Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         27 13 179 156  0.032 20.637    1  0.142    1  0.121    6  0.072    1 0.5472   11  0.527    8  0.116   15  0.029   24 -0.303
BRAVES       28 13 228 141 -0.012 20.320    2  0.134    2  0.117    1  0.163    3 0.5415   17  0.447    6  0.135    7  0.191   12  0.082
CUBS         27 14 215 168 -0.028 20.149    3  0.098    3  0.097    5  0.080    2 0.5416    1  0.931    1  0.533   30 -0.372   27 -0.440
YANKEES      26 16 217 145 -0.018 20.701    4  0.061    4  0.074    2  0.132    4 0.5236   28  0.198   23 -0.103    1  0.366    2  0.574
BREWERS      22 16 195 141  0.038 19.677    5  0.045    5  0.059    3  0.114    5 0.5215   20  0.421   13  0.063    8  0.165   16  0.058 P
CARDINALS    23 17 186 183  0.027 20.670    6  0.037    6  0.055   10  0.019    6 0.5202   14  0.498   14  0.036   17  0.001   11  0.118
DODGERS      24 17 206 143 -0.035 19.987    7  0.032    7  0.046    4  0.101    7 0.5172   24  0.357   18 -0.005    3  0.207   21 -0.104
PADRES       24 16 170 167 -0.089 18.836    8  0.029    8  0.042   17 -0.014    9 0.5166   12  0.515   16  0.018   18 -0.047   22 -0.173
PIRATES      22 19 206 175 -0.008 20.535    9  0.016    9  0.022    7  0.049    8 0.5170   15  0.461   15  0.033   12  0.064    9  0.193
ATHLETICS    21 19 176 182  0.007 20.374   10  0.013   10  0.019   15 -0.005   13 0.5032   26  0.246   26 -0.203    6  0.192    1  0.632
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         22 19 164 197 -0.025 20.466   11  0.013   11  0.018   23 -0.055   10 0.5066   13  0.507   19 -0.029   21 -0.081   18  0.038
GUARDIANS    22 21 180 179  0.032 22.314   12  0.011   12  0.017   11  0.006   11 0.5060    9  0.574   10  0.093   22 -0.082   29 -0.620
DIAMONDBACKS 20 20 170 191  0.040 20.934   13  0.008   13  0.011   18 -0.015   12 0.5033    7  0.616    9  0.112   24 -0.142   20 -0.089
NATIONALS    19 22 217 230  0.088 22.231   14  0.001   14 -0.000   13  0.002   14 0.4998    2  0.773    2  0.286   27 -0.283    5  0.325
RANGERS      19 22 149 153  0.070 21.899   15 -0.002   15 -0.006    9  0.022   15 0.4985   21  0.408   20 -0.040   10  0.085   30 -0.769
ROYALS       19 22 169 183  0.043 21.500   18 -0.011   16 -0.013   16 -0.009   21 0.4905   27  0.223   28 -0.224    4  0.206    8  0.224
MARINERS     20 22 170 166  0.007 21.400   16 -0.009   17 -0.013   12  0.005   19 0.4923   22  0.395   21 -0.069   11  0.078   19 -0.016
TIGERS       19 22 175 171  0.030 21.229   17 -0.010   18 -0.016    8  0.023   17 0.4930   16  0.449   17 -0.004   14  0.049   13  0.078
WHITE SOX    19 21 171 185 -0.012 20.103   19 -0.016   19 -0.019   19 -0.022   18 0.4924    8  0.600   11  0.090   23 -0.134   25 -0.309
PHILLIES     19 22 170 202  0.002 20.944   21 -0.020   20 -0.023   25 -0.059   16 0.4951   25  0.293   27 -0.218    9  0.100    4  0.334
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      19 22 176 179  0.000 20.776   20 -0.018   21 -0.023   14 -0.005   20 0.4920   10  0.559   12  0.068   20 -0.078   23 -0.181
ORIOLES      19 23 184 224 -0.014 21.169   22 -0.029   22 -0.035   26 -0.073   22 0.4845    5  0.689    7  0.126   26 -0.272   17  0.041
BLUE JAYS    18 23 169 184 -0.018 20.537   23 -0.037   23 -0.044   22 -0.042   26 0.4810   23  0.373   24 -0.134   13  0.051   10  0.151
RED SOX      17 23 156 168  0.002 20.335   24 -0.039   24 -0.047   20 -0.029   25 0.4814   19  0.428   22 -0.075   16  0.016   26 -0.371
TWINS        18 23 194 206 -0.035 20.240   25 -0.041   25 -0.049   21 -0.033   24 0.4827    6  0.689    5  0.165   25 -0.232   15  0.065
GIANTS       17 24 139 181 -0.018 20.627   26 -0.052   26 -0.060   29 -0.094   23 0.4834   29  0.129   29 -0.381    5  0.194    7  0.254
ANGELS       16 26 179 208  0.004 21.461   27 -0.074   27 -0.077   24 -0.057   27 0.4707    3  0.764    3  0.218   28 -0.332   28 -0.558
ROCKIES      16 25 175 210 -0.068 19.813   28 -0.092   28 -0.089   30 -0.096   28 0.4686   18  0.433   25 -0.137   19 -0.055    3  0.408
ASTROS       16 26 197 233 -0.044 20.671   29 -0.094   29 -0.090   27 -0.088   30 0.4642    4  0.750    4  0.172   29 -0.348   14  0.077
METS         15 25 139 170 -0.043 19.722   30 -0.096   30 -0.091   28 -0.089   29 0.4677   30  0.084   30 -0.409    2  0.232    6  0.273

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      24 17 206 143 -0.035 19.987    7  0.032    7  0.046    4  0.101    7 0.5172   24  0.357   18 -0.005    3  0.207   21 -0.104
PADRES       24 16 170 167 -0.089 18.836    8  0.029    8  0.042   17 -0.014    9 0.5166   12  0.515   16  0.018   18 -0.047   22 -0.173
DIAMONDBACKS 20 20 170 191  0.040 20.934   13  0.008   13  0.011   18 -0.015   12 0.5033    7  0.616    9  0.112   24 -0.142   20 -0.089
GIANTS       17 24 139 181 -0.018 20.627   26 -0.052   26 -0.060   29 -0.094   23 0.4834   29  0.129   29 -0.381    5  0.194    7  0.254
ROCKIES      16 25 175 210 -0.068 19.813   28 -0.092   28 -0.089   30 -0.096   28 0.4686   18  0.433   25 -0.137   19 -0.055    3  0.408

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         27 14 215 168 -0.028 20.149    3  0.098    3  0.097    5  0.080    2 0.5416    1  0.931    1  0.533   30 -0.372   27 -0.440
BREWERS      22 16 195 141  0.038 19.677    5  0.045    5  0.059    3  0.114    5 0.5215   20  0.421   13  0.063    8  0.165   16  0.058 P
CARDINALS    23 17 186 183  0.027 20.670    6  0.037    6  0.055   10  0.019    6 0.5202   14  0.498   14  0.036   17  0.001   11  0.118
PIRATES      22 19 206 175 -0.008 20.535    9  0.016    9  0.022    7  0.049    8 0.5170   15  0.461   15  0.033   12  0.064    9  0.193
REDS         22 19 164 197 -0.025 20.466   11  0.013   11  0.018   23 -0.055   10 0.5066   13  0.507   19 -0.029   21 -0.081   18  0.038

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       28 13 228 141 -0.012 20.320    2  0.134    2  0.117    1  0.163    3 0.5415   17  0.447    6  0.135    7  0.191   12  0.082
NATIONALS    19 22 217 230  0.088 22.231   14  0.001   14 -0.000   13  0.002   14 0.4998    2  0.773    2  0.286   27 -0.283    5  0.325
PHILLIES     19 22 170 202  0.002 20.944   21 -0.020   20 -0.023   25 -0.059   16 0.4951   25  0.293   27 -0.218    9  0.100    4  0.334
MARLINS      19 22 176 179  0.000 20.776   20 -0.018   21 -0.023   14 -0.005   20 0.4920   10  0.559   12  0.068   20 -0.078   23 -0.181
METS         15 25 139 170 -0.043 19.722   30 -0.096   30 -0.091   28 -0.089   29 0.4677   30  0.084   30 -0.409    2  0.232    6  0.273

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS    21 19 176 182  0.007 20.374   10  0.013   10  0.019   15 -0.005   13 0.5032   26  0.246   26 -0.203    6  0.192    1  0.632
RANGERS      19 22 149 153  0.070 21.899   15 -0.002   15 -0.006    9  0.022   15 0.4985   21  0.408   20 -0.040   10  0.085   30 -0.769
MARINERS     20 22 170 166  0.007 21.400   16 -0.009   17 -0.013   12  0.005   19 0.4923   22  0.395   21 -0.069   11  0.078   19 -0.016
ANGELS       16 26 179 208  0.004 21.461   27 -0.074   27 -0.077   24 -0.057   27 0.4707    3  0.764    3  0.218   28 -0.332   28 -0.558
ASTROS       16 26 197 233 -0.044 20.671   29 -0.094   29 -0.090   27 -0.088   30 0.4642    4  0.750    4  0.172   29 -0.348   14  0.077

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
GUARDIANS    22 21 180 179  0.032 22.314   12  0.011   12  0.017   11  0.006   11 0.5060    9  0.574   10  0.093   22 -0.082   29 -0.620
ROYALS       19 22 169 183  0.043 21.500   18 -0.011   16 -0.013   16 -0.009   21 0.4905   27  0.223   28 -0.224    4  0.206    8  0.224
TIGERS       19 22 175 171  0.030 21.229   17 -0.010   18 -0.016    8  0.023   17 0.4930   16  0.449   17 -0.004   14  0.049   13  0.078
WHITE SOX    19 21 171 185 -0.012 20.103   19 -0.016   19 -0.019   19 -0.022   18 0.4924    8  0.600   11  0.090   23 -0.134   25 -0.309
TWINS        18 23 194 206 -0.035 20.240   25 -0.041   25 -0.049   21 -0.033   24 0.4827    6  0.689    5  0.165   25 -0.232   15  0.065

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         27 13 179 156  0.032 20.637    1  0.142    1  0.121    6  0.072    1 0.5472   11  0.527    8  0.116   15  0.029   24 -0.303
YANKEES      26 16 217 145 -0.018 20.701    4  0.061    4  0.074    2  0.132    4 0.5236   28  0.198   23 -0.103    1  0.366    2  0.574
ORIOLES      19 23 184 224 -0.014 21.169   22 -0.029   22 -0.035   26 -0.073   22 0.4845    5  0.689    7  0.126   26 -0.272   17  0.041
BLUE JAYS    18 23 169 184 -0.018 20.537   23 -0.037   23 -0.044   22 -0.042   26 0.4810   23  0.373   24 -0.134   13  0.051   10  0.151
RED SOX      17 23 156 168  0.002 20.335   24 -0.039   24 -0.047   20 -0.029   25 0.4814   19  0.428   22 -0.075   16  0.016   26 -0.371

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 116  85 0.577    1  0.120
AL EAST    107  98 0.522    2  0.033
NL EAST    100 104 0.490    3  0.003
AL CENTRAL  97 109 0.471    4 -0.021
NL WEST    101 102 0.498    5 -0.068
AL WEST     92 115 0.444    6 -0.069

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.079 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue May 12 05:30:07 2026
games through: Mon May 11 2026

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