Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC NSIC

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Grand View              14  0 523 215 -0.083    1  1.528    1  1.328    1  0.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.915    3  0.731    1  1.009
Cumberlands KY          13  1 616 290 -0.392    2  0.861    2  0.732    2  0.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.642    4  0.675    5  0.142
Carroll MT              12  2 477 230 -0.356    3  0.523    3  0.413    3  0.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.976    7  0.034    3  0.532
St Francis IN            9  3 359 243 -0.135    4  0.426    4  0.306    6  0.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.757   10 -0.161    4  0.207
Morningside             11  2 591 255 -0.668    5  0.126    5  0.020    5  0.036    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.321    6  0.405   12 -0.333
Rocky Mountain           9  3 420 251 -0.503    6  0.061    6 -0.049    9 -0.096    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.086    8 -0.064    7 -0.127
St Xavier                7  4 320 322 -0.386    7 -0.027    7 -0.147   13 -0.484    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.841    9 -0.134   24 -0.834
Baker                   11  2 462 247 -1.049    8 -0.043    8 -0.169   12 -0.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.943   19 -0.570   10 -0.226
St Ambrose               7  4 486 312 -0.326    9 -0.144    9 -0.280    8 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.667    2  0.792   29 -0.968
Benedictine KS          10  2 461 299 -1.233   10 -0.199   10 -0.344   25 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.415   16 -0.384   38 -1.308
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Faulkner                 9  3 541 223 -0.724   11 -0.249   11 -0.397    4  0.232    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.643    5  0.486    6 -0.022
Georgetown KY            7  4 368 258 -0.473   12 -0.254   12 -0.401   11 -0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.433   12 -0.227   11 -0.283
Missouri Valley          9  3 322 133 -0.933   13 -0.396   13 -0.480   10 -0.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.315   36 -1.203    2  0.709
Eastern Oregon           6  5 321 364 -0.568   14 -0.412   14 -0.495   18 -0.622    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.685   15 -0.359   27 -0.884
St Francis IL            7  4 338 262 -0.714   15 -0.417   15 -0.500   17 -0.544    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.112   17 -0.397   20 -0.691
Marian IN                6  5 253 245 -0.525   16 -0.431   16 -0.514   21 -0.707    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.946   27 -0.923   14 -0.492
Lindsey Wilson           8  3 426 259 -0.933   17 -0.473   17 -0.562   14 -0.484    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.989   13 -0.288   19 -0.681
Tabor                   10  3 420 268 -1.090   18 -0.493   18 -0.583   22 -0.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.919   25 -0.884   17 -0.566
Robert Morris IL         7  4 312 242 -0.878   19 -0.504   19 -0.593   23 -0.745    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.558   22 -0.765   21 -0.725
Southern Oregon          6  5 522 349 -0.389   20 -0.597   20 -0.692    7 -0.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.832    1  1.186   37 -1.226
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern IA          8  3 378 311 -1.385   21 -0.607   21 -0.706   36 -1.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.240   20 -0.588   47 -1.825
Ottawa                   8  4 477 271 -0.934   22 -0.638   22 -0.738   15 -0.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.503   11 -0.189   26 -0.868
Reinhardt                6  4 358 315 -0.966   23 -0.653   23 -0.757   26 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.239   14 -0.302   42 -1.519
Cumberland TN            7  4 333 356 -1.283   24 -0.669   24 -0.777   38 -1.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.966   34 -1.146   40 -1.341
Ave Maria                7  2 318 226 -1.654   25 -0.705   25 -0.821   37 -1.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.976   24 -0.857   45 -1.579
Sterling                 9  3 426 282 -1.471   26 -0.711   26 -0.829   27 -0.944    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.061   23 -0.767   33 -1.120
Taylor                   5  5 298 219 -0.677   27 -0.732   27 -0.848   19 -0.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.070   21 -0.756   18 -0.571
Dakota Wesleyan          8  3 329 261 -1.472   28 -0.742   28 -0.863   34 -1.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.919   32 -1.095   36 -1.223
Friends                  8  3 360 205 -1.341   29 -0.753   29 -0.874   24 -0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.098   29 -1.022   15 -0.498
William Penn             5  6 274 225 -0.541   30 -0.799   30 -0.908   16 -0.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.021   26 -0.911    8 -0.164
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Siena Heights            5  5 226 172 -0.698   31 -0.804   31 -0.913   20 -0.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.991   38 -1.233    9 -0.171
Langston                 6  4 252 222 -1.293   32 -0.830   32 -0.944   40 -1.258    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.788   48 -1.763   22 -0.752
Montana-Western          4  6 216 315 -0.824   33 -0.908   33 -1.030   43 -1.492    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.245   47 -1.670   39 -1.315
Pikeville                7  4 351 358 -1.586   34 -0.957   34 -1.093   45 -1.591    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.173   37 -1.212   51 -1.971
Montana St-Northern      4  6 258 304 -0.750   35 -1.007   35 -1.145   32 -1.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.320   28 -0.992   35 -1.214
Nebraska Wesleyan        6  4 220 163 -1.343   36 -1.018   36 -1.158   33 -1.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.386   52 -1.945   13 -0.361
Trinity Int'l            5  5 304 245 -0.984   37 -1.026   37 -1.165   29 -1.028    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.368   30 -1.050   32 -1.006
Menlo                    5  5 242 277 -1.253   38 -1.103   38 -1.231   42 -1.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.933   41 -1.555   34 -1.179
Concordia NE             7  4 290 190 -1.487   39 -1.118   39 -1.252   31 -1.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.148   43 -1.592   16 -0.538
Campbellsville           4  6 254 361 -0.889   40 -1.131   40 -1.264   39 -1.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.970   33 -1.106   41 -1.389
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Peru St                  7  4 363 285 -1.559   41 -1.136   41 -1.274   41 -1.345    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.988   35 -1.146   44 -1.544
Montana Tech             3  7 210 270 -0.766   42 -1.249   42 -1.400   35 -1.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.655   42 -1.581   23 -0.828
MidAmerica Nazarene      5  5 375 289 -1.266   43 -1.294   43 -1.455   30 -1.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.731   18 -0.490   46 -1.599
Doane                    5  5 318 212 -1.220   44 -1.316   44 -1.482   28 -1.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.744   31 -1.054   31 -0.995
Webber Int'l             5  5 235 185 -1.676   45 -1.671   45 -1.812   44 -1.543    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.124   65 -2.243   25 -0.843
Bacone                   7  4 368 305 -2.255   46 -1.672   46 -1.814   50 -1.899    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.019   40 -1.555   58 -2.244
Kentucky Christian       3  8 149 271 -1.336   47 -1.684   47 -1.823   49 -1.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.894   75 -2.816   28 -0.957
Evangel                  4  6 262 358 -1.724   48 -1.715   48 -1.860   53 -2.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.851   46 -1.664   63 -2.355
Olivet Nazarene          3  8 178 267 -1.152   49 -1.734   49 -1.880   46 -1.595    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.897   64 -2.215   30 -0.976
Southwestern KS          5  6 292 388 -2.017   50 -1.781   50 -1.937   64 -2.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.618   60 -2.087   70 -2.526
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Midland U.               4  6 222 323 -1.895   51 -1.793   51 -1.950   62 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.585   61 -2.141   64 -2.381
Point U.                 3  7 214 382 -1.599   52 -1.798   52 -1.955   57 -2.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.617   59 -2.045   61 -2.284
McPherson                5  6 276 279 -1.859   53 -1.819   54 -1.983   48 -1.787    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.759   58 -2.037   43 -1.537
Union KY                 3  8 282 436 -1.383   54 -1.821   53 -1.982   52 -1.938    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.635   39 -1.455   65 -2.422
Briar Cliff              4  7 212 365 -1.884   55 -1.824   55 -1.987   66 -2.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.530   70 -2.580   55 -2.181
Central Methodist        4  7 284 447 -1.949   56 -1.949   56 -2.128   68 -2.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.241   55 -1.994   75 -2.867
St Mary KS               4  7 295 390 -1.880   57 -1.960   57 -2.141   58 -2.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.408   50 -1.894   71 -2.551
Lindenwood-Belleville    4  7 288 318 -1.796   58 -1.999   58 -2.185   51 -1.921    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.403   51 -1.908   50 -1.933
Valley City St           5  5 327 235 -2.062   59 -2.005   59 -2.194   47 -1.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.461   45 -1.637   48 -1.856
Belhaven                 3  8 288 468 -1.726   60 -2.011   60 -2.197   60 -2.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.119   49 -1.790   74 -2.660
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Avila                    4  7 337 369 -1.899   61 -2.043   61 -2.237   54 -2.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.330   44 -1.600   66 -2.469
SW Assem of God          6  4 265 267 -2.699   62 -2.051   62 -2.249   69 -2.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.039   67 -2.357   69 -2.510
Kansas Wesleyan          4  7 284 371 -1.980   63 -2.056   63 -2.252   56 -2.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.129   54 -1.973   62 -2.324
Mayville St              6  4 215 196 -2.753   64 -2.085   64 -2.289   70 -2.489    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.978   79 -2.983   52 -1.995
Virginia U-Lynchburg     2  8 184 388 -1.473   65 -2.091   65 -2.292   55 -2.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.125   66 -2.286   49 -1.899
Dickinson St             1 10 150 473 -1.244   66 -2.208   66 -2.385   67 -2.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.737   71 -2.589   57 -2.241
Jamestown                3  7 198 289 -1.976   67 -2.227   67 -2.395   63 -2.295    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.850   69 -2.578   53 -2.012
Bethel TN                2  9 218 379 -1.707   68 -2.347   68 -2.539   65 -2.320    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.634   68 -2.401   56 -2.238
Culver-Stockton          2  9 243 372 -1.724   69 -2.384   69 -2.583   59 -2.224    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.652   63 -2.202   60 -2.246
Bethany KS               2  9 206 389 -2.109   70 -2.442   70 -2.656   75 -2.734    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.354   76 -2.845   72 -2.623
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Hastings                 2  8 238 348 -1.881   71 -2.474   71 -2.692   61 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.424   57 -2.028   67 -2.470
Presentation             4  5 286 278 -2.728   72 -2.481   72 -2.704   72 -2.573    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.345   53 -1.957   80 -3.189
Concordia MI             1  9  67 462 -2.208   73 -2.495   73 -2.717   83 -3.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.904   85 -4.072   73 -2.624
Warner U.                1 10  86 449 -1.744   74 -2.513   74 -2.745   79 -2.912    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.123   83 -3.659   54 -2.165
Waldorf                  1 10 149 504 -1.751   75 -2.641   75 -2.863   74 -2.643    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  2.970   74 -2.789   68 -2.497
Dakota St                2  8 204 362 -2.307   76 -2.713   76 -2.926   77 -2.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.682   73 -2.706   77 -2.897
Graceland                1 10 175 364 -1.876   77 -2.766   77 -2.989   73 -2.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.668   78 -2.903   59 -2.245
Dordt                    2  9 160 451 -2.592   78 -2.776   78 -3.004   84 -3.448    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.393   84 -3.670   81 -3.225
Oklahoma Baptist         3  8 266 352 -2.582   79 -2.815   79 -3.055   76 -2.800    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.592   72 -2.639   78 -2.961
Bethel KS                2  9 308 542 -2.389   80 -2.835   80 -3.079   78 -2.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.459   56 -1.994   86 -3.827
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Edward Waters            1  9 230 383 -1.976   81 -2.854   81 -3.101   71 -2.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.606   62 -2.185   76 -2.882
Concordia AL             0  8  94 454 -1.912   82 -2.977   82 -3.266   80 -3.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.996   80 -3.116   79 -2.967
Texas College            1  9 167 450 -2.550   83 -3.054   83 -3.380   85 -3.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  1.789   82 -3.590   84 -3.590
Bluefield                0 11 181 517 -1.964   84 -3.134   84 -3.477   81 -3.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.697   77 -2.896   83 -3.240
Haskell                  1  7 117 318 -3.200   85 -3.277   85 -3.687   86 -3.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.297   86 -4.214   85 -3.635
Wayland Baptist          0 10 181 400 -2.542   86 -3.504   86 -3.937   82 -3.272    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.171   81 -3.318   82 -3.226
Trinity Bible            1  8 136 369 -3.701   87 -3.681   87 -4.167   87 -4.288    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  0.619   87 -4.387   87 -4.189


Central States Football League: strength=-2.729 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 6  4 252 222 -1.293   32 -0.830   32 -0.944   40 -1.258    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.788   48 -1.763   22 -0.752
Bacone                   7  4 368 305 -2.255   46 -1.672   46 -1.814   50 -1.899    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.019   40 -1.555   58 -2.244
SW Assem of God          6  4 265 267 -2.699   62 -2.051   62 -2.249   69 -2.433    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.039   67 -2.357   69 -2.510
Oklahoma Baptist         3  8 266 352 -2.582   79 -2.815   79 -3.055   76 -2.800    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.592   72 -2.639   78 -2.961
Texas College            1  9 167 450 -2.550   83 -3.054   83 -3.380   85 -3.590    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  1.789   82 -3.590   84 -3.590
Wayland Baptist          0 10 181 400 -2.542   86 -3.504   86 -3.937   82 -3.272    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.171   81 -3.318   82 -3.226

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.681 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT              12  2 477 230 -0.356    3  0.523    3  0.413    3  0.283    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.976    7  0.034    3  0.532
Rocky Mountain           9  3 420 251 -0.503    6  0.061    6 -0.049    9 -0.096    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  9.086    8 -0.064    7 -0.127
Eastern Oregon           6  5 321 364 -0.568   14 -0.412   14 -0.495   18 -0.622    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.685   15 -0.359   27 -0.884
Southern Oregon          6  5 522 349 -0.389   20 -0.597   20 -0.692    7 -0.020    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.832    1  1.186   37 -1.226
Montana-Western          4  6 216 315 -0.824   33 -0.908   33 -1.030   43 -1.492    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.245   47 -1.670   39 -1.315
Montana St-Northern      4  6 258 304 -0.750   35 -1.007   35 -1.145   32 -1.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.320   28 -0.992   35 -1.214
Montana Tech             3  7 210 270 -0.766   42 -1.249   42 -1.400   35 -1.204    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.655   42 -1.581   23 -0.828
Dickinson St             1 10 150 473 -1.244   66 -2.208   66 -2.385   67 -2.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.737   71 -2.589   57 -2.241

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.539 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             11  2 591 255 -0.668    5  0.126    5  0.020    5  0.036    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  9.321    6  0.405   12 -0.333
Northwestern IA          8  3 378 311 -1.385   21 -0.607   21 -0.706   36 -1.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.240   20 -0.588   47 -1.825
Dakota Wesleyan          8  3 329 261 -1.472   28 -0.742   28 -0.863   34 -1.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.919   32 -1.095   36 -1.223
Nebraska Wesleyan        6  4 220 163 -1.343   36 -1.018   36 -1.158   33 -1.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.386   52 -1.945   13 -0.361
Concordia NE             7  4 290 190 -1.487   39 -1.118   39 -1.252   31 -1.065    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.148   43 -1.592   16 -0.538
Doane                    5  5 318 212 -1.220   44 -1.316   44 -1.482   28 -1.024    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.744   31 -1.054   31 -0.995
Midland U.               4  6 222 323 -1.895   51 -1.793   51 -1.950   62 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.585   61 -2.141   64 -2.381
Briar Cliff              4  7 212 365 -1.884   55 -1.824   55 -1.987   66 -2.381    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.530   70 -2.580   55 -2.181
Hastings                 2  8 238 348 -1.881   71 -2.474   71 -2.692   61 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.424   57 -2.028   67 -2.470
Dordt                    2  9 160 451 -2.592   78 -2.776   78 -3.004   84 -3.448    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.393   84 -3.670   81 -3.225

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.531 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Baker                   11  2 462 247 -1.049    8 -0.043    8 -0.169   12 -0.398    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.943   19 -0.570   10 -0.226
Benedictine KS          10  2 461 299 -1.233   10 -0.199   10 -0.344   25 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.415   16 -0.384   38 -1.308
Missouri Valley          9  3 322 133 -0.933   13 -0.396   13 -0.480   10 -0.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.315   36 -1.203    2  0.709
Peru St                  7  4 363 285 -1.559   41 -1.136   41 -1.274   41 -1.345    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.988   35 -1.146   44 -1.544
MidAmerica Nazarene      5  5 375 289 -1.266   43 -1.294   43 -1.455   30 -1.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.731   18 -0.490   46 -1.599
Evangel                  4  6 262 358 -1.724   48 -1.715   48 -1.860   53 -2.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.851   46 -1.664   63 -2.355
Central Methodist        4  7 284 447 -1.949   56 -1.949   56 -2.128   68 -2.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.241   55 -1.994   75 -2.867
Avila                    4  7 337 369 -1.899   61 -2.043   61 -2.237   54 -2.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.330   44 -1.600   66 -2.469
Culver-Stockton          2  9 243 372 -1.724   69 -2.384   69 -2.583   59 -2.224    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.652   63 -2.202   60 -2.246
Graceland                1 10 175 364 -1.876   77 -2.766   77 -2.989   73 -2.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.668   78 -2.903   59 -2.245

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-1.756 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tabor                   10  3 420 268 -1.090   18 -0.493   18 -0.583   22 -0.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.919   25 -0.884   17 -0.566
Ottawa                   8  4 477 271 -0.934   22 -0.638   22 -0.738   15 -0.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.503   11 -0.189   26 -0.868
Sterling                 9  3 426 282 -1.471   26 -0.711   26 -0.829   27 -0.944    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.061   23 -0.767   33 -1.120
Friends                  8  3 360 205 -1.341   29 -0.753   29 -0.874   24 -0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.098   29 -1.022   15 -0.498
Southwestern KS          5  6 292 388 -2.017   50 -1.781   50 -1.937   64 -2.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.618   60 -2.087   70 -2.526
McPherson                5  6 276 279 -1.859   53 -1.819   54 -1.983   48 -1.787    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.759   58 -2.037   43 -1.537
St Mary KS               4  7 295 390 -1.880   57 -1.960   57 -2.141   58 -2.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.408   50 -1.894   71 -2.551
Kansas Wesleyan          4  7 284 371 -1.980   63 -2.056   63 -2.252   56 -2.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.129   54 -1.973   62 -2.324
Bethany KS               2  9 206 389 -2.109   70 -2.442   70 -2.656   75 -2.734    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.354   76 -2.845   72 -2.623
Bethel KS                2  9 308 542 -2.389   80 -2.835   80 -3.079   78 -2.911    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.459   56 -1.994   86 -3.827

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.259 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberlands KY          13  1 616 290 -0.392    2  0.861    2  0.732    2  0.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.642    4  0.675    5  0.142
Faulkner                 9  3 541 223 -0.724   11 -0.249   11 -0.397    4  0.232    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.643    5  0.486    6 -0.022
Georgetown KY            7  4 368 258 -0.473   12 -0.254   12 -0.401   11 -0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.433   12 -0.227   11 -0.283
Lindsey Wilson           8  3 426 259 -0.933   17 -0.473   17 -0.562   14 -0.484    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.989   13 -0.288   19 -0.681
Reinhardt                6  4 358 315 -0.966   23 -0.653   23 -0.757   26 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.239   14 -0.302   42 -1.519
Cumberland TN            7  4 333 356 -1.283   24 -0.669   24 -0.777   38 -1.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.966   34 -1.146   40 -1.341
Pikeville                7  4 351 358 -1.586   34 -0.957   34 -1.093   45 -1.591    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.173   37 -1.212   51 -1.971
Campbellsville           4  6 254 361 -0.889   40 -1.131   40 -1.264   39 -1.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.970   33 -1.106   41 -1.389
Kentucky Christian       3  8 149 271 -1.336   47 -1.684   47 -1.823   49 -1.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.894   75 -2.816   28 -0.957
Union KY                 3  8 282 436 -1.383   54 -1.821   53 -1.982   52 -1.938    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.635   39 -1.455   65 -2.422
Belhaven                 3  8 288 468 -1.726   60 -2.011   60 -2.197   60 -2.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.119   49 -1.790   74 -2.660
Bethel TN                2  9 218 379 -1.707   68 -2.347   68 -2.539   65 -2.320    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.634   68 -2.401   56 -2.238
Bluefield                0 11 181 517 -1.964   84 -3.134   84 -3.477   81 -3.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.697   77 -2.896   83 -3.240

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.637 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Grand View              14  0 523 215 -0.083    1  1.528    1  1.328    1  0.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.915    3  0.731    1  1.009
St Francis IN            9  3 359 243 -0.135    4  0.426    4  0.306    6  0.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  9.757   10 -0.161    4  0.207
St Xavier                7  4 320 322 -0.386    7 -0.027    7 -0.147   13 -0.484    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.841    9 -0.134   24 -0.834
St Ambrose               7  4 486 312 -0.326    9 -0.144    9 -0.280    8 -0.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.667    2  0.792   29 -0.968
St Francis IL            7  4 338 262 -0.714   15 -0.417   15 -0.500   17 -0.544    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.112   17 -0.397   20 -0.691
Marian IN                6  5 253 245 -0.525   16 -0.431   16 -0.514   21 -0.707    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.946   27 -0.923   14 -0.492
Robert Morris IL         7  4 312 242 -0.878   19 -0.504   19 -0.593   23 -0.745    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.558   22 -0.765   21 -0.725
Taylor                   5  5 298 219 -0.677   27 -0.732   27 -0.848   19 -0.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.070   21 -0.756   18 -0.571
William Penn             5  6 274 225 -0.541   30 -0.799   30 -0.908   16 -0.537    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.021   26 -0.911    8 -0.164
Siena Heights            5  5 226 172 -0.698   31 -0.804   31 -0.913   20 -0.702    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.991   38 -1.233    9 -0.171
Trinity Int'l            5  5 304 245 -0.984   37 -1.026   37 -1.165   29 -1.028    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.368   30 -1.050   32 -1.006
Olivet Nazarene          3  8 178 267 -1.152   49 -1.734   49 -1.880   46 -1.595    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.897   64 -2.215   30 -0.976
Concordia MI             1  9  67 462 -2.208   73 -2.495   73 -2.717   83 -3.348    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.904   85 -4.072   73 -2.624
Waldorf                  1 10 149 504 -1.751   75 -2.641   75 -2.863   74 -2.643    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  2.970   74 -2.789   68 -2.497

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.198 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ave Maria                7  2 318 226 -1.654   25 -0.705   25 -0.821   37 -1.218    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.976   24 -0.857   45 -1.579
Menlo                    5  5 242 277 -1.253   38 -1.103   38 -1.231   42 -1.367    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.933   41 -1.555   34 -1.179
Webber Int'l             5  5 235 185 -1.676   45 -1.671   45 -1.812   44 -1.543    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.124   65 -2.243   25 -0.843
Point U.                 3  7 214 382 -1.599   52 -1.798   52 -1.955   57 -2.164    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.617   59 -2.045   61 -2.284
Lindenwood-Belleville    4  7 288 318 -1.796   58 -1.999   58 -2.185   51 -1.921    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.403   51 -1.908   50 -1.933
Warner U.                1 10  86 449 -1.744   74 -2.513   74 -2.745   79 -2.912    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.123   83 -3.659   54 -2.165
Edward Waters            1  9 230 383 -1.976   81 -2.854   81 -3.101   71 -2.534    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.606   62 -2.185   76 -2.882
Haskell                  1  7 117 318 -3.200   85 -3.277   85 -3.687   86 -3.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.297   86 -4.214   85 -3.635

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.523 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Valley City St           5  5 327 235 -2.062   59 -2.005   59 -2.194   47 -1.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.461   45 -1.637   48 -1.856
Mayville St              6  4 215 196 -2.753   64 -2.085   64 -2.289   70 -2.489    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.978   79 -2.983   52 -1.995
Jamestown                3  7 198 289 -1.976   67 -2.227   67 -2.395   63 -2.295    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.850   69 -2.578   53 -2.012
Presentation             4  5 286 278 -2.728   72 -2.481   72 -2.704   72 -2.573    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.345   53 -1.957   80 -3.189
Dakota St                2  8 204 362 -2.307   76 -2.713   76 -2.926   77 -2.801    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.682   73 -2.706   77 -2.897

Independent: strength=-3.325 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Virginia U-Lynchburg     2  8 184 388 -1.473   65 -2.091   65 -2.292   55 -2.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.125   66 -2.286   49 -1.899
Concordia AL             0  8  94 454 -1.912   82 -2.977   82 -3.266   80 -3.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.996   80 -3.116   79 -2.967
Trinity Bible            1  8 136 369 -3.701   87 -3.681   87 -4.167   87 -4.288    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  0.619   87 -4.387   87 -4.189

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Mid-States Football Association                          82  72 0.532    1 -0.637
Frontier Conference                                      45  44 0.506    2 -0.681
Mid-South Conference                                     72  73 0.497    3 -1.259
Heart of America Athletic Conference                     57  55 0.509    4 -1.531
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         57  51 0.528    5 -1.539
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    57  57 0.500    6 -1.756
NAIA Independents                                        27  52 0.342    7 -2.198
North Star Athletic Association                          20  29 0.408    8 -2.523
Central States Football League                           23  39 0.371    9 -2.729
Independent                                               3  24 0.111   10 -3.325

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.180 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:38:06 2019

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