Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             12  2 400 206  0.094    1  1.155    1  0.924    1  0.696    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 10.872    4  0.443    1  0.948
McKendree              11  2 345 188 -0.229    2  0.863    2  0.649    7  0.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.368   13 -0.074    5  0.499
St Francis IN          11  1 507 272 -0.599    3  0.847    3  0.628    8 -0.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.216    1  0.763   24 -0.875
Azusa Pacific           8  1 313 150 -0.364    4  0.770    4  0.530    6  0.272    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.032    5  0.337    7  0.207
Sioux Falls            12  1 463 126 -0.574    5  0.753    5  0.508    4  0.511    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.242    8  0.133    2  0.888
Southern Oregon         8  3 334 206  0.136    6  0.713    7  0.466    3  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.085    3  0.548    4  0.541
Montana-Western         9  3 309 290 -0.252    7  0.656    6  0.496   14 -0.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.724   10  0.021   18 -0.470
Georgetown KY          12  2 475 162 -0.401    8  0.603    8  0.430    2  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.112    7  0.240    3  0.850
NW Oklahoma St         10  1 533 132 -0.890    9  0.287    9  0.049    5  0.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.252    2  0.587   10  0.036
St Ambrose              8  3 306 194 -0.543   10  0.128   10 -0.084   13 -0.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.643   12 -0.041   15 -0.379
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mary                    9  2 318 159 -0.892   11  0.119   11 -0.094   15 -0.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.566   21 -0.691   11 -0.114
Minot State             9  2 423 241 -0.947   12  0.092   12 -0.127   16 -0.452    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.520    6  0.280   32 -1.183
Walsh                   8  3 311 168 -0.645   13  0.027   13 -0.209   12 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.526   17 -0.477    8  0.179
St Xavier               9  3 400 157 -0.695   14  0.002   14 -0.228   11 -0.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.493   15 -0.399    9  0.129
Dickinson St            9  2 405 162 -0.890   15 -0.009   15 -0.246   10 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.445   11 -0.000   13 -0.222
Tri-State               6  3 223 137 -0.463   16 -0.091   16 -0.292    9 -0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.444   16 -0.429    6  0.265
Hastings                7  3 337 208 -0.967   17 -0.545   17 -0.647   17 -0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.605   14 -0.083   23 -0.823
Doane                   7  3 271 197 -1.114   18 -0.605   18 -0.711   21 -0.884    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.284   25 -0.972   22 -0.796
MidAmer Nazarene        9  2 395 178 -1.477   19 -0.613   19 -0.725   18 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.442   19 -0.584   21 -0.726
Geneva                  7  5 259 260 -1.027   20 -0.725   20 -0.816   28 -1.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.031   28 -1.147   27 -1.011
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern IA         6  4 295 276 -1.100   21 -0.825   21 -0.919   27 -1.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  6.809   18 -0.514   44 -1.608
Benedictine KS          9  3 327 180 -1.585   22 -0.849   22 -0.951   24 -0.995    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  6.897   32 -1.362   19 -0.628
Missouri Valley         8  2 285 285 -2.097   23 -0.875   23 -0.984   55 -2.077    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.408   38 -1.553   69 -2.602
Trinity IL              6  5 165 149 -1.032   24 -0.879   24 -0.985   25 -1.018    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.710   49 -1.897   12 -0.139
Valley City St          7  3 243 155 -1.464   25 -0.883   25 -0.992   29 -1.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.614   36 -1.480   20 -0.724
Montana Tech            4  7 222 260 -0.460   26 -0.941   26 -1.030   20 -0.666    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.579   23 -0.891   17 -0.442
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4 255 214 -1.245   27 -0.944   27 -1.036   26 -1.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.545   26 -1.046   28 -1.016
Cumberland TN           6  5 217 179 -1.024   28 -1.000   30 -1.082   23 -0.928    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.622   39 -1.555   14 -0.301
Lambuth                 6  4 272 283 -1.431   29 -1.054   28 -1.038   41 -1.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.434   31 -1.262   55 -1.954
Concordia NE            5  5 245 274 -1.013   30 -1.082   29 -1.073   30 -1.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.434   24 -0.896   37 -1.350
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Campbellsville          6  4 367 245 -1.216   31 -1.155   31 -1.161   19 -0.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.537    9  0.023   36 -1.345
Evangel                 8  3 380 289 -1.799   32 -1.170   32 -1.181   35 -1.441    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.285   20 -0.646   58 -2.235
Morningside             5  5 213 286 -1.332   33 -1.223   33 -1.249   44 -1.667    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.015   37 -1.515   53 -1.818
Kansas Wesleyan         8  3 248 191 -2.017   34 -1.224   34 -1.255   43 -1.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.178   57 -2.184   31 -1.144
Malone                  4  6 245 196 -0.902   35 -1.324   36 -1.384   22 -0.902    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.101   22 -0.831   25 -0.972
Olivet Nazarene         4  6 207 254 -1.023   36 -1.366   35 -1.353   33 -1.208    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.960   29 -1.148   33 -1.269
Southern Nazarene       7  3 192 147 -2.021   37 -1.391   37 -1.389   53 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.831   67 -2.469   38 -1.390
Paul Quinn              4  2 188 120 -1.856   38 -1.456   38 -1.477   37 -1.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.857   34 -1.436   42 -1.569
Bacone                  6  5 259 323 -1.820   39 -1.472   39 -1.499   50 -1.903    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.607   46 -1.832   56 -1.973
Belhaven                5  6 227 258 -1.433   40 -1.495   41 -1.523   38 -1.550    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.660   43 -1.776   34 -1.324
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Rocky Mountain          2  8 181 290 -0.470   41 -1.496   40 -1.520   31 -1.150    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.654   30 -1.172   30 -1.129
Edward Waters           3  3 103 140 -1.648   42 -1.516   42 -1.554   46 -1.734    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.640   50 -1.906   41 -1.562
William Penn            4  7 153 225 -1.173   43 -1.520   43 -1.558   39 -1.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.599   59 -2.202   26 -0.985
Jamestown               5  5 218 194 -1.543   44 -1.531   44 -1.575   36 -1.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.550   44 -1.811   29 -1.095
Pikeville               5  5 229 238 -1.610   45 -1.564   45 -1.615   45 -1.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.535   42 -1.728   45 -1.630
Northwestern MN         8  2 282 114 -2.766   46 -1.596   46 -1.660   58 -2.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.413   68 -2.599   47 -1.652
Cumberland KY           4  6 180 155 -1.271   47 -1.615   47 -1.679   32 -1.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.565   48 -1.874   16 -0.431
Midland Lutheran        4  7 206 255 -1.337   48 -1.643   48 -1.716   40 -1.595    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.298   47 -1.851   35 -1.338
Taylor                  3  7 159 264 -1.256   49 -1.654   49 -1.729   48 -1.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.197   55 -2.084   48 -1.656
Montana St-Northern     1  9 141 357 -0.531   50 -1.730   50 -1.820   42 -1.632    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.942   41 -1.625   46 -1.640
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Jewell          6  5 304 210 -1.891   51 -1.786   51 -1.904   34 -1.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.124   33 -1.409   39 -1.406
Dakota Wesleyan         3  7 185 287 -1.397   52 -1.812   52 -1.933   49 -1.882    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.834   52 -1.952   52 -1.812
Bethany KS              6  3 332 221 -2.446   53 -1.858   53 -2.007   52 -1.927    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.912   27 -1.098   72 -2.755
Virginia-Wise           3  7 188 372 -1.617   54 -1.868   54 -2.014   65 -2.334    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.537   51 -1.913   71 -2.754
Central Methodist       5  6 182 214 -2.079   55 -1.984   55 -2.102   57 -2.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.531   73 -2.699   40 -1.548
Huron                   3  7 150 255 -1.695   56 -2.090   57 -2.242   56 -2.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.177   66 -2.451   51 -1.750
St Francis IL           2  8 192 282 -1.272   57 -2.091   56 -2.240   47 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.280   40 -1.569   54 -1.940
Avila                   4  6 240 331 -2.232   58 -2.094   58 -2.248   72 -2.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.100   56 -2.108   78 -3.142
McPherson               6  4 255 244 -2.772   59 -2.170   59 -2.295   70 -2.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.107   61 -2.292   75 -2.832
Southwestern KS         5  4 210 191 -2.573   60 -2.181   60 -2.309   66 -2.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.172   64 -2.360   62 -2.364
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Mary KS              5  4 242 199 -2.528   61 -2.198   61 -2.332   61 -2.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.198   53 -1.986   63 -2.367
Dana                    2  8 196 315 -1.453   62 -2.213   62 -2.345   54 -1.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.031   45 -1.813   57 -2.115
Tabor                   6  4 249 147 -2.660   63 -2.234   64 -2.380   60 -2.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.129   69 -2.606   49 -1.693
Friends                 5  4 183 233 -2.798   64 -2.261   63 -2.352   75 -2.960    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.905   76 -2.988   76 -2.933
Mayville State          3  7 192 292 -1.902   65 -2.314   65 -2.423   62 -2.179    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.833   54 -2.061   61 -2.297
Culver-Stockton         4  7 341 348 -2.007   66 -2.319   66 -2.429   59 -2.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.970   35 -1.445   74 -2.826
Ottawa                  5  5 270 195 -2.436   67 -2.325   67 -2.438   64 -2.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.978   58 -2.193   60 -2.245
Urbana                  1 10 124 431 -1.334   68 -2.456   68 -2.555   69 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.574   72 -2.693   59 -2.237
Union KY                2  8 183 330 -1.786   69 -2.471   69 -2.579   68 -2.426    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.640   62 -2.305   67 -2.547
South Dakota Tech       2  8 135 333 -1.944   70 -2.501   70 -2.622   73 -2.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.396   75 -2.843   65 -2.507
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Langston                2  9 169 324 -1.508   71 -2.521   71 -2.652   51 -1.921    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.713   60 -2.259   43 -1.583
Black Hills State       2  8 154 319 -1.983   72 -2.577   72 -2.724   71 -2.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.301   70 -2.627   68 -2.602
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9 153 347 -1.504   73 -2.597   73 -2.751   67 -2.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.345   63 -2.352   64 -2.452
Baker                   3  8 196 226 -2.058   74 -2.611   74 -2.777   63 -2.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.472   71 -2.659   50 -1.720
Martin Luther           6  3 253 205 -3.690   75 -2.720   75 -2.899   80 -3.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.950   77 -3.081   82 -3.594
Bethel TN               3  6 207 308 -2.772   76 -2.741   76 -2.924   78 -3.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.882   74 -2.752   81 -3.543
Dakota State            1  9 101 335 -2.113   77 -2.880   77 -3.119   77 -3.089    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.609   79 -3.473   70 -2.706
Peru State              2  8 196 343 -2.409   78 -2.961   78 -3.229   74 -2.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.626   65 -2.381   77 -3.047
Allen                   0  5  55 171 -2.146   79 -3.076   79 -3.414   76 -3.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.445   78 -3.261   73 -2.816
Lindenwood              1 10 111 322 -2.409   80 -3.129   80 -3.499   79 -3.220    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.262   82 -3.914   66 -2.526
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Bethel KS               1  8  72 326 -3.135   81 -3.304   81 -3.776   84 -4.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  1.781   85 -4.778   84 -3.759
Haskell                 2  7 148 250 -3.427   82 -3.371   82 -3.879   83 -3.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.756   84 -4.435   79 -3.186
Graceland               0 10 139 392 -2.494   83 -3.438   83 -3.988   82 -3.603    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  1.686   80 -3.548   83 -3.658
SW Assem of God         0  9  91 424 -3.099   84 -3.636   84 -4.350   85 -4.300    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.203   83 -4.291   86 -4.310
Sterling                0 10 128 351 -2.842   85 -3.646   85 -4.367   81 -3.519    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.427   81 -3.677   80 -3.361
Crown                   2  7 137 242 -4.097   86 -3.651   86 -4.380   86 -4.472    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.250   86 -4.955   85 -3.989
Trinity Bible           0  9  44 523 -4.582   87 -4.320   87 -5.346   87 -6.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  0.000   87 -6.531   87 -6.375


Central States Football League: strength=-2.211 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St         10  1 533 132 -0.890    9  0.287    9  0.049    5  0.311    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.252    2  0.587   10  0.036
Bacone                  6  5 259 323 -1.820   39 -1.472   39 -1.499   50 -1.903    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  5.607   46 -1.832   56 -1.973
Langston                2  9 169 324 -1.508   71 -2.521   71 -2.652   51 -1.921    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  3.713   60 -2.259   43 -1.583
Peru State              2  8 196 343 -2.409   78 -2.961   78 -3.229   74 -2.714    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  2.626   65 -2.381   77 -3.047
Haskell                 2  7 148 250 -3.427   82 -3.371   82 -3.879   83 -3.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  1.756   84 -4.435   79 -3.186

Dakota Athletic Conf: strength=-1.651 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mary                    9  2 318 159 -0.892   11  0.119   11 -0.094   15 -0.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  8.566   21 -0.691   11 -0.114
Minot State             9  2 423 241 -0.947   12  0.092   12 -0.127   16 -0.452    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.520    6  0.280   32 -1.183
Dickinson St            9  2 405 162 -0.890   15 -0.009   15 -0.246   10 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.445   11 -0.000   13 -0.222
Valley City St          7  3 243 155 -1.464   25 -0.883   25 -0.992   29 -1.102    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  6.614   36 -1.480   20 -0.724
Jamestown               5  5 218 194 -1.543   44 -1.531   44 -1.575   36 -1.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  5.550   44 -1.811   29 -1.095
Huron                   3  7 150 255 -1.695   56 -2.090   57 -2.242   56 -2.100    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  4.177   66 -2.451   51 -1.750
Mayville State          3  7 192 292 -1.902   65 -2.314   65 -2.423   62 -2.179    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  3.833   54 -2.061   61 -2.297
South Dakota Tech       2  8 135 333 -1.944   70 -2.501   70 -2.622   73 -2.675    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  3.396   75 -2.843   65 -2.507
Black Hills State       2  8 154 319 -1.983   72 -2.577   72 -2.724   71 -2.615    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  3.301   70 -2.627   68 -2.602
Dakota State            1  9 101 335 -2.113   77 -2.880   77 -3.119   77 -3.089    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  2.609   79 -3.473   70 -2.706

Frontier Conf: strength=-0.561 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             12  2 400 206  0.094    1  1.155    1  0.924    1  0.696    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 10.872    4  0.443    1  0.948
Montana-Western         9  3 309 290 -0.252    7  0.656    6  0.496   14 -0.225    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.724   10  0.021   18 -0.470
Montana Tech            4  7 222 260 -0.460   26 -0.941   26 -1.030   20 -0.666    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  6.579   23 -0.891   17 -0.442
Rocky Mountain          2  8 181 290 -0.470   41 -1.496   40 -1.520   31 -1.150    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  5.654   30 -1.172   30 -1.129
Montana St-Northern     1  9 141 357 -0.531   50 -1.730   50 -1.820   42 -1.632    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  4.942   41 -1.625   46 -1.640

Great Plains Athletic Conf: strength=-1.026 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls            12  1 463 126 -0.574    5  0.753    5  0.508    4  0.511    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 10.242    8  0.133    2  0.888
Hastings                7  3 337 208 -0.967   17 -0.545   17 -0.647   17 -0.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  7.605   14 -0.083   23 -0.823
Doane                   7  3 271 197 -1.114   18 -0.605   18 -0.711   21 -0.884    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  7.284   25 -0.972   22 -0.796
Northwestern IA         6  4 295 276 -1.100   21 -0.825   21 -0.919   27 -1.061    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  6.809   18 -0.514   44 -1.608
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4 255 214 -1.245   27 -0.944   27 -1.036   26 -1.031    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  6.545   26 -1.046   28 -1.016
Concordia NE            5  5 245 274 -1.013   30 -1.082   29 -1.073   30 -1.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  6.434   24 -0.896   37 -1.350
Midland Lutheran        4  7 206 255 -1.337   48 -1.643   48 -1.716   40 -1.595    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  5.298   47 -1.851   35 -1.338
Dakota Wesleyan         3  7 185 287 -1.397   52 -1.812   52 -1.933   49 -1.882    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  4.834   52 -1.952   52 -1.812
Dana                    2  8 196 315 -1.453   62 -2.213   62 -2.345   54 -1.964    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  4.031   45 -1.813   57 -2.115

Heart of America Athletic Conf: strength=-2.056 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MidAmer Nazarene        9  2 395 178 -1.477   19 -0.613   19 -0.725   18 -0.655    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  7.442   19 -0.584   21 -0.726
Benedictine KS          9  3 327 180 -1.585   22 -0.849   22 -0.951   24 -0.995    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  6.897   32 -1.362   19 -0.628
Missouri Valley         8  2 285 285 -2.097   23 -0.875   23 -0.984   55 -2.077    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  6.408   38 -1.553   69 -2.602
Evangel                 8  3 380 289 -1.799   32 -1.170   32 -1.181   35 -1.441    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  6.285   20 -0.646   58 -2.235
William Jewell          6  5 304 210 -1.891   51 -1.786   51 -1.904   34 -1.408    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.124   33 -1.409   39 -1.406
Central Methodist       5  6 182 214 -2.079   55 -1.984   55 -2.102   57 -2.123    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  4.531   73 -2.699   40 -1.548
Avila                   4  6 240 331 -2.232   58 -2.094   58 -2.248   72 -2.625    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  4.100   56 -2.108   78 -3.142
Culver-Stockton         4  7 341 348 -2.007   66 -2.319   66 -2.429   59 -2.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  3.970   35 -1.445   74 -2.826
Baker                   3  8 196 226 -2.058   74 -2.611   74 -2.777   63 -2.190    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  3.472   71 -2.659   50 -1.720
Lindenwood              1 10 111 322 -2.409   80 -3.129   80 -3.499   79 -3.220    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  2.262   82 -3.914   66 -2.526
Graceland               0 10 139 392 -2.494   83 -3.438   83 -3.988   82 -3.603    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  1.686   80 -3.548   83 -3.658

Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf: strength=-2.616 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Kansas Wesleyan         8  3 248 191 -2.017   34 -1.224   34 -1.255   43 -1.664    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  6.178   57 -2.184   31 -1.144
Bethany KS              6  3 332 221 -2.446   53 -1.858   53 -2.007   52 -1.927    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  4.912   27 -1.098   72 -2.755
McPherson               6  4 255 244 -2.772   59 -2.170   59 -2.295   70 -2.562    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  4.107   61 -2.292   75 -2.832
Southwestern KS         5  4 210 191 -2.573   60 -2.181   60 -2.309   66 -2.362    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  4.172   64 -2.360   62 -2.364
St Mary KS              5  4 242 199 -2.528   61 -2.198   61 -2.332   61 -2.177    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  4.198   53 -1.986   63 -2.367
Tabor                   6  4 249 147 -2.660   63 -2.234   64 -2.380   60 -2.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  4.129   69 -2.606   49 -1.693
Friends                 5  4 183 233 -2.798   64 -2.261   63 -2.352   75 -2.960    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  3.905   76 -2.988   76 -2.933
Ottawa                  5  5 270 195 -2.436   67 -2.325   67 -2.438   64 -2.219    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  3.978   58 -2.193   60 -2.245
Bethel KS               1  8  72 326 -3.135   81 -3.304   81 -3.776   84 -4.268    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  1.781   85 -4.778   84 -3.759
Sterling                0 10 128 351 -2.842   85 -3.646   85 -4.367   81 -3.519    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  1.427   81 -3.677   80 -3.361

Mid-South Conf: strength=-1.344 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY          12  2 475 162 -0.401    8  0.603    8  0.430    2  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.112    7  0.240    3  0.850
Cumberland TN           6  5 217 179 -1.024   28 -1.000   30 -1.082   23 -0.928    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  6.622   39 -1.555   14 -0.301
Lambuth                 6  4 272 283 -1.431   29 -1.054   28 -1.038   41 -1.608    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  6.434   31 -1.262   55 -1.954
Campbellsville          6  4 367 245 -1.216   31 -1.155   31 -1.161   19 -0.661    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  6.537    9  0.023   36 -1.345
Belhaven                5  6 227 258 -1.433   40 -1.495   41 -1.523   38 -1.550    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  5.660   43 -1.776   34 -1.324
Pikeville               5  5 229 238 -1.610   45 -1.564   45 -1.615   45 -1.679    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  5.535   42 -1.728   45 -1.630
Cumberland KY           4  6 180 155 -1.271   47 -1.615   47 -1.679   32 -1.153    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  5.565   48 -1.874   16 -0.431
Virginia-Wise           3  7 188 372 -1.617   54 -1.868   54 -2.014   65 -2.334    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  4.537   51 -1.913   71 -2.754
Union KY                2  8 183 330 -1.786   69 -2.471   69 -2.579   68 -2.426    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  3.640   62 -2.305   67 -2.547

Mid-States Football Assn: strength=-0.870 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
McKendree              11  2 345 188 -0.229    2  0.863    2  0.649    7  0.213    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 10.368   13 -0.074    5  0.499
St Francis IN          11  1 507 272 -0.599    3  0.847    3  0.628    8 -0.056    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.216    1  0.763   24 -0.875
St Ambrose              8  3 306 194 -0.543   10  0.128   10 -0.084   13 -0.210    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  8.643   12 -0.041   15 -0.379
Walsh                   8  3 311 168 -0.645   13  0.027   13 -0.209   12 -0.149    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  8.526   17 -0.477    8  0.179
St Xavier               9  3 400 157 -0.695   14  0.002   14 -0.228   11 -0.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.493   15 -0.399    9  0.129
Tri-State               6  3 223 137 -0.463   16 -0.091   16 -0.292    9 -0.082    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.444   16 -0.429    6  0.265
Geneva                  7  5 259 260 -1.027   20 -0.725   20 -0.816   28 -1.079    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  7.031   28 -1.147   27 -1.011
Trinity IL              6  5 165 149 -1.032   24 -0.879   24 -0.985   25 -1.018    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  6.710   49 -1.897   12 -0.139
Malone                  4  6 245 196 -0.902   35 -1.324   36 -1.384   22 -0.902    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  6.101   22 -0.831   25 -0.972
Olivet Nazarene         4  6 207 254 -1.023   36 -1.366   35 -1.353   33 -1.208    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  5.960   29 -1.148   33 -1.269
William Penn            4  7 153 225 -1.173   43 -1.520   43 -1.558   39 -1.594    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  5.599   59 -2.202   26 -0.985
Taylor                  3  7 159 264 -1.256   49 -1.654   49 -1.729   48 -1.870    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.197   55 -2.084   48 -1.656
St Francis IL           2  8 192 282 -1.272   57 -2.091   56 -2.240   47 -1.754    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  4.280   40 -1.569   54 -1.940
Urbana                  1 10 124 431 -1.334   68 -2.456   68 -2.555   69 -2.465    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  3.574   72 -2.693   59 -2.237
Iowa Wesleyan           1  9 153 347 -1.504   73 -2.597   73 -2.751   67 -2.402    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  3.345   63 -2.352   64 -2.452

Upper Midwest Athl Conf (north): strength=-4.198 (#10)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern MN         8  2 282 114 -2.766   46 -1.596   46 -1.660   58 -2.126    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  5.413   68 -2.599   47 -1.652
Martin Luther           6  3 253 205 -3.690   75 -2.720   75 -2.899   80 -3.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  2.950   77 -3.081   82 -3.594
Crown                   2  7 137 242 -4.097   86 -3.651   86 -4.380   86 -4.472    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  1.250   86 -4.955   85 -3.989
Trinity Bible           0  9  44 523 -4.582   87 -4.320   87 -5.346   87 -6.453    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  0.000   87 -6.531   87 -6.375

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.916 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific           8  1 313 150 -0.364    4  0.770    4  0.530    6  0.272    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.032    5  0.337    7  0.207
Southern Oregon         8  3 334 206  0.136    6  0.713    7  0.466    3  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.085    3  0.548    4  0.541
Morningside             5  5 213 286 -1.332   33 -1.223   33 -1.249   44 -1.667    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.015   37 -1.515   53 -1.818
Southern Nazarene       7  3 192 147 -2.021   37 -1.391   37 -1.389   53 -1.929    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  5.831   67 -2.469   38 -1.390
Paul Quinn              4  2 188 120 -1.856   38 -1.456   38 -1.477   37 -1.503    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  5.857   34 -1.436   42 -1.569
Edward Waters           3  3 103 140 -1.648   42 -1.516   42 -1.554   46 -1.734    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  5.640   50 -1.906   41 -1.562
Bethel TN               3  6 207 308 -2.772   76 -2.741   76 -2.924   78 -3.148    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  2.882   74 -2.752   81 -3.543
Allen                   0  5  55 171 -2.146   79 -3.076   79 -3.414   76 -3.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  2.445   78 -3.261   73 -2.816
SW Assem of God         0  9  91 424 -3.099   84 -3.636   84 -4.350   85 -4.300    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  1.203   83 -4.291   86 -4.310

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                     W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conf                                 28 29 0.491    1 -0.561
Mid-States Football Assn                      85 78 0.521    2 -0.870
Great Plains Athletic Conf                    52 42 0.553    3 -1.026
Mid-South Conf                                49 47 0.510    4 -1.344
Dakota Athletic Conf                          50 53 0.485    5 -1.651
NAIA Independents                             38 37 0.507    6 -1.916
Heart of America Athletic Conf                57 62 0.479    7 -2.056
Central States Football League                22 30 0.423    8 -2.211
Kansas Collegiate Athl Conf                   47 49 0.490    9 -2.616
Upper Midwest Athl Conf (north)               16 21 0.432   10 -4.198

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.188 points in main ratings
     0.025 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:23 2019

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