Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA HAAC GAC NESCAC NSIC MAIAA

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             15  0 789 237 -0.143    1  1.577    1  1.283    1  1.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.889    1  1.493    2  0.816
Marian IN               10  1 467 127 -0.161    2  0.926    2  0.589    2  0.807    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.624    3  0.600    1  1.014
St Francis IN           10  3 481 236 -0.166    3  0.599    3  0.278    3  0.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.587    4  0.411    5  0.322
St Xavier                9  4 394 357 -0.417    4  0.582    4  0.256   10 -0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.209   10 -0.194   11 -0.411
Bethel TN               10  1 599 263 -0.721    5  0.582    5  0.251    6  0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.492    2  1.003   23 -0.908
Rocky Mountain           9  3 420 241 -0.279    6  0.389    6  0.079    4  0.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.005    5  0.193    6  0.062
Concordia MI            10  3 430 223 -0.405    7  0.387    7  0.077    5  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.047   14 -0.266    3  0.414
Kansas Wesleyan         13  1 676 274 -1.428    8  0.120    8 -0.150   14 -0.582    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.657   15 -0.322   21 -0.842
Northwestern IA          9  2 387 230 -0.921    9  0.037    9 -0.190   13 -0.462    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.495   12 -0.257   14 -0.667
Reinhardt                9  2 439 182 -0.846   10  0.002   10 -0.240    7 -0.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.585   13 -0.266    7 -0.055
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Siena Heights            7  3 270 141 -0.538   11 -0.039   11 -0.300    8 -0.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.348   25 -0.877    4  0.384
Eastern Oregon           6  4 270 289 -0.530   12 -0.071   12 -0.341   22 -0.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.762   18 -0.672   25 -1.011
Cumberlands KY          10  2 522 224 -1.149   13 -0.102   13 -0.384   11 -0.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.210    9 -0.176   12 -0.448
Southern Oregon          6  4 315 228 -0.402   14 -0.141   15 -0.432    9 -0.290    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.942   11 -0.209    9 -0.371
Coll of Idaho            6  5 340 327 -0.346   15 -0.161   14 -0.409   12 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.847    7 -0.025   17 -0.767
Montana-Western          6  4 288 227 -0.568   16 -0.284   16 -0.488   15 -0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.556   19 -0.678   13 -0.558
Langston                 8  2 401 270 -1.392   17 -0.374   17 -0.554   23 -0.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.513   17 -0.554   31 -1.284
Montana Tech             5  5 265 269 -0.507   18 -0.406   18 -0.591   21 -0.767    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.300   20 -0.727   20 -0.806
Dickinson St             9  3 424 226 -1.119   19 -0.411   19 -0.600   17 -0.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.487   27 -0.968   10 -0.373
Dordt                    7  3 386 295 -1.033   20 -0.440   20 -0.640   18 -0.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.367    8 -0.079   34 -1.384
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Ambrose               6  4 270 296 -1.269   21 -0.656   21 -0.923   31 -1.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.512   35 -1.380   36 -1.424
Midland U.               7  4 349 329 -1.294   22 -0.662   22 -0.933   29 -1.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.576   24 -0.842   39 -1.595
Georgetown KY            7  3 327 204 -1.351   23 -0.737   23 -0.978   24 -0.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.681   29 -1.054   22 -0.888
Southeastern FL          7  3 350 192 -1.314   24 -0.743   24 -0.985   20 -0.761    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.852   21 -0.749   18 -0.773
Olivet Nazarene          6  5 381 264 -0.834   25 -0.746   25 -0.987   16 -0.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.662   16 -0.518   19 -0.805
Lindsey Wilson           7  3 394 181 -1.247   26 -0.779   26 -1.041   19 -0.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.795   22 -0.764   16 -0.730
Indiana Wesleyan         7  3 397 261 -1.812   27 -0.892   27 -1.078   36 -1.555    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.179   30 -1.122   47 -1.987
Doane                    6  4 266 217 -1.199   28 -0.918   28 -1.113   27 -1.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.293   36 -1.398   15 -0.698
Keiser                   6  4 216 220 -1.428   29 -0.946   29 -1.150   33 -1.491    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.133   50 -1.945   27 -1.037
Carroll MT               4  7 199 219 -0.729   30 -1.035   30 -1.189   25 -0.974    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.848   43 -1.738    8 -0.211
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Briar Cliff              6  5 283 268 -1.279   31 -1.122   31 -1.260   28 -1.217    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.832   39 -1.484   24 -0.951
Ottawa KS                8  2 376 288 -2.238   32 -1.135   32 -1.282   44 -1.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.768   33 -1.311   50 -2.146
Ave Maria                6  4 212 235 -1.604   33 -1.199   33 -1.320   38 -1.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.640   44 -1.811   35 -1.405
Pikeville                6  5 383 391 -1.562   34 -1.269   34 -1.414   37 -1.568    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.541   23 -0.795   53 -2.341
OK Panhandle St          6  5 261 303 -1.676   35 -1.353   35 -1.471   42 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.383   54 -2.043   33 -1.339
Hastings                 5  6 229 345 -1.436   36 -1.364   36 -1.485   46 -1.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.292   45 -1.829   42 -1.738
Arizona Christian        7  3 332 339 -2.305   37 -1.383   37 -1.515   59 -2.235    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.918   46 -1.857   63 -2.613
St Francis IL            4  7 313 356 -1.085   38 -1.537   38 -1.606   30 -1.258    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.162   26 -0.924   38 -1.592
Avila                    7  3 384 308 -2.291   39 -1.577   39 -1.666   48 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.879   32 -1.309   61 -2.530
Webber Int'l             6  4 245 167 -1.898   40 -1.595   40 -1.686   40 -1.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.898   58 -2.126   28 -1.134
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Taylor                   3  7 233 341 -1.087   41 -1.604   41 -1.693   39 -1.628    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.791   37 -1.412   44 -1.844
Missouri Baptist         4  7 214 300 -1.363   42 -1.616   42 -1.715   41 -1.666    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.704   56 -2.067   30 -1.266
Robert Morris IL         2  9 220 394 -0.847   43 -1.625   43 -1.723   35 -1.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.723   38 -1.470   41 -1.620
Waldorf                  5  5 366 362 -1.749   44 -1.645   44 -1.754   43 -1.720    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.724   28 -1.023   57 -2.416
Ottawa AZ                5  4 457 291 -1.668   45 -1.645   45 -1.755   26 -0.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.078    6  0.032   48 -2.012
SW Assem of God          5  5 361 328 -1.867   46 -1.820   46 -1.859   47 -1.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.563   31 -1.188   60 -2.496
Jamestown                3  8 216 431 -1.423   47 -1.890   47 -1.906   56 -2.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.289   47 -1.877   55 -2.396
Campbellsville           4  6 220 286 -1.807   48 -1.912   49 -1.937   52 -2.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.344   61 -2.201   45 -1.911
Cumberland TN            5  6 220 320 -2.078   49 -1.962   48 -1.931   60 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.303   69 -2.540   46 -1.958
Valley City St           6  4 313 196 -2.054   50 -1.973   50 -1.950   34 -1.536    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.509   49 -1.933   29 -1.139
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Edward Waters            4  7 183 336 -1.788   51 -2.053   51 -2.004   63 -2.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.170   70 -2.556   51 -2.165
Tabor                    6  4 242 179 -2.269   52 -2.066   52 -2.026   45 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.392   67 -2.478   26 -1.030
Concordia NE             3  7 154 271 -1.569   53 -2.099   53 -2.069   49 -1.920    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.092   68 -2.533   32 -1.307
Wayland Baptist          4  5 256 332 -2.137   54 -2.163   54 -2.151   64 -2.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.885   53 -2.021   66 -2.751
Faulkner                 4  6 311 223 -1.709   55 -2.185   55 -2.180   32 -1.462    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.202   34 -1.339   37 -1.585
Southwestern KS          6  5 410 324 -2.365   56 -2.256   56 -2.283   50 -1.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.894   41 -1.535   54 -2.364
St Andrews               2  7 196 335 -1.597   57 -2.388   57 -2.335   54 -2.099    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.743   48 -1.921   52 -2.276
Presentation             4  6 326 436 -2.409   58 -2.397   58 -2.351   67 -2.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.356   42 -1.622   81 -3.637
Dakota St                3  8 314 416 -1.810   59 -2.429   59 -2.393   55 -2.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.616   40 -1.521   65 -2.725
Bluefield VA             4  7 276 297 -1.979   60 -2.441   60 -2.412   51 -2.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.701   51 -1.971   49 -2.066
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Warner U.                2  8 194 367 -1.757   61 -2.447   61 -2.419   62 -2.293    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.514   59 -2.166   58 -2.420
Lyon                     3  7 270 329 -2.000   62 -2.472   62 -2.454   58 -2.221    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.526   55 -2.046   56 -2.397
Lawrence Tech            2  3 148 183 -2.824   63 -2.497   63 -2.500   72 -2.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.128   73 -2.695   70 -2.995
Point U.                 3  8 182 287 -1.939   64 -2.501   64 -2.506   57 -2.205    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.319   75 -2.805   40 -1.604
Dakota Wesleyan          2  9 224 348 -1.601   65 -2.511   65 -2.519   53 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.450   63 -2.300   43 -1.834
Montana St-Northern      1 10 188 516 -1.381   66 -2.528   66 -2.538   65 -2.392    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.023   57 -2.074   64 -2.710
Sterling                 4  6 307 317 -2.434   67 -2.558   67 -2.595   66 -2.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.224   60 -2.182   67 -2.763
St Mary KS               4  6 266 363 -2.560   68 -2.568   68 -2.609   68 -2.713    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.104   66 -2.445   69 -2.981
Texas Wesleyan           2  8 264 390 -1.905   69 -2.629   69 -2.692   61 -2.293    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.042   52 -2.018   62 -2.568
Trinity Int'l            1  9 179 531 -1.775   70 -2.668   70 -2.753   77 -3.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.674   72 -2.645   79 -3.424
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Union KY                 2  8 203 415 -2.252   71 -2.711   71 -2.824   75 -3.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.735   74 -2.704   77 -3.299
Kentucky Christian       2  9 230 506 -2.080   72 -2.716   72 -2.832   69 -2.727    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.824   62 -2.219   74 -3.234
Bethel KS                3  7 274 377 -2.563   73 -2.766   74 -2.901   71 -2.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.782   65 -2.430   73 -3.223
McPherson                3  7 285 406 -2.582   74 -2.781   73 -2.879   74 -2.948    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.749   64 -2.400   80 -3.495
Friends                  3  8 247 442 -2.594   75 -2.816   75 -2.928   78 -3.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.580   77 -2.879   72 -3.195
Texas College            1  7 190 360 -2.159   76 -2.836   76 -2.955   73 -2.936    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.519   71 -2.594   76 -3.278
Lindenwood-Belleville    0 11 100 518 -1.315   77 -2.902   77 -3.053   70 -2.816    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.283   79 -3.171   59 -2.462
Bethany KS               2  9 244 471 -2.542   78 -2.989   78 -3.201   76 -3.034    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.247   76 -2.806   75 -3.262
Mayville St              1  9 193 418 -2.384   79 -3.081   79 -3.344   79 -3.104    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.892   78 -3.045   71 -3.162
Allen                    0  6  40 201 -2.254   80 -3.138   80 -3.429   80 -3.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.698   80 -4.190   68 -2.899
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cincinnati Christian U.  0 11  90 574 -2.486   81 -3.453   81 -3.823   81 -3.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.142   81 -4.355   78 -3.382
Trinity Bible            0  4  13 250 -4.604   82 -3.848   82 -4.275   82 -5.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.263   82 -5.541   82 -4.688


Frontier Conference: strength=-0.537 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Rocky Mountain           9  3 420 241 -0.279    6  0.389    6  0.079    4  0.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.005    5  0.193    6  0.062
Eastern Oregon           6  4 270 289 -0.530   12 -0.071   12 -0.341   22 -0.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.762   18 -0.672   25 -1.011
Southern Oregon          6  4 315 228 -0.402   14 -0.141   15 -0.432    9 -0.290    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.942   11 -0.209    9 -0.371
Coll of Idaho            6  5 340 327 -0.346   15 -0.161   14 -0.409   12 -0.396    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.847    7 -0.025   17 -0.767
Montana-Western          6  4 288 227 -0.568   16 -0.284   16 -0.488   15 -0.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.556   19 -0.678   13 -0.558
Montana Tech             5  5 265 269 -0.507   18 -0.406   18 -0.591   21 -0.767    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.300   20 -0.727   20 -0.806
Carroll MT               4  7 199 219 -0.729   30 -1.035   30 -1.189   25 -0.974    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.848   43 -1.738    8 -0.211
Montana St-Northern      1 10 188 516 -1.381   66 -2.528   66 -2.538   65 -2.392    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.023   57 -2.074   64 -2.710

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.188 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             15  0 789 237 -0.143    1  1.577    1  1.283    1  1.155    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.889    1  1.493    2  0.816
Northwestern IA          9  2 387 230 -0.921    9  0.037    9 -0.190   13 -0.462    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.495   12 -0.257   14 -0.667
Dordt                    7  3 386 295 -1.033   20 -0.440   20 -0.640   18 -0.731    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.367    8 -0.079   34 -1.384
Midland U.               7  4 349 329 -1.294   22 -0.662   22 -0.933   29 -1.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.576   24 -0.842   39 -1.595
Doane                    6  4 266 217 -1.199   28 -0.918   28 -1.113   27 -1.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.293   36 -1.398   15 -0.698
Briar Cliff              6  5 283 268 -1.279   31 -1.122   31 -1.260   28 -1.217    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.832   39 -1.484   24 -0.951
Hastings                 5  6 229 345 -1.436   36 -1.364   36 -1.485   46 -1.783    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.292   45 -1.829   42 -1.738
Jamestown                3  8 216 431 -1.423   47 -1.890   47 -1.906   56 -2.136    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.289   47 -1.877   55 -2.396
Concordia NE             3  7 154 271 -1.569   53 -2.099   53 -2.069   49 -1.920    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.092   68 -2.533   32 -1.307
Dakota Wesleyan          2  9 224 348 -1.601   65 -2.511   65 -2.519   53 -2.067    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.450   63 -2.300   43 -1.834

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.435 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas Wesleyan         13  1 676 274 -1.428    8  0.120    8 -0.150   14 -0.582    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.657   15 -0.322   21 -0.842
Ottawa KS                8  2 376 288 -2.238   32 -1.135   32 -1.282   44 -1.728    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.768   33 -1.311   50 -2.146
Avila                    7  3 384 308 -2.291   39 -1.577   39 -1.666   48 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.879   32 -1.309   61 -2.530
Tabor                    6  4 242 179 -2.269   52 -2.066   52 -2.026   45 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.392   67 -2.478   26 -1.030
Southwestern KS          6  5 410 324 -2.365   56 -2.256   56 -2.283   50 -1.949    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.894   41 -1.535   54 -2.364
Sterling                 4  6 307 317 -2.434   67 -2.558   67 -2.595   66 -2.473    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.224   60 -2.182   67 -2.763
St Mary KS               4  6 266 363 -2.560   68 -2.568   68 -2.609   68 -2.713    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.104   66 -2.445   69 -2.981
Bethel KS                3  7 274 377 -2.563   73 -2.766   74 -2.901   71 -2.827    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.782   65 -2.430   73 -3.223
McPherson                3  7 285 406 -2.582   74 -2.781   73 -2.879   74 -2.948    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.749   64 -2.400   80 -3.495
Friends                  3  8 247 442 -2.594   75 -2.816   75 -2.928   78 -3.037    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.580   77 -2.879   72 -3.195
Bethany KS               2  9 244 471 -2.542   78 -2.989   78 -3.201   76 -3.034    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.247   76 -2.806   75 -3.262

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.710 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel TN               10  1 599 263 -0.721    5  0.582    5  0.251    6  0.048    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.492    2  1.003   23 -0.908
Reinhardt                9  2 439 182 -0.846   10  0.002   10 -0.240    7 -0.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.585   13 -0.266    7 -0.055
Cumberlands KY          10  2 522 224 -1.149   13 -0.102   13 -0.384   11 -0.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.210    9 -0.176   12 -0.448
Georgetown KY            7  3 327 204 -1.351   23 -0.737   23 -0.978   24 -0.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  7.681   29 -1.054   22 -0.888
Southeastern FL          7  3 350 192 -1.314   24 -0.743   24 -0.985   20 -0.761    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  7.852   21 -0.749   18 -0.773
Lindsey Wilson           7  3 394 181 -1.247   26 -0.779   26 -1.041   19 -0.747    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  7.795   22 -0.764   16 -0.730
Keiser                   6  4 216 220 -1.428   29 -0.946   29 -1.150   33 -1.491    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.133   50 -1.945   27 -1.037
Ave Maria                6  4 212 235 -1.604   33 -1.199   33 -1.320   38 -1.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.640   44 -1.811   35 -1.405
Pikeville                6  5 383 391 -1.562   34 -1.269   34 -1.414   37 -1.568    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.541   23 -0.795   53 -2.341
Webber Int'l             6  4 245 167 -1.898   40 -1.595   40 -1.686   40 -1.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.898   58 -2.126   28 -1.134
Campbellsville           4  6 220 286 -1.807   48 -1.912   49 -1.937   52 -2.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.344   61 -2.201   45 -1.911
Cumberland TN            5  6 220 320 -2.078   49 -1.962   48 -1.931   60 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.303   69 -2.540   46 -1.958
Edward Waters            4  7 183 336 -1.788   51 -2.053   51 -2.004   63 -2.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.170   70 -2.556   51 -2.165
Faulkner                 4  6 311 223 -1.709   55 -2.185   55 -2.180   32 -1.462    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.202   34 -1.339   37 -1.585
St Andrews               2  7 196 335 -1.597   57 -2.388   57 -2.335   54 -2.099    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.743   48 -1.921   52 -2.276
Bluefield VA             4  7 276 297 -1.979   60 -2.441   60 -2.412   51 -2.019    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.701   51 -1.971   49 -2.066
Warner U.                2  8 194 367 -1.757   61 -2.447   61 -2.419   62 -2.293    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.514   59 -2.166   58 -2.420
Point U.                 3  8 182 287 -1.939   64 -2.501   64 -2.506   57 -2.205    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.319   75 -2.805   40 -1.604
Union KY                 2  8 203 415 -2.252   71 -2.711   71 -2.824   75 -3.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.735   74 -2.704   77 -3.299
Kentucky Christian       2  9 230 506 -2.080   72 -2.716   72 -2.832   69 -2.727    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.824   62 -2.219   74 -3.234
Cincinnati Christian U.  0 11  90 574 -2.486   81 -3.453   81 -3.823   81 -3.868    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.142   81 -4.355   78 -3.382

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-0.921 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marian IN               10  1 467 127 -0.161    2  0.926    2  0.589    2  0.807    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.624    3  0.600    1  1.014
St Francis IN           10  3 481 236 -0.166    3  0.599    3  0.278    3  0.366    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.587    4  0.411    5  0.322
St Xavier                9  4 394 357 -0.417    4  0.582    4  0.256   10 -0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.209   10 -0.194   11 -0.411
Concordia MI            10  3 430 223 -0.405    7  0.387    7  0.077    5  0.074    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.047   14 -0.266    3  0.414
Siena Heights            7  3 270 141 -0.538   11 -0.039   11 -0.300    8 -0.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.348   25 -0.877    4  0.384
St Ambrose               6  4 270 296 -1.269   21 -0.656   21 -0.923   31 -1.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.512   35 -1.380   36 -1.424
Olivet Nazarene          6  5 381 264 -0.834   25 -0.746   25 -0.987   16 -0.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.662   16 -0.518   19 -0.805
St Francis IL            4  7 313 356 -1.085   38 -1.537   38 -1.606   30 -1.258    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.162   26 -0.924   38 -1.592
Taylor                   3  7 233 341 -1.087   41 -1.604   41 -1.693   39 -1.628    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.791   37 -1.412   44 -1.844
Missouri Baptist         4  7 214 300 -1.363   42 -1.616   42 -1.715   41 -1.666    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.704   56 -2.067   30 -1.266
Robert Morris IL         2  9 220 394 -0.847   43 -1.625   43 -1.723   35 -1.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.723   38 -1.470   41 -1.620
Trinity Int'l            1  9 179 531 -1.775   70 -2.668   70 -2.753   77 -3.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.674   72 -2.645   79 -3.424
Lindenwood-Belleville    0 11 100 518 -1.315   77 -2.902   77 -3.053   70 -2.816    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.283   79 -3.171   59 -2.462

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.058 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St             9  3 424 226 -1.119   19 -0.411   19 -0.600   17 -0.671    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.487   27 -0.968   10 -0.373
Waldorf                  5  5 366 362 -1.749   44 -1.645   44 -1.754   43 -1.720    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.724   28 -1.023   57 -2.416
Valley City St           6  4 313 196 -2.054   50 -1.973   50 -1.950   34 -1.536    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.509   49 -1.933   29 -1.139
Presentation             4  6 326 436 -2.409   58 -2.397   58 -2.351   67 -2.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.356   42 -1.622   81 -3.637
Dakota St                3  8 314 416 -1.810   59 -2.429   59 -2.393   55 -2.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.616   40 -1.521   65 -2.725
Mayville St              1  9 193 418 -2.384   79 -3.081   79 -3.344   79 -3.104    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.892   78 -3.045   71 -3.162

Sooner Athletic Conference: strength=-2.009 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                 8  2 401 270 -1.392   17 -0.374   17 -0.554   23 -0.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.513   17 -0.554   31 -1.284
OK Panhandle St          6  5 261 303 -1.676   35 -1.353   35 -1.471   42 -1.691    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.383   54 -2.043   33 -1.339
Arizona Christian        7  3 332 339 -2.305   37 -1.383   37 -1.515   59 -2.235    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.918   46 -1.857   63 -2.613
Ottawa AZ                5  4 457 291 -1.668   45 -1.645   45 -1.755   26 -0.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.078    6  0.032   48 -2.012
SW Assem of God          5  5 361 328 -1.867   46 -1.820   46 -1.859   47 -1.842    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.563   31 -1.188   60 -2.496
Wayland Baptist          4  5 256 332 -2.137   54 -2.163   54 -2.151   64 -2.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.885   53 -2.021   66 -2.751
Lyon                     3  7 270 329 -2.000   62 -2.472   62 -2.454   58 -2.221    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.526   55 -2.046   56 -2.397
Texas Wesleyan           2  8 264 390 -1.905   69 -2.629   69 -2.692   61 -2.293    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.042   52 -2.018   62 -2.568
Texas College            1  7 190 360 -2.159   76 -2.836   76 -2.955   73 -2.936    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.519   71 -2.594   76 -3.278

NAIA Independents: strength=-3.573 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Indiana Wesleyan         7  3 397 261 -1.812   27 -0.892   27 -1.078   36 -1.555    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.179   30 -1.122   47 -1.987
Lawrence Tech            2  3 148 183 -2.824   63 -2.497   63 -2.500   72 -2.845    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.128   73 -2.695   70 -2.995
Allen                    0  6  40 201 -2.254   80 -3.138   80 -3.429   80 -3.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.698   80 -4.190   68 -2.899
Trinity Bible            0  4  13 250 -4.604   82 -3.848   82 -4.275   82 -5.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.263   82 -5.541   82 -4.688

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      43  42 0.506    1 -0.537
Mid-States Football Association                          72  73 0.497    2 -0.921
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         63  48 0.568    3 -1.188
Mid-South Conference                                    106 114 0.482    4 -1.710
Sooner Athletic Conference                               41  46 0.471    5 -2.009
North Star Athletic Association                          28  35 0.444    6 -2.058
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    59  58 0.504    7 -2.435
NAIA Independents                                         9  16 0.360    8 -3.573

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.146 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Sun Oct 12 21:54:24 2025

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