Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls             15  0 775 158  0.206    1  1.791    1  1.604    1  1.470    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 13.280    2  1.373    1  1.567
Lindenwood              13  1 744 285 -0.311    2  0.983    2  0.836    3  0.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.731    1  1.467   13 -0.376
Carroll MT              13  1 499 226 -0.264    3  0.975    3  0.827    2  0.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.679    7  0.454    2  0.768
St Xavier               13  1 643 263 -0.471    4  0.942    4  0.788    5  0.358    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 11.632    3  0.873    7 -0.157
Lambuth                 12  1 495 231 -0.432    5  0.884    5  0.717    6  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 11.380    6  0.456    3  0.146
Morningside             10  2 541 204 -0.244    6  0.380    6  0.297    4  0.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.638    5  0.746    4  0.116
Ottawa                  11  1 528 302 -1.279    7  0.214    7  0.119   19 -0.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.837   10  0.063   47 -1.543
MidAmerica Nazarene     10  2 503 263 -0.754    8  0.207    8  0.111    8 -0.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.884    9  0.309   24 -0.830
Cumberlands KY           9  2 355 191 -0.802    9  0.078    9 -0.045   12 -0.416    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.595   15 -0.496   11 -0.335
Ohio Dominican           7  3 347 242 -0.480   10 -0.010   10 -0.143    7 -0.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.589    8  0.387   20 -0.665
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Eastern Oregon           7  4 412 339 -0.401   11 -0.111   11 -0.262    9 -0.292    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.959    4  0.759   39 -1.343
Walsh                    8  3 358 207 -0.768   12 -0.143   12 -0.301   11 -0.404    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.127   18 -0.590   10 -0.219
Montana Tech             7  4 231 224 -0.564   13 -0.199   13 -0.359   16 -0.670    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.626   34 -1.186    6 -0.153
McKendree                9  2 369 166 -1.145   14 -0.218   14 -0.385   14 -0.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.858   21 -0.797    5 -0.112
Campbellsville           7  4 260 270 -0.779   15 -0.283   15 -0.453   28 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.405   26 -0.920   26 -0.899
Hastings                 9  3 319 235 -1.199   16 -0.372   16 -0.502   27 -0.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.329   30 -1.070   22 -0.748
Missouri Valley          8  3 377 176 -0.836   17 -0.379   17 -0.507   10 -0.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.666   16 -0.545    9 -0.191
Minot St                 8  3 325 246 -1.197   18 -0.432   18 -0.579   29 -0.922    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.046   27 -0.957   25 -0.887
Southern Oregon          2  7 125 242  0.296   19 -0.531   19 -0.690   18 -0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.847   37 -1.301    8 -0.165
Grand View               8  3 271 218 -1.448   20 -0.581   20 -0.768   41 -1.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.679   43 -1.394   37 -1.280
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN            7  3 371 157 -1.018   21 -0.591   23 -0.780   15 -0.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.978   19 -0.629   12 -0.358
Taylor                   7  3 307 273 -1.423   22 -0.674   21 -0.770   40 -1.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.621   28 -0.991   54 -1.675
Northwestern IA          7  3 259 203 -1.295   23 -0.680   22 -0.780   33 -1.091    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.687   33 -1.183   30 -0.999
Georgetown KY            7  4 297 201 -1.034   24 -0.704   24 -0.808   17 -0.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.767   23 -0.860   16 -0.491
McPherson                9  2 486 229 -1.576   25 -0.706   25 -0.814   26 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.891   13 -0.322   41 -1.370
Baker                    7  3 299 189 -1.195   26 -0.718   26 -0.827   21 -0.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.733   25 -0.913   19 -0.629
Montana-Western          4  6 221 273 -0.510   27 -0.772   27 -0.887   25 -0.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.355   24 -0.906   23 -0.755
Belhaven                 6  5 243 285 -1.067   28 -0.793   28 -0.912   37 -1.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.185   40 -1.345   31 -1.087
Dickinson St             7  4 229 214 -1.342   29 -0.794   29 -0.915   39 -1.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.305   57 -1.916   21 -0.695
Azusa Pacific            3  8 226 298 -0.074   30 -0.881   30 -0.933   13 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.549   14 -0.405   15 -0.488
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Shorter                  6  5 366 271 -1.004   31 -0.998   31 -1.078   22 -0.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.244   12 -0.186   42 -1.394
Cumberland TN            5  6 209 207 -0.877   32 -1.005   32 -1.085   32 -1.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.044   47 -1.602   17 -0.516
NW Oklahoma St           7  3 397 235 -1.634   33 -1.019   33 -1.103   36 -1.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.034   20 -0.788   50 -1.613
Friends                  8  2 367 184 -1.918   34 -1.060   34 -1.157   34 -1.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.056   29 -1.006   35 -1.228
Marian IN                6  5 255 249 -1.270   35 -1.083   35 -1.179   43 -1.360    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.879   46 -1.580   34 -1.140
Central Methodist        6  5 246 309 -1.519   36 -1.111   36 -1.215   55 -1.758    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.594   54 -1.768   55 -1.747
William Penn             7  5 345 248 -1.381   37 -1.130   37 -1.237   35 -1.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.835   35 -1.189   33 -1.138
Midland Lutheran         6  5 232 259 -1.420   38 -1.163   38 -1.277   47 -1.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.495   49 -1.637   36 -1.272
Bethel TN                5  6 277 203 -0.908   39 -1.199   39 -1.319   20 -0.761    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.778   32 -1.103   14 -0.419
Black Hills St           6  4 236 194 -1.561   40 -1.206   40 -1.329   45 -1.372    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.486   53 -1.759   28 -0.985
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 7  4 291 247 -1.845   41 -1.231   41 -1.358   54 -1.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.412   58 -1.985   45 -1.420
St Ambrose               6  4 301 147 -1.444   42 -1.264   42 -1.400   30 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.546   41 -1.360   18 -0.627
Benedictine KS           6  5 331 254 -1.356   43 -1.324   44 -1.476   31 -1.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.389   22 -0.797   38 -1.318
Union KY                 4  6 301 257 -0.905   44 -1.335   45 -1.487   24 -0.829    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.441   17 -0.559   32 -1.099
Virginia-Wise            5  6 286 305 -1.266   45 -1.367   43 -1.470   42 -1.355    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.220   31 -1.075   52 -1.634
Quincy                   4  7 196 349 -1.490   46 -1.487   46 -1.620   59 -2.077    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.805   61 -2.083   62 -2.071
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 220 184 -1.504   47 -1.506   47 -1.645   44 -1.371    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.003   52 -1.748   29 -0.993
Peru St                  7  4 256 189 -2.073   48 -1.519   48 -1.663   53 -1.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.866   59 -1.995   44 -1.399
Jamestown                5  5 282 244 -1.687   49 -1.540   49 -1.685   50 -1.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.822   38 -1.309   59 -1.940
Sterling                 6  4 203 173 -2.083   50 -1.567   50 -1.721   57 -2.012    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.743   72 -2.627   43 -1.398
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 245 321 -1.475   51 -1.573   51 -1.726   51 -1.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.473   36 -1.262   61 -2.060
Rocky Mountain           2  9 331 367 -0.567   52 -1.584   52 -1.734   23 -0.815    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.887   11 -0.015   51 -1.615
Pikeville                3  8 137 315 -1.309   53 -1.604   53 -1.761   58 -2.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.329   70 -2.593   46 -1.468
Concordia AL             3  5 211 194 -1.338   54 -1.662   54 -1.834   48 -1.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.785   44 -1.522   48 -1.585
Briar Cliff              4  7 212 236 -1.309   55 -1.672   55 -1.847   38 -1.279    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.545   48 -1.609   27 -0.949
Montana St-Northern      1  9 177 340 -0.585   56 -1.705   56 -1.885   46 -1.435    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.121   45 -1.523   40 -1.347
Webber Int'l             4  6 206 241 -1.573   57 -1.804   57 -1.955   52 -1.686    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.160   51 -1.722   53 -1.650
South Dakota Tech        5  5 323 234 -2.083   58 -1.871   58 -2.037   60 -2.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.833   50 -1.715   70 -2.448
Southern Nazarene        6  5 321 360 -2.300   59 -1.878   59 -2.048   65 -2.231    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.746   56 -1.878   74 -2.584
Doane                    4  7 220 375 -1.823   60 -1.915   60 -2.091   62 -2.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.590   55 -1.833   69 -2.357
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia NE             3  7 130 290 -1.667   61 -1.924   61 -2.101   61 -2.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.545   69 -2.579   49 -1.590
Avila                    4  7 135 350 -2.053   62 -1.938   62 -2.119   73 -2.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.394   79 -3.176   63 -2.172
Malone                   4  6 319 300 -1.811   63 -2.002   63 -2.199   56 -1.796    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.609   39 -1.313   67 -2.280
West Virginia Tech       3  8 208 359 -1.767   64 -2.051   64 -2.253   69 -2.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.184   63 -2.380   73 -2.571
Kansas Wesleyan          5  5 208 223 -2.363   65 -2.078   66 -2.292   66 -2.245    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.335   68 -2.577   58 -1.913
Faulkner                 2  9 136 376 -1.564   66 -2.079   65 -2.288   71 -2.578    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.067   78 -2.971   65 -2.185
Graceland                3  7 163 330 -1.933   67 -2.097   67 -2.314   68 -2.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.120   66 -2.448   68 -2.329
Evangel                  3  7 149 285 -1.873   68 -2.112   68 -2.335   64 -2.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.105   71 -2.609   56 -1.845
Valley City St           3  7 186 262 -2.018   69 -2.260   69 -2.490   67 -2.356    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.866   67 -2.529   64 -2.183
St Francis IL            3  8 306 286 -1.591   70 -2.272   70 -2.505   49 -1.612    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.050   42 -1.369   57 -1.856
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethany KS               4  6 219 328 -2.618   71 -2.350   71 -2.612   81 -2.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.377   76 -2.870   84 -3.063
Olivet Nazarene          2  9 254 533 -2.054   72 -2.467   72 -2.769   77 -2.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  2.993   60 -2.031   88 -3.629
St Mary KS               3  7 248 321 -2.336   73 -2.480   73 -2.788   70 -2.513    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.287   62 -2.219   79 -2.807
Bethel KS                3  7 208 242 -2.271   74 -2.501   74 -2.816   63 -2.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.444   65 -2.436   60 -2.001
Southwestern KS          3  7 136 342 -2.637   75 -2.591   75 -2.819   86 -3.347    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.815   87 -3.716   82 -2.978
Kentucky Christian       1 10 167 464 -1.687   76 -2.618   76 -2.852   72 -2.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.850   64 -2.416   80 -2.853
Iowa Wesleyan            2  9  88 433 -2.429   77 -2.622   77 -2.862   85 -3.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.598   91 -4.031   77 -2.657
Southern Virginia        1  8  93 370 -1.949   78 -2.742   78 -2.880   79 -2.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.690   80 -3.195   78 -2.702
SW Assem of God          3  7 243 308 -2.623   79 -2.858   79 -3.042   76 -2.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.520   73 -2.665   81 -2.867
Edward Waters            0 10 117 394 -1.416   80 -2.991   80 -3.176   74 -2.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.433   75 -2.756   75 -2.615
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dordt                    1 10  85 413 -2.201   81 -2.999   81 -3.197   83 -3.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.163   88 -3.856   72 -2.565
William Jewell           1  9  97 334 -2.157   82 -3.006   82 -3.210   78 -2.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.269   86 -3.468   66 -2.271
Haskell                  3  7 182 329 -3.244   83 -3.133   83 -3.387   90 -3.701    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.971   90 -3.964   86 -3.439
Dakota St                2  7 151 287 -2.934   84 -3.170   85 -3.441   84 -3.231    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.957   84 -3.389   85 -3.072
Dana                     0 11 129 425 -1.723   85 -3.172   84 -3.432   75 -2.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.033   77 -2.955   71 -2.555
Waldorf                  1  9  99 392 -2.799   86 -3.301   86 -3.634   89 -3.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  1.570   89 -3.939   87 -3.455
Culver-Stockton          0 10 116 372 -2.160   87 -3.474   87 -3.761   80 -2.959    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.611   81 -3.265   76 -2.652
Bacone                   1  8 183 436 -3.023   88 -3.487   88 -3.787   91 -3.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.411   82 -3.292   92 -4.296
Mayville St              1  9 189 431 -3.168   89 -3.636   89 -4.005   92 -3.859    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  1.130   85 -3.426   91 -4.292
Tabor                    0 10 200 423 -2.485   90 -3.639   90 -4.006   82 -3.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.370   74 -2.697   90 -3.722
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Texas College            0 11 158 596 -2.534   91 -3.679   91 -4.068   87 -3.490    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.179   83 -3.346   89 -3.634
Trinity Int'l            0 11  84 452 -2.674   92 -3.738   92 -4.156   88 -3.612    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  1.006   92 -4.173   83 -3.051
Trinity Bible            0  7  81 384 -4.027   93 -4.248   93 -4.805   93 -5.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  0.000   93 -5.139   93 -5.298


Association of Independent Institutions: strength=-1.765 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ohio Dominican           7  3 347 242 -0.480   10 -0.010   10 -0.143    7 -0.139    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.589    8  0.387   20 -0.665
Southern Oregon          2  7 125 242  0.296   19 -0.531   19 -0.690   18 -0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.847   37 -1.301    8 -0.165
Azusa Pacific            3  8 226 298 -0.074   30 -0.881   30 -0.933   13 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.549   14 -0.405   15 -0.488
Peru St                  7  4 256 189 -2.073   48 -1.519   48 -1.663   53 -1.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.866   59 -1.995   44 -1.399
Webber Int'l             4  6 206 241 -1.573   57 -1.804   57 -1.955   52 -1.686    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.160   51 -1.722   53 -1.650
Southern Virginia        1  8  93 370 -1.949   78 -2.742   78 -2.880   79 -2.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.690   80 -3.195   78 -2.702
Edward Waters            0 10 117 394 -1.416   80 -2.991   80 -3.176   74 -2.685    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.433   75 -2.756   75 -2.615
Haskell                  3  7 182 329 -3.244   83 -3.133   83 -3.387   90 -3.701    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.971   90 -3.964   86 -3.439

Central States Football League: strength=-2.657 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St           7  3 397 235 -1.634   33 -1.019   33 -1.103   36 -1.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.034   20 -0.788   50 -1.613
Langston                 7  4 291 247 -1.845   41 -1.231   41 -1.358   54 -1.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.412   58 -1.985   45 -1.420
OK Panhandle St          5  6 337 408 -2.366      -1.835      -1.993      -2.337      0.0000      0.0000       4.690      -1.453      -3.221
Southern Nazarene        6  5 321 360 -2.300   59 -1.878   59 -2.048   65 -2.231    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.746   56 -1.878   74 -2.584
SW Assem of God          3  7 243 308 -2.623   79 -2.858   79 -3.042   76 -2.766    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.520   73 -2.665   81 -2.867
Bacone                   1  8 183 436 -3.023   88 -3.487   88 -3.787   91 -3.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.411   82 -3.292   92 -4.296
Texas College            0 11 158 596 -2.534   91 -3.679   91 -4.068   87 -3.490    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.179   83 -3.346   89 -3.634

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-2.025 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Minot St                 8  3 325 246 -1.197   18 -0.432   18 -0.579   29 -0.922    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.046   27 -0.957   25 -0.887
Dickinson St             7  4 229 214 -1.342   29 -0.794   29 -0.915   39 -1.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.305   57 -1.916   21 -0.695
Black Hills St           6  4 236 194 -1.561   40 -1.206   40 -1.329   45 -1.372    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.486   53 -1.759   28 -0.985
Jamestown                5  5 282 244 -1.687   49 -1.540   49 -1.685   50 -1.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.822   38 -1.309   59 -1.940
South Dakota Tech        5  5 323 234 -2.083   58 -1.871   58 -2.037   60 -2.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.833   50 -1.715   70 -2.448
Valley City St           3  7 186 262 -2.018   69 -2.260   69 -2.490   67 -2.356    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.866   67 -2.529   64 -2.183
Dakota St                2  7 151 287 -2.934   84 -3.170   85 -3.441   84 -3.231    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.957   84 -3.389   85 -3.072
Mayville St              1  9 189 431 -3.168   89 -3.636   89 -4.005   92 -3.859    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  1.130   85 -3.426   91 -4.292

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.476 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              13  1 499 226 -0.264    3  0.975    3  0.827    2  0.611    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.679    7  0.454    2  0.768
Eastern Oregon           7  4 412 339 -0.401   11 -0.111   11 -0.262    9 -0.292    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.959    4  0.759   39 -1.343
Montana Tech             7  4 231 224 -0.564   13 -0.199   13 -0.359   16 -0.670    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.626   34 -1.186    6 -0.153
Montana-Western          4  6 221 273 -0.510   27 -0.772   27 -0.887   25 -0.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.355   24 -0.906   23 -0.755
Rocky Mountain           2  9 331 367 -0.567   52 -1.584   52 -1.734   23 -0.815    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.887   11 -0.015   51 -1.615
Montana St-Northern      1  9 177 340 -0.585   56 -1.705   56 -1.885   46 -1.435    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.121   45 -1.523   40 -1.347

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.444 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls             15  0 775 158  0.206    1  1.791    1  1.604    1  1.470    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 13.280    2  1.373    1  1.567
Morningside             10  2 541 204 -0.244    6  0.380    6  0.297    4  0.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.638    5  0.746    4  0.116
Hastings                 9  3 319 235 -1.199   16 -0.372   16 -0.502   27 -0.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.329   30 -1.070   22 -0.748
Northwestern IA          7  3 259 203 -1.295   23 -0.680   22 -0.780   33 -1.091    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.687   33 -1.183   30 -0.999
Midland Lutheran         6  5 232 259 -1.420   38 -1.163   38 -1.277   47 -1.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.495   49 -1.637   36 -1.272
Nebraska Wesleyan        5  5 220 184 -1.504   47 -1.506   47 -1.645   44 -1.371    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.003   52 -1.748   29 -0.993
Dakota Wesleyan          4  6 245 321 -1.475   51 -1.573   51 -1.726   51 -1.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.473   36 -1.262   61 -2.060
Briar Cliff              4  7 212 236 -1.309   55 -1.672   55 -1.847   38 -1.279    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.545   48 -1.609   27 -0.949
Doane                    4  7 220 375 -1.823   60 -1.915   60 -2.091   62 -2.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.590   55 -1.833   69 -2.357
Concordia NE             3  7 130 290 -1.667   61 -1.924   61 -2.101   61 -2.084    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.545   69 -2.579   49 -1.590
Dordt                    1 10  85 413 -2.201   81 -2.999   81 -3.197   83 -3.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.163   88 -3.856   72 -2.565
Dana                     0 11 129 425 -1.723   85 -3.172   84 -3.432   75 -2.755    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.033   77 -2.955   71 -2.555

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.591 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindenwood              13  1 744 285 -0.311    2  0.983    2  0.836    3  0.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.731    1  1.467   13 -0.376
MidAmerica Nazarene     10  2 503 263 -0.754    8  0.207    8  0.111    8 -0.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.884    9  0.309   24 -0.830
Missouri Valley          8  3 377 176 -0.836   17 -0.379   17 -0.507   10 -0.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.666   16 -0.545    9 -0.191
Baker                    7  3 299 189 -1.195   26 -0.718   26 -0.827   21 -0.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.733   25 -0.913   19 -0.629
Central Methodist        6  5 246 309 -1.519   36 -1.111   36 -1.215   55 -1.758    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.594   54 -1.768   55 -1.747
Benedictine KS           6  5 331 254 -1.356   43 -1.324   44 -1.476   31 -1.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.389   22 -0.797   38 -1.318
Avila                    4  7 135 350 -2.053   62 -1.938   62 -2.119   73 -2.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.394   79 -3.176   63 -2.172
Graceland                3  7 163 330 -1.933   67 -2.097   67 -2.314   68 -2.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.120   66 -2.448   68 -2.329
Evangel                  3  7 149 285 -1.873   68 -2.112   68 -2.335   64 -2.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.105   71 -2.609   56 -1.845
William Jewell           1  9  97 334 -2.157   82 -3.006   82 -3.210   78 -2.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.269   86 -3.468   66 -2.271
Culver-Stockton          0 10 116 372 -2.160   87 -3.474   87 -3.761   80 -2.959    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.611   81 -3.265   76 -2.652

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.227 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa                  11  1 528 302 -1.279    7  0.214    7  0.119   19 -0.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.837   10  0.063   47 -1.543
McPherson                9  2 486 229 -1.576   25 -0.706   25 -0.814   26 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.891   13 -0.322   41 -1.370
Friends                  8  2 367 184 -1.918   34 -1.060   34 -1.157   34 -1.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.056   29 -1.006   35 -1.228
Sterling                 6  4 203 173 -2.083   50 -1.567   50 -1.721   57 -2.012    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.743   72 -2.627   43 -1.398
Kansas Wesleyan          5  5 208 223 -2.363   65 -2.078   66 -2.292   66 -2.245    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.335   68 -2.577   58 -1.913
Bethany KS               4  6 219 328 -2.618   71 -2.350   71 -2.612   81 -2.966    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.377   76 -2.870   84 -3.063
St Mary KS               3  7 248 321 -2.336   73 -2.480   73 -2.788   70 -2.513    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.287   62 -2.219   79 -2.807
Bethel KS                3  7 208 242 -2.271   74 -2.501   74 -2.816   63 -2.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.444   65 -2.436   60 -2.001
Southwestern KS          3  7 136 342 -2.637   75 -2.591   75 -2.819   86 -3.347    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.815   87 -3.716   82 -2.978
Tabor                    0 10 200 423 -2.485   90 -3.639   90 -4.006   82 -3.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.370   74 -2.697   90 -3.722

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.139 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lambuth                 12  1 495 231 -0.432    5  0.884    5  0.717    6  0.301    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 11.380    6  0.456    3  0.146
Cumberlands KY           9  2 355 191 -0.802    9  0.078    9 -0.045   12 -0.416    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.595   15 -0.496   11 -0.335
Campbellsville           7  4 260 270 -0.779   15 -0.283   15 -0.453   28 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.405   26 -0.920   26 -0.899
Georgetown KY            7  4 297 201 -1.034   24 -0.704   24 -0.808   17 -0.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.767   23 -0.860   16 -0.491
Belhaven                 6  5 243 285 -1.067   28 -0.793   28 -0.912   37 -1.216    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.185   40 -1.345   31 -1.087
Shorter                  6  5 366 271 -1.004   31 -0.998   31 -1.078   22 -0.790    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.244   12 -0.186   42 -1.394
Cumberland TN            5  6 209 207 -0.877   32 -1.005   32 -1.085   32 -1.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.044   47 -1.602   17 -0.516
Bethel TN                5  6 277 203 -0.908   39 -1.199   39 -1.319   20 -0.761    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.778   32 -1.103   14 -0.419
Union KY                 4  6 301 257 -0.905   44 -1.335   45 -1.487   24 -0.829    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.441   17 -0.559   32 -1.099
Virginia-Wise            5  6 286 305 -1.266   45 -1.367   43 -1.470   42 -1.355    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.220   31 -1.075   52 -1.634
Pikeville                3  8 137 315 -1.309   53 -1.604   53 -1.761   58 -2.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.329   70 -2.593   46 -1.468
West Virginia Tech       3  8 208 359 -1.767   64 -2.051   64 -2.253   69 -2.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.184   63 -2.380   73 -2.571
Faulkner                 2  9 136 376 -1.564   66 -2.079   65 -2.288   71 -2.578    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.067   78 -2.971   65 -2.185
Kentucky Christian       1 10 167 464 -1.687   76 -2.618   76 -2.852   72 -2.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.850   64 -2.416   80 -2.853

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.512 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier               13  1 643 263 -0.471    4  0.942    4  0.788    5  0.358    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 11.632    3  0.873    7 -0.157
Walsh                    8  3 358 207 -0.768   12 -0.143   12 -0.301   11 -0.404    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.127   18 -0.590   10 -0.219
McKendree                9  2 369 166 -1.145   14 -0.218   14 -0.385   14 -0.454    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.858   21 -0.797    5 -0.112
Grand View               8  3 271 218 -1.448   20 -0.581   20 -0.768   41 -1.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.679   43 -1.394   37 -1.280
St Francis IN            7  3 371 157 -1.018   21 -0.591   23 -0.780   15 -0.494    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.978   19 -0.629   12 -0.358
Taylor                   7  3 307 273 -1.423   22 -0.674   21 -0.770   40 -1.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.621   28 -0.991   54 -1.675
Marian IN                6  5 255 249 -1.270   35 -1.083   35 -1.179   43 -1.360    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.879   46 -1.580   34 -1.140
William Penn             7  5 345 248 -1.381   37 -1.130   37 -1.237   35 -1.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.835   35 -1.189   33 -1.138
St Ambrose               6  4 301 147 -1.444   42 -1.264   42 -1.400   30 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.546   41 -1.360   18 -0.627
Quincy                   4  7 196 349 -1.490   46 -1.487   46 -1.620   59 -2.077    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.805   61 -2.083   62 -2.071
Malone                   4  6 319 300 -1.811   63 -2.002   63 -2.199   56 -1.796    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.609   39 -1.313   67 -2.280
St Francis IL            3  8 306 286 -1.591   70 -2.272   70 -2.505   49 -1.612    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.050   42 -1.369   57 -1.856
Olivet Nazarene          2  9 254 533 -2.054   72 -2.467   72 -2.769   77 -2.830    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  2.993   60 -2.031   88 -3.629
Iowa Wesleyan            2  9  88 433 -2.429   77 -2.622   77 -2.862   85 -3.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.598   91 -4.031   77 -2.657
Waldorf                  1  9  99 392 -2.799   86 -3.301   86 -3.634   89 -3.697    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  1.570   89 -3.939   87 -3.455
Trinity Int'l            0 11  84 452 -2.674   92 -3.738   92 -4.156   88 -3.612    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  1.006   92 -4.173   83 -3.051

Independent: strength=-3.722 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             3  5 211 194 -1.338   54 -1.662   54 -1.834   48 -1.553    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.785   44 -1.522   48 -1.585
Trinity Bible            0  7  81 384 -4.027   93 -4.248   93 -4.805   93 -5.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  0.000   93 -5.139   93 -5.298

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     34 33 0.507    1 -0.476
Mid-South Conference                                    75 80 0.484    2 -1.139
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        68 66 0.507    3 -1.444
Mid-States Football Association                         87 88 0.497    4 -1.512
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    61 59 0.508    5 -1.591
Association of Independent Institutions                 27 53 0.338    6 -1.765
Dakota Athletic Conference                              37 44 0.457    7 -2.025
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   52 51 0.505    8 -2.227
Central States Football League                          29 44 0.397    9 -2.657
Independent                                              3 12 0.200   10 -3.722

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.157 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:50 2019

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