Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      16  6 133  76 -0.067 10.274    1  0.097    1  0.092    2  0.132    1 0.5468    4  0.743    4  0.393   21 -0.128   29 -0.516 P
BRAVES       16  7 131  69 -0.041 10.931    2  0.086    2  0.083    1  0.143    2 0.5412   21  0.297   15 -0.006    4  0.292   10  0.194 P
PADRES       15  7  96  79 -0.002 10.932    3  0.084    3  0.082    5  0.059    4 0.5332   19  0.347   19 -0.048    7  0.167    4  0.276 P
REDS         15  8  84  87  0.025 11.771    4  0.075    4  0.075   15  0.011    3 0.5337   29  0.111   25 -0.283    3  0.304   14  0.138 P
DIAMONDBACKS 13  9  99 102  0.059 11.537    5  0.050    5  0.051   11  0.020    6 0.5250   12  0.558   12  0.100   19 -0.059    7  0.201 P
PIRATES      13  9 113  88  0.001 10.976    6  0.039    7  0.039    6  0.057    5 0.5261   15  0.520   11  0.102   13  0.012   21 -0.094 P
GUARDIANS    13 11  97 104  0.095 12.958    7  0.038    6  0.039   14  0.014    9 0.5142   13  0.548   14  0.084   18 -0.056   26 -0.320 P
YANKEES      13  9 110  82 -0.054 10.443    8  0.034    8  0.032    3  0.075   11 0.5118   28  0.140   22 -0.197    1  0.347    2  0.538 P
CUBS         13  9 117  83 -0.049 10.484    9  0.033   10  0.032    4  0.073    8 0.5183    7  0.707    5  0.297   22 -0.150   27 -0.428 P
RAYS         12 10 104 115  0.060 11.618   10  0.026    9  0.032   17 -0.014    7 0.5189    6  0.710    8  0.213   27 -0.241   20 -0.082 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    13  9 106 116 -0.060 10.548   11  0.023   11  0.029   21 -0.034   10 0.5140    9  0.620    9  0.104   23 -0.173   17 -0.007 P
TIGERS       12 11 100  83  0.007 11.545   12  0.013   12  0.011    8  0.043   12 0.5071   26  0.194   21 -0.188    5  0.275   16  0.058 P
BREWERS      12  9 106  87 -0.151  9.218   13  0.011   14  0.006   13  0.015   14 0.5026   11  0.568   10  0.104   20 -0.074   22 -0.131 P
ANGELS       11 13 117 109  0.151 13.461   14  0.009   13  0.007    7  0.050   15 0.4983    3  0.826    3  0.397   28 -0.296   28 -0.499 P
RANGERS      11 11  92  82  0.030 11.260   15  0.008   16  0.005    9  0.030   13 0.5046   14  0.538   13  0.092   17 -0.031   30 -0.765 P
ATHLETICS    12 11  97 114 -0.016 11.516   16  0.002   15  0.006   23 -0.052   17 0.4963   27  0.143   30 -0.323    6  0.218    1  0.576 P
MARLINS      11 12 105 104  0.025 11.797   17 -0.008   17 -0.008   16 -0.004   16 0.4973    5  0.713    7  0.225   26 -0.234   23 -0.200 P
TWINS        11 11 112 100 -0.061 10.471   18 -0.012   18 -0.013   12  0.016   18 0.4955    8  0.698    6  0.231   24 -0.199   15  0.058 P
ORIOLES      11 12  98 103 -0.035 11.255   19 -0.018   19 -0.018   19 -0.024   20 0.4941   17  0.445   18 -0.047   15 -0.000   13  0.163 P
NATIONALS    10 13 125 143  0.060 12.182   20 -0.022   20 -0.022   20 -0.030   19 0.4947    2  0.926    2  0.424   29 -0.483   11  0.186 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS     10 14  94  90  0.066 12.672   21 -0.026   21 -0.028   10  0.023   22 0.4812   30  0.092   26 -0.284    2  0.331    8  0.196 P
RED SOX       9 13  89 102  0.040 11.428   22 -0.031   22 -0.033   18 -0.016   21 0.4870   16  0.479   16 -0.009   16 -0.023   18 -0.048 P
BLUE JAYS     9 13  88 111 -0.033 10.859   23 -0.042   23 -0.046   24 -0.060   24 0.4789   18  0.393   20 -0.128   14  0.009    5  0.249 P
GIANTS        9 13  75  96 -0.048 10.739   24 -0.045   24 -0.049   27 -0.072   23 0.4807   25  0.198   28 -0.300    9  0.155   12  0.164 P
ROCKIES       9 14  92 111 -0.007 11.623   25 -0.052   25 -0.056   26 -0.072   27 0.4710   23  0.220   24 -0.282   10  0.138    9  0.194 P
PHILLIES      8 14  76 118  0.014 11.343   26 -0.055   26 -0.058   29 -0.100   26 0.4721   22  0.231   29 -0.302   11  0.103    3  0.277 P
ASTROS        9 15 130 142 -0.068 11.447   27 -0.071   27 -0.073   22 -0.048   28 0.4616    1  1.064    1  0.563   30 -0.660   24 -0.251 P
METS          7 15  72  97  0.042 11.544   28 -0.074   28 -0.075   25 -0.065   25 0.4732   24  0.207   27 -0.286    8  0.156    6  0.209 P
ROYALS        7 16  76 110  0.043 12.144   29 -0.084   29 -0.084   28 -0.078   30 0.4573   20  0.302   23 -0.224   12  0.067   19 -0.053 P
WHITE SOX     8 14  82 113 -0.111 10.185   30 -0.089   30 -0.084   30 -0.118   29 0.4604   10  0.577   17 -0.020   25 -0.215   25 -0.291 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      16  6 133  76 -0.067 10.274    1  0.097    1  0.092    2  0.132    1 0.5468    4  0.743    4  0.393   21 -0.128   29 -0.516 P
PADRES       15  7  96  79 -0.002 10.932    3  0.084    3  0.082    5  0.059    4 0.5332   19  0.347   19 -0.048    7  0.167    4  0.276 P
DIAMONDBACKS 13  9  99 102  0.059 11.537    5  0.050    5  0.051   11  0.020    6 0.5250   12  0.558   12  0.100   19 -0.059    7  0.201 P
GIANTS        9 13  75  96 -0.048 10.739   24 -0.045   24 -0.049   27 -0.072   23 0.4807   25  0.198   28 -0.300    9  0.155   12  0.164 P
ROCKIES       9 14  92 111 -0.007 11.623   25 -0.052   25 -0.056   26 -0.072   27 0.4710   23  0.220   24 -0.282   10  0.138    9  0.194 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         15  8  84  87  0.025 11.771    4  0.075    4  0.075   15  0.011    3 0.5337   29  0.111   25 -0.283    3  0.304   14  0.138 P
PIRATES      13  9 113  88  0.001 10.976    6  0.039    7  0.039    6  0.057    5 0.5261   15  0.520   11  0.102   13  0.012   21 -0.094 P
CUBS         13  9 117  83 -0.049 10.484    9  0.033   10  0.032    4  0.073    8 0.5183    7  0.707    5  0.297   22 -0.150   27 -0.428 P
CARDINALS    13  9 106 116 -0.060 10.548   11  0.023   11  0.029   21 -0.034   10 0.5140    9  0.620    9  0.104   23 -0.173   17 -0.007 P
BREWERS      12  9 106  87 -0.151  9.218   13  0.011   14  0.006   13  0.015   14 0.5026   11  0.568   10  0.104   20 -0.074   22 -0.131 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       16  7 131  69 -0.041 10.931    2  0.086    2  0.083    1  0.143    2 0.5412   21  0.297   15 -0.006    4  0.292   10  0.194 P
MARLINS      11 12 105 104  0.025 11.797   17 -0.008   17 -0.008   16 -0.004   16 0.4973    5  0.713    7  0.225   26 -0.234   23 -0.200 P
NATIONALS    10 13 125 143  0.060 12.182   20 -0.022   20 -0.022   20 -0.030   19 0.4947    2  0.926    2  0.424   29 -0.483   11  0.186 P
PHILLIES      8 14  76 118  0.014 11.343   26 -0.055   26 -0.058   29 -0.100   26 0.4721   22  0.231   29 -0.302   11  0.103    3  0.277 P
METS          7 15  72  97  0.042 11.544   28 -0.074   28 -0.075   25 -0.065   25 0.4732   24  0.207   27 -0.286    8  0.156    6  0.209 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       11 13 117 109  0.151 13.461   14  0.009   13  0.007    7  0.050   15 0.4983    3  0.826    3  0.397   28 -0.296   28 -0.499 P
RANGERS      11 11  92  82  0.030 11.260   15  0.008   16  0.005    9  0.030   13 0.5046   14  0.538   13  0.092   17 -0.031   30 -0.765 P
ATHLETICS    12 11  97 114 -0.016 11.516   16  0.002   15  0.006   23 -0.052   17 0.4963   27  0.143   30 -0.323    6  0.218    1  0.576 P
MARINERS     10 14  94  90  0.066 12.672   21 -0.026   21 -0.028   10  0.023   22 0.4812   30  0.092   26 -0.284    2  0.331    8  0.196 P
ASTROS        9 15 130 142 -0.068 11.447   27 -0.071   27 -0.073   22 -0.048   28 0.4616    1  1.064    1  0.563   30 -0.660   24 -0.251 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    13 11  97 104  0.095 12.958    7  0.038    6  0.039   14  0.014    9 0.5142   13  0.548   14  0.084   18 -0.056   26 -0.320 P
TIGERS       12 11 100  83  0.007 11.545   12  0.013   12  0.011    8  0.043   12 0.5071   26  0.194   21 -0.188    5  0.275   16  0.058 P
TWINS        11 11 112 100 -0.061 10.471   18 -0.012   18 -0.013   12  0.016   18 0.4955    8  0.698    6  0.231   24 -0.199   15  0.058 P
ROYALS        7 16  76 110  0.043 12.144   29 -0.084   29 -0.084   28 -0.078   30 0.4573   20  0.302   23 -0.224   12  0.067   19 -0.053 P
WHITE SOX     8 14  82 113 -0.111 10.185   30 -0.089   30 -0.084   30 -0.118   29 0.4604   10  0.577   17 -0.020   25 -0.215   25 -0.291 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      13  9 110  82 -0.054 10.443    8  0.034    8  0.032    3  0.075   11 0.5118   28  0.140   22 -0.197    1  0.347    2  0.538 P
RAYS         12 10 104 115  0.060 11.618   10  0.026    9  0.032   17 -0.014    7 0.5189    6  0.710    8  0.213   27 -0.241   20 -0.082 P
ORIOLES      11 12  98 103 -0.035 11.255   19 -0.018   19 -0.018   19 -0.024   20 0.4941   17  0.445   18 -0.047   15 -0.000   13  0.163 P
RED SOX       9 13  89 102  0.040 11.428   22 -0.031   22 -0.033   18 -0.016   21 0.4870   16  0.479   16 -0.009   16 -0.023   18 -0.048 P
BLUE JAYS     9 13  88 111 -0.033 10.859   23 -0.042   23 -0.046   24 -0.060   24 0.4789   18  0.393   20 -0.128   14  0.009    5  0.249 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 66 44 0.600    1  0.085
NL WEST    62 49 0.559    2  0.049
AL WEST    53 64 0.453    3  0.004
AL EAST    54 57 0.486    4 -0.025
NL EAST    52 61 0.460    5 -0.041
AL CENTRAL 51 63 0.447    6 -0.081

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.059 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.010 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Apr 21 05:30:05 2026
games through: Mon Apr 20 2026

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