Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      69 43 558 424 -0.005 55.789    1  0.169    1  0.131    1  0.157    1 0.5281   22  0.410   11  0.072    3  0.242   11  0.021
DODGERS      69 44 577 432 -0.019 55.666    2  0.135    2  0.119    2  0.153    2 0.5257   13  0.527    4  0.173    7  0.134   21 -0.099
BRAVES       67 45 549 441 -0.007 55.735    3  0.105    3  0.109    3  0.121    3 0.5225   19  0.460   10  0.080    6  0.161    9  0.073
RAYS         66 46 497 462  0.004 56.281    4  0.090    4  0.103    7  0.060    4 0.5218   17  0.484   14  0.041   10  0.079   19 -0.088
CUBS         64 49 580 486 -0.001 56.498    5  0.038    5  0.075    5  0.088    5 0.5164    9  0.601    3  0.177   16 -0.002   12 -0.001
YANKEES      63 50 519 438  0.000 56.540    6  0.028    6  0.066    4  0.091    6 0.5142   30  0.254   24 -0.123    1  0.306    3  0.308
RED SOX      60 51 474 414  0.007 55.867    7  0.017    7  0.049    6  0.077    7 0.5112   28  0.314   22 -0.088    2  0.243   15 -0.029
DIAMONDBACKS 60 53 513 507  0.014 57.294    8  0.013    8  0.042   12  0.017    8 0.5084   14  0.518   16  0.029   15  0.006   14 -0.022
PHILLIES     60 53 496 497  0.013 57.250    9  0.013    9  0.041   14  0.013    9 0.5081   27  0.320   26 -0.148    5  0.173    4  0.302
WHITE SOX    59 52 531 476 -0.014 54.962   10  0.009   10  0.030    9  0.054   10 0.5062    7  0.629    5  0.170   21 -0.062   24 -0.186
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       58 55 473 489  0.008 57.038   11  0.006   11  0.019   16 -0.010   12 0.5031   10  0.550   15  0.032   20 -0.051   29 -0.299
MARLINS      58 55 496 483  0.004 56.819   12  0.006   12  0.017   13  0.014   11 0.5040   15  0.514   17  0.021   14  0.006   25 -0.194
PIRATES      57 57 582 551  0.012 57.693   13  0.004   14  0.007   10  0.034   13 0.5031   12  0.529   12  0.056   13  0.012    6  0.237
GUARDIANS    57 56 446 462  0.004 56.887   14  0.004   13  0.007   17 -0.019   14 0.5021   29  0.272   28 -0.218    4  0.181   10  0.026
CARDINALS    56 57 496 506  0.022 57.691   15  0.003   15  0.005   15 -0.004   15 0.5017    8  0.622    9  0.105   24 -0.114   27 -0.272
ASTROS       58 56 529 558 -0.032 55.791   16  0.001   16 -0.005   22 -0.052   17 0.4981    3  0.687    7  0.121   27 -0.225   22 -0.101
NATIONALS    55 59 610 597  0.023 58.193   17  0.001   17 -0.009   11  0.020   16 0.4987    4  0.686    2  0.192   25 -0.151    5  0.268
TWINS        56 57 532 561 -0.010 56.258   18  0.000   18 -0.010   20 -0.034   18 0.4976    1  0.825    1  0.281   30 -0.349   28 -0.280
ORIOLES      54 58 507 542  0.009 56.607   19 -0.001   19 -0.017   19 -0.027   19 0.4962    6  0.647    8  0.106   26 -0.161   17 -0.061
REDS         53 58 462 525  0.012 56.277   20 -0.003   20 -0.021   26 -0.066   20 0.4955   11  0.539   19 -0.035   23 -0.097   18 -0.081
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BLUE JAYS    53 60 442 498  0.017 57.519   21 -0.004   21 -0.027   21 -0.043   22 0.4943   24  0.390   25 -0.144   12  0.059   13 -0.012
TIGERS       54 58 505 442 -0.027 54.866   22 -0.005   23 -0.031    8  0.058   24 0.4936   21  0.451   18  0.009    8  0.107   20 -0.096
RANGERS      55 58 466 506 -0.026 55.570   23 -0.005   22 -0.027   23 -0.057   21 0.4945   16  0.487   20 -0.073   19 -0.041   23 -0.114
MARINERS     55 58 454 451 -0.036 55.054   24 -0.006   24 -0.031   18 -0.022   23 0.4937   23  0.395   23 -0.120   11  0.075   26 -0.221
GIANTS       48 65 475 524  0.013 57.341   25 -0.042   25 -0.079   24 -0.060   25 0.4833   18  0.478   21 -0.085   17 -0.035   16 -0.038
METS         47 66 457 515  0.021 57.732   26 -0.053   26 -0.086   25 -0.063   26 0.4814   26  0.325   29 -0.220    9  0.094    8  0.178
ROYALS       46 67 467 576  0.004 56.956   27 -0.097   27 -0.106   29 -0.118   27 0.4771   20  0.459   27 -0.160   22 -0.076    7  0.197
ROCKIES      45 68 547 649  0.010 57.258   28 -0.115   28 -0.113   28 -0.116   28 0.4765    5  0.672   13  0.043   28 -0.274    2  0.335
ATHLETICS    45 67 487 641 -0.009 55.941   29 -0.129   29 -0.117   30 -0.163   29 0.4731   25  0.366   30 -0.286   18 -0.041    1  0.686
ANGELS       43 69 470 544 -0.019 55.470   30 -0.182   30 -0.140   27 -0.104   30 0.4701    2  0.742    6  0.124   29 -0.332   30 -0.441

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      69 44 577 432 -0.019 55.666    2  0.135    2  0.119    2  0.153    2 0.5257   13  0.527    4  0.173    7  0.134   21 -0.099
DIAMONDBACKS 60 53 513 507  0.014 57.294    8  0.013    8  0.042   12  0.017    8 0.5084   14  0.518   16  0.029   15  0.006   14 -0.022
PADRES       58 55 473 489  0.008 57.038   11  0.006   11  0.019   16 -0.010   12 0.5031   10  0.550   15  0.032   20 -0.051   29 -0.299
GIANTS       48 65 475 524  0.013 57.341   25 -0.042   25 -0.079   24 -0.060   25 0.4833   18  0.478   21 -0.085   17 -0.035   16 -0.038
ROCKIES      45 68 547 649  0.010 57.258   28 -0.115   28 -0.113   28 -0.116   28 0.4765    5  0.672   13  0.043   28 -0.274    2  0.335

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      69 43 558 424 -0.005 55.789    1  0.169    1  0.131    1  0.157    1 0.5281   22  0.410   11  0.072    3  0.242   11  0.021
CUBS         64 49 580 486 -0.001 56.498    5  0.038    5  0.075    5  0.088    5 0.5164    9  0.601    3  0.177   16 -0.002   12 -0.001
PIRATES      57 57 582 551  0.012 57.693   13  0.004   14  0.007   10  0.034   13 0.5031   12  0.529   12  0.056   13  0.012    6  0.237
CARDINALS    56 57 496 506  0.022 57.691   15  0.003   15  0.005   15 -0.004   15 0.5017    8  0.622    9  0.105   24 -0.114   27 -0.272
REDS         53 58 462 525  0.012 56.277   20 -0.003   20 -0.021   26 -0.066   20 0.4955   11  0.539   19 -0.035   23 -0.097   18 -0.081

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       67 45 549 441 -0.007 55.735    3  0.105    3  0.109    3  0.121    3 0.5225   19  0.460   10  0.080    6  0.161    9  0.073
PHILLIES     60 53 496 497  0.013 57.250    9  0.013    9  0.041   14  0.013    9 0.5081   27  0.320   26 -0.148    5  0.173    4  0.302
MARLINS      58 55 496 483  0.004 56.819   12  0.006   12  0.017   13  0.014   11 0.5040   15  0.514   17  0.021   14  0.006   25 -0.194
NATIONALS    55 59 610 597  0.023 58.193   17  0.001   17 -0.009   11  0.020   16 0.4987    4  0.686    2  0.192   25 -0.151    5  0.268
METS         47 66 457 515  0.021 57.732   26 -0.053   26 -0.086   25 -0.063   26 0.4814   26  0.325   29 -0.220    9  0.094    8  0.178

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       58 56 529 558 -0.032 55.791   16  0.001   16 -0.005   22 -0.052   17 0.4981    3  0.687    7  0.121   27 -0.225   22 -0.101
RANGERS      55 58 466 506 -0.026 55.570   23 -0.005   22 -0.027   23 -0.057   21 0.4945   16  0.487   20 -0.073   19 -0.041   23 -0.114
MARINERS     55 58 454 451 -0.036 55.054   24 -0.006   24 -0.031   18 -0.022   23 0.4937   23  0.395   23 -0.120   11  0.075   26 -0.221
ATHLETICS    45 67 487 641 -0.009 55.941   29 -0.129   29 -0.117   30 -0.163   29 0.4731   25  0.366   30 -0.286   18 -0.041    1  0.686
ANGELS       43 69 470 544 -0.019 55.470   30 -0.182   30 -0.140   27 -0.104   30 0.4701    2  0.742    6  0.124   29 -0.332   30 -0.441

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    59 52 531 476 -0.014 54.962   10  0.009   10  0.030    9  0.054   10 0.5062    7  0.629    5  0.170   21 -0.062   24 -0.186
GUARDIANS    57 56 446 462  0.004 56.887   14  0.004   13  0.007   17 -0.019   14 0.5021   29  0.272   28 -0.218    4  0.181   10  0.026
TWINS        56 57 532 561 -0.010 56.258   18  0.000   18 -0.010   20 -0.034   18 0.4976    1  0.825    1  0.281   30 -0.349   28 -0.280
TIGERS       54 58 505 442 -0.027 54.866   22 -0.005   23 -0.031    8  0.058   24 0.4936   21  0.451   18  0.009    8  0.107   20 -0.096
ROYALS       46 67 467 576  0.004 56.956   27 -0.097   27 -0.106   29 -0.118   27 0.4771   20  0.459   27 -0.160   22 -0.076    7  0.197

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         66 46 497 462  0.004 56.281    4  0.090    4  0.103    7  0.060    4 0.5218   17  0.484   14  0.041   10  0.079   19 -0.088
YANKEES      63 50 519 438  0.000 56.540    6  0.028    6  0.066    4  0.091    6 0.5142   30  0.254   24 -0.123    1  0.306    3  0.308
RED SOX      60 51 474 414  0.007 55.867    7  0.017    7  0.049    6  0.077    7 0.5112   28  0.314   22 -0.088    2  0.243   15 -0.029
ORIOLES      54 58 507 542  0.009 56.607   19 -0.001   19 -0.017   19 -0.027   19 0.4962    6  0.647    8  0.106   26 -0.161   17 -0.061
BLUE JAYS    53 60 442 498  0.017 57.519   21 -0.004   21 -0.027   21 -0.043   22 0.4943   24  0.390   25 -0.144   12  0.059   13 -0.012

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 299 264 0.531    1  0.074
AL EAST    296 265 0.528    2  0.057
NL EAST    287 278 0.508    3  0.037
NL WEST    280 285 0.496    4 -0.006
AL CENTRAL 272 290 0.484    5 -0.021
AL WEST    256 308 0.454    6 -0.141

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.048 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Tue Aug  4 05:30:06 2026
games through: Mon Aug  3 2026

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