Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      81 49 648 485  0.003 64.892    1  0.209    1  0.168    1  0.191    1 0.5304   25  0.396    8  0.100    2  0.281   11  0.035
DODGERS      79 51 649 502 -0.009 64.321    2  0.161    2  0.141    2  0.156    2 0.5258   14  0.514    4  0.170    8  0.142   21 -0.118
RAYS         76 53 584 542 -0.007 64.055    3  0.100    3  0.116    8  0.061    3 0.5207   18  0.443   16  0.011    9  0.111   13  0.023
BRAVES       75 55 610 502  0.009 65.322    4  0.084    4  0.109    3  0.129    4 0.5189   26  0.366   15  0.012    4  0.245    8  0.150
CUBS         74 56 665 567  0.001 64.924    5  0.055    5  0.093    6  0.092    5 0.5173    7  0.637    2  0.222   17 -0.038   19 -0.066
YANKEES      73 56 571 476  0.001 64.431    6  0.050    6  0.089    5  0.109    6 0.5163   30  0.197   27 -0.144    1  0.362    5  0.247
PHILLIES     72 58 593 568  0.009 65.415    7  0.033    7  0.077   10  0.042    7 0.5134   27  0.341   23 -0.095    5  0.180    4  0.295
RED SOX      70 59 584 486 -0.001 64.319    8  0.018    8  0.058    4  0.115    8 0.5109   28  0.315   19 -0.044    3  0.274    9  0.100
PADRES       70 60 556 547  0.004 65.193    9  0.016    9  0.054   14  0.019    9 0.5096   12  0.545   11  0.061   15 -0.023   28 -0.296
DIAMONDBACKS 68 62 593 586  0.015 65.767   10  0.010   10  0.039   12  0.023   10 0.5069   11  0.553    9  0.073   16 -0.027   18 -0.054
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    67 62 616 574 -0.003 64.254   11  0.006   11  0.024    9  0.047   12 0.5039    5  0.663    3  0.202   23 -0.108   23 -0.165
CARDINALS    66 65 581 581  0.022 66.613   12  0.005   12  0.017   16  0.010   11 0.5044    8  0.611    6  0.115   22 -0.096   27 -0.259
MARLINS      66 64 567 550  0.005 65.216   13  0.004   13  0.013   13  0.020   13 0.5028   15  0.489   17  0.011   11  0.029   25 -0.179
BLUE JAYS    64 67 518 568  0.031 67.198   14  0.002   14  0.001   18 -0.025   14 0.5005   24  0.396   24 -0.115   10  0.066   15 -0.037
PIRATES      63 68 653 624  0.022 66.631   15  0.000   16 -0.013   11  0.034   15 0.4989   13  0.519   13  0.053   13  0.015    6  0.244
GUARDIANS    64 66 520 534 -0.004 64.816   16  0.000   15 -0.013   17 -0.023   16 0.4976   29  0.283   29 -0.208    6  0.163   10  0.054
ORIOLES      63 67 582 615  0.008 65.456   17 -0.001   17 -0.017   19 -0.028   17 0.4970    4  0.665    5  0.130   26 -0.185   22 -0.149
TWINS        63 67 599 646  0.001 65.131   18 -0.002   18 -0.021   21 -0.049   18 0.4961    1  0.783    1  0.227   29 -0.325   26 -0.216
ASTROS       65 65 590 633 -0.048 62.594   19 -0.003   19 -0.026   23 -0.075   21 0.4942    6  0.654   10  0.071   27 -0.221   17 -0.052
REDS         62 68 534 626  0.009 65.588   20 -0.004   20 -0.027   27 -0.103   20 0.4947   10  0.553   20 -0.053   25 -0.154   20 -0.108
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    61 70 680 666  0.022 66.609   21 -0.004   21 -0.034   15  0.019   19 0.4947    9  0.596    7  0.109   21 -0.072    2  0.344
RANGERS      64 66 516 564 -0.045 62.750   22 -0.005   22 -0.035   24 -0.076   22 0.4932   21  0.432   25 -0.136   14 -0.017   24 -0.168
MARINERS     62 68 511 555 -0.017 64.196   23 -0.006   23 -0.040   22 -0.061   23 0.4929   16  0.484   21 -0.074   18 -0.047   29 -0.310
TIGERS       61 68 580 503 -0.023 63.213   24 -0.007   24 -0.046    7  0.073   24 0.4912   23  0.406   18 -0.009    7  0.155   14 -0.020
METS         59 71 545 584  0.028 66.535   25 -0.008   25 -0.047   20 -0.039   25 0.4911   20  0.435   22 -0.095   12  0.018   12  0.028
ROYALS       57 74 549 644 -0.008 65.243   26 -0.050   26 -0.092   26 -0.103   26 0.4824   19  0.443   28 -0.153   19 -0.053    7  0.188
GIANTS       52 77 519 598  0.006 64.993   27 -0.118   27 -0.126   25 -0.098   27 0.4773   17  0.449   26 -0.142   20 -0.054   16 -0.049
ROCKIES      50 79 615 746  0.014 65.385   28 -0.164   28 -0.145   29 -0.149   28 0.4746    2  0.698   14  0.041   30 -0.338    3  0.306
ANGELS       52 78 534 602 -0.033 63.455   29 -0.177   29 -0.152   28 -0.110   29 0.4731    3  0.671   12  0.053   28 -0.272   30 -0.425
ATHLETICS    50 80 561 749 -0.014 64.529   30 -0.204   30 -0.164   30 -0.202   30 0.4692   22  0.422   30 -0.270   24 -0.133    1  0.654

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      79 51 649 502 -0.009 64.321    2  0.161    2  0.141    2  0.156    2 0.5258   14  0.514    4  0.170    8  0.142   21 -0.118
PADRES       70 60 556 547  0.004 65.193    9  0.016    9  0.054   14  0.019    9 0.5096   12  0.545   11  0.061   15 -0.023   28 -0.296
DIAMONDBACKS 68 62 593 586  0.015 65.767   10  0.010   10  0.039   12  0.023   10 0.5069   11  0.553    9  0.073   16 -0.027   18 -0.054
GIANTS       52 77 519 598  0.006 64.993   27 -0.118   27 -0.126   25 -0.098   27 0.4773   17  0.449   26 -0.142   20 -0.054   16 -0.049
ROCKIES      50 79 615 746  0.014 65.385   28 -0.164   28 -0.145   29 -0.149   28 0.4746    2  0.698   14  0.041   30 -0.338    3  0.306

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      81 49 648 485  0.003 64.892    1  0.209    1  0.168    1  0.191    1 0.5304   25  0.396    8  0.100    2  0.281   11  0.035
CUBS         74 56 665 567  0.001 64.924    5  0.055    5  0.093    6  0.092    5 0.5173    7  0.637    2  0.222   17 -0.038   19 -0.066
CARDINALS    66 65 581 581  0.022 66.613   12  0.005   12  0.017   16  0.010   11 0.5044    8  0.611    6  0.115   22 -0.096   27 -0.259
PIRATES      63 68 653 624  0.022 66.631   15  0.000   16 -0.013   11  0.034   15 0.4989   13  0.519   13  0.053   13  0.015    6  0.244
REDS         62 68 534 626  0.009 65.588   20 -0.004   20 -0.027   27 -0.103   20 0.4947   10  0.553   20 -0.053   25 -0.154   20 -0.108

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       75 55 610 502  0.009 65.322    4  0.084    4  0.109    3  0.129    4 0.5189   26  0.366   15  0.012    4  0.245    8  0.150
PHILLIES     72 58 593 568  0.009 65.415    7  0.033    7  0.077   10  0.042    7 0.5134   27  0.341   23 -0.095    5  0.180    4  0.295
MARLINS      66 64 567 550  0.005 65.216   13  0.004   13  0.013   13  0.020   13 0.5028   15  0.489   17  0.011   11  0.029   25 -0.179
NATIONALS    61 70 680 666  0.022 66.609   21 -0.004   21 -0.034   15  0.019   19 0.4947    9  0.596    7  0.109   21 -0.072    2  0.344
METS         59 71 545 584  0.028 66.535   25 -0.008   25 -0.047   20 -0.039   25 0.4911   20  0.435   22 -0.095   12  0.018   12  0.028

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       65 65 590 633 -0.048 62.594   19 -0.003   19 -0.026   23 -0.075   21 0.4942    6  0.654   10  0.071   27 -0.221   17 -0.052
RANGERS      64 66 516 564 -0.045 62.750   22 -0.005   22 -0.035   24 -0.076   22 0.4932   21  0.432   25 -0.136   14 -0.017   24 -0.168
MARINERS     62 68 511 555 -0.017 64.196   23 -0.006   23 -0.040   22 -0.061   23 0.4929   16  0.484   21 -0.074   18 -0.047   29 -0.310
ANGELS       52 78 534 602 -0.033 63.455   29 -0.177   29 -0.152   28 -0.110   29 0.4731    3  0.671   12  0.053   28 -0.272   30 -0.425
ATHLETICS    50 80 561 749 -0.014 64.529   30 -0.204   30 -0.164   30 -0.202   30 0.4692   22  0.422   30 -0.270   24 -0.133    1  0.654

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    67 62 616 574 -0.003 64.254   11  0.006   11  0.024    9  0.047   12 0.5039    5  0.663    3  0.202   23 -0.108   23 -0.165
GUARDIANS    64 66 520 534 -0.004 64.816   16  0.000   15 -0.013   17 -0.023   16 0.4976   29  0.283   29 -0.208    6  0.163   10  0.054
TWINS        63 67 599 646  0.001 65.131   18 -0.002   18 -0.021   21 -0.049   18 0.4961    1  0.783    1  0.227   29 -0.325   26 -0.216
TIGERS       61 68 580 503 -0.023 63.213   24 -0.007   24 -0.046    7  0.073   24 0.4912   23  0.406   18 -0.009    7  0.155   14 -0.020
ROYALS       57 74 549 644 -0.008 65.243   26 -0.050   26 -0.092   26 -0.103   26 0.4824   19  0.443   28 -0.153   19 -0.053    7  0.188

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         76 53 584 542 -0.007 64.055    3  0.100    3  0.116    8  0.061    3 0.5207   18  0.443   16  0.011    9  0.111   13  0.023
YANKEES      73 56 571 476  0.001 64.431    6  0.050    6  0.089    5  0.109    6 0.5163   30  0.197   27 -0.144    1  0.362    5  0.247
RED SOX      70 59 584 486 -0.001 64.319    8  0.018    8  0.058    4  0.115    8 0.5109   28  0.315   19 -0.044    3  0.274    9  0.100
BLUE JAYS    64 67 518 568  0.031 67.198   14  0.002   14  0.001   18 -0.025   14 0.5005   24  0.396   24 -0.115   10  0.066   15 -0.037
ORIOLES      63 67 582 615  0.008 65.456   17 -0.001   17 -0.017   19 -0.028   17 0.4970    4  0.665    5  0.130   26 -0.185   22 -0.149

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    346 302 0.534    1  0.073
NL CENTRAL 346 306 0.531    2  0.069
NL EAST    333 318 0.512    3  0.053
NL WEST    319 329 0.492    4 -0.016
AL CENTRAL 312 337 0.481    5 -0.017
AL WEST    293 357 0.451    6 -0.163

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.058 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Aug 23 05:30:10 2026
games through: Sat Aug 22 2026

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