Dolphin Ratings - National Basketball Association

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HAWKS          5  7 1394 1454 -0.140  5.748   21 -0.162   21 -0.156   23 -0.247   22 0.4715    1  4.047    9  0.238   30 -0.733 P
BULLS          5  7 1385 1445  0.060  6.586   18 -0.091   17 -0.072   22 -0.164   18 0.4837    2  4.045    8  0.309   28 -0.638 P
NUGGETS        7  3 1209 1180 -0.017  4.880    7  0.245    7  0.231   10  0.102    7 0.5355    3  4.039    5  0.542   23 -0.337 P
GRIZZLIES      7  5 1453 1355 -0.131  5.186   12  0.045   12  0.016    6  0.236   11 0.5057    4  4.034    3  0.650   20 -0.178 P
LAKERS         7  4 1294 1292 -0.037  5.406    8  0.177    8  0.152   14 -0.008    8 0.5284    5  4.023    7  0.348   26 -0.365 P
CAVALIERS     13  0 1583 1431 -0.026  6.007    1  0.646    1  0.674    4  0.428    1 0.6021    6  4.016    1  0.748   12  0.108 P
PACERS         5  6 1252 1282  0.085  6.041   14 -0.017   13 -0.017   20 -0.062   19 0.4818    7  4.008   10  0.214   24 -0.338 P
WIZARDS        2  8 1102 1234  0.107  5.960   27 -0.307   27 -0.298   30 -0.435   28 0.4475    8  4.006   22 -0.170   29 -0.700 P
WARRIORS       9  2 1332 1211  0.217  5.643    2  0.457    2  0.461    2  0.463    2 0.5874    9  3.995    2  0.673    6  0.253 P
RAPTORS        2 10 1353 1449  0.014  6.442   30 -0.408   30 -0.422   26 -0.303   29 0.4337   10  3.981   17 -0.164   27 -0.441 P
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CELTICS       10  3 1577 1437 -0.007  6.139    4  0.346    4  0.337    3  0.450    5 0.5515   11  3.979    4  0.577    5  0.322 P
MAVERICKS      5  7 1371 1336 -0.026  5.806   20 -0.144   20 -0.136    9  0.111   16 0.4887   12  3.963   12  0.156   15  0.066 P
SUNS           9  3 1372 1366 -0.071  5.733    5  0.306    5  0.297   16 -0.026    4 0.5541   13  3.960   14  0.004   18 -0.057 P
KNICKS         5  6 1264 1224  0.098  5.812   13 -0.004   14 -0.033    7  0.184   14 0.4905   14  3.957   11  0.198    9  0.171 P
KINGS          7  5 1398 1350 -0.153  5.252   11  0.051   11  0.024   12  0.066   10 0.5143   15  3.955   13  0.067   16  0.064 P
TRAIL BLAZERS  5  8 1389 1488 -0.063  6.714   23 -0.170   23 -0.174   27 -0.349   20 0.4773   16  3.942   25 -0.413   22 -0.285 P
JAZZ           3  8 1172 1303  0.029  6.035   26 -0.264   26 -0.249   29 -0.426   26 0.4555   17  3.938   28 -0.508   25 -0.344 P
SPURS          6  6 1318 1310 -0.044  5.885   15 -0.038   15 -0.042   17 -0.027   13 0.4986   18  3.934   16 -0.132   14  0.079 P
HEAT           4  6 1102 1112 -0.029  4.973   19 -0.137   19 -0.126   18 -0.031   21 0.4748   19  3.927   19 -0.168   13  0.105 P
BUCKS          4  8 1332 1362  0.081  6.530   25 -0.180   25 -0.185   15 -0.024   23 0.4664   20  3.926   18 -0.167   11  0.120 P
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HORNETS        4  7 1184 1239 -0.048  5.615   24 -0.179   24 -0.184   24 -0.252   27 0.4540   21  3.920   26 -0.426   19 -0.078 P
TIMBERWOLVES   6  6 1344 1312 -0.181  5.156   17 -0.081   18 -0.090   13  0.006   15 0.4887   22  3.920   21 -0.169    7  0.182 P
PELICANS       3  9 1265 1388 -0.091  6.286   28 -0.345   28 -0.343   28 -0.397   25 0.4596   23  3.918   29 -0.583   21 -0.211 P
THUNDER       10  2 1397 1245  0.107  6.026    3  0.453    3  0.459    1  0.540    3 0.5861   24  3.917    6  0.350    2  0.730 P
NETS           5  7 1333 1367  0.105  6.667   16 -0.055   16 -0.057   19 -0.056   17 0.4878   25  3.908   23 -0.291    8  0.179 P
CLIPPERS       6  6 1316 1308  0.114  6.464   10  0.079    9  0.048   11  0.096    9 0.5200   26  3.902   20 -0.168    4  0.360 P
PISTONS        5  8 1421 1454 -0.011  6.658   22 -0.166   22 -0.170   21 -0.136   24 0.4648   27  3.901   24 -0.407   10  0.134 P
ROCKETS        8  4 1336 1274  0.128  6.401    6  0.261    6  0.247    5  0.251    6 0.5381   28  3.889   15 -0.076    3  0.578 P
76ERS          2  9 1168 1256 -0.051  5.609   29 -0.398   29 -0.402   25 -0.301   30 0.4259   29  3.884   30 -0.654   17  0.053 P
MAGIC          7  6 1396 1348  0.033  6.486    9  0.080   10  0.044    8  0.150   12 0.5054   30  3.829   27 -0.471    1  0.771 P
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

PACIFIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
LAKERS         7  4 1294 1292 -0.037  5.406    8  0.177    8  0.152   14 -0.008    8 0.5284    5  4.023    7  0.348   26 -0.365 P
WARRIORS       9  2 1332 1211  0.217  5.643    2  0.457    2  0.461    2  0.463    2 0.5874    9  3.995    2  0.673    6  0.253 P
SUNS           9  3 1372 1366 -0.071  5.733    5  0.306    5  0.297   16 -0.026    4 0.5541   13  3.960   14  0.004   18 -0.057 P
KINGS          7  5 1398 1350 -0.153  5.252   11  0.051   11  0.024   12  0.066   10 0.5143   15  3.955   13  0.067   16  0.064 P
CLIPPERS       6  6 1316 1308  0.114  6.464   10  0.079    9  0.048   11  0.096    9 0.5200   26  3.902   20 -0.168    4  0.360 P

NORTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NUGGETS        7  3 1209 1180 -0.017  4.880    7  0.245    7  0.231   10  0.102    7 0.5355    3  4.039    5  0.542   23 -0.337 P
TRAIL BLAZERS  5  8 1389 1488 -0.063  6.714   23 -0.170   23 -0.174   27 -0.349   20 0.4773   16  3.942   25 -0.413   22 -0.285 P
JAZZ           3  8 1172 1303  0.029  6.035   26 -0.264   26 -0.249   29 -0.426   26 0.4555   17  3.938   28 -0.508   25 -0.344 P
TIMBERWOLVES   6  6 1344 1312 -0.181  5.156   17 -0.081   18 -0.090   13  0.006   15 0.4887   22  3.920   21 -0.169    7  0.182 P
THUNDER       10  2 1397 1245  0.107  6.026    3  0.453    3  0.459    1  0.540    3 0.5861   24  3.917    6  0.350    2  0.730 P

SOUTHWEST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GRIZZLIES      7  5 1453 1355 -0.131  5.186   12  0.045   12  0.016    6  0.236   11 0.5057    4  4.034    3  0.650   20 -0.178 P
MAVERICKS      5  7 1371 1336 -0.026  5.806   20 -0.144   20 -0.136    9  0.111   16 0.4887   12  3.963   12  0.156   15  0.066 P
SPURS          6  6 1318 1310 -0.044  5.885   15 -0.038   15 -0.042   17 -0.027   13 0.4986   18  3.934   16 -0.132   14  0.079 P
PELICANS       3  9 1265 1388 -0.091  6.286   28 -0.345   28 -0.343   28 -0.397   25 0.4596   23  3.918   29 -0.583   21 -0.211 P
ROCKETS        8  4 1336 1274  0.128  6.401    6  0.261    6  0.247    5  0.251    6 0.5381   28  3.889   15 -0.076    3  0.578 P

CENTRAL DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BULLS          5  7 1385 1445  0.060  6.586   18 -0.091   17 -0.072   22 -0.164   18 0.4837    2  4.045    8  0.309   28 -0.638 P
CAVALIERS     13  0 1583 1431 -0.026  6.007    1  0.646    1  0.674    4  0.428    1 0.6021    6  4.016    1  0.748   12  0.108 P
PACERS         5  6 1252 1282  0.085  6.041   14 -0.017   13 -0.017   20 -0.062   19 0.4818    7  4.008   10  0.214   24 -0.338 P
BUCKS          4  8 1332 1362  0.081  6.530   25 -0.180   25 -0.185   15 -0.024   23 0.4664   20  3.926   18 -0.167   11  0.120 P
PISTONS        5  8 1421 1454 -0.011  6.658   22 -0.166   22 -0.170   21 -0.136   24 0.4648   27  3.901   24 -0.407   10  0.134 P

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
HAWKS          5  7 1394 1454 -0.140  5.748   21 -0.162   21 -0.156   23 -0.247   22 0.4715    1  4.047    9  0.238   30 -0.733 P
WIZARDS        2  8 1102 1234  0.107  5.960   27 -0.307   27 -0.298   30 -0.435   28 0.4475    8  4.006   22 -0.170   29 -0.700 P
HEAT           4  6 1102 1112 -0.029  4.973   19 -0.137   19 -0.126   18 -0.031   21 0.4748   19  3.927   19 -0.168   13  0.105 P
HORNETS        4  7 1184 1239 -0.048  5.615   24 -0.179   24 -0.184   24 -0.252   27 0.4540   21  3.920   26 -0.426   19 -0.078 P
MAGIC          7  6 1396 1348  0.033  6.486    9  0.080   10  0.044    8  0.150   12 0.5054   30  3.829   27 -0.471    1  0.771 P

ATLANTIC DIVISION
                                              STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM           W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAPTORS        2 10 1353 1449  0.014  6.442   30 -0.408   30 -0.422   26 -0.303   29 0.4337   10  3.981   17 -0.164   27 -0.441 P
CELTICS       10  3 1577 1437 -0.007  6.139    4  0.346    4  0.337    3  0.450    5 0.5515   11  3.979    4  0.577    5  0.322 P
KNICKS         5  6 1264 1224  0.098  5.812   13 -0.004   14 -0.033    7  0.184   14 0.4905   14  3.957   11  0.198    9  0.171 P
NETS           5  7 1333 1367  0.105  6.667   16 -0.055   16 -0.057   19 -0.056   17 0.4878   25  3.908   23 -0.291    8  0.179 P
76ERS          2  9 1168 1256 -0.051  5.609   29 -0.398   29 -0.402   25 -0.301   30 0.4259   29  3.884   30 -0.654   17  0.053 P

DIVISION            W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
PACIFIC DIVISION   38 20 0.655    1  0.203
SOUTHWEST DIVISION 29 31 0.483    2  0.067
CENTRAL DIVISION   32 29 0.525    3  0.004
ATLANTIC DIVISION  24 35 0.407    4 -0.014
NORTHWEST DIVISION 31 27 0.534    5 -0.051
SOUTHEAST DIVISION 22 34 0.393    6 -0.274

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.214 points in main ratings (0.186 for semineutral)
     0.022 points in improved RPI (0.019 for semineutral)
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Fri Nov 15 05:30:14 2024
games through: Thu Nov 14 2024

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