Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA HAAC GAC NESCAC NSIC MAIAA

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             14  0 735 182 -0.225    1  1.416    1  1.224    1  1.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 13.179    1  1.221    2  0.883
Coll of Idaho           11  1 446 207  0.118    2  1.277    2  1.064    3  0.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.469    2  0.770    3  0.614
Marian IN               12  1 469 146 -0.115    3  1.107    3  0.919    2  0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 12.406    4  0.440    1  1.293
Lindsey Wilson          12  1 526 239 -0.621    4  0.834    4  0.593    5  0.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 11.668    5  0.377   10  0.025
Keiser                   9  1 350 191 -0.915    5  0.462    5  0.135   16 -0.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.787   12 -0.237   16 -0.526
Montana-Western          7  3 392 215 -0.064    6  0.353    6  0.074    4  0.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.706    3  0.638    7  0.117
Kansas Wesleyan         12  1 626 228 -1.095    7  0.322    7  0.026    7 -0.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.786    6  0.239   13 -0.244
Cumberlands KY          10  2 427 205 -0.897    8  0.306    8  0.005   17 -0.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.591   21 -0.618   12 -0.216
Concordia MI             8  3 309 204 -0.484    9  0.288    9 -0.018    9 -0.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 10.580   16 -0.401    9  0.079
Montana Tech             6  4 250 172  0.028   10  0.233   10 -0.082    6  0.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 10.426   18 -0.429    4  0.569
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN            7  3 317 208 -0.528   11  0.139   11 -0.185   12 -0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 10.259   10 -0.190   15 -0.423
Carroll MT               6  4 331 239 -0.157   12  0.135   12 -0.189    8 -0.013    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 10.199    7  0.149   11 -0.175
Northwestern IA          9  2 377 154 -0.837   13  0.121   14 -0.213   10 -0.197    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 10.293   19 -0.496    8  0.103
St Xavier                9  3 425 356 -0.989   14  0.067   13 -0.198   25 -0.904    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 10.045   14 -0.340   42 -1.467
Siena Heights            7  3 251 123 -0.625   15 -0.078   15 -0.295   13 -0.310    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 10.100   30 -1.127    5  0.508
Southeastern FL          8  1 392 162 -1.284   16 -0.196   16 -0.339   11 -0.260    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 10.123    8  0.019   17 -0.539
Reinhardt                8  3 336 148 -0.831   17 -0.306   17 -0.470   14 -0.321    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  9.740   29 -1.095    6  0.452
Southern Oregon          4  7 257 384 -0.052   18 -0.444   19 -0.570   20 -0.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  9.220   15 -0.346   23 -0.916
Eastern Oregon           4  7 220 340 -0.085   19 -0.448   18 -0.541   19 -0.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  9.183   24 -0.781   14 -0.403
Ottawa AZ                9  2 475 241 -1.295   20 -0.516   20 -0.632   21 -0.677    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  9.328   13 -0.249   28 -1.104
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Indiana Wesleyan         6  4 299 212 -0.810   21 -0.589   21 -0.719   18 -0.569    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  9.093   20 -0.592   18 -0.546
Langston                 8  2 341 185 -1.622   22 -0.667   22 -0.771   26 -1.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.927   33 -1.229   21 -0.856
Rocky Mountain           4  7 243 380 -0.530   23 -0.688   23 -0.791   28 -1.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.694   26 -1.011   31 -1.243
Dordt                    7  4 406 238 -0.891   24 -0.721   24 -0.840   15 -0.349    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.991    9 -0.073   20 -0.624
Dickinson St             8  3 387 231 -1.399   25 -0.730   25 -0.851   27 -1.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.862   27 -1.015   27 -1.103
Midland U.               7  4 397 257 -1.154   26 -0.891   26 -1.080   22 -0.677    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.597   11 -0.200   29 -1.154
Waldorf                  7  3 315 158 -1.512   27 -0.917   27 -1.116   24 -0.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  8.505   32 -1.226   19 -0.567
Bethel KS                8  3 406 306 -1.786   28 -0.960   30 -1.174   35 -1.423    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.789   23 -0.775   56 -2.072
Avila                    7  3 338 286 -1.733   29 -0.986   28 -1.153   33 -1.395    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.723   25 -0.786   53 -2.003
Robert Morris IL         5  5 260 258 -1.121   30 -1.043   29 -1.173   32 -1.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.627   31 -1.198   34 -1.246
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Pikeville                6  5 321 306 -1.214   31 -1.044   31 -1.176   31 -1.193    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.830   28 -1.039   38 -1.347
Sterling                 7  3 307 196 -1.627   32 -1.059   32 -1.199   30 -1.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.844   37 -1.331   25 -1.037
St Ambrose               4  5 220 224 -1.018   33 -1.102   33 -1.258   29 -1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.532   38 -1.374   24 -0.956
Valley City St           7  3 246 205 -2.140   34 -1.107   34 -1.268   54 -1.976    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.278   61 -2.370   43 -1.582
Olivet Nazarene          6  5 421 264 -1.198   35 -1.179   35 -1.308   23 -0.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.668   17 -0.423   30 -1.164
Lyon                     7  3 258 233 -2.087   36 -1.252   36 -1.391   49 -1.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.970   51 -1.981   46 -1.656
Cumberland TN            5  5 179 246 -1.518   37 -1.261   37 -1.400   48 -1.812    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.054   63 -2.380   33 -1.245
Ave Maria                5  5 241 269 -1.425   38 -1.350   38 -1.448   36 -1.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.169   47 -1.754   37 -1.338
Georgetown KY            5  5 252 278 -1.413   39 -1.362   39 -1.464   34 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.143   41 -1.556   35 -1.253
Arizona Christian        6  4 230 290 -2.043   40 -1.404   40 -1.525   59 -2.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.671   58 -2.252   52 -1.994
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Taylor                   3  7 146 278 -1.103   41 -1.430   41 -1.558   44 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.711   59 -2.264   32 -1.244
Briar Cliff              5  6 187 221 -1.442   42 -1.449   42 -1.588   37 -1.638    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.760   62 -2.371   22 -0.906
Bethel TN                5  6 321 386 -1.537   43 -1.456   43 -1.598   42 -1.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.690   34 -1.230   59 -2.250
Doane                    4  7 160 344 -1.421   44 -1.470   44 -1.616   53 -1.946    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.462   67 -2.468   39 -1.425
Tabor                    6  5 247 232 -1.914   45 -1.623   45 -1.754   47 -1.806    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.382   57 -2.181   40 -1.431
Southwestern KS          5  6 249 258 -1.736   46 -1.728   46 -1.863   43 -1.744    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.253   53 -2.043   41 -1.444
St Andrews               5  5 390 345 -1.889   47 -1.760   48 -1.909   45 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.189   22 -0.654   73 -2.934
Point U.                 5  7 242 357 -1.703   48 -1.787   47 -1.900   46 -1.805    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.156   60 -2.327   36 -1.282
McPherson                5  6 275 298 -1.804   49 -1.798   49 -1.919   52 -1.899    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.151   49 -1.826   50 -1.972
Webber Int'l             3  6 168 240 -1.615   50 -1.860   50 -2.002   56 -2.021    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.986   64 -2.416   44 -1.626
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IL            3  8 261 422 -1.437   51 -1.869   51 -2.014   51 -1.859    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.928   44 -1.675   54 -2.043
Thomas More              4  7 310 349 -1.635   52 -1.951   52 -2.043   38 -1.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.004   36 -1.322   51 -1.992
Bethany KS               4  6 200 334 -2.090   53 -1.976   53 -2.078   68 -2.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.745   65 -2.454   65 -2.497
Montana St-Northern      1 10 197 460 -0.775   54 -2.009   54 -2.119   40 -1.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.686   40 -1.539   49 -1.880
St Thomas FL             4  6 254 320 -2.008   55 -2.031   55 -2.154   58 -2.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.728   48 -1.824   62 -2.366
Dakota St                5  5 237 253 -2.334   56 -2.036   56 -2.163   67 -2.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.711   66 -2.458   63 -2.404
Faulkner                 3  6 232 247 -1.648   57 -2.079   57 -2.223   41 -1.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.760   46 -1.741   48 -1.730
Concordia NE             3  7 156 222 -1.673   58 -2.167   58 -2.265   50 -1.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.666   70 -2.602   26 -1.099
Missouri Baptist         2  9 244 345 -1.503   59 -2.197   59 -2.305   57 -2.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.567   50 -1.946   58 -2.230
Warner U.                3  7 281 407 -1.850   60 -2.206   60 -2.320   60 -2.140    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.467   39 -1.517   69 -2.763
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Allen                    2  5 108 218 -1.978   61 -2.218   61 -2.335   72 -2.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.329   73 -2.824   66 -2.498
Friends                  3  7 157 247 -2.016   62 -2.281   62 -2.423   64 -2.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.301   74 -2.932   47 -1.692
Wayland Baptist          4  6 222 340 -2.397   63 -2.291   63 -2.438   71 -2.599    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.033   69 -2.529   68 -2.670
Edward Waters            1 10 197 400 -0.966   64 -2.301   64 -2.447   39 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.492   45 -1.678   45 -1.646
Jamestown                2  9 150 370 -1.732   65 -2.329   65 -2.493   65 -2.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.928   72 -2.686   55 -2.066
Texas Wesleyan           3  7 327 423 -1.951   66 -2.365   66 -2.547   61 -2.163    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.063   35 -1.239   75 -3.088
Dakota Wesleyan          3  8 238 393 -1.957   67 -2.367   67 -2.549   62 -2.192    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.989   52 -2.034   60 -2.350
Kentucky Christian       3  8 366 523 -2.130   68 -2.374   68 -2.558   73 -2.706    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.872   42 -1.573   81 -3.838
Hastings                 2  8 175 430 -1.967   69 -2.390   69 -2.580   74 -2.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.649   68 -2.507   77 -3.164
Bluefield VA             3  8 301 433 -2.105   70 -2.444   70 -2.597   70 -2.484    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.803   55 -2.115   70 -2.853
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OK Panhandle St          3  7 195 331 -2.253   71 -2.507   71 -2.690   66 -2.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.670   71 -2.652   57 -2.179
Ottawa KS                2  8 277 302 -1.858   72 -2.557   72 -2.760   55 -1.987    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.752   43 -1.622   61 -2.352
Lawrence Tech            1  9 188 448 -1.630   73 -2.687   73 -2.821   69 -2.477    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.446   54 -2.056   72 -2.898
Campbellsville           1  9 211 353 -1.610   74 -2.820   74 -2.952   63 -2.296    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.362   56 -2.140   64 -2.453
Trinity Int'l            1 10 132 583 -2.116   75 -2.841   75 -2.989   78 -3.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.918   78 -3.421   78 -3.307
Cincinnati Christian U.  2  6 116 227 -2.793   76 -2.955   76 -3.139   76 -3.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.855   80 -3.829   67 -2.595
Texas College            1  9 153 408 -2.373   77 -3.230   77 -3.320   77 -3.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.648   77 -3.390   76 -3.163
Trinity Bible            2  1  40  93 -6.273   78 -3.261   78 -3.392   83 -4.893    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.202   83 -5.167   83 -4.620
Mayville St              3  8 285 462 -3.415   79 -3.483   79 -3.747   81 -3.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.232   76 -3.183   82 -4.079
St Mary KS               0 11 101 445 -2.363   80 -3.527   80 -3.805   80 -3.614    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.969   82 -4.205   74 -3.023
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Assem of God          0 10 191 321 -2.413   81 -3.630   81 -3.965   75 -2.935    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.991   75 -3.001   71 -2.869
Union KY                 0 11 145 558 -2.585   82 -3.655   82 -4.007   82 -3.855    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.701   81 -3.900   80 -3.811
Presentation             1  9 181 359 -3.127   83 -3.656   83 -4.015   79 -3.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.793   79 -3.514   79 -3.475


Frontier Conference: strength=-0.159 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Coll of Idaho           11  1 446 207  0.118    2  1.277    2  1.064    3  0.692    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 12.469    2  0.770    3  0.614
Montana-Western          7  3 392 215 -0.064    6  0.353    6  0.074    4  0.378    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.706    3  0.638    7  0.117
Montana Tech             6  4 250 172  0.028   10  0.233   10 -0.082    6  0.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 10.426   18 -0.429    4  0.569
Carroll MT               6  4 331 239 -0.157   12  0.135   12 -0.189    8 -0.013    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 10.199    7  0.149   11 -0.175
Southern Oregon          4  7 257 384 -0.052   18 -0.444   19 -0.570   20 -0.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  9.220   15 -0.346   23 -0.916
Eastern Oregon           4  7 220 340 -0.085   19 -0.448   18 -0.541   19 -0.592    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  9.183   24 -0.781   14 -0.403
Rocky Mountain           4  7 243 380 -0.530   23 -0.688   23 -0.791   28 -1.127    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.694   26 -1.011   31 -1.243
Montana St-Northern      1 10 197 460 -0.775   54 -2.009   54 -2.119   40 -1.709    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.686   40 -1.539   49 -1.880

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.399 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             14  0 735 182 -0.225    1  1.416    1  1.224    1  1.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 13.179    1  1.221    2  0.883
Northwestern IA          9  2 377 154 -0.837   13  0.121   14 -0.213   10 -0.197    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 10.293   19 -0.496    8  0.103
Dordt                    7  4 406 238 -0.891   24 -0.721   24 -0.840   15 -0.349    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.991    9 -0.073   20 -0.624
Midland U.               7  4 397 257 -1.154   26 -0.891   26 -1.080   22 -0.677    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.597   11 -0.200   29 -1.154
Briar Cliff              5  6 187 221 -1.442   42 -1.449   42 -1.588   37 -1.638    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.760   62 -2.371   22 -0.906
Doane                    4  7 160 344 -1.421   44 -1.470   44 -1.616   53 -1.946    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.462   67 -2.468   39 -1.425
Concordia NE             3  7 156 222 -1.673   58 -2.167   58 -2.265   50 -1.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.666   70 -2.602   26 -1.099
Jamestown                2  9 150 370 -1.732   65 -2.329   65 -2.493   65 -2.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.928   72 -2.686   55 -2.066
Dakota Wesleyan          3  8 238 393 -1.957   67 -2.367   67 -2.549   62 -2.192    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.989   52 -2.034   60 -2.350
Hastings                 2  8 175 430 -1.967   69 -2.390   69 -2.580   74 -2.835    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.649   68 -2.507   77 -3.164

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-1.835 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas Wesleyan         12  1 626 228 -1.095    7  0.322    7  0.026    7 -0.003    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.786    6  0.239   13 -0.244
Bethel KS                8  3 406 306 -1.786   28 -0.960   30 -1.174   35 -1.423    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.789   23 -0.775   56 -2.072
Avila                    7  3 338 286 -1.733   29 -0.986   28 -1.153   33 -1.395    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.723   25 -0.786   53 -2.003
Sterling                 7  3 307 196 -1.627   32 -1.059   32 -1.199   30 -1.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.844   37 -1.331   25 -1.037
Tabor                    6  5 247 232 -1.914   45 -1.623   45 -1.754   47 -1.806    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.382   57 -2.181   40 -1.431
Southwestern KS          5  6 249 258 -1.736   46 -1.728   46 -1.863   43 -1.744    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.253   53 -2.043   41 -1.444
McPherson                5  6 275 298 -1.804   49 -1.798   49 -1.919   52 -1.899    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.151   49 -1.826   50 -1.972
Bethany KS               4  6 200 334 -2.090   53 -1.976   53 -2.078   68 -2.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.745   65 -2.454   65 -2.497
Friends                  3  7 157 247 -2.016   62 -2.281   62 -2.423   64 -2.312    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.301   74 -2.932   47 -1.692
Ottawa KS                2  8 277 302 -1.858   72 -2.557   72 -2.760   55 -1.987    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.752   43 -1.622   61 -2.352
St Mary KS               0 11 101 445 -2.363   80 -3.527   80 -3.805   80 -3.614    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.969   82 -4.205   74 -3.023

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.695 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindsey Wilson          12  1 526 239 -0.621    4  0.834    4  0.593    5  0.201    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 11.668    5  0.377   10  0.025
Keiser                   9  1 350 191 -0.915    5  0.462    5  0.135   16 -0.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.787   12 -0.237   16 -0.526
Cumberlands KY          10  2 427 205 -0.897    8  0.306    8  0.005   17 -0.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 10.591   21 -0.618   12 -0.216
Southeastern FL          8  1 392 162 -1.284   16 -0.196   16 -0.339   11 -0.260    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 10.123    8  0.019   17 -0.539
Reinhardt                8  3 336 148 -0.831   17 -0.306   17 -0.470   14 -0.321    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  9.740   29 -1.095    6  0.452
Pikeville                6  5 321 306 -1.214   31 -1.044   31 -1.176   31 -1.193    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.830   28 -1.039   38 -1.347
Cumberland TN            5  5 179 246 -1.518   37 -1.261   37 -1.400   48 -1.812    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.054   63 -2.380   33 -1.245
Ave Maria                5  5 241 269 -1.425   38 -1.350   38 -1.448   36 -1.546    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.169   47 -1.754   37 -1.338
Georgetown KY            5  5 252 278 -1.413   39 -1.362   39 -1.464   34 -1.405    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.143   41 -1.556   35 -1.253
Bethel TN                5  6 321 386 -1.537   43 -1.456   43 -1.598   42 -1.740    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.690   34 -1.230   59 -2.250
St Andrews               5  5 390 345 -1.889   47 -1.760   48 -1.909   45 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.189   22 -0.654   73 -2.934
Point U.                 5  7 242 357 -1.703   48 -1.787   47 -1.900   46 -1.805    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.156   60 -2.327   36 -1.282
Webber Int'l             3  6 168 240 -1.615   50 -1.860   50 -2.002   56 -2.021    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.986   64 -2.416   44 -1.626
Thomas More              4  7 310 349 -1.635   52 -1.951   52 -2.043   38 -1.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.004   36 -1.322   51 -1.992
St Thomas FL             4  6 254 320 -2.008   55 -2.031   55 -2.154   58 -2.095    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.728   48 -1.824   62 -2.366
Faulkner                 3  6 232 247 -1.648   57 -2.079   57 -2.223   41 -1.736    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.760   46 -1.741   48 -1.730
Warner U.                3  7 281 407 -1.850   60 -2.206   60 -2.320   60 -2.140    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.467   39 -1.517   69 -2.763
Kentucky Christian       3  8 366 523 -2.130   68 -2.374   68 -2.558   73 -2.706    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.872   42 -1.573   81 -3.838
Bluefield VA             3  8 301 433 -2.105   70 -2.444   70 -2.597   70 -2.484    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.803   55 -2.115   70 -2.853
Campbellsville           1  9 211 353 -1.610   74 -2.820   74 -2.952   63 -2.296    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.362   56 -2.140   64 -2.453
Cincinnati Christian U.  2  6 116 227 -2.793   76 -2.955   76 -3.139   76 -3.212    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  3.855   80 -3.829   67 -2.595
Union KY                 0 11 145 558 -2.585   82 -3.655   82 -4.007   82 -3.855    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.701   81 -3.900   80 -3.811

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.060 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Marian IN               12  1 469 146 -0.115    3  1.107    3  0.919    2  0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 12.406    4  0.440    1  1.293
Concordia MI             8  3 309 204 -0.484    9  0.288    9 -0.018    9 -0.161    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 10.580   16 -0.401    9  0.079
St Francis IN            7  3 317 208 -0.528   11  0.139   11 -0.185   12 -0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 10.259   10 -0.190   15 -0.423
St Xavier                9  3 425 356 -0.989   14  0.067   13 -0.198   25 -0.904    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 10.045   14 -0.340   42 -1.467
Siena Heights            7  3 251 123 -0.625   15 -0.078   15 -0.295   13 -0.310    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 10.100   30 -1.127    5  0.508
Indiana Wesleyan         6  4 299 212 -0.810   21 -0.589   21 -0.719   18 -0.569    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  9.093   20 -0.592   18 -0.546
Robert Morris IL         5  5 260 258 -1.121   30 -1.043   29 -1.173   32 -1.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.627   31 -1.198   34 -1.246
St Ambrose               4  5 220 224 -1.018   33 -1.102   33 -1.258   29 -1.165    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.532   38 -1.374   24 -0.956
Olivet Nazarene          6  5 421 264 -1.198   35 -1.179   35 -1.308   23 -0.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.668   17 -0.423   30 -1.164
Taylor                   3  7 146 278 -1.103   41 -1.430   41 -1.558   44 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.711   59 -2.264   32 -1.244
St Francis IL            3  8 261 422 -1.437   51 -1.869   51 -2.014   51 -1.859    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.928   44 -1.675   54 -2.043
Missouri Baptist         2  9 244 345 -1.503   59 -2.197   59 -2.305   57 -2.088    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.567   50 -1.946   58 -2.230
Lawrence Tech            1  9 188 448 -1.630   73 -2.687   73 -2.821   69 -2.477    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.446   54 -2.056   72 -2.898
Trinity Int'l            1 10 132 583 -2.116   75 -2.841   75 -2.989   78 -3.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  3.918   78 -3.421   78 -3.307

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.298 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St             8  3 387 231 -1.399   25 -0.730   25 -0.851   27 -1.059    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.862   27 -1.015   27 -1.103
Waldorf                  7  3 315 158 -1.512   27 -0.917   27 -1.116   24 -0.896    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  8.505   32 -1.226   19 -0.567
Valley City St           7  3 246 205 -2.140   34 -1.107   34 -1.268   54 -1.976    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.278   61 -2.370   43 -1.582
Dakota St                5  5 237 253 -2.334   56 -2.036   56 -2.163   67 -2.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.711   66 -2.458   63 -2.404
Mayville St              3  8 285 462 -3.415   79 -3.483   79 -3.747   81 -3.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.232   76 -3.183   82 -4.079
Presentation             1  9 181 359 -3.127   83 -3.656   83 -4.015   79 -3.495    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.793   79 -3.514   79 -3.475

Sooner Athletic Conference: strength=-2.234 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa AZ                9  2 475 241 -1.295   20 -0.516   20 -0.632   21 -0.677    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  9.328   13 -0.249   28 -1.104
Langston                 8  2 341 185 -1.622   22 -0.667   22 -0.771   26 -1.043    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.927   33 -1.229   21 -0.856
Lyon                     7  3 258 233 -2.087   36 -1.252   36 -1.391   49 -1.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.970   51 -1.981   46 -1.656
Arizona Christian        6  4 230 290 -2.043   40 -1.404   40 -1.525   59 -2.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.671   58 -2.252   52 -1.994
Wayland Baptist          4  6 222 340 -2.397   63 -2.291   63 -2.438   71 -2.599    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  5.033   69 -2.529   68 -2.670
Texas Wesleyan           3  7 327 423 -1.951   66 -2.365   66 -2.547   61 -2.163    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  5.063   35 -1.239   75 -3.088
OK Panhandle St          3  7 195 331 -2.253   71 -2.507   71 -2.690   66 -2.415    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.670   71 -2.652   57 -2.179
Texas College            1  9 153 408 -2.373   77 -3.230   77 -3.320   77 -3.277    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  3.648   77 -3.390   76 -3.163
SW Assem of God          0 10 191 321 -2.413   81 -3.630   81 -3.965   75 -2.935    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.991   75 -3.001   71 -2.869

NAIA Independents: strength=-3.109 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Allen                    2  5 108 218 -1.978   61 -2.218   61 -2.335   72 -2.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.329   73 -2.824   66 -2.498
Edward Waters            1 10 197 400 -0.966   64 -2.301   64 -2.447   39 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.492   45 -1.678   45 -1.646
Trinity Bible            2  1  40  93 -6.273   78 -3.261   78 -3.392   83 -4.893    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.202   83 -5.167   83 -4.620

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      43  43 0.500    1 -0.159
Mid-States Football Association                          74  75 0.497    2 -1.060
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         56  55 0.505    3 -1.399
Mid-South Conference                                    109 120 0.476    4 -1.695
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    59  59 0.500    5 -1.835
Sooner Athletic Conference                               41  50 0.451    6 -2.234
North Star Athletic Association                          31  31 0.500    7 -2.298
NAIA Independents                                         5  16 0.238    8 -3.109

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.154 points in main ratings
     0.026 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Wed Jan 26 23:41:47 2022

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