Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.028 79.674   28 -0.220   28 -0.189   30 -0.245   28 0.4707   19  0.463   30 -0.277   26 -0.212    1  0.563
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.862   30 -0.228   30 -0.219   29 -0.196   30 0.4676    2  0.664   21 -0.040   30 -0.352    2  0.300
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.007 80.863   26 -0.118   26 -0.126   26 -0.122   26 0.4803   22  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.064    3  0.284
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.014 82.033   18 -0.003   18 -0.031   15  0.004   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.109   20 -0.102    4  0.270
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.740    8  0.027    8  0.074   12  0.032    8 0.5112   28  0.317   26 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.263
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.005 82.650    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.150    5 0.5177   30  0.240   22 -0.069    1  0.370    6  0.260
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.395   12  0.005   13  0.022   11  0.033   11 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.018    9  0.085    7  0.234
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.379    4  0.125    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.330   17 -0.021    4  0.272    8  0.104
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.004 82.314   10  0.013   10  0.051    7  0.076    9 0.5082   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.270    9  0.086
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.866    7  0.034    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.625    1  0.237   14  0.001   10  0.030
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BREWERS      110  60 866 639  0.009 85.410    1  0.235    1  0.248    1  0.243    1 0.5376   21  0.433    2  0.185    2  0.301   11  0.030
RAYS         104  66 764 670 -0.002 84.891    2  0.215    2  0.182    6  0.114    2 0.5269   24  0.386   13  0.015    6  0.213   12  0.028
DODGERS      103  67 826 629 -0.001 84.833    3  0.210    3  0.175    2  0.201    3 0.5261   23  0.392    7  0.108    3  0.295   13  0.017
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.714   16 -0.000   16 -0.016   19 -0.031   16 0.4980   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.084   14  0.015
GUARDIANS     90  82 716 700 -0.014 85.225   11  0.006   11  0.028   16 -0.003   12 0.5037   26  0.355   27 -0.128    8  0.123   15 -0.022
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.696   23 -0.012   23 -0.056   20 -0.037   23 0.4919   16  0.515   18 -0.023   15 -0.052   16 -0.052
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.016 83.530   13  0.005   12  0.023   10  0.046   13 0.5029   10  0.610    3  0.150   17 -0.058   17 -0.073
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.006 80.884   22 -0.007   22 -0.045   21 -0.065   22 0.4923    1  0.695    4  0.122   28 -0.252   18 -0.093
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.081   14  0.002   14 -0.001   14  0.014   14 0.5004   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.014   19 -0.093
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.006 81.493    9  0.014    9  0.052   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.578   10  0.088   16 -0.058   20 -0.098
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.044 79.380   20 -0.005   20 -0.039   22 -0.066   21 0.4934    4  0.639   11  0.065   25 -0.197   21 -0.119
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.011 82.017   27 -0.174   27 -0.153   25 -0.100   27 0.4774   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.127   22 -0.140
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.020 79.790   24 -0.014   24 -0.061    9  0.055   24 0.4905   18  0.487   12  0.044   11  0.065   23 -0.155
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.005 81.027   15  0.000   15 -0.013   18 -0.022   15 0.4983    6  0.624    8  0.096   24 -0.140   24 -0.163
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.629   21 -0.006   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   19 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.005   29 -0.279   25 -0.171
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.040 78.709   19 -0.004   19 -0.036   23 -0.069   20 0.4942   13  0.535   20 -0.035   19 -0.102   26 -0.195
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.503   17 -0.002   17 -0.027   17 -0.019   17 0.4968    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.133   27 -0.225
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.884   25 -0.028   25 -0.075   24 -0.090   25 0.4885   15  0.519   23 -0.072   21 -0.108   28 -0.234
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.008 84.618    6  0.064    6  0.102    8  0.065    6 0.5151   12  0.556    5  0.118   13  0.012   29 -0.295
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.029 79.510   29 -0.225   29 -0.209   27 -0.139   29 0.4688    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.245   30 -0.356

NL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES       58 104 752 944  0.023 82.862   30 -0.228   30 -0.219   29 -0.196   30 0.4676    2  0.664   21 -0.040   30 -0.352    2  0.300
DODGERS      103  67 826 629 -0.001 84.833    3  0.210    3  0.175    2  0.201    3 0.5261   23  0.392    7  0.108    3  0.295   13  0.017
DIAMONDBACKS  86  76 739 730  0.006 81.493    9  0.014    9  0.052   13  0.015   10 0.5079   11  0.578   10  0.088   16 -0.058   20 -0.098
GIANTS        65  97 669 760  0.011 82.017   27 -0.174   27 -0.153   25 -0.100   27 0.4774   14  0.529   24 -0.072   22 -0.127   22 -0.140
PADRES        94  74 744 695  0.008 84.618    6  0.064    6  0.102    8  0.065    6 0.5151   12  0.556    5  0.118   13  0.012   29 -0.295

NL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PIRATES       82  80 767 739  0.020 82.395   12  0.005   13  0.022   11  0.033   11 0.5040   20  0.441   16 -0.018    9  0.085    7  0.234
CUBS          89  75 851 715  0.014 82.866    7  0.034    7  0.077    5  0.119    7 0.5128    5  0.625    1  0.237   14  0.001   10  0.030
BREWERS      110  60 866 639  0.009 85.410    1  0.235    1  0.248    1  0.243    1 0.5376   21  0.433    2  0.185    2  0.301   11  0.030
REDS          75  87 666 826  0.035 83.629   21 -0.006   21 -0.039   28 -0.142   19 0.4943    3  0.644   15 -0.005   29 -0.279   25 -0.171
CARDINALS     77  85 720 749  0.020 82.503   17 -0.002   17 -0.027   17 -0.019   17 0.4968    7  0.620    9  0.094   23 -0.133   27 -0.225

NL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS     77  85 821 815  0.014 82.033   18 -0.003   18 -0.031   15  0.004   18 0.4957    8  0.612    6  0.109   20 -0.102    4  0.270
PHILLIES      89  76 722 712  0.017 83.740    8  0.027    8  0.074   12  0.032    8 0.5112   28  0.317   26 -0.125    7  0.190    5  0.263
BRAVES        97  72 764 649  0.013 85.379    4  0.125    4  0.129    4  0.126    4 0.5196   27  0.330   17 -0.021    4  0.272    8  0.104
METS          74  88 699 731  0.023 82.696   23 -0.012   23 -0.056   20 -0.037   23 0.4919   16  0.515   18 -0.023   15 -0.052   16 -0.052
MARLINS       80  82 715 712  0.014 82.081   14  0.002   14 -0.001   14  0.014   14 0.5004   17  0.499   14  0.014   12  0.014   19 -0.093

AL WEST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ATHLETICS     64  98 699 937 -0.028 79.674   28 -0.220   28 -0.189   30 -0.245   28 0.4707   19  0.463   30 -0.277   26 -0.212    1  0.563
ASTROS        81  83 740 779 -0.044 79.380   20 -0.005   20 -0.039   22 -0.066   21 0.4934    4  0.639   11  0.065   25 -0.197   21 -0.119
RANGERS       80  82 673 719 -0.040 78.709   19 -0.004   19 -0.036   23 -0.069   20 0.4942   13  0.535   20 -0.035   19 -0.102   26 -0.195
MARINERS      76  86 664 722 -0.037 78.884   25 -0.028   25 -0.075   24 -0.090   25 0.4885   15  0.519   23 -0.072   21 -0.108   28 -0.234
ANGELS        62 100 655 752 -0.029 79.510   29 -0.225   29 -0.209   27 -0.139   29 0.4688    9  0.612   19 -0.034   27 -0.245   30 -0.356

AL CENTRAL
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROYALS        69  93 690 810 -0.007 80.863   26 -0.118   26 -0.126   26 -0.122   26 0.4803   22  0.433   29 -0.181   18 -0.064    3  0.284
GUARDIANS     90  82 716 700 -0.014 85.225   11  0.006   11  0.028   16 -0.003   12 0.5037   26  0.355   27 -0.128    8  0.123   15 -0.022
WHITE SOX     88  81 804 749 -0.016 83.530   13  0.005   12  0.023   10  0.046   13 0.5029   10  0.610    3  0.150   17 -0.058   17 -0.073
TWINS         77  85 739 797 -0.006 80.884   22 -0.007   22 -0.045   21 -0.065   22 0.4923    1  0.695    4  0.122   28 -0.252   18 -0.093
TIGERS        76  86 723 652 -0.020 79.790   24 -0.014   24 -0.061    9  0.055   24 0.4905   18  0.487   12  0.044   11  0.065   23 -0.155

AL EAST
                                             STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM           W   L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES       95  71 762 613 -0.005 82.650    5  0.092    5  0.115    3  0.150    5 0.5177   30  0.240   22 -0.069    1  0.370    6  0.260
RED SOX       87  77 691 629  0.004 82.314   10  0.013   10  0.051    7  0.076    9 0.5082   29  0.273   25 -0.117    5  0.270    9  0.086
RAYS         104  66 764 670 -0.002 84.891    2  0.215    2  0.182    6  0.114    2 0.5269   24  0.386   13  0.015    6  0.213   12  0.028
BLUE JAYS     79  83 648 694  0.008 81.714   16 -0.000   16 -0.016   19 -0.031   16 0.4980   25  0.368   28 -0.145   10  0.084   14  0.015
ORIOLES       79  82 718 739  0.005 81.027   15  0.000   15 -0.013   18 -0.022   15 0.4983    6  0.624    8  0.096   24 -0.140   24 -0.163

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    444 379 0.539    1  0.078
NL CENTRAL 433 387 0.528    2  0.063
NL EAST    417 403 0.509    3  0.038
NL WEST    406 418 0.493    4 -0.004
AL CENTRAL 400 427 0.484    5 -0.024
AL WEST    363 449 0.447    6 -0.164

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.057 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Oct 19 05:30:11 2026
games through: Sun Oct 18 2026

Back to Dolphin rankings main page.