Dolphin Ratings - College Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall I-A I-AA II III NAIA NESCAC

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             12  2 401 145  0.119    1  1.043    1  0.803    1  0.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.758    2  0.397    2  1.105
Azusa Pacific          11  3 357 135  0.032    2  0.758    2  0.573    3  0.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.390    7 -0.256    1  1.374
St Francis IN          13  1 555 147 -0.544    3  0.689    3  0.483    2  0.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.337    1  0.470    3  0.749
Georgetown KY          12  1 513 178 -0.755    4  0.499    4  0.308    4  0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.684    5  0.049    6  0.182
Sioux Falls            11  1 491 169 -0.761    5  0.389    5  0.233    5  0.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.534    3  0.264    9 -0.213
Montana-Western         7  4 236 219 -0.244    6  0.294    6  0.115   11 -0.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.012   12 -0.540   10 -0.239
NW Oklahoma St          9  2 348 118 -0.599    7  0.206    7 -0.004    6 -0.098    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.194   14 -0.652    5  0.455
Montana Tech            8  4 319 227 -0.250    8  0.202    8 -0.006    8 -0.193    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.741    9 -0.371    8 -0.016
McKendree               9  2 278 183 -0.940    9  0.011    9 -0.162   14 -0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.347   16 -0.733   11 -0.358
Eastern Oregon          6  4 251 174 -0.261   10 -0.114   10 -0.260    7 -0.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.267    8 -0.312    7 -0.012
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St           10  2 379 190 -1.044   11 -0.122   11 -0.275   12 -0.501    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.219   11 -0.536   15 -0.467
Hastings                9  3 333 253 -0.951   12 -0.192   13 -0.361   16 -0.710    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.988   13 -0.557   25 -0.863
Lindenwood             11  1 337 152 -1.577   13 -0.227   12 -0.354   25 -0.983    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.946   40 -1.369   18 -0.597
Trinity Int'l           8  3 266 194 -0.870   14 -0.236   14 -0.361   15 -0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.000   20 -0.866   14 -0.441
Mary                    9  2 283 157 -1.243   15 -0.478   15 -0.465   18 -0.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.697   27 -1.133   13 -0.416
St Xavier               7  4 251 242 -0.833   16 -0.517   16 -0.510   22 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.610   21 -0.894   27 -0.943
Morningside             8  3 266 179 -0.938   17 -0.522   17 -0.522   19 -0.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.644   33 -1.237   12 -0.371
Walsh                   8  3 291 209 -1.061   18 -0.525   18 -0.527   20 -0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.634   22 -0.997   20 -0.709
Cumberland KY           8  3 420 224 -1.037   19 -0.577   19 -0.592   13 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.655    6 -0.104   26 -0.916
Bacone                  7  3 324 222 -1.052   20 -0.599   20 -0.620   21 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.415   10 -0.527   32 -1.186
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Northwestern IA         7  3 260  81 -0.902   21 -0.704   21 -0.759    9 -0.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.224   34 -1.277    4  0.601
St Ambrose              7  3 375 174 -1.064   22 -0.754   22 -0.804   10 -0.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.183    4  0.087   24 -0.840
MidAmerica Nazarene    10  3 387 213 -1.394   23 -0.766   23 -0.819   17 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.014   17 -0.735   21 -0.730
Edward Waters           7  3 234 232 -1.350   24 -0.771   24 -0.825   34 -1.267    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.932   29 -1.165   35 -1.369
Graceland               8  2 331 271 -1.774   25 -0.805   25 -0.872   40 -1.547    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.624   18 -0.749   68 -2.345
Pikeville               8  3 262 177 -1.401   26 -0.836   26 -0.904   27 -1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.811   44 -1.504   16 -0.513
Olivet Nazarene         7  5 255 207 -1.043   27 -0.846   27 -0.914   24 -0.982    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.774   38 -1.343   19 -0.621
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4 258 228 -1.310   28 -1.006   28 -1.103   33 -1.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.270   26 -1.133   37 -1.396
Southern Nazarene       6  4 192 165 -1.441   29 -1.044   29 -1.150   37 -1.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.221   59 -2.081   23 -0.783
Southern Oregon         3  6 133 221 -0.583   30 -1.113   30 -1.240   26 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.109   42 -1.485   17 -0.524
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Minot St                6  4 245 202 -1.403   31 -1.117   31 -1.251   31 -1.183    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.099   41 -1.408   28 -0.959
Langston                6  5 315 256 -1.264   32 -1.122   32 -1.256   32 -1.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.178   25 -1.084   38 -1.407
Lambuth                 6  4 282 239 -1.480   33 -1.148   33 -1.292   35 -1.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.080   28 -1.138   39 -1.472
Concordia NE            5  5 293 221 -1.209   34 -1.302   34 -1.446   28 -1.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.927   19 -0.762   34 -1.307
Texas College           5  6 329 295 -1.041   35 -1.309   35 -1.454   23 -0.973    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.009   15 -0.670   33 -1.277
Geneva                  5  5 175 192 -1.469   36 -1.322   36 -1.471   39 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.640   55 -1.968   30 -1.111
Tabor                   9  2 302 263 -2.567   37 -1.342   37 -1.512   61 -2.223    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.561   60 -2.109   67 -2.337
Valley City St          5  5 223 251 -1.499   38 -1.360   38 -1.530   44 -1.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.526   46 -1.648   45 -1.656
Jamestown               5  5 228 237 -1.586   39 -1.371   39 -1.544   46 -1.726    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.464   47 -1.665   51 -1.787
Campbellsville          6  5 313 307 -1.621   40 -1.371   40 -1.546   41 -1.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.556   30 -1.179   61 -2.057
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Webber Int'l            4  5 192 243 -1.457   41 -1.489   41 -1.580   42 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.523   49 -1.736   41 -1.509
Midland Lutheran        5  6 237 298 -1.636   42 -1.542   42 -1.653   50 -1.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.286   48 -1.695   59 -2.006
Quincy                  4  7 268 299 -1.184   43 -1.567   43 -1.685   36 -1.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.420   24 -1.050   47 -1.678
Bethel TN               5  7 304 404 -1.528   44 -1.577   44 -1.698   49 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.213   39 -1.350   64 -2.238
Urbana                  5  6 274 221 -1.342   45 -1.594   45 -1.719   29 -1.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.438   23 -1.037   29 -1.053
William Penn            3  8 224 252 -0.834   46 -1.760   46 -1.856   30 -1.049    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.242   35 -1.331   22 -0.767
Benedictine KS          5  6 284 272 -1.644   47 -1.772   49 -1.876   38 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.090   32 -1.211   49 -1.752
William Jewell          5  5 201 202 -1.853   48 -1.802   47 -1.857   48 -1.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.045   56 -2.010   40 -1.504
Malone                  4  6 229 267 -1.568   49 -1.810   48 -1.867   47 -1.744    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.993   45 -1.553   56 -1.935
Union KY                4  7 293 339 -1.456   50 -1.838   50 -1.903   45 -1.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.973   36 -1.336   60 -2.039
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6 267 302 -1.683   51 -1.861   51 -1.932   52 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.868   31 -1.189   73 -2.555
Waldorf                 3  7 103 405 -2.016   52 -1.947   52 -2.053   80 -2.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.227   77 -2.979   69 -2.431
Belhaven                4  7 236 291 -1.720   53 -1.957   55 -2.068   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.699   58 -2.064   58 -1.981
Briar Cliff             3  7 143 247 -1.619   54 -1.958   54 -2.067   59 -2.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.525   68 -2.545   43 -1.643
Dakota St               4  6 236 216 -1.735   55 -1.970   56 -2.085   43 -1.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.706   50 -1.758   42 -1.513
Black Hills St          4  6 164 202 -1.831   56 -2.013   53 -2.060   54 -1.917    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.576   67 -2.461   36 -1.373
Missouri Valley         4  6 183 220 -1.935   57 -2.060   57 -2.117   58 -2.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.544   63 -2.262   55 -1.910
Baker                   4  6 229 300 -1.957   58 -2.074   59 -2.132   60 -2.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.414   51 -1.761   76 -2.606
Evangel                 4  6 268 310 -1.930   59 -2.086   58 -2.131   56 -2.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.526   37 -1.337   84 -2.762
Kentucky Wesleyan       4  7 178 301 -1.888   60 -2.092   60 -2.137   66 -2.280    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.291   71 -2.666   54 -1.894
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Iowa Wesleyan           2  9 123 375 -1.295   61 -2.097   61 -2.140   63 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.267   70 -2.653   53 -1.845
Virginia-Wise           3  8 258 421 -1.630   62 -2.131   62 -2.185   57 -2.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.350   43 -1.501   81 -2.655
Central Methodist       4  7 168 176 -1.848   63 -2.131   63 -2.186   53 -1.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.486   69 -2.577   31 -1.177
South Dakota Tech       3  7 202 312 -1.880   64 -2.200   64 -2.274   67 -2.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.775   54 -1.961   82 -2.665
Montana St-Northern     1 10 121 380 -0.977   65 -2.320   65 -2.337   51 -1.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.703   57 -2.060   46 -1.659
Rocky Mountain          1 10  85 333 -1.054   66 -2.322   66 -2.340   65 -2.262    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.659   75 -2.871   44 -1.654
Taylor                  2  8 105 320 -1.735   67 -2.392   67 -2.385   71 -2.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.544   83 -3.104   57 -1.979
St Francis IL           1 10 100 311 -1.338   68 -2.431   68 -2.434   70 -2.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.509   81 -3.083   52 -1.830
Haskell                 4  7 195 286 -2.314   69 -2.450   69 -2.464   79 -2.676    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.490   84 -3.129   63 -2.224
Doane                   2  8 110 274 -1.735   70 -2.457   70 -2.472   69 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.416   79 -2.995   50 -1.772
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Friends                 5  4 221 230 -2.762   71 -2.459   71 -2.479   76 -2.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.584   66 -2.415   87 -2.900
Northwestern MN         6  5 236 255 -3.039   72 -2.466   72 -2.490   84 -2.826    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75  4.383   82 -3.099   72 -2.553
Paul Quinn              2  6 200 289 -1.863   73 -2.484   73 -2.512   64 -2.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.597   53 -1.863   79 -2.645
Southwestern KS         5  5 252 268 -2.648   74 -2.487   74 -2.521   73 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.541   64 -2.277   85 -2.835
Sterling                5  5 263 230 -2.661   75 -2.540   75 -2.590   68 -2.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.428   61 -2.110   77 -2.608
Dana                    2  9 227 374 -1.790   76 -2.630   76 -2.682   62 -2.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.186   52 -1.823   80 -2.649
Culver-Stockton         2  8  99 206 -2.045   77 -2.655   77 -2.719   74 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.071   89 -3.393   48 -1.734
Bethel KS               4  5 203 197 -2.777   78 -2.694   80 -2.778   75 -2.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.144   72 -2.691   74 -2.568
Bethany KS              4  5 174 175 -2.795   79 -2.718   78 -2.767   77 -2.669    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.133   80 -3.038   66 -2.299
Kansas Wesleyan         4  6 209 242 -2.642   80 -2.744   79 -2.773   78 -2.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.089   73 -2.750   75 -2.593
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Avila                   2  9  73 264 -2.150   81 -2.766   81 -2.797   88 -3.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  3.840   93 -4.119   62 -2.087
McPherson               4  6 156 206 -2.783   82 -2.804   82 -2.850   87 -2.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.933   90 -3.474   70 -2.486
Dakota Wesleyan         1 10 143 427 -1.936   83 -2.900   83 -2.979   86 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.483   76 -2.974   88 -2.962
Ottawa                  3  7 158 214 -2.657   84 -2.923   84 -3.015   83 -2.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.668   87 -3.292   65 -2.295
Peru St                 1  9 129 376 -1.944   85 -2.940   85 -3.035   82 -2.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.518   78 -2.992   71 -2.552
St Mary KS              3  6 233 273 -2.813   86 -2.947   86 -3.050   81 -2.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.610   62 -2.178   90 -3.336
Allen                   1  7 116 302 -2.428   87 -3.035   87 -3.173   90 -3.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.207   85 -3.292   89 -3.304
Ohio Dominican          0 10 154 380 -1.561   88 -3.096   88 -3.261   72 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.217   65 -2.414   83 -2.697
Cumberland TN           0 10 113 369 -1.885   89 -3.209   89 -3.432   85 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  2.811   86 -3.292   78 -2.612
Mayville St             0 10  75 356 -2.228   90 -3.367   90 -3.635   91 -3.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  2.468   92 -4.066   86 -2.896
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
SW Assem of God         1 10 221 474 -2.660   91 -3.426   91 -3.732   89 -3.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  2.490   74 -2.800   91 -3.733
Southern Virginia       0  8 103 354 -3.076   92 -3.694   92 -4.130   93 -3.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  1.966   91 -3.890   92 -4.070
Crown                   2  7 218 298 -3.874   93 -3.884   93 -4.426   92 -3.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93  1.738   88 -3.381   93 -4.247
Trinity Bible           0 10  67 534 -5.260   94 -4.860   94 -5.676   94 -6.327    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94  0.000   94 -6.665   94 -5.989


Central States Football League: strength=-1.562 (#4)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St          9  2 348 118 -0.599    7  0.206    7 -0.004    6 -0.098    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 10.194   14 -0.652    5  0.455
Bacone                  7  3 324 222 -1.052   20 -0.599   20 -0.620   21 -0.856    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20  8.415   10 -0.527   32 -1.186
Southern Nazarene       6  4 192 165 -1.441   29 -1.044   29 -1.150   37 -1.432    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29  7.221   59 -2.081   23 -0.783
Langston                6  5 315 256 -1.264   32 -1.122   32 -1.256   32 -1.246    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30  7.178   25 -1.084   38 -1.407
Texas College           5  6 329 295 -1.041   35 -1.309   35 -1.454   23 -0.973    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34  7.009   15 -0.670   33 -1.277
Haskell                 4  7 195 286 -2.314   69 -2.450   69 -2.464   79 -2.676    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72  4.490   84 -3.129   63 -2.224
Peru St                 1  9 129 376 -1.944   85 -2.940   85 -3.035   82 -2.772    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85  3.518   78 -2.992   71 -2.552
SW Assem of God         1 10 221 474 -2.660   91 -3.426   91 -3.732   89 -3.266    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90  2.490   74 -2.800   91 -3.733

Dakota Athletic Conference: strength=-1.666 (#6)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Dickinson St           10  2 379 190 -1.044   11 -0.122   11 -0.275   12 -0.501    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11  9.219   11 -0.536   15 -0.467
Mary                    9  2 283 157 -1.243   15 -0.478   15 -0.465   18 -0.774    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15  8.697   27 -1.133   13 -0.416
Minot St                6  4 245 202 -1.403   31 -1.117   31 -1.251   31 -1.183    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32  7.099   41 -1.408   28 -0.959
Valley City St          5  5 223 251 -1.499   38 -1.360   38 -1.530   44 -1.652    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39  6.526   46 -1.648   45 -1.656
Jamestown               5  5 228 237 -1.586   39 -1.371   39 -1.544   46 -1.726    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41  6.464   47 -1.665   51 -1.787
Si Tanka-Huron          4  6 267 302 -1.683   51 -1.861   51 -1.932   52 -1.872    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51  5.868   31 -1.189   73 -2.555
Dakota St               4  6 236 216 -1.735   55 -1.970   56 -2.085   43 -1.635    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52  5.706   50 -1.758   42 -1.513
Black Hills St          4  6 164 202 -1.831   56 -2.013   53 -2.060   54 -1.917    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54  5.576   67 -2.461   36 -1.373
South Dakota Tech       3  7 202 312 -1.880   64 -2.200   64 -2.274   67 -2.313    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64  4.775   54 -1.961   82 -2.665
Mayville St             0 10  75 356 -2.228   90 -3.367   90 -3.635   91 -3.481    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91  2.468   92 -4.066   86 -2.896

Frontier Conference: strength=-0.646 (#1)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Carroll MT             12  2 401 145  0.119    1  1.043    1  0.803    1  0.751    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 11.758    2  0.397    2  1.105
Montana-Western         7  4 236 219 -0.244    6  0.294    6  0.115   11 -0.389    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 10.012   12 -0.540   10 -0.239
Montana Tech            8  4 319 227 -0.250    8  0.202    8 -0.006    8 -0.193    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8  9.741    9 -0.371    8 -0.016
Montana St-Northern     1 10 121 380 -0.977   65 -2.320   65 -2.337   51 -1.860    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65  4.703   57 -2.060   46 -1.659
Rocky Mountain          1 10  85 333 -1.054   66 -2.322   66 -2.340   65 -2.262    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66  4.659   75 -2.871   44 -1.654

Great Plains Athletic Conference: strength=-1.363 (#3)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Sioux Falls            11  1 491 169 -0.761    5  0.389    5  0.233    5  0.025    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 10.534    3  0.264    9 -0.213
Hastings                9  3 333 253 -0.951   12 -0.192   13 -0.361   16 -0.710    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13  8.988   13 -0.557   25 -0.863
Morningside             8  3 266 179 -0.938   17 -0.522   17 -0.522   19 -0.804    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17  8.644   33 -1.237   12 -0.371
Northwestern IA         7  3 260  81 -0.902   21 -0.704   21 -0.759    9 -0.338    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21  8.224   34 -1.277    4  0.601
Nebraska Wesleyan       6  4 258 228 -1.310   28 -1.006   28 -1.103   33 -1.264    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28  7.270   26 -1.133   37 -1.396
Concordia NE            5  5 293 221 -1.209   34 -1.302   34 -1.446   28 -1.035    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35  6.927   19 -0.762   34 -1.307
Midland Lutheran        5  6 237 298 -1.636   42 -1.542   42 -1.653   50 -1.851    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44  6.286   48 -1.695   59 -2.006
Briar Cliff             3  7 143 247 -1.619   54 -1.958   54 -2.067   59 -2.094    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57  5.525   68 -2.545   43 -1.643
Doane                   2  8 110 274 -1.735   70 -2.457   70 -2.472   69 -2.383    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74  4.416   79 -2.995   50 -1.772
Dana                    2  9 227 374 -1.790   76 -2.630   76 -2.682   62 -2.236    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76  4.186   52 -1.823   80 -2.649
Dakota Wesleyan         1 10 143 427 -1.936   83 -2.900   83 -2.979   86 -2.968    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86  3.483   76 -2.974   88 -2.962

Heart of America Athletic Conference: strength=-1.871 (#8)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindenwood             11  1 337 152 -1.577   13 -0.227   12 -0.354   25 -0.983    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14  8.946   40 -1.369   18 -0.597
MidAmerica Nazarene    10  3 387 213 -1.394   23 -0.766   23 -0.819   17 -0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23  8.014   17 -0.735   21 -0.730
Graceland               8  2 331 271 -1.774   25 -0.805   25 -0.872   40 -1.547    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27  7.624   18 -0.749   68 -2.345
Benedictine KS          5  6 284 272 -1.644   47 -1.772   49 -1.876   38 -1.482    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47  6.090   32 -1.211   49 -1.752
William Jewell          5  5 201 202 -1.853   48 -1.802   47 -1.857   48 -1.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48  6.045   56 -2.010   40 -1.504
Missouri Valley         4  6 183 220 -1.935   57 -2.060   57 -2.117   58 -2.086    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55  5.544   63 -2.262   55 -1.910
Baker                   4  6 229 300 -1.957   58 -2.074   59 -2.132   60 -2.184    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59  5.414   51 -1.761   76 -2.606
Evangel                 4  6 268 310 -1.930   59 -2.086   58 -2.131   56 -2.050    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56  5.526   37 -1.337   84 -2.762
Central Methodist       4  7 168 176 -1.848   63 -2.131   63 -2.186   53 -1.877    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58  5.486   69 -2.577   31 -1.177
Culver-Stockton         2  8  99 206 -2.045   77 -2.655   77 -2.719   74 -2.563    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80  4.071   89 -3.393   48 -1.734
Avila                   2  9  73 264 -2.150   81 -2.766   81 -2.797   88 -3.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82  3.840   93 -4.119   62 -2.087

Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference: strength=-2.768 (#9)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Tabor                   9  2 302 263 -2.567   37 -1.342   37 -1.512   61 -2.223    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37  6.561   60 -2.109   67 -2.337
Friends                 5  4 221 230 -2.762   71 -2.459   71 -2.479   76 -2.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68  4.584   66 -2.415   87 -2.900
Southwestern KS         5  5 252 268 -2.648   74 -2.487   74 -2.521   73 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70  4.541   64 -2.277   85 -2.835
Sterling                5  5 263 230 -2.661   75 -2.540   75 -2.590   68 -2.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73  4.428   61 -2.110   77 -2.608
Bethel KS               4  5 203 197 -2.777   78 -2.694   80 -2.778   75 -2.630    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77  4.144   72 -2.691   74 -2.568
Bethany KS              4  5 174 175 -2.795   79 -2.718   78 -2.767   77 -2.669    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78  4.133   80 -3.038   66 -2.299
Kansas Wesleyan         4  6 209 242 -2.642   80 -2.744   79 -2.773   78 -2.672    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79  4.089   73 -2.750   75 -2.593
McPherson               4  6 156 206 -2.783   82 -2.804   82 -2.850   87 -2.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81  3.933   90 -3.474   70 -2.486
Ottawa                  3  7 158 214 -2.657   84 -2.923   84 -3.015   83 -2.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83  3.668   87 -3.292   65 -2.295
St Mary KS              3  6 233 273 -2.813   86 -2.947   86 -3.050   81 -2.757    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84  3.610   62 -2.178   90 -3.336

Mid-South Conference: strength=-1.566 (#5)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Georgetown KY          12  1 513 178 -0.755    4  0.499    4  0.308    4  0.116    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 10.684    5  0.049    6  0.182
Cumberland KY           8  3 420 224 -1.037   19 -0.577   19 -0.592   13 -0.510    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16  8.655    6 -0.104   26 -0.916
Pikeville               8  3 262 177 -1.401   26 -0.836   26 -0.904   27 -1.009    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25  7.811   44 -1.504   16 -0.513
Lambuth                 6  4 282 239 -1.480   33 -1.148   33 -1.292   35 -1.305    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33  7.080   28 -1.138   39 -1.472
Campbellsville          6  5 313 307 -1.621   40 -1.371   40 -1.546   41 -1.618    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38  6.556   30 -1.179   61 -2.057
Bethel TN               5  7 304 404 -1.528   44 -1.577   44 -1.698   49 -1.794    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46  6.213   39 -1.350   64 -2.238
Union KY                4  7 293 339 -1.456   50 -1.838   50 -1.903   45 -1.688    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50  5.973   36 -1.336   60 -2.039
Belhaven                4  7 236 291 -1.720   53 -1.957   55 -2.068   55 -2.023    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53  5.699   58 -2.064   58 -1.981
Kentucky Wesleyan       4  7 178 301 -1.888   60 -2.092   60 -2.137   66 -2.280    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61  5.291   71 -2.666   54 -1.894
Virginia-Wise           3  8 258 421 -1.630   62 -2.131   62 -2.185   57 -2.078    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60  5.350   43 -1.501   81 -2.655
Cumberland TN           0 10 113 369 -1.885   89 -3.209   89 -3.432   85 -2.952    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89  2.811   86 -3.292   78 -2.612

Mid-States Football Association: strength=-1.197 (#2)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Francis IN          13  1 555 147 -0.544    3  0.689    3  0.483    2  0.610    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 11.337    1  0.470    3  0.749
McKendree               9  2 278 183 -0.940    9  0.011    9 -0.162   14 -0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9  9.347   16 -0.733   11 -0.358
Trinity Int'l           8  3 266 194 -0.870   14 -0.236   14 -0.361   15 -0.653    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12  9.000   20 -0.866   14 -0.441
St Xavier               7  4 251 242 -0.833   16 -0.517   16 -0.510   22 -0.918    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19  8.610   21 -0.894   27 -0.943
Walsh                   8  3 291 209 -1.061   18 -0.525   18 -0.527   20 -0.853    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18  8.634   22 -0.997   20 -0.709
St Ambrose              7  3 375 174 -1.064   22 -0.754   22 -0.804   10 -0.376    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22  8.183    4  0.087   24 -0.840
Olivet Nazarene         7  5 255 207 -1.043   27 -0.846   27 -0.914   24 -0.982    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26  7.774   38 -1.343   19 -0.621
Geneva                  5  5 175 192 -1.469   36 -1.322   36 -1.471   39 -1.540    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36  6.640   55 -1.968   30 -1.111
Quincy                  4  7 268 299 -1.184   43 -1.567   43 -1.685   36 -1.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43  6.420   24 -1.050   47 -1.678
Urbana                  5  6 274 221 -1.342   45 -1.594   45 -1.719   29 -1.045    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42  6.438   23 -1.037   29 -1.053
William Penn            3  8 224 252 -0.834   46 -1.760   46 -1.856   30 -1.049    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45  6.242   35 -1.331   22 -0.767
Malone                  4  6 229 267 -1.568   49 -1.810   48 -1.867   47 -1.744    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49  5.993   45 -1.553   56 -1.935
Iowa Wesleyan           2  9 123 375 -1.295   61 -2.097   61 -2.140   63 -2.249    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62  5.267   70 -2.653   53 -1.845
Taylor                  2  8 105 320 -1.735   67 -2.392   67 -2.385   71 -2.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69  4.544   83 -3.104   57 -1.979
St Francis IL           1 10 100 311 -1.338   68 -2.431   68 -2.434   70 -2.457    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71  4.509   81 -3.083   52 -1.830
Ohio Dominican          0 10 154 380 -1.561   88 -3.096   88 -3.261   72 -2.556    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87  3.217   65 -2.414   83 -2.697

NAIA Independents: strength=-1.800 (#7)
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                    W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Azusa Pacific          11  3 357 135  0.032    2  0.758    2  0.573    3  0.559    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 11.390    7 -0.256    1  1.374
Eastern Oregon          6  4 251 174 -0.261   10 -0.114   10 -0.260    7 -0.162    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10  9.267    8 -0.312    7 -0.012
Edward Waters           7  3 234 232 -1.350   24 -0.771   24 -0.825   34 -1.267    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24  7.932   29 -1.165   35 -1.369
Southern Oregon         3  6 133 221 -0.583   30 -1.113   30 -1.240   26 -1.005    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31  7.109   42 -1.485   17 -0.524
Webber Int'l            4  5 192 243 -1.457   41 -1.489   41 -1.580   42 -1.623    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40  6.523   49 -1.736   41 -1.509
Waldorf                 3  7 103 405 -2.016   52 -1.947   52 -2.053   80 -2.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63  5.227   77 -2.979   69 -2.431
Paul Quinn              2  6 200 289 -1.863   73 -2.484   73 -2.512   64 -2.254    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67  4.597   53 -1.863   79 -2.645
Allen                   1  7 116 302 -2.428   87 -3.035   87 -3.173   90 -3.298    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88  3.207   85 -3.292   89 -3.304
Southern Virginia       0  8 103 354 -3.076   92 -3.694   92 -4.130   93 -3.980    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92  1.966   91 -3.890   92 -4.070

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                                               W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
Frontier Conference                                     29 30 0.492    1 -0.646
Mid-States Football Association                         85 90 0.486    2 -1.197
Great Plains Athletic Conference                        59 59 0.500    3 -1.363
Central States Football League                          39 46 0.459    4 -1.562
Mid-South Conference                                    60 62 0.492    5 -1.566
Dakota Athletic Conference                              50 53 0.485    6 -1.666
NAIA Independents                                       37 49 0.430    7 -1.800
Heart of America Athletic Conference                    59 59 0.500    8 -1.871
Kansas Collegiate Athletic Conference                   46 51 0.474    9 -2.768

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.214 points in main ratings
     0.027 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:37:31 2019

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