Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC NSIC MAIAA

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon         13  2 685 424  0.607    1  1.572    1  1.446    2  1.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.643    1  1.995    7  0.277
Carroll MT              10  2 496 209  0.607    2  1.264    2  1.090    1  1.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.174    2  1.246    1  1.581
Marian IN               11  3 475 287  0.158    3  0.919    3  0.702    3  0.795    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.431    4  0.882    2  0.708
St Xavier               10  3 495 361  0.056    4  0.772    4  0.609    7  0.296    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.181    3  0.964   16 -0.371
Eastern Oregon           8  3 401 284  0.217    5  0.760    5  0.596    5  0.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.025    6  0.620    6  0.281
Grand View              10  2 422 211 -0.127    6  0.747    6  0.577    4  0.478    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.227    9  0.379    3  0.577
Lindsey Wilson          10  3 562 288 -0.352    7  0.334    8  0.129    6  0.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.410    8  0.457    8  0.158
Faulkner                 9  3 418 279 -0.391    8  0.288    7  0.141   12 -0.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.317   10  0.059   11 -0.142
Montana-Western          6  5 319 294  0.196    9  0.203    9  0.047    8  0.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.001   12 -0.082    4  0.308
Georgetown KY            8  3 414 213 -0.420   10  0.016   10 -0.103   11 -0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.802   13 -0.141    9  0.060
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Robert Morris IL         8  3 252 192 -0.726   11 -0.074   11 -0.175   20 -0.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.395   30 -1.102   12 -0.189
William Penn             7  4 334 252 -0.469   12 -0.179   12 -0.266   14 -0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.280   18 -0.375   13 -0.306
Campbellsville           7  4 340 215 -0.368   13 -0.183   13 -0.271    9  0.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.544   14 -0.155    5  0.282
Rocky Mountain           5  6 317 325  0.072   14 -0.211   14 -0.301   13 -0.173    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.164   11 -0.030   14 -0.317
Siena Heights            6  4 173 188 -0.596   15 -0.252   15 -0.350   22 -0.748    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.917   42 -1.440   10 -0.055
Morningside             11  2 721 268 -1.007   16 -0.289   16 -0.385   10 -0.014    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.543    5  0.688   26 -0.716
Coll of Idaho            4  7 274 466  0.005   17 -0.299   17 -0.385   24 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.696   19 -0.472   33 -1.220
Reinhardt                6  4 424 361 -0.576   18 -0.347   18 -0.443   19 -0.558    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.855    7  0.541   48 -1.657
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  2 364 200 -1.193   19 -0.372   19 -0.477   16 -0.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.908   22 -0.623   15 -0.330
Valley City St           9  2 401 242 -1.576   20 -0.449   20 -0.551   31 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.492   31 -1.142   29 -1.042
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 7  4 330 258 -0.856   21 -0.464   21 -0.567   23 -0.749    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.512   26 -0.839   24 -0.660
Missouri Valley          9  3 406 224 -1.132   22 -0.507   22 -0.622   17 -0.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.617   21 -0.579   19 -0.478
St Francis IN            6  5 322 257 -0.546   23 -0.518   23 -0.633   15 -0.409    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.474   15 -0.284   22 -0.533
Cumberland TN            6  5 337 389 -0.957   24 -0.649   24 -0.812   36 -1.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.981   28 -0.947   40 -1.431
Kentucky Christian       5  6 231 275 -0.683   25 -0.676   25 -0.843   29 -1.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.978   46 -1.592   21 -0.521
Webber Int'l             7  3 277 169 -1.309   26 -0.691   26 -0.865   25 -0.895    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.033   38 -1.324   18 -0.467
Montana St-Northern      3  8 297 477 -0.249   27 -0.741   27 -0.914   28 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.760   17 -0.330   49 -1.658
Taylor                   5  6 211 311 -0.917   28 -0.750   28 -0.927   42 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.638   49 -1.730   30 -1.143
Baker                    8  3 315 203 -1.430   29 -0.774   29 -0.959   27 -0.963    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.957   34 -1.254   25 -0.672
Ottawa                   9  3 423 309 -1.645   30 -0.784   30 -0.970   34 -1.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.844   23 -0.731   45 -1.539
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Ambrose               5  5 238 256 -1.027   31 -0.921   31 -1.072   32 -1.104    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.487   32 -1.228   28 -0.980
Southeastern U.          7  3 387 215 -1.461   32 -0.962   33 -1.124   21 -0.738    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.616   16 -0.327   31 -1.150
Bethel TN                5  6 277 379 -1.068   33 -1.004   32 -1.122   38 -1.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.291   36 -1.261   38 -1.406
Northwestern IA          8  3 288 167 -1.716   34 -1.102   34 -1.245   30 -1.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.419   50 -1.737   17 -0.409
Benedictine KS           7  4 321 241 -1.563   35 -1.116   35 -1.261   37 -1.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.332   35 -1.258   32 -1.162
Ave Maria                5  6 244 333 -1.204   36 -1.131   36 -1.278   41 -1.429    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.076   45 -1.544   35 -1.314
Doane                    7  3 288 240 -2.010   37 -1.149   37 -1.305   45 -1.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.018   47 -1.603   46 -1.601
Warner U.                5  5 191 268 -1.397   38 -1.172   38 -1.332   48 -1.735    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.912   67 -2.188   34 -1.282
Graceland                6  5 301 321 -1.523   39 -1.183   39 -1.345   44 -1.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.980   37 -1.321   54 -1.803
Pikeville                5  6 360 358 -1.213   40 -1.255   40 -1.426   35 -1.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.842   24 -0.784   43 -1.528
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St             7  4 311 261 -1.900   41 -1.269   41 -1.445   47 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.738   55 -1.865   44 -1.536
Friends                  8  3 348 206 -1.993   42 -1.278   42 -1.456   39 -1.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.900   44 -1.533   36 -1.316
Oklahoma Baptist         8  3 479 209 -1.984   43 -1.342   44 -1.538   33 -1.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.807   25 -0.828   41 -1.432
Montana Tech             1  9 230 358  0.056   44 -1.350   43 -1.537   18 -0.550    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.728   20 -0.488   23 -0.611
Sterling                 7  4 349 302 -2.005   45 -1.358   45 -1.559   53 -1.848    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.607   41 -1.437   65 -2.259
St Francis IL            4  7 253 214 -0.928   46 -1.365   46 -1.563   26 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.766   39 -1.369   20 -0.517
Cumberlands KY           3  7 251 336 -1.062   47 -1.413   47 -1.623   40 -1.425    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.416   40 -1.422   39 -1.428
Tabor                    7  4 288 170 -1.906   48 -1.417   48 -1.631   43 -1.462    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.656   59 -1.994   27 -0.930
Dakota Wesleyan          7  4 260 282 -2.216   49 -1.451   49 -1.671   68 -2.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.245   72 -2.447   60 -2.038
Central Methodist        5  6 240 312 -1.713   50 -1.455   50 -1.674   58 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.319   68 -2.194   52 -1.777
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Menlo                    3  8 219 417 -1.090   51 -1.458   51 -1.675   52 -1.807    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.280   57 -1.946   50 -1.668
Edward Waters            4  6 240 368 -1.692   52 -1.538   52 -1.778   63 -2.168    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.049   53 -1.809   73 -2.526
Hastings                 6  4 353 342 -2.260   53 -1.647   53 -1.870   64 -2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.969   43 -1.495   79 -2.857
Bethany KS               6  5 299 267 -2.028   54 -1.658   54 -1.883   50 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.057   51 -1.783   53 -1.786
Evangel                  5  6 280 262 -1.828   55 -1.754   55 -1.958   51 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.929   56 -1.941   47 -1.648
Culver-Stockton          5  6 302 351 -1.986   56 -1.761   56 -1.966   60 -2.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.841   48 -1.710   69 -2.426
Bluefield                3  8 336 558 -1.478   57 -1.766   57 -1.970   61 -2.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.567   29 -1.023   85 -3.283
Jamestown                5  5 276 257 -2.045   58 -1.776   58 -1.985   56 -1.923    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.839   58 -1.993   56 -1.853
Trinity Int'l            3  7 297 331 -1.350   59 -1.831   59 -2.057   46 -1.673    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.697   33 -1.235   62 -2.112
SW Assem of God          4  6 243 270 -1.860   60 -1.937   60 -2.080   54 -1.881    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.551   61 -2.059   51 -1.704
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Olivet Nazarene          2  9 156 298 -1.281   61 -2.026   61 -2.190   55 -1.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.246   71 -2.396   37 -1.375
Concordia NE             5  6 318 302 -2.110   62 -2.054   62 -2.228   57 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.331   52 -1.786   61 -2.064
Presentation             6  4 368 260 -2.683   63 -2.087   63 -2.269   71 -2.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.143   64 -2.111   76 -2.593
Union KY                 1  9 305 506 -0.963   64 -2.102   64 -2.284   49 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.195   27 -0.906   77 -2.596
Concordia MI             3  8 187 321 -1.912   65 -2.125   65 -2.315   70 -2.343    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.778   79 -2.752   58 -1.933
Dakota St                6  5 348 277 -2.521   66 -2.129   66 -2.324   65 -2.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.095   62 -2.060   67 -2.320
Nebraska Wesleyan        4  6 228 336 -2.215   67 -2.141   68 -2.338   74 -2.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.953   70 -2.291   75 -2.581
Lindenwood-Belleville    2  8 194 344 -1.529   68 -2.144   67 -2.337   62 -2.154    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.955   63 -2.072   64 -2.237
Bacone                   3  8 215 304 -1.813   69 -2.155   69 -2.352   67 -2.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.020   75 -2.565   57 -1.920
McPherson                4  7 204 256 -2.117   70 -2.187   70 -2.360   69 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.986   78 -2.714   55 -1.808
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Mary KS               4  7 247 329 -2.181   71 -2.212   72 -2.391   73 -2.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.823   74 -2.450   68 -2.383
Concordia AL             1  9  86 410 -1.214   72 -2.324   71 -2.388   66 -2.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.788   80 -2.974   42 -1.456
Belhaven                 2  9 269 429 -1.455   73 -2.350   73 -2.424   59 -2.017    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.802   54 -1.812   63 -2.223
Wayland Baptist          3  8 225 368 -2.019   74 -2.415   74 -2.507   76 -2.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.579   76 -2.631   72 -2.482
Peru St                  2  9 147 303 -1.949   75 -2.538   75 -2.665   78 -2.637    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.349   83 -3.286   59 -1.989
Avila                    3  8 253 412 -2.345   76 -2.564   77 -2.699   82 -2.927    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.245   77 -2.637   84 -3.217
VA-Lynchburg             0  8  65 478 -1.056   77 -2.564   76 -2.695   84 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.156   85 -3.366   74 -2.561
Arizona Christian        2  7 218 329 -2.208   78 -2.736   78 -2.855   75 -2.551    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.078   66 -2.155   81 -2.947
Kansas Wesleyan          2  9 300 515 -2.319   79 -2.852   79 -3.014   85 -3.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.742   60 -2.051   89 -4.012
Bethel KS                3  8 222 300 -2.526   80 -2.882   80 -3.054   80 -2.752    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.825   81 -3.033   71 -2.471
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Briar Cliff              2  9 197 366 -2.354   81 -2.884   81 -3.055   83 -2.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.722   82 -3.200   78 -2.698
Waldorf                  3  7 319 406 -2.587   82 -2.897   82 -3.072   79 -2.745    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.764   65 -2.126   86 -3.364
Midland U.               2  8 256 333 -2.335   83 -2.946   84 -3.139   77 -2.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.789   69 -2.249   80 -2.886
Point U.                 0  9 125 367 -1.437   84 -2.949   83 -3.136   72 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.721   73 -2.448   66 -2.303
Southwestern KS          1 10 162 339 -2.197   85 -2.974   85 -3.172   81 -2.879    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.589   84 -3.295   70 -2.463
Missouri Baptist         1 10 117 551 -2.495   86 -3.036   86 -3.256   87 -3.525    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  2.224   89 -3.956   83 -3.094
Dordt                    2  9 163 410 -2.795   87 -3.087   87 -3.336   86 -3.444    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  2.216   88 -3.831   82 -3.057
Mayville St              2  9 203 465 -3.107   88 -3.233   88 -3.533   88 -3.749    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.914   87 -3.715   88 -3.783
Texas College            0 11  73 625 -2.102   89 -3.256   89 -3.563   89 -4.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.640   90 -4.630   87 -3.701
Trinity Bible            2  7 244 445 -3.947   90 -3.613   90 -4.109   90 -4.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.118   86 -3.485   91 -4.945
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Haskell                  0  9 112 423 -3.745   91 -4.035   91 -4.724   91 -4.603    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  0.333   91 -4.844   90 -4.363


Central States Football League: strength=-2.049 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 7  4 330 258 -0.856   21 -0.464   21 -0.567   23 -0.749    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.512   26 -0.839   24 -0.660
Oklahoma Baptist         8  3 479 209 -1.984   43 -1.342   44 -1.538   33 -1.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.807   25 -0.828   41 -1.432
SW Assem of God          4  6 243 270 -1.860   60 -1.937   60 -2.080   54 -1.881    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.551   61 -2.059   51 -1.704
Bacone                   3  8 215 304 -1.813   69 -2.155   69 -2.352   67 -2.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.020   75 -2.565   57 -1.920
Wayland Baptist          3  8 225 368 -2.019   74 -2.415   74 -2.507   76 -2.557    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.579   76 -2.631   72 -2.482
Texas College            0 11  73 625 -2.102   89 -3.256   89 -3.563   89 -4.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  1.640   90 -4.630   87 -3.701

Frontier Conference: strength=0.198 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon         13  2 685 424  0.607    1  1.572    1  1.446    2  1.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.643    1  1.995    7  0.277
Carroll MT              10  2 496 209  0.607    2  1.264    2  1.090    1  1.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.174    2  1.246    1  1.581
Eastern Oregon           8  3 401 284  0.217    5  0.760    5  0.596    5  0.451    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.025    6  0.620    6  0.281
Montana-Western          6  5 319 294  0.196    9  0.203    9  0.047    8  0.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.001   12 -0.082    4  0.308
Rocky Mountain           5  6 317 325  0.072   14 -0.211   14 -0.301   13 -0.173    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.164   11 -0.030   14 -0.317
Coll of Idaho            4  7 274 466  0.005   17 -0.299   17 -0.385   24 -0.846    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.696   19 -0.472   33 -1.220
Montana St-Northern      3  8 297 477 -0.249   27 -0.741   27 -0.914   28 -0.994    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.760   17 -0.330   49 -1.658
Montana Tech             1  9 230 358  0.056   44 -1.350   43 -1.537   18 -0.550    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.728   20 -0.488   23 -0.611

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-2.196 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             11  2 721 268 -1.007   16 -0.289   16 -0.385   10 -0.014    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.543    5  0.688   26 -0.716
Northwestern IA          8  3 288 167 -1.716   34 -1.102   34 -1.245   30 -1.073    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.419   50 -1.737   17 -0.409
Doane                    7  3 288 240 -2.010   37 -1.149   37 -1.305   45 -1.602    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.018   47 -1.603   46 -1.601
Dakota Wesleyan          7  4 260 282 -2.216   49 -1.451   49 -1.671   68 -2.243    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.245   72 -2.447   60 -2.038
Hastings                 6  4 353 342 -2.260   53 -1.647   53 -1.870   64 -2.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.969   43 -1.495   79 -2.857
Concordia NE             5  6 318 302 -2.110   62 -2.054   62 -2.228   57 -1.925    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.331   52 -1.786   61 -2.064
Nebraska Wesleyan        4  6 228 336 -2.215   67 -2.141   68 -2.338   74 -2.436    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.953   70 -2.291   75 -2.581
Briar Cliff              2  9 197 366 -2.354   81 -2.884   81 -3.055   83 -2.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.722   82 -3.200   78 -2.698
Midland U.               2  8 256 333 -2.335   83 -2.946   84 -3.139   77 -2.567    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.789   69 -2.249   80 -2.886
Dordt                    2  9 163 410 -2.795   87 -3.087   87 -3.336   86 -3.444    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  2.216   88 -3.831   82 -3.057

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.614 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MidAmerica Nazarene      9  2 364 200 -1.193   19 -0.372   19 -0.477   16 -0.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.908   22 -0.623   15 -0.330
Missouri Valley          9  3 406 224 -1.132   22 -0.507   22 -0.622   17 -0.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.617   21 -0.579   19 -0.478
Baker                    8  3 315 203 -1.430   29 -0.774   29 -0.959   27 -0.963    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.957   34 -1.254   25 -0.672
Benedictine KS           7  4 321 241 -1.563   35 -1.116   35 -1.261   37 -1.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.332   35 -1.258   32 -1.162
Graceland                6  5 301 321 -1.523   39 -1.183   39 -1.345   44 -1.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.980   37 -1.321   54 -1.803
Central Methodist        5  6 240 312 -1.713   50 -1.455   50 -1.674   58 -1.986    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.319   68 -2.194   52 -1.777
Evangel                  5  6 280 262 -1.828   55 -1.754   55 -1.958   51 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.929   56 -1.941   47 -1.648
Culver-Stockton          5  6 302 351 -1.986   56 -1.761   56 -1.966   60 -2.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.841   48 -1.710   69 -2.426
Peru St                  2  9 147 303 -1.949   75 -2.538   75 -2.665   78 -2.637    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.349   83 -3.286   59 -1.989
Avila                    3  8 253 412 -2.345   76 -2.564   77 -2.699   82 -2.927    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.245   77 -2.637   84 -3.217

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.161 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa                   9  3 423 309 -1.645   30 -0.784   30 -0.970   34 -1.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.844   23 -0.731   45 -1.539
Friends                  8  3 348 206 -1.993   42 -1.278   42 -1.456   39 -1.424    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.900   44 -1.533   36 -1.316
Sterling                 7  4 349 302 -2.005   45 -1.358   45 -1.559   53 -1.848    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.607   41 -1.437   65 -2.259
Tabor                    7  4 288 170 -1.906   48 -1.417   48 -1.631   43 -1.462    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.656   59 -1.994   27 -0.930
Bethany KS               6  5 299 267 -2.028   54 -1.658   54 -1.883   50 -1.785    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.057   51 -1.783   53 -1.786
McPherson                4  7 204 256 -2.117   70 -2.187   70 -2.360   69 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.986   78 -2.714   55 -1.808
St Mary KS               4  7 247 329 -2.181   71 -2.212   72 -2.391   73 -2.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.823   74 -2.450   68 -2.383
Kansas Wesleyan          2  9 300 515 -2.319   79 -2.852   79 -3.014   85 -3.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.742   60 -2.051   89 -4.012
Bethel KS                3  8 222 300 -2.526   80 -2.882   80 -3.054   80 -2.752    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.825   81 -3.033   71 -2.471
Southwestern KS          1 10 162 339 -2.197   85 -2.974   85 -3.172   81 -2.879    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.589   84 -3.295   70 -2.463

Mid-South Conference: strength=-0.889 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindsey Wilson          10  3 562 288 -0.352    7  0.334    8  0.129    6  0.307    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  9.410    8  0.457    8  0.158
Faulkner                 9  3 418 279 -0.391    8  0.288    7  0.141   12 -0.042    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.317   10  0.059   11 -0.142
Georgetown KY            8  3 414 213 -0.420   10  0.016   10 -0.103   11 -0.040    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.802   13 -0.141    9  0.060
Campbellsville           7  4 340 215 -0.368   13 -0.183   13 -0.271    9  0.064    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.544   14 -0.155    5  0.282
Reinhardt                6  4 424 361 -0.576   18 -0.347   18 -0.443   19 -0.558    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.855    7  0.541   48 -1.657
Cumberland TN            6  5 337 389 -0.957   24 -0.649   24 -0.812   36 -1.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.981   28 -0.947   40 -1.431
Kentucky Christian       5  6 231 275 -0.683   25 -0.676   25 -0.843   29 -1.057    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.978   46 -1.592   21 -0.521
Bethel TN                5  6 277 379 -1.068   33 -1.004   32 -1.122   38 -1.333    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.291   36 -1.261   38 -1.406
Pikeville                5  6 360 358 -1.213   40 -1.255   40 -1.426   35 -1.156    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.842   24 -0.784   43 -1.528
Cumberlands KY           3  7 251 336 -1.062   47 -1.413   47 -1.623   40 -1.425    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.416   40 -1.422   39 -1.428
Bluefield                3  8 336 558 -1.478   57 -1.766   57 -1.970   61 -2.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.567   29 -1.023   85 -3.283
Union KY                 1  9 305 506 -0.963   64 -2.102   64 -2.284   49 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.195   27 -0.906   77 -2.596
Belhaven                 2  9 269 429 -1.455   73 -2.350   73 -2.424   59 -2.017    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.802   54 -1.812   63 -2.223

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.682 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marian IN               11  3 475 287  0.158    3  0.919    3  0.702    3  0.795    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.431    4  0.882    2  0.708
St Xavier               10  3 495 361  0.056    4  0.772    4  0.609    7  0.296    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.181    3  0.964   16 -0.371
Grand View              10  2 422 211 -0.127    6  0.747    6  0.577    4  0.478    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.227    9  0.379    3  0.577
Robert Morris IL         8  3 252 192 -0.726   11 -0.074   11 -0.175   20 -0.645    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.395   30 -1.102   12 -0.189
William Penn             7  4 334 252 -0.469   12 -0.179   12 -0.266   14 -0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.280   18 -0.375   13 -0.306
Siena Heights            6  4 173 188 -0.596   15 -0.252   15 -0.350   22 -0.748    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.917   42 -1.440   10 -0.055
St Francis IN            6  5 322 257 -0.546   23 -0.518   23 -0.633   15 -0.409    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.474   15 -0.284   22 -0.533
Taylor                   5  6 211 311 -0.917   28 -0.750   28 -0.927   42 -1.437    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.638   49 -1.730   30 -1.143
St Ambrose               5  5 238 256 -1.027   31 -0.921   31 -1.072   32 -1.104    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.487   32 -1.228   28 -0.980
St Francis IL            4  7 253 214 -0.928   46 -1.365   46 -1.563   26 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.766   39 -1.369   20 -0.517
Trinity Int'l            3  7 297 331 -1.350   59 -1.831   59 -2.057   46 -1.673    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.697   33 -1.235   62 -2.112
Olivet Nazarene          2  9 156 298 -1.281   61 -2.026   61 -2.190   55 -1.886    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.246   71 -2.396   37 -1.375
Concordia MI             3  8 187 321 -1.912   65 -2.125   65 -2.315   70 -2.343    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.778   79 -2.752   58 -1.933

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.956 (#10)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Menlo                    3  8 219 417 -1.090   51 -1.458   51 -1.675   52 -1.807    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.280   57 -1.946   50 -1.668
Lindenwood-Belleville    2  8 194 344 -1.529   68 -2.144   67 -2.337   62 -2.154    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.955   63 -2.072   64 -2.237
Arizona Christian        2  7 218 329 -2.208   78 -2.736   78 -2.855   75 -2.551    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.078   66 -2.155   81 -2.947
Missouri Baptist         1 10 117 551 -2.495   86 -3.036   86 -3.256   87 -3.525    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  2.224   89 -3.956   83 -3.094
Haskell                  0  9 112 423 -3.745   91 -4.035   91 -4.724   91 -4.603    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  0.333   91 -4.844   90 -4.363

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.294 (#9)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Valley City St           9  2 401 242 -1.576   20 -0.449   20 -0.551   31 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.492   31 -1.142   29 -1.042
Dickinson St             7  4 311 261 -1.900   41 -1.269   41 -1.445   47 -1.700    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.738   55 -1.865   44 -1.536
Jamestown                5  5 276 257 -2.045   58 -1.776   58 -1.985   56 -1.923    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.839   58 -1.993   56 -1.853
Presentation             6  4 368 260 -2.683   63 -2.087   63 -2.269   71 -2.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.143   64 -2.111   76 -2.593
Dakota St                6  5 348 277 -2.521   66 -2.129   66 -2.324   65 -2.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.095   62 -2.060   67 -2.320
Waldorf                  3  7 319 406 -2.587   82 -2.897   82 -3.072   79 -2.745    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.764   65 -2.126   86 -3.364
Mayville St              2  9 203 465 -3.107   88 -3.233   88 -3.533   88 -3.749    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  1.914   87 -3.715   88 -3.783

Sun Conference: strength=-1.538 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Webber Int'l             7  3 277 169 -1.309   26 -0.691   26 -0.865   25 -0.895    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.033   38 -1.324   18 -0.467
Southeastern U.          7  3 387 215 -1.461   32 -0.962   33 -1.124   21 -0.738    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.616   16 -0.327   31 -1.150
Ave Maria                5  6 244 333 -1.204   36 -1.131   36 -1.278   41 -1.429    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.076   45 -1.544   35 -1.314
Warner U.                5  5 191 268 -1.397   38 -1.172   38 -1.332   48 -1.735    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.912   67 -2.188   34 -1.282
Edward Waters            4  6 240 368 -1.692   52 -1.538   52 -1.778   63 -2.168    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.049   53 -1.809   73 -2.526
Point U.                 0  9 125 367 -1.437   84 -2.949   83 -3.136   72 -2.375    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.721   73 -2.448   66 -2.303

Independent: strength=-3.341 (#11)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia AL             1  9  86 410 -1.214   72 -2.324   71 -2.388   66 -2.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.788   80 -2.974   42 -1.456
VA-Lynchburg             0  8  65 478 -1.056   77 -2.564   76 -2.695   84 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.156   85 -3.366   74 -2.561
Trinity Bible            2  7 244 445 -3.947   90 -3.613   90 -4.109   90 -4.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  1.118   86 -3.485   91 -4.945

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      50  42 0.543    1  0.198
Mid-States Football Association                          80  66 0.548    2 -0.682
Mid-South Conference                                     70  73 0.490    3 -0.889
Sun Conference                                           28  32 0.467    4 -1.538
Heart of America Athletic Conference                     59  52 0.532    5 -1.614
Central States Football League                           25  40 0.385    6 -2.049
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    51  60 0.459    7 -2.161
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         54  54 0.500    8 -2.196
North Star Athletic Association                          38  36 0.514    9 -2.294
NAIA Independents                                         8  42 0.160   10 -2.956
Independent                                               3  24 0.111   11 -3.341

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.134 points in main ratings
     0.023 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sun Oct 12 21:52:58 2025

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