Dolphin Ratings - National Football League

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    6 1 0 140  93  0.142  3.560    1  0.177    1  0.189    4  0.119    1 0.6236   32  0.763   31 -0.484    1  0.722
BRONCOS    6 2 0 172 165  0.194  4.498    2  0.165    2  0.177   13  0.068    2 0.6097   19  1.211   14 -0.021   11  0.156
BILLS      6 1 0 233 181  0.021  3.292    3  0.161    3  0.170    6  0.105    4 0.6050    1  1.680    1  0.700   30 -0.489
49ERS      6 1 0 197 139  0.003  3.160    4  0.157    4  0.164    8  0.099    3 0.6089   12  1.376    8  0.235   20 -0.036
STEELERS   6 2 0 180 144  0.030  3.887    5  0.135    5  0.139    9  0.087    6 0.5875   30  1.067   26 -0.181    2  0.355
BEARS      5 2 0 180 143  0.087  3.560    6  0.116    7  0.118   12  0.070    7 0.5752   11  1.380    9  0.209   22 -0.070
LIONS      5 2 0 203 180  0.075  3.554    7  0.116    8  0.118   11  0.075    5 0.5900    6  1.528    4  0.431   24 -0.281
JAGUARS    5 2 0 196 111  0.118  3.317    8  0.109   10  0.110    1  0.188   10 0.5637   20  1.201   13  0.087    4  0.288
PATRIOTS   5 3 0 184 162  0.292  4.690    9  0.107    6  0.122    5  0.111    8 0.5739   23  1.160   17 -0.043    8  0.264
BENGALS    5 2 0 206 158  0.109  3.493   10  0.103    9  0.115    7  0.101   12 0.5425    5  1.555    3  0.498   25 -0.295
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHIEFS     5 2 0 167 131 -0.001  3.270   11  0.091   12  0.100   14  0.056    9 0.5707   22  1.175   21 -0.079    9  0.190
PACKERS    5 3 0 171 164  0.163  4.386   12  0.090   11  0.101   10  0.080   11 0.5547   26  1.127   23 -0.115    6  0.275
BROWNS     5 3 0 139 173  0.019  4.201   13  0.079   13  0.088   26 -0.068   13 0.5404   29  1.087   29 -0.312   10  0.175
SEAHAWKS   4 3 0 168 125  0.083  3.406   14  0.041   14  0.042    3  0.121   14 0.5400   25  1.158   15 -0.035    5  0.276
GIANTS     4 2 1 163 161 -0.318  2.650   15  0.022   15  0.018   23 -0.061   22 0.4745   17  1.223   24 -0.134   17  0.012
RAIDERS    4 4 0 221 230 -0.037  3.858   16  0.006   16  0.001   18 -0.020   17 0.4938    2  1.648    2  0.522   32 -0.562
RAVENS     4 4 0 179 203 -0.187  3.554   17 -0.012   19 -0.021   29 -0.110   20 0.4775   16  1.224   25 -0.181   21 -0.039
RAMS       4 4 0 194 168 -0.103  3.511   18 -0.012   18 -0.021   15  0.042   15 0.5010   18  1.212   18 -0.045   12  0.129
BUCCANEERS 3 5 0 178 151  0.154  4.264   19 -0.029   21 -0.038    2  0.133   19 0.4854   27  1.108   22 -0.084    3  0.351
PANTHERS   3 4 0 178 193  0.038  3.576   20 -0.031   17 -0.019   17 -0.006   16 0.4945    4  1.574    6  0.420   29 -0.431
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
FALCONS    3 5 0 171 189  0.098  4.385   21 -0.056   20 -0.034   19 -0.028   18 0.4890   14  1.243   19 -0.074   16  0.018
CARDINALS  3 5 0 175 238 -0.004  4.213   22 -0.065   22 -0.046   27 -0.103   21 0.4773    8  1.466   10  0.161   28 -0.366
SAINTS     2 5 0 162 194 -0.027  3.515   23 -0.106   23 -0.094   22 -0.058   23 0.4621    7  1.487    7  0.237   27 -0.353
COWBOYS    3 5 0 219 213 -0.198  3.352   24 -0.109   25 -0.099   20 -0.034   26 0.4179    3  1.597    5  0.427   31 -0.496
TEXANS     2 5 0 165 170 -0.038  3.363   25 -0.114   24 -0.096   16  0.008   29 0.4024   15  1.241   16 -0.041   15  0.056
COMMANDERS 2 4 1 159 182 -0.244  2.966   26 -0.117   26 -0.102   25 -0.067   28 0.4111   10  1.400   12  0.102   23 -0.237
DOLPHINS   1 6 0 117 181  0.223  4.328   27 -0.130   27 -0.113   24 -0.062   24 0.4318   24  1.159   27 -0.216   13  0.092
COLTS      2 6 0 161 222 -0.061  4.125   28 -0.142   28 -0.129   28 -0.109   27 0.4146    9  1.435   11  0.110   26 -0.328
JETS       2 6 0 170 188 -0.049  3.879   29 -0.144   29 -0.133   21 -0.037   25 0.4280   13  1.247   20 -0.078   18  0.003
EAGLES     2 6 0 137 202 -0.202  3.700   30 -0.156   30 -0.147   32 -0.175   31 0.3778   28  1.090   30 -0.415   14  0.066
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CHARGERS   0 7 0  99 175  0.012  3.914   31 -0.213   31 -0.210   30 -0.144   30 0.3778   31  0.945   32 -0.553    7  0.266
TITANS     1 7 0 144 199 -0.331  3.225   32 -0.238   32 -0.244   31 -0.166   32 0.3320   21  1.176   28 -0.299   19 -0.032

AFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRONCOS    6 2 0 172 165  0.194  4.498    2  0.165    2  0.177   13  0.068    2 0.6097   19  1.211   14 -0.021   11  0.156
CHIEFS     5 2 0 167 131 -0.001  3.270   11  0.091   12  0.100   14  0.056    9 0.5707   22  1.175   21 -0.079    9  0.190
RAIDERS    4 4 0 221 230 -0.037  3.858   16  0.006   16  0.001   18 -0.020   17 0.4938    2  1.648    2  0.522   32 -0.562
CHARGERS   0 7 0  99 175  0.012  3.914   31 -0.213   31 -0.210   30 -0.144   30 0.3778   31  0.945   32 -0.553    7  0.266

AFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
JAGUARS    5 2 0 196 111  0.118  3.317    8  0.109   10  0.110    1  0.188   10 0.5637   20  1.201   13  0.087    4  0.288
TEXANS     2 5 0 165 170 -0.038  3.363   25 -0.114   24 -0.096   16  0.008   29 0.4024   15  1.241   16 -0.041   15  0.056
COLTS      2 6 0 161 222 -0.061  4.125   28 -0.142   28 -0.129   28 -0.109   27 0.4146    9  1.435   11  0.110   26 -0.328
TITANS     1 7 0 144 199 -0.331  3.225   32 -0.238   32 -0.244   31 -0.166   32 0.3320   21  1.176   28 -0.299   19 -0.032

AFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
STEELERS   6 2 0 180 144  0.030  3.887    5  0.135    5  0.139    9  0.087    6 0.5875   30  1.067   26 -0.181    2  0.355
BENGALS    5 2 0 206 158  0.109  3.493   10  0.103    9  0.115    7  0.101   12 0.5425    5  1.555    3  0.498   25 -0.295
BROWNS     5 3 0 139 173  0.019  4.201   13  0.079   13  0.088   26 -0.068   13 0.5404   29  1.087   29 -0.312   10  0.175
RAVENS     4 4 0 179 203 -0.187  3.554   17 -0.012   19 -0.021   29 -0.110   20 0.4775   16  1.224   25 -0.181   21 -0.039

AFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BILLS      6 1 0 233 181  0.021  3.292    3  0.161    3  0.170    6  0.105    4 0.6050    1  1.680    1  0.700   30 -0.489
PATRIOTS   5 3 0 184 162  0.292  4.690    9  0.107    6  0.122    5  0.111    8 0.5739   23  1.160   17 -0.043    8  0.264
DOLPHINS   1 6 0 117 181  0.223  4.328   27 -0.130   27 -0.113   24 -0.062   24 0.4318   24  1.159   27 -0.216   13  0.092
JETS       2 6 0 170 188 -0.049  3.879   29 -0.144   29 -0.133   21 -0.037   25 0.4280   13  1.247   20 -0.078   18  0.003

NFC WEST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
49ERS      6 1 0 197 139  0.003  3.160    4  0.157    4  0.164    8  0.099    3 0.6089   12  1.376    8  0.235   20 -0.036
SEAHAWKS   4 3 0 168 125  0.083  3.406   14  0.041   14  0.042    3  0.121   14 0.5400   25  1.158   15 -0.035    5  0.276
RAMS       4 4 0 194 168 -0.103  3.511   18 -0.012   18 -0.021   15  0.042   15 0.5010   18  1.212   18 -0.045   12  0.129
CARDINALS  3 5 0 175 238 -0.004  4.213   22 -0.065   22 -0.046   27 -0.103   21 0.4773    8  1.466   10  0.161   28 -0.366

NFC SOUTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BUCCANEERS 3 5 0 178 151  0.154  4.264   19 -0.029   21 -0.038    2  0.133   19 0.4854   27  1.108   22 -0.084    3  0.351
PANTHERS   3 4 0 178 193  0.038  3.576   20 -0.031   17 -0.019   17 -0.006   16 0.4945    4  1.574    6  0.420   29 -0.431
FALCONS    3 5 0 171 189  0.098  4.385   21 -0.056   20 -0.034   19 -0.028   18 0.4890   14  1.243   19 -0.074   16  0.018
SAINTS     2 5 0 162 194 -0.027  3.515   23 -0.106   23 -0.094   22 -0.058   23 0.4621    7  1.487    7  0.237   27 -0.353

NFC NORTH
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
VIKINGS    6 1 0 140  93  0.142  3.560    1  0.177    1  0.189    4  0.119    1 0.6236   32  0.763   31 -0.484    1  0.722
BEARS      5 2 0 180 143  0.087  3.560    6  0.116    7  0.118   12  0.070    7 0.5752   11  1.380    9  0.209   22 -0.070
LIONS      5 2 0 203 180  0.075  3.554    7  0.116    8  0.118   11  0.075    5 0.5900    6  1.528    4  0.431   24 -0.281
PACKERS    5 3 0 171 164  0.163  4.386   12  0.090   11  0.101   10  0.080   11 0.5547   26  1.127   23 -0.115    6  0.275

NFC EAST
                                         STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM       W L T  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GIANTS     4 2 1 163 161 -0.318  2.650   15  0.022   15  0.018   23 -0.061   22 0.4745   17  1.223   24 -0.134   17  0.012
COWBOYS    3 5 0 219 213 -0.198  3.352   24 -0.109   25 -0.099   20 -0.034   26 0.4179    3  1.597    5  0.427   31 -0.496
COMMANDERS 2 4 1 159 182 -0.244  2.966   26 -0.117   26 -0.102   25 -0.067   28 0.4111   10  1.400   12  0.102   23 -0.237
EAGLES     2 6 0 137 202 -0.202  3.700   30 -0.156   30 -0.147   32 -0.175   31 0.3778   28  1.090   30 -0.415   14  0.066

DIVISION    W  L  T   PCT  RNK RATING
NFC NORTH  21  8  0 0.724    1  0.364
NFC WEST   17 13  0 0.567    2  0.188
AFC EAST   14 16  0 0.467    3  0.090
AFC NORTH  20 11  0 0.645    4  0.020
NFC SOUTH  11 19  0 0.367    5 -0.001
AFC WEST   15 15  0 0.500    6 -0.059
AFC SOUTH  10 20  0 0.333    7 -0.130
NFC EAST   11 17  2 0.400    8 -0.412

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.115 points in main ratings (0.109 for semineutral)
     0.016 points in improved RPI (0.015 for semineutral)
Average of 6.20 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Nov  2 05:30:11 2026
games through: Sun Nov  1 2026

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