Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       16  8 135  80 -0.051 11.372    4  0.055    4  0.052    1  0.095    3 0.5341   20  0.341   17 -0.024    6  0.214    8  0.193 P
DODGERS      16  7 134  79 -0.065 10.783    3  0.065    3  0.060    2  0.094    1 0.5393    6  0.689    4  0.293   22 -0.106   28 -0.476 P
YANKEES      14  9 114  82 -0.051 10.958    5  0.033    6  0.031    3  0.067    9 0.5166   30  0.063   26 -0.267    1  0.402    1  0.628 P
CUBS         14  9 124  87 -0.067 10.804    6  0.031    7  0.028    4  0.058    6 0.5194   10  0.629    7  0.199   20 -0.084   26 -0.314 P
PADRES       16  7  97  79 -0.031 11.174    1  0.070    1  0.064    5  0.043    4 0.5334   22  0.257   21 -0.145    5  0.230    3  0.346 P
PIRATES      13 10 114  93  0.019 11.666   10  0.022   10  0.024    6  0.037    5 0.5214   15  0.506   14  0.063   14  0.012   20 -0.081 P
RANGERS      12 11  97  83  0.031 11.779   13  0.009   14  0.012    7  0.033   13 0.5084   14  0.535   11  0.086   16 -0.019   30 -0.844 P
ANGELS       11 14 119 113  0.128 13.814   17 -0.008   17 -0.005    8  0.031   19 0.4925    3  0.801    3  0.344   28 -0.283   29 -0.496 P
BREWERS      13  9 118  91 -0.118  9.939   11  0.016   12  0.016    9  0.029   12 0.5109    5  0.726    5  0.265   25 -0.208   25 -0.295 P
TIGERS       12 12 104  95 -0.009 11.933   16 -0.006   15 -0.002   10  0.018   14 0.5020   23  0.248   22 -0.176    7  0.212    7  0.207 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
REDS         16  8  96  93  0.022 12.244    2  0.067    2  0.062   11  0.017    2 0.5382   21  0.303   19 -0.134    8  0.167   18  0.009 P
TWINS        12 11 117 103 -0.073 10.841   15 -0.005   16 -0.004   12  0.014   17 0.5002    8  0.660    8  0.185   23 -0.157   17  0.033 P
GUARDIANS    14 11 105 109  0.068 13.222    7  0.031    5  0.032   13  0.011   10 0.5147   12  0.555   12  0.082   18 -0.060   23 -0.272 P
MARINERS     10 15  96  95  0.062 13.180   23 -0.026   23 -0.028   14  0.011   24 0.4774   29  0.113   28 -0.287    2  0.309    9  0.180 P
DIAMONDBACKS 13 10 104 113  0.012 11.674    9  0.022    9  0.024   15 -0.002   11 0.5142   11  0.566   13  0.079   19 -0.083    6  0.265 P
MARLINS      11 13 108 109  0.029 12.357   19 -0.013   19 -0.012   16 -0.006   18 0.4945    9  0.644    9  0.150   24 -0.161   22 -0.233 P
NATIONALS    11 13 136 147  0.081 12.869   18 -0.009   18 -0.005   17 -0.006   16 0.5006    2  0.932    2  0.449   29 -0.460    5  0.284 P
RAYS         12 11 110 127  0.079 12.337   12  0.015   11  0.019   18 -0.015    7 0.5177    4  0.752    6  0.249   27 -0.279   13  0.113 P
ORIOLES      11 13 103 109 -0.033 11.772   20 -0.019   20 -0.020   19 -0.020   20 0.4900   16  0.492   16 -0.007   17 -0.033   12  0.143 P
RED SOX       9 14  89 106  0.045 12.021   24 -0.029   24 -0.031   20 -0.021   23 0.4838   17  0.467   18 -0.030   15 -0.011   21 -0.131 P
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    14  9 111 119 -0.067 10.957    8  0.025    8  0.028   21 -0.024    8 0.5171   13  0.548   15  0.040   21 -0.088   16  0.042 P
ATHLETICS    13 11 102 116  0.002 12.155   14  0.007   13  0.014   22 -0.030   15 0.5017   28  0.130   29 -0.316    3  0.256    2  0.549 P
BLUE JAYS    10 13  92 113 -0.014 11.509   21 -0.022   21 -0.024   23 -0.038   22 0.4850   18  0.363   20 -0.138   12  0.063    4  0.303 P
GIANTS       10 13  78  97 -0.017 11.502   22 -0.023   22 -0.025   24 -0.043   21 0.4877   27  0.143   30 -0.319    4  0.232   14  0.093 P
ASTROS        9 16 135 150 -0.073 11.891   29 -0.060   29 -0.062   25 -0.044   30 0.4571    1  1.122    1  0.630   30 -0.718   24 -0.276 P
METS          7 16  75 102  0.038 12.033   30 -0.062   30 -0.062   26 -0.054   27 0.4682   25  0.237   25 -0.257   10  0.150   11  0.169 P
ROYALS        8 16  82 115  0.049 12.683   28 -0.049   28 -0.053   27 -0.056   29 0.4648   24  0.248   24 -0.250   11  0.138   19 -0.007 P
ROCKIES       9 15  92 112 -0.015 12.056   26 -0.046   26 -0.049   28 -0.059   28 0.4661   26  0.210   27 -0.284    9  0.166   15  0.073 P
WHITE SOX     9 14  93 118 -0.084 10.879   27 -0.048   27 -0.051   29 -0.075   25 0.4703    7  0.677   10  0.113   26 -0.263   27 -0.386 P
PHILLIES      8 15  80 125  0.029 12.004   25 -0.045   25 -0.047   30 -0.079   26 0.4688   19  0.363   23 -0.179   13  0.022   10  0.172 P

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      16  7 134  79 -0.065 10.783    3  0.065    3  0.060    2  0.094    1 0.5393    6  0.689    4  0.293   22 -0.106   28 -0.476 P
PADRES       16  7  97  79 -0.031 11.174    1  0.070    1  0.064    5  0.043    4 0.5334   22  0.257   21 -0.145    5  0.230    3  0.346 P
DIAMONDBACKS 13 10 104 113  0.012 11.674    9  0.022    9  0.024   15 -0.002   11 0.5142   11  0.566   13  0.079   19 -0.083    6  0.265 P
GIANTS       10 13  78  97 -0.017 11.502   22 -0.023   22 -0.025   24 -0.043   21 0.4877   27  0.143   30 -0.319    4  0.232   14  0.093 P
ROCKIES       9 15  92 112 -0.015 12.056   26 -0.046   26 -0.049   28 -0.059   28 0.4661   26  0.210   27 -0.284    9  0.166   15  0.073 P

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CUBS         14  9 124  87 -0.067 10.804    6  0.031    7  0.028    4  0.058    6 0.5194   10  0.629    7  0.199   20 -0.084   26 -0.314 P
PIRATES      13 10 114  93  0.019 11.666   10  0.022   10  0.024    6  0.037    5 0.5214   15  0.506   14  0.063   14  0.012   20 -0.081 P
BREWERS      13  9 118  91 -0.118  9.939   11  0.016   12  0.016    9  0.029   12 0.5109    5  0.726    5  0.265   25 -0.208   25 -0.295 P
REDS         16  8  96  93  0.022 12.244    2  0.067    2  0.062   11  0.017    2 0.5382   21  0.303   19 -0.134    8  0.167   18  0.009 P
CARDINALS    14  9 111 119 -0.067 10.957    8  0.025    8  0.028   21 -0.024    8 0.5171   13  0.548   15  0.040   21 -0.088   16  0.042 P

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
BRAVES       16  8 135  80 -0.051 11.372    4  0.055    4  0.052    1  0.095    3 0.5341   20  0.341   17 -0.024    6  0.214    8  0.193 P
MARLINS      11 13 108 109  0.029 12.357   19 -0.013   19 -0.012   16 -0.006   18 0.4945    9  0.644    9  0.150   24 -0.161   22 -0.233 P
NATIONALS    11 13 136 147  0.081 12.869   18 -0.009   18 -0.005   17 -0.006   16 0.5006    2  0.932    2  0.449   29 -0.460    5  0.284 P
METS          7 16  75 102  0.038 12.033   30 -0.062   30 -0.062   26 -0.054   27 0.4682   25  0.237   25 -0.257   10  0.150   11  0.169 P
PHILLIES      8 15  80 125  0.029 12.004   25 -0.045   25 -0.047   30 -0.079   26 0.4688   19  0.363   23 -0.179   13  0.022   10  0.172 P

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      12 11  97  83  0.031 11.779   13  0.009   14  0.012    7  0.033   13 0.5084   14  0.535   11  0.086   16 -0.019   30 -0.844 P
ANGELS       11 14 119 113  0.128 13.814   17 -0.008   17 -0.005    8  0.031   19 0.4925    3  0.801    3  0.344   28 -0.283   29 -0.496 P
MARINERS     10 15  96  95  0.062 13.180   23 -0.026   23 -0.028   14  0.011   24 0.4774   29  0.113   28 -0.287    2  0.309    9  0.180 P
ATHLETICS    13 11 102 116  0.002 12.155   14  0.007   13  0.014   22 -0.030   15 0.5017   28  0.130   29 -0.316    3  0.256    2  0.549 P
ASTROS        9 16 135 150 -0.073 11.891   29 -0.060   29 -0.062   25 -0.044   30 0.4571    1  1.122    1  0.630   30 -0.718   24 -0.276 P

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TIGERS       12 12 104  95 -0.009 11.933   16 -0.006   15 -0.002   10  0.018   14 0.5020   23  0.248   22 -0.176    7  0.212    7  0.207 P
TWINS        12 11 117 103 -0.073 10.841   15 -0.005   16 -0.004   12  0.014   17 0.5002    8  0.660    8  0.185   23 -0.157   17  0.033 P
GUARDIANS    14 11 105 109  0.068 13.222    7  0.031    5  0.032   13  0.011   10 0.5147   12  0.555   12  0.082   18 -0.060   23 -0.272 P
ROYALS        8 16  82 115  0.049 12.683   28 -0.049   28 -0.053   27 -0.056   29 0.4648   24  0.248   24 -0.250   11  0.138   19 -0.007 P
WHITE SOX     9 14  93 118 -0.084 10.879   27 -0.048   27 -0.051   29 -0.075   25 0.4703    7  0.677   10  0.113   26 -0.263   27 -0.386 P

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
YANKEES      14  9 114  82 -0.051 10.958    5  0.033    6  0.031    3  0.067    9 0.5166   30  0.063   26 -0.267    1  0.402    1  0.628 P
RAYS         12 11 110 127  0.079 12.337   12  0.015   11  0.019   18 -0.015    7 0.5177    4  0.752    6  0.249   27 -0.279   13  0.113 P
ORIOLES      11 13 103 109 -0.033 11.772   20 -0.019   20 -0.020   19 -0.020   20 0.4900   16  0.492   16 -0.007   17 -0.033   12  0.143 P
RED SOX       9 14  89 106  0.045 12.021   24 -0.029   24 -0.031   20 -0.021   23 0.4838   17  0.467   18 -0.030   15 -0.011   21 -0.131 P
BLUE JAYS    10 13  92 113 -0.014 11.509   21 -0.022   21 -0.024   23 -0.038   22 0.4850   18  0.363   20 -0.138   12  0.063    4  0.303 P

DIVISION    W  L   PCT  RNK RATING
NL CENTRAL 70 45 0.609    1  0.105
NL WEST    64 52 0.552    2  0.030
AL WEST    55 67 0.451    3  0.003
AL EAST    56 60 0.483    4 -0.023
NL EAST    53 65 0.449    5 -0.046
AL CENTRAL 55 64 0.462    6 -0.075

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.054 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.009 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Wed Apr 22 05:30:05 2026
games through: Tue Apr 21 2026

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