Dolphin Ratings - Major League Baseball

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and its ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Expected Losses For college teams, this number is the number of losses an average ranked (top 15 hockey; otherwise top 25) team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. For pro teams, this is the number of losses an average team would be expected to have against the team's schedule. Unlike the schedule ranking, this value can be used to rank schedules.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.
Ballpark. This is an adjustment to the scoring ranking applied at home to account for ballpark effects.

In order to increase early-season stability, the three main rankings, the improved RPI, and the college pseudopoll include priors based on the previous season final predictive ratings and occasionally incorporating preseason predictions of various major publications. The other rankings for college sports do not include priors, and thus can be wildly unstable early in the year. A team whose rankings are affected by this prior is noted with a P following its rankings.

Full Ranking

                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        38 41 388 406 -0.010 39.711   19 -0.013   20 -0.020   20 -0.024   20 0.4925    1  0.868    1  0.340   30 -0.388   25 -0.189
ANGELS       32 47 361 397  0.002 40.163   29 -0.076   29 -0.082   24 -0.052   28 0.4783    2  0.764    4  0.202   29 -0.307   30 -0.286
NATIONALS    40 38 416 404  0.036 40.569    9  0.005    9  0.024    6  0.030    8 0.5085    3  0.726    2  0.246   26 -0.186    7  0.201
ORIOLES      37 42 369 394  0.015 40.516   21 -0.014   21 -0.022   18 -0.023   21 0.4924    4  0.689    7  0.155   27 -0.202   13  0.033
ROCKIES      30 48 356 446  0.001 39.718   30 -0.123   30 -0.100   30 -0.119   30 0.4744    5  0.672   13  0.043   28 -0.282    6  0.237
WHITE SOX    39 37 353 357  0.013 38.858   11  0.002   11  0.016    7  0.013   12 0.5025    6  0.672    5  0.175   24 -0.149   28 -0.256
CARDINALS    41 34 349 345 -0.005 37.839    6  0.012    6  0.038   13  0.002    7 0.5107    7  0.654    8  0.147   23 -0.142   22 -0.182
CUBS         40 37 366 345 -0.022 38.297   12 -0.001   12  0.010    8  0.011   11 0.5055    8  0.633    9  0.135   22 -0.113   16 -0.071
ASTROS       37 42 356 397 -0.024 39.336   23 -0.021   23 -0.036   28 -0.065   23 0.4870    9  0.619   12  0.045   25 -0.175   12  0.044
BRAVES       48 28 377 280 -0.002 38.283    1  0.148    1  0.113    4  0.128    1 0.5319   10  0.596    3  0.217   16  0.039   29 -0.279
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
MARLINS      40 38 336 336  0.026 40.285   10  0.004   10  0.021    9  0.010    9 0.5077   11  0.548   11  0.053   18 -0.034   27 -0.255
REDS         37 39 325 371 -0.023 37.887   20 -0.013   19 -0.019   27 -0.064   18 0.4952   12  0.544   17 -0.024   21 -0.104   14  0.024
DIAMONDBACKS 39 38 331 356 -0.003 38.958   14 -0.003   14  0.005   19 -0.024   14 0.5009   13  0.526   14 -0.002   19 -0.047   18 -0.102
DODGERS      49 29 405 272 -0.028 38.372    2  0.121    2  0.103    2  0.161    2 0.5302   14  0.504    6  0.164    4  0.158   23 -0.186
GIANTS       31 46 317 371  0.045 40.499   27 -0.052   27 -0.067   29 -0.070   25 0.4838   15  0.485   20 -0.084   20 -0.056   15 -0.007
PIRATES      39 39 391 377 -0.016 38.989   16 -0.006   16 -0.005   10  0.007   13 0.5019   16  0.478   16 -0.014   17  0.028    3  0.273
TIGERS       33 44 314 319 -0.011 38.666   26 -0.047   26 -0.064   17 -0.014   27 0.4802   17  0.427   19 -0.080   15  0.052   17 -0.097
BREWERS      46 29 397 278  0.010 38.049    3  0.115    3  0.100    1  0.167    3 0.5295   18  0.421   10  0.096    2  0.238   10  0.054
RED SOX      31 44 294 301  0.025 38.745   25 -0.047   25 -0.064   15 -0.006   26 0.4809   19  0.402   21 -0.094   11  0.081   24 -0.189
RAYS         43 31 327 319  0.025 38.175    5  0.055    5  0.076    5  0.034    5 0.5203   20  0.401   18 -0.054    9  0.123   11  0.049
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
RANGERS      37 40 309 320 -0.025 38.261   22 -0.015   22 -0.025   21 -0.025   22 0.4920   21  0.399   22 -0.116   14  0.066   21 -0.172
PADRES       39 37 296 306 -0.033 37.530   15 -0.005   15  0.000   22 -0.028   15 0.5003   22  0.379   25 -0.135   12  0.079   26 -0.250
ROYALS       32 46 331 375  0.015 40.037   28 -0.060   28 -0.073   23 -0.050   29 0.4774   23  0.368   27 -0.168   13  0.067    5  0.245
GUARDIANS    41 37 310 317  0.025 40.275    8  0.008    8  0.031   12  0.003   10 0.5068   24  0.362   23 -0.119    8  0.125   20 -0.172
BLUE JAYS    38 39 316 341  0.035 40.087   13 -0.002   13  0.007   16 -0.007   16 0.5003   25  0.347   26 -0.142    7  0.127    9  0.149
MARINERS     40 39 326 309 -0.036 38.851   17 -0.007   17 -0.007   11  0.005   17 0.4968   26  0.345   24 -0.131    5  0.141   19 -0.121
YANKEES      46 30 389 277 -0.030 37.391    4  0.069    4  0.080    3  0.133    4 0.5221   27  0.343   15 -0.005    1  0.270    4  0.252
ATHLETICS    38 40 364 418 -0.013 39.206   18 -0.011   18 -0.015   26 -0.060   19 0.4945   28  0.324   28 -0.214   10  0.094    1  0.715
METS         34 43 311 342 -0.013 38.671   24 -0.036   24 -0.055   25 -0.059   24 0.4868   29  0.270   30 -0.256    6  0.139    8  0.186
PHILLIES     42 35 329 333 -0.005 38.834    7  0.012    7  0.037   14 -0.002    6 0.5123   30  0.239   29 -0.225    3  0.221    2  0.350

NL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ROCKIES      30 48 356 446  0.001 39.718   30 -0.123   30 -0.100   30 -0.119   30 0.4744    5  0.672   13  0.043   28 -0.282    6  0.237
DIAMONDBACKS 39 38 331 356 -0.003 38.958   14 -0.003   14  0.005   19 -0.024   14 0.5009   13  0.526   14 -0.002   19 -0.047   18 -0.102
DODGERS      49 29 405 272 -0.028 38.372    2  0.121    2  0.103    2  0.161    2 0.5302   14  0.504    6  0.164    4  0.158   23 -0.186
GIANTS       31 46 317 371  0.045 40.499   27 -0.052   27 -0.067   29 -0.070   25 0.4838   15  0.485   20 -0.084   20 -0.056   15 -0.007
PADRES       39 37 296 306 -0.033 37.530   15 -0.005   15  0.000   22 -0.028   15 0.5003   22  0.379   25 -0.135   12  0.079   26 -0.250

NL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
CARDINALS    41 34 349 345 -0.005 37.839    6  0.012    6  0.038   13  0.002    7 0.5107    7  0.654    8  0.147   23 -0.142   22 -0.182
CUBS         40 37 366 345 -0.022 38.297   12 -0.001   12  0.010    8  0.011   11 0.5055    8  0.633    9  0.135   22 -0.113   16 -0.071
REDS         37 39 325 371 -0.023 37.887   20 -0.013   19 -0.019   27 -0.064   18 0.4952   12  0.544   17 -0.024   21 -0.104   14  0.024
PIRATES      39 39 391 377 -0.016 38.989   16 -0.006   16 -0.005   10  0.007   13 0.5019   16  0.478   16 -0.014   17  0.028    3  0.273
BREWERS      46 29 397 278  0.010 38.049    3  0.115    3  0.100    1  0.167    3 0.5295   18  0.421   10  0.096    2  0.238   10  0.054

NL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
NATIONALS    40 38 416 404  0.036 40.569    9  0.005    9  0.024    6  0.030    8 0.5085    3  0.726    2  0.246   26 -0.186    7  0.201
BRAVES       48 28 377 280 -0.002 38.283    1  0.148    1  0.113    4  0.128    1 0.5319   10  0.596    3  0.217   16  0.039   29 -0.279
MARLINS      40 38 336 336  0.026 40.285   10  0.004   10  0.021    9  0.010    9 0.5077   11  0.548   11  0.053   18 -0.034   27 -0.255
METS         34 43 311 342 -0.013 38.671   24 -0.036   24 -0.055   25 -0.059   24 0.4868   29  0.270   30 -0.256    6  0.139    8  0.186
PHILLIES     42 35 329 333 -0.005 38.834    7  0.012    7  0.037   14 -0.002    6 0.5123   30  0.239   29 -0.225    3  0.221    2  0.350

AL WEST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ANGELS       32 47 361 397  0.002 40.163   29 -0.076   29 -0.082   24 -0.052   28 0.4783    2  0.764    4  0.202   29 -0.307   30 -0.286
ASTROS       37 42 356 397 -0.024 39.336   23 -0.021   23 -0.036   28 -0.065   23 0.4870    9  0.619   12  0.045   25 -0.175   12  0.044
RANGERS      37 40 309 320 -0.025 38.261   22 -0.015   22 -0.025   21 -0.025   22 0.4920   21  0.399   22 -0.116   14  0.066   21 -0.172
MARINERS     40 39 326 309 -0.036 38.851   17 -0.007   17 -0.007   11  0.005   17 0.4968   26  0.345   24 -0.131    5  0.141   19 -0.121
ATHLETICS    38 40 364 418 -0.013 39.206   18 -0.011   18 -0.015   26 -0.060   19 0.4945   28  0.324   28 -0.214   10  0.094    1  0.715

AL CENTRAL
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
TWINS        38 41 388 406 -0.010 39.711   19 -0.013   20 -0.020   20 -0.024   20 0.4925    1  0.868    1  0.340   30 -0.388   25 -0.189
WHITE SOX    39 37 353 357  0.013 38.858   11  0.002   11  0.016    7  0.013   12 0.5025    6  0.672    5  0.175   24 -0.149   28 -0.256
TIGERS       33 44 314 319 -0.011 38.666   26 -0.047   26 -0.064   17 -0.014   27 0.4802   17  0.427   19 -0.080   15  0.052   17 -0.097
ROYALS       32 46 331 375  0.015 40.037   28 -0.060   28 -0.073   23 -0.050   29 0.4774   23  0.368   27 -0.168   13  0.067    5  0.245
GUARDIANS    41 37 310 317  0.025 40.275    8  0.008    8  0.031   12  0.003   10 0.5068   24  0.362   23 -0.119    8  0.125   20 -0.172

AL EAST
                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI    SCORING     OFFENSE     DEFENSE    BALLPARK 
TEAM          W  L  PF  PA  SCHED  ELOSS  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING
ORIOLES      37 42 369 394  0.015 40.516   21 -0.014   21 -0.022   18 -0.023   21 0.4924    4  0.689    7  0.155   27 -0.202   13  0.033
RED SOX      31 44 294 301  0.025 38.745   25 -0.047   25 -0.064   15 -0.006   26 0.4809   19  0.402   21 -0.094   11  0.081   24 -0.189
RAYS         43 31 327 319  0.025 38.175    5  0.055    5  0.076    5  0.034    5 0.5203   20  0.401   18 -0.054    9  0.123   11  0.049
BLUE JAYS    38 39 316 341  0.035 40.087   13 -0.002   13  0.007   16 -0.007   16 0.5003   25  0.347   26 -0.142    7  0.127    9  0.149
YANKEES      46 30 389 277 -0.030 37.391    4  0.069    4  0.080    3  0.133    4 0.5221   27  0.343   15 -0.005    1  0.270    4  0.252

DIVISION     W   L   PCT  RNK RATING
AL EAST    195 186 0.512    1  0.058
NL CENTRAL 203 178 0.533    2  0.055
NL EAST    204 182 0.528    3  0.047
AL CENTRAL 183 205 0.472    4 -0.033
NL WEST    188 198 0.487    5 -0.039
AL WEST    184 208 0.469    6 -0.088

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.050 points in main ratings (0.058 for semineutral)
     0.008 points in improved RPI (0.006 for semineutral)
Average of 2.65 points per score

Predict score:








Team Strength vs. Time Plot:






posted: Mon Jun 22 05:30:08 2026
games through: Sun Jun 21 2026

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