Dolphin Ratings - College Basketball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. Included only because of common real-life usage. The RPI rating has many statistical problems. The football RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudo-Poll. A blended ranking based on win-loss and predictive ratings, calibrated to match real-life polls as closely as possible. This gives a rough but unbiased estimate of how typical voters value record vs. impressive wins.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Rankings by division: Overall NCAA-I NCAA-II NCAA-III NAIA-I NAIA-II NCCAA-I NCCAA-II USCAA-I USCAA-II CIS CCAA NBCAA Indep

Full Ranking

                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mountain St             37  1 3567 2660  0.517    1  2.414    1  2.034    1  1.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 24.143    1  2.636   15  0.950
Concordia CA            30  4 2812 2368  0.782    2  2.220    2  1.849    5  1.390    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 23.482    4  1.803   14  0.978
Lindsey Wilson          33  4 2729 2235  0.390    3  1.917    3  1.548    6  1.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 22.456   27  0.684    1  1.760
Azusa Pacific           28  5 2830 2276  0.698    4  1.911    4  1.541    2  1.689    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 22.617    3  2.061    6  1.317
OK Baptist U.           24  5 2588 2006  0.583    5  1.732    5  1.365    4  1.458    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 22.038    2  2.070   17  0.846
Georgetown KY           26  8 2843 2194  0.919    6  1.665    6  1.313    3  1.627    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 22.063    6  1.694    4  1.559
Lubbock Christian       16  7 1877 1663  0.934    7  1.645    7  1.292    7  1.143    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 21.669    7  1.688   24  0.597
Cumberland TN           26  6 2668 2372  0.264    8  1.425    8  1.085   13  0.833    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 20.845    9  1.428   36  0.239
Wayland Baptist         20 10 2299 2065  0.713    9  1.385    9  1.046    9  1.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 20.817   18  0.983   10  1.153
Westmont                16 10 1917 1881  0.771   10  1.380   10  1.041   18  0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 20.490   24  0.774   23  0.690
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Columbia MO             32  4 2869 2283 -0.190   11  1.318   11  0.986   16  0.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 20.225   45  0.320    8  1.206
The Master's Coll       20 11 2386 2165  0.667   12  1.268   12  0.935   11  1.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 20.198   14  1.071   13  0.983
Biola                   19  8 1950 1679  0.513   13  1.204   13  0.906    8  1.093    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 20.119   35  0.508    2  1.677
Houston Baptist         27  5 2916 2595 -0.129   14  1.199   14  0.900   28  0.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 19.916    5  1.736   79 -0.874
John Brown              20 10 2183 2020  0.510   15  1.173   15  0.893   17  0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 19.957   34  0.534   12  0.986
Mobile                  25  8 2581 2298  0.230   16  1.171   16  0.890   15  0.780    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 19.991   23  0.774   19  0.786
Oklahoma City           15  9 1954 1787  0.593   17  1.101   17  0.808   10  1.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 19.823    8  1.574   26  0.543
Westminster UT          21  9 2241 1884  0.367   18  1.088   18  0.794   12  0.940    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 19.740   47  0.308    3  1.572
Oklahoma Christian      18  9 1957 1801  0.410   19  1.003   19  0.788   21  0.650    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 19.613   43  0.351   16  0.948
Lewis-Clark St ID       20  5 2076 1662 -0.116   20  0.919   20  0.692   26  0.490    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 18.982   31  0.602   32  0.378
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Barber-Scotia           18 10 1993 1903  0.297   21  0.867   21  0.666   24  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 18.958   63 -0.096    9  1.186
Cumberland KY           22  8 2123 1836 -0.011   22  0.824   22  0.644   25  0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 18.887   67 -0.185    7  1.267
Christian Heritage      19 15 2701 2639  0.524   23  0.819   23  0.640   23  0.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 18.883   11  1.254   52 -0.091
Southern Nazarene       17  8 1984 1735  0.238   24  0.797   24  0.616   22  0.639    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 18.903   25  0.731   25  0.547
Missouri Baptist        22  5 2386 2005 -0.313   25  0.784   25  0.602   32  0.325    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 18.641   19  0.946   58 -0.297
Southern-New Orleans    18  7 1984 1757  0.112   26  0.746   26  0.592   14  0.781    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 18.796   16  1.040   28  0.522
Pikeville               24  8 2469 2090 -0.213   27  0.721   27  0.566   35  0.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 18.428   51  0.110   30  0.453
Science & Arts OK        9 10 1361 1359  0.639   28  0.675   28  0.515   20  0.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 18.421   30  0.613   21  0.701
Union TN                23 11 2659 2487 -0.000   29  0.616   29  0.447   39  0.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 18.150   48  0.272   39  0.172
Brescia                 22 10 2225 2041 -0.071   30  0.604   30  0.442   38  0.248    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 18.118   81 -0.529   11  1.026
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NW Oklahoma St          12 12 1520 1512  0.473   31  0.598   31  0.436   30  0.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 18.154   86 -0.659    5  1.376
Xavier NO               16  6 1708 1542 -0.137   32  0.597   32  0.435   34  0.297    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 18.175   39  0.433   40  0.162
Southern Tech           23  9 2629 2408 -0.127   33  0.582   33  0.418   31  0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 18.132   15  1.045   61 -0.386
Langston                 7  6 1014 1042  0.333   34  0.561   34  0.397   59 -0.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 17.991   41  0.418   69 -0.680
Point Loma Nazarene     13 15 2057 2010  0.579   35  0.550   35  0.384   19  0.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 18.091   29  0.651   22  0.698
California Baptist      13 17 2158 2167  0.605   36  0.519   37  0.354   27  0.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 17.990   42  0.413   27  0.538
Vanguard                13 16 2003 2110  0.476   37  0.507   36  0.356   41  0.179    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 17.793   52  0.020   34  0.337
Dillard                 16  8 1937 1740 -0.089   38  0.419   38  0.301   37  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 17.838   32  0.541   48 -0.031
Reinhardt               16 12 1985 1955  0.095   39  0.384   39  0.261   36  0.262    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 17.561   55  0.005   29  0.519
St Xavier               21 11 2665 2374 -0.152   40  0.354   40  0.226   42  0.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 17.486   33  0.540   54 -0.185
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Martin Methodist        21 14 2619 2531 -0.039   41  0.354   41  0.226   44  0.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 17.427   62 -0.084   33  0.355
McKendree               21 10 2683 2303 -0.174   42  0.342   42  0.214   33  0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 17.500   21  0.799   55 -0.187
Faulkner                17 14 2215 2207  0.080   43  0.313   43  0.179   53 -0.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 17.228   65 -0.152   42  0.149
LSU-Shreveport          20 11 2545 2450 -0.198   44  0.309   44  0.176   43  0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 17.170   17  0.997   68 -0.678
Fresno Pacific          13 16 1977 2065  0.269   45  0.304   45  0.172   47  0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 17.042   75 -0.325   31  0.451
Carroll MT              15  7 1795 1546 -0.342   46  0.303   46  0.170   51  0.017    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 17.107   58 -0.017   44  0.050
Lyon                    15 13 2075 2053  0.069   47  0.303   47  0.170   49  0.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 17.099   60 -0.069   41  0.158
Trevecca Nazarene       17 13 2406 2246  0.037   48  0.288   48  0.156   29  0.416    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 17.243   26  0.697   43  0.135
Campbellsville          17 15 2446 2360  0.005   49  0.201   49  0.081   46  0.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 16.768   44  0.336   53 -0.130
Lambuth                 17 15 2580 2461  0.030   50  0.176   50  0.050   40  0.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 16.795   20  0.849   63 -0.405
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
William Carey           15 16 2389 2466  0.054   51  0.164   51  0.038   58 -0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 16.634   36  0.505   72 -0.739
Brewton-Parker          16 11 2005 1900 -0.211   52  0.141   52  0.011   45  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 16.680   57 -0.007   35  0.266
St Gregory's             8 14 1522 1656  0.292   53  0.139   53  0.009   57 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 16.519   66 -0.170   51 -0.052
Park                    10 18 1910 2005  0.308   54  0.017   54 -0.072   56 -0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 16.338   76 -0.350   38  0.234
Spring Hill             17 17 2257 2221 -0.144   55 -0.049   55 -0.134   52  0.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 16.131   90 -0.828   18  0.832
Montana-Western         12 14 2315 2236 -0.057   56 -0.050   56 -0.135   54 -0.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 16.066   12  1.156   87 -1.168
Edward Waters           10 11 1761 1737 -0.079   57 -0.068   57 -0.149   55 -0.028    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 16.133   22  0.798   78 -0.853
Berry                   14 17 2423 2442 -0.061   58 -0.097   58 -0.178   66 -0.267    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 15.997   49  0.205   71 -0.739
Shorter                 14 13 2058 1984 -0.215   59 -0.101   59 -0.183   48  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 16.037   50  0.162   50 -0.046
Rocky Mountain          13 13 2157 2100 -0.192   60 -0.107   60 -0.189   61 -0.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 15.907   38  0.462   75 -0.814
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Purdue Calumet          14 10 1591 1515 -0.521   61 -0.113   61 -0.196   71 -0.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 15.775   97 -1.414   20  0.740
Montana St-Northern     16 10 2377 2077 -0.374   62 -0.134   62 -0.221   50  0.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 15.920   13  1.093   81 -1.017
Texas A&M Int'l          6 10 1148 1236  0.023   63 -0.137   63 -0.224   67 -0.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 15.744   68 -0.197   60 -0.364
Voorhees                10 15 2154 2263 -0.019   64 -0.159   64 -0.249   65 -0.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 15.733   10  1.278   95 -1.766
Georgia Southwestern    15 15 2400 2377 -0.264   65 -0.171   65 -0.262   62 -0.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 15.736   40  0.429   76 -0.821
Southern Wesleyan       14 15 2010 2086 -0.270   66 -0.187   66 -0.275   77 -0.472    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 15.566   88 -0.670   57 -0.273
Auburn Montgomery       10 15 1702 1813 -0.067   67 -0.190   67 -0.279   69 -0.320    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 15.576   87 -0.666   46  0.026
Jarvis Christian         6  8 1037 1089 -0.121   68 -0.198   68 -0.287   74 -0.346    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 15.558   74 -0.300   62 -0.392
St Francis IL           11 13 1791 1841 -0.310   69 -0.221   69 -0.312   72 -0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 15.376   70 -0.203   67 -0.478
Claflin                  9 12 1425 1503 -0.231   70 -0.259   70 -0.353   80 -0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 15.118   94 -1.044   49 -0.039
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lee TN                  14 19 2678 2734 -0.176   71 -0.271   71 -0.366   70 -0.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 15.139   37  0.476   85 -1.129
Morris SC                9 10 1457 1532 -0.467   72 -0.297   72 -0.393   87 -0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 14.843   71 -0.204   88 -1.263
Central St OH            5  9 1040 1088 -0.067   73 -0.301   73 -0.397   64 -0.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 15.069   54  0.016   64 -0.469
Freed-Hardeman          15 15 2538 2495 -0.381   74 -0.345   74 -0.417   63 -0.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 14.998   28  0.681   83 -1.095
Bacone                   8 11 1347 1379 -0.275   75 -0.359   75 -0.436   75 -0.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 14.904   80 -0.507   56 -0.221
Tougaloo                 6 16 1487 1634  0.111   76 -0.389   76 -0.464   68 -0.289    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 14.800   84 -0.618   45  0.039
Texas College            3  9  873  985  0.035   77 -0.435   77 -0.516   73 -0.342    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 14.505   72 -0.212   65 -0.471
Texas Wesleyan           8 13 1602 1591 -0.190   78 -0.446   78 -0.531   60 -0.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 14.589   56 -0.002   59 -0.349
Paul Quinn               3 11 1051 1180  0.099   79 -0.515   79 -0.609   76 -0.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 14.284   59 -0.026   73 -0.808
Loyola NO                6 22 1801 2068  0.100   80 -0.603   80 -0.681   78 -0.483    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 14.138   92 -0.972   47  0.007
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
IU South Bend           14 11 2197 2020 -0.950   81 -0.629   81 -0.712   88 -0.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 13.866   53  0.016   92 -1.517
Emmanuel GA             11 22 2469 2658 -0.358   82 -0.631   82 -0.713   83 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 13.925   69 -0.201   82 -1.087
Olivet Nazarene          9 15 1780 1801 -0.448   83 -0.676   83 -0.759   79 -0.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 13.885   82 -0.590   66 -0.477
North Georgia           12 20 2326 2380 -0.501   84 -0.715   85 -0.803   84 -0.663    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 13.597   83 -0.599   70 -0.727
Belhaven                 8 19 1953 2093 -0.270   85 -0.716   84 -0.801   81 -0.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 13.611   77 -0.351   74 -0.811
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 19 2246 2319 -0.529   86 -0.747   86 -0.823   82 -0.624    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 13.421   78 -0.409   77 -0.839
Montana Tech             5 14 1307 1621 -0.649   87 -0.758   87 -0.833   94 -1.192    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 13.039   95 -1.098   89 -1.286
Spalding                 9 14 1405 1494 -0.663   88 -0.786   88 -0.858   90 -0.775    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   87 13.274   98 -1.787   37  0.236
Athens St                4 24 2051 2397  0.067   89 -0.839   89 -0.918   86 -0.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 13.149   64 -0.116   90 -1.295
Allen                    2 18 1357 1641 -0.009   90 -1.059   90 -1.107   91 -0.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90 12.024   85 -0.619   91 -1.311
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Huston-Tillotson         2 13 1202 1388 -0.122   91 -1.121   91 -1.174   85 -0.667    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91 11.945   46  0.317   93 -1.652
SW Assem of God          5 12 1318 1503 -0.876   92 -1.121   92 -1.176   92 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92 11.570   73 -0.280   96 -1.812
Wiley                    3 15 1267 1582 -0.510   93 -1.131   93 -1.187   96 -1.347    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93 11.502   91 -0.960   94 -1.734
Great Falls              5 13 1168 1390 -1.114   94 -1.228   94 -1.283   97 -1.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95 10.941   99 -2.027   80 -0.985
Hope Int'l               2 27 2026 2463  0.121   95 -1.250   95 -1.314   89 -0.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94 11.255   79 -0.430   84 -1.100
Williams Baptist         7 23 2345 2878 -1.005   96 -1.330   96 -1.409   98 -1.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   97 10.291   89 -0.671   98 -2.957
Barat                    2 18 1561 1848 -0.343   97 -1.333   97 -1.412   93 -1.128    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96 10.487   61 -0.077   97 -2.178
Texas-Permian Basin      1 20 1341 1811 -0.294   98 -1.426   98 -1.526   95 -1.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   98 10.140   96 -1.355   86 -1.139
Illinois Tech            3 22 1825 2310 -1.360   99 -2.077   99 -2.187   99 -2.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   99  8.010   93 -0.994   99 -3.110
Harris Stowe St          0 29 1881 2851 -1.182  100 -2.460  100 -2.539  100 -2.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000  100  6.989  100 -2.168  100 -3.452


American Midwest: strength=-0.541 (#10)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Columbia MO             32  4 2869 2283 -0.190   11  1.318   11  0.986   16  0.763    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   11 20.225   45  0.320    8  1.206
Missouri Baptist        22  5 2386 2005 -0.313   25  0.784   25  0.602   32  0.325    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   26 18.641   19  0.946   58 -0.297
McKendree               21 10 2683 2303 -0.174   42  0.342   42  0.214   33  0.306    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   40 17.500   21  0.799   55 -0.187
Illinois-Springfield    11 16 2119 2230 -0.344      -0.503      -0.596      -0.732      0.0000      0.0000      14.239      -0.175      -1.289
Hannibal-LaGrange       11 19 2246 2319 -0.529   86 -0.747   86 -0.823   82 -0.624    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   86 13.421   78 -0.409   77 -0.839
Williams Baptist         7 23 2345 2878 -1.005   96 -1.330   96 -1.409   98 -1.814    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   97 10.291   89 -0.671   98 -2.957
Harris Stowe St          0 29 1881 2851 -1.182  100 -2.460  100 -2.539  100 -2.810    1 0.0000    1 0.0000  100  6.989  100 -2.168  100 -3.452

Chicagoland-I CAC: strength=-0.760 (#12)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
St Xavier               21 11 2665 2374 -0.152   40  0.354   40  0.226   42  0.178    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   41 17.486   33  0.540   54 -0.185
Purdue Calumet          14 10 1591 1515 -0.521   61 -0.113   61 -0.196   71 -0.337    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   62 15.775   97 -1.414   20  0.740
St Francis IL           11 13 1791 1841 -0.310   69 -0.221   69 -0.312   72 -0.341    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   69 15.376   70 -0.203   67 -0.478
IU South Bend           14 11 2197 2020 -0.950   81 -0.629   81 -0.712   88 -0.750    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   83 13.866   53  0.016   92 -1.517
Olivet Nazarene          9 15 1780 1801 -0.448   83 -0.676   83 -0.759   79 -0.533    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   82 13.885   82 -0.590   66 -0.477
Barat                    2 18 1561 1848 -0.343   97 -1.333   97 -1.412   93 -1.128    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   96 10.487   61 -0.077   97 -2.178
Illinois Tech            3 22 1825 2310 -1.360   99 -2.077   99 -2.187   99 -2.052    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   99  8.010   93 -0.994   99 -3.110

Eastern IAC: strength=-0.376 (#9)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Barber-Scotia           18 10 1993 1903  0.297   21  0.867   21  0.666   24  0.545    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   21 18.958   63 -0.096    9  1.186
Edward Waters           10 11 1761 1737 -0.079   57 -0.068   57 -0.149   55 -0.028    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   55 16.133   22  0.798   78 -0.853
Voorhees                10 15 2154 2263 -0.019   64 -0.159   64 -0.249   65 -0.244    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   65 15.733   10  1.278   95 -1.766
Claflin                  9 12 1425 1503 -0.231   70 -0.259   70 -0.353   80 -0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   71 15.118   94 -1.044   49 -0.039
Morris SC                9 10 1457 1532 -0.467   72 -0.297   72 -0.393   87 -0.733    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   75 14.843   71 -0.204   88 -1.263
Allen                    2 18 1357 1641 -0.009   90 -1.059   90 -1.107   91 -0.965    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   90 12.024   85 -0.619   91 -1.311

Frontier: strength=-0.160 (#7)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Westminster UT          21  9 2241 1884  0.367   18  1.088   18  0.794   12  0.940    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   18 19.740   47  0.308    3  1.572
Lewis-Clark St ID       20  5 2076 1662 -0.116   20  0.919   20  0.692   26  0.490    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   20 18.982   31  0.602   32  0.378
Carroll MT              15  7 1795 1546 -0.342   46  0.303   46  0.170   51  0.017    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   46 17.107   58 -0.017   44  0.050
Montana-Western         12 14 2315 2236 -0.057   56 -0.050   56 -0.135   54 -0.006    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   57 16.066   12  1.156   87 -1.168
Rocky Mountain          13 13 2157 2100 -0.192   60 -0.107   60 -0.189   61 -0.176    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   61 15.907   38  0.462   75 -0.814
Montana St-Northern     16 10 2377 2077 -0.374   62 -0.134   62 -0.221   50  0.038    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   60 15.920   13  1.093   81 -1.017
Montana Tech             5 14 1307 1621 -0.649   87 -0.758   87 -0.833   94 -1.192    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   89 13.039   95 -1.098   89 -1.286
Great Falls              5 13 1168 1390 -1.114   94 -1.228   94 -1.283   97 -1.506    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   95 10.941   99 -2.027   80 -0.985

Georgia-Alabama-Carolina: strength=-0.162 (#8)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Southern Tech           23  9 2629 2408 -0.127   33  0.582   33  0.418   31  0.330    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   32 18.132   15  1.045   61 -0.386
Reinhardt               16 12 1985 1955  0.095   39  0.384   39  0.261   36  0.262    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   39 17.561   55  0.005   29  0.519
Faulkner                17 14 2215 2207  0.080   43  0.313   43  0.179   53 -0.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   44 17.228   65 -0.152   42  0.149
Brewton-Parker          16 11 2005 1900 -0.211   52  0.141   52  0.011   45  0.130    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   51 16.680   57 -0.007   35  0.266
Shorter                 14 13 2058 1984 -0.215   59 -0.101   59 -0.183   48  0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   58 16.037   50  0.162   50 -0.046
Georgia Southwestern    15 15 2400 2377 -0.264   65 -0.171   65 -0.262   62 -0.196    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   64 15.736   40  0.429   76 -0.821
Southern Wesleyan       14 15 2010 2086 -0.270   66 -0.187   66 -0.275   77 -0.472    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   67 15.566   88 -0.670   57 -0.273
Auburn Montgomery       10 15 1702 1813 -0.067   67 -0.190   67 -0.279   69 -0.320    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   66 15.576   87 -0.666   46  0.026
Emmanuel GA             11 22 2469 2658 -0.358   82 -0.631   82 -0.713   83 -0.644    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   81 13.925   69 -0.201   82 -1.087
North Georgia           12 20 2326 2380 -0.501   84 -0.715   85 -0.803   84 -0.663    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   85 13.597   83 -0.599   70 -0.727

Golden State AC: strength=0.727 (#2)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Concordia CA            30  4 2812 2368  0.782    2  2.220    2  1.849    5  1.390    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    2 23.482    4  1.803   14  0.978
Azusa Pacific           28  5 2830 2276  0.698    4  1.911    4  1.541    2  1.689    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    3 22.617    3  2.061    6  1.317
Westmont                16 10 1917 1881  0.771   10  1.380   10  1.041   18  0.732    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   10 20.490   24  0.774   23  0.690
The Master's Coll       20 11 2386 2165  0.667   12  1.268   12  0.935   11  1.027    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   12 20.198   14  1.071   13  0.983
Biola                   19  8 1950 1679  0.513   13  1.204   13  0.906    8  1.093    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   13 20.119   35  0.508    2  1.677
Christian Heritage      19 15 2701 2639  0.524   23  0.819   23  0.640   23  0.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   24 18.883   11  1.254   52 -0.091
Point Loma Nazarene     13 15 2057 2010  0.579   35  0.550   35  0.384   19  0.674    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   34 18.091   29  0.651   22  0.698
California Baptist      13 17 2158 2167  0.605   36  0.519   37  0.354   27  0.476    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   36 17.990   42  0.413   27  0.538
Vanguard                13 16 2003 2110  0.476   37  0.507   36  0.356   41  0.179    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   38 17.793   52  0.020   34  0.337
Fresno Pacific          13 16 1977 2065  0.269   45  0.304   45  0.172   47  0.063    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   48 17.042   75 -0.325   31  0.451
Hope Int'l               2 27 2026 2463  0.121   95 -1.250   95 -1.314   89 -0.765    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   94 11.255   79 -0.430   84 -1.100

Gulf Coast AC: strength=0.073 (#6)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mobile                  25  8 2581 2298  0.230   16  1.171   16  0.890   15  0.780    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   14 19.991   23  0.774   19  0.786
Southern-New Orleans    18  7 1984 1757  0.112   26  0.746   26  0.592   14  0.781    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   25 18.796   16  1.040   28  0.522
Xavier NO               16  6 1708 1542 -0.137   32  0.597   32  0.435   34  0.297    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   29 18.175   39  0.433   40  0.162
Dillard                 16  8 1937 1740 -0.089   38  0.419   38  0.301   37  0.255    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   37 17.838   32  0.541   48 -0.031
LSU-Shreveport          20 11 2545 2450 -0.198   44  0.309   44  0.176   43  0.159    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   45 17.170   17  0.997   68 -0.678
William Carey           15 16 2389 2466  0.054   51  0.164   51  0.038   58 -0.117    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   52 16.634   36  0.505   72 -0.739
Spring Hill             17 17 2257 2221 -0.144   55 -0.049   55 -0.134   52  0.002    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   56 16.131   90 -0.828   18  0.832
Tougaloo                 6 16 1487 1634  0.111   76 -0.389   76 -0.464   68 -0.289    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   76 14.800   84 -0.618   45  0.039
Loyola NO                6 22 1801 2068  0.100   80 -0.603   80 -0.681   78 -0.483    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   80 14.138   92 -0.972   47  0.007
Belhaven                 8 19 1953 2093 -0.270   85 -0.716   84 -0.801   81 -0.581    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   84 13.611   77 -0.351   74 -0.811

Mid-South: strength=0.676 (#3)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Lindsey Wilson          33  4 2729 2235  0.390    3  1.917    3  1.548    6  1.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    4 22.456   27  0.684    1  1.760
Georgetown KY           26  8 2843 2194  0.919    6  1.665    6  1.313    3  1.627    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    5 22.063    6  1.694    4  1.559
Cumberland KY           22  8 2123 1836 -0.011   22  0.824   22  0.644   25  0.541    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   23 18.887   67 -0.185    7  1.267
Pikeville               24  8 2469 2090 -0.213   27  0.721   27  0.566   35  0.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   27 18.428   51  0.110   30  0.453
Campbellsville          17 15 2446 2360  0.005   49  0.201   49  0.081   46  0.103    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   50 16.768   44  0.336   53 -0.130
Lambuth                 17 15 2580 2461  0.030   50  0.176   50  0.050   40  0.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   49 16.795   20  0.849   63 -0.405

NAIA-I Independents: strength=0.114 (#5)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Mountain St             37  1 3567 2660  0.517    1  2.414    1  2.034    1  1.793    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    1 24.143    1  2.636   15  0.950
Brescia                 22 10 2225 2041 -0.071   30  0.604   30  0.442   38  0.248    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   33 18.118   81 -0.529   11  1.026
Park                    10 18 1910 2005  0.308   54  0.017   54 -0.072   56 -0.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   54 16.338   76 -0.350   38  0.234
Central St OH            5  9 1040 1088 -0.067   73 -0.301   73 -0.397   64 -0.227    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   72 15.069   54  0.016   64 -0.469
Athens St                4 24 2051 2397  0.067   89 -0.839   89 -0.918   86 -0.705    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   88 13.149   64 -0.116   90 -1.295

Red River AC: strength=-0.578 (#11)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Houston Baptist         27  5 2916 2595 -0.129   14  1.199   14  0.900   28  0.431    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   16 19.916    5  1.736   79 -0.874
Langston                 7  6 1014 1042  0.333   34  0.561   34  0.397   59 -0.131    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   35 17.991   41  0.418   69 -0.680
Texas A&M Int'l          6 10 1148 1236  0.023   63 -0.137   63 -0.224   67 -0.281    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   63 15.744   68 -0.197   60 -0.364
Jarvis Christian         6  8 1037 1089 -0.121   68 -0.198   68 -0.287   74 -0.346    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   68 15.558   74 -0.300   62 -0.392
Bacone                   8 11 1347 1379 -0.275   75 -0.359   75 -0.436   75 -0.364    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   74 14.904   80 -0.507   56 -0.221
Texas College            3  9  873  985  0.035   77 -0.435   77 -0.516   73 -0.342    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   78 14.505   72 -0.212   65 -0.471
Texas Wesleyan           8 13 1602 1591 -0.190   78 -0.446   78 -0.531   60 -0.175    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   77 14.589   56 -0.002   59 -0.349
Paul Quinn               3 11 1051 1180  0.099   79 -0.515   79 -0.609   76 -0.417    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   79 14.284   59 -0.026   73 -0.808
Huston-Tillotson         2 13 1202 1388 -0.122   91 -1.121   91 -1.174   85 -0.667    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   91 11.945   46  0.317   93 -1.652
SW Assem of God          5 12 1318 1503 -0.876   92 -1.121   92 -1.176   92 -1.046    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   92 11.570   73 -0.280   96 -1.812
Wiley                    3 15 1267 1582 -0.510   93 -1.131   93 -1.187   96 -1.347    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   93 11.502   91 -0.960   94 -1.734
Texas-Permian Basin      1 20 1341 1811 -0.294   98 -1.426   98 -1.526   95 -1.247    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   98 10.140   96 -1.355   86 -1.139

Sooner AC: strength=0.861 (#1)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
OK Baptist U.           24  5 2588 2006  0.583    5  1.732    5  1.365    4  1.458    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    6 22.038    2  2.070   17  0.846
Lubbock Christian       16  7 1877 1663  0.934    7  1.645    7  1.292    7  1.143    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    7 21.669    7  1.688   24  0.597
Wayland Baptist         20 10 2299 2065  0.713    9  1.385    9  1.046    9  1.068    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    9 20.817   18  0.983   10  1.153
John Brown              20 10 2183 2020  0.510   15  1.173   15  0.893   17  0.760    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   15 19.957   34  0.534   12  0.986
Oklahoma City           15  9 1954 1787  0.593   17  1.101   17  0.808   10  1.058    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   17 19.823    8  1.574   26  0.543
Oklahoma Christian      18  9 1957 1801  0.410   19  1.003   19  0.788   21  0.650    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   19 19.613   43  0.351   16  0.948
Southern Nazarene       17  8 1984 1735  0.238   24  0.797   24  0.616   22  0.639    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   22 18.903   25  0.731   25  0.547
Science & Arts OK        9 10 1361 1359  0.639   28  0.675   28  0.515   20  0.657    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   28 18.421   30  0.613   21  0.701
NW Oklahoma St          12 12 1520 1512  0.473   31  0.598   31  0.436   30  0.359    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   30 18.154   86 -0.659    5  1.376
St Gregory's             8 14 1522 1656  0.292   53  0.139   53  0.009   57 -0.111    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   53 16.519   66 -0.170   51 -0.052

TranSouth AC: strength=0.128 (#4)
                                                 STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL       OFFENSE     DEFENSE 
TEAM                     W  L   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
Cumberland TN           26  6 2668 2372  0.264    8  1.425    8  1.085   13  0.833    1 0.0000    1 0.0000    8 20.845    9  1.428   36  0.239
Union TN                23 11 2659 2487 -0.000   29  0.616   29  0.447   39  0.222    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   31 18.150   48  0.272   39  0.172
Martin Methodist        21 14 2619 2531 -0.039   41  0.354   41  0.226   44  0.135    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   42 17.427   62 -0.084   33  0.355
Lyon                    15 13 2075 2053  0.069   47  0.303   47  0.170   49  0.044    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   47 17.099   60 -0.069   41  0.158
Trevecca Nazarene       17 13 2406 2246  0.037   48  0.288   48  0.156   29  0.416    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   43 17.243   26  0.697   43  0.135
Berry                   14 17 2423 2442 -0.061   58 -0.097   58 -0.178   66 -0.267    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   59 15.997   49  0.205   71 -0.739
Lee TN                  14 19 2678 2734 -0.176   71 -0.271   71 -0.366   70 -0.326    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   70 15.139   37  0.476   85 -1.129
Freed-Hardeman          15 15 2538 2495 -0.381   74 -0.345   74 -0.417   63 -0.207    1 0.0000    1 0.0000   73 14.998   28  0.681   83 -1.095

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE                 W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
Sooner AC                159  94 0.628    1  0.861
Golden State AC          186 144 0.564    2  0.727
Mid-South                139  58 0.706    3  0.676
TranSouth AC             145 108 0.573    4  0.128
NAIA-I Independents       78  62 0.557    5  0.114
Gulf Coast AC            147 130 0.531    6  0.073
Frontier                 107  85 0.557    7 -0.160
Georgia-Alabama-Carolina 148 146 0.503    8 -0.162
Eastern IAC               58  76 0.433    9 -0.376
American Midwest         104 106 0.495   10 -0.541
Red River AC              79 133 0.373   11 -0.578
Chicagoland-I CAC         74 100 0.425   12 -0.760

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.333 points in main ratings
     0.033 points in improved RPI
Average of 2.15 points per score

Predict score:






Team Strength vs. Time Plot:





posted: Mon Dec 23 16:22:29 2019

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