Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      81 50 650 489  0.004 65.512    1  0.201    1  0.167    1  0.192    1 0.5293   25  0.391    8  0.096    2  0.287   12  0.041
DODGERS      80 51 653 502 -0.009 64.874    2  0.173    2  0.150    2  0.165    2 0.5265   13  0.514    4  0.178    7  0.152   21 -0.133
RAYS         77 53 587 543 -0.008 64.493    3  0.112    3  0.122    8  0.064    3 0.5215   22  0.427   18 -0.001    8  0.129   13  0.036
BRAVES       76 55 614 504  0.011 65.966    4  0.101    4  0.118    3  0.135    4 0.5198   26  0.361   16  0.014    4  0.256    8  0.152
CUBS         75 56 684 569  0.000 65.386    5  0.066    5  0.100    6  0.107    5 0.5179    3  0.674    1  0.273   19 -0.059   19 -0.102
YANKEES      74 56 579 479 -0.000 64.843    6  0.058    6  0.095    5  0.116    6 0.5172   30  0.197   25 -0.138    1  0.369    5  0.256
PHILLIES     73 58 599 572  0.010 65.980    7  0.040    7  0.084   10  0.046    7 0.5142   27  0.341   22 -0.091    5  0.184    4  0.295
RED SOX      71 59 589 490 -0.004 64.680    8  0.021    8  0.062    4  0.116    8 0.5115   28  0.315   19 -0.043    3  0.276    9  0.102
PADRES       71 60 564 548  0.004 65.662    9  0.019    9  0.060   12  0.028    9 0.5103   12  0.544   10  0.069   14 -0.013   29 -0.299
DIAMONDBACKS 69 62 598 589  0.014 66.227   10  0.011   10  0.044   13  0.025   10 0.5077   10  0.554    9  0.076   16 -0.026   18 -0.059
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    68 62 618 575 -0.004 64.730   11  0.007   11  0.030    9  0.049   11 0.5048    6  0.660    3  0.200   23 -0.102   25 -0.183
CARDINALS    66 66 585 587  0.024 67.279   13  0.003   13  0.013   16  0.009   12 0.5036    8  0.611    6  0.113   22 -0.095   27 -0.260
MARLINS      67 64 573 552  0.004 65.679   12  0.004   12  0.018   14  0.025   13 0.5035   15  0.490   15  0.017   11  0.033   24 -0.179
BLUE JAYS    64 68 521 576  0.033 67.804   14  0.000   14 -0.003   18 -0.030   14 0.4999   24  0.405   24 -0.113   10  0.054   15 -0.042
GUARDIANS    65 66 527 536 -0.007 65.186   15 -0.000   15 -0.009   17 -0.019   15 0.4984   29  0.277   29 -0.210    6  0.172   10  0.060
PIRATES      63 69 653 628  0.025 67.320   16 -0.002   16 -0.017   11  0.030   16 0.4981   14  0.505   13  0.035   13  0.025    6  0.253
ORIOLES      63 68 583 618  0.007 65.955   17 -0.003   17 -0.022   19 -0.031   17 0.4963    5  0.663    5  0.123   26 -0.186   22 -0.164
TWINS        63 68 600 654  0.001 65.676   18 -0.005   18 -0.026   21 -0.059   18 0.4954    1  0.779    2  0.214   29 -0.331   26 -0.215
NATIONALS    61 71 682 672  0.023 67.238   22 -0.008   22 -0.038   15  0.015   19 0.4940    9  0.598    7  0.107   21 -0.077    2  0.342
RANGERS      65 66 521 567 -0.048 63.098   19 -0.006   19 -0.032   23 -0.077   20 0.4938   21  0.429   26 -0.139   15 -0.014   23 -0.169
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         62 69 537 631  0.009 66.145   20 -0.006   20 -0.033   27 -0.107   21 0.4938   11  0.550   20 -0.060   25 -0.154   20 -0.106
ASTROS       65 66 596 640 -0.053 62.849   21 -0.007   21 -0.035   24 -0.080   22 0.4929    7  0.653   11  0.065   27 -0.226   14 -0.038
MARINERS     62 69 513 574 -0.016 64.771   23 -0.011   23 -0.046   22 -0.075   23 0.4921   16  0.485   21 -0.088   20 -0.062   28 -0.264
METS         59 72 546 586  0.031 67.185   25 -0.012   24 -0.052   20 -0.039   24 0.4905   23  0.418   23 -0.112   12  0.033   11  0.042
TIGERS       61 69 587 514 -0.024 63.694   24 -0.012   25 -0.053    7  0.069   25 0.4904   19  0.435   17  0.012    9  0.126   16 -0.047
ROYALS       58 74 560 651 -0.009 65.696   26 -0.047   26 -0.089   26 -0.101   26 0.4834   18  0.446   28 -0.148   17 -0.054    7  0.210
GIANTS       52 78 523 603  0.010 65.683   27 -0.132   27 -0.131   25 -0.099   27 0.4767   17  0.452   27 -0.141   18 -0.056   17 -0.054
ROCKIES      50 80 617 753  0.015 65.999   28 -0.177   28 -0.152   29 -0.155   28 0.4738    2  0.699   14  0.035   30 -0.346    3  0.302
ANGELS       52 79 537 607 -0.034 63.934   29 -0.190   29 -0.161   28 -0.114   29 0.4724    4  0.667   12  0.044   28 -0.273   30 -0.422
ATHLETICS    51 80 568 755 -0.016 64.986   30 -0.200   30 -0.162   30 -0.204   30 0.4704   20  0.433   30 -0.263   24 -0.145    1  0.645

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      80 51 653 502 -0.009 64.874    2  0.173    2  0.150    2  0.165    2 0.5265   13  0.514    4  0.178    7  0.152   21 -0.133
PADRES       71 60 564 548  0.004 65.662    9  0.019    9  0.060   12  0.028    9 0.5103   12  0.544   10  0.069   14 -0.013   29 -0.299
DIAMONDBACKS 69 62 598 589  0.014 66.227   10  0.011   10  0.044   13  0.025   10 0.5077   10  0.554    9  0.076   16 -0.026   18 -0.059
GIANTS       52 78 523 603  0.010 65.683   27 -0.132   27 -0.131   25 -0.099   27 0.4767   17  0.452   27 -0.141   18 -0.056   17 -0.054
ROCKIES      50 80 617 753  0.015 65.999   28 -0.177   28 -0.152   29 -0.155   28 0.4738    2  0.699   14  0.035   30 -0.346    3  0.302

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      81 50 650 489  0.004 65.512    1  0.201    1  0.167    1  0.192    1 0.5293   25  0.391    8  0.096    2  0.287   12  0.041
CUBS         75 56 684 569  0.000 65.386    5  0.066    5  0.100    6  0.107    5 0.5179    3  0.674    1  0.273   19 -0.059   19 -0.102
CARDINALS    66 66 585 587  0.024 67.279   13  0.003   13  0.013   16  0.009   12 0.5036    8  0.611    6  0.113   22 -0.095   27 -0.260
PIRATES      63 69 653 628  0.025 67.320   16 -0.002   16 -0.017   11  0.030   16 0.4981   14  0.505   13  0.035   13  0.025    6  0.253
REDS         62 69 537 631  0.009 66.145   20 -0.006   20 -0.033   27 -0.107   21 0.4938   11  0.550   20 -0.060   25 -0.154   20 -0.106

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       76 55 614 504  0.011 65.966    4  0.101    4  0.118    3  0.135    4 0.5198   26  0.361   16  0.014    4  0.256    8  0.152
PHILLIES     73 58 599 572  0.010 65.980    7  0.040    7  0.084   10  0.046    7 0.5142   27  0.341   22 -0.091    5  0.184    4  0.295
MARLINS      67 64 573 552  0.004 65.679   12  0.004   12  0.018   14  0.025   13 0.5035   15  0.490   15  0.017   11  0.033   24 -0.179
NATIONALS    61 71 682 672  0.023 67.238   22 -0.008   22 -0.038   15  0.015   19 0.4940    9  0.598    7  0.107   21 -0.077    2  0.342
METS         59 72 546 586  0.031 67.185   25 -0.012   24 -0.052   20 -0.039   24 0.4905   23  0.418   23 -0.112   12  0.033   11  0.042

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      65 66 521 567 -0.048 63.098   19 -0.006   19 -0.032   23 -0.077   20 0.4938   21  0.429   26 -0.139   15 -0.014   23 -0.169
ASTROS       65 66 596 640 -0.053 62.849   21 -0.007   21 -0.035   24 -0.080   22 0.4929    7  0.653   11  0.065   27 -0.226   14 -0.038
MARINERS     62 69 513 574 -0.016 64.771   23 -0.011   23 -0.046   22 -0.075   23 0.4921   16  0.485   21 -0.088   20 -0.062   28 -0.264
ANGELS       52 79 537 607 -0.034 63.934   29 -0.190   29 -0.161   28 -0.114   29 0.4724    4  0.667   12  0.044   28 -0.273   30 -0.422
ATHLETICS    51 80 568 755 -0.016 64.986   30 -0.200   30 -0.162   30 -0.204   30 0.4704   20  0.433   30 -0.263   24 -0.145    1  0.645

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    68 62 618 575 -0.004 64.730   11  0.007   11  0.030    9  0.049   11 0.5048    6  0.660    3  0.200   23 -0.102   25 -0.183
GUARDIANS    65 66 527 536 -0.007 65.186   15 -0.000   15 -0.009   17 -0.019   15 0.4984   29  0.277   29 -0.210    6  0.172   10  0.060
TWINS        63 68 600 654  0.001 65.676   18 -0.005   18 -0.026   21 -0.059   18 0.4954    1  0.779    2  0.214   29 -0.331   26 -0.215
TIGERS       61 69 587 514 -0.024 63.694   24 -0.012   25 -0.053    7  0.069   25 0.4904   19  0.435   17  0.012    9  0.126   16 -0.047
ROYALS       58 74 560 651 -0.009 65.696   26 -0.047   26 -0.089   26 -0.101   26 0.4834   18  0.446   28 -0.148   17 -0.054    7  0.210

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         77 53 587 543 -0.008 64.493    3  0.112    3  0.122    8  0.064    3 0.5215   22  0.427   18 -0.001    8  0.129   13  0.036
YANKEES      74 56 579 479 -0.000 64.843    6  0.058    6  0.095    5  0.116    6 0.5172   30  0.197   25 -0.138    1  0.369    5  0.256
RED SOX      71 59 589 490 -0.004 64.680    8  0.021    8  0.062    4  0.116    8 0.5115   28  0.315   19 -0.043    3  0.276    9  0.102
BLUE JAYS    64 68 521 576  0.033 67.804   14  0.000   14 -0.003   18 -0.030   14 0.4999   24  0.405   24 -0.113   10  0.054   15 -0.042
ORIOLES      63 68 583 618  0.007 65.955   17 -0.003   17 -0.022   19 -0.031   17 0.4963    5  0.663    5  0.123   26 -0.186   22 -0.164

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    349 304 0.534    1  0.072
NL CENTRAL 347 310 0.528    2  0.070
NL EAST    336 320 0.512    3  0.055
NL WEST    322 331 0.493    4 -0.011
AL CENTRAL 315 339 0.482    5 -0.018
AL WEST    295 360 0.450    6 -0.168

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.059 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Aug 24 05:30:14 2026
games through: Sun Aug 23 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.