Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      59 37 489 363  0.012 48.382    1  0.168    1  0.121    1  0.165    1 0.5309   22  0.412   13  0.077    2  0.252   12  0.022
DODGERS      61 36 506 357 -0.037 46.940    2  0.153    2  0.116    2  0.154    2 0.5298   14  0.525    4  0.169    8  0.140   23 -0.142
RAYS         56 38 425 393  0.013 47.512    3  0.099    3  0.100    5  0.066    3 0.5224   23  0.391   17 -0.039    6  0.171    9  0.094
BRAVES       55 40 460 368 -0.003 47.364    4  0.050    4  0.078    3  0.107    4 0.5193   18  0.493    9  0.092    9  0.122   15 -0.040
CUBS         54 42 484 432 -0.015 47.477    5  0.023    5  0.057    8  0.039    5 0.5160    9  0.620    6  0.143   19 -0.064   11  0.023
YANKEES      54 42 462 371 -0.016 47.374    6  0.023    6  0.057    4  0.095    7 0.5121   27  0.322   21 -0.069    1  0.258    5  0.269
PHILLIES     54 43 424 434 -0.002 48.507    7  0.021    7  0.056   17 -0.004    6 0.5143   29  0.299   28 -0.187    5  0.178    2  0.343
MARLINS      52 45 439 415  0.004 48.724    8  0.011    8  0.038   10  0.029    8 0.5102   10  0.580    8  0.094   18 -0.037   29 -0.290
CARDINALS    50 45 429 423  0.028 48.656    9  0.011    9  0.037   13  0.018    9 0.5097    6  0.655    5  0.155   22 -0.119   30 -0.310
GUARDIANS    51 46 385 387  0.015 49.155   10  0.008   10  0.032   14  0.005   11 0.5064   28  0.309   27 -0.170    4  0.179   16 -0.067
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    50 45 454 419 -0.012 47.107   11  0.006   11  0.022    9  0.038   13 0.5037    4  0.680    2  0.199   24 -0.124   26 -0.259
PIRATES      50 47 516 472  0.003 48.672   12  0.004   13  0.018    6  0.047   10 0.5068   11  0.551   11  0.085   15  0.008    6  0.269
DIAMONDBACKS 49 47 416 429  0.018 48.826   13  0.004   12  0.018   16 -0.001   12 0.5048   15  0.520   14  0.009   16 -0.010   19 -0.094
NATIONALS    48 49 516 509  0.030 49.739   14  0.001   14  0.008   12  0.024   14 0.5026    3  0.683    3  0.189   26 -0.141    4  0.288
PADRES       48 48 379 422  0.007 48.446   15 -0.000   15  0.003   22 -0.037   15 0.5012   17  0.500   19 -0.046   17 -0.028   28 -0.270
RED SOX      46 48 385 358  0.015 47.642   16 -0.002   16 -0.004    7  0.043   17 0.4976   26  0.335   25 -0.109    3  0.195   18 -0.089
TWINS        48 49 471 485  0.002 48.713   17 -0.002   18 -0.005   18 -0.010   18 0.4969    1  0.814    1  0.290   30 -0.310   25 -0.227
RANGERS      49 47 399 414 -0.035 46.826   18 -0.002   17 -0.004   21 -0.034   16 0.4984   19  0.450   23 -0.088   14  0.019   20 -0.109
MARINERS     48 49 392 376 -0.032 47.372   19 -0.005   19 -0.018   15  0.000   19 0.4950   25  0.342   26 -0.146    7  0.146   24 -0.189
ORIOLES      46 51 447 466  0.001 48.664   20 -0.008   20 -0.025   19 -0.015   21 0.4924    8  0.622   10  0.090   23 -0.120   13 -0.003
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    45 51 392 427  0.013 48.656   21 -0.009   21 -0.026   20 -0.029   20 0.4927   21  0.432   24 -0.098   13  0.040   10  0.035
ASTROS       47 51 449 496 -0.015 48.608   22 -0.009   22 -0.027   24 -0.066   22 0.4916    5  0.663   12  0.079   27 -0.212   14 -0.019
TIGERS       44 52 407 383 -0.009 47.734   23 -0.014   24 -0.044   11  0.026   24 0.4885   20  0.449   16 -0.028   10  0.081   22 -0.133
REDS         43 52 395 455  0.015 48.286   24 -0.014   23 -0.041   23 -0.064   23 0.4907   13  0.533   18 -0.042   21 -0.086   17 -0.083
GIANTS       41 55 395 459  0.012 48.725   25 -0.035   25 -0.068   25 -0.080   25 0.4857   16  0.515   22 -0.075   20 -0.085   21 -0.128
ATHLETICS    41 55 422 528 -0.016 47.656   26 -0.054   26 -0.080   30 -0.126   26 0.4793   30  0.298   30 -0.309   11  0.057    1  0.735
METS         40 57 398 463 -0.004 48.594   27 -0.072   27 -0.090   27 -0.086   27 0.4789   24  0.366   29 -0.213   12  0.040    7  0.200
ROYALS       38 59 411 499  0.020 49.497   28 -0.101   28 -0.102   28 -0.098   29 0.4744   12  0.542   20 -0.068   25 -0.129    8  0.106
ROCKIES      39 59 466 555  0.000 49.285   29 -0.108   29 -0.104   29 -0.112   28 0.4772    7  0.635   15  0.006   28 -0.230    3  0.335
ANGELS       38 59 430 485 -0.019 47.997   30 -0.145   30 -0.117   26 -0.085   30 0.4717    2  0.740    7  0.138   29 -0.308   27 -0.269

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      61 36 506 357 -0.037 46.940    2  0.153    2  0.116    2  0.154    2 0.5298   14  0.525    4  0.169    8  0.140   23 -0.142
DIAMONDBACKS 49 47 416 429  0.018 48.826   13  0.004   12  0.018   16 -0.001   12 0.5048   15  0.520   14  0.009   16 -0.010   19 -0.094
PADRES       48 48 379 422  0.007 48.446   15 -0.000   15  0.003   22 -0.037   15 0.5012   17  0.500   19 -0.046   17 -0.028   28 -0.270
GIANTS       41 55 395 459  0.012 48.725   25 -0.035   25 -0.068   25 -0.080   25 0.4857   16  0.515   22 -0.075   20 -0.085   21 -0.128
ROCKIES      39 59 466 555  0.000 49.285   29 -0.108   29 -0.104   29 -0.112   28 0.4772    7  0.635   15  0.006   28 -0.230    3  0.335

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      59 37 489 363  0.012 48.382    1  0.168    1  0.121    1  0.165    1 0.5309   22  0.412   13  0.077    2  0.252   12  0.022
CUBS         54 42 484 432 -0.015 47.477    5  0.023    5  0.057    8  0.039    5 0.5160    9  0.620    6  0.143   19 -0.064   11  0.023
CARDINALS    50 45 429 423  0.028 48.656    9  0.011    9  0.037   13  0.018    9 0.5097    6  0.655    5  0.155   22 -0.119   30 -0.310
PIRATES      50 47 516 472  0.003 48.672   12  0.004   13  0.018    6  0.047   10 0.5068   11  0.551   11  0.085   15  0.008    6  0.269
REDS         43 52 395 455  0.015 48.286   24 -0.014   23 -0.041   23 -0.064   23 0.4907   13  0.533   18 -0.042   21 -0.086   17 -0.083

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       55 40 460 368 -0.003 47.364    4  0.050    4  0.078    3  0.107    4 0.5193   18  0.493    9  0.092    9  0.122   15 -0.040
PHILLIES     54 43 424 434 -0.002 48.507    7  0.021    7  0.056   17 -0.004    6 0.5143   29  0.299   28 -0.187    5  0.178    2  0.343
MARLINS      52 45 439 415  0.004 48.724    8  0.011    8  0.038   10  0.029    8 0.5102   10  0.580    8  0.094   18 -0.037   29 -0.290
NATIONALS    48 49 516 509  0.030 49.739   14  0.001   14  0.008   12  0.024   14 0.5026    3  0.683    3  0.189   26 -0.141    4  0.288
METS         40 57 398 463 -0.004 48.594   27 -0.072   27 -0.090   27 -0.086   27 0.4789   24  0.366   29 -0.213   12  0.040    7  0.200

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      49 47 399 414 -0.035 46.826   18 -0.002   17 -0.004   21 -0.034   16 0.4984   19  0.450   23 -0.088   14  0.019   20 -0.109
MARINERS     48 49 392 376 -0.032 47.372   19 -0.005   19 -0.018   15  0.000   19 0.4950   25  0.342   26 -0.146    7  0.146   24 -0.189
ASTROS       47 51 449 496 -0.015 48.608   22 -0.009   22 -0.027   24 -0.066   22 0.4916    5  0.663   12  0.079   27 -0.212   14 -0.019
ATHLETICS    41 55 422 528 -0.016 47.656   26 -0.054   26 -0.080   30 -0.126   26 0.4793   30  0.298   30 -0.309   11  0.057    1  0.735
ANGELS       38 59 430 485 -0.019 47.997   30 -0.145   30 -0.117   26 -0.085   30 0.4717    2  0.740    7  0.138   29 -0.308   27 -0.269

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    51 46 385 387  0.015 49.155   10  0.008   10  0.032   14  0.005   11 0.5064   28  0.309   27 -0.170    4  0.179   16 -0.067
WHITE SOX    50 45 454 419 -0.012 47.107   11  0.006   11  0.022    9  0.038   13 0.5037    4  0.680    2  0.199   24 -0.124   26 -0.259
TWINS        48 49 471 485  0.002 48.713   17 -0.002   18 -0.005   18 -0.010   18 0.4969    1  0.814    1  0.290   30 -0.310   25 -0.227
TIGERS       44 52 407 383 -0.009 47.734   23 -0.014   24 -0.044   11  0.026   24 0.4885   20  0.449   16 -0.028   10  0.081   22 -0.133
ROYALS       38 59 411 499  0.020 49.497   28 -0.101   28 -0.102   28 -0.098   29 0.4744   12  0.542   20 -0.068   25 -0.129    8  0.106

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         56 38 425 393  0.013 47.512    3  0.099    3  0.100    5  0.066    3 0.5224   23  0.391   17 -0.039    6  0.171    9  0.094
YANKEES      54 42 462 371 -0.016 47.374    6  0.023    6  0.057    4  0.095    7 0.5121   27  0.322   21 -0.069    1  0.258    5  0.269
RED SOX      46 48 385 358  0.015 47.642   16 -0.002   16 -0.004    7  0.043   17 0.4976   26  0.335   25 -0.109    3  0.195   18 -0.089
ORIOLES      46 51 447 466  0.001 48.664   20 -0.008   20 -0.025   19 -0.015   21 0.4924    8  0.622   10  0.090   23 -0.120   13 -0.003
BLUE JAYS    45 51 392 427  0.013 48.656   21 -0.009   21 -0.026   20 -0.029   20 0.4927   21  0.432   24 -0.098   13  0.040   10  0.035

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 256 223 0.534    1  0.080
AL EAST    247 230 0.518    2  0.063
NL EAST    249 234 0.516    3  0.027
AL CENTRAL 231 251 0.479    4 -0.016
NL WEST    238 245 0.493    5 -0.031
AL WEST    223 261 0.461    6 -0.122

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.047 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Jul 13 05:30:07 2026
games through: Sun Jul 12 2026

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