Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY          14  0 681 202 -0.502    1  1.242    1  0.875    1  0.890    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 10.347    1  1.277    2  0.502
Sioux Falls            12  2 505 225 -0.446    2  0.676    2  0.287    3  0.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2  9.366    3  0.486    3  0.192
Carroll MT             10  2 321 142 -0.428    3  0.610    3  0.204    4  0.185    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.107   10 -0.397    1  0.767
Evangel                11  1 436 170 -0.931    4  0.500    4  0.082    5 -0.121    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  8.943    4 -0.025    7 -0.216
Benedictine KS         12  2 453 231 -0.837    5  0.464    5  0.040    6 -0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  8.846    6 -0.275   11 -0.329
Southern Oregon         9  2 474 185 -0.541    6  0.339    6 -0.034    2  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  8.872    2  0.941    6 -0.170
Concordia NE           10  2 326 154 -0.991    7  0.084    7 -0.137   13 -0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.375   28 -1.177    5 -0.090
Montana Tech            8  3 250 204 -0.738    8 -0.033    8 -0.202   12 -0.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.086   19 -0.893   12 -0.356
Mary                    9  1 345 149 -1.166    9 -0.075    9 -0.218   10 -0.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.260   12 -0.607   10 -0.290
St. Francis IN          9  2 354 203 -1.020   10 -0.214   10 -0.301   14 -0.638    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.060   11 -0.505   18 -0.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Campbellsville         10  3 406 338 -1.123   11 -0.251   11 -0.345   18 -0.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  7.814   14 -0.627   28 -1.191
Tri-State               8  3 365 213 -0.865   12 -0.359   12 -0.476    9 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  7.760    7 -0.310   15 -0.583
Hastings                8  2 269 196 -1.196   13 -0.374   13 -0.496   20 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.508   18 -0.878   23 -1.008
St. Ambrose             8  3 353 203 -0.901   14 -0.387   14 -0.511   11 -0.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  7.692    8 -0.310   17 -0.662
Valley City St          9  2 349 153 -1.197   15 -0.406   15 -0.537   15 -0.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  7.554   24 -1.004    9 -0.289
McKendree               8  3 273 173 -1.273   16 -0.684   16 -0.758   21 -0.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.096   36 -1.444   14 -0.499
Walsh                   8  3 330 219 -1.286   17 -0.733   17 -0.817   16 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.059   17 -0.857   19 -0.856
Cumberland TN           6  4 296 296 -0.965   18 -0.742   18 -0.828   19 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.015   13 -0.618   29 -1.201
MidAmer Nazarene        8  3 320 121 -1.038   19 -0.781   19 -0.877    7 -0.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.107   16 -0.837    4  0.116
Doane                   6  3 155 109 -1.291   20 -0.850   21 -0.966   24 -1.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  6.662   51 -1.928    8 -0.223
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Simon Fraser            3  5 159 258 -0.475   21 -0.852   20 -0.964   26 -1.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  6.389   32 -1.271   21 -0.975
Huron                   7  3 260 214 -1.558   22 -0.866   22 -0.987   32 -1.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.276   37 -1.485   31 -1.240
Azusa Pacific           4  5 221 258 -0.786   23 -0.969   23 -1.021   25 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.346   25 -1.023   26 -1.162
NW Oklahoma St          7  3 437 139 -1.122   24 -1.073   24 -1.127    8 -0.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  6.793    9 -0.327   13 -0.442
Bethany KS              8  1 388 179 -2.250   25 -1.118   25 -1.132   33 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.216   20 -0.944   45 -1.795
Benedict                5  5 230 170 -0.988   26 -1.145   26 -1.160   17 -0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.337   26 -1.114   16 -0.618
Virginia-Wise           6  4 278 199 -1.225   27 -1.153   27 -1.170   23 -1.041    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.193   29 -1.224   20 -0.858
St. Xavier              7  4 290 221 -1.482   28 -1.180   28 -1.205   29 -1.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.015   30 -1.253   30 -1.226
Northwestern MN         9  0 358  69 -3.355   29 -1.184   29 -1.219   44 -1.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  5.999   53 -1.949   33 -1.323
Trinity IL              8  4 307 213 -1.725   30 -1.212   30 -1.235   39 -1.575    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  5.884   56 -1.960   27 -1.189
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas Wesleyan         8  3 315 241 -2.000   31 -1.220   31 -1.250   47 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  5.857   47 -1.806   41 -1.643
Western Montana         3  7 170 358 -0.845   32 -1.312   32 -1.362   43 -1.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.379   33 -1.293   56 -1.969
Northwestern IA         5  5 196 289 -1.522   33 -1.347   33 -1.405   55 -1.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.267   52 -1.947   57 -2.034
Dickinson St            6  4 326 259 -1.590   34 -1.368   34 -1.431   34 -1.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  5.480   15 -0.835   53 -1.916
Belhaven                4  6 193 235 -1.128   35 -1.406   36 -1.475   35 -1.401    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.431   42 -1.705   25 -1.098
Nebraska Wesleyan       5  5 266 211 -1.320   36 -1.423   37 -1.497   28 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  5.469   21 -0.945   35 -1.347
Midland Lutheran        5  5 195 248 -1.505   37 -1.482   35 -1.464   48 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.307   48 -1.815   43 -1.687
Culver-Stockton         6  5 296 201 -1.408   38 -1.517   39 -1.508   27 -1.133    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  5.457   27 -1.171   24 -1.095
Graceland               5  5 202 252 -1.578   39 -1.557   38 -1.504   50 -1.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  4.990   43 -1.746   47 -1.799
Missouri Valley         5  5 187 230 -1.511   40 -1.581   40 -1.510   45 -1.651    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.072   49 -1.879   37 -1.422
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Rocky Mountain          3  7 164 244 -0.868   41 -1.585   41 -1.512   31 -1.345    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.075   41 -1.697   22 -0.993
Bacone                  5  5 169 323 -2.053   42 -1.622   42 -1.563   70 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  4.661   71 -2.712   63 -2.171
Lambuth                 3  6 333 310 -0.937   43 -1.657   43 -1.605   22 -1.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.235    5 -0.224   46 -1.797
Baker                   5  6 182 270 -1.696   44 -1.769   44 -1.734   56 -2.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.526   65 -2.264   51 -1.868
Lincoln MO              4  5 227 199 -1.514   45 -1.782   45 -1.750   37 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  4.815   46 -1.795   32 -1.265
Jamestown               5  5 270 251 -1.709   46 -1.799   47 -1.774   40 -1.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  4.583   34 -1.358   48 -1.810
Tiffin                  3  8 222 334 -1.105   47 -1.800   46 -1.771   46 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  4.583   40 -1.632   44 -1.693
William Jewell          4  6 186 255 -1.597   48 -1.862   48 -1.855   51 -1.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.376   50 -1.915   50 -1.862
Montana-Northern        2  9 170 347 -0.912   49 -1.879   49 -1.873   42 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.295   45 -1.782   38 -1.476
Pikeville               3  7 273 323 -1.310   50 -1.906   50 -1.907   38 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.394   23 -0.994   60 -2.124
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Minot State             4  6 307 292 -1.530   51 -1.910   51 -1.913   36 -1.460    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.385   22 -0.953   55 -1.968
Ottawa                  6  4 324 233 -2.110   52 -1.937   53 -1.950   41 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.414   39 -1.632   40 -1.626
Southwestern KS         6  4 358 266 -2.228   53 -1.974   52 -1.937   53 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.357   35 -1.417   68 -2.421
Peru State              5  5 166 177 -2.128   54 -2.001   54 -1.971   60 -2.152    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.138   73 -2.735   39 -1.570
Geneva                  4  6 290 212 -1.469   55 -2.021   55 -1.997   30 -1.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.347   31 -1.264   36 -1.361
St. Francis IL          4  6 179 214 -1.724   56 -2.051   56 -2.036   49 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.155   63 -2.205   34 -1.337
Malone                  2  8 160 325 -1.365   57 -2.150   57 -2.165   58 -2.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  3.898   59 -2.125   59 -2.106
Friends                 5  4 198 192 -2.532   58 -2.178   58 -2.208   71 -2.478    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  3.888   76 -2.821   61 -2.135
Union KY                2  7 154 329 -1.647   59 -2.238   59 -2.287   69 -2.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  3.671   67 -2.388   69 -2.441
Lindenwood              3  8 196 315 -1.741   60 -2.250   60 -2.304   59 -2.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  3.696   61 -2.168   58 -2.101
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                4  7 241 313 -1.937   61 -2.259   61 -2.317   57 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  3.770   55 -1.957   65 -2.271
Avila                   2  8 115 268 -1.822   62 -2.262   62 -2.318   65 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  3.587   72 -2.730   49 -1.832
Black Hills State       3  7 210 312 -1.986   63 -2.318   63 -2.398   68 -2.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.478   64 -2.227   72 -2.574
Cumberland KY           3  7 224 283 -1.824   64 -2.336   64 -2.421   52 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  3.616   54 -1.952   52 -1.885
Tabor                   5  5 336 310 -2.541   65 -2.372   65 -2.468   62 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.560   38 -1.505   79 -2.955
Bethel TN               5  4 224 211 -2.802   66 -2.391   66 -2.491   76 -2.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.363   70 -2.564   80 -2.984
Dana                    3  7 247 295 -1.944   67 -2.403   67 -2.503   61 -2.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.454   44 -1.759   71 -2.548
Taylor                  2  8 159 299 -1.781   68 -2.410   68 -2.511   67 -2.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.385   68 -2.407   67 -2.329
Dakota State            2  8 208 346 -1.800   69 -2.465   69 -2.582   64 -2.257    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.241   58 -1.980   70 -2.535
Sterling                4  6 151 208 -2.509   70 -2.475   70 -2.597   75 -2.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.233   82 -3.393   54 -1.966
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
South Dakota Tech       2  8 197 359 -1.913   71 -2.490   71 -2.613   73 -2.516    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  2.939   69 -2.412   74 -2.620
Dakota Wesleyan         2  8 182 276 -1.873   72 -2.531   72 -2.667   63 -2.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  2.961   66 -2.347   62 -2.153
Southern Nazarene       5  4 258 132 -2.804   73 -2.537   73 -2.679   54 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.300   62 -2.181   42 -1.677
Paul Quinn              1  3  91 128 -2.419   74 -2.576   75 -2.719   72 -2.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  2.882   60 -2.145   78 -2.829
Olivet Nazarene         2  8 197 337 -1.950   75 -2.578   74 -2.719   66 -2.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.874   57 -1.976   75 -2.693
Urbana                  1  9 137 406 -1.850   76 -2.668   76 -2.846   77 -2.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.575   77 -2.919   81 -3.005
North Greenville        0  9  26 409 -1.296   77 -2.749   77 -2.896   81 -3.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.443   85 -4.171   66 -2.313
Central Methodist       1 10 135 326 -1.868   78 -2.778   78 -2.943   74 -2.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.554   75 -2.811   64 -2.248
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  88 347 -2.039   79 -2.797   79 -2.967   80 -3.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.395   84 -3.689   76 -2.698
Edward Waters           0  8  55 359 -1.689   80 -2.870   80 -3.070   79 -3.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.338   81 -3.378   77 -2.712
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
McPherson               3  7 218 423 -3.144   81 -2.949   81 -3.199   84 -3.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.145   78 -3.107   86 -4.184
Mayville State          0 10 114 353 -2.001   82 -3.138   82 -3.475   78 -2.975    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.915   80 -3.331   73 -2.619
Mt. Senario             3  7 172 387 -3.688   83 -3.218   83 -3.599   86 -3.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.552   83 -3.633   88 -4.202
Bethel KS               1  9 196 411 -2.822   84 -3.250   84 -3.638   83 -3.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.654   79 -3.151   83 -3.913
SW Assem of God         1  9  93 379 -2.899   85 -3.254   85 -3.645   85 -3.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.524   86 -4.172   82 -3.172
St. Mary KS             1  8 210 383 -2.911   86 -3.449   86 -3.686   82 -3.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  1.715   74 -2.748   85 -3.976
Haskell                 0 11  98 411 -3.632   87 -4.196   87 -4.728   87 -4.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  0.269   87 -4.767   84 -3.937
Crown                   0  9 100 278 -4.101   88 -4.364   88 -5.016   88 -4.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  0.000   88 -4.954   87 -4.190


Central States Football League: strength=-2.372 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St          7  3 437 139 -1.122   24 -1.073   24 -1.127    8 -0.384    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  6.793    9 -0.327   13 -0.442
Lincoln MO              4  5 227 199 -1.514   45 -1.782   45 -1.750   37 -1.530    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  4.815   46 -1.795   32 -1.265
Peru State              5  5 166 177 -2.128   54 -2.001   54 -1.971   60 -2.152    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.138   73 -2.735   39 -1.570
Langston                4  7 241 313 -1.937   61 -2.259   61 -2.317   57 -2.114    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  3.770   55 -1.957   65 -2.271
SW Assem of God         1  9  93 379 -2.899   85 -3.254   85 -3.645   85 -3.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.524   86 -4.172   82 -3.172
Haskell                 0 11  98 411 -3.632   87 -4.196   87 -4.728   87 -4.352    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  0.269   87 -4.767   84 -3.937

Frontier Conf: strength=-0.964 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             10  2 321 142 -0.428    3  0.610    3  0.204    4  0.185    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3  9.107   10 -0.397    1  0.767
Montana Tech            8  3 250 204 -0.738    8 -0.033    8 -0.202   12 -0.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  8.086   19 -0.893   12 -0.356
Western Montana         3  7 170 358 -0.845   32 -1.312   32 -1.362   43 -1.631    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.379   33 -1.293   56 -1.969
Rocky Mountain          3  7 164 244 -0.868   41 -1.585   41 -1.512   31 -1.345    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.075   41 -1.697   22 -0.993
Montana-Northern        2  9 170 347 -0.912   49 -1.879   49 -1.873   42 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.295   45 -1.782   38 -1.476

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-1.517 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Evangel                11  1 436 170 -0.931    4  0.500    4  0.082    5 -0.121    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4  8.943    4 -0.025    7 -0.216
Benedictine KS         12  2 453 231 -0.837    5  0.464    5  0.040    6 -0.302    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6  8.846    6 -0.275   11 -0.329
MidAmer Nazarene        8  3 320 121 -1.038   19 -0.781   19 -0.877    7 -0.361    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  7.107   16 -0.837    4  0.116
Culver-Stockton         6  5 296 201 -1.408   38 -1.517   39 -1.508   27 -1.133    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  5.457   27 -1.171   24 -1.095
Graceland               5  5 202 252 -1.578   39 -1.557   38 -1.504   50 -1.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  4.990   43 -1.746   47 -1.799
Missouri Valley         5  5 187 230 -1.511   40 -1.581   40 -1.510   45 -1.651    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.072   49 -1.879   37 -1.422
Baker                   5  6 182 270 -1.696   44 -1.769   44 -1.734   56 -2.066    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  4.526   65 -2.264   51 -1.868
William Jewell          4  6 186 255 -1.597   48 -1.862   48 -1.855   51 -1.889    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.376   50 -1.915   50 -1.862
Lindenwood              3  8 196 315 -1.741   60 -2.250   60 -2.304   59 -2.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  3.696   61 -2.168   58 -2.101
Avila                   2  8 115 268 -1.822   62 -2.262   62 -2.318   65 -2.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  3.587   72 -2.730   49 -1.832
Central Methodist       1 10 135 326 -1.868   78 -2.778   78 -2.943   74 -2.529    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.554   75 -2.811   64 -2.248

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.541 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethany KS              8  1 388 179 -2.250   25 -1.118   25 -1.132   33 -1.370    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.216   20 -0.944   45 -1.795
Kansas Wesleyan         8  3 315 241 -2.000   31 -1.220   31 -1.250   47 -1.724    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  5.857   47 -1.806   41 -1.643
Ottawa                  6  4 324 233 -2.110   52 -1.937   53 -1.950   41 -1.629    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  4.414   39 -1.632   40 -1.626
Southwestern KS         6  4 358 266 -2.228   53 -1.974   52 -1.937   53 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.357   35 -1.417   68 -2.421
Friends                 5  4 198 192 -2.532   58 -2.178   58 -2.208   71 -2.478    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  3.888   76 -2.821   61 -2.135
Tabor                   5  5 336 310 -2.541   65 -2.372   65 -2.468   62 -2.230    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.560   38 -1.505   79 -2.955
Sterling                4  6 151 208 -2.509   70 -2.475   70 -2.597   75 -2.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.233   82 -3.393   54 -1.966
McPherson               3  7 218 423 -3.144   81 -2.949   81 -3.199   84 -3.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  2.145   78 -3.107   86 -4.184
Bethel KS               1  9 196 411 -2.822   84 -3.250   84 -3.638   83 -3.532    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.654   79 -3.151   83 -3.913
St. Mary KS             1  8 210 383 -2.911   86 -3.449   86 -3.686   82 -3.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  1.715   74 -2.748   85 -3.976

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.365 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY          14  0 681 202 -0.502    1  1.242    1  0.875    1  0.890    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 10.347    1  1.277    2  0.502
Campbellsville         10  3 406 338 -1.123   11 -0.251   11 -0.345   18 -0.909    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  7.814   14 -0.627   28 -1.191
Cumberland TN           6  4 296 296 -0.965   18 -0.742   18 -0.828   19 -0.910    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.015   13 -0.618   29 -1.201
Belhaven                4  6 193 235 -1.128   35 -1.406   36 -1.475   35 -1.401    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  5.431   42 -1.705   25 -1.098
Lambuth                 3  6 333 310 -0.937   43 -1.657   43 -1.605   22 -1.010    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.235    5 -0.224   46 -1.797
Pikeville               3  7 273 323 -1.310   50 -1.906   50 -1.907   38 -1.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  4.394   23 -0.994   60 -2.124
Union KY                2  7 154 329 -1.647   59 -2.238   59 -2.287   69 -2.414    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  3.671   67 -2.388   69 -2.441
Cumberland KY           3  7 224 283 -1.824   64 -2.336   64 -2.421   52 -1.919    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  3.616   54 -1.952   52 -1.885
North Greenville        0  9  26 409 -1.296   77 -2.749   77 -2.896   81 -3.242    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.443   85 -4.171   66 -2.313

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-1.530 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St. Francis IN          9  2 354 203 -1.020   10 -0.214   10 -0.301   14 -0.638    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.060   11 -0.505   18 -0.772
Tri-State               8  3 365 213 -0.865   12 -0.359   12 -0.476    9 -0.446    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  7.760    7 -0.310   15 -0.583
St. Ambrose             8  3 353 203 -0.901   14 -0.387   14 -0.511   11 -0.486    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  7.692    8 -0.310   17 -0.662
McKendree               8  3 273 173 -1.273   16 -0.684   16 -0.758   21 -0.971    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.096   36 -1.444   14 -0.499
Walsh                   8  3 330 219 -1.286   17 -0.733   17 -0.817   16 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.059   17 -0.857   19 -0.856
St. Xavier              7  4 290 221 -1.482   28 -1.180   28 -1.205   29 -1.239    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.015   30 -1.253   30 -1.226
Trinity IL              8  4 307 213 -1.725   30 -1.212   30 -1.235   39 -1.575    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  5.884   56 -1.960   27 -1.189
Tiffin                  3  8 222 334 -1.105   47 -1.800   46 -1.771   46 -1.662    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  4.583   40 -1.632   44 -1.693
Geneva                  4  6 290 212 -1.469   55 -2.021   55 -1.997   30 -1.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.347   31 -1.264   36 -1.361
St. Francis IL          4  6 179 214 -1.724   56 -2.051   56 -2.036   49 -1.771    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.155   63 -2.205   34 -1.337
Malone                  2  8 160 325 -1.365   57 -2.150   57 -2.165   58 -2.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  3.898   59 -2.125   59 -2.106
Taylor                  2  8 159 299 -1.781   68 -2.410   68 -2.511   67 -2.368    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.385   68 -2.407   67 -2.329
Olivet Nazarene         2  8 197 337 -1.950   75 -2.578   74 -2.719   66 -2.335    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.874   57 -1.976   75 -2.693
Urbana                  1  9 137 406 -1.850   76 -2.668   76 -2.846   77 -2.962    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.575   77 -2.919   81 -3.005
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9  88 347 -2.039   79 -2.797   79 -2.967   80 -3.194    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.395   84 -3.689   76 -2.698

North Dakota Athl Conf: strength=-1.278 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mary                    9  1 345 149 -1.166    9 -0.075    9 -0.218   10 -0.449    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  8.260   12 -0.607   10 -0.290
Valley City St          9  2 349 153 -1.197   15 -0.406   15 -0.537   15 -0.646    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  7.554   24 -1.004    9 -0.289
Dickinson St            6  4 326 259 -1.590   34 -1.368   34 -1.431   34 -1.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  5.480   15 -0.835   53 -1.916
Jamestown               5  5 270 251 -1.709   46 -1.799   47 -1.774   40 -1.584    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  4.583   34 -1.358   48 -1.810
Minot State             4  6 307 292 -1.530   51 -1.910   51 -1.913   36 -1.460    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  4.385   22 -0.953   55 -1.968
Mayville State          0 10 114 353 -2.001   82 -3.138   82 -3.475   78 -2.975    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.915   80 -3.331   73 -2.619

Nebraska-Iowa Conf: strength=-1.301 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia NE           10  2 326 154 -0.991    7  0.084    7 -0.137   13 -0.634    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7  8.375   28 -1.177    5 -0.090
Hastings                8  2 269 196 -1.196   13 -0.374   13 -0.496   20 -0.943    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  7.508   18 -0.878   23 -1.008
Doane                   6  3 155 109 -1.291   20 -0.850   21 -0.966   24 -1.075    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  6.662   51 -1.928    8 -0.223
Northwestern IA         5  5 196 289 -1.522   33 -1.347   33 -1.405   55 -1.990    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.267   52 -1.947   57 -2.034
Nebraska Wesleyan       5  5 266 211 -1.320   36 -1.423   37 -1.497   28 -1.146    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  5.469   21 -0.945   35 -1.347
Midland Lutheran        5  5 195 248 -1.505   37 -1.482   35 -1.464   48 -1.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.307   48 -1.815   43 -1.687
Dana                    3  7 247 295 -1.944   67 -2.403   67 -2.503   61 -2.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.454   44 -1.759   71 -2.548

South Dakota-Iowa Conf: strength=-2.013 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls            12  2 505 225 -0.446    2  0.676    2  0.287    3  0.339    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2  9.366    3  0.486    3  0.192
Huron                   7  3 260 214 -1.558   22 -0.866   22 -0.987   32 -1.363    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.276   37 -1.485   31 -1.240
Black Hills State       3  7 210 312 -1.986   63 -2.318   63 -2.398   68 -2.400    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.478   64 -2.227   72 -2.574
Dakota State            2  8 208 346 -1.800   69 -2.465   69 -2.582   64 -2.257    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.241   58 -1.980   70 -2.535
South Dakota Tech       2  8 197 359 -1.913   71 -2.490   71 -2.613   73 -2.516    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  2.939   69 -2.412   74 -2.620
Dakota Wesleyan         2  8 182 276 -1.873   72 -2.531   72 -2.667   63 -2.250    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  2.961   66 -2.347   62 -2.153

Upper Midwest Intercollegiate Athl Conf: strength=-3.862 (#11)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern MN         9  0 358  69 -3.355   29 -1.184   29 -1.219   44 -1.636    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  5.999   53 -1.949   33 -1.323
Martin Luther           4  5 202 198 -2.965      -2.771      -2.939      -2.844      0.0000      0.0000       2.593      -2.998      -2.689
Mt. Senario             3  7 172 387 -3.688   83 -3.218   83 -3.599   86 -3.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.552   83 -3.633   88 -4.202
Maranatha Baptist       2  7 127 236 -4.059      -4.022      -4.459      -4.221      0.0000      0.0000       0.600      -4.714      -3.728
Crown                   0  9 100 278 -4.101   88 -4.364   88 -5.016   88 -4.572    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  0.000   88 -4.954   87 -4.190

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.675 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Oregon         9  2 474 185 -0.541    6  0.339    6 -0.034    2  0.386    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5  8.872    2  0.941    6 -0.170
Simon Fraser            3  5 159 258 -0.475   21 -0.852   20 -0.964   26 -1.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  6.389   32 -1.271   21 -0.975
Azusa Pacific           4  5 221 258 -0.786   23 -0.969   23 -1.021   25 -1.092    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.346   25 -1.023   26 -1.162
Benedict                5  5 230 170 -0.988   26 -1.145   26 -1.160   17 -0.866    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.337   26 -1.114   16 -0.618
Virginia-Wise           6  4 278 199 -1.225   27 -1.153   27 -1.170   23 -1.041    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.193   29 -1.224   20 -0.858
Bacone                  5  5 169 323 -2.053   42 -1.622   42 -1.563   70 -2.442    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  4.661   71 -2.712   63 -2.171
Bethel TN               5  4 224 211 -2.802   66 -2.391   66 -2.491   76 -2.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.363   70 -2.564   80 -2.984
Southern Nazarene       5  4 258 132 -2.804   73 -2.537   73 -2.679   54 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.300   62 -2.181   42 -1.677
Paul Quinn              1  3  91 128 -2.419   74 -2.576   75 -2.719   72 -2.487    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  2.882   60 -2.145   78 -2.829
Edward Waters           0  8  55 359 -1.689   80 -2.870   80 -3.070   79 -3.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.338   81 -3.378   77 -2.712

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                      W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conf                                  26  28 0.481    1 -0.964
North Dakota Athl Conf                         33  28 0.541    2 -1.278
Nebraska-Iowa Conf                             42  29 0.592    3 -1.301
Mid-South Conf                                 45  49 0.479    4 -1.365
Heart of America Athletic Conf                 62  59 0.512    5 -1.517
Mid-States Football Assn                       75  84 0.472    6 -1.530
NAIA Independents                              43  45 0.489    7 -1.675
South Dakota-Iowa Conf                         28  36 0.438    8 -2.013
Central States Football League                 21  40 0.344    9 -2.372
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                    47  51 0.480   10 -2.541
Upper Midwest Intercollegiate Athl Conf        18  28 0.391   11 -3.862

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.198 points in main ratings
     0.024 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:20 2019

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