Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             14  0  0 621 189  0.092    1  1.666    1  1.422    1  1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.539    1  1.453    1  1.149
St Francis IN          12  1  0 524 280 -0.486    2  0.950    2  0.664    4  0.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.072    2  0.741   10 -0.387
Azusa Pacific           8  2  0 236 125 -0.286    3  0.588    3  0.326    7 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.325   19 -0.836    3  0.538
NW Oklahoma St         11  2  0 526 223 -0.498    4  0.474    4  0.183    3  0.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.310    4  0.525    7 -0.147
Sioux Falls            12  1  0 434 197 -1.103    5  0.328    5  0.078   12 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  8.830   12 -0.474    8 -0.319
Dickinson St           11  1  0 361 165 -1.309    6  0.251    6 -0.022   17 -0.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  8.515   21 -0.908   13 -0.442
MidAmerica Nazarene    12  1  0 475 257 -1.319    7  0.156    7 -0.108   15 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.434    8 -0.170   27 -1.118
McKendree               8  3  0 288 161 -0.558    8  0.097    8 -0.174   10 -0.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.293   20 -0.863    4  0.206
Montana-Western         7  4  0 349 247 -0.186    9  0.058   10 -0.227    6  0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.221    6  0.163    6 -0.083
Southern Oregon         5  4  0 302 192  0.045   10  0.057    9 -0.225    2  0.274    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.367    3  0.610    5 -0.061
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mary                   10  2  0 373 115 -0.771   11  0.056   11 -0.232    5  0.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.352   15 -0.636    2  0.794
Georgetown KY           9  3  0 473 250 -0.809   12 -0.168   13 -0.387    8 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.028    5  0.251   19 -0.674
St Ambrose              8  4  0 404 244 -0.601   13 -0.169   12 -0.386   11 -0.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  7.961    9 -0.263   15 -0.500
Northwestern IA        10  2  0 430 228 -1.239   14 -0.210   14 -0.431   18 -0.683    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.850   11 -0.369   25 -0.997
Campbellsville          9  2  0 318 222 -1.279   15 -0.291   15 -0.454   22 -0.930    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.697   22 -0.953   23 -0.907
St Xavier               7  4  0 359 209 -0.513   16 -0.313   16 -0.477    9 -0.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  7.904    7 -0.113    9 -0.371
Lambuth                 9  3  0 295 207 -1.115   17 -0.319   17 -0.487   21 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.658   28 -1.252   12 -0.438
Cumberland KY           8  2  0 303 211 -1.261   18 -0.325   18 -0.499   24 -0.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.642   23 -0.960   24 -0.970
Walsh                   8  3  0 371 221 -0.964   19 -0.454   19 -0.555   13 -0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.692   10 -0.365   18 -0.572
Trinity IL              8  3  0 296 201 -1.156   20 -0.499   20 -0.610   19 -0.792    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.492   18 -0.797   20 -0.788
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Benedictine KS          9  3  0 278 170 -1.356   21 -0.673   21 -0.752   25 -0.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.316   36 -1.519   11 -0.419
Geneva                  7  4  0 319 222 -1.009   22 -0.782   23 -0.833   16 -0.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.257   16 -0.759   17 -0.546
Olivet Nazarene         6  4  0 208 196 -1.025   23 -0.799   22 -0.827   27 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.971   32 -1.410   22 -0.906
Ottawa                  9  2  0 427 167 -1.563   24 -0.874   24 -0.885   14 -0.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.293   14 -0.630   14 -0.478
Tabor                   9  2  0 304 229 -2.016   25 -0.922   25 -0.951   36 -1.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.699   47 -1.824   34 -1.380
Minot St                7  3  0 291 222 -1.483   26 -0.952   26 -0.997   28 -1.169    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.700   24 -0.974   31 -1.365
Texas College           6  1  0 210  97 -2.176   27 -1.096   27 -1.182   29 -1.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.445   43 -1.711   26 -1.042
Quincy                  5  6  0 332 330 -0.915   28 -1.194   28 -1.262   23 -0.963    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.253   13 -0.556   33 -1.369
Peru St                 7  3  1 248 231 -1.882   29 -1.207   29 -1.282   40 -1.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.038   60 -2.043   35 -1.387
Southern Nazarene       6  4  0 269 214 -1.606   30 -1.287   30 -1.379   32 -1.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  5.985   42 -1.686   30 -1.300
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4  0 258 217 -1.654   31 -1.324   32 -1.424   37 -1.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  5.892   39 -1.649   40 -1.694
Hastings                6  4  0 266 259 -1.706   32 -1.355   31 -1.412   39 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  5.872   30 -1.395   51 -2.006
Midland Lutheran        6  4  0 235 227 -1.736   33 -1.378   33 -1.444   45 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  5.816   46 -1.824   42 -1.747
Edward Waters           5  4  0 199 164 -1.643   34 -1.417   34 -1.498   35 -1.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  5.862   54 -1.948   28 -1.232
Montana Tech            3  8  0 210 274 -0.535   35 -1.527   35 -1.563   20 -0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.702   26 -1.107   16 -0.521
Evangel                 6  4  0 263 236 -1.808   36 -1.531   36 -1.572   38 -1.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.592   33 -1.456   49 -1.913
Concordia NE            5  5  0 216 230 -1.749   37 -1.675   37 -1.732   42 -1.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.221   49 -1.831   38 -1.663
Pikeville               4  6  0 251 198 -1.303   38 -1.687   38 -1.746   26 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.401   29 -1.326   21 -0.805
Rocky Mountain          2  8  0 208 369 -0.708   39 -1.701   39 -1.764   31 -1.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.160   25 -1.001   50 -1.946
Black Hills St          5  4  0 202 190 -1.932   40 -1.715   41 -1.787   47 -1.832    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.134   56 -1.982   39 -1.682
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberland TN           3  7  0 204 291 -1.221   41 -1.721   42 -1.791   41 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.159   51 -1.871   36 -1.595
Union KY                4  7  0 235 298 -1.340   42 -1.725   40 -1.782   33 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.212   41 -1.681   32 -1.366
Graceland               5  5  0 233 231 -1.850   43 -1.784   43 -1.855   46 -1.828    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.111   45 -1.808   46 -1.848
Missouri Valley         5  5  0 263 268 -1.888   44 -1.801   44 -1.875   48 -1.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.060   35 -1.482   67 -2.309
Avila                   5  5  0 206 224 -1.937   45 -1.817   45 -1.897   50 -1.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  4.957   59 -2.042   44 -1.775
Dakota Wesleyan         5  6  0 236 266 -1.859   46 -1.842   46 -1.929   54 -2.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  4.892   57 -2.002   52 -2.008
Montana St-Northern     1  9  0 112 450 -0.855   47 -1.855   47 -1.940   62 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.568   67 -2.406   59 -2.157
Bacone                  4  7  1 273 367 -1.646   48 -1.873   48 -1.970   53 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.872   44 -1.742   60 -2.201
Belhaven                4  7  0 359 403 -1.585   49 -1.907   50 -2.010   44 -1.784    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.852   17 -0.788   78 -2.781
Virginia-Wise           3  8  0 238 437 -1.482   50 -1.935   49 -1.988   63 -2.317    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.604   50 -1.841   79 -2.793
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Valley City St          5  5  0 257 259 -2.061   51 -1.973   51 -2.028   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.731   48 -1.826   64 -2.220
McPherson               6  4  0 307 268 -2.346   52 -1.988   52 -2.050   59 -2.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.737   38 -1.588   72 -2.589
Doane                   4  6  0 250 241 -1.717   53 -2.006   53 -2.070   34 -1.568    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.807   31 -1.403   41 -1.733
William Penn            2  8  0 190 262 -0.996   54 -2.031   54 -2.097   30 -1.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.764   40 -1.660   29 -1.242
Malone                  2  8  0 182 331 -1.277   55 -2.055   55 -2.131   57 -2.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.446   58 -2.003   55 -2.092
Baker                   4  6  0 203 222 -1.899   56 -2.060   56 -2.140   51 -1.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.511   61 -2.081   45 -1.826
Bethany KS              5  5  0 248 301 -2.318   57 -2.070   57 -2.152   73 -2.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.250   64 -2.177   80 -2.812
Jamestown               4  6  0 166 265 -2.036   58 -2.085   58 -2.171   64 -2.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.195   72 -2.545   58 -2.152
Culver-Stockton         4  6  0 256 257 -1.871   59 -2.098   59 -2.187   43 -1.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.494   34 -1.471   54 -2.082
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6  0 173 271 -2.097   60 -2.121   60 -2.221   67 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.126   71 -2.538   66 -2.227
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Urbana                  3  8  0 238 351 -1.611   61 -2.138   61 -2.242   58 -2.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.172   55 -1.973   57 -2.142
Southwestern KS         5  5  0 309 285 -2.284   62 -2.152   62 -2.264   56 -2.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.290   37 -1.557   70 -2.503
Bethel TN               2  9  0 279 465 -1.425   63 -2.211   63 -2.338   52 -1.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.956   27 -1.230   75 -2.708
Morningside             3  7  0 210 249 -1.773   64 -2.216   64 -2.346   49 -1.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.108   52 -1.904   48 -1.909
Allen                   3  5  0 140 242 -2.287   65 -2.226   65 -2.360   76 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.878   79 -2.923   61 -2.204
William Jewell          3  7  0 167 259 -2.035   66 -2.273   66 -2.423   70 -2.407    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.777   75 -2.598   63 -2.217
Bethel KS               4  5  0 202 275 -2.478   67 -2.275   67 -2.426   80 -2.788    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.741   78 -2.649   82 -2.926
Taylor                  2  8  0 150 347 -1.737   68 -2.289   68 -2.442   71 -2.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.689   77 -2.647   65 -2.225
South Dakota Tech       3  7  0 187 299 -2.169   69 -2.365   69 -2.550   75 -2.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.572   68 -2.415   74 -2.677
Langston                2  9  0 166 313 -1.652   70 -2.373   70 -2.558   60 -2.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.690   74 -2.593   43 -1.758
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindenwood              3  8  0 202 291 -2.152   71 -2.465   71 -2.685   72 -2.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.467   73 -2.562   68 -2.413
Kansas Wesleyan         3  7  0 204 242 -2.222   72 -2.506   73 -2.723   66 -2.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.486   76 -2.642   56 -2.110
St Mary KS              3  7  0 177 338 -2.405   73 -2.528   72 -2.721   82 -2.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.305   81 -2.961   77 -2.753
Webber Int'l            2  7  0 178 324 -1.915   74 -2.538   74 -2.734   65 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.473   65 -2.301   69 -2.450
Central Methodist       2  8  0  90 224 -2.104   75 -2.547   75 -2.745   78 -2.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.292   87 -3.613   47 -1.881
Friends                 3  6  0 255 305 -2.411   76 -2.554   76 -2.756   74 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.388   53 -1.943   84 -3.077
Dana                    2  9  0 196 287 -1.858   77 -2.576   77 -2.781   61 -2.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.376   70 -2.434   53 -2.060
Haskell                 3  6  0 165 170 -2.389   78 -2.580   78 -2.790   69 -2.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.344   83 -3.173   37 -1.638
Dakota St               2  8  0 207 309 -2.086   79 -2.619   79 -2.841   68 -2.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.159   62 -2.125   73 -2.642
SW Assemblies of God    2  8  0 221 435 -2.254   80 -2.627   80 -2.850   83 -2.987    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.000   63 -2.168   88 -3.805
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IL           1  9  0 100 325 -1.796   81 -2.630   81 -2.853   77 -2.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  3.008   84 -3.253   62 -2.207
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  0 146 443 -1.829   82 -2.637   82 -2.861   81 -2.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.950   69 -2.426   85 -3.203
Northwestern MN         6  4  0 267 182 -3.749   83 -2.915   83 -3.221   86 -3.187    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.691   86 -3.348   83 -3.026
Mayville St             1  9  0 171 271 -2.243   84 -3.089   84 -3.372   79 -2.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.440   82 -2.990   71 -2.536
Paul Quinn              0  5  0  91 205 -2.254   85 -3.096   85 -3.381   84 -2.997    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.368   66 -2.363   87 -3.631
Briar Cliff             0 10  0  42 370 -2.273   86 -3.233   86 -3.594   88 -3.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  1.863   90 -4.578   76 -2.713
Waldorf                 0 10  0 103 450 -2.225   87 -3.309   87 -3.717   85 -3.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.906   85 -3.347   81 -2.910
Sterling                0 10  0 191 387 -2.556   88 -3.462   88 -3.981   87 -3.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.686   80 -2.948   86 -3.549
Southern Virginia       0  8  0  85 328 -3.143   89 -3.638   89 -4.160   90 -4.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.268   89 -4.253   90 -3.951
Crown                   4  7  0 241 307 -4.122   90 -3.662   90 -4.204   89 -3.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.408   88 -3.944   89 -3.942
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Trinity Bible           0  9  0  12 482 -4.659   91 -4.326   91 -5.219   91 -6.499    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  0.000   91 -7.284   91 -5.714


Central States Football League: strength=-1.780 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St         11  2  0 526 223 -0.498    4  0.474    4  0.183    3  0.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.310    4  0.525    7 -0.147
Peru St                 7  3  1 248 231 -1.882   29 -1.207   29 -1.282   40 -1.715    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.038   60 -2.043   35 -1.387
Bacone                  4  7  1 273 367 -1.646   48 -1.873   48 -1.970   53 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.872   44 -1.742   60 -2.201
Langston                2  9  0 166 313 -1.652   70 -2.373   70 -2.558   60 -2.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.690   74 -2.593   43 -1.758
Haskell                 3  6  0 165 170 -2.389   78 -2.580   78 -2.790   69 -2.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.344   83 -3.173   37 -1.638

Dakota Athletic Conf: strength=-1.940 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St           11  1  0 361 165 -1.309    6  0.251    6 -0.022   17 -0.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  8.515   21 -0.908   13 -0.442
Mary                   10  2  0 373 115 -0.771   11  0.056   11 -0.232    5  0.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.352   15 -0.636    2  0.794
Minot St                7  3  0 291 222 -1.483   26 -0.952   26 -0.997   28 -1.169    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.700   24 -0.974   31 -1.365
Black Hills St          5  4  0 202 190 -1.932   40 -1.715   41 -1.787   47 -1.832    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.134   56 -1.982   39 -1.682
Valley City St          5  5  0 257 259 -2.061   51 -1.973   51 -2.028   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.731   48 -1.826   64 -2.220
Jamestown               4  6  0 166 265 -2.036   58 -2.085   58 -2.171   64 -2.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.195   72 -2.545   58 -2.152
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6  0 173 271 -2.097   60 -2.121   60 -2.221   67 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.126   71 -2.538   66 -2.227
South Dakota Tech       3  7  0 187 299 -2.169   69 -2.365   69 -2.550   75 -2.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.572   68 -2.415   74 -2.677
Dakota St               2  8  0 207 309 -2.086   79 -2.619   79 -2.841   68 -2.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.159   62 -2.125   73 -2.642
Mayville St             1  9  0 171 271 -2.243   84 -3.089   84 -3.372   79 -2.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.440   82 -2.990   71 -2.536

Frontier Conf: strength=-0.617 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             14  0  0 621 189  0.092    1  1.666    1  1.422    1  1.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.539    1  1.453    1  1.149
Montana-Western         7  4  0 349 247 -0.186    9  0.058   10 -0.227    6  0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.221    6  0.163    6 -0.083
Montana Tech            3  8  0 210 274 -0.535   35 -1.527   35 -1.563   20 -0.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.702   26 -1.107   16 -0.521
Rocky Mountain          2  8  0 208 369 -0.708   39 -1.701   39 -1.764   31 -1.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.160   25 -1.001   50 -1.946
Montana St-Northern     1  9  0 112 450 -0.855   47 -1.855   47 -1.940   62 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.568   67 -2.406   59 -2.157

Great Plains Athletic Conf: strength=-1.719 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls            12  1  0 434 197 -1.103    5  0.328    5  0.078   12 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  8.830   12 -0.474    8 -0.319
Northwestern IA        10  2  0 430 228 -1.239   14 -0.210   14 -0.431   18 -0.683    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.850   11 -0.369   25 -0.997
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4  0 258 217 -1.654   31 -1.324   32 -1.424   37 -1.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  5.892   39 -1.649   40 -1.694
Hastings                6  4  0 266 259 -1.706   32 -1.355   31 -1.412   39 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  5.872   30 -1.395   51 -2.006
Midland Lutheran        6  4  0 235 227 -1.736   33 -1.378   33 -1.444   45 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  5.816   46 -1.824   42 -1.747
Concordia NE            5  5  0 216 230 -1.749   37 -1.675   37 -1.732   42 -1.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.221   49 -1.831   38 -1.663
Dakota Wesleyan         5  6  0 236 266 -1.859   46 -1.842   46 -1.929   54 -2.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  4.892   57 -2.002   52 -2.008
Doane                   4  6  0 250 241 -1.717   53 -2.006   53 -2.070   34 -1.568    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.807   31 -1.403   41 -1.733
Morningside             3  7  0 210 249 -1.773   64 -2.216   64 -2.346   49 -1.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.108   52 -1.904   48 -1.909
Dana                    2  9  0 196 287 -1.858   77 -2.576   77 -2.781   61 -2.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.376   70 -2.434   53 -2.060
Briar Cliff             0 10  0  42 370 -2.273   86 -3.233   86 -3.594   88 -3.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  1.863   90 -4.578   76 -2.713

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-1.892 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MidAmerica Nazarene    12  1  0 475 257 -1.319    7  0.156    7 -0.108   15 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.434    8 -0.170   27 -1.118
Benedictine KS          9  3  0 278 170 -1.356   21 -0.673   21 -0.752   25 -0.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.316   36 -1.519   11 -0.419
Evangel                 6  4  0 263 236 -1.808   36 -1.531   36 -1.572   38 -1.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.592   33 -1.456   49 -1.913
Graceland               5  5  0 233 231 -1.850   43 -1.784   43 -1.855   46 -1.828    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.111   45 -1.808   46 -1.848
Missouri Valley         5  5  0 263 268 -1.888   44 -1.801   44 -1.875   48 -1.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.060   35 -1.482   67 -2.309
Avila                   5  5  0 206 224 -1.937   45 -1.817   45 -1.897   50 -1.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  4.957   59 -2.042   44 -1.775
Baker                   4  6  0 203 222 -1.899   56 -2.060   56 -2.140   51 -1.954    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.511   61 -2.081   45 -1.826
Culver-Stockton         4  6  0 256 257 -1.871   59 -2.098   59 -2.187   43 -1.777    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.494   34 -1.471   54 -2.082
William Jewell          3  7  0 167 259 -2.035   66 -2.273   66 -2.423   70 -2.407    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.777   75 -2.598   63 -2.217
Lindenwood              3  8  0 202 291 -2.152   71 -2.465   71 -2.685   72 -2.488    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.467   73 -2.562   68 -2.413
Central Methodist       2  8  0  90 224 -2.104   75 -2.547   75 -2.745   78 -2.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.292   87 -3.613   47 -1.881

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.379 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa                  9  2  0 427 167 -1.563   24 -0.874   24 -0.885   14 -0.554    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.293   14 -0.630   14 -0.478
Tabor                   9  2  0 304 229 -2.016   25 -0.922   25 -0.951   36 -1.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.699   47 -1.824   34 -1.380
McPherson               6  4  0 307 268 -2.346   52 -1.988   52 -2.050   59 -2.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.737   38 -1.588   72 -2.589
Bethany KS              5  5  0 248 301 -2.318   57 -2.070   57 -2.152   73 -2.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.250   64 -2.177   80 -2.812
Southwestern KS         5  5  0 309 285 -2.284   62 -2.152   62 -2.264   56 -2.030    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.290   37 -1.557   70 -2.503
Bethel KS               4  5  0 202 275 -2.478   67 -2.275   67 -2.426   80 -2.788    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.741   78 -2.649   82 -2.926
Kansas Wesleyan         3  7  0 204 242 -2.222   72 -2.506   73 -2.723   66 -2.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.486   76 -2.642   56 -2.110
St Mary KS              3  7  0 177 338 -2.405   73 -2.528   72 -2.721   82 -2.857    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.305   81 -2.961   77 -2.753
Friends                 3  6  0 255 305 -2.411   76 -2.554   76 -2.756   74 -2.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.388   53 -1.943   84 -3.077
Sterling                0 10  0 191 387 -2.556   88 -3.462   88 -3.981   87 -3.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.686   80 -2.948   86 -3.549

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.279 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY           9  3  0 473 250 -0.809   12 -0.168   13 -0.387    8 -0.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.028    5  0.251   19 -0.674
Campbellsville          9  2  0 318 222 -1.279   15 -0.291   15 -0.454   22 -0.930    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.697   22 -0.953   23 -0.907
Lambuth                 9  3  0 295 207 -1.115   17 -0.319   17 -0.487   21 -0.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.658   28 -1.252   12 -0.438
Cumberland KY           8  2  0 303 211 -1.261   18 -0.325   18 -0.499   24 -0.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.642   23 -0.960   24 -0.970
Pikeville               4  6  0 251 198 -1.303   38 -1.687   38 -1.746   26 -1.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.401   29 -1.326   21 -0.805
Cumberland TN           3  7  0 204 291 -1.221   41 -1.721   42 -1.791   41 -1.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.159   51 -1.871   36 -1.595
Union KY                4  7  0 235 298 -1.340   42 -1.725   40 -1.782   33 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.212   41 -1.681   32 -1.366
Belhaven                4  7  0 359 403 -1.585   49 -1.907   50 -2.010   44 -1.784    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.852   17 -0.788   78 -2.781
Virginia-Wise           3  8  0 238 437 -1.482   50 -1.935   49 -1.988   63 -2.317    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.604   50 -1.841   79 -2.793
Bethel TN               2  9  0 279 465 -1.425   63 -2.211   63 -2.338   52 -1.969    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.956   27 -1.230   75 -2.708

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.085 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN          12  1  0 524 280 -0.486    2  0.950    2  0.664    4  0.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.072    2  0.741   10 -0.387
McKendree               8  3  0 288 161 -0.558    8  0.097    8 -0.174   10 -0.328    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.293   20 -0.863    4  0.206
St Ambrose              8  4  0 404 244 -0.601   13 -0.169   12 -0.386   11 -0.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  7.961    9 -0.263   15 -0.500
St Xavier               7  4  0 359 209 -0.513   16 -0.313   16 -0.477    9 -0.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  7.904    7 -0.113    9 -0.371
Walsh                   8  3  0 371 221 -0.964   19 -0.454   19 -0.555   13 -0.469    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.692   10 -0.365   18 -0.572
Trinity IL              8  3  0 296 201 -1.156   20 -0.499   20 -0.610   19 -0.792    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.492   18 -0.797   20 -0.788
Geneva                  7  4  0 319 222 -1.009   22 -0.782   23 -0.833   16 -0.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.257   16 -0.759   17 -0.546
Olivet Nazarene         6  4  0 208 196 -1.025   23 -0.799   22 -0.827   27 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.971   32 -1.410   22 -0.906
Quincy                  5  6  0 332 330 -0.915   28 -1.194   28 -1.262   23 -0.963    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.253   13 -0.556   33 -1.369
William Penn            2  8  0 190 262 -0.996   54 -2.031   54 -2.097   30 -1.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.764   40 -1.660   29 -1.242
Malone                  2  8  0 182 331 -1.277   55 -2.055   55 -2.131   57 -2.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.446   58 -2.003   55 -2.092
Urbana                  3  8  0 238 351 -1.611   61 -2.138   61 -2.242   58 -2.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.172   55 -1.973   57 -2.142
Taylor                  2  8  0 150 347 -1.737   68 -2.289   68 -2.442   71 -2.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.689   77 -2.647   65 -2.225
St Francis IL           1  9  0 100 325 -1.796   81 -2.630   81 -2.853   77 -2.730    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  3.008   84 -3.253   62 -2.207
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  0 146 443 -1.829   82 -2.637   82 -2.861   81 -2.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.950   69 -2.426   85 -3.203

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.225 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  T  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific           8  2  0 236 125 -0.286    3  0.588    3  0.326    7 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.325   19 -0.836    3  0.538
Southern Oregon         5  4  0 302 192  0.045   10  0.057    9 -0.225    2  0.274    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.367    3  0.610    5 -0.061
Texas College           6  1  0 210  97 -2.176   27 -1.096   27 -1.182   29 -1.377    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.445   43 -1.711   26 -1.042
Southern Nazarene       6  4  0 269 214 -1.606   30 -1.287   30 -1.379   32 -1.493    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  5.985   42 -1.686   30 -1.300
Edward Waters           5  4  0 199 164 -1.643   34 -1.417   34 -1.498   35 -1.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  5.862   54 -1.948   28 -1.232
Allen                   3  5  0 140 242 -2.287   65 -2.226   65 -2.360   76 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.878   79 -2.923   61 -2.204
Webber Int'l            2  7  0 178 324 -1.915   74 -2.538   74 -2.734   65 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.473   65 -2.301   69 -2.450
SW Assemblies of God    2  8  0 221 435 -2.254   80 -2.627   80 -2.850   83 -2.987    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.000   63 -2.168   88 -3.805
Paul Quinn              0  5  0  91 205 -2.254   85 -3.096   85 -3.381   84 -2.997    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.368   66 -2.363   87 -3.631
Waldorf                 0 10  0 103 450 -2.225   87 -3.309   87 -3.717   85 -3.129    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.906   85 -3.347   81 -2.910
Southern Virginia       0  8  0  85 328 -3.143   89 -3.638   89 -4.160   90 -4.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.268   89 -4.253   90 -3.951

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conf                                 27 29  0 0.482    1 -0.617
Mid-States Football Assn                      80 82  0 0.494    2 -1.085
Mid-South Conf                                55 54  0 0.505    3 -1.279
Great Plains Athletic Conf                    59 58  0 0.504    4 -1.719
Central States Football League                27 27  2 0.500    5 -1.780
Heart of America Athletic Conf                58 58  0 0.500    6 -1.892
Dakota Athletic Conf                          52 51  0 0.505    7 -1.940
NAIA Independents                             37 58  0 0.389    8 -2.225
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                   47 53  0 0.470    9 -2.379

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.207 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:27 2019

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