Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       90  58 751 578 -0.005 72.747    1  0.224    1  0.177    1  0.191    1 0.5252    5  0.636    2  0.322   15  0.060   26 -0.223
PHILLIES      88  60 717 587 -0.024 71.687    2  0.168    2  0.142    3  0.135    3 0.5207   27  0.316   17 -0.021    1  0.291    2  0.296
BLUE JAYS     85  62 733 657  0.019 73.777    3  0.165    3  0.142    7  0.106    2 0.5209   10  0.569    4  0.173   16  0.039   12  0.048
CUBS          84  63 719 597 -0.001 72.532    4  0.113    4  0.118    4  0.133    4 0.5169   11  0.539    5  0.172   11  0.094   21 -0.065
YANKEES       82  65 765 636  0.018 73.691    5  0.092    5  0.109    2  0.155    5 0.5163    2  0.697    1  0.347   18 -0.037   24 -0.130
TIGERS        84  64 723 628 -0.015 72.279    6  0.080    6  0.103    6  0.112    6 0.5149   13  0.512    9  0.127   10  0.097    6  0.113
RED SOX       81  67 727 623  0.008 73.656    7  0.050    7  0.084    5  0.115    7 0.5124   12  0.533    6  0.148   13  0.081   13  0.036
MARINERS      80  68 689 649  0.013 74.048    8  0.036    8  0.076   10  0.051    8 0.5114    4  0.689    3  0.234   24 -0.132   29 -0.410
DODGERS       82  65 739 632 -0.035 70.577    9  0.034    9  0.073    9  0.091    9 0.5102   20  0.431   12  0.033    4  0.149    3  0.294
ASTROS        80  68 626 605 -0.006 72.935   10  0.022   10  0.063   16  0.019   10 0.5095   24  0.406   22 -0.061    9  0.099   20 -0.056
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES        80  68 621 569 -0.017 72.198   11  0.018   11  0.056   11  0.050   11 0.5080   29  0.313   25 -0.109    2  0.209   23 -0.094
RANGERS       78  70 638 542  0.002 73.330   12  0.014   12  0.048    8  0.101   12 0.5075   18  0.472   10  0.079    5  0.122   30 -0.458
GUARDIANS     76  71 574 608 -0.003 72.721   13  0.004   13  0.025   18 -0.037   13 0.5036   26  0.336   28 -0.176    8  0.103   19 -0.034
METS          76  72 697 653 -0.011 72.630   14  0.002   14  0.016   13  0.032   14 0.5021   15  0.495   13  0.031   17  0.033   11  0.051
GIANTS        75  72 642 606 -0.011 72.124   15  0.001   15  0.010   15  0.022   15 0.5010   21  0.417   20 -0.048   12  0.093   22 -0.069
REDS          74  73 656 627 -0.000 72.771   16 -0.000   16  0.006   14  0.028   16 0.5007   23  0.409   21 -0.050    7  0.105    9  0.096
ROYALS        74  74 561 578 -0.004 73.192   17 -0.002   17 -0.002   19 -0.040   17 0.4990   25  0.377   27 -0.144   14  0.065   28 -0.258
RAYS          72  75 659 610  0.010 73.373   18 -0.003   18 -0.010   12  0.043   18 0.4988   22  0.409   18 -0.034    6  0.121   10  0.071
DIAMONDBACKS  73  75 732 714 -0.018 72.207   19 -0.007   19 -0.024   17  0.016   19 0.4963    7  0.624    8  0.136   23 -0.104    8  0.101
CARDINALS     72  76 631 683  0.000 73.450   20 -0.008   20 -0.024   22 -0.060   20 0.4961    9  0.593   14  0.030   25 -0.149   25 -0.145
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES       69  78 629 713  0.018 74.044   21 -0.013   21 -0.039   24 -0.079   21 0.4947   16  0.486   23 -0.088   21 -0.069    5  0.140
ANGELS        69  79 634 754  0.026 74.965   22 -0.014   22 -0.040   28 -0.102   22 0.4940    8  0.596   15 -0.009   27 -0.196   14  0.029
ATHLETICS     68  80 676 755  0.012 74.133   23 -0.021   23 -0.060   21 -0.058   23 0.4920    6  0.631   11  0.068   26 -0.184    7  0.107
MARLINS       69  79 649 743 -0.006 73.132   24 -0.023   24 -0.061   26 -0.097   24 0.4906    1  0.744    7  0.142   29 -0.336   27 -0.251
BRAVES        65  82 636 683  0.003 73.131   25 -0.053   25 -0.093   20 -0.047   25 0.4862   14  0.508   19 -0.037   19 -0.058   16 -0.007
TWINS         65  82 626 710  0.001 73.037   26 -0.057   26 -0.095   25 -0.087   26 0.4862   17  0.485   24 -0.096   22 -0.077    4  0.141
PIRATES       64  84 532 605  0.017 74.453   27 -0.068   27 -0.101   23 -0.067   27 0.4852   30  0.204   29 -0.313    3  0.179   17 -0.023
NATIONALS     61  86 632 803  0.004 73.377   28 -0.160   28 -0.140   29 -0.202   28 0.4799    3  0.690   16 -0.017   30 -0.387   15  0.006
WHITE SOX     57  91 597 677  0.013 74.244   29 -0.225   29 -0.182   27 -0.100   29 0.4736   19  0.451   26 -0.140   20 -0.060   18 -0.027
ROCKIES       41 107 549 935  0.022 75.104   30 -0.370   30 -0.368   30 -0.425   30 0.4465   28  0.315   30 -0.581   28 -0.268    1  0.723
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS       82  65 739 632 -0.035 70.577    9  0.034    9  0.073    9  0.091    9 0.5102   20  0.431   12  0.033    4  0.149    3  0.294
PADRES        80  68 621 569 -0.017 72.198   11  0.018   11  0.056   11  0.050   11 0.5080   29  0.313   25 -0.109    2  0.209   23 -0.094
GIANTS        75  72 642 606 -0.011 72.124   15  0.001   15  0.010   15  0.022   15 0.5010   21  0.417   20 -0.048   12  0.093   22 -0.069
DIAMONDBACKS  73  75 732 714 -0.018 72.207   19 -0.007   19 -0.024   17  0.016   19 0.4963    7  0.624    8  0.136   23 -0.104    8  0.101
ROCKIES       41 107 549 935  0.022 75.104   30 -0.370   30 -0.368   30 -0.425   30 0.4465   28  0.315   30 -0.581   28 -0.268    1  0.723

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS       90  58 751 578 -0.005 72.747    1  0.224    1  0.177    1  0.191    1 0.5252    5  0.636    2  0.322   15  0.060   26 -0.223
CUBS          84  63 719 597 -0.001 72.532    4  0.113    4  0.118    4  0.133    4 0.5169   11  0.539    5  0.172   11  0.094   21 -0.065
REDS          74  73 656 627 -0.000 72.771   16 -0.000   16  0.006   14  0.028   16 0.5007   23  0.409   21 -0.050    7  0.105    9  0.096
CARDINALS     72  76 631 683  0.000 73.450   20 -0.008   20 -0.024   22 -0.060   20 0.4961    9  0.593   14  0.030   25 -0.149   25 -0.145
PIRATES       64  84 532 605  0.017 74.453   27 -0.068   27 -0.101   23 -0.067   27 0.4852   30  0.204   29 -0.313    3  0.179   17 -0.023

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PHILLIES      88  60 717 587 -0.024 71.687    2  0.168    2  0.142    3  0.135    3 0.5207   27  0.316   17 -0.021    1  0.291    2  0.296
METS          76  72 697 653 -0.011 72.630   14  0.002   14  0.016   13  0.032   14 0.5021   15  0.495   13  0.031   17  0.033   11  0.051
MARLINS       69  79 649 743 -0.006 73.132   24 -0.023   24 -0.061   26 -0.097   24 0.4906    1  0.744    7  0.142   29 -0.336   27 -0.251
BRAVES        65  82 636 683  0.003 73.131   25 -0.053   25 -0.093   20 -0.047   25 0.4862   14  0.508   19 -0.037   19 -0.058   16 -0.007
NATIONALS     61  86 632 803  0.004 73.377   28 -0.160   28 -0.140   29 -0.202   28 0.4799    3  0.690   16 -0.017   30 -0.387   15  0.006

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARINERS      80  68 689 649  0.013 74.048    8  0.036    8  0.076   10  0.051    8 0.5114    4  0.689    3  0.234   24 -0.132   29 -0.410
ASTROS        80  68 626 605 -0.006 72.935   10  0.022   10  0.063   16  0.019   10 0.5095   24  0.406   22 -0.061    9  0.099   20 -0.056
RANGERS       78  70 638 542  0.002 73.330   12  0.014   12  0.048    8  0.101   12 0.5075   18  0.472   10  0.079    5  0.122   30 -0.458
ANGELS        69  79 634 754  0.026 74.965   22 -0.014   22 -0.040   28 -0.102   22 0.4940    8  0.596   15 -0.009   27 -0.196   14  0.029
ATHLETICS     68  80 676 755  0.012 74.133   23 -0.021   23 -0.060   21 -0.058   23 0.4920    6  0.631   11  0.068   26 -0.184    7  0.107

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS        84  64 723 628 -0.015 72.279    6  0.080    6  0.103    6  0.112    6 0.5149   13  0.512    9  0.127   10  0.097    6  0.113
GUARDIANS     76  71 574 608 -0.003 72.721   13  0.004   13  0.025   18 -0.037   13 0.5036   26  0.336   28 -0.176    8  0.103   19 -0.034
ROYALS        74  74 561 578 -0.004 73.192   17 -0.002   17 -0.002   19 -0.040   17 0.4990   25  0.377   27 -0.144   14  0.065   28 -0.258
TWINS         65  82 626 710  0.001 73.037   26 -0.057   26 -0.095   25 -0.087   26 0.4862   17  0.485   24 -0.096   22 -0.077    4  0.141
WHITE SOX     57  91 597 677  0.013 74.244   29 -0.225   29 -0.182   27 -0.100   29 0.4736   19  0.451   26 -0.140   20 -0.060   18 -0.027

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS     85  62 733 657  0.019 73.777    3  0.165    3  0.142    7  0.106    2 0.5209   10  0.569    4  0.173   16  0.039   12  0.048
YANKEES       82  65 765 636  0.018 73.691    5  0.092    5  0.109    2  0.155    5 0.5163    2  0.697    1  0.347   18 -0.037   24 -0.130
RED SOX       81  67 727 623  0.008 73.656    7  0.050    7  0.084    5  0.115    7 0.5124   12  0.533    6  0.148   13  0.081   13  0.036
RAYS          72  75 659 610  0.010 73.373   18 -0.003   18 -0.010   12  0.043   18 0.4988   22  0.409   18 -0.034    6  0.121   10  0.071
ORIOLES       69  78 629 713  0.018 74.044   21 -0.013   21 -0.039   24 -0.079   21 0.4947   16  0.486   23 -0.088   21 -0.069    5  0.140

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    389 347 0.529    1  0.091
NL CENTRAL 384 354 0.520    2  0.060
AL WEST    375 365 0.507    3  0.003
AL CENTRAL 356 382 0.482    4 -0.041
NL EAST    359 379 0.486    5 -0.048
NL WEST    351 387 0.476    6 -0.061

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.076 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.011 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sat Sep 13 05:30:14 2025
games through: Fri Sep 12 2025

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