Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls             14  0 541 102 -0.211    1  1.252    1  1.070    1  0.941    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.694    2  0.654    1  1.228
St Francis IN           13  1 553 164 -0.235    2  0.885    2  0.721    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.072    1  1.028    3  0.701
Missouri Valley         13  1 408 184 -0.944    3  0.550    3  0.310    9 -0.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.985   11 -0.309    8 -0.079
Carroll MT              11  2 310  76 -0.359    4  0.512    4  0.265    3  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.046   17 -0.562    2  1.163
St Ambrose              10  1 356 179 -0.935    5  0.381    5  0.112   12 -0.455    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.518   10 -0.097   24 -0.812
St Xavier               10  3 380 207 -0.413    6  0.293    6  0.051    5  0.053    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.598    5  0.146    7 -0.040
Montana St-Northern      9  3 281 130 -0.445    7  0.210    7 -0.063    8 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.308   15 -0.499    4  0.284
Northwestern IA         11  2 479 148 -0.690    8  0.183    8 -0.098    4  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.425    4  0.281    5  0.024
Morningside              9  3 287 189 -0.754    9  0.151    9 -0.135   13 -0.507    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 10.098   18 -0.722   14 -0.292
Walsh                    9  3 271 171 -0.713   10  0.042   10 -0.193   14 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 10.003   21 -0.891   10 -0.144
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Malone                   7  4 238 267 -0.720   11 -0.096   11 -0.366   20 -0.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.564   16 -0.561   33 -1.163
Bethel TN               10  3 478 190 -0.798   12 -0.184   13 -0.475    6  0.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.794    3  0.281   12 -0.227
Georgetown KY            9  2 444 190 -1.068   13 -0.204   12 -0.450   11 -0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.742    8 -0.019   17 -0.642
Black Hills St           8  3 237 114 -0.947   14 -0.230   14 -0.483   15 -0.535    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  9.446   23 -1.033    6 -0.036
Ohio Dominican           7  3 308 176 -0.775   15 -0.327   15 -0.546   10 -0.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.462    7  0.089   18 -0.734
Montana Tech             6  5 175 178 -0.641   16 -0.410   16 -0.646   17 -0.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  9.102   32 -1.317   13 -0.278
Eastern Oregon           6  5 199 256 -0.846   17 -0.465   17 -0.712   28 -1.107    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.893   24 -1.060   31 -1.155
Nebraska Wesleyan        7  3 190 197 -1.370   18 -0.479   18 -0.733   35 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.901   41 -1.652   32 -1.158
Jamestown                8  3 302 111 -1.243   19 -0.629   19 -0.866   16 -0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.952   33 -1.382   11 -0.154
Urbana                   5  6 239 225 -0.637   20 -0.790   20 -0.959   18 -0.822    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.431   20 -0.881   20 -0.764
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberlands KY           6  4 186 226 -1.351   21 -0.804   21 -0.978   40 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.211   44 -1.709   38 -1.339
Benedictine KS           8  3 209 161 -1.534   22 -0.808   22 -0.987   34 -1.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.311   43 -1.688   28 -0.934
NW Oklahoma St           6  4 258 201 -1.097   23 -0.829   23 -1.012   19 -0.831    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.381   19 -0.790   26 -0.872
Virginia-Wise            8  3 444 309 -1.532   24 -0.833   24 -1.018   27 -1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.319    6  0.105   70 -2.316
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 305 220 -1.448   25 -0.841   25 -1.028   25 -1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.292   12 -0.345   51 -1.733
William Penn             5  6 209 274 -0.903   26 -0.918   26 -1.052   32 -1.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  8.147   28 -1.195   34 -1.208
McKendree                5  4 312 114 -0.781   27 -0.970   27 -1.124    7 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.515    9 -0.060    9 -0.117
Azusa Pacific            3  7 162 243 -0.402   28 -0.990   28 -1.144   21 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  8.166   22 -1.010   23 -0.812
Quincy                   6  5 231 200 -1.132   29 -0.990   30 -1.147   22 -0.995    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  8.099   27 -1.188   22 -0.802
Southern Oregon          3  6 160 237 -0.588   30 -0.992   29 -1.146   26 -1.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  8.044   25 -1.077   29 -1.017
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Geneva                   4  5 143 148 -0.931   31 -1.016   31 -1.179   24 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  8.009   35 -1.437   15 -0.572
Webber Int'l             5  5 199 177 -1.041   32 -1.060   32 -1.235   23 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  8.022   29 -1.232   21 -0.764
Graceland                6  4 300 237 -1.448   33 -1.106   33 -1.294   29 -1.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.907   13 -0.375   55 -1.888
Dickinson St             6  4 227 122 -1.436   34 -1.134   35 -1.332   31 -1.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.835   36 -1.461   27 -0.889
Valley City St           6  4 244 155 -1.539   35 -1.150   34 -1.306   37 -1.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.821   39 -1.568   39 -1.346
Bethel KS                9  2 271 160 -2.543   36 -1.169   36 -1.336   59 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.754   56 -2.052   56 -1.890
Southern Nazarene        6  4 196 137 -1.706   37 -1.291   37 -1.426   39 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.637   59 -2.119   25 -0.840
Dana                     6  5 231 223 -1.483   38 -1.296   38 -1.434   33 -1.295    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.616   31 -1.259   37 -1.331
Friends                  9  2 273  86 -2.348   39 -1.304   39 -1.448   41 -1.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.777   63 -2.301   19 -0.763
Belhaven                 6  5 333 326 -1.655   40 -1.378   40 -1.538   38 -1.464    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.436   14 -0.461   77 -2.466
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Jewell           5  5 182 196 -1.574   41 -1.416   41 -1.583   44 -1.606    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.369   46 -1.751   41 -1.461
Trinity Int'l            4  7 145 247 -1.293   42 -1.427   42 -1.593   48 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  7.134   61 -2.232   35 -1.216
Shorter                  6  5 307 195 -1.548   43 -1.444   43 -1.623   30 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.469   30 -1.256   30 -1.060
Lindenwood               5  7 257 255 -1.387   44 -1.546   44 -1.661   42 -1.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  7.191   34 -1.437   46 -1.630
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 268 134 -2.711   45 -1.548   45 -1.668   63 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  7.183   57 -2.078   61 -2.057
Paul Quinn               2  6 128 266 -1.012   46 -1.564   46 -1.684   51 -1.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  7.082   42 -1.671   57 -1.893
Lambuth                  4  7 217 334 -1.438   47 -1.583   48 -1.711   56 -1.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  7.009   48 -1.760   60 -2.015
Pikeville                4  6 205 326 -1.556   48 -1.587   49 -1.716   54 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.985   38 -1.495   68 -2.221
Texas College            4  7 198 289 -1.377   49 -1.594   51 -1.724   47 -1.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  7.041   49 -1.775   48 -1.658
Hastings                 4  6 169 196 -1.415   50 -1.624   52 -1.765   43 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  7.025   50 -1.796   36 -1.284
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 101 218 -1.596   51 -1.682   50 -1.723   58 -1.958    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  6.921   70 -2.560   40 -1.357
Briar Cliff              5  6 136 300 -1.930   52 -1.691   47 -1.709   72 -2.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  6.829   72 -2.604   63 -2.144
Olivet Nazarene          4  7 172 249 -1.445   53 -1.781   53 -1.799   46 -1.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  6.878   51 -1.854   43 -1.531
Evangel                  4  6 181 200 -1.557   54 -1.810   56 -1.837   49 -1.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.949   52 -1.874   47 -1.639
Baker                    4  6 160 200 -1.599   55 -1.837   54 -1.811   50 -1.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.928   55 -2.034   42 -1.497
Minot St                 4  6 157 121 -1.409   56 -1.851   55 -1.828   36 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.983   62 -2.267   16 -0.607
Rocky Mountain           2  9 169 341 -1.043   57 -1.929   57 -1.913   53 -1.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  6.579   37 -1.493   66 -2.195
Sterling                 7  3 257 127 -2.516   58 -1.945   58 -1.940   55 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  6.800   53 -1.965   52 -1.760
Seton Hill               2  9 144 316 -1.123   59 -2.061   59 -2.095   52 -1.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  6.351   54 -1.984   45 -1.623
Culver-Stockton          3  8 124 264 -1.659   60 -2.106   60 -2.157   67 -2.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.714   73 -2.667   54 -1.852
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             2  8 119 271 -1.390   61 -2.116   61 -2.168   65 -2.115    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.810   68 -2.498   50 -1.732
Peru St                  6  5 275 207 -2.323   62 -2.135   62 -2.197   57 -1.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.847   47 -1.752   64 -2.154
Campbellsville           2  8 153 344 -1.499   63 -2.143   63 -2.203   69 -2.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.628   65 -2.341   72 -2.334
Montana-Western          1  9 167 318 -0.975   64 -2.185   64 -2.263   45 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.638   26 -1.140   65 -2.184
Cumberland TN            3  7 242 297 -1.725   65 -2.192   65 -2.276   60 -1.979    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.689   40 -1.638   71 -2.321
Central Methodist        3  8 181 262 -1.829   66 -2.265   66 -2.372   64 -2.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.505   58 -2.079   62 -2.096
Avila                    3  8 120 224 -1.905   67 -2.281   67 -2.397   68 -2.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  5.397   78 -2.956   49 -1.703
Concordia NE             2  8 174 285 -1.612   68 -2.291   68 -2.411   62 -2.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  5.433   45 -1.709   74 -2.396
Dakota St                3  8 163 323 -2.015   69 -2.298   69 -2.419   74 -2.461    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  5.274   64 -2.338   79 -2.584
Tabor                    6  4 214 170 -2.935   70 -2.324   70 -2.457   76 -2.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  5.429   69 -2.511   78 -2.558
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Virginia        2  7 136 274 -1.943   71 -2.412   71 -2.506   75 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  5.024   67 -2.475   76 -2.454
Edward Waters            1  9  93 298 -1.397   72 -2.493   72 -2.551   70 -2.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  5.241   74 -2.721   59 -1.956
St Francis IL            1  9  92 321 -1.474   73 -2.497   73 -2.556   77 -2.570    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.875   75 -2.803   73 -2.338
Union KY                 2  8 164 232 -1.829   74 -2.550   74 -2.633   66 -2.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.994   66 -2.408   58 -1.937
Waldorf                  2  8 108 280 -2.167   75 -2.556   75 -2.641   78 -2.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.738   77 -2.921   69 -2.299
Midland Lutheran         2  9 166 261 -1.722   76 -2.610   77 -2.719   61 -1.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.837   60 -2.134   53 -1.835
Doane                    1  9 112 299 -1.685   77 -2.671   76 -2.715   73 -2.379    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.694   71 -2.561   67 -2.197
Taylor                   1  9  67 255 -1.586   78 -2.679   78 -2.727   71 -2.357    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.706   79 -3.117   44 -1.598
Iowa Wesleyan            1  9 101 336 -1.697   79 -2.693   79 -2.748   79 -2.619    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.603   76 -2.828   75 -2.410
West Virginia Tech       1 10 111 469 -1.730   80 -2.705   80 -2.766   80 -2.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.518   80 -3.148   80 -2.665
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mayville St              1  9  63 418 -2.532   81 -2.997   81 -3.118   88 -3.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.905   87 -3.875   89 -3.511
Bacone                   1  9  83 325 -2.349   82 -3.080   82 -3.240   81 -3.232    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.950   85 -3.708   81 -2.756
SW Assem of God          2  8 110 284 -2.846   83 -3.106   83 -3.279   84 -3.373    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  3.916   84 -3.693   83 -3.053
St Mary KS               3  7 118 191 -3.208   84 -3.214   85 -3.428   83 -3.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.801   86 -3.844   82 -2.891
McPherson                3  7  75 257 -3.368   85 -3.219   84 -3.386   90 -3.908    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.648   90 -4.566   84 -3.249
South Dakota Tech        1  9  55 367 -2.926   86 -3.309   86 -3.512   89 -3.770    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.291   89 -4.256   85 -3.285
Bethany KS               2  8 136 261 -3.057   87 -3.329   87 -3.549   85 -3.423    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.583   82 -3.431   87 -3.416
Haskell                  2  9 112 271 -3.191   88 -3.445   88 -3.720   87 -3.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  3.087   88 -3.881   88 -3.461
Southwestern KS          2  8 152 238 -3.239   89 -3.495   89 -3.808   82 -3.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.170   81 -3.388   86 -3.293
Ottawa                   1  9 134 277 -3.107   90 -3.551   90 -3.893   86 -3.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  3.005   83 -3.432   90 -3.541


Central States Football League: strength=-1.849 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St           6  4 258 201 -1.097   23 -0.829   23 -1.012   19 -0.831    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.381   19 -0.790   26 -0.872
Southern Nazarene        6  4 196 137 -1.706   37 -1.291   37 -1.426   39 -1.479    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.637   59 -2.119   25 -0.840
Texas College            4  7 198 289 -1.377   49 -1.594   51 -1.724   47 -1.717    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  7.041   49 -1.775   48 -1.658
Peru St                  6  5 275 207 -2.323   62 -2.135   62 -2.197   57 -1.953    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.847   47 -1.752   64 -2.154
Bacone                   1  9  83 325 -2.349   82 -3.080   82 -3.240   81 -3.232    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.950   85 -3.708   81 -2.756

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.737 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Black Hills St           8  3 237 114 -0.947   14 -0.230   14 -0.483   15 -0.535    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  9.446   23 -1.033    6 -0.036
Jamestown                8  3 302 111 -1.243   19 -0.629   19 -0.866   16 -0.768    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.952   33 -1.382   11 -0.154
Dickinson St             6  4 227 122 -1.436   34 -1.134   35 -1.332   31 -1.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.835   36 -1.461   27 -0.889
Valley City St           6  4 244 155 -1.539   35 -1.150   34 -1.306   37 -1.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.821   39 -1.568   39 -1.346
Minot St                 4  6 157 121 -1.409   56 -1.851   55 -1.828   36 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.983   62 -2.267   16 -0.607
Dakota St                3  8 163 323 -2.015   69 -2.298   69 -2.419   74 -2.461    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  5.274   64 -2.338   79 -2.584
Mayville St              1  9  63 418 -2.532   81 -2.997   81 -3.118   88 -3.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.905   87 -3.875   89 -3.511
South Dakota Tech        1  9  55 367 -2.926   86 -3.309   86 -3.512   89 -3.770    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.291   89 -4.256   85 -3.285

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.784 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              11  2 310  76 -0.359    4  0.512    4  0.265    3  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.046   17 -0.562    2  1.163
Montana St-Northern      9  3 281 130 -0.445    7  0.210    7 -0.063    8 -0.108    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.308   15 -0.499    4  0.284
Montana Tech             6  5 175 178 -0.641   16 -0.410   16 -0.646   17 -0.797    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  9.102   32 -1.317   13 -0.278
Eastern Oregon           6  5 199 256 -0.846   17 -0.465   17 -0.712   28 -1.107    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.893   24 -1.060   31 -1.155
Rocky Mountain           2  9 169 341 -1.043   57 -1.929   57 -1.913   53 -1.844    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  6.579   37 -1.493   66 -2.195
Montana-Western          1  9 167 318 -0.975   64 -2.185   64 -2.263   45 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.638   26 -1.140   65 -2.184

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.441 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls             14  0 541 102 -0.211    1  1.252    1  1.070    1  0.941    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.694    2  0.654    1  1.228
Northwestern IA         11  2 479 148 -0.690    8  0.183    8 -0.098    4  0.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.425    4  0.281    5  0.024
Morningside              9  3 287 189 -0.754    9  0.151    9 -0.135   13 -0.507    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 10.098   18 -0.722   14 -0.292
Nebraska Wesleyan        7  3 190 197 -1.370   18 -0.479   18 -0.733   35 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.901   41 -1.652   32 -1.158
Dana                     6  5 231 223 -1.483   38 -1.296   38 -1.434   33 -1.295    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.616   31 -1.259   37 -1.331
Hastings                 4  6 169 196 -1.415   50 -1.624   52 -1.765   43 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  7.025   50 -1.796   36 -1.284
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 101 218 -1.596   51 -1.682   50 -1.723   58 -1.958    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  6.921   70 -2.560   40 -1.357
Briar Cliff              5  6 136 300 -1.930   52 -1.691   47 -1.709   72 -2.374    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  6.829   72 -2.604   63 -2.144
Concordia NE             2  8 174 285 -1.612   68 -2.291   68 -2.411   62 -2.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  5.433   45 -1.709   74 -2.396
Midland Lutheran         2  9 166 261 -1.722   76 -2.610   77 -2.719   61 -1.985    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.837   60 -2.134   53 -1.835
Doane                    1  9 112 299 -1.685   77 -2.671   76 -2.715   73 -2.379    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.694   71 -2.561   67 -2.197

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.557 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Missouri Valley         13  1 408 184 -0.944    3  0.550    3  0.310    9 -0.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.985   11 -0.309    8 -0.079
Benedictine KS           8  3 209 161 -1.534   22 -0.808   22 -0.987   34 -1.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.311   43 -1.688   28 -0.934
MidAmerica Nazarene      7  3 305 220 -1.448   25 -0.841   25 -1.028   25 -1.039    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.292   12 -0.345   51 -1.733
Graceland                6  4 300 237 -1.448   33 -1.106   33 -1.294   29 -1.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.907   13 -0.375   55 -1.888
William Jewell           5  5 182 196 -1.574   41 -1.416   41 -1.583   44 -1.606    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.369   46 -1.751   41 -1.461
Lindenwood               5  7 257 255 -1.387   44 -1.546   44 -1.661   42 -1.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  7.191   34 -1.437   46 -1.630
Evangel                  4  6 181 200 -1.557   54 -1.810   56 -1.837   49 -1.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.949   52 -1.874   47 -1.639
Baker                    4  6 160 200 -1.599   55 -1.837   54 -1.811   50 -1.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.928   55 -2.034   42 -1.497
Culver-Stockton          3  8 124 264 -1.659   60 -2.106   60 -2.157   67 -2.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.714   73 -2.667   54 -1.852
Central Methodist        3  8 181 262 -1.829   66 -2.265   66 -2.372   64 -2.087    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  5.505   58 -2.079   62 -2.096
Avila                    3  8 120 224 -1.905   67 -2.281   67 -2.397   68 -2.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  5.397   78 -2.956   49 -1.703

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.949 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel KS                9  2 271 160 -2.543   36 -1.169   36 -1.336   59 -1.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.754   56 -2.052   56 -1.890
Friends                  9  2 273  86 -2.348   39 -1.304   39 -1.448   41 -1.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.777   63 -2.301   19 -0.763
Kansas Wesleyan          8  2 268 134 -2.711   45 -1.548   45 -1.668   63 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  7.183   57 -2.078   61 -2.057
Sterling                 7  3 257 127 -2.516   58 -1.945   58 -1.940   55 -1.863    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  6.800   53 -1.965   52 -1.760
Tabor                    6  4 214 170 -2.935   70 -2.324   70 -2.457   76 -2.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  5.429   69 -2.511   78 -2.558
St Mary KS               3  7 118 191 -3.208   84 -3.214   85 -3.428   83 -3.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.801   86 -3.844   82 -2.891
McPherson                3  7  75 257 -3.368   85 -3.219   84 -3.386   90 -3.908    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.648   90 -4.566   84 -3.249
Bethany KS               2  8 136 261 -3.057   87 -3.329   87 -3.549   85 -3.423    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.583   82 -3.431   87 -3.416
Southwestern KS          2  8 152 238 -3.239   89 -3.495   89 -3.808   82 -3.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.170   81 -3.388   86 -3.293
Ottawa                   1  9 134 277 -3.107   90 -3.551   90 -3.893   86 -3.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  3.005   83 -3.432   90 -3.541

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.601 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel TN               10  3 478 190 -0.798   12 -0.184   13 -0.475    6  0.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.794    3  0.281   12 -0.227
Georgetown KY            9  2 444 190 -1.068   13 -0.204   12 -0.450   11 -0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.742    8 -0.019   17 -0.642
Cumberlands KY           6  4 186 226 -1.351   21 -0.804   21 -0.978   40 -1.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.211   44 -1.709   38 -1.339
Virginia-Wise            8  3 444 309 -1.532   24 -0.833   24 -1.018   27 -1.105    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.319    6  0.105   70 -2.316
Belhaven                 6  5 333 326 -1.655   40 -1.378   40 -1.538   38 -1.464    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.436   14 -0.461   77 -2.466
Shorter                  6  5 307 195 -1.548   43 -1.444   43 -1.623   30 -1.158    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.469   30 -1.256   30 -1.060
Lambuth                  4  7 217 334 -1.438   47 -1.583   48 -1.711   56 -1.887    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  7.009   48 -1.760   60 -2.015
Pikeville                4  6 205 326 -1.556   48 -1.587   49 -1.716   54 -1.858    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.985   38 -1.495   68 -2.221
Campbellsville           2  8 153 344 -1.499   63 -2.143   63 -2.203   69 -2.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.628   65 -2.341   72 -2.334
Cumberland TN            3  7 242 297 -1.725   65 -2.192   65 -2.276   60 -1.979    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.689   40 -1.638   71 -2.321
Union KY                 2  8 164 232 -1.829   74 -2.550   74 -2.633   66 -2.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.994   66 -2.408   58 -1.937
West Virginia Tech       1 10 111 469 -1.730   80 -2.705   80 -2.766   80 -2.907    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.518   80 -3.148   80 -2.665

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.907 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN           13  1 553 164 -0.235    2  0.885    2  0.721    2  0.865    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.072    1  1.028    3  0.701
St Ambrose              10  1 356 179 -0.935    5  0.381    5  0.112   12 -0.455    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.518   10 -0.097   24 -0.812
St Xavier               10  3 380 207 -0.413    6  0.293    6  0.051    5  0.053    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.598    5  0.146    7 -0.040
Walsh                    9  3 271 171 -0.713   10  0.042   10 -0.193   14 -0.517    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 10.003   21 -0.891   10 -0.144
Malone                   7  4 238 267 -0.720   11 -0.096   11 -0.366   20 -0.862    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.564   16 -0.561   33 -1.163
Ohio Dominican           7  3 308 176 -0.775   15 -0.327   15 -0.546   10 -0.323    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.462    7  0.089   18 -0.734
Urbana                   5  6 239 225 -0.637   20 -0.790   20 -0.959   18 -0.822    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.431   20 -0.881   20 -0.764
William Penn             5  6 209 274 -0.903   26 -0.918   26 -1.052   32 -1.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  8.147   28 -1.195   34 -1.208
McKendree                5  4 312 114 -0.781   27 -0.970   27 -1.124    7 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.515    9 -0.060    9 -0.117
Quincy                   6  5 231 200 -1.132   29 -0.990   30 -1.147   22 -0.995    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  8.099   27 -1.188   22 -0.802
Geneva                   4  5 143 148 -0.931   31 -1.016   31 -1.179   24 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  8.009   35 -1.437   15 -0.572
Trinity Int'l            4  7 145 247 -1.293   42 -1.427   42 -1.593   48 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  7.134   61 -2.232   35 -1.216
Olivet Nazarene          4  7 172 249 -1.445   53 -1.781   53 -1.799   46 -1.693    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  6.878   51 -1.854   43 -1.531
St Francis IL            1  9  92 321 -1.474   73 -2.497   73 -2.556   77 -2.570    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.875   75 -2.803   73 -2.338
Taylor                   1  9  67 255 -1.586   78 -2.679   78 -2.727   71 -2.357    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.706   79 -3.117   44 -1.598
Iowa Wesleyan            1  9 101 336 -1.697   79 -2.693   79 -2.748   79 -2.619    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.603   76 -2.828   75 -2.410

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.145 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific            3  7 162 243 -0.402   28 -0.990   28 -1.144   21 -0.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  8.166   22 -1.010   23 -0.812
Southern Oregon          3  6 160 237 -0.588   30 -0.992   29 -1.146   26 -1.047    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  8.044   25 -1.077   29 -1.017
Webber Int'l             5  5 199 177 -1.041   32 -1.060   32 -1.235   23 -0.998    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  8.022   29 -1.232   21 -0.764
Paul Quinn               2  6 128 266 -1.012   46 -1.564   46 -1.684   51 -1.782    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  7.082   42 -1.671   57 -1.893
Seton Hill               2  9 144 316 -1.123   59 -2.061   59 -2.095   52 -1.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  6.351   54 -1.984   45 -1.623
Concordia AL             2  8 119 271 -1.390   61 -2.116   61 -2.168   65 -2.115    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.810   68 -2.498   50 -1.732
Southern Virginia        2  7 136 274 -1.943   71 -2.412   71 -2.506   75 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  5.024   67 -2.475   76 -2.454
Edward Waters            1  9  93 298 -1.397   72 -2.493   72 -2.551   70 -2.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  5.241   74 -2.721   59 -1.956
Waldorf                  2  8 108 280 -2.167   75 -2.556   75 -2.641   78 -2.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.738   77 -2.921   69 -2.299
SW Assem of God          2  8 110 284 -2.846   83 -3.106   83 -3.279   84 -3.373    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  3.916   84 -3.693   83 -3.053
Haskell                  2  9 112 271 -3.191   88 -3.445   88 -3.720   87 -3.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  3.087   88 -3.881   88 -3.461

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     35 33 0.515    1 -0.784
Mid-States Football Association                         92 82 0.529    2 -0.907
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        65 57 0.533    3 -1.441
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    61 59 0.508    4 -1.557
Mid-South Conference                                    61 68 0.473    5 -1.601
Dakota Athletic Conference                              37 46 0.446    6 -1.737
Central States Football League                          23 29 0.442    7 -1.849
NAIA Independents                                       26 82 0.241    8 -2.145
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   50 52 0.490    9 -2.949

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.190 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:38 2019

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