Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      69 42 555 420 -0.007 55.220    1  0.180    1  0.136    1  0.159    1 0.5293   23  0.411   10  0.076    2  0.242   10  0.027
DODGERS      69 43 572 422 -0.020 55.084    2  0.146    2  0.124    2  0.158    2 0.5268   15  0.506    5  0.160    7  0.157   19 -0.079
BRAVES       67 45 549 441 -0.007 55.733    3  0.101    3  0.109    3  0.121    3 0.5224   19  0.461    9  0.081    6  0.160    9  0.071
RAYS         65 46 484 453  0.006 55.897    4  0.077    4  0.100    8  0.059    4 0.5211   21  0.436   18 -0.002    8  0.119   16 -0.044
YANKEES      63 49 512 425  0.001 56.109    5  0.037    5  0.072    4  0.098    5 0.5155   30  0.250   23 -0.119    1  0.315    4  0.266
CUBS         63 49 570 481 -0.004 55.891    6  0.034    6  0.070    5  0.081    6 0.5151    8  0.601    4  0.172   16 -0.009   13 -0.023
RED SOX      60 51 474 414  0.008 55.965    7  0.018    7  0.050    6  0.079    7 0.5114   28  0.317   22 -0.084    3  0.241   15 -0.029
DIAMONDBACKS 59 53 508 506  0.014 56.837    8  0.011    8  0.037   13  0.012    8 0.5074   13  0.520   15  0.026   15 -0.003   12 -0.011
PHILLIES     59 53 490 494  0.013 56.783    9  0.011    9  0.036   14  0.009    9 0.5071   27  0.323   26 -0.149    5  0.166    3  0.302
WHITE SOX    59 52 531 476 -0.013 55.037   10  0.009   10  0.030    9  0.055   10 0.5063    7  0.629    3  0.172   21 -0.062   24 -0.184
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       58 54 472 484  0.006 56.460   11  0.007   11  0.023   15 -0.005   11 0.5040   10  0.564   13  0.050   20 -0.060   29 -0.309
MARLINS      58 55 496 483  0.003 56.820   12  0.005   12  0.017   12  0.013   12 0.5039   14  0.516   16  0.024   13  0.002   25 -0.195
GUARDIANS    57 56 446 462  0.005 56.961   13  0.003   13  0.008   17 -0.018   13 0.5022   29  0.272   28 -0.217    4  0.181   11  0.026
PIRATES      56 57 578 548  0.008 57.031   15  0.002   15 -0.001   10  0.031   14 0.5016   12  0.537   11  0.061   14  0.000    6  0.234
CARDINALS    55 57 483 499  0.020 57.111   16  0.001   16 -0.001   16 -0.011   15 0.5004    9  0.579   12  0.058   23 -0.080   27 -0.230
ASTROS       58 55 528 555 -0.029 55.453   14  0.002   14  0.002   22 -0.047   16 0.4995    4  0.690    6  0.129   27 -0.224   20 -0.081
NATIONALS    55 58 607 591  0.021 57.628   17  0.000   17 -0.005   11  0.023   17 0.4995    3  0.692    2  0.202   25 -0.155    5  0.263
TWINS        56 57 532 561 -0.010 56.313   18 -0.001   18 -0.010   20 -0.034   18 0.4977    1  0.826    1  0.283   30 -0.351   28 -0.277
ORIOLES      54 58 507 542  0.010 56.680   19 -0.002   19 -0.016   19 -0.027   19 0.4963    6  0.648    8  0.109   26 -0.162   18 -0.063
RANGERS      55 57 465 501 -0.024 55.210   20 -0.004   20 -0.021   23 -0.050   20 0.4959   16  0.489   20 -0.064   17 -0.037   23 -0.109
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         53 58 462 525  0.010 56.237   21 -0.004   21 -0.022   26 -0.067   21 0.4953   11  0.544   19 -0.030   24 -0.103   21 -0.087
MARINERS     55 58 454 451 -0.034 55.167   23 -0.006   23 -0.031   18 -0.021   22 0.4939   24  0.392   24 -0.120   11  0.078   26 -0.222
TIGERS       54 58 505 442 -0.026 54.948   22 -0.006   22 -0.030    7  0.059   23 0.4938   20  0.452   17  0.012    9  0.106   22 -0.096
BLUE JAYS    52 60 439 497  0.019 57.101   24 -0.007   24 -0.032   21 -0.045   24 0.4932   22  0.413   25 -0.126   12  0.036   14 -0.027
GIANTS       47 65 470 523  0.013 56.903   25 -0.051   25 -0.084   25 -0.065   25 0.4821   17  0.488   21 -0.080   19 -0.051   17 -0.050
METS         47 66 457 515  0.020 57.696   26 -0.055   26 -0.087   24 -0.064   26 0.4812   26  0.327   29 -0.218   10  0.091    8  0.178
ROYALS       46 67 467 576  0.005 57.040   27 -0.096   27 -0.105   29 -0.118   27 0.4773   18  0.462   27 -0.155   22 -0.080    7  0.197
ROCKIES      45 67 538 636  0.009 56.738   28 -0.104   28 -0.109   28 -0.114   28 0.4772    5  0.668   14  0.041   28 -0.268    2  0.304
ATHLETICS    45 67 487 641 -0.008 56.018   29 -0.128   29 -0.117   30 -0.163   29 0.4732   25  0.367   30 -0.284   18 -0.042    1  0.687
ANGELS       43 69 470 544 -0.018 55.559   30 -0.180   30 -0.140   27 -0.104   30 0.4703    2  0.744    7  0.128   29 -0.335   30 -0.440

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      69 43 572 422 -0.020 55.084    2  0.146    2  0.124    2  0.158    2 0.5268   15  0.506    5  0.160    7  0.157   19 -0.079
DIAMONDBACKS 59 53 508 506  0.014 56.837    8  0.011    8  0.037   13  0.012    8 0.5074   13  0.520   15  0.026   15 -0.003   12 -0.011
PADRES       58 54 472 484  0.006 56.460   11  0.007   11  0.023   15 -0.005   11 0.5040   10  0.564   13  0.050   20 -0.060   29 -0.309
GIANTS       47 65 470 523  0.013 56.903   25 -0.051   25 -0.084   25 -0.065   25 0.4821   17  0.488   21 -0.080   19 -0.051   17 -0.050
ROCKIES      45 67 538 636  0.009 56.738   28 -0.104   28 -0.109   28 -0.114   28 0.4772    5  0.668   14  0.041   28 -0.268    2  0.304

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      69 42 555 420 -0.007 55.220    1  0.180    1  0.136    1  0.159    1 0.5293   23  0.411   10  0.076    2  0.242   10  0.027
CUBS         63 49 570 481 -0.004 55.891    6  0.034    6  0.070    5  0.081    6 0.5151    8  0.601    4  0.172   16 -0.009   13 -0.023
PIRATES      56 57 578 548  0.008 57.031   15  0.002   15 -0.001   10  0.031   14 0.5016   12  0.537   11  0.061   14  0.000    6  0.234
CARDINALS    55 57 483 499  0.020 57.111   16  0.001   16 -0.001   16 -0.011   15 0.5004    9  0.579   12  0.058   23 -0.080   27 -0.230
REDS         53 58 462 525  0.010 56.237   21 -0.004   21 -0.022   26 -0.067   21 0.4953   11  0.544   19 -0.030   24 -0.103   21 -0.087

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       67 45 549 441 -0.007 55.733    3  0.101    3  0.109    3  0.121    3 0.5224   19  0.461    9  0.081    6  0.160    9  0.071
PHILLIES     59 53 490 494  0.013 56.783    9  0.011    9  0.036   14  0.009    9 0.5071   27  0.323   26 -0.149    5  0.166    3  0.302
MARLINS      58 55 496 483  0.003 56.820   12  0.005   12  0.017   12  0.013   12 0.5039   14  0.516   16  0.024   13  0.002   25 -0.195
NATIONALS    55 58 607 591  0.021 57.628   17  0.000   17 -0.005   11  0.023   17 0.4995    3  0.692    2  0.202   25 -0.155    5  0.263
METS         47 66 457 515  0.020 57.696   26 -0.055   26 -0.087   24 -0.064   26 0.4812   26  0.327   29 -0.218   10  0.091    8  0.178

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       58 55 528 555 -0.029 55.453   14  0.002   14  0.002   22 -0.047   16 0.4995    4  0.690    6  0.129   27 -0.224   20 -0.081
RANGERS      55 57 465 501 -0.024 55.210   20 -0.004   20 -0.021   23 -0.050   20 0.4959   16  0.489   20 -0.064   17 -0.037   23 -0.109
MARINERS     55 58 454 451 -0.034 55.167   23 -0.006   23 -0.031   18 -0.021   22 0.4939   24  0.392   24 -0.120   11  0.078   26 -0.222
ATHLETICS    45 67 487 641 -0.008 56.018   29 -0.128   29 -0.117   30 -0.163   29 0.4732   25  0.367   30 -0.284   18 -0.042    1  0.687
ANGELS       43 69 470 544 -0.018 55.559   30 -0.180   30 -0.140   27 -0.104   30 0.4703    2  0.744    7  0.128   29 -0.335   30 -0.440

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
WHITE SOX    59 52 531 476 -0.013 55.037   10  0.009   10  0.030    9  0.055   10 0.5063    7  0.629    3  0.172   21 -0.062   24 -0.184
GUARDIANS    57 56 446 462  0.005 56.961   13  0.003   13  0.008   17 -0.018   13 0.5022   29  0.272   28 -0.217    4  0.181   11  0.026
TWINS        56 57 532 561 -0.010 56.313   18 -0.001   18 -0.010   20 -0.034   18 0.4977    1  0.826    1  0.283   30 -0.351   28 -0.277
TIGERS       54 58 505 442 -0.026 54.948   22 -0.006   22 -0.030    7  0.059   23 0.4938   20  0.452   17  0.012    9  0.106   22 -0.096
ROYALS       46 67 467 576  0.005 57.040   27 -0.096   27 -0.105   29 -0.118   27 0.4773   18  0.462   27 -0.155   22 -0.080    7  0.197

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RAYS         65 46 484 453  0.006 55.897    4  0.077    4  0.100    8  0.059    4 0.5211   21  0.436   18 -0.002    8  0.119   16 -0.044
YANKEES      63 49 512 425  0.001 56.109    5  0.037    5  0.072    4  0.098    5 0.5155   30  0.250   23 -0.119    1  0.315    4  0.266
RED SOX      60 51 474 414  0.008 55.965    7  0.018    7  0.050    6  0.079    7 0.5114   28  0.317   22 -0.084    3  0.241   15 -0.029
ORIOLES      54 58 507 542  0.010 56.680   19 -0.002   19 -0.016   19 -0.027   19 0.4963    6  0.648    8  0.109   26 -0.162   18 -0.063
BLUE JAYS    52 60 439 497  0.019 57.101   24 -0.007   24 -0.032   21 -0.045   24 0.4932   22  0.413   25 -0.126   12  0.036   14 -0.027

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 296 263 0.530    1  0.068
AL EAST    294 264 0.527    2  0.058
NL EAST    286 277 0.508    3  0.036
NL WEST    278 282 0.496    4 -0.006
AL CENTRAL 272 290 0.484    5 -0.019
AL WEST    256 306 0.456    6 -0.137

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.048 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.006 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Aug  3 05:30:07 2026
games through: Sun Aug  2 2026

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