Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA HAAC GAC NESCAC NSIC MAIAA

Full Ranking

                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             14  0 778 253 -0.397    1  1.263    1  0.976    2  0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.187    1  1.213    7 -0.064
Lindsey Wilson          12  1 586 142 -0.116    2  1.005    2  0.678    1  1.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.823    2  0.882    1  1.462
Northwestern IA         12  2 627 227 -0.620    3  0.311    3  0.099    3  0.173    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.654    4  0.328    6  0.017
Indiana Wesleyan         7  1 288 104 -0.565    4  0.268    4  0.040    4  0.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.606    7 -0.104    2  0.330
Georgetown KY            8  2 335 161 -0.604    5  0.143    6 -0.134    7 -0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.185   11 -0.418    4  0.254
Concordia MI             9  2 333 173 -0.970    6  0.143    5 -0.133   10 -0.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.133   23 -0.776    9 -0.272
Marian IN                9  3 428 174 -0.567    7  0.032    7 -0.220    5 -0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.181   13 -0.429    3  0.291
Keiser                   9  3 333 218 -0.813    8 -0.092    8 -0.287    9 -0.477    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.798   22 -0.754    8 -0.200
Bethel TN                7  4 357 312 -0.590    9 -0.189    9 -0.358   12 -0.614    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.611    9 -0.160   29 -1.068
Bethel KS                9  2 461 223 -1.086   10 -0.220   10 -0.403   13 -0.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.743   12 -0.424   21 -0.848
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas Wesleyan         10  2 514 230 -1.227   11 -0.270   11 -0.446   16 -0.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.673   18 -0.642   18 -0.800
Southwestern KS          9  2 411 216 -1.235   12 -0.288   12 -0.472   15 -0.698    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.539   14 -0.499   24 -0.898
Reinhardt                9  3 471 189 -0.739   13 -0.405   13 -0.567    6 -0.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.564   10 -0.378    5  0.239
Montana-Western          8  4 463 350 -0.823   14 -0.481   14 -0.598   11 -0.538    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.119    3  0.380   36 -1.456
Rocky Mountain           7  3 327 277 -1.139   15 -0.568   15 -0.707   26 -1.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.678   16 -0.530   44 -1.650
Coll of Idaho            7  3 266 189 -1.059   16 -0.578   17 -0.720   22 -0.882    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.652   29 -1.042   15 -0.723
Faulkner                 7  2 320 190 -1.284   17 -0.603   18 -0.757   20 -0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.716   19 -0.676   28 -1.031
Southeastern FL          7  3 206 207 -1.254   18 -0.640   16 -0.718   29 -1.191    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.523   45 -1.739   12 -0.643
Ottawa AZ                8  2 504 300 -1.505   19 -0.791   19 -0.801   23 -1.008    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.722    5 -0.069   51 -1.947
Cumberlands KY           6  4 343 230 -0.806   20 -0.799   20 -0.808   18 -0.803    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.611   15 -0.499   30 -1.108
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Thomas FL             8  2 384 170 -1.495   21 -0.865   21 -0.882   17 -0.723    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.554   17 -0.629   20 -0.816
Thomas More              5  5 236 221 -0.748   22 -0.882   22 -0.900   19 -0.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.273   34 -1.173   10 -0.464
St Xavier                7  3 326 216 -1.317   23 -0.920   23 -0.921   25 -1.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.345   28 -1.021   31 -1.118
Dickinson St             8  3 433 195 -1.282   24 -0.943   24 -0.955   14 -0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.386   21 -0.714   11 -0.592
Arizona Christian        8  2 437 288 -1.877   25 -0.989   25 -1.011   39 -1.428    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.940   20 -0.701   56 -2.155
Concordia NE             7  3 236 193 -1.642   26 -0.990   26 -1.011   38 -1.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.922   49 -1.960   22 -0.851
Carroll MT               6  4 264 197 -1.056   27 -0.997   27 -1.018   21 -0.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.089   26 -0.970   16 -0.770
Texas Wesleyan           7  3 423 308 -1.594   28 -1.051   28 -1.075   35 -1.351    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.968   24 -0.782   50 -1.919
Dordt                    7  3 438 186 -1.061   29 -1.070   29 -1.103    8 -0.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.234    8 -0.111   13 -0.653
Avila                    7  3 358 250 -1.595   30 -1.076   30 -1.112   31 -1.271    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.853   25 -0.911   43 -1.631
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lawrence Tech            5  3 166 194 -1.730   31 -1.122   31 -1.169   49 -1.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.486   55 -2.127   37 -1.481
St Francis IL            6  3 233 157 -1.555   32 -1.186   33 -1.222   28 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.708   39 -1.485   19 -0.807
Olivet Nazarene          7  3 317 230 -1.649   33 -1.204   32 -1.204   34 -1.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.650   32 -1.148   38 -1.539
Valley City St           8  2 265 129 -2.025   34 -1.237   34 -1.224   33 -1.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.545   51 -1.972   14 -0.690
Pikeville                4  5 231 235 -0.885   35 -1.246   36 -1.232   24 -1.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.523   33 -1.168   25 -0.902
Bluefield VA             6  5 428 455 -1.388   36 -1.304   35 -1.230   41 -1.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.338    6 -0.073   68 -2.822
Montana Tech             5  5 256 238 -1.172   37 -1.355   37 -1.302   27 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.285   35 -1.218   26 -0.966
SW Assem of God          9  3 489 266 -1.934   38 -1.361   38 -1.312   30 -1.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.403   27 -1.015   35 -1.435
Edward Waters            4  7 257 344 -1.115   39 -1.530   39 -1.448   42 -1.466    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.085   36 -1.263   45 -1.670
McPherson                6  4 305 241 -1.730   40 -1.535   40 -1.459   44 -1.571    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.044   41 -1.542   41 -1.600
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Eastern Oregon           4  6 162 228 -1.276   41 -1.542   41 -1.466   48 -1.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.875   59 -2.205   33 -1.244
Langston                 7  3 390 203 -1.921   42 -1.562   42 -1.490   37 -1.392    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.094   37 -1.429   34 -1.355
Siena Heights            4  5 218 169 -1.194   43 -1.567   43 -1.492   32 -1.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.077   46 -1.773   17 -0.790
Ave Maria                5  6 283 309 -1.320   44 -1.580   44 -1.513   36 -1.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.952   31 -1.133   40 -1.590
Cumberland TN            3  7 152 257 -0.965   45 -1.584   45 -1.517   40 -1.444    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.867   52 -1.999   23 -0.889
Midland U.               6  5 309 275 -1.703   46 -1.609   46 -1.560   46 -1.648    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.929   42 -1.549   46 -1.746
Waldorf                  7  3 279 228 -2.241   47 -1.617   47 -1.573   55 -2.015    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.798   54 -2.007   53 -2.023
Dakota St                6  4 222 203 -2.053   48 -1.706   48 -1.673   54 -1.975    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.594   64 -2.330   42 -1.619
Sterling                 6  6 360 319 -1.670   49 -1.734   49 -1.713   47 -1.682    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.728   40 -1.536   48 -1.828
Doane                    5  5 204 201 -1.749   50 -1.879   50 -1.809   45 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.497   61 -2.261   27 -0.986
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon          3  7 194 237 -1.227   51 -1.890   51 -1.820   43 -1.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.432   47 -1.823   32 -1.193
Ottawa KS                5  6 292 282 -1.884   52 -2.008   52 -1.985   51 -1.914    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.157   50 -1.972   49 -1.857
Roosevelt                4  4 196 158 -2.043   53 -2.055   53 -2.054   50 -1.884    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.034   58 -2.199   39 -1.569
Webber Int'l             2  8 196 349 -1.323   54 -2.066   54 -2.064   52 -1.945    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.510   48 -1.841   54 -2.050
Kentucky Christian       3  7 196 337 -1.752   55 -2.133   55 -2.160   59 -2.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.349   63 -2.305   55 -2.074
St Francis IN            3  6 238 277 -1.719   56 -2.134   56 -2.161   53 -1.950    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.491   44 -1.710   57 -2.190
Warner U.                3  8 225 463 -1.775   57 -2.154   57 -2.187   69 -2.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.241   62 -2.281   73 -3.007
Campbellsville           1  8 181 457 -1.308   58 -2.224   58 -2.283   60 -2.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.137   38 -1.435   72 -2.994
Point U.                 2  9 157 432 -1.523   59 -2.229   59 -2.291   64 -2.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.144   72 -2.791   52 -2.008
Dakota Wesleyan          4  7 143 291 -2.184   60 -2.260   60 -2.336   67 -2.544    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.127   81 -3.262   47 -1.827
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Ambrose               4  7 277 305 -2.060   61 -2.264   61 -2.340   58 -2.154    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.236   53 -2.003   61 -2.306
Louisiana College        4  7 350 394 -2.105   62 -2.371   62 -2.487   57 -2.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.045   43 -1.652   65 -2.610
Florida Memorial         2  9 198 347 -1.659   63 -2.393   63 -2.512   62 -2.297    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.883   67 -2.384   59 -2.211
St Mary KS               3  7 216 320 -2.111   64 -2.395   64 -2.518   63 -2.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.945   68 -2.409   60 -2.242
St Andrews               1  9 284 515 -1.325   65 -2.416   65 -2.545   56 -2.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.903   30 -1.090   76 -3.090
Montana St-Northern      1 10 129 387 -1.547   66 -2.442   66 -2.584   70 -2.648    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.563   78 -3.105   58 -2.192
Briar Cliff              3  8 168 476 -2.400   67 -2.460   67 -2.612   80 -3.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.453   77 -3.085   79 -3.142
Taylor                   2  8 221 401 -1.942   68 -2.475   68 -2.630   65 -2.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.753   56 -2.168   69 -2.841
Judson                   4  7 271 378 -2.502   69 -2.477   69 -2.638   72 -2.698    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.598   65 -2.350   74 -3.046
Trinity Int'l            3  6 196 334 -2.560   70 -2.510   71 -2.693   77 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.390   71 -2.709   80 -3.219
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OK Panhandle St          4  7 320 321 -2.336   71 -2.510   70 -2.692   61 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.699   57 -2.186   62 -2.336
Missouri Baptist         4  7 231 294 -2.545   72 -2.622   72 -2.779   68 -2.628    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.431   73 -2.851   64 -2.405
Tabor                    3  8 252 412 -2.450   73 -2.665   73 -2.842   73 -2.706    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.271   66 -2.366   75 -3.047
Hastings                 2  8 150 367 -2.316   74 -2.699   74 -2.891   75 -2.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.182   75 -2.994   66 -2.706
Mayville St              2  9 250 425 -2.210   75 -2.760   75 -2.973   71 -2.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.105   60 -2.206   78 -3.141
Wayland Baptist          2  8 188 403 -2.432   76 -2.764   76 -2.979   76 -2.937    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.929   74 -2.980   70 -2.893
Jamestown                2  9 216 441 -2.208   77 -2.766   77 -2.983   74 -2.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.113   69 -2.435   77 -3.095
Union KY                 1  7 158 268 -2.128   78 -2.788   78 -3.012   66 -2.511    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.067   70 -2.651   63 -2.372
Lyon                     2  8 160 409 -2.766   79 -2.833   79 -3.082   82 -3.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.720   83 -3.502   82 -3.266
Friends                  1  9 135 389 -2.486   80 -3.001   80 -3.328   79 -3.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  3.510   82 -3.416   67 -2.809
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Iowa Wesleyan            2  9 230 442 -2.924   81 -3.104   81 -3.483   83 -3.425    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.284   80 -3.238   83 -3.611
Madonna                  0  8  60 449 -2.723   82 -3.268   82 -3.677   85 -4.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.705   85 -4.407   86 -4.048
Presentation             0 11 164 482 -2.256   83 -3.287   83 -3.707   81 -3.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.958   76 -3.067   81 -3.257
Bethany KS               0 10 100 496 -2.683   84 -3.329   84 -3.775   84 -3.957    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.716   84 -4.180   84 -3.734
Mount Marty              0 10 131 391 -2.461   85 -3.359   85 -3.841   78 -3.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.858   79 -3.213   71 -2.899
Texas College            0 11 108 648 -2.900   86 -3.440   86 -3.963   86 -4.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  2.379   86 -4.473   85 -4.046


Frontier Conference: strength=-1.161 (#1)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Montana-Western          8  4 463 350 -0.823   14 -0.481   14 -0.598   11 -0.538    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  9.119    3  0.380   36 -1.456
Rocky Mountain           7  3 327 277 -1.139   15 -0.568   15 -0.707   26 -1.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.678   16 -0.530   44 -1.650
Coll of Idaho            7  3 266 189 -1.059   16 -0.578   17 -0.720   22 -0.882    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.652   29 -1.042   15 -0.723
Carroll MT               6  4 264 197 -1.056   27 -0.997   27 -1.018   21 -0.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  8.089   26 -0.970   16 -0.770
Montana Tech             5  5 256 238 -1.172   37 -1.355   37 -1.302   27 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  7.285   35 -1.218   26 -0.966
Eastern Oregon           4  6 162 228 -1.276   41 -1.542   41 -1.466   48 -1.725    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.875   59 -2.205   33 -1.244
Southern Oregon          3  7 194 237 -1.227   51 -1.890   51 -1.820   43 -1.508    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  6.432   47 -1.823   32 -1.193
Montana St-Northern      1 10 129 387 -1.547   66 -2.442   66 -2.584   70 -2.648    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.563   78 -3.105   58 -2.192

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.888 (#5)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Morningside             14  0 778 253 -0.397    1  1.263    1  0.976    2  0.574    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 12.187    1  1.213    7 -0.064
Northwestern IA         12  2 627 227 -0.620    3  0.311    3  0.099    3  0.173    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.654    4  0.328    6  0.017
Concordia NE             7  3 236 193 -1.642   26 -0.990   26 -1.011   38 -1.406    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.922   49 -1.960   22 -0.851
Dordt                    7  3 438 186 -1.061   29 -1.070   29 -1.103    8 -0.382    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  8.234    8 -0.111   13 -0.653
Midland U.               6  5 309 275 -1.703   46 -1.609   46 -1.560   46 -1.648    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.929   42 -1.549   46 -1.746
Doane                    5  5 204 201 -1.749   50 -1.879   50 -1.809   45 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  6.497   61 -2.261   27 -0.986
Dakota Wesleyan          4  7 143 291 -2.184   60 -2.260   60 -2.336   67 -2.544    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.127   81 -3.262   47 -1.827
Briar Cliff              3  8 168 476 -2.400   67 -2.460   67 -2.612   80 -3.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.453   77 -3.085   79 -3.142
Hastings                 2  8 150 367 -2.316   74 -2.699   74 -2.891   75 -2.850    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.182   75 -2.994   66 -2.706
Jamestown                2  9 216 441 -2.208   77 -2.766   77 -2.983   74 -2.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.113   69 -2.435   77 -3.095
Mount Marty              0 10 131 391 -2.461   85 -3.359   85 -3.841   78 -3.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  2.858   79 -3.213   71 -2.899

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-1.806 (#4)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel KS                9  2 461 223 -1.086   10 -0.220   10 -0.403   13 -0.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.743   12 -0.424   21 -0.848
Kansas Wesleyan         10  2 514 230 -1.227   11 -0.270   11 -0.446   16 -0.721    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.673   18 -0.642   18 -0.800
Southwestern KS          9  2 411 216 -1.235   12 -0.288   12 -0.472   15 -0.698    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  9.539   14 -0.499   24 -0.898
Avila                    7  3 358 250 -1.595   30 -1.076   30 -1.112   31 -1.271    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.853   25 -0.911   43 -1.631
McPherson                6  4 305 241 -1.730   40 -1.535   40 -1.459   44 -1.571    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  7.044   41 -1.542   41 -1.600
Sterling                 6  6 360 319 -1.670   49 -1.734   49 -1.713   47 -1.682    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.728   40 -1.536   48 -1.828
Ottawa KS                5  6 292 282 -1.884   52 -2.008   52 -1.985   51 -1.914    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  6.157   50 -1.972   49 -1.857
St Mary KS               3  7 216 320 -2.111   64 -2.395   64 -2.518   63 -2.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.945   68 -2.409   60 -2.242
Tabor                    3  8 252 412 -2.450   73 -2.665   73 -2.842   73 -2.706    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.271   66 -2.366   75 -3.047
Friends                  1  9 135 389 -2.486   80 -3.001   80 -3.328   79 -3.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  3.510   82 -3.416   67 -2.809
Bethany KS               0 10 100 496 -2.683   84 -3.329   84 -3.775   84 -3.957    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  2.716   84 -4.180   84 -3.734

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.258 (#2)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindsey Wilson          12  1 586 142 -0.116    2  1.005    2  0.678    1  1.172    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.823    2  0.882    1  1.462
Georgetown KY            8  2 335 161 -0.604    5  0.143    6 -0.134    7 -0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.185   11 -0.418    4  0.254
Keiser                   9  3 333 218 -0.813    8 -0.092    8 -0.287    9 -0.477    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.798   22 -0.754    8 -0.200
Bethel TN                7  4 357 312 -0.590    9 -0.189    9 -0.358   12 -0.614    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.611    9 -0.160   29 -1.068
Reinhardt                9  3 471 189 -0.739   13 -0.405   13 -0.567    6 -0.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.564   10 -0.378    5  0.239
Faulkner                 7  2 320 190 -1.284   17 -0.603   18 -0.757   20 -0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.716   19 -0.676   28 -1.031
Southeastern FL          7  3 206 207 -1.254   18 -0.640   16 -0.718   29 -1.191    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.523   45 -1.739   12 -0.643
Cumberlands KY           6  4 343 230 -0.806   20 -0.799   20 -0.808   18 -0.803    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.611   15 -0.499   30 -1.108
St Thomas FL             8  2 384 170 -1.495   21 -0.865   21 -0.882   17 -0.723    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.554   17 -0.629   20 -0.816
Thomas More              5  5 236 221 -0.748   22 -0.882   22 -0.900   19 -0.818    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  8.273   34 -1.173   10 -0.464
Pikeville                4  5 231 235 -0.885   35 -1.246   36 -1.232   24 -1.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.523   33 -1.168   25 -0.902
Bluefield VA             6  5 428 455 -1.388   36 -1.304   35 -1.230   41 -1.447    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  7.338    6 -0.073   68 -2.822
Ave Maria                5  6 283 309 -1.320   44 -1.580   44 -1.513   36 -1.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.952   31 -1.133   40 -1.590
Cumberland TN            3  7 152 257 -0.965   45 -1.584   45 -1.517   40 -1.444    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.867   52 -1.999   23 -0.889
Webber Int'l             2  8 196 349 -1.323   54 -2.066   54 -2.064   52 -1.945    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.510   48 -1.841   54 -2.050
Kentucky Christian       3  7 196 337 -1.752   55 -2.133   55 -2.160   59 -2.189    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.349   63 -2.305   55 -2.074
Warner U.                3  8 225 463 -1.775   57 -2.154   57 -2.187   69 -2.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.241   62 -2.281   73 -3.007
Campbellsville           1  8 181 457 -1.308   58 -2.224   58 -2.283   60 -2.215    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.137   38 -1.435   72 -2.994
Point U.                 2  9 157 432 -1.523   59 -2.229   59 -2.291   64 -2.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.144   72 -2.791   52 -2.008
Florida Memorial         2  9 198 347 -1.659   63 -2.393   63 -2.512   62 -2.297    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.883   67 -2.384   59 -2.211
St Andrews               1  9 284 515 -1.325   65 -2.416   65 -2.545   56 -2.090    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.903   30 -1.090   76 -3.090
Union KY                 1  7 158 268 -2.128   78 -2.788   78 -3.012   66 -2.511    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.067   70 -2.651   63 -2.372

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.755 (#3)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Indiana Wesleyan         7  1 288 104 -0.565    4  0.268    4  0.040    4  0.113    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.606    7 -0.104    2  0.330
Concordia MI             9  2 333 173 -0.970    6  0.143    5 -0.133   10 -0.524    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.133   23 -0.776    9 -0.272
Marian IN                9  3 428 174 -0.567    7  0.032    7 -0.220    5 -0.069    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.181   13 -0.429    3  0.291
St Xavier                7  3 326 216 -1.317   23 -0.920   23 -0.921   25 -1.070    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.345   28 -1.021   31 -1.118
Lawrence Tech            5  3 166 194 -1.730   31 -1.122   31 -1.169   49 -1.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  7.486   55 -2.127   37 -1.481
St Francis IL            6  3 233 157 -1.555   32 -1.186   33 -1.222   28 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.708   39 -1.485   19 -0.807
Olivet Nazarene          7  3 317 230 -1.649   33 -1.204   32 -1.204   34 -1.344    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.650   32 -1.148   38 -1.539
Siena Heights            4  5 218 169 -1.194   43 -1.567   43 -1.492   32 -1.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  7.077   46 -1.773   17 -0.790
Roosevelt                4  4 196 158 -2.043   53 -2.055   53 -2.054   50 -1.884    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  6.034   58 -2.199   39 -1.569
St Francis IN            3  6 238 277 -1.719   56 -2.134   56 -2.161   53 -1.950    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.491   44 -1.710   57 -2.190
St Ambrose               4  7 277 305 -2.060   61 -2.264   61 -2.340   58 -2.154    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.236   53 -2.003   61 -2.306
Taylor                   2  8 221 401 -1.942   68 -2.475   68 -2.630   65 -2.504    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.753   56 -2.168   69 -2.841
Judson                   4  7 271 378 -2.502   69 -2.477   69 -2.638   72 -2.698    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.598   65 -2.350   74 -3.046
Trinity Int'l            3  6 196 334 -2.560   70 -2.510   71 -2.693   77 -2.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.390   71 -2.709   80 -3.219
Missouri Baptist         4  7 231 294 -2.545   72 -2.622   72 -2.779   68 -2.628    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.431   73 -2.851   64 -2.405
Madonna                  0  8  60 449 -2.723   82 -3.268   82 -3.677   85 -4.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  2.705   85 -4.407   86 -4.048

North Star Athletic Association: strength=-2.015 (#6)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St             8  3 433 195 -1.282   24 -0.943   24 -0.955   14 -0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.386   21 -0.714   11 -0.592
Valley City St           8  2 265 129 -2.025   34 -1.237   34 -1.224   33 -1.331    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.545   51 -1.972   14 -0.690
Waldorf                  7  3 279 228 -2.241   47 -1.617   47 -1.573   55 -2.015    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.798   54 -2.007   53 -2.023
Dakota St                6  4 222 203 -2.053   48 -1.706   48 -1.673   54 -1.975    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  6.594   64 -2.330   42 -1.619
Mayville St              2  9 250 425 -2.210   75 -2.760   75 -2.973   71 -2.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.105   60 -2.206   78 -3.141
Presentation             0 11 164 482 -2.256   83 -3.287   83 -3.707   81 -3.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  2.958   76 -3.067   81 -3.257

Sooner Athletic Conference: strength=-2.063 (#7)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Ottawa AZ                8  2 504 300 -1.505   19 -0.791   19 -0.801   23 -1.008    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.722    5 -0.069   51 -1.947
Arizona Christian        8  2 437 288 -1.877   25 -0.989   25 -1.011   39 -1.428    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.940   20 -0.701   56 -2.155
Texas Wesleyan           7  3 423 308 -1.594   28 -1.051   28 -1.075   35 -1.351    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.968   24 -0.782   50 -1.919
SW Assem of God          9  3 489 266 -1.934   38 -1.361   38 -1.312   30 -1.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  7.403   27 -1.015   35 -1.435
Langston                 7  3 390 203 -1.921   42 -1.562   42 -1.490   37 -1.392    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  7.094   37 -1.429   34 -1.355
Louisiana College        4  7 350 394 -2.105   62 -2.371   62 -2.487   57 -2.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.045   43 -1.652   65 -2.610
OK Panhandle St          4  7 320 321 -2.336   71 -2.510   70 -2.692   61 -2.261    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.699   57 -2.186   62 -2.336
Wayland Baptist          2  8 188 403 -2.432   76 -2.764   76 -2.979   76 -2.937    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  3.929   74 -2.980   70 -2.893
Lyon                     2  8 160 409 -2.766   79 -2.833   79 -3.082   82 -3.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  3.720   83 -3.502   82 -3.266
Texas College            0 11 108 648 -2.900   86 -3.440   86 -3.963   86 -4.259    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  2.379   86 -4.473   85 -4.046

NAIA Independents: strength=-2.594 (#8)
                                               STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Edward Waters            4  7 257 344 -1.115   39 -1.530   39 -1.448   42 -1.466    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  7.085   36 -1.263   45 -1.670
Iowa Wesleyan            2  9 230 442 -2.924   81 -3.104   81 -3.483   83 -3.425    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.284   80 -3.238   83 -3.611

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                                W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                      41  42 0.494    1 -1.161
Mid-South Conference                                    111 117 0.487    2 -1.258
Mid-States Football Association                          78  76 0.506    3 -1.755
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                    59  59 0.500    4 -1.806
Great Plains Athletic Conference                         62  60 0.508    5 -1.888
North Star Athletic Association                          31  32 0.492    6 -2.015
Sooner Athletic Conference                               51  54 0.486    7 -2.063
NAIA Independents                                         6  16 0.273    8 -2.594

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.146 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Wed Jan 26 23:43:12 2022

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