Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        70 78 681 736 -0.001 74.225   22 -0.009   22 -0.040   21 -0.060   23 0.4926    1  0.737    3  0.164   28 -0.285   24 -0.156
CARDINALS    73 76 680 689  0.019 75.824   14 -0.002   14 -0.004   16 -0.001   14 0.5004    2  0.671    4  0.156   24 -0.159   27 -0.279
REDS         69 79 620 766  0.025 75.845   21 -0.008   21 -0.036   28 -0.137   20 0.4938    3  0.669   12  0.020   29 -0.293   26 -0.177
ROCKIES      55 93 695 857  0.026 75.935   29 -0.206   29 -0.174   29 -0.164   29 0.4714    4  0.668   17 -0.009   30 -0.319    2  0.305
CUBS         83 66 796 657  0.011 75.162    6  0.043    6  0.090    4  0.125    6 0.5157    5  0.656    1  0.268   14 -0.017   12  0.016
ORIOLES      72 77 671 699  0.000 74.752   18 -0.005   18 -0.024   20 -0.031   18 0.4961    6  0.627    9  0.084   23 -0.146   22 -0.114
ASTROS       75 74 665 708 -0.036 72.627   17 -0.004   17 -0.017   22 -0.063   17 0.4962    7  0.619   10  0.044   26 -0.170   19 -0.084
NATIONALS    69 81 766 764  0.018 76.283   23 -0.011   23 -0.047   15  0.003   22 0.4929    8  0.608    7  0.100   20 -0.094    4  0.287
WHITE SOX    76 72 694 658 -0.010 73.548   11 -0.000   11  0.014   11  0.030   12 0.5021    9  0.604    6  0.123   18 -0.063   20 -0.099
ANGELS       56 92 599 674 -0.018 73.298   30 -0.215   30 -0.187   27 -0.106   30 0.4691   10  0.572   21 -0.044   25 -0.168   29 -0.297
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
PADRES       80 68 633 613  0.005 74.400    9  0.014    9  0.062   10  0.032    9 0.5103   11  0.565    8  0.088   15 -0.023   30 -0.386
MARINERS     70 79 605 662 -0.023 73.440   25 -0.018   24 -0.058   24 -0.076   24 0.4908   12  0.547   19 -0.037   22 -0.115   28 -0.295
METS         69 79 643 675  0.028 75.926   19 -0.007   19 -0.033   19 -0.030   19 0.4945   13  0.537   15 -0.000   17 -0.060   16 -0.069
GIANTS       62 87 628 703  0.004 75.083   27 -0.100   27 -0.119   25 -0.083   27 0.4805   14  0.526   23 -0.064   21 -0.103   18 -0.083
RANGERS      73 76 617 662 -0.036 72.643   20 -0.008   20 -0.036   23 -0.066   21 0.4937   15  0.514   22 -0.058   19 -0.074   25 -0.177
DIAMONDBACKS 79 70 659 656  0.009 75.196   10  0.007   10  0.049   13  0.012   10 0.5081   16  0.501   13  0.009   12  0.016   17 -0.079
MARLINS      73 76 660 656  0.006 75.103   16 -0.003   16 -0.011   14  0.008   16 0.4985   17  0.500   14  0.004   13  0.012   21 -0.102
BREWERS      93 56 775 579  0.002 74.515    1  0.208    1  0.184    1  0.209    1 0.5311   18  0.493    2  0.199    4  0.219   14 -0.002
TIGERS       69 79 658 595 -0.022 72.817   24 -0.017   25 -0.060    8  0.053   25 0.4900   19  0.475   11  0.026   11  0.080   23 -0.150
ATHLETICS    60 89 648 852 -0.021 73.611   28 -0.184   28 -0.156   30 -0.206   28 0.4729   20  0.471   30 -0.236   27 -0.176    1  0.545
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
DODGERS      90 58 737 565 -0.004 73.724    2  0.176    2  0.157    2  0.178    2 0.5260   21  0.468    5  0.146    5  0.211   15 -0.038
ROYALS       66 83 633 724 -0.009 74.258   26 -0.045   26 -0.089   26 -0.094   26 0.4843   22  0.441   28 -0.151   16 -0.037    7  0.201
PIRATES      74 75 714 689  0.021 75.875   12 -0.001   12  0.008   12  0.029   11 0.5021   23  0.430   20 -0.037   10  0.095    6  0.280
RAYS         89 59 668 609 -0.006 73.755    3  0.152    3  0.144    7  0.078    3 0.5238   24  0.408   16 -0.008    7  0.165   10  0.048
BLUE JAYS    74 75 600 638  0.014 75.571   13 -0.002   13  0.003   17 -0.017   13 0.5009   25  0.369   27 -0.137    9  0.102   13  0.011
GUARDIANS    75 74 606 620 -0.015 73.862   15 -0.003   15 -0.004   18 -0.029   15 0.4986   26  0.328   29 -0.182    8  0.124   11  0.028
BRAVES       88 61 689 568  0.009 75.077    4  0.142    4  0.138    3  0.137    4 0.5227   27  0.324   18 -0.020    2  0.294    9  0.126
PHILLIES     82 67 666 640  0.009 75.136    7  0.026    7  0.078    9  0.043    7 0.5127   28  0.312   26 -0.123    6  0.210    5  0.283
RED SOX      81 68 659 574 -0.003 74.380    8  0.015    8  0.062    6  0.098    8 0.5108   29  0.278   24 -0.096    3  0.293    8  0.166
YANKEES      85 63 675 552 -0.008 73.566    5  0.067    5  0.104    5  0.125    5 0.5174   30  0.220   25 -0.116    1  0.366    3  0.289

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      55 93 695 857  0.026 75.935   29 -0.206   29 -0.174   29 -0.164   29 0.4714    4  0.668   17 -0.009   30 -0.319    2  0.305
PADRES       80 68 633 613  0.005 74.400    9  0.014    9  0.062   10  0.032    9 0.5103   11  0.565    8  0.088   15 -0.023   30 -0.386
GIANTS       62 87 628 703  0.004 75.083   27 -0.100   27 -0.119   25 -0.083   27 0.4805   14  0.526   23 -0.064   21 -0.103   18 -0.083
DIAMONDBACKS 79 70 659 656  0.009 75.196   10  0.007   10  0.049   13  0.012   10 0.5081   16  0.501   13  0.009   12  0.016   17 -0.079
DODGERS      90 58 737 565 -0.004 73.724    2  0.176    2  0.157    2  0.178    2 0.5260   21  0.468    5  0.146    5  0.211   15 -0.038

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    73 76 680 689  0.019 75.824   14 -0.002   14 -0.004   16 -0.001   14 0.5004    2  0.671    4  0.156   24 -0.159   27 -0.279
REDS         69 79 620 766  0.025 75.845   21 -0.008   21 -0.036   28 -0.137   20 0.4938    3  0.669   12  0.020   29 -0.293   26 -0.177
CUBS         83 66 796 657  0.011 75.162    6  0.043    6  0.090    4  0.125    6 0.5157    5  0.656    1  0.268   14 -0.017   12  0.016
BREWERS      93 56 775 579  0.002 74.515    1  0.208    1  0.184    1  0.209    1 0.5311   18  0.493    2  0.199    4  0.219   14 -0.002
PIRATES      74 75 714 689  0.021 75.875   12 -0.001   12  0.008   12  0.029   11 0.5021   23  0.430   20 -0.037   10  0.095    6  0.280

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    69 81 766 764  0.018 76.283   23 -0.011   23 -0.047   15  0.003   22 0.4929    8  0.608    7  0.100   20 -0.094    4  0.287
METS         69 79 643 675  0.028 75.926   19 -0.007   19 -0.033   19 -0.030   19 0.4945   13  0.537   15 -0.000   17 -0.060   16 -0.069
MARLINS      73 76 660 656  0.006 75.103   16 -0.003   16 -0.011   14  0.008   16 0.4985   17  0.500   14  0.004   13  0.012   21 -0.102
BRAVES       88 61 689 568  0.009 75.077    4  0.142    4  0.138    3  0.137    4 0.5227   27  0.324   18 -0.020    2  0.294    9  0.126
PHILLIES     82 67 666 640  0.009 75.136    7  0.026    7  0.078    9  0.043    7 0.5127   28  0.312   26 -0.123    6  0.210    5  0.283

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ASTROS       75 74 665 708 -0.036 72.627   17 -0.004   17 -0.017   22 -0.063   17 0.4962    7  0.619   10  0.044   26 -0.170   19 -0.084
ANGELS       56 92 599 674 -0.018 73.298   30 -0.215   30 -0.187   27 -0.106   30 0.4691   10  0.572   21 -0.044   25 -0.168   29 -0.297
MARINERS     70 79 605 662 -0.023 73.440   25 -0.018   24 -0.058   24 -0.076   24 0.4908   12  0.547   19 -0.037   22 -0.115   28 -0.295
RANGERS      73 76 617 662 -0.036 72.643   20 -0.008   20 -0.036   23 -0.066   21 0.4937   15  0.514   22 -0.058   19 -0.074   25 -0.177
ATHLETICS    60 89 648 852 -0.021 73.611   28 -0.184   28 -0.156   30 -0.206   28 0.4729   20  0.471   30 -0.236   27 -0.176    1  0.545

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        70 78 681 736 -0.001 74.225   22 -0.009   22 -0.040   21 -0.060   23 0.4926    1  0.737    3  0.164   28 -0.285   24 -0.156
WHITE SOX    76 72 694 658 -0.010 73.548   11 -0.000   11  0.014   11  0.030   12 0.5021    9  0.604    6  0.123   18 -0.063   20 -0.099
TIGERS       69 79 658 595 -0.022 72.817   24 -0.017   25 -0.060    8  0.053   25 0.4900   19  0.475   11  0.026   11  0.080   23 -0.150
ROYALS       66 83 633 724 -0.009 74.258   26 -0.045   26 -0.089   26 -0.094   26 0.4843   22  0.441   28 -0.151   16 -0.037    7  0.201
GUARDIANS    75 74 606 620 -0.015 73.862   15 -0.003   15 -0.004   18 -0.029   15 0.4986   26  0.328   29 -0.182    8  0.124   11  0.028

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      72 77 671 699  0.000 74.752   18 -0.005   18 -0.024   20 -0.031   18 0.4961    6  0.627    9  0.084   23 -0.146   22 -0.114
RAYS         89 59 668 609 -0.006 73.755    3  0.152    3  0.144    7  0.078    3 0.5238   24  0.408   16 -0.008    7  0.165   10  0.048
BLUE JAYS    74 75 600 638  0.014 75.571   13 -0.002   13  0.003   17 -0.017   13 0.5009   25  0.369   27 -0.137    9  0.102   13  0.011
RED SOX      81 68 659 574 -0.003 74.380    8  0.015    8  0.062    6  0.098    8 0.5108   29  0.278   24 -0.096    3  0.293    8  0.166
YANKEES      85 63 675 552 -0.008 73.566    5  0.067    5  0.104    5  0.125    5 0.5174   30  0.220   25 -0.116    1  0.366    3  0.289

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    401 342 0.540    1  0.074
NL CENTRAL 392 352 0.527    2  0.066
NL EAST    381 364 0.511    3  0.047
NL WEST    366 376 0.493    4 -0.007
AL CENTRAL 356 386 0.480    5 -0.029
AL WEST    334 410 0.449    6 -0.151

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.062 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.007 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Sun Sep 13 05:30:14 2026
games through: Sat Sep 12 2026

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