  2.112
Idaho                   1 10 313 495  2.415  113  1.771  113  1.556  109  2.016  108 0.3437  113 0.3270  113 11.543   79  3.090  117  0.942
Arkansas State          2  9 177 357  1.863  115  1.704  115  1.469  117  1.406  116 0.3090  115 0.3205  116 11.314  117  1.179  114  1.634

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.672 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Fresno State           11  3 560 344  3.327   26  4.097   26  3.994   31  3.893   21 0.5897   19 0.6075   26 15.982   12  4.490   56  3.297
Hawai'i                 9  3 483 318  2.861   54  3.485   54  3.469   52  3.525   37 0.5474   44 0.5412   53 14.901   24  4.125   72  2.925
Boise State             8  4 411 280  3.019   55  3.470   55  3.433   50  3.547   54 0.5231   42 0.5448   55 14.851   46  3.680   50  3.415
Rice                    8  4 333 335  2.685   59  3.392   59  3.342   86  2.782   59 0.5048   52 0.5304   65 14.419   87  2.830   81  2.734
Louisiana Tech          7  5 406 390  3.033   65  3.322   64  3.309   77  3.039   56 0.5133   48 0.5363   63 14.471   50  3.652   91  2.426
SMU                     4  7 226 295  2.739   95  2.631   95  2.567   89  2.678   92 0.4286   92 0.4308   95 13.124  104  2.425   71  2.932
Nevada                  3  8 286 431  2.867   96  2.565   96  2.491   98  2.404   97 0.4204   90 0.4340   96 12.978   83  2.915  108  1.893
San Jose St             3  9 295 461  2.863   99  2.502   99  2.419   99  2.369   95 0.4245   96 0.4117   99 12.838   93  2.750  105  1.989
UTEP                    2  9 235 414  2.227  110  1.944  110  1.769  111  1.815  110 0.3410  114 0.3223  109 11.823  110  2.069  115  1.561
Tulsa                   1 10 191 387  2.304  114  1.739  114  1.515  113  1.782  112 0.3353  111 0.3328  115 11.431  113  1.651  107  1.913

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.767 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame              5  6 214 215  3.867   46  3.694   45  3.646   39  3.717   53 0.5259   65 0.5039   46 15.206   70  3.320   16  4.114
Troy State              7  4 246 269  2.687   58  3.396   58  3.348   81  2.886   61 0.5019   28 0.5862   67 14.337   98  2.638   62  3.134
South Florida           8  3 387 231  2.633   61  3.384   61  3.335   69  3.191   72 0.4751   53 0.5271   60 14.573   62  3.406   69  2.975
Central Florida         6  5 333 204  3.184   73  3.153   73  3.120   46  3.592   76 0.4706   64 0.5055   68 14.275   63  3.385   33  3.799
Utah State              4  7 316 421  2.883   86  2.832   86  2.738   96  2.525   86 0.4445   75 0.4726   88 13.419   75  3.173  109  1.877
Connecticut             2  9 192 370  2.172  111  1.881  111  1.680  112  1.813  114 0.3287  106 0.3568  112 11.646  112  1.814  110  1.813
Navy                    0 10 183 344  2.626  116  1.692  116  1.457  106  2.178  117 0.3051  117 0.2918  114 11.455  106  2.305  103  2.051

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Big 12 Conf                                    85  59 0.590    1  3.954
Big East Conf                                  54  40 0.574    2  3.862
Southeastern Conf                              83  59 0.585    3  3.827
Pacific 10 Conf                                66  49 0.574    4  3.805
Big 10 Conf                                    68  60 0.531    5  3.804
Atlantic Coast Conf                            59  49 0.546    6  3.683
Mountain West Conf                             48  46 0.511    7  3.179
Conference USA                                 53  63 0.457    8  3.010
Division I-A Independents                      32  44 0.421    9  2.767
Western Athletic Conf                          56  62 0.475   10  2.672
Mid-American Conf                              71  76 0.483   11  2.622
Sun Belt Conf                                  26  53 0.329   12  1.968

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:20 2019

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