Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Cal           13  0 496 169  4.465    1  5.653    1  5.518    1  5.411    1 0.7214    2 0.7066    1 20.361    1  5.375    1  5.447
Auburn                 13  0 417 147  3.740    2  5.286    2  5.042    7  4.553    5 0.6667    1 0.7097    3 19.445   16  4.220    4  4.886
Oklahoma               12  1 452 219  4.093    3  5.242    3  4.985    3  4.776    2 0.6905    4 0.6795    2 19.453    7  4.661    3  4.890
Utah                   12  0 544 234  3.492    4  5.102    4  4.803    5  4.606    4 0.6712    6 0.6646    4 19.187    2  5.278   22  3.935
Texas                  11  1 423 215  3.848    5  5.090    5  4.792    9  4.367    3 0.6816    5 0.6706    5 19.097   10  4.414    9  4.319
California             10  2 441 192  4.168    6  4.951    6  4.627    2  4.800    6 0.6514   12 0.6352    6 19.033    6  4.828    5  4.772
Iowa                   10  2 292 211  3.798    7  4.867    7  4.531   16  4.137    8 0.6383    3 0.6879    8 18.697   29  3.905    8  4.370
Arizona St              9  3 358 294  4.065    8  4.854    8  4.493   20  4.045    7 0.6413    8 0.6544   13 18.600   12  4.362   29  3.727
Georgia                10  2 335 198  3.778    9  4.835    9  4.470   13  4.146   10 0.6258    9 0.6462   12 18.615   27  3.998   11  4.295
Louisville             11  1 597 236  3.612   10  4.821   11  4.452    4  4.683   12 0.6211   11 0.6423    7 18.804    3  5.151   14  4.215
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boise St               11  1 587 308  3.419   11  4.761   10  4.457   11  4.179    9 0.6298    7 0.6549   11 18.619    4  5.001   48  3.357
Virginia Tech          10  3 400 167  4.011   12  4.741   12  4.435    8  4.548   18 0.5963   14 0.6126   10 18.657   19  4.107    2  4.989
Miami FL                9  3 380 204  4.067   13  4.709   13  4.392    6  4.587   11 0.6212   13 0.6238    9 18.665    8  4.623    7  4.551
Tennessee              10  3 378 295  3.717   14  4.647   14  4.329   24  3.955   13 0.6154   15 0.6115   14 18.302   13  4.292   36  3.618
Michigan                9  3 370 279  3.710   15  4.552   15  4.224   23  3.972   16 0.6051   10 0.6436   16 18.193   14  4.282   34  3.662
LSU                     9  3 344 205  3.752   16  4.536   16  4.206   18  4.090   19 0.5921   20 0.5996   15 18.228   26  4.003   15  4.176
Texas Tech              8  4 434 314  3.913   17  4.501   17  4.168   10  4.230   14 0.6150   19 0.6013   18 18.153    5  4.845   37  3.614
Florida St              9  3 302 169  3.723   18  4.491   18  4.156   15  4.140   17 0.5988   17 0.6039   17 18.172   40  3.676    6  4.605
Wisconsin               9  3 249 185  3.582   19  4.479   19  4.145   29  3.743   23 0.5776   18 0.6019   19 18.023   63  3.213   12  4.274
Oregon St               7  5 320 294  4.059   20  4.422   20  4.085   14  4.144   21 0.5915   27 0.5760   20 17.976   11  4.376   23  3.912
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio State              8  4 290 219  3.720   21  4.333   21  3.989   19  4.076   24 0.5774   16 0.6057   22 17.859   32  3.856   10  4.297
Virginia                8  4 363 212  3.797   22  4.314   22  3.968   12  4.167   25 0.5767   22 0.5932   21 17.922   21  4.098   13  4.235
Texas A&M               7  5 341 292  3.899   23  4.231   23  3.880   26  3.845   15 0.6090   21 0.5960   23 17.702   28  3.966   30  3.725
Colorado                8  5 304 332  3.555   24  4.134   24  3.840   48  3.379   20 0.5915   25 0.5783   26 17.457   51  3.383   47  3.375
North Carolina          6  6 319 382  3.845   25  4.102   25  3.808   40  3.538   31 0.5525   40 0.5488   30 17.407   22  4.097   67  2.978
Oklahoma St             7  5 387 301  3.738   26  4.083   26  3.787   30  3.718   22 0.5798   39 0.5500   24 17.479   20  4.106   49  3.330
Georgia Tech            7  5 264 227  3.641   27  4.070   27  3.772   28  3.744   36 0.5425   36 0.5530   29 17.415   50  3.399   18  4.089
Boston College          9  3 296 203  3.197   28  4.066   28  3.766   37  3.584   26 0.5671   24 0.5800   28 17.431   60  3.265   24  3.904
Purdue                  7  5 381 206  3.726   29  4.005   30  3.702   17  4.132   33 0.5474   30 0.5604   25 17.478   18  4.145   16  4.120
Notre Dame              6  6 289 289  3.838   30  3.958   32  3.697   27  3.751   30 0.5561   32 0.5557   31 17.351   34  3.780   31  3.721
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Navy                   10  2 334 238  2.804   31  3.907   29  3.711   54  3.313   28 0.5604   50 0.5249   34 17.228   62  3.232   44  3.393
Fresno St               9  3 482 253  3.222   32  3.897   31  3.701   22  3.973   27 0.5627   29 0.5614   27 17.451   15  4.257   32  3.689
Clemson                 6  5 236 229  3.623   33  3.878   33  3.682   31  3.659   39 0.5341   53 0.5171   33 17.272   45  3.558   27  3.760
Florida                 7  5 382 253  3.610   34  3.819   34  3.621   25  3.918   43 0.5250   57 0.5089   32 17.310   17  4.148   33  3.689
New Mexico              7  5 244 224  3.461   35  3.802   35  3.603   44  3.461   29 0.5592   43 0.5465   37 17.112   75  2.916   21  4.006
West Virginia           8  4 361 246  3.241   36  3.785   36  3.584   39  3.546   35 0.5446   33 0.5548   36 17.153   36  3.717   46  3.376
Pittsburgh              8  4 325 288  3.158   37  3.770   37  3.583   46  3.394   32 0.5517   26 0.5772   38 17.054   48  3.502   52  3.286
UCLA                    6  6 361 309  3.797   38  3.747   38  3.561   21  3.988   41 0.5301   62 0.4861   35 17.183    9  4.472   41  3.504
Wyoming                 7  5 318 297  3.285   39  3.668   39  3.529   53  3.330   38 0.5351   51 0.5200   40 16.928   53  3.374   53  3.285
Iowa St                 7  5 246 259  3.263   40  3.626   41  3.481   61  3.205   34 0.5461   46 0.5326   46 16.860   79  2.886   39  3.523
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Minnesota               7  5 361 273  3.354   41  3.610   42  3.465   38  3.564   47 0.5146   48 0.5260   39 16.969   33  3.800   51  3.329
Northwestern            6  6 295 342  3.504   42  3.593   40  3.485   57  3.273   45 0.5192   52 0.5191   43 16.890   46  3.542   66  3.005
Washington St           5  6 275 307  3.600   43  3.567   43  3.457   47  3.380   44 0.5213   65 0.4808   47 16.848   38  3.689   62  3.070
South Carolina          6  5 243 229  3.415   44  3.561   44  3.449   52  3.361   54 0.5116   61 0.4913   41 16.921   66  3.184   38  3.537
Brigham Young           5  6 267 295  3.681   45  3.550   45  3.439   42  3.528   40 0.5322   55 0.5121   45 16.872   43  3.621   43  3.435
Oregon                  5  6 282 282  3.689   46  3.541   46  3.428   35  3.625   55 0.5116   71 0.4665   44 16.879   35  3.760   42  3.491
North Carolina St       5  6 264 218  3.643   47  3.536   47  3.424   32  3.655   64 0.4966   66 0.4794   42 16.919   44  3.558   28  3.752
UTEP                    8  4 429 301  3.009   48  3.508   48  3.383   49  3.371   37 0.5404   31 0.5561   49 16.808   42  3.643   59  3.099
Maryland                5  6 195 220  3.460   49  3.484   49  3.359   63  3.177   65 0.4963   63 0.4857   52 16.691   90  2.718   35  3.637
Arkansas                5  6 328 270  3.650   50  3.467   50  3.340   33  3.648   48 0.5136   59 0.5033   48 16.835   23  4.066   55  3.231
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Syracuse                6  6 287 344  3.266   51  3.454   51  3.325   68  3.056   53 0.5119   45 0.5438   56 16.506   57  3.335   74  2.777
Stanford                4  7 242 233  3.895   52  3.451   52  3.324   34  3.648   62 0.4997   79 0.4504   51 16.770   59  3.282   20  4.013
Bowling Green           9  3 532 282  2.750   53  3.443   53  3.310   43  3.517   60 0.5025   23 0.5909   50 16.806   25  4.064   68  2.971
Connecticut             8  4 363 260  2.867   54  3.438   54  3.306   55  3.295   56 0.5102   47 0.5313   53 16.667   49  3.406   57  3.184
Northern Illinois       9  3 421 304  2.548   55  3.426   55  3.290   73  3.002   59 0.5041   37 0.5520   55 16.524   47  3.532   83  2.471
Memphis                 8  4 430 375  2.778   56  3.421   56  3.287   72  3.006   49 0.5133   42 0.5471   57 16.482   41  3.657   88  2.354
Toledo                  9  4 432 404  2.543   57  3.380   57  3.239   82  2.764   71 0.4869   35 0.5531   59 16.387   52  3.377   97  2.151
Louisiana Tech          6  6 308 382  3.075   58  3.353   58  3.210   74  2.982   42 0.5272   38 0.5502   61 16.352   67  3.149   73  2.815
Alabama                 6  6 295 189  3.388   59  3.349   59  3.206   36  3.611   70 0.4892   70 0.4736   54 16.539   64  3.189   19  4.033
Cincinnati              7  5 344 320  2.984   60  3.339   60  3.194   59  3.215   50 0.5132   34 0.5532   58 16.430   54  3.371   63  3.058
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Miss           7  5 309 298  2.926   61  3.307   61  3.189   69  3.033   46 0.5162   49 0.5254   60 16.378   70  3.013   64  3.054
Air Force               5  6 326 342  3.291   62  3.257   62  3.137   56  3.291   63 0.4990   74 0.4624   62 16.336   31  3.858   77  2.724
Nebraska                5  6 275 298  3.223   63  3.251   63  3.132   64  3.112   58 0.5078   64 0.4829   65 16.281   65  3.187   65  3.037
Michigan St             5  7 353 326  3.359   64  3.205   65  3.085   45  3.401   73 0.4765   69 0.4767   64 16.317   30  3.869   69  2.933
Hawai`i                 8  5 467 499  2.674   65  3.178   64  3.108   81  2.770   51 0.5132   41 0.5484   70 16.141   39  3.682  106  1.858
Arizona                 3  8 164 275  3.679   66  3.152   66  3.082   58  3.229   74 0.4759   78 0.4536   68 16.197   95  2.674   25  3.783
Kansas                  4  7 262 235  3.514   67  3.130   67  3.056   41  3.533   61 0.5023   67 0.4775   63 16.326   58  3.303   26  3.764
Alabama-Birmingham      7  5 372 351  2.817   68  3.123   68  3.048   77  2.884   57 0.5082   54 0.5164   69 16.189   55  3.363   84  2.404
Kansas St               4  7 326 337  3.451   69  3.100   69  3.024   50  3.364   68 0.4902   80 0.4495   66 16.269   24  4.065   79  2.663
Missouri                5  6 256 215  3.164   70  3.095   70  3.018   62  3.203   67 0.4917   77 0.4545   67 16.221   78  2.899   40  3.508
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Colorado St             4  7 261 325  3.362   71  3.077   71  2.997   60  3.214   69 0.4900   76 0.4594   72 16.100   56  3.337   61  3.091
Penn St                 4  7 195 168  3.413   72  3.063   72  2.981   51  3.363   81 0.4549   75 0.4596   71 16.138   98  2.608   17  4.118
Mississippi             4  7 215 278  3.277   73  3.060   73  2.977   67  3.084   78 0.4648   81 0.4485   74 16.047   73  2.964   56  3.203
Wake Forest             4  7 230 253  3.352   74  3.057   74  2.975   66  3.094   82 0.4520   88 0.4302   73 16.085   74  2.945   54  3.243
San Diego St            4  7 234 282  3.265   75  3.011   75  2.923   65  3.101   77 0.4650   83 0.4404   76 15.967   80  2.873   50  3.329
Troy St                 7  5 286 200  2.666   76  2.970   76  2.876   70  3.020   66 0.4919   56 0.5097   75 15.982   96  2.652   45  3.387
Miami OH                8  5 407 298  2.523   77  2.966   77  2.872   75  2.949   79 0.4621   44 0.5450   77 15.943   68  3.064   72  2.833
TCU                     5  6 362 373  2.913   78  2.892   78  2.795   71  3.006   75 0.4751   73 0.4632   78 15.810   37  3.705   90  2.308
Marshall                6  6 291 266  2.715   79  2.867   79  2.766   80  2.774   86 0.4382   58 0.5056   79 15.767   93  2.689   71  2.860
Baylor                  3  8 224 406  3.089   80  2.845   80  2.743   90  2.576   72 0.4778   87 0.4346   82 15.540   81  2.857   92  2.295
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
North Texas             7  5 309 358  2.294   81  2.815   82  2.732   96  2.434   52 0.5120   28 0.5645   83 15.495   86  2.773  102  2.095
Rutgers                 4  7 269 343  2.985   82  2.814   81  2.734   85  2.712   84 0.4440   72 0.4653   81 15.635   69  3.037   86  2.388
Indiana                 3  8 262 343  3.227   83  2.807   83  2.727   76  2.895   96 0.4144  100 0.3908   80 15.667   61  3.236   81  2.554
Akron                   6  5 271 347  2.304   84  2.794   84  2.710  101  2.313   91 0.4290   68 0.4774   84 15.455   89  2.724  105  1.902
Tulane                  5  6 300 361  2.590   85  2.776   85  2.691   94  2.518   83 0.4451   85 0.4380   85 15.443   77  2.912  100  2.123
New Mexico St           5  6 273 355  2.574   86  2.751   86  2.661   93  2.550   76 0.4740   84 0.4398   86 15.386   72  2.972   99  2.129
Mississippi St          3  8 173 280  3.037   87  2.698   87  2.601   87  2.680   98 0.4097  105 0.3833   88 15.342  105  2.266   60  3.095
Illinois                3  8 240 323  3.096   88  2.687   88  2.590   84  2.721   99 0.4075  104 0.3840   87 15.343   92  2.707   76  2.734
South Florida           4  7 271 351  2.716   89  2.667   89  2.562   95  2.491   87 0.4338   82 0.4461   89 15.275   94  2.684   91  2.299
Duke                    2  9 183 322  3.307   90  2.639   90  2.535   83  2.752   95 0.4181  102 0.3881   90 15.264   83  2.787   78  2.718
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SMU                     3  8 202 420  2.684   91  2.524   91  2.427  108  2.088   88 0.4335   98 0.4015   98 14.852  109  1.993   95  2.184
Houston                 3  8 230 354  2.899   92  2.506   92  2.405   88  2.675   90 0.4295   96 0.4056   91 15.116   99  2.593   75  2.756
Kentucky                2  9 173 341  3.140   93  2.502   93  2.402   92  2.551  102 0.4030  107 0.3771   92 15.055  103  2.463   80  2.639
Tulsa                   4  8 345 398  2.665   94  2.486   94  2.383   91  2.560   89 0.4332  101 0.3899   93 15.054   71  2.973   98  2.147
UNLV                    2  9 229 357  3.093   95  2.478   95  2.376   89  2.577   94 0.4216   99 0.3992   94 15.039   84  2.782   87  2.372
UL-Monroe               5  6 211 303  2.191   96  2.477   96  2.371  104  2.122   80 0.4573   86 0.4378   99 14.836  108  2.003   93  2.241
Nevada                  5  7 356 413  2.367   97  2.461   97  2.355  102  2.308   93 0.4229  103 0.3859   96 14.968   85  2.781  107  1.836
Washington              1 10 154 334  3.513   98  2.441   98  2.334   79  2.781  101 0.4049  112 0.3486   95 15.001  104  2.410   58  3.152
Rice                    3  8 279 377  2.729   99  2.410   99  2.294   98  2.403   92 0.4285   93 0.4112   97 14.908   87  2.765  103  2.041
Middle Tenn St          5  6 269 293  2.184  100  2.391  100  2.271   99  2.335   85 0.4422   60 0.4927  101 14.788  102  2.476   94  2.194
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Vanderbilt              2  9 212 286  3.063  101  2.361  101  2.238   78  2.813  105 0.3914  113 0.3404  100 14.822   88  2.730   70  2.897
Temple                  2  9 238 399  2.889  102  2.348  102  2.222   97  2.407  106 0.3895   97 0.4038  103 14.648   91  2.714  101  2.100
Army                    2  9 260 388  2.813  103  2.300  103  2.164  100  2.323  107 0.3851  106 0.3792  104 14.589   97  2.623  104  2.024
Kent St                 5  6 335 264  2.163  104  2.278  105  2.135   86  2.700  108 0.3832   89 0.4260  102 14.681   76  2.914   82  2.487
Ohio U.                 4  7 221 271  2.230  105  2.233  104  2.140  105  2.121  111 0.3584   90 0.4181  105 14.541  113  1.846   85  2.395
East Carolina           2  9 231 439  2.746  106  2.223  106  2.130  106  2.102  109 0.3826  109 0.3589  106 14.454  101  2.482  108  1.723
Utah St                 3  8 184 333  2.364  107  2.191  107  2.094  109  1.968   97 0.4130   91 0.4149  107 14.381  115  1.777   96  2.159
UL-Lafayette            4  7 242 272  2.161  108  2.130  109  2.025  103  2.203  100 0.4059  110 0.3565  108 14.378  107  2.052   89  2.354
Arkansas St             3  8 215 365  2.330  109  2.112  108  2.041  110  1.944  103 0.4028   95 0.4088  109 14.267  106  2.174  109  1.715
Central Michigan        4  7 260 378  1.874  110  2.049  110  1.960  116  1.634  113 0.3492  108 0.3626  110 14.094  114  1.798  113  1.470
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Idaho                   3  9 245 473  2.192  111  1.992  111  1.895  113  1.661  104 0.4008   94 0.4108  112 13.975  112  1.914  114  1.408
San Jose St             2  9 312 469  2.448  112  1.985  112  1.888  107  2.089  110 0.3629  116 0.3115  111 14.048   82  2.811  115  1.367
Eastern Michigan        4  7 328 458  1.749  113  1.855  113  1.764  114  1.660  112 0.3498   92 0.4135  113 13.750  100  2.496  117  0.823
Ball St                 2  9 225 405  2.112  114  1.726  114  1.611  111  1.794  114 0.3311  111 0.3512  114 13.600  111  1.922  112  1.666
Buffalo                 2  9 197 351  1.995  115  1.673  115  1.546  117  1.569  115 0.3039  114 0.3260  115 13.358  117  1.448  110  1.690
Western Michigan        1 10 248 436  1.959  116  1.346  116  1.176  115  1.636  116 0.2861  115 0.3194  116 12.955  110  1.959  116  1.312
Central Florida         0 11 175 362  2.252  117  1.305  117  1.130  112  1.691  117 0.2706  117 0.3030  117 12.921  116  1.707  111  1.674


Atlantic Coast Conference: strength=3.821 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia Tech          10  3 400 167  4.011   12  4.741   12  4.435    8  4.548   18 0.5963   14 0.6126   10 18.657   19  4.107    2  4.989
Miami FL                9  3 380 204  4.067   13  4.709   13  4.392    6  4.587   11 0.6212   13 0.6238    9 18.665    8  4.623    7  4.551
Florida St              9  3 302 169  3.723   18  4.491   18  4.156   15  4.140   17 0.5988   17 0.6039   17 18.172   40  3.676    6  4.605
Virginia                8  4 363 212  3.797   22  4.314   22  3.968   12  4.167   25 0.5767   22 0.5932   21 17.922   21  4.098   13  4.235
North Carolina          6  6 319 382  3.845   25  4.102   25  3.808   40  3.538   31 0.5525   40 0.5488   30 17.407   22  4.097   67  2.978
Georgia Tech            7  5 264 227  3.641   27  4.070   27  3.772   28  3.744   36 0.5425   36 0.5530   29 17.415   50  3.399   18  4.089
Clemson                 6  5 236 229  3.623   33  3.878   33  3.682   31  3.659   39 0.5341   53 0.5171   33 17.272   45  3.558   27  3.760
North Carolina St       5  6 264 218  3.643   47  3.536   47  3.424   32  3.655   64 0.4966   66 0.4794   42 16.919   44  3.558   28  3.752
Maryland                5  6 195 220  3.460   49  3.484   49  3.359   63  3.177   65 0.4963   63 0.4857   52 16.691   90  2.718   35  3.637
Wake Forest             4  7 230 253  3.352   74  3.057   74  2.975   66  3.094   82 0.4520   88 0.4302   73 16.085   74  2.945   54  3.243
Duke                    2  9 183 322  3.307   90  2.639   90  2.535   83  2.752   95 0.4181  102 0.3881   90 15.264   83  2.787   78  2.718

Big 10 Conference: strength=3.636 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Iowa                   10  2 292 211  3.798    7  4.867    7  4.531   16  4.137    8 0.6383    3 0.6879    8 18.697   29  3.905    8  4.370
Michigan                9  3 370 279  3.710   15  4.552   15  4.224   23  3.972   16 0.6051   10 0.6436   16 18.193   14  4.282   34  3.662
Wisconsin               9  3 249 185  3.582   19  4.479   19  4.145   29  3.743   23 0.5776   18 0.6019   19 18.023   63  3.213   12  4.274
Ohio State              8  4 290 219  3.720   21  4.333   21  3.989   19  4.076   24 0.5774   16 0.6057   22 17.859   32  3.856   10  4.297
Purdue                  7  5 381 206  3.726   29  4.005   30  3.702   17  4.132   33 0.5474   30 0.5604   25 17.478   18  4.145   16  4.120
Minnesota               7  5 361 273  3.354   41  3.610   42  3.465   38  3.564   47 0.5146   48 0.5260   39 16.969   33  3.800   51  3.329
Northwestern            6  6 295 342  3.504   42  3.593   40  3.485   57  3.273   45 0.5192   52 0.5191   43 16.890   46  3.542   66  3.005
Michigan St             5  7 353 326  3.359   64  3.205   65  3.085   45  3.401   73 0.4765   69 0.4767   64 16.317   30  3.869   69  2.933
Penn St                 4  7 195 168  3.413   72  3.063   72  2.981   51  3.363   81 0.4549   75 0.4596   71 16.138   98  2.608   17  4.118
Indiana                 3  8 262 343  3.227   83  2.807   83  2.727   76  2.895   96 0.4144  100 0.3908   80 15.667   61  3.236   81  2.554
Illinois                3  8 240 323  3.096   88  2.687   88  2.590   84  2.721   99 0.4075  104 0.3840   87 15.343   92  2.707   76  2.734

Big 12 Conference: strength=3.701 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Oklahoma               12  1 452 219  4.093    3  5.242    3  4.985    3  4.776    2 0.6905    4 0.6795    2 19.453    7  4.661    3  4.890
Texas                  11  1 423 215  3.848    5  5.090    5  4.792    9  4.367    3 0.6816    5 0.6706    5 19.097   10  4.414    9  4.319
Texas Tech              8  4 434 314  3.913   17  4.501   17  4.168   10  4.230   14 0.6150   19 0.6013   18 18.153    5  4.845   37  3.614
Texas A&M               7  5 341 292  3.899   23  4.231   23  3.880   26  3.845   15 0.6090   21 0.5960   23 17.702   28  3.966   30  3.725
Colorado                8  5 304 332  3.555   24  4.134   24  3.840   48  3.379   20 0.5915   25 0.5783   26 17.457   51  3.383   47  3.375
Oklahoma St             7  5 387 301  3.738   26  4.083   26  3.787   30  3.718   22 0.5798   39 0.5500   24 17.479   20  4.106   49  3.330
Iowa St                 7  5 246 259  3.263   40  3.626   41  3.481   61  3.205   34 0.5461   46 0.5326   46 16.860   79  2.886   39  3.523
Nebraska                5  6 275 298  3.223   63  3.251   63  3.132   64  3.112   58 0.5078   64 0.4829   65 16.281   65  3.187   65  3.037
Kansas                  4  7 262 235  3.514   67  3.130   67  3.056   41  3.533   61 0.5023   67 0.4775   63 16.326   58  3.303   26  3.764
Kansas St               4  7 326 337  3.451   69  3.100   69  3.024   50  3.364   68 0.4902   80 0.4495   66 16.269   24  4.065   79  2.663
Missouri                5  6 256 215  3.164   70  3.095   70  3.018   62  3.203   67 0.4917   77 0.4545   67 16.221   78  2.899   40  3.508
Baylor                  3  8 224 406  3.089   80  2.845   80  2.743   90  2.576   72 0.4778   87 0.4346   82 15.540   81  2.857   92  2.295

Big East Conference: strength=3.119 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boston College          9  3 296 203  3.197   28  4.066   28  3.766   37  3.584   26 0.5671   24 0.5800   28 17.431   60  3.265   24  3.904
West Virginia           8  4 361 246  3.241   36  3.785   36  3.584   39  3.546   35 0.5446   33 0.5548   36 17.153   36  3.717   46  3.376
Pittsburgh              8  4 325 288  3.158   37  3.770   37  3.583   46  3.394   32 0.5517   26 0.5772   38 17.054   48  3.502   52  3.286
Syracuse                6  6 287 344  3.266   51  3.454   51  3.325   68  3.056   53 0.5119   45 0.5438   56 16.506   57  3.335   74  2.777
Connecticut             8  4 363 260  2.867   54  3.438   54  3.306   55  3.295   56 0.5102   47 0.5313   53 16.667   49  3.406   57  3.184
Rutgers                 4  7 269 343  2.985   82  2.814   81  2.734   85  2.712   84 0.4440   72 0.4653   81 15.635   69  3.037   86  2.388
Temple                  2  9 238 399  2.889  102  2.348  102  2.222   97  2.407  106 0.3895   97 0.4038  103 14.648   91  2.714  101  2.100

Conference USA: strength=2.771 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Louisville             11  1 597 236  3.612   10  4.821   11  4.452    4  4.683   12 0.6211   11 0.6423    7 18.804    3  5.151   14  4.215
Memphis                 8  4 430 375  2.778   56  3.421   56  3.287   72  3.006   49 0.5133   42 0.5471   57 16.482   41  3.657   88  2.354
Cincinnati              7  5 344 320  2.984   60  3.339   60  3.194   59  3.215   50 0.5132   34 0.5532   58 16.430   54  3.371   63  3.058
Southern Miss           7  5 309 298  2.926   61  3.307   61  3.189   69  3.033   46 0.5162   49 0.5254   60 16.378   70  3.013   64  3.054
Alabama-Birmingham      7  5 372 351  2.817   68  3.123   68  3.048   77  2.884   57 0.5082   54 0.5164   69 16.189   55  3.363   84  2.404
TCU                     5  6 362 373  2.913   78  2.892   78  2.795   71  3.006   75 0.4751   73 0.4632   78 15.810   37  3.705   90  2.308
Tulane                  5  6 300 361  2.590   85  2.776   85  2.691   94  2.518   83 0.4451   85 0.4380   85 15.443   77  2.912  100  2.123
South Florida           4  7 271 351  2.716   89  2.667   89  2.562   95  2.491   87 0.4338   82 0.4461   89 15.275   94  2.684   91  2.299
Houston                 3  8 230 354  2.899   92  2.506   92  2.405   88  2.675   90 0.4295   96 0.4056   91 15.116   99  2.593   75  2.756
Army                    2  9 260 388  2.813  103  2.300  103  2.164  100  2.323  107 0.3851  106 0.3792  104 14.589   97  2.623  104  2.024
East Carolina           2  9 231 439  2.746  106  2.223  106  2.130  106  2.102  109 0.3826  109 0.3589  106 14.454  101  2.482  108  1.723

Mid-American Conference: strength=2.081 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bowling Green           9  3 532 282  2.750   53  3.443   53  3.310   43  3.517   60 0.5025   23 0.5909   50 16.806   25  4.064   68  2.971
Northern Illinois       9  3 421 304  2.548   55  3.426   55  3.290   73  3.002   59 0.5041   37 0.5520   55 16.524   47  3.532   83  2.471
Toledo                  9  4 432 404  2.543   57  3.380   57  3.239   82  2.764   71 0.4869   35 0.5531   59 16.387   52  3.377   97  2.151
Miami OH                8  5 407 298  2.523   77  2.966   77  2.872   75  2.949   79 0.4621   44 0.5450   77 15.943   68  3.064   72  2.833
Marshall                6  6 291 266  2.715   79  2.867   79  2.766   80  2.774   86 0.4382   58 0.5056   79 15.767   93  2.689   71  2.860
Akron                   6  5 271 347  2.304   84  2.794   84  2.710  101  2.313   91 0.4290   68 0.4774   84 15.455   89  2.724  105  1.902
Kent St                 5  6 335 264  2.163  104  2.278  105  2.135   86  2.700  108 0.3832   89 0.4260  102 14.681   76  2.914   82  2.487
Ohio U.                 4  7 221 271  2.230  105  2.233  104  2.140  105  2.121  111 0.3584   90 0.4181  105 14.541  113  1.846   85  2.395
Central Michigan        4  7 260 378  1.874  110  2.049  110  1.960  116  1.634  113 0.3492  108 0.3626  110 14.094  114  1.798  113  1.470
Eastern Michigan        4  7 328 458  1.749  113  1.855  113  1.764  114  1.660  112 0.3498   92 0.4135  113 13.750  100  2.496  117  0.823
Ball St                 2  9 225 405  2.112  114  1.726  114  1.611  111  1.794  114 0.3311  111 0.3512  114 13.600  111  1.922  112  1.666
Buffalo                 2  9 197 351  1.995  115  1.673  115  1.546  117  1.569  115 0.3039  114 0.3260  115 13.358  117  1.448  110  1.690
Western Michigan        1 10 248 436  1.959  116  1.346  116  1.176  115  1.636  116 0.2861  115 0.3194  116 12.955  110  1.959  116  1.312
Central Florida         0 11 175 362  2.252  117  1.305  117  1.130  112  1.691  117 0.2706  117 0.3030  117 12.921  116  1.707  111  1.674

Mountain West Conference: strength=3.386 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Utah                   12  0 544 234  3.492    4  5.102    4  4.803    5  4.606    4 0.6712    6 0.6646    4 19.187    2  5.278   22  3.935
New Mexico              7  5 244 224  3.461   35  3.802   35  3.603   44  3.461   29 0.5592   43 0.5465   37 17.112   75  2.916   21  4.006
Wyoming                 7  5 318 297  3.285   39  3.668   39  3.529   53  3.330   38 0.5351   51 0.5200   40 16.928   53  3.374   53  3.285
Brigham Young           5  6 267 295  3.681   45  3.550   45  3.439   42  3.528   40 0.5322   55 0.5121   45 16.872   43  3.621   43  3.435
Air Force               5  6 326 342  3.291   62  3.257   62  3.137   56  3.291   63 0.4990   74 0.4624   62 16.336   31  3.858   77  2.724
Colorado St             4  7 261 325  3.362   71  3.077   71  2.997   60  3.214   69 0.4900   76 0.4594   72 16.100   56  3.337   61  3.091
San Diego St            4  7 234 282  3.265   75  3.011   75  2.923   65  3.101   77 0.4650   83 0.4404   76 15.967   80  2.873   50  3.329
UNLV                    2  9 229 357  3.093   95  2.478   95  2.376   89  2.577   94 0.4216   99 0.3992   94 15.039   84  2.782   87  2.372

Pacific 10 Conference: strength=4.005 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Cal           13  0 496 169  4.465    1  5.653    1  5.518    1  5.411    1 0.7214    2 0.7066    1 20.361    1  5.375    1  5.447
California             10  2 441 192  4.168    6  4.951    6  4.627    2  4.800    6 0.6514   12 0.6352    6 19.033    6  4.828    5  4.772
Arizona St              9  3 358 294  4.065    8  4.854    8  4.493   20  4.045    7 0.6413    8 0.6544   13 18.600   12  4.362   29  3.727
Oregon St               7  5 320 294  4.059   20  4.422   20  4.085   14  4.144   21 0.5915   27 0.5760   20 17.976   11  4.376   23  3.912
UCLA                    6  6 361 309  3.797   38  3.747   38  3.561   21  3.988   41 0.5301   62 0.4861   35 17.183    9  4.472   41  3.504
Washington St           5  6 275 307  3.600   43  3.567   43  3.457   47  3.380   44 0.5213   65 0.4808   47 16.848   38  3.689   62  3.070
Oregon                  5  6 282 282  3.689   46  3.541   46  3.428   35  3.625   55 0.5116   71 0.4665   44 16.879   35  3.760   42  3.491
Stanford                4  7 242 233  3.895   52  3.451   52  3.324   34  3.648   62 0.4997   79 0.4504   51 16.770   59  3.282   20  4.013
Arizona                 3  8 164 275  3.679   66  3.152   66  3.082   58  3.229   74 0.4759   78 0.4536   68 16.197   95  2.674   25  3.783
Washington              1 10 154 334  3.513   98  2.441   98  2.334   79  2.781  101 0.4049  112 0.3486   95 15.001  104  2.410   58  3.152

Southeastern Conference: strength=3.620 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Auburn                 13  0 417 147  3.740    2  5.286    2  5.042    7  4.553    5 0.6667    1 0.7097    3 19.445   16  4.220    4  4.886
Georgia                10  2 335 198  3.778    9  4.835    9  4.470   13  4.146   10 0.6258    9 0.6462   12 18.615   27  3.998   11  4.295
Tennessee              10  3 378 295  3.717   14  4.647   14  4.329   24  3.955   13 0.6154   15 0.6115   14 18.302   13  4.292   36  3.618
LSU                     9  3 344 205  3.752   16  4.536   16  4.206   18  4.090   19 0.5921   20 0.5996   15 18.228   26  4.003   15  4.176
Florida                 7  5 382 253  3.610   34  3.819   34  3.621   25  3.918   43 0.5250   57 0.5089   32 17.310   17  4.148   33  3.689
South Carolina          6  5 243 229  3.415   44  3.561   44  3.449   52  3.361   54 0.5116   61 0.4913   41 16.921   66  3.184   38  3.537
Arkansas                5  6 328 270  3.650   50  3.467   50  3.340   33  3.648   48 0.5136   59 0.5033   48 16.835   23  4.066   55  3.231
Alabama                 6  6 295 189  3.388   59  3.349   59  3.206   36  3.611   70 0.4892   70 0.4736   54 16.539   64  3.189   19  4.033
Mississippi             4  7 215 278  3.277   73  3.060   73  2.977   67  3.084   78 0.4648   81 0.4485   74 16.047   73  2.964   56  3.203
Mississippi St          3  8 173 280  3.037   87  2.698   87  2.601   87  2.680   98 0.4097  105 0.3833   88 15.342  105  2.266   60  3.095
Kentucky                2  9 173 341  3.140   93  2.502   93  2.402   92  2.551  102 0.4030  107 0.3771   92 15.055  103  2.463   80  2.639
Vanderbilt              2  9 212 286  3.063  101  2.361  101  2.238   78  2.813  105 0.3914  113 0.3404  100 14.822   88  2.730   70  2.897

Sun Belt Conference: strength=2.040 (#12)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Troy St                 7  5 286 200  2.666   76  2.970   76  2.876   70  3.020   66 0.4919   56 0.5097   75 15.982   96  2.652   45  3.387
North Texas             7  5 309 358  2.294   81  2.815   82  2.732   96  2.434   52 0.5120   28 0.5645   83 15.495   86  2.773  102  2.095
New Mexico St           5  6 273 355  2.574   86  2.751   86  2.661   93  2.550   76 0.4740   84 0.4398   86 15.386   72  2.972   99  2.129
UL-Monroe               5  6 211 303  2.191   96  2.477   96  2.371  104  2.122   80 0.4573   86 0.4378   99 14.836  108  2.003   93  2.241
Middle Tenn St          5  6 269 293  2.184  100  2.391  100  2.271   99  2.335   85 0.4422   60 0.4927  101 14.788  102  2.476   94  2.194
Utah St                 3  8 184 333  2.364  107  2.191  107  2.094  109  1.968   97 0.4130   91 0.4149  107 14.381  115  1.777   96  2.159
UL-Lafayette            4  7 242 272  2.161  108  2.130  109  2.025  103  2.203  100 0.4059  110 0.3565  108 14.378  107  2.052   89  2.354
Arkansas St             3  8 215 365  2.330  109  2.112  108  2.041  110  1.944  103 0.4028   95 0.4088  109 14.267  106  2.174  109  1.715
Idaho                   3  9 245 473  2.192  111  1.992  111  1.895  113  1.661  104 0.4008   94 0.4108  112 13.975  112  1.914  114  1.408

Western Athletic Conference: strength=2.728 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Boise St               11  1 587 308  3.419   11  4.761   10  4.457   11  4.179    9 0.6298    7 0.6549   11 18.619    4  5.001   48  3.357
Fresno St               9  3 482 253  3.222   32  3.897   31  3.701   22  3.973   27 0.5627   29 0.5614   27 17.451   15  4.257   32  3.689
UTEP                    8  4 429 301  3.009   48  3.508   48  3.383   49  3.371   37 0.5404   31 0.5561   49 16.808   42  3.643   59  3.099
Louisiana Tech          6  6 308 382  3.075   58  3.353   58  3.210   74  2.982   42 0.5272   38 0.5502   61 16.352   67  3.149   73  2.815
Hawai`i                 8  5 467 499  2.674   65  3.178   64  3.108   81  2.770   51 0.5132   41 0.5484   70 16.141   39  3.682  106  1.858
SMU                     3  8 202 420  2.684   91  2.524   91  2.427  108  2.088   88 0.4335   98 0.4015   98 14.852  109  1.993   95  2.184
Tulsa                   4  8 345 398  2.665   94  2.486   94  2.383   91  2.560   89 0.4332  101 0.3899   93 15.054   71  2.973   98  2.147
Nevada                  5  7 356 413  2.367   97  2.461   97  2.355  102  2.308   93 0.4229  103 0.3859   96 14.968   85  2.781  107  1.836
Rice                    3  8 279 377  2.729   99  2.410   99  2.294   98  2.403   92 0.4285   93 0.4112   97 14.908   87  2.765  103  2.041
San Jose St             2  9 312 469  2.448  112  1.985  112  1.888  107  2.089  110 0.3629  116 0.3115  111 14.048   82  2.811  115  1.367

Division I-A Independents: strength=3.595 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Notre Dame              6  6 289 289  3.838   30  3.958   32  3.697   27  3.751   30 0.5561   32 0.5557   31 17.351   34  3.780   31  3.721
Navy                   10  2 334 238  2.804   31  3.907   29  3.711   54  3.313   28 0.5604   50 0.5249   34 17.228   62  3.232   44  3.393

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Pacific 10 Conference                                   63 53 0.543    1  4.005
Atlantic Coast Conference                               71 57 0.555    2  3.821
Big 12 Conference                                       81 60 0.574    3  3.701
Big 10 Conference                                       71 58 0.550    4  3.636
Southeastern Conference                                 77 63 0.550    5  3.620
Division I-A Independents                               16  8 0.667    6  3.595
Mountain West Conference                                46 45 0.505    7  3.386
Big East Conference                                     45 37 0.549    8  3.119
Conference USA                                          61 65 0.484    9  2.771
Western Athletic Conference                             59 59 0.500   10  2.728
Mid-American Conference                                 69 92 0.429   11  2.081
Sun Belt Conference                                     42 60 0.412   12  2.040

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.214 points in main ratings
     0.027 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:31 2019

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