Dolphin Ratings - Women's National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIBERTY  37 10 4019 3621 -0.000 22.962    1  0.685    1  0.655    1  0.583    1 0.5634    6  3.629    1  0.575    3  0.591
LYNX     36 12 3983 3689  0.036 24.279    2  0.617    2  0.594    3  0.427    2 0.5583   10  3.587    4  0.240    2  0.615
SUN      32 15 3777 3501  0.019 23.557    3  0.466    3  0.425    2  0.429    3 0.5433   12  3.517    7 -0.052    1  0.910
ACES     30 16 3934 3711  0.040 23.598    4  0.396    4  0.353    4  0.411    4 0.5367    4  3.666    2  0.565    5  0.257
STORM    25 17 3472 3311 -0.002 21.025    5  0.233    5  0.194    5  0.193    5 0.5202    8  3.595    6  0.038    4  0.349
FEVER    20 22 3549 3686  0.011 22.542    6 -0.020    6 -0.032    7 -0.145    6 0.4959    2  3.753    3  0.403   11 -0.694
MERCURY  19 23 3441 3593 -0.007 22.363    7 -0.088    7 -0.099    9 -0.321    7 0.4896    3  3.683    8 -0.090   10 -0.551
DREAM    15 27 3231 3364  0.004 22.467    8 -0.281    8 -0.310    6 -0.140    8 0.4694   11  3.541   11 -0.523    6  0.243
MYSTICS  14 26 3172 3291 -0.014 21.055    9 -0.327    9 -0.362    8 -0.149    9 0.4652    7  3.610    9 -0.240    7 -0.058
SKY      13 27 3096 3301 -0.049 20.973   10 -0.395   10 -0.414   11 -0.523   10 0.4571    9  3.593   12 -0.684    8 -0.361
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WINGS     9 31 3368 3685 -0.044 21.337   11 -0.630   11 -0.661   12 -0.546   11 0.4350    1  3.778    5  0.118   12 -1.210
SPARKS    8 32 3136 3425 -0.022 21.616   12 -0.654   12 -0.695   10 -0.483   12 0.4312    5  3.639   10 -0.447    9 -0.519

WESTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LYNX     36 12 3983 3689  0.036 24.279    2  0.617    2  0.594    3  0.427    2 0.5583   10  3.587    4  0.240    2  0.615
ACES     30 16 3934 3711  0.040 23.598    4  0.396    4  0.353    4  0.411    4 0.5367    4  3.666    2  0.565    5  0.257
STORM    25 17 3472 3311 -0.002 21.025    5  0.233    5  0.194    5  0.193    5 0.5202    8  3.595    6  0.038    4  0.349
MERCURY  19 23 3441 3593 -0.007 22.363    7 -0.088    7 -0.099    9 -0.321    7 0.4896    3  3.683    8 -0.090   10 -0.551
WINGS     9 31 3368 3685 -0.044 21.337   11 -0.630   11 -0.661   12 -0.546   11 0.4350    1  3.778    5  0.118   12 -1.210
SPARKS    8 32 3136 3425 -0.022 21.616   12 -0.654   12 -0.695   10 -0.483   12 0.4312    5  3.639   10 -0.447    9 -0.519

EASTERN CONFERENCE
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM      W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LIBERTY  37 10 4019 3621 -0.000 22.962    1  0.685    1  0.655    1  0.583    1 0.5634    6  3.629    1  0.575    3  0.591
SUN      32 15 3777 3501  0.019 23.557    3  0.466    3  0.425    2  0.429    3 0.5433   12  3.517    7 -0.052    1  0.910
FEVER    20 22 3549 3686  0.011 22.542    6 -0.020    6 -0.032    7 -0.145    6 0.4959    2  3.753    3  0.403   11 -0.694
DREAM    15 27 3231 3364  0.004 22.467    8 -0.281    8 -0.310    6 -0.140    8 0.4694   11  3.541   11 -0.523    6  0.243
MYSTICS  14 26 3172 3291 -0.014 21.055    9 -0.327    9 -0.362    8 -0.149    9 0.4652    7  3.610    9 -0.240    7 -0.058
SKY      13 27 3096 3301 -0.049 20.973   10 -0.395   10 -0.414   11 -0.523   10 0.4571    9  3.593   12 -0.684    8 -0.361

DIVISION             W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
EASTERN CONFERENCE 131 127 0.508    1 -0.014
WESTERN CONFERENCE 127 131 0.492    2 -0.051

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.156 points in main ratings (0.226 for semineutral)
     0.013 points in improved RPI (0.023 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Oct  9 16:45:14 2024
games through: Tue Oct  8 2024

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