Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio State             14  0 410 183  3.681    1  5.306    1  5.089   10  4.268    1 0.6949    1 0.7116    1 18.666   35  3.685    2  4.852
Southern Cal           11  2 465 240  4.250    2  5.103    2  4.850    2  4.995    2 0.6892    2 0.7040    2 18.548    1  5.202    3  4.788
Georgia                13  1 450 212  3.729    3  5.020    3  4.755    4  4.552    3 0.6764    4 0.6882    4 18.242    6  4.498    5  4.605
Miami FL               12  1 527 248  3.763    4  4.994    4  4.724    5  4.549    4 0.6648    3 0.6920    3 18.275    2  5.054   16  4.045
Oklahoma               12  2 541 216  3.901    5  4.858    6  4.575    3  4.771    5 0.6478    5 0.6773    5 18.123    5  4.782    4  4.760
Texas                  11  2 439 212  3.890    6  4.832    5  4.584    6  4.492    6 0.6416    6 0.6686    7 17.998    7  4.457    6  4.526
Kansas State           11  2 582 154  3.941    7  4.758    7  4.444    1  5.016    9 0.6280   14 0.6196    6 18.037    4  4.831    1  5.200
Iowa                   11  2 484 256  3.650    8  4.695    8  4.372    9  4.273    8 0.6340   10 0.6265    8 17.620   12  4.293   10  4.252
Washington St          10  3 431 296  3.764    9  4.660    9  4.335   15  4.045   10 0.6240   15 0.6180   10 17.471   11  4.312   24  3.777
Michigan               10  3 361 265  3.718   10  4.619   10  4.291   17  3.971    7 0.6367    8 0.6423   11 17.393   20  4.083   21  3.858
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame             10  3 290 217  3.685   11  4.615   11  4.282   27  3.723   11 0.6234   13 0.6207   12 17.362   61  3.217   13  4.229
Alabama                10  3 367 200  3.773   12  4.588   12  4.251    7  4.295   12 0.6209    9 0.6326    9 17.478   14  4.200    9  4.391
Colorado                9  5 398 325  3.872   13  4.463   13  4.121   19  3.924   16 0.5971   22 0.5984   15 17.159   27  3.812   17  4.036
Maryland               11  3 451 228  3.489   14  4.436   14  4.093   11  4.199   13 0.6128   17 0.6127   13 17.195   17  4.163   11  4.235
Auburn                  9  4 388 231  3.804   15  4.422   15  4.080   12  4.174   19 0.5903   28 0.5874   14 17.185   23  3.943    8  4.405
North Carolina St      11  3 460 238  3.457   16  4.397   16  4.053   13  4.095   15 0.6050   12 0.6228   16 17.118   18  4.136   15  4.054
Florida State           9  5 428 301  3.820   17  4.340   17  3.990   16  4.043   14 0.6092   11 0.6238   18 17.061   10  4.323   25  3.762
Boise State            12  1 593 240  2.820   18  4.333   18  3.978   14  4.095   21 0.5815   20 0.6033   17 17.066    8  4.410   23  3.779
Texas Tech              9  5 537 439  3.720   19  4.317   19  3.962   18  3.944   17 0.5946   16 0.6145   20 16.946    3  4.930   58  2.959
Penn State              9  4 446 227  3.659   20  4.254   20  3.896    8  4.285   18 0.5916   31 0.5805   19 16.993   19  4.104    7  4.466
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
West Virginia           9  4 396 302  3.479   21  4.243   21  3.885   30  3.708   27 0.5747   26 0.5915   22 16.756   26  3.883   32  3.533
South Florida           9  2 339 204  2.974   22  4.234   22  3.874   47  3.356   31 0.5596    7 0.6523   28 16.623   58  3.335   42  3.378
Pittsburgh              9  4 331 232  3.465   23  4.230   23  3.870   21  3.823   25 0.5774   30 0.5855   23 16.720   38  3.627   18  4.019
Virginia Tech          10  4 429 263  3.480   24  4.219   25  3.844   20  3.907   22 0.5806   25 0.5946   21 16.835   31  3.749   14  4.065
Virginia                9  5 402 348  3.557   25  4.183   24  3.846   26  3.777   20 0.5855   24 0.5952   27 16.639   16  4.167   41  3.387
Florida                 8  5 336 279  3.640   26  4.175   26  3.838   31  3.681   24 0.5786   34 0.5689   26 16.663   40  3.620   27  3.743
UCLA                    8  5 387 326  3.680   27  4.174   27  3.837   25  3.786   23 0.5799   35 0.5678   24 16.698   21  4.062   33  3.510
Arkansas                9  5 370 277  3.589   28  4.160   28  3.824   34  3.635   26 0.5763   27 0.5892   25 16.689   47  3.553   29  3.716
Boston College          9  4 392 253  3.368   29  4.092   30  3.751   24  3.804   30 0.5608   33 0.5697   29 16.571   28  3.809   22  3.799
LSU                     8  5 323 238  3.577   30  4.092   29  3.752   33  3.645   35 0.5547   36 0.5578   30 16.547   55  3.377   20  3.912
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tennessee               8  5 296 227  3.462   31  3.995   31  3.647   35  3.620   37 0.5520   49 0.5274   32 16.380   66  3.007   12  4.233
Oregon State            8  5 414 267  3.545   32  3.995   32  3.646   22  3.819   34 0.5554   45 0.5396   31 16.471   24  3.899   28  3.739
TCU                    10  2 361 222  2.767   33  3.985   34  3.634   41  3.438   33 0.5562   21 0.5993   35 16.327   54  3.390   34  3.485
Iowa State              7  7 404 396  3.720   34  3.984   33  3.636   43  3.405   47 0.5322   40 0.5466   33 16.329   34  3.713   51  3.097
Colorado State         10  4 418 332  3.109   35  3.957   35  3.608   50  3.277   28 0.5695   23 0.5971   38 16.262   45  3.592   57  2.961
Arizona State           8  6 452 407  3.576   36  3.954   36  3.606   28  3.720   39 0.5468   48 0.5293   37 16.310   13  4.263   47  3.177
Washington              7  6 398 342  3.625   37  3.944   37  3.604   29  3.715   42 0.5422   53 0.5212   36 16.319   22  3.969   36  3.461
Marshall               11  2 457 315  2.565   38  3.922   39  3.577   57  3.153   32 0.5591   18 0.6097   41 16.141   37  3.654   71  2.651
Oklahoma St             8  5 446 356  3.366   39  3.920   38  3.578   37  3.588   43 0.5415   46 0.5360   39 16.233   15  4.190   55  2.986
California              7  5 427 318  3.573   40  3.917   40  3.575   23  3.807   36 0.5530   51 0.5262   34 16.328    9  4.367   45  3.247
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Wisconsin               8  6 372 322  3.438   41  3.858   41  3.516   39  3.520   29 0.5652   39 0.5537   40 16.156   39  3.623   39  3.417
Minnesota               8  5 376 319  3.224   42  3.818   42  3.498   48  3.347   40 0.5446   44 0.5400   42 16.079   46  3.554   48  3.141
Mississippi             7  6 351 331  3.423   43  3.786   43  3.462   42  3.429   50 0.5277   56 0.5102   44 16.030   36  3.668   46  3.190
Clemson                 7  6 330 349  3.362   44  3.763   44  3.436   59  3.146   38 0.5494   41 0.5430   49 15.920   57  3.341   59  2.952
Georgia Tech            7  6 280 267  3.389   45  3.759   45  3.429   49  3.304   41 0.5426   43 0.5408   46 15.970   69  2.995   30  3.613
Nebraska                7  7 383 335  3.546   46  3.750   46  3.420   38  3.523   56 0.5208   68 0.4871   43 16.037   44  3.597   37  3.449
Wake Forest             7  6 356 327  3.383   47  3.743   47  3.414   40  3.483   46 0.5330   50 0.5272   45 15.979   49  3.522   38  3.443
Oregon                  7  6 417 362  3.406   48  3.726   48  3.400   44  3.399   52 0.5240   69 0.4859   48 15.941   25  3.891   61  2.907
Texas A&M               6  6 345 280  3.485   49  3.692   49  3.366   36  3.608   57 0.5145   60 0.4986   47 15.951   52  3.465   26  3.751
Kentucky                7  5 385 301  3.175   50  3.676   50  3.348   53  3.265   54 0.5213   64 0.4921   51 15.818   30  3.787   65  2.742
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Purdue                  7  6 386 288  3.387   51  3.668   51  3.340   32  3.665   44 0.5389   54 0.5171   50 15.898   29  3.794   31  3.535
Fresno State            9  5 378 379  2.855   52  3.645   52  3.316   61  3.012   48 0.5298   38 0.5552   52 15.664   62  3.176   63  2.848
Toledo                  9  5 495 378  2.871   53  3.566   53  3.231   56  3.174   49 0.5297   29 0.5871   53 15.627   32  3.741   74  2.606
Bowling Green           9  3 490 304  2.511   54  3.540   54  3.216   62  3.002   51 0.5250   32 0.5785   55 15.560   48  3.546   78  2.459
Northern Illinois       8  4 375 298  2.762   55  3.534   55  3.207   60  3.086   45 0.5388   19 0.6060   56 15.516   60  3.240   60  2.931
Hawai`i                10  4 502 389  2.567   56  3.514   56  3.185   65  2.957   55 0.5212   47 0.5321   58 15.480   43  3.599   85  2.315
Missouri                5  7 360 352  3.529   57  3.510   57  3.184   45  3.396   63 0.4932   63 0.4925   54 15.623   33  3.717   52  3.075
North Texas             8  5 249 192  2.871   58  3.498   58  3.168   54  3.211   53 0.5228   37 0.5554   57 15.492   96  2.459   19  3.962
Miami OH                7  5 384 325  2.941   59  3.469   59  3.138   58  3.152   58 0.5133   42 0.5426   60 15.453   41  3.615   67  2.690
Air Force               8  5 440 303  2.897   60  3.450   60  3.119   55  3.192   60 0.5002   65 0.4915   59 15.474   51  3.481   62  2.902
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Carolina          5  7 225 262  3.319   61  3.434   61  3.104   64  2.982   59 0.5042   67 0.4874   61 15.330   89  2.657   43  3.307
Cincinnati              7  7 409 329  3.045   62  3.339   63  3.008   51  3.270   62 0.4934   52 0.5233   62 15.302   50  3.511   54  3.030
Louisville              7  6 374 319  2.900   63  3.323   62  3.025   69  2.878   65 0.4853   58 0.5050   63 15.200   63  3.090   69  2.665
Southern Miss           7  6 282 238  2.898   64  3.282   64  2.999   66  2.950   66 0.4804   55 0.5103   65 15.129   99  2.431   35  3.469
Arizona                 4  8 227 310  3.331   65  3.242   65  2.956   70  2.871   70 0.4690   85 0.4278   67 14.957   88  2.668   53  3.075
Illinois                5  7 346 307  3.263   66  3.238   66  2.951   46  3.366   61 0.4942   71 0.4828   64 15.147   42  3.605   49  3.126
Central Florida         7  5 391 315  2.703   67  3.227   67  2.938   63  2.992   68 0.4776   59 0.5049   66 15.014   56  3.357   73  2.627
Tulane                  8  5 361 282  2.583   68  3.142   68  2.846   68  2.922   69 0.4761   61 0.4986   68 14.855   74  2.882   56  2.962
New Mexico State        7  5 327 328  2.459   69  3.124   70  2.826   81  2.564   64 0.4909   57 0.5075   70 14.728   70  2.935   90  2.193
North Carolina          3  9 223 421  3.383   70  3.121   69  2.827   84  2.489   73 0.4662   72 0.4708   73 14.621   90  2.646   83  2.332
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Temple                  4  8 242 351  3.175   71  3.105   71  2.808   74  2.762   77 0.4531   79 0.4456   72 14.671   75  2.880   72  2.644
New Mexico              7  7 341 358  2.744   72  3.103   72  2.805   73  2.807   67 0.4783   66 0.4904   69 14.738  101  2.359   44  3.254
Connecticut             6  6 373 270  2.783   73  2.991   75  2.684   52  3.269   79 0.4509   78 0.4478   71 14.702   53  3.429   50  3.110
Ball State              6  6 278 333  2.445   74  2.934   73  2.699   92  2.370   72 0.4673   62 0.4980   79 14.391  100  2.365   81  2.375
Syracuse                4  8 347 406  3.038   75  2.921   74  2.686   72  2.817   78 0.4511   81 0.4419   76 14.494   59  3.249   80  2.385
Stanford                2  9 225 377  3.585   76  2.915   76  2.682   71  2.851   76 0.4590   86 0.4254   75 14.495   67  3.000   66  2.701
Utah                    5  6 249 226  2.772   77  2.906   78  2.667   67  2.932   75 0.4618   75 0.4547   74 14.570   95  2.463   40  3.400
UNLV                    5  7 292 366  2.752   78  2.863   77  2.670   77  2.616   80 0.4502   77 0.4478   78 14.423   82  2.740   77  2.492
San Jose St             6  7 376 467  2.511   79  2.839   79  2.645   93  2.337   71 0.4680   70 0.4840   80 14.332   65  3.053  107  1.622
Michigan State          4  8 316 398  3.040   80  2.835   80  2.642   76  2.691   74 0.4632   87 0.4240   77 14.432   64  3.071   86  2.311
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Brigham Young           5  7 272 333  2.659   81  2.778   81  2.564   90  2.403   82 0.4439   84 0.4369   81 14.261   94  2.463   82  2.342
San Diego St            4  9 309 411  2.919   82  2.737   82  2.520   80  2.584   84 0.4358   83 0.4393   82 14.228   72  2.911   87  2.257
East Carolina           4  8 335 399  2.808   83  2.706   85  2.487   83  2.493   91 0.4242   80 0.4450   83 14.188   68  2.995   97  1.991
Houston                 5  7 320 393  2.582   84  2.698   83  2.505   85  2.479   88 0.4315   76 0.4526   84 14.156   77  2.837   92  2.120
Mississippi St          3  9 227 339  3.112   85  2.683   84  2.489   75  2.697   89 0.4263   98 0.3947   85 14.148   83  2.738   70  2.655
Northwestern            3  9 272 493  2.957   86  2.665   86  2.467   95  2.274   85 0.4348   93 0.4112   88 13.993   73  2.896  106  1.652
Ala-Birmingham          5  7 268 370  2.471   87  2.662   87  2.463   99  2.249   93 0.4208   91 0.4189   87 14.000   93  2.576   98  1.923
Indiana                 3  9 258 445  2.900   88  2.555   88  2.427   94  2.301   83 0.4359  102 0.3791   89 13.964   81  2.741  101  1.860
Nevada                  5  7 331 371  2.512   89  2.544   89  2.414   88  2.444   81 0.4481   73 0.4572   86 14.044   78  2.824   96  2.064
Utah State              4  7 305 432  2.528   90  2.506   90  2.373  100  2.213   86 0.4338   89 0.4206   91 13.853   71  2.914  111  1.512
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Baylor                  3  9 202 496  2.483   91  2.489   91  2.355  109  1.877   87 0.4326   95 0.4047   95 13.711  107  1.880  100  1.873
Vanderbilt              2 10 221 368  3.221   92  2.487   92  2.354   79  2.586   94 0.4198  104 0.3711   90 13.936   87  2.677   76  2.495
Louisiana Tech          4  8 320 426  2.481   93  2.425   93  2.282  102  2.112   92 0.4230   92 0.4179   92 13.767   86  2.684  110  1.540
Ohio U.                 4  8 299 374  2.544   94  2.395   94  2.248   86  2.477   95 0.4188   74 0.4570   93 13.750   84  2.714   88  2.240
Arkansas State          6  7 259 361  1.973   95  2.370   95  2.218  106  1.955   99 0.4060   96 0.4018   97 13.480  112  1.769   91  2.141
Western Michigan        4  8 303 330  2.563   96  2.348   96  2.194   87  2.475   90 0.4260   82 0.4415   94 13.734   98  2.444   75  2.506
Duke                    2 10 227 353  2.998   97  2.306   97  2.146   82  2.560  100 0.4059  100 0.3859   96 13.669   97  2.454   68  2.666
Middle Tennessee St     4  8 297 332  2.391   98  2.231   98  2.057   91  2.375   98 0.4071   94 0.4106   99 13.378   92  2.637   93  2.113
Central Michigan        4  8 267 384  2.224   99  2.229   99  2.056  110  1.847   97 0.4079   90 0.4206  102 13.246  106  1.920  104  1.773
Rice                    4  7 253 296  2.217  100  2.211  100  2.035   98  2.256  102 0.3939   99 0.3921  100 13.327  103  2.187   84  2.325
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Memphis                 3  9 303 327  2.645  101  2.196  101  2.020   78  2.587  106 0.3780  107 0.3612   98 13.417   80  2.761   79  2.412
Akron                   4  8 325 379  2.359  102  2.192  102  2.013   89  2.426   96 0.4097   88 0.4216  101 13.314   79  2.765   95  2.086
UL-Lafayette            3  9 203 352  2.436  103  2.173  103  1.991  105  1.977  103 0.3913  105 0.3676  104 13.171  108  1.862   94  2.092
UL-Monroe               3  9 236 451  2.358  104  2.148  105  1.956  107  1.925  101 0.4011  101 0.3855  105 13.051  105  2.032  103  1.819
Wyoming                 2 10 288 432  2.678  105  2.147  104  1.956   97  2.266  112 0.3688  112 0.3453  103 13.187   85  2.712  102  1.820
Kansas                  2 10 248 507  2.562  106  2.118  106  1.921  108  1.878  104 0.3803  110 0.3536  106 12.992  102  2.324  114  1.433
Troy State              4  8 218 252  2.115  107  2.049  107  1.837  103  2.106  109 0.3751  117 0.3082  107 12.978  117  1.422   64  2.790
Kent State              3  9 202 424  2.120  108  2.044  108  1.832  114  1.454  105 0.3787   97 0.3961  111 12.784  116  1.426  112  1.482
SMU                     3  9 207 378  2.150  109  2.022  109  1.806  112  1.681  108 0.3758  103 0.3722  110 12.799  115  1.439   99  1.922
Idaho                   2 10 285 428  2.517  110  1.990  110  1.769  101  2.116  107 0.3778  106 0.3623  108 12.896   91  2.644  108  1.588
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Eastern Michigan        3  9 286 566  1.990  111  1.984  111  1.762  116  1.364  110 0.3750  111 0.3467  112 12.547  104  2.034  117  0.694
Navy                    2 10 290 436  2.534  112  1.978  112  1.756   96  2.268  113 0.3596  109 0.3549  109 12.890   76  2.856  105  1.681
Rutgers                 1 11 167 397  2.669  113  1.855  113  1.610  104  2.024  111 0.3735  108 0.3555  113 12.545  110  1.819   89  2.228
UTEP                    2 10 220 511  2.010  114  1.768  114  1.504  117  1.327  114 0.3551  113 0.3347  114 12.152  114  1.457  115  1.197
Army                    1 11 226 491  2.118  115  1.663  115  1.375  115  1.373  117 0.2921  115 0.3143  116 11.741  111  1.793  116  0.952
Buffalo                 1 11 214 416  2.230  116  1.573  116  1.342  113  1.547  116 0.3154  114 0.3308  115 11.782  113  1.648  113  1.447
Tulsa                   1 11 233 417  2.005  117  1.285  117  1.102  111  1.700  115 0.3204  116 0.3089  117 11.505  109  1.832  109  1.568


Atlantic Coast Conf: strength=3.529 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Maryland               11  3 451 228  3.489   14  4.436   14  4.093   11  4.199   13 0.6128   17 0.6127   13 17.195   17  4.163   11  4.235
North Carolina St      11  3 460 238  3.457   16  4.397   16  4.053   13  4.095   15 0.6050   12 0.6228   16 17.118   18  4.136   15  4.054
Florida State           9  5 428 301  3.820   17  4.340   17  3.990   16  4.043   14 0.6092   11 0.6238   18 17.061   10  4.323   25  3.762
Virginia                9  5 402 348  3.557   25  4.183   24  3.846   26  3.777   20 0.5855   24 0.5952   27 16.639   16  4.167   41  3.387
Clemson                 7  6 330 349  3.362   44  3.763   44  3.436   59  3.146   38 0.5494   41 0.5430   49 15.920   57  3.341   59  2.952
Georgia Tech            7  6 280 267  3.389   45  3.759   45  3.429   49  3.304   41 0.5426   43 0.5408   46 15.970   69  2.995   30  3.613
Wake Forest             7  6 356 327  3.383   47  3.743   47  3.414   40  3.483   46 0.5330   50 0.5272   45 15.979   49  3.522   38  3.443
North Carolina          3  9 223 421  3.383   70  3.121   69  2.827   84  2.489   73 0.4662   72 0.4708   73 14.621   90  2.646   83  2.332
Duke                    2 10 227 353  2.998   97  2.306   97  2.146   82  2.560  100 0.4059  100 0.3859   96 13.669   97  2.454   68  2.666

Big 10 Conf: strength=3.528 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio State             14  0 410 183  3.681    1  5.306    1  5.089   10  4.268    1 0.6949    1 0.7116    1 18.666   35  3.685    2  4.852
Iowa                   11  2 484 256  3.650    8  4.695    8  4.372    9  4.273    8 0.6340   10 0.6265    8 17.620   12  4.293   10  4.252
Michigan               10  3 361 265  3.718   10  4.619   10  4.291   17  3.971    7 0.6367    8 0.6423   11 17.393   20  4.083   21  3.858
Penn State              9  4 446 227  3.659   20  4.254   20  3.896    8  4.285   18 0.5916   31 0.5805   19 16.993   19  4.104    7  4.466
Wisconsin               8  6 372 322  3.438   41  3.858   41  3.516   39  3.520   29 0.5652   39 0.5537   40 16.156   39  3.623   39  3.417
Minnesota               8  5 376 319  3.224   42  3.818   42  3.498   48  3.347   40 0.5446   44 0.5400   42 16.079   46  3.554   48  3.141
Purdue                  7  6 386 288  3.387   51  3.668   51  3.340   32  3.665   44 0.5389   54 0.5171   50 15.898   29  3.794   31  3.535
Illinois                5  7 346 307  3.263   66  3.238   66  2.951   46  3.366   61 0.4942   71 0.4828   64 15.147   42  3.605   49  3.126
Michigan State          4  8 316 398  3.040   80  2.835   80  2.642   76  2.691   74 0.4632   87 0.4240   77 14.432   64  3.071   86  2.311
Northwestern            3  9 272 493  2.957   86  2.665   86  2.467   95  2.274   85 0.4348   93 0.4112   88 13.993   73  2.896  106  1.652
Indiana                 3  9 258 445  2.900   88  2.555   88  2.427   94  2.301   83 0.4359  102 0.3791   89 13.964   81  2.741  101  1.860

Big 12 Conf: strength=3.796 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma               12  2 541 216  3.901    5  4.858    6  4.575    3  4.771    5 0.6478    5 0.6773    5 18.123    5  4.782    4  4.760
Texas                  11  2 439 212  3.890    6  4.832    5  4.584    6  4.492    6 0.6416    6 0.6686    7 17.998    7  4.457    6  4.526
Kansas State           11  2 582 154  3.941    7  4.758    7  4.444    1  5.016    9 0.6280   14 0.6196    6 18.037    4  4.831    1  5.200
Colorado                9  5 398 325  3.872   13  4.463   13  4.121   19  3.924   16 0.5971   22 0.5984   15 17.159   27  3.812   17  4.036
Texas Tech              9  5 537 439  3.720   19  4.317   19  3.962   18  3.944   17 0.5946   16 0.6145   20 16.946    3  4.930   58  2.959
Iowa State              7  7 404 396  3.720   34  3.984   33  3.636   43  3.405   47 0.5322   40 0.5466   33 16.329   34  3.713   51  3.097
Oklahoma St             8  5 446 356  3.366   39  3.920   38  3.578   37  3.588   43 0.5415   46 0.5360   39 16.233   15  4.190   55  2.986
Nebraska                7  7 383 335  3.546   46  3.750   46  3.420   38  3.523   56 0.5208   68 0.4871   43 16.037   44  3.597   37  3.449
Texas A&M               6  6 345 280  3.485   49  3.692   49  3.366   36  3.608   57 0.5145   60 0.4986   47 15.951   52  3.465   26  3.751
Missouri                5  7 360 352  3.529   57  3.510   57  3.184   45  3.396   63 0.4932   63 0.4925   54 15.623   33  3.717   52  3.075
Baylor                  3  9 202 496  2.483   91  2.489   91  2.355  109  1.877   87 0.4326   95 0.4047   95 13.711  107  1.880  100  1.873
Kansas                  2 10 248 507  2.562  106  2.118  106  1.921  108  1.878  104 0.3803  110 0.3536  106 12.992  102  2.324  114  1.433

Big East Conf: strength=3.495 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Miami FL               12  1 527 248  3.763    4  4.994    4  4.724    5  4.549    4 0.6648    3 0.6920    3 18.275    2  5.054   16  4.045
West Virginia           9  4 396 302  3.479   21  4.243   21  3.885   30  3.708   27 0.5747   26 0.5915   22 16.756   26  3.883   32  3.533
Pittsburgh              9  4 331 232  3.465   23  4.230   23  3.870   21  3.823   25 0.5774   30 0.5855   23 16.720   38  3.627   18  4.019
Virginia Tech          10  4 429 263  3.480   24  4.219   25  3.844   20  3.907   22 0.5806   25 0.5946   21 16.835   31  3.749   14  4.065
Boston College          9  4 392 253  3.368   29  4.092   30  3.751   24  3.804   30 0.5608   33 0.5697   29 16.571   28  3.809   22  3.799
Temple                  4  8 242 351  3.175   71  3.105   71  2.808   74  2.762   77 0.4531   79 0.4456   72 14.671   75  2.880   72  2.644
Syracuse                4  8 347 406  3.038   75  2.921   74  2.686   72  2.817   78 0.4511   81 0.4419   76 14.494   59  3.249   80  2.385
Rutgers                 1 11 167 397  2.669  113  1.855  113  1.610  104  2.024  111 0.3735  108 0.3555  113 12.545  110  1.819   89  2.228

Conference USA: strength=2.636 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TCU                    10  2 361 222  2.767   33  3.985   34  3.634   41  3.438   33 0.5562   21 0.5993   35 16.327   54  3.390   34  3.485
Cincinnati              7  7 409 329  3.045   62  3.339   63  3.008   51  3.270   62 0.4934   52 0.5233   62 15.302   50  3.511   54  3.030
Louisville              7  6 374 319  2.900   63  3.323   62  3.025   69  2.878   65 0.4853   58 0.5050   63 15.200   63  3.090   69  2.665
Southern Miss           7  6 282 238  2.898   64  3.282   64  2.999   66  2.950   66 0.4804   55 0.5103   65 15.129   99  2.431   35  3.469
Tulane                  8  5 361 282  2.583   68  3.142   68  2.846   68  2.922   69 0.4761   61 0.4986   68 14.855   74  2.882   56  2.962
East Carolina           4  8 335 399  2.808   83  2.706   85  2.487   83  2.493   91 0.4242   80 0.4450   83 14.188   68  2.995   97  1.991
Houston                 5  7 320 393  2.582   84  2.698   83  2.505   85  2.479   88 0.4315   76 0.4526   84 14.156   77  2.837   92  2.120
Ala-Birmingham          5  7 268 370  2.471   87  2.662   87  2.463   99  2.249   93 0.4208   91 0.4189   87 14.000   93  2.576   98  1.923
Memphis                 3  9 303 327  2.645  101  2.196  101  2.020   78  2.587  106 0.3780  107 0.3612   98 13.417   80  2.761   79  2.412
Army                    1 11 226 491  2.118  115  1.663  115  1.375  115  1.373  117 0.2921  115 0.3143  116 11.741  111  1.793  116  0.952

Mid-American Conf: strength=2.384 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marshall               11  2 457 315  2.565   38  3.922   39  3.577   57  3.153   32 0.5591   18 0.6097   41 16.141   37  3.654   71  2.651
Toledo                  9  5 495 378  2.871   53  3.566   53  3.231   56  3.174   49 0.5297   29 0.5871   53 15.627   32  3.741   74  2.606
Bowling Green           9  3 490 304  2.511   54  3.540   54  3.216   62  3.002   51 0.5250   32 0.5785   55 15.560   48  3.546   78  2.459
Northern Illinois       8  4 375 298  2.762   55  3.534   55  3.207   60  3.086   45 0.5388   19 0.6060   56 15.516   60  3.240   60  2.931
Miami OH                7  5 384 325  2.941   59  3.469   59  3.138   58  3.152   58 0.5133   42 0.5426   60 15.453   41  3.615   67  2.690
Central Florida         7  5 391 315  2.703   67  3.227   67  2.938   63  2.992   68 0.4776   59 0.5049   66 15.014   56  3.357   73  2.627
Ball State              6  6 278 333  2.445   74  2.934   73  2.699   92  2.370   72 0.4673   62 0.4980   79 14.391  100  2.365   81  2.375
Ohio U.                 4  8 299 374  2.544   94  2.395   94  2.248   86  2.477   95 0.4188   74 0.4570   93 13.750   84  2.714   88  2.240
Western Michigan        4  8 303 330  2.563   96  2.348   96  2.194   87  2.475   90 0.4260   82 0.4415   94 13.734   98  2.444   75  2.506
Central Michigan        4  8 267 384  2.224   99  2.229   99  2.056  110  1.847   97 0.4079   90 0.4206  102 13.246  106  1.920  104  1.773
Akron                   4  8 325 379  2.359  102  2.192  102  2.013   89  2.426   96 0.4097   88 0.4216  101 13.314   79  2.765   95  2.086
Kent State              3  9 202 424  2.120  108  2.044  108  1.832  114  1.454  105 0.3787   97 0.3961  111 12.784  116  1.426  112  1.482
Eastern Michigan        3  9 286 566  1.990  111  1.984  111  1.762  116  1.364  110 0.3750  111 0.3467  112 12.547  104  2.034  117  0.694
Buffalo                 1 11 214 416  2.230  116  1.573  116  1.342  113  1.547  116 0.3154  114 0.3308  115 11.782  113  1.648  113  1.447

Mountain West Conf: strength=2.717 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Colorado State         10  4 418 332  3.109   35  3.957   35  3.608   50  3.277   28 0.5695   23 0.5971   38 16.262   45  3.592   57  2.961
Air Force               8  5 440 303  2.897   60  3.450   60  3.119   55  3.192   60 0.5002   65 0.4915   59 15.474   51  3.481   62  2.902
New Mexico              7  7 341 358  2.744   72  3.103   72  2.805   73  2.807   67 0.4783   66 0.4904   69 14.738  101  2.359   44  3.254
Utah                    5  6 249 226  2.772   77  2.906   78  2.667   67  2.932   75 0.4618   75 0.4547   74 14.570   95  2.463   40  3.400
UNLV                    5  7 292 366  2.752   78  2.863   77  2.670   77  2.616   80 0.4502   77 0.4478   78 14.423   82  2.740   77  2.492
Brigham Young           5  7 272 333  2.659   81  2.778   81  2.564   90  2.403   82 0.4439   84 0.4369   81 14.261   94  2.463   82  2.342
San Diego St            4  9 309 411  2.919   82  2.737   82  2.520   80  2.584   84 0.4358   83 0.4393   82 14.228   72  2.911   87  2.257
Wyoming                 2 10 288 432  2.678  105  2.147  104  1.956   97  2.266  112 0.3688  112 0.3453  103 13.187   85  2.712  102  1.820

Pacific 10 Conf: strength=3.818 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Cal           11  2 465 240  4.250    2  5.103    2  4.850    2  4.995    2 0.6892    2 0.7040    2 18.548    1  5.202    3  4.788
Washington St          10  3 431 296  3.764    9  4.660    9  4.335   15  4.045   10 0.6240   15 0.6180   10 17.471   11  4.312   24  3.777
UCLA                    8  5 387 326  3.680   27  4.174   27  3.837   25  3.786   23 0.5799   35 0.5678   24 16.698   21  4.062   33  3.510
Oregon State            8  5 414 267  3.545   32  3.995   32  3.646   22  3.819   34 0.5554   45 0.5396   31 16.471   24  3.899   28  3.739
Arizona State           8  6 452 407  3.576   36  3.954   36  3.606   28  3.720   39 0.5468   48 0.5293   37 16.310   13  4.263   47  3.177
Washington              7  6 398 342  3.625   37  3.944   37  3.604   29  3.715   42 0.5422   53 0.5212   36 16.319   22  3.969   36  3.461
California              7  5 427 318  3.573   40  3.917   40  3.575   23  3.807   36 0.5530   51 0.5262   34 16.328    9  4.367   45  3.247
Oregon                  7  6 417 362  3.406   48  3.726   48  3.400   44  3.399   52 0.5240   69 0.4859   48 15.941   25  3.891   61  2.907
Arizona                 4  8 227 310  3.331   65  3.242   65  2.956   70  2.871   70 0.4690   85 0.4278   67 14.957   88  2.668   53  3.075
Stanford                2  9 225 377  3.585   76  2.915   76  2.682   71  2.851   76 0.4590   86 0.4254   75 14.495   67  3.000   66  2.701

Southeastern Conf: strength=3.655 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgia                13  1 450 212  3.729    3  5.020    3  4.755    4  4.552    3 0.6764    4 0.6882    4 18.242    6  4.498    5  4.605
Alabama                10  3 367 200  3.773   12  4.588   12  4.251    7  4.295   12 0.6209    9 0.6326    9 17.478   14  4.200    9  4.391
Auburn                  9  4 388 231  3.804   15  4.422   15  4.080   12  4.174   19 0.5903   28 0.5874   14 17.185   23  3.943    8  4.405
Florida                 8  5 336 279  3.640   26  4.175   26  3.838   31  3.681   24 0.5786   34 0.5689   26 16.663   40  3.620   27  3.743
Arkansas                9  5 370 277  3.589   28  4.160   28  3.824   34  3.635   26 0.5763   27 0.5892   25 16.689   47  3.553   29  3.716
LSU                     8  5 323 238  3.577   30  4.092   29  3.752   33  3.645   35 0.5547   36 0.5578   30 16.547   55  3.377   20  3.912
Tennessee               8  5 296 227  3.462   31  3.995   31  3.647   35  3.620   37 0.5520   49 0.5274   32 16.380   66  3.007   12  4.233
Mississippi             7  6 351 331  3.423   43  3.786   43  3.462   42  3.429   50 0.5277   56 0.5102   44 16.030   36  3.668   46  3.190
Kentucky                7  5 385 301  3.175   50  3.676   50  3.348   53  3.265   54 0.5213   64 0.4921   51 15.818   30  3.787   65  2.742
South Carolina          5  7 225 262  3.319   61  3.434   61  3.104   64  2.982   59 0.5042   67 0.4874   61 15.330   89  2.657   43  3.307
Mississippi St          3  9 227 339  3.112   85  2.683   84  2.489   75  2.697   89 0.4263   98 0.3947   85 14.148   83  2.738   70  2.655
Vanderbilt              2 10 221 368  3.221   92  2.487   92  2.354   79  2.586   94 0.4198  104 0.3711   90 13.936   87  2.677   76  2.495

Sun Belt Conf: strength=2.124 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Texas             8  5 249 192  2.871   58  3.498   58  3.168   54  3.211   53 0.5228   37 0.5554   57 15.492   96  2.459   19  3.962
New Mexico State        7  5 327 328  2.459   69  3.124   70  2.826   81  2.564   64 0.4909   57 0.5075   70 14.728   70  2.935   90  2.193
Arkansas State          6  7 259 361  1.973   95  2.370   95  2.218  106  1.955   99 0.4060   96 0.4018   97 13.480  112  1.769   91  2.141
Middle Tennessee St     4  8 297 332  2.391   98  2.231   98  2.057   91  2.375   98 0.4071   94 0.4106   99 13.378   92  2.637   93  2.113
UL-Lafayette            3  9 203 352  2.436  103  2.173  103  1.991  105  1.977  103 0.3913  105 0.3676  104 13.171  108  1.862   94  2.092
UL-Monroe               3  9 236 451  2.358  104  2.148  105  1.956  107  1.925  101 0.4011  101 0.3855  105 13.051  105  2.032  103  1.819
Idaho                   2 10 285 428  2.517  110  1.990  110  1.769  101  2.116  107 0.3778  106 0.3623  108 12.896   91  2.644  108  1.588

Western Athletic Conf: strength=2.210 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boise State            12  1 593 240  2.820   18  4.333   18  3.978   14  4.095   21 0.5815   20 0.6033   17 17.066    8  4.410   23  3.779
Fresno State            9  5 378 379  2.855   52  3.645   52  3.316   61  3.012   48 0.5298   38 0.5552   52 15.664   62  3.176   63  2.848
Hawai`i                10  4 502 389  2.567   56  3.514   56  3.185   65  2.957   55 0.5212   47 0.5321   58 15.480   43  3.599   85  2.315
San Jose St             6  7 376 467  2.511   79  2.839   79  2.645   93  2.337   71 0.4680   70 0.4840   80 14.332   65  3.053  107  1.622
Nevada                  5  7 331 371  2.512   89  2.544   89  2.414   88  2.444   81 0.4481   73 0.4572   86 14.044   78  2.824   96  2.064
Louisiana Tech          4  8 320 426  2.481   93  2.425   93  2.282  102  2.112   92 0.4230   92 0.4179   92 13.767   86  2.684  110  1.540
Rice                    4  7 253 296  2.217  100  2.211  100  2.035   98  2.256  102 0.3939   99 0.3921  100 13.327  103  2.187   84  2.325
SMU                     3  9 207 378  2.150  109  2.022  109  1.806  112  1.681  108 0.3758  103 0.3722  110 12.799  115  1.439   99  1.922
UTEP                    2 10 220 511  2.010  114  1.768  114  1.504  117  1.327  114 0.3551  113 0.3347  114 12.152  114  1.457  115  1.197
Tulsa                   1 11 233 417  2.005  117  1.285  117  1.102  111  1.700  115 0.3204  116 0.3089  117 11.505  109  1.832  109  1.568

Division I-A Independents: strength=2.728 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame             10  3 290 217  3.685   11  4.615   11  4.282   27  3.723   11 0.6234   13 0.6207   12 17.362   61  3.217   13  4.229
South Florida           9  2 339 204  2.974   22  4.234   22  3.874   47  3.356   31 0.5596    7 0.6523   28 16.623   58  3.335   42  3.378
Connecticut             6  6 373 270  2.783   73  2.991   75  2.684   52  3.269   79 0.4509   78 0.4478   71 14.702   53  3.429   50  3.110
Utah State              4  7 305 432  2.528   90  2.506   90  2.373  100  2.213   86 0.4338   89 0.4206   91 13.853   71  2.914  111  1.512
Troy State              4  8 218 252  2.115  107  2.049  107  1.837  103  2.106  109 0.3751  117 0.3082  107 12.978  117  1.422   64  2.790
Navy                    2 10 290 436  2.534  112  1.978  112  1.756   96  2.268  113 0.3596  109 0.3549  109 12.890   76  2.856  105  1.681

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conf                               72 55 0.567    1  3.818
Big 12 Conf                                   90 67 0.573    2  3.796
Southeastern Conf                             89 65 0.578    3  3.655
Atlantic Coast Conf                           66 53 0.555    4  3.529
Big 10 Conf                                   82 59 0.582    5  3.528
Big East Conf                                 58 44 0.569    6  3.495
Division I-A Independents                     35 36 0.493    7  2.728
Mountain West Conf                            46 55 0.455    8  2.717
Conference USA                                57 68 0.456    9  2.636
Mid-American Conf                             80 91 0.468   10  2.384
Western Athletic Conf                         56 69 0.448   11  2.210
Sun Belt Conf                                 33 53 0.384   12  2.124

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.188 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:23 2019

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